{"id":169,"date":"2026-10-13T11:06:38","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T11:06:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/?page_id=169"},"modified":"2026-10-13T16:59:41","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T16:59:41","slug":"methods","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/research\/methods\/","title":{"rendered":"Methods and uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- Nexus network page \u00b7 https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/research\/methods\/ \u00b7 source template \u00b7 generated by integrations\/wordpress\/network\/build.mjs, never edit this file --><script type=\"text\/x-nexus\" class=\"_iub_cs_skip\" id=\"nxe-fig-engine\" 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:where([role=\"tablist\"],[role=\"toolbar\"],[hidden],button,.nx-theme-toggle,.nx-live-slot){display:none}#nxe-njg6njrx.nxe img{max-width:100%;height:auto}<\/style><svg class=\"nx-defs\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"0\" height=\"0\"><defs><linearGradient id=\"nx-gi\" x1=\"0\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"1\" y2=\"1\"><stop offset=\"0\" class=\"nx-gi-a\"\/><stop offset=\"0.55\" class=\"nx-gi-b\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" class=\"nx-gi-c\"\/><\/linearGradient><linearGradient id=\"nx-giu\" gradientUnits=\"userSpaceOnUse\" x1=\"0\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"800\" y2=\"0\"><stop offset=\"0\" class=\"nx-gi-a\"\/><stop offset=\"0.55\" class=\"nx-gi-b\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" class=\"nx-gi-c\"\/><\/linearGradient><linearGradient id=\"nx-gp\" x1=\"0\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"1\" y2=\"1\"><stop offset=\"0\" class=\"nx-gp-a\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" class=\"nx-gp-b\"\/><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><section class=\"nx-hero\" data-layout=\"timeline\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-title-1\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-theme-toggle\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Appearance of this page\" hidden><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"light\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Light<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"dark\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Dark<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"auto\" aria-pressed=\"true\">Auto<\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-folio\" aria-label=\"Document reference\"><strong>G03 \u00b7 EVIDENCE \u00b7 methods<\/strong>GCRI dossier \u00b7 service level R0<\/div><div class=\"nx-hero-grid\"><div class=\"nx-hero-text\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">GCRI<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Energy Nexus<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Established<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-accent-row\"><span class=\"nx-accent-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span>Methods and uncertainty<\/span><\/div><h1 id=\"nx-title-1\" class=\"nx-hero-title\">Methods and uncertainty<\/h1><p class=\"nx-tagline\">The methods Energy Nexus relies on, the assumptions they carry and the limits of what they can show.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/contact\/\">Make an enquiry <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/research\/\">Back to Research and evidence<\/a><\/div><dl class=\"nx-facts\"><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Publisher<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation<\/dd><\/div><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Field<\/dt><dd>Energy, Critical infrastructure, Climate and hazards<\/dd><\/div><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-hero-rail\"><ol class=\"nx-lv-rail\"><li><div><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-k\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-t\">Draft<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-n\">sources cited, labels attached<\/span><\/div><\/li><li><div><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-k\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-t\">Evidence check<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-n\">every value traced<\/span><\/div><\/li><li><div><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-k\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-t\">Independent review<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-n\">conflicts declared<\/span><\/div><\/li><li><div><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-k\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-t\">Edition<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-n\">published with its limits<\/span><\/div><\/li><li><div><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-k\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-t\">Correction<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-rail-n\">a new version, never a silent edit<\/span><\/div><\/li><\/ol><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section> <nav class=\"nx-index-strip\" data-nx-spy=\"true\" aria-label=\"On this page\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><a href=\"#nx-sec-brief-answer\"><span>01<\/span>The short answer<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-3-sec\"><span>02<\/span>Draft to published version<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-field\"><span>03<\/span>Energy demand and corridors in North\u2026<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-methods\"><span>04<\/span>The methods in use<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-pg-method-register\"><span>05<\/span>Each method, its role in this field\u2026<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-pg-uncertainty\"><span>06<\/span>Where uncertainty in energy analysis\u2026<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-uncertainty\"><span>07<\/span>How uncertainty is reported<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-terms\"><span>08<\/span>Terms used on this page<\/a><\/div><\/nav> <section id=\"nx-sec-brief-answer\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"energy\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-2\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">In brief<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-2\" class=\"nx-section-title\">The short answer.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The Energy Nexus methods page sets out the methods the platform relies on, among them energy generation, storage and grid technology, power systems engineering, and reliability and resilience engineering, with their assumptions, validation and limits. Each analysis lists its assumptions and data, reports ranges and confidence beside central estimates, is checked against observations or other models, and states what it cannot show.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"search\" data-nxf-kind=\"search\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G03\/research\/methods\/#search\" data-nxf-title=\"Search publications\" data-nxf-height=\"520\" hidden><\/div><section id=\"nx-s-3-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-3\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Canvas<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-3\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Draft to published version.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-canvas-wrap\"><div class=\"nx-plate\" data-wide=\"true\"><div class=\"nx-plate-label\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><strong>Canvas<\/strong> \u00b7 draft to published version<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Design, not a record<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-figure-frame\" data-scene=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-figure nx-ui nx-dag\" viewBox=\"0 0 1200 564\" data-nx-dag=\"true\" data-w=\"1200\" data-h=\"564\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-dag-g03-research-methods-source-passport-t nx-dag-g03-research-methods-source-passport-d\" data-nx-z=\"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\"><title id=\"nx-dag-g03-research-methods-source-passport-t\">Methods and uncertainty: from a source to a labelled evidence record<\/title><desc id=\"nx-dag-g03-research-methods-source-passport-d\">A source is registered with its licence and steward, checked for quality and coverage, labelled by evidence class, versioned and published with a passport; corrections create a new version. Design of the process, not a record of a run.<\/desc><\/svg><\/div><\/div><p class=\"nx-caption\"><strong>Fig.<\/strong><span>How a finding is reviewed before it is published. Design, not a record.<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-field\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-4\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Geography<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-4\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Energy demand and corridors in North America.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Where demand concentrates in cities and the rail, road and port corridors that move fuel and equipment, shown for North America as an example geography for this subject.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-canvas-wrap\"><div class=\"nx-map nx-cmap\" data-nx-map=\"ctx\" data-cmap=\"north-america:energy\" data-ramp=\"orange\" data-basis=\"case\" data-focus=\"0 0 2000 1250|772 0 1557 593|899 784 1355 1040|1361 1001 1426 1071|1332 993 1423 1048\"><figure class=\"nx-fk\" data-fk=\"map-north-america-energy\" data-ramp=\"orange\" data-nx-z=\"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\"><figcaption class=\"nx-fk-cap\"><span>Where demand concentrates in cities and the rail, road and port corridors that move fuel and equipment.<\/span><span data-honesty=\"true\">Indicator derived from Natural Earth at map scale; a screening view, not an assessment.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure><div class=\"nx-live-slot nx-live-slot--map\" data-nxf-slot=\"map\" data-nxf-kind=\"map\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G03\/research\/methods\/#map\" data-nxf-title=\"Energy Nexus live map\" data-nxf-height=\"560\" hidden><\/div><div class=\"nx-map-hud\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 Energy Nexus \u00b7 field<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-map-hud-right\">DESIGN FIGURE<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-methods\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"energy\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-5\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Methods<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-5\" class=\"nx-section-title\">The methods in use.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-methods\"><ol class=\"nx-mledger\" aria-label=\"Methods\"><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/energy-technology\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Energy generation, storage and grid technology<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Weather-driven generation profiles \u00b7 Storage technology comparison<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/technology\/energy-technology\/\" aria-label=\"Energy generation, storage and grid technology: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/power-engineering\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Power systems engineering<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Contingency and load flow studies \u00b7 Frequency stability with less inertia<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/engineering\/power-engineering\/\" aria-label=\"Power systems engineering: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/resilience-engineering\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Reliability and resilience engineering<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Restoration curve analysis \u00b7 Fault trees for critical sites \u00b7 Fragility curves for grid assets<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/engineering\/resilience-engineering\/\" aria-label=\"Reliability and resilience engineering: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/optimization\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Optimization and operations research<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Capacity expansion planning \u00b7 Unit commitment and dispatch \u00b7 Restoration sequencing<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/optimization\/\" aria-label=\"Optimization and operations research: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/forecasting\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Forecasting and time-series analysis<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Load forecasting with weather \u00b7 Wind and solar power forecasts \u00b7 Seasonal adequacy outlooks<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/forecasting\/\" aria-label=\"Forecasting and time-series analysis: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/network-science\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">06<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Network science and contagion<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Interdependency mapping \u00b7 Cascades on multilayer networks \u00b7 Criticality ranking<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/network-science\/\" aria-label=\"Network science and contagion: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/materials-chemistry\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">07<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Materials science and chemistry<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Battery chemistry and thermal runaway \u00b7 Ageing and corrosion of grid assets<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/science\/materials-chemistry\/\" aria-label=\"Materials science and chemistry: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/process-safety\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">08<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Process and industrial safety engineering<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Natural hazards triggering accidents \u00b7 Layers of protection review<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/engineering\/process-safety\/\" aria-label=\"Process and industrial safety engineering: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><\/ol><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"evidence\" data-nxf-kind=\"evidence\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G03\/research\/methods\/#evidence\" data-nxf-title=\"Evidence records\" data-nxf-height=\"520\" hidden><\/div><section id=\"nx-sec-pg-method-register\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\" data-variant=\"split\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-6\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Method register<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-6\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Each method, its role in this field and how it is checked.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><ul class=\"nx-dir\" data-cols=\"3\" aria-label=\"Method\"><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/energy-technology\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Energy technology<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Energy technology assessment is how this platform reads the hardware of the energy system: what generators, storage devices, converters and grid equipment can deliver, under which conditions and with which failure modes.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Metered comparison; Standard test conditions; Degradation tracking<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/power-engineering\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Power engineering<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Power systems engineering is the core discipline of this platform: load flow, contingency, stability and protection analysis show how a grid behaves in normal operation and after a fault, and how a failure in one place reaches dependent services elsewhere.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Event replay; Benchmark networks; Operator review<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/resilience-engineering\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Resilience engineering<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Reliability and resilience engineering asks how energy assets and systems fail, how quickly they recover, and which components and organisational arrangements set the recovery time.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Field data comparison; Common-cause review; Exercise and post-event review<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/optimization\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Optimization<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Optimization and operations research decide how energy systems are built and run at least cost within physical and policy limits: which plants to build, how to dispatch them, how much storage and transmission to add, and in what order to restore service after a failure.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Operational feasibility; Sensitivity and robustness; Open model comparison<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/forecasting\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Forecasting<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Forecasting gives energy operators lead time: minutes to days for demand and renewable output, weeks to seasons for hydropower inflows and adequacy outlooks.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Out-of-sample verification; Reliability diagrams; Extreme-event performance<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/network-science\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Network science<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Network science maps the energy system as connections: lines and substations, pipelines and terminals, and the dependencies that link them to water, telecommunications, transport and finance.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Historical cascade reproduction; Missing link sensitivity; Disclosure review<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/materials-chemistry\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Materials chemistry<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Materials science and chemistry explain how energy equipment ages and fails, and which materials the transition depends on: battery chemistries and their thermal behaviour, corrosion of pipelines and towers, insulation ageing in transformers, and the critical minerals in magnets, cells and electrolysers.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Laboratory to field comparison; Traceable measurement; Supply data cross-check<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/stem\/process-safety\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Process safety<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Process safety engineering covers the hazards of energy facilities: refineries, gas terminals, hydrogen plants, battery storage sites and nuclear installations.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Incident learning check; Independence of barriers; Regulatory boundary<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-pg-uncertainty\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-7\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">06<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Uncertainty<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-7\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Where uncertainty in energy analysis comes from, and how it is shown.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th>Source<\/th><th>Why it matters here<\/th><th>How it is reported<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Weather years<\/td><td data-label=\"Why it matters here\">Adequacy depends on rare multi-day weather patterns<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is reported\">Many historical and synthetic weather years, not one typical year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Demand growth<\/td><td data-label=\"Why it matters here\">Electrification and data-centre load are uncertain in size and timing<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is reported\">Demand scenarios with stated drivers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Fuel supply<\/td><td data-label=\"Why it matters here\">Gas and fuel availability depends on world markets and infrastructure<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is reported\">Supply-disruption scenarios<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Equipment reliability<\/td><td data-label=\"Why it matters here\">Forced outage rates change with age, heat and maintenance<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is reported\">Reliability ranges from operator data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Market behaviour<\/td><td data-label=\"Why it matters here\">Prices and investment respond to policy and expectations<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is reported\">Policy scenarios rather than price forecasts<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-p\">Adequacy results are reported as probabilistic metrics (loss-of-load expectation, expected unserved energy) with the weather and demand sets they rest on.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-uncertainty\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"energy\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-8\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">07<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Uncertainty<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-8\" class=\"nx-section-title\">How uncertainty is reported.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\" data-lv=\"timeline\"><ol class=\"nx-rows\"><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">01<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">State assumptions<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Each analysis lists its assumptions and the data it depends on.<\/p><\/div><\/li><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">02<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Quantify where possible<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Ranges and confidence are reported alongside central estimates.<\/p><\/div><\/li><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">03<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Validate and compare<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Models are checked against observations and, where possible, against other models.<\/p><\/div><\/li><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">04<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Publish limits<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">What an analysis cannot show is stated beside what it can.<\/p><\/div><\/li><\/ol><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-terms\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-9\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">08<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Key terms<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-9\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Terms used on this page.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Term<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Definition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Uncertainty quantification<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Characterising and propagating the uncertainties in a model to state confidence in its outputs.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Sensitivity analysis<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Repeating an analysis under different assumptions to show how much the result depends on them.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Model validation<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Comparing model predictions with independent observations to judge fitness for a stated use.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Energy generation, storage and grid technology<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Energy generation, storage and grid technology cover the devices and systems that produce, store and deliver energy.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-pg-sources\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" data-variant=\"split\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-10\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">09<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Sources<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-10\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Where this page's references lead.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-list\" data-nav=\"true\"><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/data-and-statistics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>International Energy Agency data and outlooks<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irena.org\/Data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>IRENA statistics<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/transparency.entsoe.eu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>ENTSO-E transparency platform<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nerc.com\/pa\/Stand\/Pages\/default.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>NERC reliability standards<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-11-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"energy\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-11\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">10<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Questions<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-11\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Questions and answers.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-faq\"><details><summary>Are the methods open?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. Code and data follow their own licences and access terms, listed in the source register.<\/div><\/details><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-section\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-rel-12\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Related<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-rel-12\" class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Around Energy Nexus.<\/h2><nav class=\"nx-related nx-mt-3\" aria-label=\"Related\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/research\/sources\/\">Source and data register <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/\">Energy Nexus home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/counterparts\/\">Counterparts across the Consortium <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/\">The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/trust\/\">GCRI governance and trust <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/nav><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-closing\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-close-13\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Energy Nexus<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-close-13\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Bring your expertise to this field.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"mailto:contact@therisk.global?subject=Energy%20Nexus%3A%20Methods%20and%20uncertainty\">Write to the team <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/contact\/\">See all contact routes<\/a><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><script class=\"_iub_cs_skip\">window.__nxMount ? window.__nxMount(document.currentScript) : null;<\/script>\n\n\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/research\/methods\/#faq\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/energy-nexus\/research\/methods\/#webpage\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Are the methods open?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. 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