{"id":168,"date":"2026-10-13T12:06:59","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T12:06:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/?page_id=168"},"modified":"2026-10-13T19:17:39","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T19:17:39","slug":"models","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/","title":{"rendered":"Reviewed models and scenarios"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- Nexus network page \u00b7 https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/ \u00b7 source template \u00b7 generated by integrations\/wordpress\/network\/build.mjs, never edit this file --><script type=\"text\/x-nexus\" class=\"_iub_cs_skip\" id=\"nxe-fig-engine\" 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OM3c4tK09ZKWWfFqK1fHVGtH2rrXxabau9L2Sl8faYv0yduUvqmEgEKgbpMhjfNCpgnkb4FlDXLkNJRQspnVMUSpSU11hU8vjFd6uIf8ocvdwumyn9igdHd3eZNoQ73fm3bWgPi17czA+ZNavrlxEJUY28WHSSxxyszGIRnFYdC9NR84iUHgjlaWOqBGAWfoQwdNU33CDXIQwXx9kMbKdQNwdFyEumcySzvdJ1Cm+4wQIysS+IYEZ3bROcYiJx7NVBFSV4ZxJY\/xSjIIGuD22KPukIaOiobyvF4dvEd8fzpynYOD3KzFaIQ\/nZOKCrjRBXC5Lcx\/wb4+MceFFXHjiR8nl23o2JPBN2w3\/lR4HP+2MmCgDfpgW2yf1W2Y4ADdyAQaKjmIBpiwJM2K55fEUg4rF1h6Bpx5i4fENcxcPmPciPzjt48SHyRuAovtCfmmE9Igir9ux1Qsth4B9jisNJzNDfrDfXwZN6BxdRB425g10xOLu9JSk+4z2OmtRu20S2rDeUdRi0eY1c0wlP\/pP+PnG\/J\/psqLXoy\/XgkXApuUYWG+8L3pVHXp3tEaq5htO8xLHMt1FdNiHf3++JgOvS4lPQYzRujqdePITgtjQNt0fx0VDJ6HclK\/J35f3mrty2Ow2hTj6bjbMQgo7W1yzIialj96+OLqO5yuUGERZMWQ2uwJWbMnNKNxg9llxHQHGdOd1IyngBiNQIw2SnPcWuWgepkKHuqjzzaTYGQha63lpDPzXdbf\/\/AK37Hwrg3c6isE+S2tyvOtN78dmH0c\/4lA\/89PweVt\/b0p+xftg1AC57sA\/nLNa3izfrox7+HiR59sxtxnf\/elrzwHnE3Q9b+j3IopWAIKSQW+kfFR81AC6lObHmyj4UieWyIUtNvc5O+ajvddwyj0fDVzlNEHCuTbJccISiDDDqxhaCJatufacHoao4JNewOZaXCBrf55WWU4x4rmKQ2sEX1WUoBShcasEX0BGib21XXU6u5tJFS1ghcImk\/OhotZnQiXnAnsQF4wsZKmQJTZAgXVgRT4mqjXIIhn3VMSelU1F9sgHJ+Ltl5PNxOhpSioM4gXDcPp8juzqt\/oTZCnN9uiSkILdISThQcGbXD+torItoUU9zEqC0di1UlNtjY8S8ly\/au7QDEdfcbiTO7HbO8HkzWf9NAY5YrpHiRzqbLDDVaVI4lA8PypTKzvaqXmksM3ibov1G4cLfL4SPV\/WQVHTV2fjPOHqfpMdz9G02fH9yhFn4E5R8935iv6TE8SYTPQ9J3DPM2dAd\/vP1yJS23NfQTs4DwQTOF0BkVVXqBk7f2Z\/vLQxfUvsPljBbKi\/pDV1Q1m0QLzJOw+p78lK0y2pv1Zg9RdZZNsxMP92BM139eCteZbs6ZmuNzGDsr2PDLJFtwyuH8Dr6BqgGQh\/lt+rY1\/IT\/PKmL8D7DfdaP6YVse3+OP2fWEUT5q4+PBfsQqwQmqMr0LP38Qm7UmfQLV+K84BnIz1YemgXYuuxICoerNKJu+rbGMy0sQ9woEOPq7hk2TFcd6bzzFX237afNU1xb9n\/v0kJrSWlMjXTdyHxCl8\/qgJei8wdqynnehPk6SlfUItKRL3ptBKvdxuEwuULbjaYetf9BT+II53eorkrZEv5k+tmkjssyYzUKYoXIgGomhAvod6VvNwzlTwXtrN9rt0jLPypt8kHq9z+kx0gmxIg3RrGaXF1ms7q8k5mFveGxsgRNYbDo5Lu1izcoL6MIDh4W4D3clBs+rwufIdtdhtVnrQGs8mPArLJp6NNiEo+dfSRzay1TEmKS2yShoPE9t4YkTzC+zS3TSAhVJ2TQwGavQ6bbFO4c1KhdWZmZCZzoi1Zf3l0EoWkeLusni13daHaVnRJcLd5JcMKAKWOeynh8VaDc2tC+8iXJORNcwD6l90qE7bljnopT+imxnJi0s2sUDqJcQextDVtSwMSzDtHENuEGck4iXJlozqvi3PYll\/F11mAeZim9ZAl84w6nCIyG2U4VWvODSJK3QUMSeJeCI\/E2IE5XB5tiDxDnWFsefHxiHGKgqxHOe4anxK8oEkmr9Y6HpGu2zGIVNDdq3K+7B8fRsz8f8\/XK69bHlw77ELDihj2enfYIwidFqxLKDffq3Evnz8GMNlJBjUcBP5vpVArqUVTOHoGwI5mCA010RZ6g8UH7YmTqCnoKFyRESR61qcvg+epxDCSu7xm5kqpjVs1Njdc6Qw\/eC\/zzjGZofaD8E1U37vFyDEUBJWcAlyQctuLP5NYOLyC4humNMsE+TmxGoFlORNH\/Q0HlgiyeEB3MEDdzMGQOMszobyEM4I8mshRuZEUiO7SCm4wJZKRSVb6oEsY+UyQ04fnyek9AhZpPFXNgxn2oMvK4kF8F6fCrtTjqCyaJAoxsPmn9tcevPhS4hz33bhbSL+0lyxIGyA5Lw24qrM1t0VavpO4MHYL+wFXrL2JbObnmhxkaMZaFEC5FsvEzw1jTcAk2QNpt5UgV1gvwkeG7pysatZVvBAnlcYEgFvN21n04MNytezbIYyV1U8X53BD2X6Bz90gLdF2Xzqc0Hf1l3vDfEjcO3D8q7pye0VDb3AfjGhEKOk65rpRwfH+6HghENabBfVDanGX2RZfABwOXkG3n1m4ABiSY13OAOHNoMPXj5\/GQ\/vfQ9mAnENg3rXM+F48jg4HKQcyG5MkiOtwCSJ4OEKTcXki+D5IULIAUySJij5kLayiBtl1A8lEEKl1B8J4O0W0Jx25IylLWE5rY9wpxLYMkZ3V1Cd1vK6ra3hPK2lNltX5f2orY2M5Da3uKn7vxI6nu3PGKOWLSbkKb8INEjwyZx4SRZoh1xVqRZkTVwUJqngsk1hgnFF5n90XdZPOzim4XZSrtYsWSRxkkBI2RMyjPICqFMV6Io05Xoluli4b8w8bjDyu7T5WDksHQrrmOjNqkhjSICmFI0ruB\/Ume\/JGz2SyIW\/VGok2Poi6WyldhrOqXkfZHYZh3P07A9W6boDmJp0UXMT6Lf90VzIlc1fHLXojsj0WQ\/ku3Keo0c1V1f2Rkc4XyWCCz+wrpxVXqAm3aqqu6IR8+CakA0GfwrNOu8bLQqYHRvt8I5RQUeGnRRBQQJKo8sr9sgXpRz3w3InXeFvd3bUcTBT6ItETH\/ijZAZGs1\/vf\/Mv4LfLvWxj8hVKr3p8NYoY2Q3oZyfx0E5S1dj3JxTpLFyEiaszDe4e07qiR4dKIl1wOxzBAqEvW7Fsx65tzDGiadX67wCpOHWIcEUMg6xhhotmMr9FgBVAfh8xNoclC3YXqsEQkVJkSfg8SVhQo3o89BmP79KgToc5BNNK2L6Pub9l9U3mt9UJiAZU3soG3SrbX9ytqiz0G0Ne9XVow++AdgHq+I0fdOOB7RI9JltMSiQCsb\/yOnlZugz5BWGGdLQStrgz96VGpfltInBegjoU\/qoc9dhRyVJGOKOf6\/RTHthSWUJtHO6RYBCdln7P3YTmgJl4l6+hw+jI+bf7PXrL7Gbv12JLd+s5lk3h3Xds9EUXZB96DYjcXjhxP2h9GSQlDk4qhIKZ7jV3eLG70T6lzO7Y\/ezj0LrcEF3bY3QTt\/WOVKQr15a4UvOWSHOuw8EZor7ecyucSdedSTVEDyVHkvcknBVhTiQg9nXaI43QNXQUghOmbBbo975bfhGtQc0cIlJauHa\/FXos2ChwKC2ZOAG\/Cimq11NLjZmSn0pBO5rMrnGxksuUWbk8MIIXKBkzVzrHyuc4CLCxrWbBDdeYe9hk7tdZyESKwcbGHZ8NCl37PzS75hSpiuhf6m9dRMx1pCD73Mbtnts5Z4+2zdgKq5E4EvSfaVu3WSkcoqW44a\/JICEP0lYcN7bN1AVlHwDtyMpLkNqireBY8vNykeq92Hy6Wu\/1awT1e7nM8YvYXLWd\/EMFvvQZ2URf5OmW\/QRTizC804aMxqKGXAcQaMZckina3leBhgyGnyzNblPXzBdSAH9R4Pc+9h0+1PHtGtEbOd6IU6TKu44s3gS2DQg2mJitSBvJm+D25JJzzn7U+g\/vSFVdVRvLPx86DQxnrxTeBIs++Qb20c63t3Dhbdu\/YIbtyCdf3WZSDMXnAqsINrBvDxY6kCN1oOxTqob3nXhPmFnCHY05EnK6Oq1MQXGCWVx1+xpqo7e7+UXFtutddx2+Ry3Ikyx57c3IBSDTkj8\/IsoWn02SvF7Q59LOM0bsrRgL\/0BnBv5oFKVmV1\/l1DYgoddU\/NFgpsVVaxlKozk9EmvFZ3HUO5cqrDQ9o8WEzx4Z6pgsFKkJtCZnc1UrN4viGhvxZYuGp3nogSC5PR0+HWuTv78u5CwdNoq+\/E1Ww\/flPuEuPL6OW5bFE0S9vmhVLj1WRmc3Fnb1D33M9Lfzaj45AT2t+y4nX9QIy4K3UZnMZvNhe4cY4wVVWt21nyMo0fqIdOaZ5uWq37b7u0Wi9XLOWZtz62QCE0SO+KSOBpjY2D4yyG0xOQUbbWm\/vBiQmgax5j2\/i9YdqHSee0JsVxvz\/LddC7BzbVgd5QWZ4ATRYf5h2MhuzJFQcdHJQ+nJSd7P8xNO23Gp7zCeFQGBMmNDIgGA4fAfNh1k1qAbSVZVvvmxkNS+eA2TANwofbzaRMzSre4V2mx7srr+q5Zhk1wg8WSpwBJBx5scz8ox01qL8pysJA24nKYdoQJfUBRiDNEFHidPCJQ4ichsg3ggw2ircWjYmYUTvkIgTHVI\/RF9brxxl5HjN1Uthf2PBMdq1LqEuIaPpO797p6Yk9EFiRw3azvYGNqh\/iq58zDs3o3NZDhUMQ8Ni2\/dB2vO1r5LD1AJPJ5ACxSW4ikFPXiovWF2+OXs4sw8DWx9isH45pyw6yKZRi3YkLd9mhn5djS06+X6Q1s5eKV7Q\/3YET49N4PF7MrAwtkstcCqzruovAp1OKywq26xp\/oU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class=\"nx-theme-toggle\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Appearance of this page\" hidden><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"light\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Light<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"dark\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Dark<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"auto\" aria-pressed=\"true\">Auto<\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-folio\" aria-label=\"Document reference\"><strong>G04 \u00b7 PROCESS \u00b7 models<\/strong>GCRI dossier \u00b7 service level R0<\/div><div class=\"nx-hero-grid\"><div class=\"nx-hero-text\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">GCRI<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Health Nexus<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Established<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-accent-row\"><span class=\"nx-accent-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span>Reviewed models and scenarios<\/span><\/div><h1 id=\"nx-title-1\" class=\"nx-hero-title\">Reviewed models and scenarios<\/h1><p class=\"nx-tagline\">Model descriptions are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/contact\/\">Make an enquiry <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/\">Back to Data and technical methods<\/a><\/div><dl class=\"nx-facts\"><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Publisher<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation<\/dd><\/div><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Field<\/dt><dd>Health and biosecurity<\/dd><\/div><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-hero-canvas\" data-lv-fill=\"dag\" data-lv-id=\"preparedness\"><div class=\"nx-plate\" data-wide=\"true\"><div class=\"nx-plate-label\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><strong>Canvas<\/strong> \u00b7 scoping to review<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Design, not a record<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-figure-frame\" data-scene=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-figure nx-ui nx-dag\" viewBox=\"0 0 1200 564\" data-nx-dag=\"true\" data-w=\"1200\" data-h=\"564\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-dag-g04-tools-models-ipcc-risk-t nx-dag-g04-tools-models-ipcc-risk-d\" 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72PoeEEAMQ6MzdU\/4\/cBcSOF8v062pJtEQegVhzQFlwUdzTXU8iLUEkrYb194QXaN9lmnrXI1rwwsoE1qIJwdv1z9\/2f682KR+yt3QppydFjt+I5aJTtyuXs9sfp57vrG7ZXuZ1eTT\/fTS\/A7Pqi40RkO2nIn0qzSqqUtllzN1hDdaEXGyvKFw9Jpvs5VUPTPzoQ5FN1\/fNsetMakht3kpUTI3\/JaGGseWBSPYMdh0COvZOXjvTeF37fNpix+7Z7ChsEg4S9nP14f3fbIW2SLVesfEZf3ECrEKGaF5SCWHwCdQL4GUHad5odOHCa7+\/2iJ6vqp6yb\/LTVYTBbPslqeagVYenKTMaNtvTny4vprPP0w6h6XMS0yyifaRGWjPOiyivphfMq1dZRIsqTLLqbaNIXFMJZNjE38+urj\/\/qWviV1maR996TTzRmviOmODf\"><title id=\"nx-dag-g04-tools-models-ipcc-risk-t\">Reviewed models and scenarios: risk as hazard, exposure and vulnerability<\/title><desc id=\"nx-dag-g04-tools-models-ipcc-risk-d\">Risk arises from the interaction of hazard, exposure and vulnerability (sensitivity and adaptive capacity); responses act on each driver and leave a residual risk that is monitored. Design of the process, not a record of a run.<\/desc><\/svg><\/div><\/div><p class=\"nx-caption\"><strong>Fig.<\/strong><span>A programme from scoping to the owner's decision. Design, not a record.<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section> <nav class=\"nx-index-strip\" data-nx-spy=\"true\" aria-label=\"On this page\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><a href=\"#nx-sec-brief-answer\"><span>01<\/span>The short answer<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-field\"><span>02<\/span>Access to care in the Sahel<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-what-is-shown\"><span>03<\/span>Released, referenced and\u2026<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-pg-model-classes\"><span>04<\/span>The kinds of model health work\u2026<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-status\"><span>05<\/span>Releases appear as they are reviewed<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-terms\"><span>06<\/span>Terms used on this page<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-pg-sources\"><span>07<\/span>Where this page's references lead<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-9-sec\"><span>08<\/span>Questions and answers<\/a><\/div><\/nav> <section id=\"nx-sec-brief-answer\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"health\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-2\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">In brief<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-2\" class=\"nx-section-title\">The short answer.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Health Nexus reviewed models are published descriptions of the models used in the health and biosecurity field, with their assumptions, data, validation and limits, built on methods such as epidemiology and public health science as well as molecular and life sciences. They describe models; they are not live simulations, and no output on them is a finding.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"workflow\" data-nxf-kind=\"workflow\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G04\/tools\/models\/#workflow\" data-nxf-title=\"Programme state\" data-nxf-height=\"520\" hidden><\/div><section id=\"nx-sec-field\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"health\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-3\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Geography<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-3\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Access to care in the Sahel.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">How far each division sits from a large city, with the roads and airports that carry patients and supplies, shown for the Sahel as an example geography for this subject.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-canvas-wrap\"><div class=\"nx-map nx-cmap\" data-nx-map=\"ctx\" data-cmap=\"sahel:health\" data-ramp=\"red\" data-basis=\"case\" data-focus=\"0 0 2000 1000|332 96 1031 750|1424 158 1862 834|858 164 1514 692|156 128 626 534\"><figure class=\"nx-fk\" data-fk=\"map-sahel-health\" data-ramp=\"red\" data-nx-z=\"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\"><figcaption class=\"nx-fk-cap\"><span>How far each division sits from a large city, with the roads and airports that carry patients and supplies.<\/span><span data-honesty=\"true\">Indicator derived from Natural Earth at map scale; a screening view, not an assessment.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure><div class=\"nx-live-slot nx-live-slot--map\" data-nxf-slot=\"map\" data-nxf-kind=\"map\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G04\/tools\/models\/#map\" data-nxf-title=\"Health Nexus live map\" data-nxf-height=\"560\" hidden><\/div><div class=\"nx-map-hud\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 Health Nexus \u00b7 field<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-map-hud-right\">DESIGN FIGURE<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-what-is-shown\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"health\" data-variant=\"split\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-4\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">What is shown<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-4\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Released, referenced and rights-cleared.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-list\"><li>Time and space reference for every view.<\/li><li>Sources and licence.<\/li><li>Uncertainty and known limits.<\/li><li>Version and date of release.<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-pg-model-classes\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"health\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"split\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-5\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Model classes<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-5\" class=\"nx-section-title\">The kinds of model health work relies on.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th>Model class<\/th><th>Open examples<\/th><th>Question it answers<\/th><th>Validation<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Model class\">Compartmental transmission models<\/td><td data-label=\"Open examples\">SEIR-type models, open epidemic modelling packages<\/td><td data-label=\"Question it answers\">Course of an outbreak under interventions<\/td><td data-label=\"Validation\">Fit to reported data; comparison of ensembles<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Model class\">Agent-based epidemic models<\/td><td data-label=\"Open examples\">Open agent-based platforms<\/td><td data-label=\"Question it answers\">Effects of contact structure and targeted measures<\/td><td data-label=\"Validation\">Pattern validation against observed outbreaks<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Model class\">Health-system capacity models<\/td><td data-label=\"Open examples\">Bed and staff demand models<\/td><td data-label=\"Question it answers\">When and where capacity is exceeded<\/td><td data-label=\"Validation\">Back-testing against past surges<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Model class\">Supply-chain models<\/td><td data-label=\"Open examples\">Network models of medical supply<\/td><td data-label=\"Question it answers\">Concentration and substitution<\/td><td data-label=\"Validation\">Reconstruction of past shortages<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-p\">Model outputs for a live event are scenarios with stated assumptions; they are not public health advice.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-status\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"health\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-6\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Status<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-6\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Releases appear as they are reviewed.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Analysis runs in <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/foundry\/\">Nexus Foundry<\/a>; reviewed releases are listed here.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-terms\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"health\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-7\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">06<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Key terms<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-7\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Terms used on this page.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Term<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Definition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Model validation<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Comparing model predictions with independent observations to judge fitness for a stated use.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Model card<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">A short document describing a model's intended use, training data, performance and limits.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Uncertainty quantification<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Characterising and propagating the uncertainties in a model to state confidence in its outputs.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Surrogate model<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">A fast statistical model trained to approximate a slow simulation or experiment.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-pg-sources\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"health\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-8\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">07<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Sources<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-8\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Where this page's references lead.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-list\" data-nav=\"true\"><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/health-topics\/international-health-regulations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>International Health Regulations (2005) and amendments (WHO)<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/emergencies\/operations\/international-health-regulations-monitoring-evaluation-framework\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>WHO Joint External Evaluation and IHR monitoring framework<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/publications\/i\/item\/9789240059139\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>One Health Joint Plan of Action (FAO, UNEP, WHO, WOAH)<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/ghdx.healthdata.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>IHME Global Health Data Exchange (Global Burden of Disease)<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-9-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"health\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-9\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">08<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Questions<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-9\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Questions and answers.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-faq\"><details><summary>Can I request a map or model?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">Write to <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"mailto:contact@therisk.global?subject=Health%20Nexus%3A%20Reviewed%20models%20and%20scenarios\">contact@therisk.global<\/a> with what you need and why.<\/div><\/details><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-section\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-rel-10\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Related<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-rel-10\" class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Around Health Nexus.<\/h2><nav class=\"nx-related nx-mt-3\" aria-label=\"Related\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/maps\/\">Released maps <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/\">Health Nexus home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/counterparts\/\">Counterparts across the Consortium <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/\">The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/trust\/\">GCRI governance and trust <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/nav><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-closing\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-close-11\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Health Nexus<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-close-11\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Bring your expertise to this field.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"mailto:contact@therisk.global?subject=Health%20Nexus%3A%20Reviewed%20models%20and%20scenarios\">Write to the team <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/contact\/\">See all contact routes<\/a><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><script class=\"_iub_cs_skip\">window.__nxMount ? window.__nxMount(document.currentScript) : null;<\/script>\n\n\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/#faq\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/#webpage\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Can I request a map or model?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Write to contact@therisk.global with what you need and why.\"}}]},{\"@type\":\"DefinedTermSet\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/#terms\",\"name\":\"Key terms: Reviewed models and scenarios\",\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/#webpage\"},\"hasDefinedTerm\":[{\"@type\":\"DefinedTerm\",\"name\":\"Model validation\",\"description\":\"Comparing model predictions with independent observations to judge fitness for a stated use.\",\"inDefinedTermSet\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/#terms\"}},{\"@type\":\"DefinedTerm\",\"name\":\"Model card\",\"description\":\"A short document describing a model's intended use, training data, performance and limits.\",\"inDefinedTermSet\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/#terms\"}},{\"@type\":\"DefinedTerm\",\"name\":\"Uncertainty quantification\",\"description\":\"Characterising and propagating the uncertainties in a model to state confidence in its outputs.\",\"inDefinedTermSet\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/#terms\"}},{\"@type\":\"DefinedTerm\",\"name\":\"Surrogate model\",\"description\":\"A fast statistical model trained to approximate a slow simulation or experiment.\",\"inDefinedTermSet\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/#terms\"}}]}]}<\/script>\n\n<!-- nx-rev:84421a4a549cea6a -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>LightDarkAuto G04 \u00b7 PROCESS \u00b7 modelsGCRI dossier \u00b7 service level R0 GCRI\u00b7Health Nexus\u00b7Established Reviewed models and scenarios Reviewed models and scenarios Model descriptions are published here once reviewed, with their &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/tools\/models\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Reviewed models and scenarios&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":148,"menu_order":987,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_header_footer","meta":{"_buddyx_sub_header_visibility":"","_buddyx_sub_header_title_visibility":"","_hide_show_side_panel":"","_buddyxpro_page_sidebar":"","_buddyxpro_page_disable_header":"","_buddyxpro_page_disable_footer":"","_buddyxpro_page_content_width":"","_buddyxpro_page_header_style":"","_buddyxpro_page_color_mode":"","_buddyxpro_page_loader":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-168","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/168","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=168"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/168\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":299,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/168\/revisions\/299"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/148"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/health-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=168"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}