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\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Bik5LLN5lE+Ad6HvnLeTQD5vg2be7Hzi\/24vb+SSF0rNOKKtflyNbOE7fQ0yVPkO+DBV9gVpXqohkz0b8SUfqbtoRXczo58tsprueg\/GYckvIBczmAFKEgsV8RjSESx5e7\/1RAEOGf7r6t9GVKgJloWJxvXBSYrudvHdAU5VUFo4l+wW7zk4pTMK\/zEXkiY2uzrsJaE6Lu2du9wjrZ9kwRPjl94xwflbJkFFqX\/DJ46P1GI3ROsgcXMUZmCNLwYW3bL6+GhaU83QYnb\/66DqrDBUwBghB4YvxCOzeoTsHh0z56CmSqjvAXyBMePUWjjF+QpaKfVDWh+SZdWONVrGZTMNHtkQ7dJDAC9sDJYNszPPYwmDYWvDFrZFj4o1hVkILwGWtEGZf7STGGZH1FJcrd3ZNkkyZZCSsS1mPhwR8MC5EOUk5813j3b7T2o4IgNRBzGlXhZsNw7Z8GasJAFithDgXiNPnuqc9elV+mRmv5xJ9Po7EZnoQOfXLtHj\/CSQvjUYp7\/qQPcCJ4MKZwzid1Yc0v6jgJwJw0Njb+bS1V2vBcyqPtw7PGWgUgOkL1xWp2hOKqjUwotbJIBwFFWlxHsvcvnIrtFIsE8knEtFR3uqRUqtGPUCTHF+dhg9z5pTacJW50UJ1U7OvEv1+KDMCHn9fz5+H5Q3zy39aP7kZ6IfXrrs2+1dEd3Nc0MX4x0kSyAP\/q2O7f3zU69eYG6A2Wa4CTTJmqXaNbv0ZJ8eWuqNJaSuvpqKkkJShVxY15f6dzC7TBMHgLGDZNY7Z4cR354gpyJhEzRygYp+INCgierde8iHT6fKiDFUgXbrOVz1VoJRGFi0HvcPn+JpR2yv5+mqnkrkIrEtaMM4aIQUCCDWEzRiY1+gPCSikUgfffWcJ9p\/8e0CHhVTYoRky6ApFO+4lSzbrclaioIekTPVQ0I7Vkoc9h4MvRIcS9X9QQgFvCa1GiumvOlIm07SLW8sJ4XG+4IFqTBN12Ixl7cvhnvcWfK4OiOlpCEt66iNJRXkSMRV5mREQZcaMnXYWz6N1JRLchlVqndKybLFPvbUZhQk35R2hDhPbGkWYUWH4pGI3mdsVqv+cki77clRVAWylCSCvMYk8SRzZDEpHm1NWwWhLfh1NCxFcVGb7RL\/1k\/IKEiBUjzzcP2eQcpaCCiLJaSMhvlVZOq7QCxGoFs4q+MJEuy0FKDXNrv7yuWDX2pKi1KULlEuptNab89ZRUELNtcADzLUdsXfXep+NmCFf9rPG4duS0ul2d3kc091ZWnUik6kP2i7tqtppsa+CwbOYHiCbYnkK16nbmkKymq+30rtmtq9OvNHmhQtk5jDTZflCX0Saxgag\/B3i+VO+T71GkDyb+VEkEv9xV+aWTfCiaIqET1DqTcrzMPPUQfHALGF1DGFnnvOH90Hd1jz3cLXMKYTSnchf0ycPT2w4qzgs0Fryi5cEg8LsaYzE\/atRY+8deT\/+Aqdo\/w7dqgiqY3V5aVhpiC4NvF5BFMGo89v4804tE7lC3H2IrbcN0n2B6WcIKp2VmWxgU69ck+nYrwyJPU4uWFFk7CzZ4VvnFRH5Hxi\/Y42PRo\/2BKKP86X0CGQrDo06zMkjPC7TKNK+mEdv29cYSHSNKWqHYJggiFNwld03t8L7U2aJRAXXFYQdoeBGNjkNUknVXHXn7JYGvCCX6BRroo\/H\/\/b\/Gf0FdLd7vBAfdziusMR4KAUCaDpKDDr4f54I9Om9Ggp0D+W0ggtCoMVOkmWMBEITnlztQpaCsnaWAdbyiOTs4yKa0aJQM315vNgEWiJ\/OncMD8bsR+hOB+Lc2+lPIE2DvNRIFrP2VJK8Bm76AymuAMhh436cvB+cXPcVjW14z5zJIY6Q6O5tVjCliew00xPiA6eMHzWu8H9+Rpxdov48jOG56IRzn9VNAccTd41EcmR0hRhBIgMVnbpLL6CZ05jUgOvHP3W6MYz\/jQTYPzXS8ScaRf2Cjz2wMse\/91l2kDNsOAipPi0OxdzMDC8YPaed8vFF1Ph6vVA0DmVLtLNLqV4bCHk6gfPjKQyfXKKa06\/TqxjlLFUlkVfB8QRoJdPlez1mJlWRn8PZgm+u4WNUmY8QCNaNp7vAVax9RhbRSIKc89LOWi+RozQKOcYdKbM8lD0PtCMGevIPSMk0LTvI2bZmyl2tEhLb1PaXgrIH6xZAtV8tPu79SFu3QbjD78Cd7jGh5cv7Bg2eWbV9QVB4fDw1EuG7Hgx3\/pkATKDQ4FTcQeb4PBLLsbcWgog+kjGO00I2LVfdtHxerBUkdbpy0eTDWy1Xcep6XVRI+007+uOD9SUHhgv18a0pfwjRelNBjWsWM3lmSIef47+8L8RFTtHi6W1fmo9D4T7BWD99b6Obgzo6iLy7eQtaGOLsR1QX5lsK4IlFsrSJhxAd3vWOiMfuIZ+8Dq9UHMgkftOrSxr5S3xmaK5l\/Ms3WBrHpZC3cbsaxHwpt8INZtIAVaOFhCeZj+U4ryGViIVc1MtRtN9L9gK\/3x97GoyNmc1J8LC\/bO8VZXj3g6\/Df6FdWK+ZOAFUSNhOKjWxTIGs\/q+fNrll+ZttrswbUb7EeJp9b7shFKCXmJBPSn9D5Nmea5ERFMuiVltwjZcsAYMpuv\/8Ytu8mvyidD74o\/+Qj\/uOfZOmBVTYJI0W+VeXHY9oTsIDFeHvhQNSpGEh0d2e6HFI1GSQ72g1cLhAUCEazSZonevNv+MhcSbq\/hQFnJCLyoDlMyHTFOZXOmCLjl2au6sVlacHyqZ4kfSD+B3Wi4db9QMqZdJmXRS8dKo3ynN7Mz6RnaXgvRrCshGyG8qCTqUpJnJJpMawS3OGexgt4gaB6cEymF6vvOpPxNU04v3lNrVxbkxWCIhr0Ye\/c8qOkIJQaO4lez1nnv87kMaQU\/riADZ\/1sHK0+ddnQPvTbtPyvKF97ubS\/E6Cq\/mc1E7tGgw6XrO2faXYwdb5emX4E6LT2b79IHkzcYfE8FNZZMVv17JK4nerFQOx36oVwOoVwqw781SOTQslxjO0sGRwhwqYLhGhylrDfrhcF\/YkFC\/eaRjF9GhNLtIg3j5+EN4SUGRke2JloXIyRpltXGLMdzeK2ee0+vp6elfOg+jOwChuGvvKLisTYEn8bnVQFFvyxFXLOh5p1XbMb\/26ovq6qj2q0BfpqR+aUNUMgs0mNBx7sauF26LmvEtgdm1cn475Yh065n25Dr\/\/WL2kaE3ry\/8vD+4HuJszLbIu4Atg0I4Z+3oAW7Wy9k1rQ4RpVbTcaMJk4ftDQNscY0apufZsNrHupYBV9a6JmDrkW7WTw3v5fXHX8m76u\/A0o5u115GpMf+DuPZyA7GvnndNnp7Xftyr416wRkJJbuTPsVWTJ+rs3Ti6L3y++\/ZhFmwsOCMVHfHo8RdShspHIdq4Be2knti\/Zezvm5jwyddzRobzab5JisP9yulEzc9um93jH+BgMHEiSFeQZvhP6IdkUnBPnE\/vCb6nWMeHJ6o\/TASG\/Vm9EyFoHdZL2PHn+nepd0Z0DVkbfzOsj9k0lzSpPpD0bhjiteWJ1+ajaDEZ1sga2x\/TeAAyKlBdEeGDV4+oB8N0b46EH33cWD\/r5nY+csEWv7gV9v4n3dU9A\/yMq3qo6c++qRWn4aMvas0p+bh7eqgjOtf02vu0c\/mZdyOOs1ehC5\/VeO3f3jIlW+eDbrC+xlXxv7ef1SnR2dVXU5mQeMjXs5WHEGQ4FrLJjYpKU5BFh3vHc7ZO2BUm1eHege7a3bZlCHYWHu7XuzVYw7a0QKkfD\/dO6G48uy1F2\/Zwv3bW3rqr4ATSXGg+yZ5RWk4I4+7tkCTPRKGZuzjyqfIChtficL\/xA69OpkrK4zTPUbhk7MV7QJVnOZrYw70fbP2d0\/7wu2WjfNO7vQuosvXhHvphuIupMudwD1wQBTuqzD3cb+NoHW6pMu9w78QA7ul3kSJPaLoASYZaX0devPPZ4jWax20c7tli53DvxYFLTRAudg\/3YL8P4pgt9g73sQt3VHGZ5a8xSFPUrBu43tYWf1of7v3NZhNIfnIO93tv50aB+JN7uA\/dwI8d8SfvcA9juKe7kSe4CzuwAY7NFq\/RcuyBB9hiB800gNQ84WL3cO\/6wA0cttg73KPtArsmTxBUqEkvWDvU7sTF68P9PnS23potdg73UbABDmSLXTSrwPN8ttgjed8BOwF4or3NZhuyxWiSg70bemwx3mOhB3222D3cRz7cxVu22Gvy73XFVV5A1Ga0A+4GcOVrNOM+cB2u3DncO8C1XZ8rd9FO3kZbjyv3Dve+F\/lhdxLKEk+uHwcuBEwp2sjRht7fqBS16DthnSSyKXVR\/zyf7l9JJtbZeZtuBo8pKEsSS722TfI\/+3G3WzEEKn9lw629DfX78zvKpGxv7R1Fk\/6AmPrtqBUPc1BWh3sPbOzNnqZUaAiBG+yCbvJrq\/C9H24dar3j\/Hi4t0M7sql1wsbWOi8mW4oqtgM7tCFFgo+nqsRbCThgE\/I\/rA\/3W9f1tzH\/g4PO0sbxN\/wPLs7FDLwd\/4PHpPxEP7zAIz43wAPUrYBK0R6Od7G3YUrxQQ1iHzCl7uEekZTtmin1Dvf7GNpUa8fLBY8zYlpDpevD\/Qa1xpY6h3vfCXbUFkWlLiaTMbCZUtRaAN2oKwWwqMdmu2xpc1QAU4oogsOMGJWiybTBzmdrwDMZ7ak+RFdySjzgxi5XjNqzfc\/z2GK0gPbe9rmn3cM9tAN7xxWjJndRGFCTAept4242NlOKp3MDdoApdRDd3HkhW4N7uA\/2AFJUCZUisu4j9DOK9KagmVDH2XHleEq3Hn26cbmDqZXnhlw5mlYviDd8\/XhioUtNbJjm1wi168QuXQ8pXx\/uvXDjbiBXjjaquw12O64cXaYO2FOzSMo9RIQjAKl2Tym5UhxAbXdUitoEPqA2Nip1MGewp64IVIp4CCfyqS2MSsl1AqithmRuMrlox7PFaDXhHlBbGxej68SPvAiwxWhm\/cjdQbYYLai9takJjxNym8Rx5Ps+W7xGxcCmdiwudlCxDxoUjaYY71h353J147XcB\/uAZuDyAmKaGwe2H1M\/lKfiGhzuwz3DBoRWCV5AloHDfRSF+y3NOx4LdFHcB16023s0Twkrwuv6TkBv9tAKi\/yCaGOwo+6m0LoWAcDZbrexQzOV57wESXi4h+4ehNSyWgki72Ec7SBdGgDkon+438HdjuYIKuQyitc29gPmusU\/IJZoH3ibHf+DgymP7QpVYZLkS37AE+4GHqQn\/ApTK87LMkkJ77UF\/K\/ZNUwhKCQDxT+f3qMil\/Hi6Ed8aiVzin98TdAyuDFqlv8tSHK82i5149U\/HWEuWQ3SXJUX4AgxRwzpw0p+zqsTuqO3YMsOE2AxZRNtfK\/bjBeYo\/RchGYDimbXP6wJC+sJPyCaZu\/oo1T\/QO4Keyv8QK4LO\/DUU0aJObEp0S7aRiCKONEu3sbbeMOKdjwHSUQ76EKHer0W7QAIPIrhIaJdGEcOJZkR0Y6rFYt2a3+9WweiaOcEfhjY6qJdtFsHvi0R7XZg7wOXFe124WZtc6JdtAtciicioh0I3CBkRbsNCDwQsqKdvfZ96ippRDuu6Ua028MQwLUg2nlgv4tcQbRz1r5PtdeIdl7ggj0URLstWMfAkYp20T7cxXLRLvD2AZSLdrvIj0MoFe184AXUnUOLdt7GtXeiaBfsthuKj25Eu2gbeL4o2u3DcLMHomgX7yFf7CGBeRPtQkG0iyPogq0g2sVbsKcOYiPaQSRoxIJoF+wc4IaCaLeJ1z51FzeiXbiPQhgLot3eDULoCKLdJthvwlgQ7ZzY33LSNh5l4DJiUyPacTu6Fe24Xd2KdjCEfhSKoh23u1vRjtvhtWjH7c1atNs74SaCvGgHYbyOPV60iz2w2QmiXeCsd04gE+2cjW02\/x+X7prc9q10F69jJ3Y56S5y0dbhpbttuHMoRriW7jzgxRtfkO52YG\/vd6x0B7dwR8u9RLrD1HYrSnfQgxu4lUh3TrAOKb1HJ91tEIcJJdId2HnuJpZIdzDc0duYku4C6O4AL93FDoRhwEt3oR+FFJPYSHdhEPh7XrpzvR30Yl66s6MNrVirpTsIYif0eekO+BG9CrV0t9mB0Ae8dOe4O9sPeOlu7XiQ4hVq6S4OYjfa8NJd7IQRxfo30l2833l7XroLfN92AC\/dbXcurb1spLvYh\/toLUh30A83+60o3UX73SYSpDtg+767F6Q733PDdcxLdzCGEXWr19Jd6AURdexr6W6\/3u1Cm5fuNvHG3oe8dOd6znoTi9JdHMd+GIrSXRxF8W4nSnfxLnCpSW2lO+huobMXpbvA9nyaT2iku9iLN9R5aqW7aBeF1CXbSneBFwThRpTudsHeo2WwRrrzbX+\/3QrSnWevNx4v3bnBxtkFgnS33q+pi6mW7jYw3PuORLrbOqJ054QupKpopDs33sbBRpDudnG4pnTErXRnhz41kka6C72N6waidOeHHnW3NdIdjHe0DqaR7qL9hj4MjXQH7HW4DgXpbhPawAYS6W4d+IELROkO+DvgezLpjhOBWuluH4ZrhpVvpTs33sX7WJDuoL+PbVuU7qLNBjLljXQXhts9xVjU0h3cQxi7Euku3IVO4Emku30chKFMuoudyNkCHemOW4VOugOu46x7pTsfesD1eqU7YaC0dGfbWydweqQ7YU4p6c6293DrSqW7XehH7loq3QmrwUp328CPgz7pbo\/\/EaQ76EVhGEmkuziKbYqCdNJd7If7fSCR7uBuT1+8nXQXbjbADSTSHZJVHXdZCFQJ2OlfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuBfEuCPIgGqpwBCy\/r65a4ArxyMkACk6W4YIM1a3FsxJVgsXK0mgFdo97iCBZJRxnrNwX8SeZTtNBZGP6fThC71ATZRpEu\/akzZBmvGT0yomJDG4arJM\/qVY+o6WDV+Qr\/imjwPVl0\/o185ovCDNaMH9KvFN8RgvfgJ\/YrJFTNYM3lEv+okhIP1JmrhUWyl5I4brJc8MuEEYnZkoGrygACms7F\/mtbWeqyt9XJtOWNtOcu15Y615S7XljfWlrdIWw0PNdBa88hqauXr8crXkyt3xit3JlfujlfuTq7cG6\/c068cMWSDVAQ98OEXf\/b25S54\/Yh91dS8\/KZqal5+RzU1L7+dmpqX30uoZnAsPmgFUc0fs4Ko5o9ZQVTzx6wgqvljVpBo8AeqJg9MrHg9VvF6YsXOWMXOxIrdsYrdiRV7YxVPIOWUgmFYfOqeW4b\/oFQX4w3XDy7XMtaKjLeLH1uuVaxuGW8VP7Zcq0iPM94oemq5NoNEYXaDZMG5PUKFFo9wydUk2iyF9SQPLtcyVpSNt4sfW6ZVZLsfbhA9oU9+sLPAYMX4iQl6CuSdwFU8gObbeTSsjM1GH8+XaZt4NGg2Tl5aGS6HJsxw0REoTzAypG9qd\/P3wUv79ynC2O+D1\/XvU0Sw3wcv6t+nCF6\/D17Rv08Rt34fvJx\/n3IzE+cUrlaMp93uCIRkwEtWrVuLUpb7JmWC9XYwwjS5dD5OBNUf7VtQlOpQmLIMCDQoM84xpQrnrAwlCQqcVjhJ03qKkDz5DA9GnVjlH9DhqwvbBMePm6YEdSJECDd4lunS33IEXo2LlTEaAALSh+Bwb8O1t64NGaiwxmiwHdfxu9KwwjGzjreny6wz+C1HblSBv24s6OiXIgfIa8sJWyMuLgXIPhTbsdOYklFpkEbIiQk4TSxjXWhhG94GbCLfpdqEaYocJHbxnupd7eW1jQM3ojuYX7MKGbICpwldRsWXPH3HEdcbumb4giDC76G92zdmf1xHWlqARAZvAFtMQgV3m5AtDg\/3e4D+2GIU\/AV2cRDPir9qlw16MIxdftliJ17DiF22cB9uG3s8u2xgD7b7mF82N\/ZcD\/DLtg7X0HG4ZfPhdt0YgZllC\/ZBwLSJl20LtnC3EZbNif2Y7ka9bMD1N+uIX7ZwF4aRuGzBzgOOuGxuvG1DrKllA7ud33iOUctGx+xRy0b69+GOlX8t7Z+2tKoUPENJGdrE5xpZNuoXUebtBmW2QaLzG+R3Vfz6tRS93vb6UHyVM4Y3Pb0UEMMhtbchSnsiy7RC8sOiAXRJjXBuKHWd6mDegjHkPb15cyTg9T34zC2mMJO54FLApwoEDSSS3owukj5D+erICus5qUZzhy+QubEZYl5OzwXuDafd2e900u6QvnxQ3h1c+defb1My7eB361Q7bb4PWyvZxyJglFxnjJPb0TPDJudkHGkbQ2wb683l7W\/rR5c7fCXISs2uPL+o7Z81mjLZLvLrhNUUoeJSV+h2yIiqGxnqBg0V5w352\/pxJ6U0Eoq8G0yKsgytrjsadUs4CuXeSlMEohxk768nWEC9RtMkey5vkvxQpFL07y4xVNM3fF\/YbK4uPqPXhG4YYFrqHZdJvWOzue00AGLV87w4GNVPmn9q0rgV8kU1\/dCr\/5Tnz4xErEXlrpVVSrM988uEk7M0ecN8KuFut2usoisRdYRDy0XnXHmBRZWEIG0SVuI8grpDatNLVBDZOgp4960dpZQusxth6VUSukQ0MV2XSHv12SJKOd36b5LUTeKO1uKCi2Lq7YnetcrreSjzVwBKiLZWndyLuQ\/QEfdZ\/PGtH56Y8XgSJnFBLgkPIaNuFaRp+ttaeqMokJUaxNPKrmdYJOHBqEBwRS7u2fVcqnariIhQo8ZMDzaJPDBRmlzN5sv8WoQM3mhNKZkpODaHmU\/lMmWcI7nA8N3NZGXzB5PX9dKhI07WveJHopN5s4hIdpsblV9RMzEJB\/l6xElJ7r51fCjOx2ir4sYrVC0D2O1WzVFbNqIXuRwPvGPvnvHrhRZoP1+sME3OiGMEqxX1REA9USTlsxWslNJjG4ekfMBjCWEG8WKa5Gv3mcK4Npr07PiH+ERWvydDq3Iq2NK6ZokV5eEzl9eMY2c6\/kUVHn+ludosIv1XIY0yp9tYaxzPS2pFeXWTswiI0NdK8ybXN8Ut7Dpugc4jt+thGSSLQW8hQmijpESHLlrJmAd7o849XFIrhUeYRYrcMskq17LMzjjLPF8NsoQw0o7ToPPSjtlONCpP2myBh5H5+KAzUHeCGd+gqOrLJVW0pB4tepBF1k9Rod1z6pzR5HirdUqT7Katr1xgf8lsdu0MbtG5cRpNatewuj0TjS1sb0QyL66nMTHYK12WORJXhdgHjLTOUCjGzNilnEeb4w\/UBCJ6jl4P6qkx1V9CESdIXhBTwHdsOlLRteTW8Vi52V88Ye1MteUTpbVx+vnraanhmWkmArj+ZNeC+zCLv6TAyPaa0UVP6P0n6bKZo0l9ts5J9u3rIcurh25sq44oq+pThqoX\/QEY0mDPqT9M8xJG3\/Q7zJ1YCbFJYVzVl3x7jzg0OfG7Y7yTqL8UDE27JdIkd6P49ZREEcwmzkbNlyIunczw6fzNbOc6uubtt9JKwXt+RflPrkkaIb8rtPOtU36GFny7pHlBTjIpicHvq+5+2WhlBF+4UysFYWoghStOZ6JsPvmkCUUmRcP+PmtGFRsjs+RRu71lsbzdsOVpbdsT5u7XJPp\/vtyR74hQv4Dw3SKTM7WWChbncmYdKTyC1KKlfteZsKt7RsdKhkuMdbkam5GzNWraKz0m7diOTzuG99ektGMKkysQgCXmd9FKmykeJlX2B0yHVupx5fmYXat0QsS8ShJpXCmAvyfN033dOnoXVPAVvAtptgxOZUWnaTvESYGcY05JKknTVxNF7OGBGYBaHzIzv96CfT4cQFzRJ3sqK9GsJCYWYYUob1eGvvK3iye7XTxtbapi48ueMtVGsRbaqCLzQ6s\/sTO7l0zsXn1ew1NymZd\/EdVw65VV8c8rLWEgSCGMvtFfo2+Nbr8TdtFD1iuTeJ0I5WShCZ\/PPZ6uOKOpzQvZbQHRQsyUY7CcRFOFutnaB4wsVv3lrYFU05TOjil6sYCqrE+puuTk4aBSVpVEsKysY67ua\/DbtayS+N1qLeB1OeYXiHL6Dd0DmBdrlX9vrFLf5oQ050OVLVRMh4r9Ua4CxN4\/Er8HXPJaD2xj29zF9ySzNXNKGrnvxBPudn1ZdcMhmhPkMXQuuy5CUMKVSetW5E\/0\/zRh82rpicgW1nwlqDSVUfV2blxIejRu+NdFVVFkdL8igyHyiyxLGH25q4prb4haXb8VHHv7QT\/S95uqyZVfuSm6snoFp72KVvKzFGyPF2RkvUALhIg4HZpqk7qgM4qR7yuEgHmBVpnH4sO4lH8DFzav5Rn1Up6ZEt1u\/WSSvRzW5CNyUrReDw7yAqVKToc1G6aj6XVqK2qRPZu4jfxt\/biREroxZfU4tUY5zq5pNUilOw9rFAE1if9Gq238bKo+2DgSabxAuG\/5tabawQP2Rnw4OebJNU+eeTHz1LymZpSaUWTGyfFawJXUEKjZAq52dZvkgHiBRvlyfExuNQ\/QZO1FlzMyWNMF0igvIQpsasAXZRrXHH9tKAJmkl2ulflrBQKsI\/62UiU\/Ld2YQ3\/43M8FTEGVvMDJB7s9NaW7or5sVhL1TLd76Af7vnRAQ2SRsQ1P5Vgv4bSNZgpVcsGWCWbf2fxcsdOwVm5A1E9I\/OEclpHzbVsniKLm6zpyRtT\/hKB1pTBNk0uZlKo9L69Icnu\/UTTbk9LsAd+62r1s3M3tM0dkBDcFRpziqlXrB1g4LwdPXmeSpg+VmrBDsKgDWL1CmD2Je1azn18JXwbC6ssd6tzdtxvlFMR6\/+CjTSRP1VZ+Q2tY17g21kRqHTpoeGqEQWOnHkJZ+P2g3JP8WmTwvZTLmcyY39jeIcfAhbiNMZ6Gdo1snVp0R9h4cSgL1AJdwytEX7i0TbPVcXRvOB03Zj+N6HT05GK584GLSZAjZRt5yVZCUyZO6AyLqliZmqfCoPQ4dRjqIiIdEzjmU9EporA\/DnYLt\/Fx4Q+KBtwb7v45L+RsocezhZ7GYTnD7Cqz9BNvorpaQvBCkIYPiAoYvzDHZCVxPbJplwAJ+4AOtkD\/nE3jP88Un5PswUMGMBM1TnSW9Hh9++XEh4hKGK+1iqw0w3uo3SL0JuiaxwX4wk7B+0prfZoTZ+q8tMxppWrinYPFy0Ey6TKSyF6jHddPU8GPpZ4UA+dJqacg\/05y5+ImUEOBxr\/JSkwj2rT5ajR+D2FSGZ5g+EyRSg2+ETHxksVnFW2duKfax6DKFlKXMxuWv\/VdKbGiw\/skvIC3+mBeSfFG4tkFJWZhghq8rTa6FlYMymo1Qa1dL6qS0linPsTkv\/Sfm5oJ0KqyceCXH4PWvb93+WppsJn5LEf0Js1fFYPoSC+aZZaMjFKeyLTa1M98eZ6tJnRhYM2S+lYVdbfkstVqrjzfpOdziCtXrT\/5kQmKIyMoSlfmcrKGGvGYRSbMhclJokpPlrk2kw8gN8lUesMs9XRCEyVluKQUrb7R7R9lU+tM1SeKtKg5wpzBtwvIIlXuTLV+LZGTOfit8\/ZyJxl1Rj7YuouUw3iRo5j1OkOLWgtlIReD6WHzo2agiWq9LLKfWReAjC1YLH7YIJlVpn6ZBTNIrkNT6+Y0NQiOqbEFzWkamCmSkHD5Y9c44S7FvnHKZgkQ8FgjIhFT4PQXNts80biUWKnRFry3u60MizxNA1A0Br7qlGQ6Azd+LfIUfrmrAErwI6XyIkPTB30iLEz\/rLkSKk\/Nn1wr0MT\/ds9Z+Ezq3ASUGaa+BTxl1maGElWYa5VrYnLlhE6WMIVhpSyy86swVzzHaHzz9E+4CmFXYjXiJUUGIHEPshpFe3ATrpcR0mudFLWl1lLd0qhxUHVaLiCDqUAKba3X5y3MBVAwY4wVfNBW3FrJOzuehncJ8qC9nCYAwRlhCs6XBwxhYDr+y6vp7rzL24q5zckzGx89s3VeTuYWfVRek7ICRygzdwocAi8U9fj1dE8lZ5Qw0EAbD6QdTEWYFGEKzb79irY0jaKNbOt4zF3FnRWemOIbencsQPBU5dfwVNtHD8YFZNb7U+urobNX8Mw8JiXadwi\/5UY3EyTZUbWi17xgAgfYGGi7jk60n1pG0MqLpAHneXpN0tQKTyBDc9k+otU2GsQxTdCuvylwuynSbrDcLilTbTQFGVQ0zgiu1zKo9MbIcQ2qdADtD6bwBeBbcshjDMVsVu8H43GrOhyEVlIoj4c2KuHx0cyFzcSwKzrJaTJowsGt2QCCHFvqHQK0lLwv0vD4BznSWqvEuQ8MC9X8\/Mm4OPlE9eyjdqb4gHjBJk1uvn60Qj4O+NH2+\/BmKUlexU9Ge32QZ0l2W9rdpquec7ihFLFTXW1gdIRl77ZC+6Lrd21CmrWVUXsynPk+lZTogfgCwyovLBjHMKxwLVYZghRtXfIwo0uoKQ1DWwW1IXlv8Bmd8dUw2u8X+OXuiKYvqzGt6sGgEwGKAh1P3\/Cm1oyhvmFfxci7TKtqdD3l2Y1dD2qDsQvh6FYd5Rm8yRdbj31tK0zOt+4aUR4qnehgplMFrqqeNrpCfWEHpiCAqZQ56Qge\/oj41AdrY\/9kon+tDLTz4UPbbpK9rFZ0TI6SuCKae5RM5\/MMis6AC6SMNs8hOhnC1pPMrgT1KkqKOjTQIOJAvzqn152X+eKsWD1gO+UkdoC9WtkfT5\/ldDJ2V4oeDWQhk+wEi6QatOIoEWAm5GnczPNxBmS0UxSQazUBNuuKRbLl67ze43RW75ABB3ipgRfHvnRbGftnMVvYQptupfyD0\/ygMyTj8RQNQaYqW0WdBiBmwDgjB8MeyE4wbZWNx7Li1AwydRNrHNjx1gFUQDnULtw\/ZPS4jfdAr9osvyn4py+isyQNPke3fqlghrqV1H5Mb72u2+zqYYGImTtHYfVaHle3W3jxRv3pmP6gAs1YH71eVRWDXetLoCN0QzPaEVqvMHhOKhx\/3HzGlWOl28F5oh5AShscLFjjYopyeA\/EPO+9zhCXRx+e9ebjzM6HK5mPzSIiap9sqR97Vfc8bvEXGZUC3vVTKHULkEDXJjHYsw8M8Du1\/olyxnQH1AaLEk4kOZAwDJkCRXlpZpOmJB8wtjm0uzhiV2XrpECoKU44rYrJ+ynJJZeNIyOY2sGIaiHTSfHlrqhSBJlBdUrFfnw45WX1QNWwYteAunewHPYvD9Z69XTNEpxPKUii5GAkKBdtpTlniCApqvosDI3H+NALZ8z9gURCTmXV5C8ZEAY1FX96M33Ji0pxphE+M7OLeY6Jgnpml8hTwsXoEeT6YKEpDbX+kB+T7CbbM9ZGl+nDteXX6iaGcehWRpRbz0kWfblDaEutcDMhT4SkSjzErk7Gl7ymKd1CDbiaz+FZ6f5AklSat5vXXXG7rnS\/NfOQX4MUTm03gmFSJnnGN87MhNA8+XWZDoAKlLC6Uw5JEVYS52QYXkp3+t475xEk1wUiDgvAK8kaAUUFYxDOmIUCudijLUQ5jaFkhcc8e7AN2+wirix8v64MG8dA4S\/1J9v+ybTxf6Zv4zdYhEkpLsf8hSgrgLi0aPochSm40l2THTP93uFQ928NpASdRKjfjoLM5Iggkn+p3QgqER6tHdNaLxbL3420zt4T4ew9WLGxMCmsG0iyfyzyI9JsdWs104FosA1xKAs08AqSKsmOpHZzai3o5otGesiney1gdA1hZJ3zJuLGurTmIWWX0NEZw4w8yFAOE+LWgYSYJBP9FqwzeFsZJDOKkWRxkiUV\/P79757he1yAMyybV29VLvO8ra5FtlJ2wfwjz89jPBxkzgRyuxxmmb3Vk57Tus3GnX9S+FZ7+l2dyeriVaQx6qIj3E7NEW72JYk7l1+ry1VFgyo67u5aJbA3gq+v4Oa\/QAYr5HieZMnMzSn7mUH24dWPe\/\/P2IGCFWiqNwWaMonOQKrUZNWgWi08nq2sxxDczIx2fYtYg5nasN2c6+UEq3lT5wvfN2IGUrT6r8edL5TxgpJMVfDmbKlDZNtZyYP3x0LhPuRo8JRI36V3An3HOXyHnFyL\/FXAphKcgeXR9p8IJ4Xt3wntStWHzEB7DWuY8T3drnz9+aavAq3fRQe5fAWXzvJr607EmEl9ltWbeBvcFkLqajI30waQ3XyDkLq3HPKlETxN3I\/zKtQjxYi5virlJ+6nYL0qfcreJEDaLjK7l7wcMIsKJM\/9AIgzDZSy26fkT+2Oadvuxxgvp\/QGRT4SHPZpQTQdBcsvUDJAYn+WDA3bbATn0TntSoaCKJVODCh5XbRScvtEv8rJPbqRs1zCNGYw2mSWBKzSs9bGz0znV3KIuZ6HlfsGK3ATjKwfFpWE2BK14Jy9mLpwkgVZp2dGpKzQIY+3AU6kU0MW75GIAtrePeBO4GkOR7wg\/dkXpDd8QXIqBF6udTRXJBqJSByw0HO+H6rtPr9ohY+hjWoiX5JaQ7wy1nGh3pbGnkMPD+y4tbB7tHpx+4w1RXoibaZIp3J1EArR21UB3JHJO8m6YDiLBopOT4mgwpipYDnpzLqWL+1SwBZ5WC4ly6RJ9lya6g3jTMByyEKtJg1wGwvhUomjJ4GZPf4XcqCuiZSi7rVeAJTUw206HG\/dB7LnSE+EMV6zCOL0I6RP7dcWHfzRUfchaQetinIyk1G6ptQ2Q7meJy4WYq4z8KLveb1ePfU6B36Qo5+ytNdCJCvTidoR4iaFnuyH42MCGlUcpUbi2qeLH8U107sye8jGWECLp7t2i+sDi2tmcCjbzlJARVUBwmdZ8H0HuU1sLOwqTk0ZX48GZzb4tQ7lQ3Hld98kBo8a7K6PhMvB4Zr8E8qiHiie+2NAqShqwWjlSVzg5gRq4Z4YagYzmzWDOf3eeJyPG4\/6MktsvWaNwXIRw6PcpklzpMoOvOqEE8JIqffK12J+VKepun7fOmYXVzfNArcSzNHylekyIVRvFQiIz3Gc59U07Rv7Zs\/lMWbx+vOpNxoGyoOuK9\/NobFNm4ujnqfwCLOofyg1GyvYm544+dxmV1EA7JKic7Gp6\/o4yuEYEr2B6uKHgyC\/zgRuIg0TBl4FVKwvxkHbXNc0\/CE7xngsX8dyMjlzPMW1PfP1+7+wi7a84gFHbeywyc\/KNCuhtGm5TzZplTg9zwUNkLc76JP9Cc03HtkLeVT3TO5ynsLyBpAud9R\/tDk1DZCFfqNpNnKMbfl9ixKNSveuHsvZdaMXZ2TAc3\/S+WSbooFHhmIEqkq9JXxrjCntRm5QIffH1glP6iqRC\/pFiNpczD6MqzeC20ByWsKYfozdPssrJntaP\/Og680AL+XXNLlNQcnSaqRxKflorw6KVPRaVLzVJCMHGUcEK5Ck5e1j1WG4qSb1nJLZCoWxYyAFZKciPKhafjUBvXVHwQE2pgQ+l+XTgIF00iAPh8YJoZ5grE2AxTQelK16yZwSTM0tagK9qz\/Kxs613MTsL+6BxbXzrDbA\/kO72NAfsasGFQtrs2cau0zgY\/ALOQi\/GA7jP+GuRnS5ruQa2tnq11CVnCF6VXZi0Ym06jy7tU9jW8zbnh0bp7ySJh4VRU1WdT\/ZhvsKXuCotkIG4TpmO3DlGgxnTELS6fjXzndwcDrWWrUK6a\/YLGZjWjL3B0kE1AcA5Xe5sNwlUyFQU\/chaExU\/UTNMN9xUf2Eh8+8o8NIglK5vWjOjfG0lHeSLidXIcibW19qULS8KbiUEFM4\/GmqaQw3ZFQnU+\/56KZwJMXTMMWhq\/HybGqq8ovu4BAkaHX6E3yd9QbcqKvGEIM1hx89hrc+y8iAgKXXSk2\/AQqauSITlMDY6qWym9J6TQL7fRkmVfqpidTh+VK994C+99rWtUAOB3frUjsPrcNLAl\/VBKoCXiCoHgjflqSpWTNn2JqMmbPV9LAUFEagrDAZQIYZyas5NYgNda\/WdhA2wSWkSeOqYs\/QIrbOFEbwJtUTLaXogUWRF1OyGzhdWDfqYBNxZzvuI043cNNKc9CzI9dx8SQ6OmjFlvVDHKB9TlIWM9rQTXe9s5vM1rUAt0RgPEVuFznn6Yyux24lW5mtv52yMPTMbO2Xk1Yc8QxNBiP68guhHLQJQWTqJ\/mQ5j1S55erFN44M2ZxBukyAIHKKW2R5fQmMOpdwIZe0mzOs4aI4QJhQqzx91G0B\/JddR8aP5vzs1agiMOaCbHLJwoSgjkulwIF+eocD1Pd7UaDsVd24CX5SpQfF90a9I3N5jQDCdp3ehl7iAEHBMi+Ci8lna9LK3ae0WF\/fZQEP32fDK1Hu\/ghno1k5zMXqQ\/1W70+DjZwescGKup6JEcS1PdBM\/VxNhRfqftdfLnD7mJ49zDwkJNRD3tAFmsX5brdYz51wuUVzZtwfCWZ6lGoiIvVeNxUd7Mz9cyPpoaxUDPezdQLDp+SvnFipkis4DM10YxNTbRfUxdHlj0vlxQgZcKbKhdxSMqHQwqy4wMoVib5dC1Wqxurfz2wshYoQLB6YmUv2SOqncDNxmCk1RiMtBmD1Yxhx4CeAAM90mryTSZ7jkkjh5s0BL3JQq+adNhnF4xHW6JNmZ3LFHVzZqvyXQlY5dgKyqveVHlxI4iS2yyo2QuIvl6UQ5vwfX+b5WJR1zEmaLeyVpJRUrCOpIUZnkOWo2ul5Xowf3n3bXWT5tvAr1gnE\/HhdPKuNnUq8ca0AngCLwnqP\/pFiwOz3jh1zdTo\/rq2r4\/lmYwPngMYRTD6dpMAufCISTI0GCy5MyHV8\/tiPJZnEhpPd4HIOULuyWVUH8PrzrcqrD1O2Kis50G6Xw4MD5cZjmOfSyO8BkloBfCPBBYPj45pm7a5XhlBXp04HDxSU1zkVGIQW5r45389oNn4XuXdg+snjqB8XyAxk4j\/RGUsmZsIKoNvlXKWqScxsZVn+DNxLG+0AgkL4oZtWMjH0p4FBtmOTuYS+7QcqqXxiFqpwHE6RDhn01YECNcOfFs8adSSOOEfA6LJbHOWPCBaj\/KolmPImOhBhIxJbf7G5GI59netwJ7jcKaAD0Ct1OseFYKkBkbpduCGs\/Em+S70ZFiat31l1Ab9rWmQgIl+K0N5ZfFtsKzuULz1tK6c1xOUZ7nrRdsXsf5Q+UhSvE7373exkOquNlr+M3y2W6Wzw+ep6vOdGdxWsjDLJ56B4ADjEO1BwHBaC0Zu0Dz7RnEdS+8rsjOE3asqC5Fc9bdGzQ8uFwgK5At\/QOoD5Hn6RJURJlRMkY1nkCom5lt8EZCPUrATAuXdHXH9DCn5q9S8wWEmIJT3hXIicdBBzlxcHGwbqRWEIEm\/3QQHw7bgvYWEEMLbWrwwTtRClSB7C0iyqR3qXIPbVqfp7PmKGX2TKB0TQA0+NHCRxhrHFCpt1YxQP3lTGJ6sI9cl0mO8SxhJWyGFdndArB3mtHfM9aedy+S3EoIiPPV1j0uH3d4Ia0mmNFmkLwtzIbiAytll5wfx1qScGT2JdyC5XfCSJH\/gQTR2+PxNc\/pVnYhw0+G1FH2I1uo+RL\/hvAsz0XVIJbpBrb+hAzYvqPW3Y5NYjWNBbJoPl2dfpxiG9Y8FZoon5jbCZfE+nIMNS9R\/W3+noQVCmtfbMDIb0XGRq2kAD0X0jnU13RaogaN4gu96NqOp8D61GbvHWwFmkWZFXznklbtvcghYddGUum8uSfj8rb7GbGPN8gvasKF8xewF3VHtllDbfYBq81rEV2fPxcIxCS7OXdt\/\/n+UGICpTG7\/BM0HC5vfByLyw7cLyCIhq7IQbjBNTEcuKMavRZ7CL3cVCO5EPb1n64F3WYmaRbM848dVn8XodV1QUQ0V3yFYfler52ZZ5bnWDra2vqQuMNvJrNWHPRkTn3AlKD2BUAUu5eshmQwEJ0uFe0ApG0jNT\/lSBWTNUY0ywUucYvlxoaMRFFdJ0REMPXg4BDDOC6jxAsmNNYPJLM\/GAUuhDyfHPLnmyTMv5jU189SMk+O1gCsZ22Fr1o0rXN344FTNWmr\/BGBiUC+TqCPMXysQYLHj20qVT26PzXRn+\/JMOCBNXDgWqmYkIEkRQ46Jkt5MCyxaBsQETQqRHjpMN3LvSlCCl4AOLc9yDnB2Vuw5OaFVe06zn1ORtOrIi0\/srhHclNI6UdAKqi2gkI\/y0w0pi6R9bXo\/zH+MZPiiFBv2sgDFwi3bacUXiyeVTkEdUzXC8s4P+Jc2TphOck38+IYmRMvyPC0\/CmrU+ZGuiRicPwSFHHHivSjk08CdXUf10P7JsOMfc6ZpePFFzimqkLMAxyDFeFXSUUZJiXz9umhYfYylulXjMZsBH6qhsUO3JUznbMKZUB4fo4gkw6rNgKbyG9iAMHSqfnj1fu+h+q43CRTS8d6RKamc3U7OLPfmgtLZj9J6ZbFQ2ptBqWrH8dSFKzHgRUnJYGDD7AMWOkzHf3k1XezbyDhokmc2ODx467+czB1SOCgvJnZklPiATnI0beqbYfVAK1GBI5Rhawt+qWPak+aWOBYgeKrya3iq1dMH4wIy6\/2pFaq1+7eAdG5piOe4TYOMi8+jNZ7yVLUV7ABfDoTr2j0uJBM3i9Sxp8pxauQUxrhBmTT4mqSpFZ4QAnrNWaA7Q7nVedszfYRZq0ayXA9bpu3GewYd54OBfIoYFVO\/g+SCPNY8P0m3X02pMzXItQyfDak+nDoOehgYkoHWql6N3qUvN2qRbLxMT5+BhEINe4xm9ewZ9UEei5u4Ez8T7kUTAAHxs1X6kcnYNVjV1unD0ei7NeQw+6ckeVftPE7orpzkStDw9mUQmpIR\/t+9vgjNpZJsuQBgYnmWAo4L2OCooImbCK8FmqN\/QI0\/kYze+PLm0nU\/bpoSVHOItjAeCV36W47uPlKsiZhenpEMHKpvuvE8auo6DVv1TP0oewpN1SdqHVFzPcbtJfYsrn9ZpPzy\/OMmRK37Jp\/Qehqou7bIUcDRw3pnR\/DY+TTVOwb5s4KiVHSPrsmRqbEupobuyVzOiuB5srsClX5Xlq4\/4g4jWZGEQJJhUuP9UNqezbAz53J5G8kaLKpXDapsnpQWVFkzHzep6MAFoilKKYmVZ6aEbVce2GfFs\/wVxDI5iKVZpQ8PYmm3w7QgFuSggMCS5klO4s9juaGcOQZoMauspw9EOzVbXHm2svyoevyYIzIsbbqrZWCZFTAr510N3zU8AAe1wjQGeB9kYWcKpYB\/GhhyIdWVFO\/vE624aMhff77pyzPYufJ0W8gFqAa7Yfy4d\/OdgDQcY2686z3X9GZUJFom5GyqVhnNINJC5heYtWPidObTnMXLM660R9rQ0rJPStX8Y2vx0pfbFOBt\/KYR8Cu0yG6+gBrqekKn4t7QIVkmxT8lhXHby6+N+91oBhVZtu9pbS2YO0VSN\/EFbqW0u1\/u+s3Go\/DdSzgLkA7+is7\/t\/5u\/qvjrJ07ZWbkNg5TvETfUXZ7AwznqaJknlmSIGlrGfjxdtqNa7rU\/VpXmCZaBvm9f3kzXf+nlSwcrPHnHCDgAShxjpanKeFZdK8fL3lpar+UweMU6E6+jj53WTbnh3S9+Z+6lG9Xjdu3UHREWvd7w3GOHYK\/sjsl869q\/4\/5clkBdCZ7OCaJPN6+3TooPDrwrD4y+ZHvU6xo1PupcRBFSoKZCAE4GI7xN8ObJbTq75KyCG9atHkSVUlFranEn8TxlBJVOj1pKmk7iZ5g1eSPjMH5y10jEyyVp5Kp\/JQXyR8ILKKn+sYy1mEILdh4WORluVRSTGRxAFWRvGHgccFdalx691Z67dyEHDwlvIACheI1JKYFqZx69ZGWjCbZpphIZ4lMZEI7EkENo3Q2sLhP9X+tMomgeiKerp0G7fMQJ0VZIbNKGt1kWiZ7glPCuQzzC1zE+b5VJDMOKa5igD51\/qfjgLYD6nwW1JXO2stiar4Q3aZkcmK1XWovTdxh+ngnCkp\/xliLlp9PTRXkVZWf5crkiQORZ3cnl9ZrkVSICJxzdBzbzhTpU6+JVVSnOFNu9ckx5tQAkYPwwEoJOVDGdMC9RHJIqS\/ztGSYTk89+q07HKIPkNwzSHAgEtN0aTe+qEmSW6uGn5dvR9FfHIXrP83BLRBO2DmJInXRSXqWRI95PPWLRltGeaXCaPJ7YNcCKtGsl5RK6qsGo7yiGcAEFiik4b0vnm5uAzT7Ot0WPWVkEta2MSptFP3C2Ro5fnUCj1rIzW\/0JuS9gWRbEmHbYf1uHbj4gMze33VAKybwx2MJuTbyXLU63UK2n5kyM6nG08zUzDhLscbNaZ7IqBfSvOXLcju4nUb\/LQNJmeQIPNFhjx60gtLyqSevtMthK0w1YeR5pWrA6OUMPF0LxvLxtULOJLUgW9nCKi8kzrTU32J9J4tmbA4HjAsGFFAuBUjL6pRkzHojl7MZLCYZiJx11lCd6pvF64aRnknwUtarQwt5D5FLlPdqnvsYSZ01uJZqVb1i3fuIm7bDqZYOBkKWJ6rx2Y4cRG0yaPtZWlofSGipjh5wLZQ8m7CHLkM5fzE2DoqSZPPlMbqLVtZ11bCfxGQXlOWnn24qghm4K10f0iX8hFRSYuqs1rwDh2qwstvnBmNpda5izpCv7Beje2JxY8Gwf8h6NT+9aHPI+tO+ankhTlp1FPjFX+PDSSe+a1TdeofPuD6RI7I6wj8PriIFBGQfEkxzHVbP\/AQ3Tez5QGpfPtOOXpT2pNS0jX\/hIhl+W24TzRLdHV+jO53VRAv2kG8Sz8AiJ1M5a24DtPNR0I6mjqgxO3evCBukDpYgu5AdLQwfxvC7Nv5mWOsnnaTtjsn0aDUT9kfirTCK+ExxlHpgMtUsTFWJZ4Ve83OEhAYNZwlYkQYCZDKMCN6+X+vaatteHlvV+wXepk\/SQK1Njzs4Fr0hYywX2c7vz0wwBc5DhCxxEZdu+s7Lydx4GNZEYsjd6GzkKr2JaeX7Ar5EWV6OQ\/4n6z5oNqZbYvtJkzjo+f1z1xqH8aHpMd053CmTce2qW+cwyUae6vmj9\/ZSHMSG5iCWCTIyfhYCjJ4mpWMqzz9ADtny\/Nk5ZOXDluWQbXxGzJpSmw3siNlAc5idrGuKbs+L5nstzzPzvTZ4tKYepqrG46aeEsvUC6Ex9aT7GdmVmfzhzZJPzGMuAaqxEAOCkVyUwSH+PSa3Qr4957P1m666F70E35Jqynu04krnvTDNSzhL40Vsqsn5DIsyeYHfKGVnnLzBqIPcapWVHoUzLYf+ennlsb+il9NoSObEQCt+BBKoO9LLITyxieoHadsEy26gtdmVL7riPdwxNkXTyHVTq2+uJIo1afiOldiilOlrWeI1YsSxM7Cxtj3GHj9n1ZouIu2B2agSV8vNLjreJLlzvXAr2fagcj\/2hdsLZgeMbSkLwv+XBxKAzxzNc5I9+MgWbWJzBT6phoXhJJShA2onjPLbTe3UC\/L8GBnozfLdY\/3Q7bdOdu85+6tpqgfaclJdPcdURA1BSVmW0NuONb9Fa\/x9buJ7IQM7lQm9O0orqjQuayZFWEgi1Xs7epdHLyfDIr5vK3Pr2+rApJP7pRS5rizvSJtluYCJIKdIfaasXC31w9J7aS1WLXd641rJYLbKYWZww\/RyswjcjbnBmLYKQCP9BstztJIDf7gbgvxhtrS6K5tzs7D5UjS11I1OqrYMEw9dmbFY4qiNLY+ya6r+gbt1vL5bh7rbbXSro0sd66tRkk0N\/XHv7HxtNhxm6s0un8pqhp6ltzUmCYkkNe6s+vk0MI5yYr4+voTP87LezqsQz3GLXy11Pp7HRyGjjNJuJM590qx1aD\/uHGE\/eoiXojek32xF9GFeQsKh8bCWFt7\/fLnqjUdVzcVIZSVMv7J+XPP5Y1Q3Oqg1Dn5nE1h94KwwCPIogePat7v8uXyCyOXWeRhW1PR02RPJIUSKiFt9Ke73c2przRm02IHzQQ0LKfQ5xLfNAC41c9KmJZ3u7z0FjzsnX2ZfA4jPk1EkjNEnl9d6CJVApDDM\/vCl6diCEDwZwUguRjbN\/2T80rROoZzNwMDip5N8P4Eat5uaXl4R3eGgCe3P1d107LRsTT1buno4OJmS3odSVGFCM\/MaxNDv9F7GzjvWOXl7SDKjLI6BKWVdDd\/+yaT2\/WpeJ9KXvgNFbPYNk4wTOTkzcqb37ZUkSkcFitXtI3cr6UEnGjf6MlzxAg44\/Ty\/hIY4fRw5T4nocrl5vd2smAtfnMvcfBAbiMmfQHO3PHM4OHTRIC84y8t5QZ0QGzXGZDH+SnqHC\/ulLqLuaTwhPZ4Li93KhxS0gefLjbi9lhkvDGa5icqP0zdvNthUMagkEL63aTe42\/N\/PaztzU+rD7uQ5Psd39h4HEiqsXkf9G71P0Sj38nziFsghB9fnEv7EyylWZqMejoXHLjnSun93hF\/UWfykU0Scksz6x\/ZGk7CsXxb0pRO43bAEXuUrY4YVV7TqqSzleFQz1ptOZq5dyFcVxb14SNTetQDnheNUVdCPmdU0uz56L26Xbim0pzdIrKhZnDgJPc4el6O+W1Y3hAQ4X6Q1JreKP72tNhXdnIa7AWFGIiJDSjiguGxhddyDiyYlKg1pGXKCZMblmRJ75Qj0ma13CrrkVnPbEzyczT1A6Yz9ipl6Ko9kGB+KP+8uxoSDiartoYGQRsFbD2364FqRZlN\/SoeqJZOz64fI6BkjKVn5U9HeBiaYcxVjYZyO+NXv7fq347z+innqFe3KWmulYN26XD3Cdia\/ei82iEDOG6cMPqqJvJLfrGCm7iGmsmiOFwzd17sfTMODFmmkWFmeXQzuica8YzBESdMfYGmiJs0nlpeevNPTSZ\/LYJ5PO0lv8juV\/3deck7vG2eC51Qx7I42pecw6i+Ka3DQgnEhNZJmita09Sf8UrjpF8G3VJ2MqUrbU7xBNVMG3w6hpYiAS+zaab\/E1N\/K3vGaM1sGw0pmQmNYKyuLmx5HWLOJPmLmS2rbzDkWh8WRSZSVLaJReIPUZUZfIHFpOQQY9wK4q6n5SIQ4GiWwTkeYlfZZOzitSng1u2dRdhkFEI2GVk+ySLZDaOcm66TJXB2eZHWrDX8jnB36iyDvTgq7F7d9S3tAnmXcG8oE4t46OVWIUH3w\/XZtZdY9+GohWYl57dDXJInpmcfqBdbXYauRI++EodSWwmAGxLvCJ924frJsAzegesTMyKqu4dyzhp8xjjB\/wIJ3j3Z5rDOKUnx602w\/EDWOdr3tCnqqjDsEhXP2gRIXuTdOExSgLNTYZ6M2iqUIwfv4yFz7GAGXCvcdEf8IR7XNEUddlTu4wg55Kid3GjX++iQBng4F\/HnxZCrTOks0WqEMFmnmyxOcLvIjc1Z2DlYLcpOO5C6rydFHXNFl1UBq\/A0GWBkeAjW8dbTiVG6t0j7k7QU+sa4JuJyBiDTkO4RwVCxfhXI3VFuq2c2gOghucAp7W6mZZOTDrGvyMxK3QUwvXwzqedhdgRHGH1bEYmImjYqw+nsXhAooAFq7I4sx+iBlXqWbwS2BMdB0RirdCL4WR6pI6M\/nED50CICYAxLs0WVXLEBiavbIhbmRXioZUaPoVrrDjvLVdlmKpebXZdMVLyEkeFa3JSwKj1PxKr0dR1L4rLHKHPrDeqcYjscaawTpZaMKEd2ieUjA4gWkZ124q+2dIpnHcQ1TItFv6glAkqV9oc8aO1DLb6MOY1TUOFDYy9vpKR6M6UlHeMijSw1BxdPXfgvK1AlocTjckDok8l3UkGQu11sNubhIF9AAQ7kaTkpQ1fyZTSrS8qkwgI0Km+SJhhmUavLGtj\/dXTyAh7so5t04ZnA2k+5l91mfu29l4AW2B2SN4zJEXQqUijj9MyLdEX+OtOpW1uKLPLXhRh6gZnxF9G8UoyS1Boves\/b2KV5mUPQQCrqh9eP1TwIKLmMqxB14rDNwN4tsyCo9+S34stdCl8gSh4jWlz8uc3V3CT24vv9msCKvrOH1ZaL6Gw\/r\/PzsCLkHtY687ZYgOHHMaL6g2KnUgPJj2\/b5BBEiLN6lV\/DE\/Z+0c2A\/ZLA19L4tchT+OWuAsHdN+JxQyjBPJcbmpPCpJFcNVim7c+8yuUBUrZHY8grPDn445e7Swqyu28copLE8VrQYyo3mYIMJy9l4WxHAYL4tCusyn0Y+GgZnPW253JIzzmialNzLxqX8uwiaY9z7GD1aOCt4Ux0Vow3nfYE+BHQzXOSvh+kfuds4mXytUArrJz39BIAdCcmKMf2nCCKS5gXGSzEfIw9OszWfUjuVMR6UVMDW4\/uTdUOE5m2t7uOvLu9Mz7asacPzOh1QWoqhcEoT7OjOpoPScd60QHzl49d44ArN5S+yJT0+IJJ\/sBkplni\/G0qRCTqEGues7k4HZkfTB9kd78aZa2QzLWObRnJeyRmHdXBwf+uMfms0KMyL2OZ2rhEfWJ2gMHMOpL5oVJTtrHYRK0FsvfXEywoTU7jxIp2C\/XZyosErWGTArP9DR80jBl3cDjk9xb1QeNmS2uqj28a5NT6DAdWmTzQXvYd3\/vobdSbfIyScyeTPNo7jVdPeXVju0lNNte9R\/9J2z5nXbLbxDiuS2aESRGiMJTei7Rnilvnb34EnkbjqCY6EdQabVfpZuX6x3bhggCcrVoFRfoj9pq6AtguI8\/\/ugTt1N\/yBGtTrlk0yw3ukhHTaz3DysQ6e0xK65RUzcoobh11xgk3gMUv2eILDUzPpXXJuGPjKicDzF8vy6a0Vw\/u1UvurplsT2cCFsiydpGm+2CcPrp8hI2m3+k1sbJDn8ookJ4ZCS9KCJCrXNKLwXzKtCWNes9Y7+xz7XOxsLGvHcYUcAMi\/YH1+v3fvtyVVX6x2jQN5d23kfp1MxmckiZ\/QZA1n85tdoMMNp9+a\/Mc\/HFqPj3nzafq9IPmPugcjpsw3Y+KGBGco5DhFL1m4tCQHm8VD+Mg7u2X1\/Hwjdkgv+qmMxpRl9LFrXpMaoL2nvJzGHIVNn5h2dafDWe1JHqZBPd7xF+IIFF6uHd62hrcXAa\/3KVIwXZHI4UpRcD9uKtL1EWs2W3G+mppqUiPMlAU+eu3VmaiL1YUMywRJtxhMVEuaWiEVRAfux7sAe28WGxFhwOIK1jcWsH37m4weQJFvxrnJh79gLoNZ\/GtPargr5Jcva0DQmsPHbN8u6un+VlImTzwPGNY5K8WZg7tKdV9DWjL9l7qEmv3iciTGmyvUw5gQNauaJrDtvcZvcnerEuIfO6+BteqyrO64JyohWP3vP5261EuUZQPu\/Kh701aXVzAfGGz7iqMR6XPP9\/kidi70mEqrutD+nMX9ds2casbpkfMezYu0AxiscLn2+K1nq7n4DYoIowlrSbYNpN7UOvs53j2XqBVgaAUN4MyraxrkC2vvsSWvVkRhBd0TJBdo7m7qvzCRZoEeVXlZw2I5rbmEYGaEZ8DUEJ0+jqceKYTuFskuT1ZYVLQKy2fQFKg6laac3Hi8Kh6bEoEiYrnGBhb6Ma2RQHjce3A80CG8bnYVu1AELSVgjqjnWclGCzNLgCGpfLGdRVkYiIY5kWdP\/CaRRCvI\/9TH8ls1r0lCPi9tpoWnkmihZhCK+jR1pHg89Go6Do1cag6u37NmE0HpurOxPNtsW1pvck97dzm9FCnablGy0ImoDfyEHUj9kIFIV1NWD0Qfwh7Ndk8k8KbZaWwXp02Z2RSF0iWTz8NyOgpo5DafGyt2UgV4GMRggsFjkxS6qXQ+NlUffBwCGCcF1DjBSIqyVlK1Q4eME\/8cHLMk2tezDw1r6mZJmaUmlFlRpEZJzCNSliZJIpnJcUi1GwNt7KaBh2TQqPp0q0LZpqYWDqFxgx1cjcgwuWbwEyyy7Uy61QSTTrQXysQYDH120qVVLanbzppTKE0RY8Kxtdm1fdF0Vs\/hRYMFHeydUxVnzypPghToNx89HwbtQxjTkpx5J2CGbZq5bhVK8Oy+RS1Cuakaj5d2k9Z2qiVyVzWE0VmgXRb1Bd3LBrP0z3aPjyrLx17l3abUbUGAcMPo3mwcuujI7jlPc1nS1KonFYXzSiKixMYQEGdsLfDk3LrFaiu5TwrXStmKLGmrb13Vr\/RkRFgBWockNbrTh\/PVVHkHUNSG3Fems7p4HHXgVNY3fTlrszApTzlFfJPbQaB76gIlCcYKW+E4gNBIOeM+JS\/jl4KNf\/L6Ii1Y\/5JW0aeqqWJIxmVH5CSz4qTyqz5RZxqDPOMq4nYA3U\/0kStH9irlGVWR84rQfH606OYm9PAUw2O7nqbZejsKRPoBZ7WSwpCKKTxY5KxcfueFLADRumcxIFSfBE3hsTKM1MyG40k4beYzzPudovRYqmQdpdlpdh9g0LiJLuGf4d2wPg82JQUoqybY+Dwkxlv65jexmTAGUQO3Sqat\/AURPS6pZsywpkCPqvPpmxi9oX9UffvqBw9jqvOMCoTHO\/quWywCufDcdYVGlgo4\/DWdvzVy+oXCZGxetjgecMD5QPuEbZFH8ITDJ9htFqNnoY5zMhgy4Rdeb1p+4CiirPbpOCaFFopwdphr4bwJGZYcNUzLPT4Masmy0TzIMmY3X8klzmDixy\/esq8MddvqwxP8AwPBvbWMCJQPKvOTQQqqC3aKFdeTaai65WepKR821eZep\/6fPalm0nEk\/LHULl\/nH22afeZSvKMObd4UGXoP0lw46fGZlZ8p64TC6oMYYJy14HPXwe+Vo2L3lmovigpQZDCSH4pNL+OQYwrM4TtmtVvqBPLo\/SAaLzfHjQeWGNCHYc4KVqY7fZQgKKq\/y09EeQxmEX9D03pCgX4zfQENTTSj75HpEYpa32ZMt0aEPhKoPbsQ8J+1Jc9WEBa9fTy2AfuwUUYCaZrv7yaLvZBVW32DJJssFkKQKrHHUm1qRdtYZLPB6N0DWHCawWweoUwU8jo8WFxjWgDnvLX7KYUHKCt9eUSrLXg06C8wBAd6yrJD4Zj\/M1YS4Kpx3QqjIPjVHMg6STRNp7zCH65O6Z5gA5eQ3+PBQie2MD7C8isd60GFjAyWRpWJtymQSaKD16QINtPgX7GB\/OiX\/nTtUSbFJvj6qVrvJLoXzQsfqgfNS0FkugwnaBlqrJjAarB8L1px62pPpXEhPPiEiX8Ocr1PzO1InFwpRFhtp6uKDg\/f8VCLNZDJhWxi4E0X91eYFjlhQXjuFlzqwxBinhH0rp6E7V3+wlc4Je7IsmOd9++ktCwnrZ7V5DMjNg1jc4YdXN1I3TKu6YtvQoJz9o3jcPRjeqtoKA6DC\/E7hNNe2Jbzyd1d9GV1xwrqlClPj7Q8fL2tNzeR8bAwdjSoVPeH3cqRJKOImIIJuLJPvyYDgYwLQezsEqRk6Ze96msKewTirwu46qFcaKQl621J0sF4Tr2pMya1H75RBWwy\/uZopWT6AFEa2cP1IDqjP+R5+fBODcpDAgzk0PJIJzVWLZcnY5Som9\/+BuaixRo8cGVqhOZleUVnA5U7YwBVTsSnwQGntr4mZVDLAPHnyngPPww6jBqy2stUX3FoI9f7tIcRPiWEUEGBfD2epY3OBJYnH1ULtCUjTKffYiS4qGo0tVoT6lGNNuQVAuLIi\/uvokxVGLc1Eb9KCQRVJXlWXs\/Kxvy0iKdoYud\/IWAtZE2HGfCG\/XTIBqATtbvc0RwZ8j4o1pETaHndFsCDQCzYFml673\/Xd0rcByORlyPpVqvUj4DLu\/F4Wp6z80Kh0NdSnvy4QkXv+BuotxEoabw24enMf8c9SaNqFpqP6LKotuHrkJZhOoWKSFLgHA+KO6QP0fC7uqPUVF2tXspp5FjudsJS6SlYc3a+YhJL2syNRu0HIkASVnd+MRbL7AgQXFWAE\/gJUELgmg4SDJxZMr9Pl+q95sC7f8QUynaeTeABMYrYkr6UNSUzjcid6MOeJL0edzMobwS2vpu5YyQExVXaJ4afwuZk6XGcUoCp48kTzdKoP4tas1EFaobm5oYI6vM40oR\/9W9vOGIp4kKF5bjHeiu0LA1s2Uy2Z+rrE8qwV9nzF\/U3XwsZ6HsrV\/eBNcgb4prkIa66CZEyy5CLVuf89rlvMqNF1gk8TuSq3rDS40oryoNB\/RXCtT9adzf4WlMl0\/Kusus3rPq\/ZGoVSlNp2o9BYpq0iPautIXaqJF0hiXA4ZvHpv15uXdYxRUDH2HdaN+7tGIrEA9GMzujwB7WjReJi3ocITxEPw+DzAFOUz3lJI0bqP+2XO4iVa25lVJ8xG5Gx+KxfIbNRoVeqf3QJNLlSP208ceWsxq89jjGGVMmk5ms9\/rzaYyiHEdJ7CE+CAG0tka4Z8k+GbJDcC4rCg75SgfuHPjgqscvFmpP9m69wqiw0T\/10EZJi6UoZs451eGlddyJhryH53tosL60SDMzLWWVWbQ7rIetrusV9oTwhhYpPkSRefzHafN8vXOWprcepMwrCfxHqbW7W5OuNfk1GlRUFAEViCgdT61wJ4a6UtqSLw3XEIbC+LkDUYSVDhn7W29net7vqAveHnlvYVeTnxJ9HLqyeQgRaLRUfMsoEtnZ+OA\/l2GBYTZTWWsqugk8UXPDR6fUyRNTHX7btvEbtq9EgwfQ4ix0mdnjaMaR0nSPjmAV2l+YH6zLJj\/hc4yE50F5oroLOhBLXQW8sJsdBaY96GzzABh6SqdA8IC8zm4KV0feNyU6YAp7YGYDpgC8w8BTJlka1XtsCLKCsxVUVbQJKg+qIyyAnOkNl8SZgXmS8OskMmsZ4pMQ93vj8FZwe2xxsJuD6vW8OfhrOCpOStvvoVxVurNN4ZXYv\/HQiupR708Wom0YiT9pSmM7r6Zk+uAZYW4fFQJ3zt1VTY6i58FWULa+vMhS+p+\/AVZsiBkCZrTPwGyhOJMPh+yBOZ\/BTH\/qUHMZAGWs6jX9f17iA9GLMKc+GDyfruHJ8UHs3X8qfHBXFd+uPhgtn8\/dnww6uOfEB8Mc+34YKIKlLrpTnTSgfmkyGHVfIqfFQ1cD6PWYoKw+nJXwBJWONO6ZB8rZ4xH+7gvFphdONmtz1o5uhu8MHfG3wx39eeEDjdjou0yZQXCZ9Eu4yPDjC2LIX6ig4y1mq2De9F3N+KyCg0FU31MMDDMrTgF1WjKZdxCM+awyMsS4a6rNvGpsWKoPb1YMduw1o790yxsznHGffnIMEeWgWAGc6Ue7gTz8XAn51PDnf5Dxzk1a\/PBYT4wRwmjAzgKVKgbFKPsCMxfCBtfY4bUIpR+qOAkzCeGP7ojP+nlVyz0z\/fE0dGKj+NaKl8JnxM7UGvnxw8Iu3ILDRIHDvS4sX+U875O3wj9yrNhGYhi98Yc1LW1\/JSDem+fxnzT9U0L5eukADhBUeRMBPnAXaihO3udACageNLquGndSqrJM8PlrdOM4Bvz01cdQAHOPYi11ESrs486zRoB65wiLKCGsVbZ+lTeeA5UUb2sT83O3F3DZtJFiax+YVlAHVKEb7PS1H0jRoHEH9QtXDc\/u4uo6lHNHe94Lb\/coRJkSdL0xZDUFOZZCbOqq4rKN\/qvjv\/3tmHc6fTzQGLvpnhCWPlFTYslclPGJjxp5XsfcL7U3B5Py0O4YQKRHeFtWEvgeJ9A4fOLkV8rfPNwLgvScKMpSMOIvaOV41z83sLrpdyl48Qgb3chA116ZGye6terRgOJnlPhB9yEqBO1oRwRDoqNm27AT49GMA2KG528Dw6pqpv4DxRSVY\/oxwupQl5BQfrayo3Wm57uvApSKm17Ci4l0mLVnz6G7ldBaoTggn690bSU8VHo1cktxLmhTiBHsOpkVtHqpqyZ07KMPInDe4FFlYQgbUqr\/KLT5SqiLYncTTSaHFZDxfYi6tvFO0rQ7nrc8XIU8qsKe9\/bqe\/9f98xe41dc7GgqkbH+EPG7IkqriaieH68XuPMu4Tqb3oQXudOtuSKLhPrpWFTVI714u55U+smNScc8U8IX0Le\/MuELz1mbycrTo4y730qa7hSxvA51h7lvrLu8JhXG4EX7xc+D1gbueYyqRC5qiUydRL35TKmnywURDRqhxavHM\/mRAFCNduhtMp4fSiEulcGuvdoRIt1r4ApQ2LVyjHdNfhYXQaBXfUrFDEyJnTqfOOYcNFIvFivsbs\/+pKa5D8O+S8IQ\/IBCV7kE8Ko6D51TwQgi8in8veVLoQFaVr1SdTwrQ8PXEgkzwFsq\/fHGW1jeuVoPnsQmsku5mtuvqMXQVGgk+sarnJ7aJl0phe9IPQPVyP07HGj3Au0R3RGrT6+U55KoOdbW\/4wFvaMEUV5NYIir1MVnnW2OjLn6of595vmWB2Nunv796S4VdQbe87y8FllSbVoTJC\/mRrPkmOqs6+WJkJtJ8Tj72kcD1SNuHaDQ1ngsBe3BW7pABTzj0UILjKlFK04xwh7NsN\/OnVJvajY80yFDx1RDC9jWcMnsggFbkkIOx7A\/9JlmD47fbMUU6Anol09nJ0IHMwyq8sqZZ7mN4E33viq4m\/TfLuJD3xwukI1tYPwev3+b8hFGEQotAGvtlJk2tDrBvZlLV+OJuILfzbDPILmpYDmcxCZJThfzNqp48Yo0v4nLCKQAfPu76vnJCvzzPg\/3i+wSOERyQB35j+DU34G5t8XCUhNFE5ilQjczfjfkvMlLyqQVbrDjt7LFL4lYOKwudcnDvvu\/7rA7D+TqsI7s5mFBYfZ0BKMDIf59IuZJmYUmVFlVpFZnUx83n6\/5hU04+RYa43N09okMfInzzxtzJOPmHMrhRHEH+A7DIr81cQ+vU2U+YpkQV2kEbZi4+fVDcHPNBQIjQ5PvbnW3vAUOeWmZKirTcdQeD9Fjol98NGH59YTFfcNPWSuV6sZS8cGQs9dPcBN7erGB1qT3jfnubDY30370d7A85wBEU0G8rzmBjOwDbrhrRhV\/P\/f3rf3OG5je34VwY0B2lm5Iqtst9vebtykJ5OZm5sHklzsDvr2XdAWbatKljySXF0dI59r\/99PtjgkJZESZfNIdFUHSBozVaUHeUiRPO\/fgVZ6k8KtKf2J4e30JifVLMkO1LBmehCzC7c7VsiWW2kzQVGDkmE7dES1iJjcIAGowN7Yk\/Re2RkNfImJETdsoToK43sgmlyPPjCwnQEVtTH3DKQDpp794lpqp4n6cWt\/aqyMnyVwiqVHXIFqUqKZpElE3wz41cGH4u+crAYfhiIzVPn43PFvb4gG4zqpTS5ebDYBMbLkqYIGSe+ZaTglGWRyqbGxixce+29Z08dq11UNY5FuV+SlP526xf+8m+l0uGxo+0Az\/LfUaBnqPYGcJMZYq4ptWA+7xqRhEZwZt9y7PG7lum7cnsv+3cy0A5anrT5g+V4xYLiyXuvKgGNHnOXJYVT6QGDLfuH2bwIR2Xe5KY6\/VPPTyDul7tOR7zVC7Fn4XZ+jIqCjcE+2JYcK91v3EK7zY0rdhzCgULoQjrswYlUYufZorcf3LKboizeDyjfEbyoB7fxSYzYMuq7QeCq8nQqDp8Ll0WHwpMfit7x6LhC4PIVooZUch6fdp8OOFuGRZW3P4iq7yP8Ar2sU7kOIlCBptnBmhiblq41MElGkcexJfCRRHVJ9lVJyP\/qYpAHn5OIqiUi8ps85CMHq8l3J7YS83jqAjtQqVAyLSB1ZuYPf78P1PU251KnXG7wbb2KE0FQSwPr6lyLAsh8ZCxb2xt8M+M934udX4ud8YNwLBPOe68Xzvvr6v3zP\/xtv2v\/bf3ne11\/X+v3rADW11edXPvplQgbsZ8fui2+J7aWaZNQgNSv2zJeshlJ8Qf7z9cBYgop2LIBnMb6ZTpfFFXCjw+IDKC52jbs1y+uzgk+L69yOvjCL3+TDI+nQxNb\/Hh7+gHlFLFCCbt7sFf7sEU\/9MR2eVMyWxeAfX3\/v\/BTRR+cXEmfOVylZgZ1KvTxwBz8keVJ75Be6Tajzn\/8obXeDbyn9jTg\/pclAMm0tqx4LA\/uTdgrW7SfrsVrKc81Knky1S3mqX8rTMgzwU5zvaBZmpWufRdPU7klwlPzWA6CRxPkoPu5pGq5BaI3BcRsf9xnniCIuBYzscN6bcppiJzBb4Iv\/Y7QMu7xU7gl8R7iXyt2B70h6qck2l3UMRFNXZDVbYfaSWZpLKzOYnB9I6oLYyng2uw2\/HOOQ\/YyPe7eEOYa7H4o\/j\/sP7vt1RLLsizcDdmsgXzjGofJ3fNwPPpjNxfOT6aDO9GqV\/DnBuAk25GrV7vhzgnETrDLpGvf6PomTOtsqWdUxZI8zB6k7+OVv8PDoZ7o9RiQduO+SOEsikrnlM82o82McArGjVRiECyeE53P8gdW0aHPrneB3H\/A71GKLR0Ma1QC90oCosm536nlD1XtfPllxfhc4\/xA9jSuXCwKgKAYVznNEtzQO8HNoq7mjCXXnZ0+8CZOHnpXztg30rNhq7mhC3al1pYDQ6I5v5vj5uNmRbFQ5hwqZzi2NV7LjSNyEw0dzW7rLLrwZlFc6imCfM33HZ5m\/Zq6WscT92w6t8P22ayp8P9DHY+b8BAhlv7xr8JLmpYE7+CmMt38j8Zbf\/XuYkm0YCz3p268H7uD7EKDCkk3u\/JP8nYaKIvXu37\/j7\/2SHNM1df5O4qqr82ri508qZ8+fNZ2VSvpKp5IijSvX00g5FjmYPGFjpOE6F4l\/xzwpY77SPYkwGwZ\/LEgvWVfooO0\/xWGcOKweYSbiMGyCZxeFxae2JGbOTMXMYTdXh0q0BdFuhhLtRL89hadX+B7\/OMz\/Dm9MviOXrL3\/\/pOGMym8SP77O3J\/dL5N8l24BuPnDwN38M\/iwsD9nobpp6TOpaAHjCn4GSnS2Ymfh5wuHPs5bMjGHHsJluXiSVb34bBLoRJML4dnscjxPF56yTqPv\/vTpojm8epJZcLjYds8O4+\/I89iStLx+LYdhh7Mk5t17shT8\/478gfj\/fcJmvffJ5d4\/3c\/a1jbV4dDRJ1f\/lpwsR8obL3vSbQ9xiUjq3EwaAjD4q\/fsY6TX7XXPzDDls+Ne0oPIxJFFtjyfdKBLUsvWWfL0PafbBnHltVDxIQtw+Z4drYsPvXnwJbRRD85+xX9PiH7FT3+cdjvLkSz3114if3+lT6QmGxJGp6NQlIe+y7ZhXGSpOrVH0JQsQiLUMLw4SekQMeQn6Z7iTNPP+uALMxqxHNW6SXrnBXa\/pOz4jirej6YcFZ5xT87hxWf\/HOOoRAkPjk\/Ff325adGQ+U9rmI0e1rFGrdweeR+TeMtiXTHcnn+fk3ibURQzOdK7QsHrPXGuzGOiZ5xTD4HxrGKOzAO6SXrjAPa\/pNx4BiHunP1jEOzGZ6dY4hvbYljTK7BMQSJFjjGBMUxRL9PwjF4ChhkRtfXKFuUxXKFv8RQG0dPTlawatjZgzyHePJbwPdHlKdVh7CqPgxP3RcZRycckbRIalvv6AP7JQilfvYh1FL74N5ExzWkerLnOSpD7RqgT5SXoLE0iWsPFleVR\/fJA9U2eDzwy8OyMtEpWxM450djM7ivIgGWJb4KtJkyGzbcpGTPv2qUbBPpWybVqPfkEIWrlG6j0Z4c2MObcAuv8ykjac5+25NDk0zjwx2+BcDNQuHAEeTJpnTDmi1+J+93Kd3895vBi02c0g1o6WVn9Qo7HHwUN1Ni7OnoPsxFWjlHfB3tgwXAZMqXHrPFpLjEkW5HG5Lli7Hv7TN+mZKMYTtDkniwWB9X4Xq0or+FNH3p3fgs2XwsUs3XaciBySFya8Fzxvfh48swdrJ0u6qACIoHh87Y\/4vLeOiBpKz+Brv\/ryOJ8+O+O\/aTGD7\/Y5dkxa85JLDzWQmLHPd6J0v5Lh9K7RF2sXyurYFV24112w0hMLXcTeLqjsjnH4XxPXpSnC84jJECmDFkOd1BmhxGmzDKAVKYSWBFfnT9LrvJAQREETHDHVKScjiuLldGuwT8fgatnhdll7HmZhqsOUO8vvRQRwTuSblptw5plAYsVkUNoGUEDpv7mGYZh5Vjt0vMlhLcw7QYJ+u7DVTFb6L8cRiXGpHu+pjCtn4HQxgOtTgzNVRqH0PfTbwZHUNW670BV2MOfKm2xBeo4PxvBmKnDT40vgNyD17qqFwbmq46IBef7WsLR2JbP\/hFysz+vKIgQ2JbOCU69+OyLGsgQLOLv30ool6Hx5Zwvhli\/r+JOpU0daCzl1CDoMQ0nBtjGhYkSs3fMljDM+1zArt3AHDgvxvPoB47siDl8LgszywFDb2cv1ErkiRA16\/zlx6DTvf0OJIFirxnTG94KmibycTBH1KppArmusRPlU+EJnpqcQVOiTW4ktgJK1+9S2C47LIxsaDZnS4VNlnal\/hZ5zuaJtW6mMwZaOrEMz\/mWAsjQGXVYbSydXxuGXv+BLOMq84u1p+4mQIKhaZcL9QzVnH9TX1OuimbTfiUzTH7iX6iaVKvRwr\/J1yUbNm3lgmDjzT2leOJH0jy1oNCJLK1CkmbE4XO\/3CiUFNQ8P\/930FRKycVG6u1Cg4Go7bqm5zONLbsxUvLLgROmRVeNkqPEa2LYGKFs\/p+xQnkNWtHyPDEGsEFU+S2WJzOzUHsFF7oReZr8\/VOwuW1M\/qqq1Ekd+ZPDMscQSMAqii\/PPMkSmFxMzBnWWCe6wRmW5LtiKzZnQt7tNiPFaX8BDVnVRuyzjOzipkpPVCSv2QhhJswd8XZ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class=\"nx-gp-b\"\/><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><div class=\"nrp\"><div class=\"nrp-wrap\"><p class=\"nrj-draft\" data-nrj-shared=\"draft\" role=\"note\"><strong>Draft, not yet released.<\/strong> In stewardship review. Not indexed until the first approved release.<\/p><article class=\"nrp-flow\"><header class=\"nrp-hero\"><div class=\"nrp-hero-grid\"><div><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Reports<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Baseline Edition 2026<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Complete edition<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h1 class=\"pp-hero-title nrp-hero-title-l\">India Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026<\/h1><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The State of India\u2019s Interdependent Systems<\/p><div class=\"nrp-actions\"><button class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" type=\"button\" data-nrp-act=\"print\" hidden><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M6 18H4a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-5a2 2 0 0 1 2-2h16a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v5a2 2 0 0 1-2 2h-2\"\/><path d=\"M6 9V3a1 1 0 0 1 1-1h10a1 1 0 0 1 1 1v6\"\/><rect x=\"6\" y=\"14\" width=\"12\" height=\"8\" rx=\"1\"\/><\/svg>Print or save as PDF<\/button><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M19 12H5\"\/><path d=\"m12 19-7-7 7-7\"\/><\/svg>Edition home<\/a><\/div><p class=\"nrp-note nrp-noprint\">Choose A4 or Letter in the print dialog; running heads and page numbers are added in print. This is a review copy: the signed PDF with its DOI is issued at release.<\/p><\/div><div><div class=\"nrp-cover\"><div class=\"nrp-cover-top\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">IND<\/span><\/div><span class=\"nrp-cover-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><p class=\"nrp-cover-k\">Country Systems Risk and Resilience<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cover-t\">India 2026<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cover-s\">The State of India\u2019s Interdependent Systems<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cover-foot\"><span>Baseline Edition 2026<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><span><abbr title=\"The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation\">GCRI<\/abbr> for the Nexus Consortium<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block nrp-imprint\" aria-label=\"Imprint\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Imprint<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Editor<\/dt><dd>Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor, the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)<\/dd><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto<\/dd><dt>Report number<\/dt><dd class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/dd><dt>Evidence close<\/dt><dd>30 September 2026, cut NQ-IND-2026-Q0-1<\/dd><dt>Status<\/dt><dd>Draft under stewardship review; not yet released<\/dd><dt>DOI and UNI<\/dt><dd>Issued at deposit<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd>CC BY 4.0 for Nexus-authored text, tables and figures; third-party material keeps its own licence<\/dd><dt>Cite as<\/dt><dd>Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). India <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of India\u2019s Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI). https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" aria-label=\"Contents\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Contents<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">\u00b7<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-summary\">Executive summary<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">1<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-coupled-system\">Chapter 1. India\u2019s risk is monsoon-dependent, heat-loaded and changing fast in power<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">2<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-findings\">Chapter 2. Key findings<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">3<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-systems-and-sectors\">Chapter 3. Systems and sectors at baseline<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">4<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-risk-and-capability\">Chapter 4. Risks and capability<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">5<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-scenario\">Chapter 5. A second deficient monsoon across groundwater, kharif output, power demand and food budgets<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">6<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-lenses-and-readings\">Chapter 6. Readings from the other desks<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">7<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-agenda\">Chapter 7. The 2027 agenda<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">8<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-systems-in-depth\">Chapter 8. Systems in depth<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-methodology\">Annex A. Methodology<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">B<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-data\">Annex B. Data appendix<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">C<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-part-references\">Annex C. References and record<\/a><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-summary\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Executive summary<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Executive summary<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The edition on a few pages: the abstract, the key messages, the headline finding and what each steward reads in it.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>6 min read<\/span><span>1 figure<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>11 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.1<\/span><span>Abstract<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-prose\"><p>India enters 2027 with a population of 1,463.9 million, a power fleet that is now more than half non-fossil by capacity, and a water and food system that rests on one seasonal rainfall regime. The population figure is for 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup>. Installed non-fossil capacity was 300.50 GW of about 552 GW on 31 July 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup>, yet fossil fuels still supplied about 73% of electricity generation<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>. The 2026 southwest monsoon delivered 87% of the long period average, and East and Northeast India recorded its lowest season in the record since 1901<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup>. Groundwater extraction stood at 60.63% of the extractable resource in 2025, with 730 of 6,762 assessment units over-exploited<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>, while the Ministry of Agriculture estimates a record 376.563 million tonnes of foodgrain for 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup>. The weather service counted about 2,760 deaths from extreme weather in 2025, more than 1,370 of them from heavy rain, floods, cloudbursts and landslides<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup>. This Baseline Edition fixes the reference state for India\u2019s water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>, maps the couplings through which monsoon, heat and supply shocks travel, and sets the questions the first operational edition will answer with Foundry evidence in Q1 2027. Where a figure could not be bound to a published source, the page says so. It ranks nothing and decides nothing.<\/p><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.2<\/span><span>Key messages<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Six readings that frame the India baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-km\"><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The latest full inventory is 2020: 2,959 Mt CO\u2082e excluding land use. CO\u2082 alone was 3,154 Mt in 2024.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Where do emissions stand?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The 2025 season delivered 108% of the average and the 2026 season 87%.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How reliable is the monsoon?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Extraction was 60.63% of the extractable resource in 2025; 730 units were over-exploited.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How tight is groundwater?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Non-fossil sources are 54% of capacity, but fossil fuels supplied about 73% of generation.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How is the power system changing?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The 2025\u201326 foodgrain estimate is a record 376.563 Mt; the 2026 monsoon effect is not yet bound.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How secure is food?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Not bound: official and media heat-death counts differ by a wide margin. NCDC \u00b7 state health departments<\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Is heat a health hazard?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not bound<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Not bound: no insured-loss series was retrieved by evidence close. IRDAI \u00b7 general insurers<\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Who carries the losses?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not bound<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">A second deficient monsoon cutting groundwater, kharif output and food budgets together. SCN-IND-MON-01<\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>What will Q1 2027 test first?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.3<\/span><span>Headline finding<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002<\/span><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The 2026 southwest monsoon delivered 87% of the long period average, the fourth lowest total since 2001. East and Northeast India received 74% of its average, its lowest season since 1901, and the South Peninsula 76%.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure S.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-fig1-t\">The 2026 monsoon by month, all India (% of the long period average)<\/span><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">June<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"64.4\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">65<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">July<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">101<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">August<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"83.2\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">84<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">September<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"91.1\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">92<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: India Meteorological Department, salient features of the 2026 southwest monsoon season<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup>. June was 65% of the average, and the Kerala onset on 4 June was three days late.<\/p><\/figure><p class=\"nrp-p\">A season at 87% of the average reaches water, crops and power at different speeds. Reservoir and groundwater effects persist into the dry season, and crop effects show in the production estimates that follow. The 2025 season was 108% of the average and coincided with a record foodgrain estimate for 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup>. The weather service reported 17 of 36 subdivisions as deficient in 2026, covering 42% of the area<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.4<\/span><span>At a glance<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">1,463.9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">million<\/span><p>population, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">35.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>urban population share, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">3,956<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">USD billion<\/span><p>gross domestic product, current prices, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">72.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">years<\/span><p>life expectancy at birth, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">3,154<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt<\/span><p>CO\u2082 emissions excluding land use, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">300.50<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">GW<\/span><p>non-fossil installed capacity, 31 July 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.5<\/span><span>What each steward reads in it<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-cards\" data-n=\"3\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 KEY T<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Technical Truth<\/h3><p>The evidence supports a coupled reading of India\u2019s risk: the monsoon sets water and food outcomes, extremes cause large and rising loss of life, and the power system is changing faster than its fuel mix.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><abbr title=\"The Global Risks Forum\">GRF<\/abbr> \u00b7 KEY M<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Public Meaning<\/h3><p>For most people risk arrives as a late monsoon, a flood, a heat wave or a price rise.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><abbr title=\"The Global Risks Alliance\">GRA<\/abbr> \u00b7 KEY F<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Capital Meaning<\/h3><p>Readiness implications only. Insured and uninsured losses are not bound, and groundwater extraction exceeds 100% in three states.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEXUS<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Synthesis<\/h3><p>India is building clean power at record speed, yet water, food and health still depend on rainfall.<\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.6<\/span><span>What this edition is, and is not<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What this edition is<\/h3><p>A baseline: the state of India\u2019s water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> in 2026, the dependencies that connect them, the risks that travel through them and the capabilities that hold them. It sets out the questions the operational series will answer.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What it is not<\/h3><p>Not a national <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-assessment\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The overall process of identifying, analysing and evaluating risk to inform decisions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/glossary\/risk-assessment\/\" data-tgl=\"Nexus Standards glossary\">risk assessment<\/a>, an official warning or a rating. It decides nothing about any institution or asset. Competent authorities keep every mandate they hold, and national ownership of the series is unaffected.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What comes next<\/h3><p>Q1 2027 opens the operational series with a sealed Foundry evidence cut. Each later edition reports what changed against this baseline, new observations, source revisions, method changes, scenario updates and corrections.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, population, total (SP.POP.TOTL) and urban population share (SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (ed.), installed non-fossil power capacity at 31 July 2026, as reported by Renewable Watch. New Delhi, 11 August 2026. Observation date 31 July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), power-capacity factsheet of 13 August 2026, as reported by the Indo-Asian News Service. New Delhi, 13 August 2026. Observation date July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), India: electricity data and analysis (country page). Ember, London, accessed 3 November 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Central Ground Water Board and Ministry of Jal Shakti (eds.), Dynamic Ground Water Resources Assessment of India 2025, as summarised by Vision IAS. New Delhi, 30 December 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Statement on the Climate of India during 2025. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, press release of 1 January 2026, published by the World Meteorological Organization 12 January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, CO2 emissions excluding LULUCF (EN.GHG.CO2.MT.CE.AR5) and mortality attributed to household and ambient air pollution (SH.STA.AIRP.P5). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2019 and 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> (ed.), India\u2019s Fourth Biennial Update Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, including the 2020 national greenhouse-gas inventory. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted 30 December 2024. Observation year 2020.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cs-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, GDP in current US dollars (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), life expectancy at birth (SP.DYN.LE00.IN) and population aged 65 and above (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cs-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-coupled-system\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 1<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">India\u2019s risk is monsoon-dependent, heat-loaded and changing fast in power<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Part I describes systems and their couplings. It assesses no authority and ranks no state.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>9 min read<\/span><span>2 figures<\/span><span>2 tables<\/span><span>24 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.1<\/span><span>The questions this part answers<\/span><\/h2><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Key questions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Where is India\u2019s risk concentrated, and in which <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>?<\/li><li>Which couplings carry shocks from one system to the next?<\/li><li>Which capabilities hold under compound stress, and which are only documented?<\/li><li>What must the 2027 programme measure first?<\/li><\/ul><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">In this part<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Narrative<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Headline finding<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Lead figure<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Five system chapters<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Twelve-domain reading<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Sector screens<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Dependency matrix<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Risk objects<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Capability ladder<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Scenario<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Three lenses<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Portfolio<\/li><\/ul><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.2<\/span><span>The argument<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-prose\"><p>India is a very large economy in which most people still live outside cities, and its water, food and power <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> answer to one seasonal rainfall regime. This baseline reads its exposure as three forces acting together: a variable monsoon, a warming climate with frequent weather extremes, and a power system that is adding clean capacity quickly while still generating most electricity from fossil fuels.<\/p><p>The monsoon layer sets the year. The 2025 season delivered 108% of the long period average and the 2026 season 87%, the fourth lowest total since 2001<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup>. The 2026 total hides a split: Northwest and Central India received normal rainfall, while East and Northeast India recorded its lowest season since 1901 and the South Peninsula the second lowest since 2001<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup>. The weather service had forecast 92% of the average in April and 90% in May<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>The water layer is where the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.meteorological-drought\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"A prolonged shortfall of rain against the local normal, the starting point of every other kind of drought.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">rainfall deficit<\/a> becomes a stock problem. Groundwater extraction was 60.63% of the extractable resource in 2025, below the 63.33% of 2017 but above 100% in Punjab, Rajasthan and Haryana<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>. Peer-reviewed work finds falling groundwater storage in northern India<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n25\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup>. Renewable internal freshwater was about 1,014 m\u00b3 per person in 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>The extremes layer is physical and lethal. 2025 was the eighth warmest year in the record, with the highest winter anomaly since 1901<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup>. The weather service counted about 2,760 deaths from extreme weather, more than half of them from rain, floods, cloudbursts, landslides and lightning, and Punjab had its worst floods since 1988<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup>. Peer-reviewed studies report a threefold rise in widespread <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">extreme rain<\/a> events over central India and project deadly heat waves in South Asia<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>The energy layer is changing quickly. Non-fossil sources were 54% of installed capacity on 31 July 2026, above the 50% set for 2030 in the 2022 contribution, and 55.29 GW was added in 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup>. Fossil generation still fell 3.3% in 2025, yet fossil fuels supplied about 73% of electricity, and net energy imports were 36.0% of energy use in 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>The people layer is large and urbanising. The population was 1,463.9 million in 2025, 35.7% of it urban, with life expectancy of 72.2 years and 7.4% of people aged 65 or over<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup>. Foodgrain production is estimated at a record 376.563 Mt for 2025\u201326, so the food system entered the deficient 2026 monsoon with high output<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>This edition therefore reads India\u2019s risk as a property of the couplings between these forces. The matrix, risk objects, capability ladder and scenario that follow ask the same two questions: where does a shock travel next, and who holds the capability to stop it?<\/p><\/div><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 1.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-fig1-t\">How is India\u2019s 2020 emissions total built up? Greenhouse-gas emissions by sector (Mt CO\u2082e)<\/span><p class=\"nrp-fig-what\">Energy supplies about 76% of the 2020 total of 2,959 Mt CO\u2082e excluding land use. Land use and forestry removed a further 522 Mt, which gives a net total of 2,437 Mt<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup>. This is the latest official inventory year at evidence close. CO\u2082 alone was 3,154 Mt in 2024 on a different series<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">Energy<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">2238<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Agriculture<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"18.1\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">406<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Industrial processes and product use<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"10.7\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">239<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Waste<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"3.4\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">76<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: as cited in the note to this figure. Year 2020.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Figure ID FIG-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-01-003<\/p><\/figure><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2,959<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt CO\u2082e<\/span><p>total excluding land use, 2020<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">522<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt<\/span><p>removed by land use and forestry, 2020<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">36<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>fall in GDP emission intensity, 2005 to 2020<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2070<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">net zero<\/span><p>national goal<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.3<\/span><span>Twenty couplings between five systems<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The India matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-fig2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-fig2-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 1.2<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-fig2-t\">Couplings between the five systems<\/span><p class=\"nrp-fig-what\">Each line is one coupling from one system to another, drawn by the strength the edition assigns. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events.<\/p><\/figcaption><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-ring\" viewBox=\"0 0 340 340\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Coupling ring: 20 typed couplings between water, energy, food, health and biodiversity. The matrix in the next table carries every value.\" data-nx-z=\"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\"><\/svg><ul class=\"nrp-legend\"><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"STRONG\"><\/span>Strong<\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"MODERATE\"><\/span>Moderate<\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"WEAK\"><\/span>Weak<\/li><\/ul><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: this edition&#8217;s coupling matrix (Table 1.1); status Estimated.<\/p><\/figure><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 1.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coupling matrix: from the row system to the column system<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">From, to<\/th><th scope=\"col\">WAT<\/th><th scope=\"col\">ENE<\/th><th scope=\"col\">FOO<\/th><th scope=\"col\">HLT<\/th><th scope=\"col\">BIO<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><b>WAT<\/b> Water<\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">nuclear cooling \u00b7 hydro<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">irrigation \u00b7 rain-fed yield<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">drinking water<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">flows \u00b7 wetlands<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>ENE<\/b> Energy<\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">pumping \u00b7 treatment<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">fuel \u00b7 fertiliser \u00b7 cold chain<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">facility power \u00b7 cooling<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">reservoirs \u00b7 land use<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>FOO<\/b> Food<\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">withdrawals \u00b7 nutrients<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">biofuel feedstock<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">nutrition \u00b7 food safety<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">land conversion<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>HLT<\/b> Health<\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">workforce<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">workforce<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">labour \u00b7 disease<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">residues<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>BIO<\/b> Biodiversity<\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">regulation \u00b7 filtration<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">fire on lines \u00b7 biomass<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">pollination \u00b7 soils<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">zoonoses \u00b7 smoke<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"6\">Strength: strong, moderate or weak; a Nexus estimate (status Estimated) from cited evidence and analogue events. The scale is defined in Annex A.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Transmission paths<\/h3><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 FOO<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">A deficient monsoon lowers recharge and raises pumping, and tests irrigated and rain-fed crops.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 INF \u2192 HLT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Cloudbursts, floods and landslides cut roads and lifelines in the mountains.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">ENE \u2192 WAT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Pumping and cooling demand couple groundwater to the power system.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span> physical coupling<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">TRD \u2192 ENE \u2192 FIN<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Net energy imports pass fuel prices into the economy.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 HLT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/hydrometeorological-hazard-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.thermal.heatwave\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Thermal extremes\" data-td=\"A spell of abnormally high temperature, often with warm nights, that overloads bodies, power grids and crops.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H5\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\" data-ta=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/courses\/energy-nexus\/\" data-tal=\"Energy Nexus\">Extreme heat<\/a> loads health and care; deaths are counted inconsistently.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.4<\/span><span>Reinforcing loops<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">A shock entering either system of a loop can return amplified through the other.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 1.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Pairs of systems where both directions are rated strong<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Loop<\/th><th scope=\"col\">First direction<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Second direction<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT and BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Water to biodiversity: flows \u00b7 wetlands<\/td><td>Biodiversity to water: regulation \u00b7 filtration<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO and BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Food to biodiversity: land conversion<\/td><td>Biodiversity to food: pollination \u00b7 soils<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"3\">A causal-loop reading of the matrix (Sterman, Business Dynamics, 2000): structural, from estimated strengths, not a measured feedback.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Statement on the Climate of India during 2025. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, press release of 1 January 2026, published by the World Meteorological Organization 12 January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Updated Long Range Forecast for the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season Rainfall (June\u2013September) and Monthly outlook for June month. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, May 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Central Ground Water Board and Ministry of Jal Shakti (eds.), Dynamic Ground Water Resources Assessment of India 2025, as summarised by Vision IAS. New Delhi, 30 December 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>M. Rodell, I. Velicogna and J. S. Famiglietti, \u201cSatellite-based estimates of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">groundwater depletion<\/a> in India,\u201d Nature, vol. 460, pp. 999\u20131002, 2009. doi:10.1038\/nature08238. Observation year 2009. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nature08238\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/nature08238<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>A. Asoka, T. Gleeson, Y. Wada and V. Mishra, \u201cRelative contribution of monsoon precipitation and pumping to changes in groundwater storage in India,\u201d Nature Geoscience, vol. 10, pp. 109\u2013117, 2017. doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/ngeo2869\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r25\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 25\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, net energy imports (EG.IMP.CONS.ZS), renewable internal freshwater per person (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), forest area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), terrestrial protected area (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS) and irrigated agricultural land (AG.LND.IRIG.AG.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2022\u20132024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Down To Earth (ed.), \u201c2025 marked by rising night-time temperatures and extreme rainfall across seasons in India.\u201d Centre for Science and Environment, New Delhi, January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>M. K. Roxy, S. Ghosh, A. Pathak et al., \u201cA threefold rise in widespread <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">extreme rain<\/a> events over central India,\u201d Nature Communications, vol. 8, article 708, 2017. doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>E.-S. Im, J. S. Pal and E. A. B. Eltahir, \u201cDeadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia,\u201d Science Advances, vol. 3, no. 8, e1603322, 2017. doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/sciadv.1603322\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), India\u2019s Updated First Nationally Determined Contribution under the <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a>. UNFCCC, Bonn, August 2022. Observation year 2030 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (ed.), installed non-fossil power capacity at 31 July 2026, as reported by Renewable Watch. New Delhi, 11 August 2026. Observation date 31 July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), power-capacity factsheet of 13 August 2026, as reported by the Indo-Asian News Service. New Delhi, 13 August 2026. Observation date July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Global Electricity Review 2026. Ember, London, 22 April 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), India: electricity data and analysis (country page). Ember, London, accessed 3 November 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, population, total (SP.POP.TOTL) and urban population share (SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, GDP in current US dollars (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), life expectancy at birth (SP.DYN.LE00.IN) and population aged 65 and above (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> (ed.), India\u2019s Fourth Biennial Update Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, including the 2020 national greenhouse-gas inventory. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted 30 December 2024. Observation year 2020.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, CO2 emissions excluding LULUCF (EN.GHG.CO2.MT.CE.AR5) and mortality attributed to household and ambient air pollution (SH.STA.AIRP.P5). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2019 and 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Climate Action Tracker (ed.), India: 2035 NDC assessment. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, Berlin, September 2026. Observation year 2035 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Long-Term Low-Carbon Development Strategy. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 14 November 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>HeatWatch (ed.), Struck by Heat: A News Analysis of Heatstroke Deaths in India in 2025, as reported by The Print. New Delhi, 22 August 2025. Observation period February to July 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c1-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Press Trust of India (ed.), \u201cIndia recorded over 7,000 suspected heatstroke cases, 14 deaths in March\u2013June period: RTI,\u201d reporting National Centre for Disease Control data. The Print, New Delhi, July 2025. Observation period 1 March to 24 June 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c1-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-findings\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 2<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Key findings<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Twelve findings carry the baseline. They are grouped by system, never ranked. Each resolves to its source or, where Nexus analysis is involved, to its stated method.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>6 min read<\/span><span>1 figure<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>20 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.1<\/span><span>Headline finding<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The 2026 southwest monsoon delivered 87% of the long period average, the fourth lowest total since 2001. East and Northeast India received 74% of its average, its lowest season since 1901, and the South Peninsula 76%.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 2.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-fig1-t\">The 2026 monsoon by month, all India (% of the long period average)<\/span><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">June<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"64.4\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">65<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">July<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">101<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">August<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"83.2\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">84<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">September<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"91.1\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">92<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: India Meteorological Department, salient features of the 2026 southwest monsoon season<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup>. June was 65% of the average, and the Kerala onset on 4 June was three days late.<\/p><\/figure><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Implication<\/h3><p class=\"nrp-p\">A season at 87% of the average reaches water, crops and power at different speeds. Reservoir and groundwater effects persist into the dry season, and crop effects show in the production estimates that follow. The 2025 season was 108% of the average and coincided with a record foodgrain estimate for 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup>. The weather service reported 17 of 36 subdivisions as deficient in 2026, covering 42% of the area<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">What would move it<\/h3><p class=\"nrp-p\">Kharif 2026 production estimates, reservoir storage in the dry season, groundwater levels in the north-west and south, and the 2027 monsoon forecast would each move this finding.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.2<\/span><span>Climate forcing<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">2025 was the eighth warmest year in the national record since 1901, 0.28 \u00b0C above the 1991\u20132020 average; winter 2025 had the highest seasonal anomaly on record (+1.17 \u00b0C), and 2024 remains the warmest year (+0.65 \u00b0C).<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The 2026 southwest monsoon delivered 87% of the long period average (759.4 mm), the fourth lowest total since 2001; East and Northeast India received 74% and the South Peninsula 76%, and 17 of 36 subdivisions, covering 42% of the area, were deficient.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-003\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-003\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-003<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The weather service recorded about 2,760 deaths from extreme weather in 2025: more than 1,370 from heavy rain, floods, cloudbursts and landslides, and more than 1,310 from lightning. The count draws on media and disaster-authority reports.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-008\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-008\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-CLI-008<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The latest official inventory gives 2,959 Mt CO\u2082e for 2020 excluding land use, with energy 2,238 Mt; the 2035 contribution targets a 47% cut in emissions intensity of GDP from 2005 and net zero by 2070.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.3<\/span><span>Water<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-WAT-004\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-WAT-004\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-WAT-004<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Groundwater extraction was 247.22 billion cubic metres in 2025, 60.63% of the 407.75 billion extractable; 730 of 6,762 assessment units (10.8%) were over-exploited, with stage of extraction at 156.36% in Punjab, 147.11% in Rajasthan and 136.75% in Haryana.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-WAT-005\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-WAT-005\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-WAT-005<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Renewable internal freshwater was about 1,014 m\u00b3 per person in 2022, and peer-reviewed satellite and modelling studies find falling groundwater storage in northern India, with pumping as a major driver.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n25\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.4<\/span><span>Energy<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-ENE-006\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-ENE-006\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-ENE-006<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">On 31 July 2026 non-fossil sources provided 300.50 GW of about 552 GW installed capacity, over 54%: solar 164.59 GW, wind 58.14 GW, hydro 57.24 GW, bio-power 11.75 GW and nuclear 8.78 GW; 55.29 GW was added in 2025\u201326.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-ENE-007\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-ENE-007\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-ENE-007<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Fossil generation fell 3.3% in 2025 as renewables grew by a record 98 TWh; solar reached 196 TWh, 9.4% of demand, and fossil fuels still supplied about 73% of generation. Net energy imports were 36.0% of energy use in 2024.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.5<\/span><span>Food<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-FOO-009\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-FOO-009\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-FOO-009<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The third advance estimate for 2025\u201326 puts foodgrain at a record 376.563 Mt, up 5.3% on 2024\u201325, with rice at 154.024 Mt and wheat at 120.657 Mt; the wheat <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.trade-restriction\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"Export bans, sanctions or embargoes that cut access to goods, energy or inputs.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/sys\/\" data-txl=\"Systemic and compound events\">export ban<\/a> of May 2022 continues.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.6<\/span><span>Health<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-HLT-010\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-HLT-010\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-HLT-010<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Life expectancy was 72.2 years in 2024 and 7.4% of people were aged 65 or over in 2025; no consistent national heat-death series exists, since the national disease-control centre confirmed 14 deaths between March and June 2025 while a media review found at least 84 between February and July.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.7<\/span><span>Biodiversity<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Forest covered 24.4% of land in 2024 and 7.7% of land was under terrestrial protection; condition outside protected areas is not bound in this edition.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.8<\/span><span>Systemic<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012\">NRF-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a second deficient monsoon that cuts groundwater recharge, kharif output and household food budgets together. \u00a79.3<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Statement on the Climate of India during 2025. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, press release of 1 January 2026, published by the World Meteorological Organization 12 January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> (ed.), India\u2019s Fourth Biennial Update Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, including the 2020 national greenhouse-gas inventory. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted 30 December 2024. Observation year 2020.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Nationally Determined Contribution for 2031\u20132035. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 24 April 2026. Observation year 2035 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Climate Action Tracker (ed.), India: 2035 NDC assessment. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, Berlin, September 2026. Observation year 2035 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Long-Term Low-Carbon Development Strategy. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 14 November 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Central Ground Water Board and Ministry of Jal Shakti (eds.), Dynamic Ground Water Resources Assessment of India 2025, as summarised by Vision IAS. New Delhi, 30 December 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, net energy imports (EG.IMP.CONS.ZS), renewable internal freshwater per person (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), forest area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), terrestrial protected area (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS) and irrigated agricultural land (AG.LND.IRIG.AG.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2022\u20132024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>M. Rodell, I. Velicogna and J. S. Famiglietti, \u201cSatellite-based estimates of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">groundwater depletion<\/a> in India,\u201d Nature, vol. 460, pp. 999\u20131002, 2009. doi:10.1038\/nature08238. Observation year 2009. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nature08238\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/nature08238<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>A. Asoka, T. Gleeson, Y. Wada and V. Mishra, \u201cRelative contribution of monsoon precipitation and pumping to changes in groundwater storage in India,\u201d Nature Geoscience, vol. 10, pp. 109\u2013117, 2017. doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/ngeo2869\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r25\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 25\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (ed.), installed non-fossil power capacity at 31 July 2026, as reported by Renewable Watch. New Delhi, 11 August 2026. Observation date 31 July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), power-capacity factsheet of 13 August 2026, as reported by the Indo-Asian News Service. New Delhi, 13 August 2026. Observation date July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Global Electricity Review 2026. Ember, London, 22 April 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), India: electricity data and analysis (country page). Ember, London, accessed 3 November 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>pv magazine (ed.), \u201cRecord solar, wind surge drives 3.3% drop in India\u2019s fossil generation in 2025,\u201d reporting Ember\u2019s Global Electricity Review 2026. pv magazine, Berlin, 27 April 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), GIEWS Country Brief: India. FAO, Rome, reference date 13 February 2026. Observation years 2025\u20132026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, GDP in current US dollars (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), life expectancy at birth (SP.DYN.LE00.IN) and population aged 65 and above (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>HeatWatch (ed.), Struck by Heat: A News Analysis of Heatstroke Deaths in India in 2025, as reported by The Print. New Delhi, 22 August 2025. Observation period February to July 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c2-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Press Trust of India (ed.), \u201cIndia recorded over 7,000 suspected heatstroke cases, 14 deaths in March\u2013June period: RTI,\u201d reporting National Centre for Disease Control data. The Print, New Delhi, July 2025. Observation period 1 March to 24 June 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c2-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-systems-and-sectors\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 3<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Systems and sectors at baseline<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>6 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>2 tables<\/span><span>17 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.1<\/span><span>Where each system stood at evidence close<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WAT \u00b7 Water<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Groundwater extraction as a share of the extractable resource<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">60.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>730 of 6,762 assessment units are over-exploited; Punjab stands at 156%.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2025<\/span><span>CGWB and states<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">ENE \u00b7 Energy<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Non-fossil sources in installed power capacity<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">54<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>Fossil fuels still supplied about 73% of generation in 2025.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>31 Jul 2026<\/span><span>MNRE as reported<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 Ember<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">FOO \u00b7 Food<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Foodgrain production, third advance estimate<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">376.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt<\/span><p>Up 5.3% on 2024\u201325; an estimate that can be revised.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2025\u201326<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">HLT \u00b7 Health<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Life expectancy at birth<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">72.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">years<\/span><p>No consistent national heat-death series exists; official and media counts differ.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2024<\/span><span>World Bank<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 NCDC<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">BIO \u00b7 Biodiversity<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Terrestrial area under protection<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">7.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">% of land<\/span><p>Forest area was 24.4% of land in 2024 on the same World Bank series.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2024<\/span><span>World Bank<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">SYS \u00b7 Cross-system<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Deaths from extreme weather events<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u22482,760<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">deaths<\/span><p>More than 1,370 from rain, floods, cloudbursts and landslides.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2025<\/span><span>IMD<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.2<\/span><span>Domain posture<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Each of the twelve coupled domains is read in words, not scored. The coupling column names the dependency that carries risk into other <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 3.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Each domain read in words, not scored<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Domain<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Posture at baseline<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coupling<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT<\/span><\/td><td>Extraction at 60.63% of the extractable groundwater; over-exploited units concentrated in the north-west, west and south.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT \u2192 FOO \u00b7 WAT \u2194 ENE<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">ENE<\/span><\/td><td>Non-fossil sources are 54% of capacity; fossil fuels still supply about 73% of generation.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">ENE \u2190 TRD \u00b7 ENE \u2192 all<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO<\/span><\/td><td>Record foodgrain estimate of 376.563 Mt for 2025\u201326; wheat <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.trade-restriction\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"Export bans, sanctions or embargoes that cut access to goods, energy or inputs.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/sys\/\" data-txl=\"Systemic and compound events\">export ban<\/a> continues.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO \u2190 WAT, CLI, TRD<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HLT<\/span><\/td><td>Life expectancy 72.2 years; heat-death counts are inconsistent; air-pollution mortality was 139.3 per 100,000 in 2019.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HLT \u2190 CLI<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Forest is 24.4% of land and 7.7% of land is protected; condition outside protection is not bound.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">BIO \u2194 WAT, FOO<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">CLI<\/span><\/td><td>2025 was 0.28 \u00b0C above the 1991\u20132020 average; the 2026 monsoon was 87% of the average.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">forcing on all systems<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INF<\/span><\/td><td>Fast-growing urban and lifeline stock exposed to flood, heat and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/geophysical-hazard-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 geo.seismic.earthquake\" data-tk=\"Solid Earth \u00b7 Fault shaking and rupture\" data-td=\"Sudden slip on a fault releasing seismic waves that shake the ground and damage structures and lifelines.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H17\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/geo\/\" data-txl=\"Solid Earth\" data-ta=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/courses\/disaster-risk-reduction\/\" data-tal=\"Disaster Risk Reduction\">earthquake<\/a>; condition not bound at public-safe resolution.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INF \u2192 all<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIN<\/span><\/td><td>Insured and uninsured disaster losses are not bound in this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIN \u2190 CLI<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not bound<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 1<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DAT<\/span><\/td><td>Digital dependencies of lifelines not mapped at public-safe resolution.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DAT \u2192 ENE, FIN<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">AIC<\/span><\/td><td>Data-centre and compute demand for power and water not bound in this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">AIC \u2192 ENE, WAT<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MIN<\/span><\/td><td>Critical-mineral dependence for solar, wind and storage not bound.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MIN \u2190 TRD<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">TRD<\/span><\/td><td>Net energy imports were 36.0% of energy use in 2024.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">TRD \u2192 all<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.3<\/span><span>Sector screens<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">All sixteen sectors are screened on the same grammar, so that later editions can say what changed. The evidence column describes coverage of the baseline evidence, not the performance of the sector.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 3.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Sectors: baseline evidence and the exposure to watch<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Code<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Sector<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Exposure to watch<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence coverage<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-00<\/span><\/td><td>Cross-system<\/td><td>compound monsoon, heat and supply stress<\/td><td>deficient monsoon; flood year<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-01<\/span><\/td><td>Water<\/td><td>groundwater extraction 60.63%<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>deficient monsoon; over-extraction<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-02<\/span><\/td><td>Energy<\/td><td>non-fossil share of capacity 54%<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>evening peak; coal dependence<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-03<\/span><\/td><td>Food<\/td><td>foodgrain 376.563 Mt estimate<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>short harvest; export policy<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-04<\/span><\/td><td>Health<\/td><td>life expectancy 72.2 years<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>heat and air pollution; counts not bound<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-05<\/span><\/td><td>Finance<\/td><td>insured losses not bound<\/td><td>catastrophe fiscal cost<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-06<\/span><\/td><td>Development<\/td><td>urban share 35.7%<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>service demand in fast-growing cities<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-07<\/span><\/td><td>Climate<\/td><td>2025 at +0.28 \u00b0C<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>heat and rain extremes<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-08<\/span><\/td><td>Disaster<\/td><td>about 2,760 deaths in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>flood, <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">cloudburst<\/a>, lightning, <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h2\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.cyclone.tropical-cyclone\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Cyclonic storm systems\" data-td=\"A warm-core rotating storm over tropical oceans whose winds, rain and surge threaten coasts and inland river basins.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H2\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\" data-ta=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/courses\/disaster-risk-reduction\/\" data-tal=\"Disaster Risk Reduction\">cyclone<\/a><\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-09<\/span><\/td><td>Infrastructure<\/td><td>power fleet about 552 GW<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup>; seismic design zones<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n50\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r50\" aria-label=\"Note 50\">50<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>flood and seismic exposure<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-10<\/span><\/td><td>Cities<\/td><td>urban population 35.7%<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup>; cooling plan<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n52\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r52\" aria-label=\"Note 52\">52<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>heat and flood stress<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-11<\/span><\/td><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>forest 24.4% of land<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup>; forest survey<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n44\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r44\" aria-label=\"Note 44\">44<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>fire; land-use change<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-12<\/span><\/td><td>Earth observation<\/td><td>national weather and climate statements<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>continuity<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-13<\/span><\/td><td>Cyber and digital<\/td><td>dependencies not yet mapped<\/td><td>systemic outages<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-14<\/span><\/td><td>Policy<\/td><td>2035 contribution submitted<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>implementation rules<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-15<\/span><\/td><td>Science<\/td><td>peer-reviewed groundwater and extremes work<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>translation to states<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Central Ground Water Board and Ministry of Jal Shakti (eds.), Dynamic Ground Water Resources Assessment of India 2025, as summarised by Vision IAS. New Delhi, 30 December 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (ed.), installed non-fossil power capacity at 31 July 2026, as reported by Renewable Watch. New Delhi, 11 August 2026. Observation date 31 July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), power-capacity factsheet of 13 August 2026, as reported by the Indo-Asian News Service. New Delhi, 13 August 2026. Observation date July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), India: electricity data and analysis (country page). Ember, London, accessed 3 November 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, GDP in current US dollars (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), life expectancy at birth (SP.DYN.LE00.IN) and population aged 65 and above (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Press Trust of India (ed.), \u201cIndia recorded over 7,000 suspected heatstroke cases, 14 deaths in March\u2013June period: RTI,\u201d reporting National Centre for Disease Control data. The Print, New Delhi, July 2025. Observation period 1 March to 24 June 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, net energy imports (EG.IMP.CONS.ZS), renewable internal freshwater per person (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), forest area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), terrestrial protected area (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS) and irrigated agricultural land (AG.LND.IRIG.AG.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2022\u20132024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Statement on the Climate of India during 2025. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, press release of 1 January 2026, published by the World Meteorological Organization 12 January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, population, total (SP.POP.TOTL) and urban population share (SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n50\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">50<\/span><span>Bureau of Indian Standards (ed.), IS 1893 (Part 1): 2016, Criteria for <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/geophysical-hazard-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 geo.seismic.earthquake\" data-tk=\"Solid Earth \u00b7 Fault shaking and rupture\" data-td=\"Sudden slip on a fault releasing seismic waves that shake the ground and damage structures and lifelines.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H17\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/geo\/\" data-txl=\"Solid Earth\" data-ta=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/courses\/disaster-risk-reduction\/\" data-tal=\"Disaster Risk Reduction\">Earthquake<\/a> Resistant Design of Structures. BIS, New Delhi, 2016. Observation year 2016.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r50\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 50\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n52\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">52<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> (ed.), India Cooling Action Plan. MoEFCC, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r52\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 52\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n44\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">44<\/span><span>Forest Survey of India (ed.), India State of Forest Report 2023. FSI, Dehradun, December 2024. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r44\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 44\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Nationally Determined Contribution for 2031\u20132035. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 24 April 2026. Observation year 2035 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>M. Rodell, I. Velicogna and J. S. Famiglietti, \u201cSatellite-based estimates of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">groundwater depletion<\/a> in India,\u201d Nature, vol. 460, pp. 999\u20131002, 2009. doi:10.1038\/nature08238. Observation year 2009. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nature08238\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/nature08238<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c3-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>M. K. Roxy, S. Ghosh, A. Pathak et al., \u201cA threefold rise in widespread <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">extreme rain<\/a> events over central India,\u201d Nature Communications, vol. 8, article 708, 2017. doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c3-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-risk-and-capability\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 4<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Risks and capability<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Four risk objects open the portfolio. Order carries no rank. Each is read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and consequence.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>4 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>1 table<\/span><span>11 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">4.1<\/span><span>Risk objects<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Each risk is read across the chain from hazard to consequence, with its status and evidence-quality level.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-IND-CLI-001<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Multi-year monsoon deficit with groundwater stress<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>deficient monsoon seasons and rising temperature<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>irrigated and rain-fed farmland, cities, hydropower<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>groundwater extraction above 100% in three states<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>storage and demand management not bound<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 FOO, ENE<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>annual to 5 years<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-IND-CLI-002<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Cloudburst, flood and landslide sequence in the mountains and plains<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">extreme rain<\/a> on steep or flood-prone terrain<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>mountain valleys, river plains and coasts<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>roads, power lines and settlements in hazard zones; not bound<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>warnings and response agencies; effectiveness not bound<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 INF \u2192 HLT, ENE<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>annual<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-IND-ENE-003<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Power-system balancing as solar share grows<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>evening demand after solar output falls<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>households, industry and agriculture<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>fossil generation still about 73% of supply<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>storage and flexible capacity not bound<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>ENE \u2192 WAT, FOO, FIN<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>1\u20135 years<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-IND-HLT-004<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Extreme heat and humidity<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>heat waves and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h5\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.thermal.hot-nights\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Thermal extremes\" data-td=\"Nights that stay hot enough to prevent the body recovering from daytime heat, raising deaths among older and sick people and in poorly ventilated homes.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H5\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">warm nights<\/a><\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>outdoor workers, older people, dense housing<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>cooling access and housing; not bound<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>heat action plans exist as guidance<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n43\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r43\" aria-label=\"Note 43\">43<\/a><\/sup>; use not bound<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 HLT \u2192 ENE<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>seasonal<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">4.2<\/span><span>Capability ladder<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Existence is not readiness. Each of the fifteen capability functions is placed on the ladder by the strongest public evidence at baseline.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 4.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Capabilities on the ladder of evidence: listed, exists, demonstrated, tested<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Function<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Rung<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Level<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Strongest public evidence at baseline<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Prevention and mitigation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: building, land-use and watershed registers \u00b7 blocker: not retrieved by evidence close<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Monitoring and observation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>the national weather service issues annual and seasonal statements and tracks cyclones<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 early-warning\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Timely, actionable information about an impending hazard that lets people and institutions act to reduce harm before it occurs.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Early warning<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h2\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.cyclone.tropical-cyclone\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Cyclonic storm systems\" data-td=\"A warm-core rotating storm over tropical oceans whose winds, rain and surge threaten coasts and inland river basins.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H2\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\" data-ta=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/courses\/disaster-risk-reduction\/\" data-tal=\"Disaster Risk Reduction\">cyclone<\/a> <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> were tracked and named in 2025; Montha claimed 9 lives<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup>; warning effectiveness not bound<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Preparedness and planning<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td>national disaster management plan of 2019<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n42\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r42\" aria-label=\"Note 42\">42<\/a><\/sup> and heat-wave action guidance<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n43\" aria-label=\"Note 43\">43<\/a><\/sup>; implementation not bound<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Redundancy and reserves<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: grain, fuel and reservoir stock data \u00b7 blocker: not retrieved in bound form<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Response<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: national and state response-force records \u00b7 blocker: not reviewed by evidence close<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Continuity of critical services<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: utility restoration records \u00b7 blocker: not retrieved<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recovery<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: state relief and reconstruction accounts \u00b7 blocker: not retrieved<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Adaptation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td>long-term low-carbon strategy of 2022 and the 2035 contribution<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 social-protection\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Public policies and programmes that help people manage risk and reduce poverty and vulnerability across their lives.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Social protection<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: food-distribution and labour ministry records \u00b7 blocker: not reviewed<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Finance and insurance<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: insurance regulator and general insurers \u00b7 blocker: not retrieved<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Institutional coordination<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td>a national disaster management authority exists<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n42\" aria-label=\"Note 42\">42<\/a><\/sup>; coordination evidence not bound<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Technical infrastructure<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td>about 552 GW installed power capacity<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup>; network condition not bound<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Workforce<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: sector registers \u00b7 blocker: not retrieved<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Research capacity<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td>peer-reviewed groundwater, monsoon and heat literature exists<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n25\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"4\">A capability listed in policy is not a tested one; each rung is the strongest public evidence at baseline.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n43\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">43<\/span><span>National Disaster Management Authority (ed.), Guidelines for Preparation of Action Plan: Prevention and Management of Heat Wave. NDMA, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r43\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 43\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Statement on the Climate of India during 2025. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, press release of 1 January 2026, published by the World Meteorological Organization 12 January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n42\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">42<\/span><span>National Disaster Management Authority (ed.), National Disaster Management Plan 2019. NDMA, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r42\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 42\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> (ed.), India\u2019s Nationally Determined Contribution for 2031\u20132035. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 24 April 2026. Observation year 2035 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Long-Term Low-Carbon Development Strategy. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 14 November 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), power-capacity factsheet of 13 August 2026, as reported by the Indo-Asian News Service. New Delhi, 13 August 2026. Observation date July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>M. Rodell, I. Velicogna and J. S. Famiglietti, \u201cSatellite-based estimates of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">groundwater depletion<\/a> in India,\u201d Nature, vol. 460, pp. 999\u20131002, 2009. doi:10.1038\/nature08238. Observation year 2009. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nature08238\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/nature08238<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>A. Asoka, T. Gleeson, Y. Wada and V. Mishra, \u201cRelative contribution of monsoon precipitation and pumping to changes in groundwater storage in India,\u201d Nature Geoscience, vol. 10, pp. 109\u2013117, 2017. doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/ngeo2869\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r25\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 25\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>M. K. Roxy, S. Ghosh, A. Pathak et al., \u201cA threefold rise in widespread <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">extreme rain<\/a> events over central India,\u201d Nature Communications, vol. 8, article 708, 2017. doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c4-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>E.-S. Im, J. S. Pal and E. A. B. Eltahir, \u201cDeadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia,\u201d Science Advances, vol. 3, no. 8, e1603322, 2017. doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/sciadv.1603322\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c4-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-scenario\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 5<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">A second deficient monsoon across groundwater, kharif output, power demand and food budgets<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>3 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>5 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.1<\/span><span>Assumptions<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Scenario SCN-IND-MON-01: what is assumed, and what is held constant.<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Baseline<\/dt><dd>the 2026 reference state in this edition<\/dd><dt>Drivers<\/dt><dd>a second southwest monsoon season near 87% of the long period average, as in 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Analogues<\/dt><dd>2026 season; groundwater stage of 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>; 2025\u201326 production estimate as the starting level<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Interventions<\/dt><dd>none modelled: the specification describes the unmitigated case<\/dd><dt>Run state<\/dt><dd>narrative specification; quantified Foundry run scheduled for Q1 2027<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.2<\/span><span>The cascade, step by step<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">1<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 WAT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">recharge falls and pumping rises in units already over-exploited<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">2<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">WAT \u2192 FOO<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">irrigation draws on falling groundwater; rain-fed output is exposed; no figure bound<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">3<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">FOO \u2192 FIN<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">food prices pass into household budgets; no figure bound<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">not bound<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">4<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">ENE \u2192 WAT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">pumping and cooling demand add load to the power system<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">physical coupling<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">5<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 HLT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">heat and water stress raise health and care demand<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">6<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">WAT \u2192 BIO<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">drier soils and forests raise fire and stress on wetlands<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">not bound<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.3<\/span><span>The scenario as a table of steps<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nx-p\">How the shock in scenario SCN-IND-MON-01 would travel through India&#8217;s coupled <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>, step by step, under the assumptions the edition states.<\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">01 Climate to water<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Recharge falls and pumping rises in units already over-exploited. Analogue or source: 2025 [18].<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition IND, scenario SCN-IND-MON-01, step 1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">02 Water to food<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Irrigation draws on falling groundwater; rain-fed output is exposed; no figure bound. Analogue or source: 2026 [16].<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition IND, scenario SCN-IND-MON-01, step 2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">03 Food to finance<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Food prices pass into household budgets; no figure bound. Analogue or source: not bound.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition IND, scenario SCN-IND-MON-01, step 3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">04 Energy to water<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Pumping and cooling demand add load to the power system. Analogue or source: physical coupling.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition IND, scenario SCN-IND-MON-01, step 4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">05 Climate to health<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Heat and water stress raise health and care demand. Analogue or source: 2025 [21] [22].<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition IND, scenario SCN-IND-MON-01, step 5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">06 Water to biodiversity<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Drier soils and forests raise fire and stress on wetlands. Analogue or source: not bound.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition IND, scenario SCN-IND-MON-01, step 6<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-2\">A teaching model of a conditional scenario under the edition&#8217;s stated assumptions: not a forecast, not a prediction and not a warning. Sources: <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/scenario\/\" rel=\"noopener\">India 2026, scenario SCN-IND-MON-01<\/a> (2026); India 2026, references (NR-CIT-1) (2026).<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Central Ground Water Board and Ministry of Jal Shakti (eds.), Dynamic Ground Water Resources Assessment of India 2025, as summarised by Vision IAS. New Delhi, 30 December 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>HeatWatch (ed.), Struck by Heat: A News Analysis of Heatstroke Deaths in India in 2025, as reported by The Print. New Delhi, 22 August 2025. Observation period February to July 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c5-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Press Trust of India (ed.), \u201cIndia recorded over 7,000 suspected heatstroke cases, 14 deaths in March\u2013June period: RTI,\u201d reporting National Centre for Disease Control data. The Print, New Delhi, July 2025. Observation period 1 March to 24 June 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c5-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-lenses-and-readings\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 6<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Readings from the other desks<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The baseline is read through each steward\u2019s lens, then once as a whole. Each lens is a projection of reviewed findings, not a separate argument. The other desks&#8217; own editions of this subject are listed first, as cross-references, not copies.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>13 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>8 tables<\/span><span>39 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.1<\/span><span>The other desks&#8217; editions of this subject<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Federation: each desk writes its own edition for the subjects in its remit. Until a desk releases, its edition shows its frame and the reading this edition printed for it.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Desk<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Edition<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Identifier<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr data-host=\"true\"><th scope=\"row\">GCRI Systems Evidence<\/th><td>No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in this cycle<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">GRF Public Deliberation<\/th><td>No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in this cycle<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">GRA Capital Readiness<\/th><td>No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in this cycle<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Standards Progress<\/th><td>Outside this desk&#8217;s remit<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in remit<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Academy Capability<\/th><td>Outside this desk&#8217;s remit<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in remit<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Index Measurement<\/th><td>No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in this cycle<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.2<\/span><span>Three lenses<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">One edition, read by each steward. The lens of this site comes first.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cards\" data-n=\"3\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\" data-host=\"true\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 KEY T<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Technical Truth<\/h3><p>The evidence supports a coupled reading of India\u2019s risk: the monsoon sets water and food outcomes, extremes cause large and rising loss of life, and the power system is changing faster than its fuel mix. Evidence is strongest for climate, capacity and crop estimates, and weakest for heat deaths, insured losses and lifeline continuity.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">CLI-002 \u00b7 WAT-004 \u00b7 SYS-012<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GRF \u00b7 KEY M<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Public Meaning<\/h3><p>For most people risk arrives as a late monsoon, a flood, a heat wave or a price rise. The baseline asks that public debate weigh how a deficient season reaches household budgets, and how losses from floods and heat are shared between households, insurers and the state.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">CLI-003 \u00b7 FOO-009 \u00b7 HLT-010<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GRA \u00b7 KEY F<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Capital Meaning<\/h3><p>Readiness implications only. Insured and uninsured losses are not bound, and groundwater extraction exceeds 100% in three states<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>. These show where finance-readiness evidence will matter. Nothing here is advice, a rating or an endorsement.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">WAT-004 \u00b7 SYS-012<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEXUS<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Synthesis<\/h3><p>India is building clean power at record speed, yet water, food and health still depend on rainfall. The 2027 programme should test the deficient-monsoon pathway, map lifeline dependencies for one mountain valley, and bind a heat-death series.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">SYS-012 \u00b7 A-01 \u00b7 A-04<\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.3<\/span><span>Standards, Academy and steward contributions<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">How the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a> drafts, the Risk Academy and the three stewards feed each quarterly edition for India. The standards are preparatory working drafts (October 2026) and are cited as drafts, never as adopted standards.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">The quarterly rhythm every edition follows<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Quarter<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Edition<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Question<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Boundary<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Q1<\/td><td>State and Agenda<\/td><td>What matters this year, and what is the starting position?<\/td><td>observed baseline stays distinct from planned work<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q2<\/td><td>Evidence and Build<\/td><td>What new evidence and capability have been developed?<\/td><td>a configured capability is not a validated result<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q3<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 stress-test\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"An assessment of how a system, portfolio or institution would perform under severe but plausible adverse scenarios, to find weaknesses before they are revealed by events.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Stress Test<\/a> and Readiness<\/td><td>What do scenarios and tests reveal?<\/td><td>simulated loss or performance is not observed impact<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q4<\/td><td>Annual Synthesis and Renewal<\/td><td>What did the year establish, and what changes next?<\/td><td>release follows review, not event publicity deadlines<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Who contributes what each quarter<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Steward or body<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Contribution route<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>GCRI Canada<\/td><td>Lead Institution and Consortium Secretariat; publisher of record; technical truth (key T)<\/td><td>science and practice communities \u00b7 GCRI gateway<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>The Global Risks Forum (GRF)<\/td><td>leadership, dialogue and the <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/programme\/universe\">Universe<\/a> programme; public meaning (key M)<\/td><td>policy, Universe and national adoption \u00b7 GRF gateway<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>The Global Risks Alliance (GRA)<\/td><td>finance, insurance and development readiness; capital meaning (key F)<\/td><td>finance and insurance \u00b7 GRA gateway<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nexus Standards<\/td><td>preparatory drafts on vocabulary, hazards, indicators and methods<\/td><td>Standards site \u00b7 working groups HAZ, IND, MTH, FIN, AI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Risk Academy<\/td><td>learning pathways tied to the agenda questions<\/td><td>Academy gateway \u00b7 learning by review<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>India<\/td><td>national pathway: Desk, Leadership Council, Consortium, Working Groups<\/td><td>national Commons room<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Standards drafts used in this edition<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Risk vocabulary NRS-C1 (424 terms) for terms in the glossary<\/li><li>Hazard atlas NHS-1 1.1.0 (905 hazards in 120 families) for risk objects<\/li><li>Seven risk classes: global, catastrophic, existential, emerging, planetary, exponential, frontier-tech<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Standards calendar to watch<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Founding calls from 20 October 2026; working groups meet from 5 November 2026<\/li><li>Inaugural Global Standards Council session, 12 January 2027<\/li><li>Quarterly reviews in March, June, September and December, aligned with each edition<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Nothing here certifies. A Nexus attestation records an evaluation under a mandate; it confers no certification, endorsement or approval. National adoption of any standard is a decision of the national standards council.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.4<\/span><span>GCRI reading: the model card<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-p\">GCRI&#8217;s reading of this edition is its model card: what the national model is, what it computes and where it stops. It is printed in full in Annex A, with the methods it belongs to. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/methodology\/\">Annex A, methodology<\/a><\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.5<\/span><span>Global Risks Forum reading: editorial essays<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Four signed essays by the <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/programme\/reports\">Reports<\/a> editorial team set out the positions this edition takes. They are interpretation, labelled as such; the evidence they draw on is in the findings register.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">A season at 108% of the average in 2025 was followed by one at 87% in 2026. The baseline treats rainfall variability as the first coupling in India\u2019s water, food and power systems.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 01<\/h3><p>The monsoon is the system<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Non-fossil sources now hold more than half of installed capacity, yet fossil fuels still supplied about 73% of electricity in 2025. Capacity and generation are different measures, and both are needed.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 02<\/h3><p>Clean capacity, fossil generation<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The weather service counts about 2,760 extreme-weather deaths for 2025, while official and media heat-death counts differ by a wide margin. A count that cannot be reproduced is a gap, and the baseline says so.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 03<\/h3><p>Counting the dead<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">This edition leaves several cells empty and names the source that would fill each. A blank with a blocker is more useful than an estimate without a source.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 04<\/h3><p>Gaps are findings too<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Essays are signed views of the editorial team. Contributed articles from working groups, consortium institutions and invited experts begin with the Q1 2027 edition, each with its own review route and disclosures.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.6<\/span><span>Global Risks Alliance reading: q1 2027 readiness pack<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The registers that open the first operational quarter. At baseline each is initialised from this edition.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Q1 2027 readiness pack<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Register<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State at baseline<\/th><th scope=\"col\">First Q1 2027 entry<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>E1<\/td><td>National risk state delta<\/td><td>baseline set by this edition<\/td><td>changes against the baseline<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E2<\/td><td>WEFH+B state delta<\/td><td>five system readings set<\/td><td>indicator updates and freshness<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E3<\/td><td>Agenda and Portfolio movement<\/td><td>eight agenda items \u00b7 7 proposed objects<\/td><td>admission decisions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E4<\/td><td>NWG delivery register<\/td><td>no groups yet<\/td><td>first monthly outputs<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E5<\/td><td>NNC capability register<\/td><td>membership opens in Q1 2027<\/td><td>first contributions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E6<\/td><td>NLC questions and challenges<\/td><td>none yet<\/td><td>first challenge log<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E7<\/td><td>Foundry technical state<\/td><td>environment prepared<\/td><td>first sealed cut<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E8<\/td><td>Publication candidates<\/td><td>twelve findings carried forward<\/td><td>PUBLISH \u00b7 HOLD dispositions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E9<\/td><td>Universe readiness<\/td><td>one candidate mission<\/td><td>admission and role spine<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E10<\/td><td>Correction register<\/td><td>none<\/td><td>first correction cycle<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication dispositions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Publish<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Hold<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Needs evidence<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Restricted<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Superseded<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Programme progress is not real-world risk improvement. These registers record the work of the Nexus programme; they report on no public authority.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.7<\/span><span>Nexus Standards reading: standards and regulatory watch<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Instruments that shape the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> in this edition, by status on the retrieval date. The edition assesses no one\u2019s compliance.<\/p><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">IN FORCE<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">ADOPTED<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">SUBMITTED<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">UNDER REVIEW<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">PUBLISHED \u00b7 VOLUNTARY<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Standards and regulatory watch<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Instrument<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Body<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Scope<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Relevance<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a> \u00b7 2035 contribution: 47% cut in emissions intensity from 2005<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n32\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r32\" aria-label=\"Note 32\">32<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UNFCCC \u00b7 India<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>SUBMITTED 2026<\/td><td>emissions pathway<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Updated first contribution: 45% intensity cut and 50% non-fossil capacity by 2030<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UNFCCC \u00b7 India<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>SUBMITTED 2022<\/td><td>target already passed for capacity<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Long-term low-carbon development strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Government of India<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>SUBMITTED 2022<\/td><td>net zero 2070<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Kunming-Montreal Framework<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CBD<\/td><td>international<\/td><td>ADOPTED 2022<\/td><td>30by30<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/sendai-framework-alignment\/\">Sendai Framework<\/a> \u00b7 national disaster management plan<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n30\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r30\" aria-label=\"Note 30\">30<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n42\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r42\" aria-label=\"Note 42\">42<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UNDRR \u00b7 NDMA<\/td><td>international \u00b7 national<\/td><td>PUBLISHED 2015 \u00b7 2019<\/td><td>disaster <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-reduction\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Preventing new risk, reducing existing risk and managing residual risk, all contributing to resilience.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">risk reduction<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat-wave action-plan guidelines<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n43\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r43\" aria-label=\"Note 43\">43<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NDMA<\/td><td>states and cities<\/td><td>PUBLISHED 2019<\/td><td>heat preparedness<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Changed since 2024<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>India submitted its 2035 climate contribution on 24 April 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Non-fossil capacity passed 300 GW in July 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>First-phase houselisting for Census 2027 closed on 30 September 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n23\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">To watch in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>The next biennial update report and the method note for the 2035 intensity target<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>The national electricity plan and capacity additions<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n41\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r41\" aria-label=\"Note 41\">41<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Population enumeration dates for Census 2027<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Status is read from the issuing body on the retrieval date. A change in status opens a review task for every finding that relies on the instrument.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.8<\/span><span>Risk Academy reading: literature and evidence review, science and assessments<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The review behind this edition covers peer-reviewed science, national and international assessments and the institutional reports that bind its findings. Full systematic reviews begin in Q1 2027 for each agenda item.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Review protocol<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Question<\/dt><dd>What does the published evidence establish about India\u2019s coupled water, energy, food, health and biodiversity risks?<\/dd><dt>Sources searched<\/dt><dd>peer-reviewed literature; national and international assessments; official releases; industry loss data<\/dd><dt>Window<\/dt><dd>releases available at evidence close, 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Selection<\/dt><dd>sources that bind or contextualise a finding in this edition<\/dd><dt>Next step<\/dt><dd>systematic reviews for agenda items A-01 to A-05 in Q1 2027<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Science and assessments<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Type<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Lee and Romero (eds.)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n29\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r29\" aria-label=\"Note 29\">29<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>forcing<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>McElwee et al. (eds.)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n35\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r35\" aria-label=\"Note 35\">35<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>framework<\/td><td>nexus interlinkages<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Zscheischler et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n36\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r36\" aria-label=\"Note 36\">36<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal article<\/td><td>2018<\/td><td>framework<\/td><td>compound events<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rodell et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 Asoka et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n25\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal articles<\/td><td>2009 \u00b7 2017<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">groundwater depletion<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Roxy et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 Im et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal articles<\/td><td>2017<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>rain and heat extremes<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Institutional reports<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>India Country Climate and Development Report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n49\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r49\" aria-label=\"Note 49\">49<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>World Bank<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>climate and development<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Long-term low-carbon strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Government of India<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>net zero 2070<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>National Electricity Plan, generation<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n41\" aria-label=\"Note 41\">41<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Central Electricity Authority<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>capacity planning<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Composite Water Management Index 2.0<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n46\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r46\" aria-label=\"Note 46\">46<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NITI Aayog<\/td><td>2019<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>water management<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Hindu Kush Himalaya assessment<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n48\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r48\" aria-label=\"Note 48\">48<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>ICIMOD<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>mountain water and ice<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Official statistics and national sources<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>IMD annual statement<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 monsoon summary<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>India Meteorological Department<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>climate and monsoon<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Groundwater assessment<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CGWB and states<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>groundwater<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Foodgrain estimates<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 crop brief<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Ministry of Agriculture \u00b7 FAO<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>food<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>National Family Health Survey 2019\u201321<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n47\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r47\" aria-label=\"Note 47\">47<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>IIPS and Ministry of Health<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>health, not bound<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>World Population Prospects<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n51\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r51\" aria-label=\"Note 51\">51<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 health statistics<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n37\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r37\" aria-label=\"Note 37\">37<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UN DESA \u00b7 WHO<\/td><td>2024\u20132025<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>population and health<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-tab8\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.8<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Industry, loss data and international sources<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Census 2027 notices<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Registrar General<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>population evidence timing<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat-death reports<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>HeatWatch \u00b7 press report of NCDC data<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>inconsistent counts<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Electricity review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 country page<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Ember<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>power mix<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Air-pollution burden<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n28\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r28\" aria-label=\"Note 28\">28<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Lancet Planetary Health<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>health burden<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NatCatSERVICE<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n34\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r34\" aria-label=\"Note 34\">34<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 energy review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n33\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-r33\" aria-label=\"Note 33\">33<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Munich Re \u00b7 IEA<\/td><td>2025\u20132026<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>global losses and energy<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Where the evidence agrees<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>India is warming and the monsoon varies strongly between seasons<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Groundwater extraction is highest in the north-west<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Non-fossil capacity is growing faster than fossil generation is falling<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Where it is unsettled<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>How many people die from heat each year, since official and media counts differ<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>How fast fossil generation can fall as evening demand grows<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>How to compare capacity and generation shares of non-fossil power<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEWS AND PREPRINTS<\/p><p>No news report or preprint binds a finding in this edition. News is used only to date events; preprints used from Q1 2027 will be flagged as not peer-reviewed.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Central Ground Water Board and Ministry of Jal Shakti (eds.), Dynamic Ground Water Resources Assessment of India 2025, as summarised by Vision IAS. New Delhi, 30 December 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> (ed.), India\u2019s Nationally Determined Contribution for 2031\u20132035. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 24 April 2026. Observation year 2035 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n32\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">32<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a>. United Nations, Paris, 2015. Observation year 2015.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r32\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 32\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), India\u2019s Updated First Nationally Determined Contribution under the Paris Agreement. UNFCCC, Bonn, August 2022. Observation year 2030 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Long-Term Low-Carbon Development Strategy. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 14 November 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Convention on Biological Diversity (ed.), Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, Decision 15\/4. CBD Secretariat, Montreal, 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>UNDRR (ed.), <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/sendai-framework-alignment\/\">Sendai Framework<\/a> for Disaster <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-reduction\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Preventing new risk, reducing existing risk and managing residual risk, all contributing to resilience.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Risk Reduction<\/a> 2015\u20132030. UNDRR, Geneva, 2015. Observation year 2015.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r30\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 30\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n42\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">42<\/span><span>National Disaster Management Authority (ed.), National Disaster Management Plan 2019. NDMA, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r42\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 42\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n43\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">43<\/span><span>National Disaster Management Authority (ed.), Guidelines for Preparation of Action Plan: Prevention and Management of Heat Wave. NDMA, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r43\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 43\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Climate Action Tracker (ed.), India: 2035 NDC assessment. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, Berlin, September 2026. Observation year 2035 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (ed.), installed non-fossil power capacity at 31 July 2026, as reported by Renewable Watch. New Delhi, 11 August 2026. Observation date 31 July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), power-capacity factsheet of 13 August 2026, as reported by the Indo-Asian News Service. New Delhi, 13 August 2026. Observation date July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Office of the Registrar General and Census Commissioner, India (ed.), Census 2027: houselisting and population enumeration notices. Ministry of Home Affairs, New Delhi, 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r23\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 23\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Fourth Biennial Update Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, including the 2020 national greenhouse-gas inventory. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted 30 December 2024. Observation year 2020.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n41\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">41<\/span><span>Central Electricity Authority (ed.), National Electricity Plan, Volume I: Generation. CEA, New Delhi, 2023. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r41\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 41\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n29\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">29<\/span><span>H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC. IPCC, Geneva, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r29\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 29\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n35\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">35<\/span><span>P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054. Observation year 2024. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.13850054\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r35\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 35\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n36\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">36<\/span><span>J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., \u201cFuture climate risk from compound events,\u201d Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469\u2013477, 2018. Observation year 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r36\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 36\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>M. Rodell, I. Velicogna and J. S. Famiglietti, \u201cSatellite-based estimates of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">groundwater depletion<\/a> in India,\u201d Nature, vol. 460, pp. 999\u20131002, 2009. doi:10.1038\/nature08238. Observation year 2009. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nature08238\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/nature08238<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>A. Asoka, T. Gleeson, Y. Wada and V. Mishra, \u201cRelative contribution of monsoon precipitation and pumping to changes in groundwater storage in India,\u201d Nature Geoscience, vol. 10, pp. 109\u2013117, 2017. doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/ngeo2869\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r25\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 25\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>M. K. Roxy, S. Ghosh, A. Pathak et al., \u201cA threefold rise in widespread <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">extreme rain<\/a> events over central India,\u201d Nature Communications, vol. 8, article 708, 2017. doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>E.-S. Im, J. S. Pal and E. A. B. Eltahir, \u201cDeadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia,\u201d Science Advances, vol. 3, no. 8, e1603322, 2017. doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/sciadv.1603322\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n49\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">49<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), India: Country Climate and Development Report. World Bank, Washington DC, October 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r49\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 49\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n46\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">46<\/span><span>NITI Aayog (ed.), Composite Water Management Index 2.0. NITI Aayog, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r46\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 46\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n48\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">48<\/span><span>International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ed.), Water, Ice, Society, and Ecosystems in the Hindu Kush Himalaya: An Outlook. ICIMOD, Kathmandu, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r48\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 48\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Statement on the Climate of India during 2025. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, press release of 1 January 2026, published by the World Meteorological Organization 12 January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), GIEWS Country Brief: India. FAO, Rome, reference date 13 February 2026. Observation years 2025\u20132026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n47\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">47<\/span><span>International Institute for Population Sciences and ICF (eds.), National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5), 2019\u201321: India. IIPS, Mumbai, 2021. Observation years 2019\u20132021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r47\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 47\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n51\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">51<\/span><span>United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (ed.), World Population Prospects 2024. United Nations, New York, 2024. Observation year 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r51\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 51\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n37\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">37<\/span><span>World Health Organization (ed.), World Health Statistics 2025. WHO, Geneva, 2025. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r37\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 37\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>HeatWatch (ed.), Struck by Heat: A News Analysis of Heatstroke Deaths in India in 2025, as reported by The Print. New Delhi, 22 August 2025. Observation period February to July 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Press Trust of India (ed.), \u201cIndia recorded over 7,000 suspected heatstroke cases, 14 deaths in March\u2013June period: RTI,\u201d reporting National Centre for Disease Control data. The Print, New Delhi, July 2025. Observation period 1 March to 24 June 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Global Electricity Review 2026. Ember, London, 22 April 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), India: electricity data and analysis (country page). Ember, London, accessed 3 November 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>A. Pandey, M. Brauer, M. L. Cropper et al., \u201cHealth and economic impact of air pollution in the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019,\u201d The Lancet Planetary Health, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. e25\u2013e38, 2021. doi:10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9. Observation year 2019. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r28\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 28\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n34\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">34<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r34\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 34\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c6-n33\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">33<\/span><span>International Energy Agency (ed.), Global Energy Review 2025. IEA, Paris, 2025. Observation year 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c6-r33\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 33\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-agenda\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 7<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">The 2027 agenda<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda. Each comes from a baseline finding, names the initiative that will carry it and the first output due at the Q1 2027 cut.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>5 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>6 tables<\/span><span>6 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.1<\/span><span>Questions for the operational series<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How would a second deficient monsoon change groundwater stress and kharif output in the north-west plains?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-IND-WAT-01 \u00b7 monsoon deficit and groundwater; first output: recharge and extraction baseline for three states.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How far can evening-peak balancing and fossil generation be reduced as solar grows?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-IND-ENE-02 \u00b7 power-system balancing; first output: hourly generation and curtailment register.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How do public grain stocks and export policy buffer a short harvest?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-IND-FOO-03 \u00b7 food buffers; first output: stock-and-policy table.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How would a Himalayan <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">cloudburst<\/a> and flood sequence cut roads, power and care together?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-IND-CLI-04 \u00b7 mountain flood continuity; first output: dependency graph for one river valley.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Where do flood, lightning and heat losses fall on households and on public budgets?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-IND-FIN-05 \u00b7 <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/globalriskalliance.com\/glossary\/protection-gap\/\" data-tgl=\"Global Risks Alliance glossary\">protection gap<\/a>; first output: peril-by-state loss table.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How do heat and humidity load health and care in summer?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">To be admitted when heat-health data are bound; first output: scoping note.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-07<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How do land-use change and fire affect ecosystems outside protected areas?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">To be admitted in Q1 2027; first output: scoping note.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-08<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Which capabilities have been tested in real disasters, and which are only planned?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">National capability register; first output: rung evidence for 15 functions.<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.2<\/span><span>Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Five initiatives and one Universe mission candidate are proposed for admission at the Q1 2027 alignment. They are programme objects, no partner, funder or member is attached to them in this edition.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Objects proposed for the first operational quarter<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">ID<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Object<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Kind<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Question<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-IND-WAT-01<\/span><\/td><td>Monsoon deficit and groundwater baseline<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-IND-ENE-02<\/span><\/td><td>Power-system balancing and fossil generation<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-02<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-IND-FOO-03<\/span><\/td><td>Food buffers: stocks and export policy<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-03<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-IND-CLI-04<\/span><\/td><td>Mountain flood continuity<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-04<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-IND-FIN-05<\/span><\/td><td>Disaster <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/globalriskalliance.com\/glossary\/protection-gap\/\" data-tgl=\"Global Risks Alliance glossary\">protection gap<\/a><\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-05<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PRJ-IND-WAT-01a<\/span><\/td><td>Three-state recharge and extraction graph<\/td><td>Project<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MSN-IND-2027-01<\/span><\/td><td>Deficient-monsoon compound Universe mission<\/td><td>Mission<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Candidate<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.3<\/span><span>The pathway<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">India is the national pathway through which the Nexus operating system will run in India from 2027. At baseline the pathway is designed and its records are prepared; its councils and working groups are constituted from Q1 2027. This page states what exists today and what comes next, nothing more.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">One National Agenda<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">bounded national questions for the year<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">DRAFT 2027 \u00b7 agenda review at the Q1 alignment<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Desk<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">coordination, records, routing and continuity<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">DESIGNED \u00b7 constituted in Q1 2027<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Model<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">the country as a system of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">v0 SPECIFIED \u00b7 v1 with the first Foundry cut<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Portfolio<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">risks, capabilities, initiatives, projects, missions<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">7 PROPOSED \u00b7 admission at the Q1 alignment<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Foundry<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">continuous computational environment<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">PREPARED \u00b7 first sealed cut NQ-IND-2027-Q1<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Reports<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">quarterly and annual publication<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">BASELINE ISSUED \u00b7 Q1 2027 \u00b7 State &amp; Agenda<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">07<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Universe<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">annual proving environment<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">CANDIDATE MISSION \u00b7 mandate set in 2027<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">08<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Evidence and correction<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">after-action, correction and renewal<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">OPEN \u00b7 first correction cycle in Q2 2027<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.4<\/span><span>Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Mandate<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Core Build \u00b7 1 month<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Action \u00b7 1 week<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Evidence seal<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Portfolio correction<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Next mandate<\/p><\/li><\/ol><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Record<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Timing<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>F1<\/td><td>Annual mandate record<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>after the Q2 2027 alignment<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F2<\/td><td>Core Build record<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>one month before the exercise<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F3<\/td><td>Exercise evidence<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>during the Action week<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F4<\/td><td>Decision packets<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>exercise state only<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F5<\/td><td>Proof receipts<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>scoped to each recorded check<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F6<\/td><td>After-action report<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>within one quarter<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F7<\/td><td>Upgrade docket<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>routed to the Portfolio<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F8<\/td><td>Portfolio renewal<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>Q4 2027 annual edition<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F9<\/td><td>Public synthesis<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>public-safe extracts only<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Mission<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>ID<\/dt><dd>MSN-IND-2027-01 \u00b7 Deficient-monsoon compound Universe mission<\/dd><dt>Role spine<\/dt><dd>Leadership sponsor (NLC) \u00b7 Institutional anchor (NNC) \u00b7 Mission lead (NWG)<\/dd><dt>Receiving actors<\/dt><dd>to be identified with the mandate<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Simulation success is not deployment approval; demonstration is not certification; finance readiness is not financing secured.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.5<\/span><span>Handoffs and routing<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Where the baseline\u2019s findings go next. A handoff routes a finding for awareness, review or work; it transfers no authority.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Handoffs and routing<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Finding<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Routed to<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Purpose<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Class<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>CLI-001 \u00b7 2025 climate<\/td><td>public record<\/td><td>reference for the 2027 series<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CLI-002 \u00b7 2026 monsoon<\/td><td>INI-IND-WAT-01<\/td><td>monsoon deficit baseline<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ENE-006 \u00b7 capacity<\/td><td>INI-IND-ENE-02<\/td><td>power-system balancing<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CLI-003 \u00b7 extreme-weather deaths<\/td><td>INI-IND-CLI-04<\/td><td>mountain flood continuity<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WAT-004 \u00b7 groundwater<\/td><td>INI-IND-WAT-01<\/td><td>three-state graph<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FOO-009 \u00b7 foodgrain<\/td><td>INI-IND-FOO-03<\/td><td>food buffers<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>HLT-010 \u00b7 heat counts<\/td><td>INI-IND-FIN-05 \u00b7 key F review<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/globalriskalliance.com\/glossary\/protection-gap\/\" data-tgl=\"Global Risks Alliance glossary\">protection gap<\/a> and heat series<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SYS-012 \u00b7 compound pathway<\/td><td>MSN-IND-2027-01<\/td><td>Universe candidate<\/td><td>CONSORTIUM<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Routing rules by publication class<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Class<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Where it goes<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Who can see it<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>PUBLIC<\/td><td>the published edition and its evidence bundle<\/td><td>anyone<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CONSORTIUM<\/td><td>governed rooms of the national pathway<\/td><td>consortium members under agreement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CONTROLLED<\/td><td>need-to-know channels<\/td><td>named competent actors only<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Handoffs carry findings to Nexus programme objects and steward reviews. Competent authorities receive public editions as published; nothing here instructs them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.6<\/span><span>Feeds and signal register<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Feeds watched from Q1 2027<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Feed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Producer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Latency<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Feeds into<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Weather, climate and monsoon statements<\/td><td>India Meteorological Department<\/td><td>daily to annual<\/td><td>CLI findings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Groundwater resource assessment<\/td><td>Central Ground Water Board<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>WAT-004<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Reservoir storage bulletin<\/td><td>Central Water Commission<\/td><td>weekly<\/td><td>WAT findings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Installed capacity and generation<\/td><td>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy \u00b7 Central Electricity Authority<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><td>ENE-006 \u00b7 ENE-007<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Crop production estimates<\/td><td>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare<\/td><td>four a year<\/td><td>FOO-009<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Forest survey<\/td><td>Forest Survey of India<\/td><td>every two years<\/td><td>BIO-011<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Census results<\/td><td>Registrar General and Census Commissioner<\/td><td>decennial<\/td><td>population findings<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Escalation routes<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">none \u00b7 keep monitoring<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">research question<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">project<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">risk object<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">quarterly publication<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">signal report<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Signals at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">ID<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Signal<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Corroboration<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Systems<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Route<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>SIG-IND-001<\/td><td>A deficient 2026 monsoon after a record foodgrain estimate for 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>CLI \u00b7 FOO<\/td><td>risk object RSK-IND-CLI-001<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SIG-IND-002<\/td><td>Fossil generation fell while capacity grew in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>ENE \u00b7 CLI<\/td><td>initiative A-02<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SIG-IND-003<\/td><td>Official and media heat-death counts differ widely<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>HLT \u00b7 CLI<\/td><td>research question A-06<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>A signal is not a warning. Signal records never substitute for official alerting or early-warning authorities, and they bypass no publication control.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Global Electricity Review 2026. Ember, London, 22 April 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), India: electricity data and analysis (country page). Ember, London, accessed 3 November 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>HeatWatch (ed.), Struck by Heat: A News Analysis of Heatstroke Deaths in India in 2025, as reported by The Print. New Delhi, 22 August 2025. Observation period February to July 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c7-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Press Trust of India (ed.), \u201cIndia recorded over 7,000 suspected heatstroke cases, 14 deaths in March\u2013June period: RTI,\u201d reporting National Centre for Disease Control data. The Print, New Delhi, July 2025. Observation period 1 March to 24 June 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c7-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-systems-in-depth\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 8<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Systems in depth<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>7 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>5 tables<\/span><span>17 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.1<\/span><span>Water, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Groundwater extraction stands at 60.63% of the extractable resource, and the 2026 monsoon delivered 87% of its average, so the stock is asked to carry the shortfall.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">60.63<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>stage of extraction, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">730<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">units<\/span><p>over-exploited of 6,762, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u22481,014<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">m\u00b3<\/span><p>renewable internal freshwater per person, 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Extraction<\/td><td>247.22 BCM against 407.75 BCM extractable; recharge 448.52 BCM<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Hotspots<\/td><td>stage of extraction 156.36% in Punjab, 147.11% in Rajasthan, 136.75% in Haryana<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Trend<\/td><td>stage of extraction fell from 63.33% in 2017 to 60.63% in 2025<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Per-person supply<\/td><td>about 1,014 m\u00b3 of renewable internal freshwater in 2022<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>National storage<\/td><td>national reservoir series not retrieved<\/td><td>Central Water Commission<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n45\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r45\" aria-label=\"Note 45\">45<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>CLI \u2192 WAT rainfall and recharge<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 FOO irrigation and crops<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 WAT pumping load<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 HLT drinking water<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>national reservoir storage<\/li><li>well-level abstraction data<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Reservoir levels, dry-season groundwater, state-level extraction stage and the 2027 monsoon forecast.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Water services rest with national, state and local authorities; this chapter assesses none of them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.2<\/span><span>Energy, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Non-fossil sources are 54% of installed capacity, yet fossil fuels still supplied about 73% of electricity in 2025, so capacity and generation tell different stories.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">300.50<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">GW<\/span><p>non-fossil capacity, 31 July 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u22123.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>change in fossil generation, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">36.0<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">% of energy use<\/span><p>net energy imports, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Capacity<\/td><td>about 552 GW installed; solar 164.59 GW, wind 58.14 GW, hydro 57.24 GW, bio-power 11.75 GW, nuclear 8.78 GW<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Additions<\/td><td>55.29 GW of non-fossil capacity added in 2025\u201326, of which 44.6 GW solar and 6 GW wind<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Generation<\/td><td>renewables up 98 TWh in 2025; solar 196 TWh, 9.4% of demand; fossil about 73%<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Coal<\/td><td>coal generation fell 2.9% in 2025; share of generation not bound to one source<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Imports<\/td><td>net energy imports 36.0% of energy use in 2024<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>TRD \u2192 ENE fuel imports<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 WAT pumping and cooling<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 ENE heat demand and hydropower<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 FOO irrigation power<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>coal share of generation on one source<\/li><li>storage and flexible capacity<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Evening-peak demand, solar curtailment, capacity additions and the national electricity plan<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n41\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r41\" aria-label=\"Note 41\">41<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Energy decisions rest with the government, regulators and operators; this chapter assesses none of them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.3<\/span><span>Food and agrifood, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The 2025\u201326 foodgrain estimate is a record, so the food system met the deficient 2026 monsoon from a position of high output, and the effects of 2026 are not yet bound.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">376.563<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt<\/span><p>foodgrain, third advance estimate 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">120.657<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt<\/span><p>wheat, 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">154.024<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt<\/span><p>rice, 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Total<\/td><td>376.563 Mt against 357.732 Mt in 2024\u201325, up about 5.3%<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Wheat<\/td><td>120.657 Mt estimated; FAO reports a record 117.9 Mt in 2025<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Trade policy<\/td><td>wheat <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.trade-restriction\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"Export bans, sanctions or embargoes that cut access to goods, energy or inputs.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/sys\/\" data-txl=\"Systemic and compound events\">export ban<\/a> in place since May 2022; rice exports forecast at 23.6 Mt for 2026<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Kharif 2026<\/td><td>production after the deficient monsoon not bound<\/td><td>Ministry of Agriculture<\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Stocks<\/td><td>public grain stock depth not retrieved<\/td><td>Food Corporation of India<\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>WAT \u2192 FOO irrigation<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 FOO monsoon and heat<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 FOO irrigation power<\/li><li>FOO \u2192 FIN household budgets<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>kharif 2026 production<\/li><li>public stock depth<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Advance estimates for 2026\u201327, stock levels, export policy and the 2026\u201327 winter rainfall.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>This chapter describes the food system; it makes no statement on agricultural or trade policy.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.4<\/span><span>Health and One Health, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">India has a large population in which 7.4% are aged 65 or over, and no consistent national heat-death series was available at evidence close.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">72.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">years<\/span><p>life expectancy, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">7.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>aged 65 or over, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">139.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">per 100,000<\/span><p>air-pollution mortality, age-standardised, 2019<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Life expectancy<\/td><td>72.2 years in 2024<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ageing<\/td><td>7.4% of the population aged 65 or over in 2025<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Air pollution<\/td><td>age-standardised mortality of 139.3 per 100,000 in 2019; state-level burden in the GBD 2019 study<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n28\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r28\" aria-label=\"Note 28\">28<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat deaths<\/td><td>14 confirmed by NCDC, 1 March to 24 June 2025; at least 84 in a media review, February to July 2025<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat deaths, national total<\/td><td>one reproducible national series not bound<\/td><td>NCDC \u00b7 state health departments<\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>CLI \u2192 HLT heat<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 HLT drinking water<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 HLT cooling and power<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 HLT floods and injury<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>heat deaths<\/li><li>current air-pollution burden<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Summer heat alerts, hospital load and a published heat-health series.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Health and care planning rest with national and state authorities. No personal health data are used or shown in Reports.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.5<\/span><span>Biodiversity and ecosystems, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Forest covered 24.4% of land in 2024 and 7.7% of land was under terrestrial protection, but the condition of ecosystems outside protected areas is not bound here.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">24.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">% of land<\/span><p>forest area, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">7.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">% of land<\/span><p>terrestrial protected area, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">46.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">% of farmland<\/span><p>agricultural land irrigated, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Forest<\/td><td>24.4% of land area in 2024 on the World Bank series<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Protection<\/td><td>7.7% of land area under terrestrial protection in 2024<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Irrigation<\/td><td>46.2% of agricultural land irrigated in 2024<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Survey cover<\/td><td>forest and tree cover on the national survey definition not read<\/td><td>Forest Survey of India<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n44\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r44\" aria-label=\"Note 44\">44<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Condition<\/td><td>not bound outside protected areas<\/td><td>n\/a<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>BIO \u2192 WAT forest and watershed regulation<\/li><li>BIO \u2192 FOO pollination and soils<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 BIO drought and fire<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>forest and tree cover on the national definition<\/li><li>condition outside protected areas<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>The next forest survey, progress on protected-area targets under the global biodiversity framework<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup>, and condition indicators.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Biodiversity is not reduced to a single number. Where valuation is used later, it will never be presented as the whole value.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Central Ground Water Board and Ministry of Jal Shakti (eds.), Dynamic Ground Water Resources Assessment of India 2025, as summarised by Vision IAS. New Delhi, 30 December 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, net energy imports (EG.IMP.CONS.ZS), renewable internal freshwater per person (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), forest area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), terrestrial protected area (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS) and irrigated agricultural land (AG.LND.IRIG.AG.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2022\u20132024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n45\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">45<\/span><span>Central Water Commission (ed.), Reservoir Storage Bulletin (weekly). CWC, New Delhi, 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r45\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 45\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (ed.), installed non-fossil power capacity at 31 July 2026, as reported by Renewable Watch. New Delhi, 11 August 2026. Observation date 31 July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Global Electricity Review 2026. Ember, London, 22 April 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), power-capacity factsheet of 13 August 2026, as reported by the Indo-Asian News Service. New Delhi, 13 August 2026. Observation date July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), India: electricity data and analysis (country page). Ember, London, accessed 3 November 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n41\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">41<\/span><span>Central Electricity Authority (ed.), National Electricity Plan, Volume I: Generation. CEA, New Delhi, 2023. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r41\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 41\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), GIEWS Country Brief: India. FAO, Rome, reference date 13 February 2026. Observation years 2025\u20132026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, GDP in current US dollars (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), life expectancy at birth (SP.DYN.LE00.IN) and population aged 65 and above (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, CO2 emissions excluding LULUCF (EN.GHG.CO2.MT.CE.AR5) and mortality attributed to household and ambient air pollution (SH.STA.AIRP.P5). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2019 and 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>A. Pandey, M. Brauer, M. L. Cropper et al., \u201cHealth and economic impact of air pollution in the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019,\u201d The Lancet Planetary Health, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. e25\u2013e38, 2021. doi:10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9. Observation year 2019. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r28\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 28\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>HeatWatch (ed.), Struck by Heat: A News Analysis of Heatstroke Deaths in India in 2025, as reported by The Print. New Delhi, 22 August 2025. Observation period February to July 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Press Trust of India (ed.), \u201cIndia recorded over 7,000 suspected heatstroke cases, 14 deaths in March\u2013June period: RTI,\u201d reporting National Centre for Disease Control data. The Print, New Delhi, July 2025. Observation period 1 March to 24 June 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n44\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">44<\/span><span>Forest Survey of India (ed.), India State of Forest Report 2023. FSI, Dehradun, December 2024. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r44\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 44\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-c8-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Convention on Biological Diversity (ed.), Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, Decision 15\/4. CBD Secretariat, Montreal, 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-c8-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-methodology\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex A<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Methodology<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">How the edition was made: methods, the model card, the evidence cut and its age, the acceptance record and the glossary.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>9 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>12 tables<\/span><span>4 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.1<\/span><span>Methods<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The baseline uses published values and four simple derivations. Each is shown in full so that any reader can reproduce it.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Methods<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">No.<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Derivation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Calculation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Result<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>(1)<\/td><td>Non-fossil share of installed capacity, 31 July 2026<\/td><td>300.50 \u00f7 552<\/td><td>\u2248 54.4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(2)<\/td><td>Groundwater stage of extraction, 2025<\/td><td>247.22 \u00f7 407.75<\/td><td>60.63%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(3)<\/td><td>Monsoon 2026 deficit against the long period average<\/td><td>868.6 \u2212 759.4<\/td><td>109.2 mm<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(4)<\/td><td>Growth in foodgrain estimate, 2025\u201326 on 2024\u201325<\/td><td>376.563 \u00f7 357.732 \u2212 1<\/td><td>\u2248 5.3%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coupling strength scale (matrix and model card)<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Strength<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Definition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>STRONG<\/td><td>a disruption in the source system has historically changed the target system\u2019s service or output within one season<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>MODERATE<\/td><td>an effect is documented but buffered or slower<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WEAK<\/td><td>an effect is plausible but not documented at national scale<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Status grammar<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Label<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Rule<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td>value as issued by its source, with year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><td>reasoned from cited evidence; never a measurement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Estimated<\/span><\/td><td>Nexus analytical value with stated method<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Scenario<\/span><\/td><td>conditional on stated assumptions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><td>structured editorial judgement awaiting evidence<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.2<\/span><span>Model card, National Model v0<\/span><\/h2><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Model ID<\/dt><dd>MDL-IND-NATIONAL \u00b7 v0.1<\/dd><dt>Purpose<\/dt><dd>represent India as coupled water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> with forcing and transmission layers<\/dd><dt>Family<\/dt><dd>graph-based system of systems<\/dd><dt>Inputs<\/dt><dd>the cited sources of this edition; no proprietary data<\/dd><dt>Method<\/dt><dd>expert-specified coupling strengths (STRONG \u00b7 MODERATE \u00b7 WEAK) from evidence and analogue events<\/dd><dt>Validation<\/dt><dd>none yet, first validation against Q1 2027 Foundry evidence<\/dd><dt>Uncertainty<\/dt><dd>qualitative; strengths are hypotheses, not measurements<\/dd><dt>Domain of validity<\/dt><dd>national scale; not for state or asset-level use<\/dd><dt>Reproducibility<\/dt><dd>strength table and sources published in this edition<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">20<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">couplings<\/span><p>typed in v0<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">strong<\/span><p>documented within one season<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">moderate<\/span><p>documented, buffered<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">weak<\/span><p>plausible, undocumented<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">SUITABLE FOR<\/p><p>framing the 2027 agenda; choosing which couplings to measure first; explaining the coupled reading of risk in India.<\/p><\/aside><\/div><div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NOT SUITABLE FOR<\/p><p>quantitative loss estimates, operational decisions, provincial comparisons or any claim about a specific asset.<\/p><\/aside><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">VERSIONING<\/p><p>Models are immutable by version. A change to any coupling, rule or weight produces v0.2 with its own card and correction note.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.3<\/span><span>The baseline evidence cut<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Every Nexus edition is published from a frozen evidence cut. The baseline cut is documentary: it pins the exact edition of every source cited. Model runs begin with the first Foundry cut in Q1 2027.<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Cut ID<\/dt><dd>NQ-IND-2026-Q0-1<\/dd><dt>Type<\/dt><dd>baseline documentary cut<\/dd><dt>Resolution policy<\/dt><dd>pinned \u00b7 as of 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Sources pinned<\/dt><dd>52 cited sources, each at the edition and retrieval date in the references<\/dd><dt>Model runs<\/dt><dd>none at baseline, analytical values are stated with their method<\/dd><dt>Digest<\/dt><dd>computed at <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h5\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.thermal.hard-freeze\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Thermal extremes\" data-td=\"Air temperature falling well below freezing for hours, killing crops, bursting pipes and stopping water flow.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H5\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">freeze<\/a> and recorded in the publication record<\/dd><dt>Supersedes<\/dt><dd>nothing, first cut of the series<\/dd><dt>Superseded by<\/dt><dd>NQ-IND-2027-Q1-1 at the Q1 2027 close<\/dd><\/dl><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Lineage<\/h3><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">source edition<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">pinned citation<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">finding<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">page<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">publication record<\/p><\/li><\/ol><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">From the baseline cut to the first Foundry cut<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Element<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline 2026<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Q1 2027<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Sources<\/td><td>cited publications, pinned by edition<\/td><td>qualified source bindings with versions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Analysis<\/td><td>stated methods and editorial estimates<\/td><td>typed analysis specifications<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Models<\/td><td>National Model v0 specification<\/td><td>model runs with receipts<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Findings<\/td><td>twelve baseline findings<\/td><td>findings re-bound to the cut<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Review<\/td><td>five passes scheduled<\/td><td>five passes on the exact digest<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.4<\/span><span>Evidence age and coverage<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">A 2026 edition rests on evidence observed in many different years. This page shows each time base, so that no single year label hides older evidence.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Evidence age and coverage<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Indicator<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Observed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Released<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Cadence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Next release<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Emissions inventory<\/td><td>2020<\/td><td>Dec 2024<\/td><td>biennial<\/td><td>biennial<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Annual climate statement<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>Jan 2026<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Monsoon season summary<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>Sep 2026<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Groundwater assessment<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>Dec 2025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Installed power capacity<\/td><td>31 Jul 2026<\/td><td>Aug 2026<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Foodgrain estimate<\/td><td>2025\u201326<\/td><td>May 2026<\/td><td>four a year<\/td><td>four a year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>World Bank population<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>Oct 2026<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat-death reports<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>Jul and Aug 2025<\/td><td>one-off<\/td><td>ad hoc<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Air-pollution mortality<\/td><td>2019<\/td><td>Oct 2026<\/td><td>irregular<\/td><td>irregular<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coverage by system at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">System<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Thinnest dimension<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Climate forcing<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>heat deaths; sub-state extremes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>hourly balancing; coal share of generation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>kharif 2026 outcome; stock depth<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Health<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><td>heat deaths; current air-pollution burden<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>national reservoir series; basin balances<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>condition outside protected areas<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Hazard losses<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><td>insured and uninsured losses<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Digital<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><td>dependency mapping<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.5<\/span><span>Evidence cards, two anchor sources<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Prepared by the Government of India as its fourth biennial update report to the UNFCCC, submitted at the end of 2024. Calendar-year basis. Role: binds CLI-008 and the sector figures. The report was read through press reports of its figures, because the primary document was not opened.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EVD-IND-001<\/h3><p>Emissions inventory 2020<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Issued by the India Meteorological Department on 1 January 2026. Annual. Role: binds CLI-001 and CLI-003. Death counts are compiled from media and disaster-authority reports.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EVD-IND-002<\/h3><p>Annual climate statement 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/article><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Quality dimensions at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Dimension<\/th><th scope=\"col\">EVD-IND-001<\/th><th scope=\"col\">EVD-IND-002<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Completeness<\/td><td>all gases by sector; land use as a net sink<\/td><td>temperature, rain, cyclones; deaths from reports<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Timeliness<\/td><td>four years after the inventory year<\/td><td>one day after the year end<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Revision<\/td><td>back-revised in later reports<\/td><td>one-off annual release<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Method transparency<\/td><td>published methodology<\/td><td>base periods stated<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>External validation<\/td><td>not bound in this edition<\/td><td>not bound in this edition<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence cards to follow in Q1 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Emissions inventory after 2020<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup>: the next biennial update report<\/li><li>Forest Survey of India<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-n44\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-r44\" aria-label=\"Note 44\">44<\/a><\/sup>: forest and tree cover on one definition<\/li><li>Central Water Commission<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-n45\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-r45\" aria-label=\"Note 45\">45<\/a><\/sup>: national reservoir storage<\/li><li>National Centre for Disease Control: a heat-death series<\/li><\/ul><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.6<\/span><span>Publication acceptance record<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Editorial self-check at evidence close. Every applicable item carries a disposition; the remaining items are review, approval and deposit.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab8\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.8<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Publication acceptance record<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Group<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Area<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Items<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Pass<\/th><th scope=\"col\">N\/A<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Pending<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>D1<\/td><td>Identity and scope<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D2<\/td><td>Source and data<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>1<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D3<\/td><td>Analysis and models<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D4<\/td><td>Findings and claims<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D5<\/td><td>Figures, tables, maps<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>6<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D6<\/td><td>Editorial and citations<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D7<\/td><td>Review and approval<\/td><td>13<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>13<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D8<\/td><td>Artefact and design<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>7<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D9<\/td><td>Registry and release<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication gate<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Conditions met<\/dt><dd>14 of 23 at evidence close<\/dd><dt>Blocking problems<\/dt><dd>none recorded<\/dd><dt>Open conditions<\/dt><dd>reviews, approval of the exact digest, deposit, registry pointer<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Not applicable at baseline<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Model runs<\/dt><dd>first runs in Q1 2027<\/dd><dt>Maps<\/dt><dd>plates in Q2 2027<\/dd><dt>Waivers<\/dt><dd>none<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Dispositions are recorded item by item in the machine-readable checklist. A FAIL on any item blocks release.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.7<\/span><span>Status words<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab9\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">The status every value carries<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What it means<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"positive\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Observed<\/span><\/td><td>Measured directly and published by the source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td>Published statistics of an official or institutional source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Declared<\/span><\/td><td>Stated by the body concerned; not independently measured.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Estimated<\/span><\/td><td>A Nexus estimate from cited evidence, with its method in Annex A.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Modelled<\/span><\/td><td>Produced by a stated model from cited inputs.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><td>Reasoned from cited evidence; not measured.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Forecast<\/span><\/td><td>A projection by the cited source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Simulated<\/span><\/td><td>A simulation result under stated assumptions.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Scenario<\/span><\/td><td>A conditional statement under stated assumptions; never a prediction.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><td>Expert judgement, recorded with its basis.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Candidate<\/span><\/td><td>Proposed for a later edition; not yet evidence.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"2\">Evidence-quality levels (EQL 1 to 5) grade the source behind a value; they are not a score of the subject.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.8<\/span><span>How the edition is made, released and corrected<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nx-p\">Every edition is built from a sealed evidence cut, reviewed under three keys, signed and deposited before any site shows it as published; corrections go to <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a> as change proposals and feed the next cut.<\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">01 Evidence arrives from the pillars<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Foundry seals observations and indicator series, Universe hands over after-action and scenario findings, and contributions are screened at every gateway, including this site&#8217;s.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">02 The cut is sealed<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">On the cut date the evidence is pinned under one identifier, so anyone can rebuild the edition from exactly what it was built on.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">03 The edition is assembled<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">The edition is drafted from its template and content pack. Agents may draft; they never publish and never decide.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">04 The keys turn<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">At the publisher of record the truth key comes first: every value is checked against its source or stated method before the meaning and capital keys turn. No edition moves on until every key has been turned by a named steward.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">05 The gate opens<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">A named approver releases one exact digest of the edition; any change after this point is a new version, never a silent edit.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">06 Signed and deposited<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">The PDF, the web edition and the data bundle are signed together with a manifest and an RO-Crate description, and deposited on Zenodo with a concept and a version DOI.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">07 Published on its desk&#8217;s site<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Only then does the edition show as published on its desk&#8217;s Reports site, and the Collection lists it as a part.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">08 Corrections go to Standards<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Method and correction findings go to Nexus Standards as change proposals; citations, corrections and new contributions feed the next evidence cut.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-2\">A teaching model of the process, not a forecast and not a record of any run; dates and counts on this page come from the programme record. Sources: <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/governance\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Reports governance at GCRI Canada<\/a> (2026); Zenodo, repository of record for Reports deposits (2026).<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">Lifecycle, one state at a time: Draft, Computed, Evidence bound, Reviewed, Approved for release, Published, Corrected, Superseded. This edition is a draft.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s9\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s9-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s9-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.9<\/span><span>Glossary and abbreviations<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab10\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.10<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Series terms<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Term<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Meaning<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Baseline Edition<\/td><td>the inaugural annual edition that fixes the reference state for the series<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WEFH+B<\/td><td>water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/governance-in-operation\/national-nexus\" data-tc=\"National Nexus\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The national model: the NNC, the NLC and the NWG as its three participation pillars, with the National Desk, Model and Portfolio and the NSC as the standards function of the NNC (OR-13)\">national nexus<\/a> core<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Coupling<\/td><td>a typed dependency through which one system transmits to another<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/globalriskalliance.com\/glossary\/protection-gap\/\" data-tgl=\"Global Risks Alliance glossary\">Protection gap<\/a><\/td><td>the share of losses not covered by insurance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Capability ladder<\/td><td>LISTED \u2192 EXISTS \u2192 ADEQUATE \u2192 TESTED \u2192 DEMONSTRATED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>EQL<\/td><td>evidence-quality level, 1\u20135<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Evidence cut<\/td><td>a frozen resolution of exact sources and versions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NNC \u00b7 NLC \u00b7 NWG<\/td><td>National Nexus Consortium \u00b7 National Leadership Council \u00b7 National Working Groups<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab11\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.11<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Abbreviations used in this edition<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Abbreviation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Expansion<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>BCM<\/td><td>billion cubic metres<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BUR<\/td><td>biennial update report<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CEA<\/td><td>Central Electricity Authority<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CGWB<\/td><td>Central Ground Water Board<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CWC<\/td><td>Central Water Commission<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FSI<\/td><td>Forest Survey of India<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>GIEWS<\/td><td>Global Information and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 early-warning-system\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"An integrated system of risk knowledge, monitoring and forecasting, warning dissemination and preparedness that enables timely action ahead of hazards.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Early Warning System<\/a>, FAO<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>IMD<\/td><td>India Meteorological Department<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>LPA<\/td><td>long period average<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>LULUCF<\/td><td>land use, land-use change and forestry<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>MNRE<\/td><td>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NCDC<\/td><td>National Centre for Disease Control<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NDC<\/td><td>nationally determined contribution<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NDMA<\/td><td>National Disaster Management Authority<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ORGI<\/td><td>Office of the Registrar General and Census Commissioner<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WDI<\/td><td>World Development Indicators, World Bank<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s10\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s10-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-s10-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.10<\/span><span>Technical annex<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-tab12\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.12<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Technical annex<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Annex<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Contents<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>A.1<\/td><td>Indicator definitions<\/td><td>the baseline indicator set, with units and sources<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.2<\/td><td>Coupling strengths<\/td><td>the twenty-cell matrix and its rationale<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.3<\/td><td>Scenario specification<\/td><td>SCN-IND-MON-01 assumptions and signposts<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.4<\/td><td>Capability placements<\/td><td>rung evidence for fifteen functions<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.5<\/td><td>Model diagnostics<\/td><td>first runs and validation<\/td><td>Q1 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.6<\/td><td>Sensitivity analyses<\/td><td>influence of coupling strengths<\/td><td>Q2 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.7<\/td><td>State notes<\/td><td>atlas cards for every state<\/td><td>Q2 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.8<\/td><td>Review statements<\/td><td>pass-by-pass review record<\/td><td>AT RELEASE<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">A.1 \u00b7 indicator definition, net greenhouse-gas emissions<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Construct<\/dt><dd>annual emissions minus land-use removals<\/dd><dt>Unit<\/dt><dd>Mt CO\u2082e<\/dd><dt>Scope<\/dt><dd>calendar year<\/dd><dt>Source<\/dt><dd>fourth biennial update report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Revision<\/dt><dd>back-revised in later reports<\/dd><dt>Known limits<\/dt><dd>the 2020 total used here excludes land use; the net figure of 2,437 Mt is read through press reports<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Annexes carry the same evidence, review and correction rules as the chapters and are versioned with the edition.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> (ed.), India\u2019s Fourth Biennial Update Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, including the 2020 national greenhouse-gas inventory. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted 30 December 2024. Observation year 2020.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Statement on the Climate of India during 2025. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, press release of 1 January 2026, published by the World Meteorological Organization 12 January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-n44\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">44<\/span><span>Forest Survey of India (ed.), India State of Forest Report 2023. FSI, Dehradun, December 2024. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-r44\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 44\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ca-n45\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">45<\/span><span>Central Water Commission (ed.), Reservoir Storage Bulletin (weekly). CWC, New Delhi, 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-ca-r45\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 45\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-data\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex B<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Data appendix<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>11 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>7 tables<\/span><span>28 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.1<\/span><span>The indicator set<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Baseline indicator set<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Indicator<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Unit<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Population<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">1,463,865,525<\/span><\/td><td>people<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Urban population share<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">35.7<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Gross domestic product, current prices<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">3,956<\/span><\/td><td>USD billion<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Life expectancy at birth<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">72.2<\/span><\/td><td>years<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Population aged 65 or over<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">7.4<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Net energy imports<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">36.0<\/span><\/td><td>% of energy use<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Forest area<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">24.4<\/span><\/td><td>% of land<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Terrestrial protected area<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">7.7<\/span><\/td><td>% of land<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CO\u2082 emissions excluding land use<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">3,154<\/span><\/td><td>Mt<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>GHG emissions excluding land use<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">2,959<\/span><\/td><td>Mt CO\u2082e<\/td><td>2020<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy-sector emissions<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">2,238<\/span><\/td><td>Mt CO\u2082e<\/td><td>2020<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Non-fossil installed capacity<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">300.50<\/span><\/td><td>GW<\/td><td>31 Jul 2026<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fossil share of generation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u224873<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Annual mean temperature anomaly<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">+0.28<\/span><\/td><td>\u00b0C vs 1991\u20132020<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Monsoon rainfall, all India<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">87<\/span><\/td><td>% of LPA<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Groundwater stage of extraction<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">60.63<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Foodgrain production, third advance estimate<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">376.563<\/span><\/td><td>Mt<\/td><td>2025\u201326<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Extreme-weather deaths<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u22482,760<\/span><\/td><td>deaths<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CO\u2082 per person (derived)<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u22482.2<\/span><\/td><td>t CO\u2082<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Estimated<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat deaths, national season total<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">Not bound<\/span><\/td><td>deaths<\/td><td>n\/a<\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>NCDC \u00b7 state health departments<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>GHG inventory after 2020<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">Not bound<\/span><\/td><td>Mt CO\u2082e<\/td><td>n\/a<\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>next biennial update report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>National reservoir storage<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">Not bound<\/span><\/td><td>% of live capacity<\/td><td>n\/a<\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>Central Water Commission<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n45\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r45\" aria-label=\"Note 45\">45<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Insured disaster losses<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">Not bound<\/span><\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>n\/a<\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>IRDAI \u00b7 general insurers<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-actions nrp-noprint\"><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"data:text\/csv;charset=utf-8,Indicator%2CValue%2CUnit%2CYear%2CState%2CSource%0APopulation%2C%221%2C463%2C865%2C525%22%2Cpeople%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B1%5D%0AUrban%20population%20share%2C35.7%2C%25%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B1%5D%0A%22Gross%20domestic%20product%2C%20current%20prices%22%2C%223%2C956%22%2CUSD%20billion%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B2%5D%0ALife%20expectancy%20at%20birth%2C72.2%2Cyears%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B2%5D%0APopulation%20aged%2065%20or%20over%2C7.4%2C%25%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B2%5D%0ANet%20energy%20imports%2C36.0%2C%25%20of%20energy%20use%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B3%5D%0AForest%20area%2C24.4%2C%25%20of%20land%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B3%5D%0ATerrestrial%20protected%20area%2C7.7%2C%25%20of%20land%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B3%5D%0ACO%E2%82%82%20emissions%20excluding%20land%20use%2C%223%2C154%22%2CMt%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B4%5D%0AGHG%20emissions%20excluding%20land%20use%2C%222%2C959%22%2CMt%20CO%E2%82%82e%2C2020%2CREPORTED%2C%5B5%5D%0AEnergy-sector%20emissions%2C%222%2C238%22%2CMt%20CO%E2%82%82e%2C2020%2CREPORTED%2C%5B5%5D%0ANon-fossil%20installed%20capacity%2C300.50%2CGW%2C31%20Jul%202026%2CREPORTED%2C%5B9%5D%0AFossil%20share%20of%20generation%2C%E2%89%8873%2C%25%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B12%5D%0AAnnual%20mean%20temperature%20anomaly%2C%2B0.28%2C%C2%B0C%20vs%201991%E2%80%932020%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B14%5D%0A%22Monsoon%20rainfall%2C%20all%20India%22%2C87%2C%25%20of%20LPA%2C2026%2CREPORTED%2C%5B16%5D%0AGroundwater%20stage%20of%20extraction%2C60.63%2C%25%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B18%5D%0A%22Foodgrain%20production%2C%20third%20advance%20estimate%22%2C376.563%2CMt%2C2025%E2%80%9326%2CREPORTED%2C%5B19%5D%0AExtreme-weather%20deaths%2C%22%E2%89%882%2C760%22%2Cdeaths%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B14%5D%0ACO%E2%82%82%20per%20person%20(derived)%2C%E2%89%882.2%2Ct%20CO%E2%82%82%2C2024%2CESTIMATED%2C%5B4%5D%20%5B1%5D%0A%22Heat%20deaths%2C%20national%20season%20total%22%2CNot%20bound%2Cdeaths%2Cn%2Fa%2CNOT%20BOUND%2CNCDC%20%C2%B7%20state%20health%20departments%0AGHG%20inventory%20after%202020%2CNot%20bound%2CMt%20CO%E2%82%82e%2Cn%2Fa%2CNOT%20BOUND%2Cnext%20biennial%20update%20report%20%5B5%5D%0ANational%20reservoir%20storage%2CNot%20bound%2C%25%20of%20live%20capacity%2Cn%2Fa%2CNOT%20BOUND%2CCentral%20Water%20Commission%20%5B45%5D%0AInsured%20disaster%20losses%2CNot%20bound%2CUSD%2Cn%2Fa%2CNOT%20BOUND%2CIRDAI%20%C2%B7%20general%20insurers%0A\" download=\"NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-indicators.csv\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 15V3\"\/><path d=\"M21 15v4a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H5a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-4\"\/><path d=\"m7 10 5 5 5-5\"\/><\/svg>Indicators, CSV<\/a><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"data:application\/json;charset=utf-8,%7B%0A%20%22edition%22%3A%20%22NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE%22%2C%0A%20%22title%22%3A%20%22India%20Systems%20Risk%20and%20Resilience%20Report%202026%3A%20The%20State%20of%20India%E2%80%99s%20Interdependent%20Systems%22%2C%0A%20%22status%22%3A%20%22Draft%20under%20stewardship%20review%3B%20not%20yet%20released%22%2C%0A%20%22licence%22%3A%20%22CC-BY-4.0%20for%20the%20edition%20table%3B%20each%20value%20keeps%20its%20source's%20licence%22%2C%0A%20%22columns%22%3A%20%5B%0A%20%20%22Indicator%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Value%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Unit%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Year%22%2C%0A%20%20%22State%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Source%22%0A%20%5D%2C%0A%20%22rows%22%3A%20%5B%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Population%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%221%2C463%2C865%2C525%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22people%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B1%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Urban%20population%20share%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2235.7%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B1%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Gross%20domestic%20product%2C%20current%20prices%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%223%2C956%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22USD%20billion%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B2%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Life%20expectancy%20at%20birth%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2272.2%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22years%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B2%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Population%20aged%2065%20or%20over%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%227.4%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B2%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Net%20energy%20imports%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2236.0%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%20of%20energy%20use%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B3%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Forest%20area%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2224.4%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%20of%20land%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B3%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Terrestrial%20protected%20area%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%227.7%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%20of%20land%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B3%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22CO%E2%82%82%20emissions%20excluding%20land%20use%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%223%2C154%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Mt%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B4%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22GHG%20emissions%20excluding%20land%20use%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222%2C959%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Mt%20CO%E2%82%82e%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222020%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B5%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Energy-sector%20emissions%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222%2C238%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Mt%20CO%E2%82%82e%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222020%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B5%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Non-fossil%20installed%20capacity%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22300.50%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22GW%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2231%20Jul%202026%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B9%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Fossil%20share%20of%20generation%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%8873%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B12%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Annual%20mean%20temperature%20anomaly%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%2B0.28%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%C2%B0C%20vs%201991%E2%80%932020%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B14%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Monsoon%20rainfall%2C%20all%20India%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2287%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%20of%20LPA%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222026%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B16%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Groundwater%20stage%20of%20extraction%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2260.63%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B18%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Foodgrain%20production%2C%20third%20advance%20estimate%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22376.563%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Mt%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%E2%80%9326%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B19%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Extreme-weather%20deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%882%2C760%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B14%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22CO%E2%82%82%20per%20person%20(derived)%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%882.2%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22t%20CO%E2%82%82%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22ESTIMATED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B4%5D%20%5B1%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Heat%20deaths%2C%20national%20season%20total%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Not%20bound%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22n%2Fa%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22NOT%20BOUND%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22NCDC%20%C2%B7%20state%20health%20departments%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22GHG%20inventory%20after%202020%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Not%20bound%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Mt%20CO%E2%82%82e%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22n%2Fa%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22NOT%20BOUND%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22next%20biennial%20update%20report%20%5B5%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22National%20reservoir%20storage%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Not%20bound%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%20of%20live%20capacity%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22n%2Fa%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22NOT%20BOUND%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Central%20Water%20Commission%20%5B45%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Insured%20disaster%20losses%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Not%20bound%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22USD%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22n%2Fa%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22NOT%20BOUND%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22IRDAI%20%C2%B7%20general%20insurers%22%0A%20%20%5D%0A%20%5D%0A%7D\" download=\"NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-indicators.json\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 15V3\"\/><path d=\"M21 15v4a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H5a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-4\"\/><path d=\"m7 10 5 5 5-5\"\/><\/svg>Indicators, JSON<\/a><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NOTES<\/p><p>Values come from the cited releases. Some are read through press reports of an official release and are marked in the source register. The derived row is a Nexus estimate from two cited values. Rows marked NOT BOUND name the source that would fill them. A machine-readable copy of this table is published with the evidence bundle at release.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.2<\/span><span>National source register<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Domains bound by the register<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">WAT<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">ENE<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">FOO<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">HLT<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">BIO<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">CLI<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">INF<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">FIN<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">TRD<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">MIN<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">National source register<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Category<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Period<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Cadence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Emissions inventory, 2020<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>government report to the UNFCCC, read through press<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2020<\/td><td>biennial<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Climate and monsoon statements<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national technical authority<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2025\u20132026<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Groundwater assessment<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national board, read through a press summary<\/td><td>blocks and states<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>WAT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Power capacity<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>ministry data, via press<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><td>ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Electricity review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>independent analyst<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Crop estimates<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>ministry \u00b7 FAO<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2025\u20132026<\/td><td>four a year<\/td><td>FOO<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat-death reports<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>non-profit review \u00b7 press report of RTI data<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>one-off<\/td><td>HLT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>World Bank indicators<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>international organisation<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2019\u20132025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>profile<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Climate contribution<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>government \u00b7 independent assessment<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Census notices<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n23\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Registrar General<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>decennial<\/td><td>population<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Peer-reviewed literature<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n25\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n28\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r28\" aria-label=\"Note 28\">28<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journals<\/td><td>regional<\/td><td>2009\u20132021<\/td><td>one-off<\/td><td>WAT \u00b7 CLI \u00b7 HLT<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">FIXTURE PROHIBITION<\/p><p>No demonstration or reference-cartographic fixture is used as evidence in this edition. The publication gate checks every binding against this register.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.3<\/span><span>Regional reading, India by region<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Map plates for every state follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Rainfall geography, 2026 monsoon<\/h3><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">36<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">subdivisions<\/span><p>meteorological subdivisions, 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">17<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">subdivisions<\/span><p>deficient in the 2026 season<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">741<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">districts<\/span><p>meteorological districts, 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">282<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">districts<\/span><p>below-normal rainfall in 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Regional reading, India by region<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Region<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Principal hazards<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Systems most exposed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline evidence<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Northwest India<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">groundwater depletion<\/a>; heat; floods<\/td><td>wheat and rice, water, power for pumping<\/td><td>Punjab floods 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 extraction stage<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Central India<\/td><td>monsoon variability; lightning<\/td><td>rain-fed crops, power demand<\/td><td>June 2026 at 50% of average<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 lightning deaths<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>East and Northeast India<\/td><td>cyclones; floods; the lowest 2026 season since 1901<\/td><td>rice, ports, hydropower<\/td><td>season 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h2\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.cyclone.tropical-cyclone\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Cyclonic storm systems\" data-td=\"A warm-core rotating storm over tropical oceans whose winds, rain and surge threaten coasts and inland river basins.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H2\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\" data-ta=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/courses\/disaster-risk-reduction\/\" data-tal=\"Disaster Risk Reduction\">Cyclone<\/a> Montha 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>South Peninsula<\/td><td>cyclones; groundwater stress; deficient 2026 season<\/td><td>rice, cities, coasts<\/td><td>season 2026 at 76%<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 Cyclone Ditwah 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Himalaya and foothills<\/td><td>cloudbursts; landslides; glacier and snow change<\/td><td>roads, hydropower, settlements<\/td><td>Kishtwar and Kheer Ganga cloudbursts 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 assessment<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n48\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-r48\" aria-label=\"Note 48\">48<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Coasts and deltas<\/td><td>cyclones; <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h11\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.coastal.sea-level-rise\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Coastal and sea-level hazards\" data-td=\"A long-term rise of mean sea level that raises the baseline for floods, erosion and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H11\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">sea-level rise<\/a>; flooding<\/td><td>ports, aquaculture, cities<\/td><td>four cyclonic storms in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Regional readings summarise the cited evidence. They are not risk ratings of any state.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.4<\/span><span>Atlas card, Punjab and Haryana plains<\/span><\/h2><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">plains<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">cereal basin<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">groundwater<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">flood<\/li><\/ul><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Systems in view<\/dt><dd>water, food and power for irrigation<\/dd><dt>Defining events<\/dt><dd>extraction above 100% of the extractable resource; floods of 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Couplings<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 FOO; ENE \u2192 WAT<\/dd><dt>Capability evidence<\/dt><dd>not bound<\/dd><dt>Gaps<\/dt><dd>well-level extraction and power-subsidy data; crop-water use<\/dd><dt>Agenda items<\/dt><dd>A-01 \u00b7 A-03<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The stage of extraction was 156.36% in Punjab and 136.75% in Haryana in 2025. The resource is being drawn faster than it recharges in those states [18].<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">WATER<\/h3><p>Extraction above the resource<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The national foodgrain estimate for 2025\u201326 is a record [19]. The share from these plains is not bound in this edition.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">FOOD<\/h3><p>A record national estimate<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Punjab had its worst floods since 1988 in 2025 [15]. The weather service reported 59 rain-related deaths in Punjab [14].<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">HAZARD<\/h3><p>Floods in a deficient year for others<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Atlas cards are generated for every state from Q2 2027 with consistent fields and evidence-age labels. The Punjab and Haryana plains are shown first because they hold the leading compound pathway.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.5<\/span><span>India system card<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The card through which India appears in the South Asia regional edition and the global series. It summarises; it does not rank.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">India system card<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">System<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline state<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coupling to watch<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Water<\/td><td>groundwater extraction at 60.63%<\/td><td>monsoon deficit and over-extraction<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy<\/td><td>non-fossil 54% of capacity<\/td><td>evening peak and fossil generation<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food<\/td><td>record foodgrain estimate for 2025\u201326<\/td><td>short harvest after 2026 monsoon<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Health<\/td><td>life expectancy 72.2 years; heat data not bound<\/td><td>heat and air pollution<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>forest 24.4% of land; 7.7% protected<\/td><td>fire and land-use change<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Context<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Archetype<\/dt><dd>very large economy with a monsoon-dependent water and food system and a fast-growing clean power fleet (Nexus reading)<\/dd><dt>Population<\/dt><dd>1,463.9 million (2025)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Trade<\/dt><dd>net energy imports 36.0% of energy use<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Hazard<\/dt><dd>about 2,760 extreme-weather deaths in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">India\u2019s card sits beside its neighbours\u2019; shared basins, grids, corridors and supply chains are read as one regional system.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">SOUTH ASIA REGIONAL EDITION<\/h3><p>One regional system<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Indian evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers, so a correction travels everywhere at once.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES<\/h3><p>Same findings, same IDs<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">In the global edition India is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">GLOBAL FLAGSHIP<\/h3><p>Peers, not ranks<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>External rankings, where cited, keep their own method and source. Nexus never converts them into a rating, and India\u2019s national ownership of its edition is unaffected.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.6<\/span><span>Licences<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Licences of each kind of material<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Material<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Licence<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Text<\/td><td>CC BY 4.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Data<\/td><td>on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Figures<\/td><td>Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Maps<\/td><td>boundary source and licence printed on each plate<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Metadata<\/td><td>CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Third-party data, figures and text<\/td><td>The source&#8217;s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"2\">Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.7<\/span><span>Formats and provenance<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">This edition in every format<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Format<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Kind<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What it is<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Identifier<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Web edition<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HTML<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Print edition<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"release\">At release<\/span><\/td><td>A4 portrait \u00b7 screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Indicator data<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">CSV \u00b7 JSON<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>23 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE data release v1<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Figures<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">SVG \u00b7 PNG<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIG-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-*<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Slides<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"none\">Not recorded<\/span><\/td><td>No slide deck is recorded for this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Evidence brief<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HTML \u00b7 PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"none\">Not recorded<\/span><\/td><td>No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Dataset with DOI<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DataCite<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"release\">At release<\/span><\/td><td>Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Provenance<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Edition pack<\/dt><dd>The edition&#8217;s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built<\/dd><dt>Evidence cut<\/dt><dd>NQ-IND-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Reproducibility<\/dt><dd>sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters<\/dd><dt>Self-check<\/dt><dd>14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release<\/dd><dt>Review<\/dt><dd>five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)<\/dd><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>GCRI for the Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Corrections<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, population, total (SP.POP.TOTL) and urban population share (SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, GDP in current US dollars (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), life expectancy at birth (SP.DYN.LE00.IN) and population aged 65 and above (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, net energy imports (EG.IMP.CONS.ZS), renewable internal freshwater per person (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), forest area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), terrestrial protected area (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS) and irrigated agricultural land (AG.LND.IRIG.AG.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2022\u20132024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, CO2 emissions excluding LULUCF (EN.GHG.CO2.MT.CE.AR5) and mortality attributed to household and ambient air pollution (SH.STA.AIRP.P5). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2019 and 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> (ed.), India\u2019s Fourth Biennial Update Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, including the 2020 national greenhouse-gas inventory. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted 30 December 2024. Observation year 2020.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (ed.), installed non-fossil power capacity at 31 July 2026, as reported by Renewable Watch. New Delhi, 11 August 2026. Observation date 31 July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), India: electricity data and analysis (country page). Ember, London, accessed 3 November 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Statement on the Climate of India during 2025. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, press release of 1 January 2026, published by the World Meteorological Organization 12 January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Central Ground Water Board and Ministry of Jal Shakti (eds.), Dynamic Ground Water Resources Assessment of India 2025, as summarised by Vision IAS. New Delhi, 30 December 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n45\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">45<\/span><span>Central Water Commission (ed.), Reservoir Storage Bulletin (weekly). CWC, New Delhi, 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r45\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 45\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), power-capacity factsheet of 13 August 2026, as reported by the Indo-Asian News Service. New Delhi, 13 August 2026. Observation date July 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Global Electricity Review 2026. Ember, London, 22 April 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>pv magazine (ed.), \u201cRecord solar, wind surge drives 3.3% drop in India\u2019s fossil generation in 2025,\u201d reporting Ember\u2019s Global Electricity Review 2026. pv magazine, Berlin, 27 April 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), GIEWS Country Brief: India. FAO, Rome, reference date 13 February 2026. Observation years 2025\u20132026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>HeatWatch (ed.), Struck by Heat: A News Analysis of Heatstroke Deaths in India in 2025, as reported by The Print. New Delhi, 22 August 2025. Observation period February to July 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Press Trust of India (ed.), \u201cIndia recorded over 7,000 suspected heatstroke cases, 14 deaths in March\u2013June period: RTI,\u201d reporting National Centre for Disease Control data. The Print, New Delhi, July 2025. Observation period 1 March to 24 June 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Nationally Determined Contribution for 2031\u20132035. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 24 April 2026. Observation year 2035 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Climate Action Tracker (ed.), India: 2035 NDC assessment. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, Berlin, September 2026. Observation year 2035 target.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Office of the Registrar General and Census Commissioner, India (ed.), Census 2027: houselisting and population enumeration notices. Ministry of Home Affairs, New Delhi, 2026. Observation year 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r23\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 23\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>M. Rodell, I. Velicogna and J. S. Famiglietti, \u201cSatellite-based estimates of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">groundwater depletion<\/a> in India,\u201d Nature, vol. 460, pp. 999\u20131002, 2009. doi:10.1038\/nature08238. Observation year 2009. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nature08238\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/nature08238<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>A. Asoka, T. Gleeson, Y. Wada and V. Mishra, \u201cRelative contribution of monsoon precipitation and pumping to changes in groundwater storage in India,\u201d Nature Geoscience, vol. 10, pp. 109\u2013117, 2017. doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/ngeo2869\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r25\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 25\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>M. K. Roxy, S. Ghosh, A. Pathak et al., \u201cA threefold rise in widespread <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">extreme rain<\/a> events over central India,\u201d Nature Communications, vol. 8, article 708, 2017. doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>E.-S. Im, J. S. Pal and E. A. B. Eltahir, \u201cDeadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia,\u201d Science Advances, vol. 3, no. 8, e1603322, 2017. doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/sciadv.1603322\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>A. Pandey, M. Brauer, M. L. Cropper et al., \u201cHealth and economic impact of air pollution in the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019,\u201d The Lancet Planetary Health, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. e25\u2013e38, 2021. doi:10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9. Observation year 2019. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r28\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 28\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Down To Earth (ed.), \u201c2025 marked by rising night-time temperatures and extreme rainfall across seasons in India.\u201d Centre for Science and Environment, New Delhi, January 2026. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cb-n48\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">48<\/span><span>International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ed.), Water, Ice, Society, and Ecosystems in the Hindu Kush Himalaya: An Outlook. ICIMOD, Kathmandu, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-ind-cb-r48\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 48\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-part-references\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\">India 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex C<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">References and record<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Every source the edition rests on, the publication record, the corrections log and the open record.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>13 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>1 table<\/span><span>0 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.1<\/span><span>52 sources<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">NR-CIT-1, editor first. A DOI is linked where the source has one; Nexus records carry a <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/uni\/\" data-tc=\"UNI\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The universal identifier of every Nexus artifact (NS-1)\">UNI<\/a> once the catalogue allocates it (NS-1).<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, population, total (SP.POP.TOTL) and urban population share (SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 3<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, GDP in current US dollars (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), life expectancy at birth (SP.DYN.LE00.IN) and population aged 65 and above (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2024\u20132025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, net energy imports (EG.IMP.CONS.ZS), renewable internal freshwater per person (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), forest area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), terrestrial protected area (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS) and irrigated agricultural land (AG.LND.IRIG.AG.ZS). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2022\u20132024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: India, CO2 emissions excluding LULUCF (EN.GHG.CO2.MT.CE.AR5) and mortality attributed to household and ambient air pollution (SH.STA.AIRP.P5). World Bank, Washington DC, data updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2019 and 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> (ed.), India\u2019s Fourth Biennial Update Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, including the 2020 national greenhouse-gas inventory. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted 30 December 2024. Observation year 2020. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Nationally Determined Contribution for 2031\u20132035. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 24 April 2026. Observation year 2035 target. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Climate Action Tracker (ed.), India: 2035 NDC assessment. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, Berlin, September 2026. Observation year 2035 target. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), India\u2019s Updated First Nationally Determined Contribution under the <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a>. UNFCCC, Bonn, August 2022. Observation year 2030 target. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (ed.), installed non-fossil power capacity at 31 July 2026, as reported by Renewable Watch. New Delhi, 11 August 2026. Observation date 31 July 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Government of India (ed.), power-capacity factsheet of 13 August 2026, as reported by the Indo-Asian News Service. New Delhi, 13 August 2026. Observation date July 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Global Electricity Review 2026. Ember, London, 22 April 2026. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), India: electricity data and analysis (country page). Ember, London, accessed 3 November 2026. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>pv magazine (ed.), \u201cRecord solar, wind surge drives 3.3% drop in India\u2019s fossil generation in 2025,\u201d reporting Ember\u2019s Global Electricity Review 2026. pv magazine, Berlin, 27 April 2026. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Statement on the Climate of India during 2025. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, press release of 1 January 2026, published by the World Meteorological Organization 12 January 2026. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Down To Earth (ed.), \u201c2025 marked by rising night-time temperatures and extreme rainfall across seasons in India.\u201d Centre for Science and Environment, New Delhi, January 2026. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Salient Features of the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 30 September 2026. Observation year 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 7<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>India Meteorological Department (ed.), Updated Long Range Forecast for the 2026 Southwest Monsoon Season Rainfall (June\u2013September) and Monthly outlook for June month. Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, May 2026. Observation year 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Central Ground Water Board and Ministry of Jal Shakti (eds.), Dynamic Ground Water Resources Assessment of India 2025, as summarised by Vision IAS. New Delhi, 30 December 2025. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (ed.), Third Advance Estimates of Production of Major Crops for 2025\u201326, released 27 May 2026. Directorate of Economics and Statistics, New Delhi. Observation year 2025\u201326. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), GIEWS Country Brief: India. FAO, Rome, reference date 13 February 2026. Observation years 2025\u20132026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>HeatWatch (ed.), Struck by Heat: A News Analysis of Heatstroke Deaths in India in 2025, as reported by The Print. New Delhi, 22 August 2025. Observation period February to July 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Press Trust of India (ed.), \u201cIndia recorded over 7,000 suspected heatstroke cases, 14 deaths in March\u2013June period: RTI,\u201d reporting National Centre for Disease Control data. The Print, New Delhi, July 2025. Observation period 1 March to 24 June 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Office of the Registrar General and Census Commissioner, India (ed.), Census 2027: houselisting and population enumeration notices. Ministry of Home Affairs, New Delhi, 2026. Observation year 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>M. Rodell, I. Velicogna and J. S. Famiglietti, \u201cSatellite-based estimates of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">groundwater depletion<\/a> in India,\u201d Nature, vol. 460, pp. 999\u20131002, 2009. doi:10.1038\/nature08238. Observation year 2009. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nature08238\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/nature08238<\/a> <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>A. Asoka, T. Gleeson, Y. Wada and V. Mishra, \u201cRelative contribution of monsoon precipitation and pumping to changes in groundwater storage in India,\u201d Nature Geoscience, vol. 10, pp. 109\u2013117, 2017. doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/ngeo2869\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/ngeo2869<\/a> <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>M. K. Roxy, S. Ghosh, A. Pathak et al., \u201cA threefold rise in widespread <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">extreme rain<\/a> events over central India,\u201d Nature Communications, vol. 8, article 708, 2017. doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1038\/s41467-017-00744-9<\/a> <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>E.-S. Im, J. S. Pal and E. A. B. Eltahir, \u201cDeadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia,\u201d Science Advances, vol. 3, no. 8, e1603322, 2017. doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322. Observation year 2017. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/sciadv.1603322\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1126\/sciadv.1603322<\/a> <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>A. Pandey, M. Brauer, M. L. Cropper et al., \u201cHealth and economic impact of air pollution in the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019,\u201d The Lancet Planetary Health, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. e25\u2013e38, 2021. doi:10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9. Observation year 2019. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.1016\/S2542-5196(20)30298-9<\/a> <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-29\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">29<\/span><span>H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC. IPCC, Geneva, 2023. Observation year 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>UNDRR (ed.), <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/sendai-framework-alignment\/\">Sendai Framework<\/a> for Disaster <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-reduction\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Preventing new risk, reducing existing risk and managing residual risk, all contributing to resilience.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Risk Reduction<\/a> 2015\u20132030. UNDRR, Geneva, 2015. Observation year 2015. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Convention on Biological Diversity (ed.), Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, Decision 15\/4. CBD Secretariat, Montreal, 2022. Observation year 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-32\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">32<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), Paris Agreement. United Nations, Paris, 2015. Observation year 2015. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-33\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">33<\/span><span>International Energy Agency (ed.), Global Energy Review 2025. IEA, Paris, 2025. Observation year 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-34\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">34<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-35\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">35<\/span><span>P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054. Observation year 2024. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.13850054\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054<\/a> <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-36\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">36<\/span><span>J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., \u201cFuture climate risk from compound events,\u201d Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469\u2013477, 2018. Observation year 2018. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-37\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">37<\/span><span>World Health Organization (ed.), World Health Statistics 2025. WHO, Geneva, 2025. Observation year 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-38\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">38<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Reports: The Foundational Edition, Volumes I and II. Reports series, Edition 2026\u20132030, V1.0. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. Observation year 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-39\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">39<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. Observation year 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India\u2019s Long-Term Low-Carbon Development Strategy. MoEFCC, New Delhi, submitted to the UNFCCC 14 November 2022. Observation year 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-41\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">41<\/span><span>Central Electricity Authority (ed.), National Electricity Plan, Volume I: Generation. CEA, New Delhi, 2023. Observation year 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-42\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">42<\/span><span>National Disaster Management Authority (ed.), National Disaster Management Plan 2019. NDMA, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2019. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-43\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">43<\/span><span>National Disaster Management Authority (ed.), Guidelines for Preparation of Action Plan: Prevention and Management of Heat Wave. NDMA, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2019. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-44\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">44<\/span><span>Forest Survey of India (ed.), India State of Forest Report 2023. FSI, Dehradun, December 2024. Observation year 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-45\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">45<\/span><span>Central Water Commission (ed.), Reservoir Storage Bulletin (weekly). CWC, New Delhi, 2026. Observation year 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-46\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">46<\/span><span>NITI Aayog (ed.), Composite Water Management Index 2.0. NITI Aayog, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2018. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-47\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">47<\/span><span>International Institute for Population Sciences and ICF (eds.), National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5), 2019\u201321: India. IIPS, Mumbai, 2021. Observation years 2019\u20132021. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-48\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">48<\/span><span>International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ed.), Water, Ice, Society, and Ecosystems in the Hindu Kush Himalaya: An Outlook. ICIMOD, Kathmandu, 2023. Observation year 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-49\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">49<\/span><span>World Bank (ed.), India: Country Climate and Development Report. World Bank, Washington DC, October 2022. Observation year 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-50\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">50<\/span><span>Bureau of Indian Standards (ed.), IS 1893 (Part 1): 2016, Criteria for <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/geophysical-hazard-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 geo.seismic.earthquake\" data-tk=\"Solid Earth \u00b7 Fault shaking and rupture\" data-td=\"Sudden slip on a fault releasing seismic waves that shake the ground and damage structures and lifelines.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H17\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/geo\/\" data-txl=\"Solid Earth\" data-ta=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/courses\/disaster-risk-reduction\/\" data-tal=\"Disaster Risk Reduction\">Earthquake<\/a> Resistant Design of Structures. BIS, New Delhi, 2016. Observation year 2016. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-51\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">51<\/span><span>United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (ed.), World Population Prospects 2024. United Nations, New York, 2024. Observation year 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-ind-ref-52\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">52<\/span><span>Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (ed.), India Cooling Action Plan. MoEFCC, New Delhi, 2019. Observation year 2019. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3<\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.2<\/span><span>Publication record<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Title<\/dt><dd>India <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition<\/dd><dt>Series<\/dt><dd>Reports \u00b7 Edition 2026\u20132030<\/dd><dt>Edition<\/dt><dd>Baseline Edition 2026 \u00b7 inaugural annual<\/dd><dt>Version<\/dt><dd>v1.0.0 \u00b7 draft for stewardship review<\/dd><dt>Publication ID<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/dd><dt>Evidence close<\/dt><dd>30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Publication date<\/dt><dd>October 2026<\/dd><dt>DOI<\/dt><dd>concept and version DOI at deposit<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publisher<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), for the Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Place<\/dt><dd>Toronto<\/dd><dt>Editor<\/dt><dd>Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor<\/dd><dt>Stewards<\/dt><dd>GCRI \u00b7 technical truth \u00b7 GRF \u00b7 public meaning \u00b7 GRA \u00b7 capital meaning<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd>text CC BY 4.0; data on the terms of each source<\/dd><dt>Copyright<\/dt><dd>\u00a9 2026 GCRI \u00b7 Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Language<\/dt><dd>English (en-GB) source edition<\/dd><dt>Correspondence<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway \u00b7 editorial office<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">DISCLAIMER<\/p><p>This edition is published for research, planning and public understanding. It is not a government assessment, an official warning, a rating, a certification, investment advice or an operational authorisation. Reasonable care has been taken with every source; consult the cited originals before relying on any value.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Colophon<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Format<\/dt><dd>A4 portrait \u00b7 screen, print and archival PDF<\/dd><dt>Typefaces<\/dt><dd>Space Grotesk (display) \u00b7 Geist (text) \u00b7 IBM Plex Sans Italic (standfirsts) \u00b7 IBM Plex Mono (data)<\/dd><dt>Design standard<\/dt><dd>Reports Foundational Edition, Volume I, Part VII<\/dd><dt>Accessibility<\/dt><dd>tagged PDF and HTML targets; text alternatives for every figure<\/dd><dt>Production<\/dt><dd>Reports editorial team, GCRI<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">HOW TO CORRECT THIS EDITION<\/p><p>Report errors, omissions or objections through the Registry correction pathway. Each report is logged and answered; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version, and the original remains resolvable.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Release path for this version<\/h3><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table C.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Release path for this version<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">When<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Draft<\/td><td>editorial self-check complete at evidence close<\/td><td>October 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Steward review<\/td><td>five passes on the exact draft (keys T \u00b7 M \u00b7 F \u00b7 N)<\/td><td>Q4 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Approval<\/td><td>publication authority approves the exact digest<\/td><td>before release<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Deposit<\/td><td>concept and version DOI minted; registry pointer set<\/td><td>at release<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Succession<\/td><td>the Q1 2027 edition reports changes against this baseline<\/td><td>Q1 2027<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Current version<\/dt><dd>v1.0.0 draft, stewardship review<\/dd><dt>Previous edition<\/dt><dd>none, first edition of the series<\/dd><dt>Next edition<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2027-Q1-v1.0.0<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Latest version<\/dt><dd>resolve the concept DOI or the registry record<\/dd><dt>Correction route<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway<\/dd><dt>Notice types<\/dt><dd>erratum \u00b7 addendum \u00b7 supersession \u00b7 withdrawal<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NO CORRECTIONS \u2260 NO LIMITS<\/p><p>The absence of corrections does not mean the absence of limitations. Limitations and uncertainty are stated where they arise in the edition.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><div id=\"nx-nr-ind-corrections\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.3<\/span><span>Corrections log<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nx-nr-corr\"><p class=\"nx-nr-corr-sum\"><span class=\"nx-nr-corr-n\">0<\/span><span>correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition&#8217;s current version.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table nx-rd-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Edition<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Version<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Date<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Change<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Notice<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Edition\"><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">IND<\/span><\/td><td data-label=\"Version\" class=\"nx-rd-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/td><td data-label=\"Date\">October 2026<\/td><td data-label=\"State\">Draft<\/td><td data-label=\"Change\">Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,<\/td><td data-label=\"Notice\">None<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-rd-source\">Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence.<\/p><\/div><\/section><\/div><div id=\"nx-nr-ind-outputs\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.4<\/span><span>Open record<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nx-nr-os\"><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>This edition&#8217;s open record<\/h3><dl class=\"nx-nr-os-kv\"><dt>Publication ID<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/dd><dt>Desk identifier and series alias<\/dt><dd>NR-NAT-IND-2026-BL<\/dd><dt>Collection<\/dt><dd>None<\/dd><dt>DOI<\/dt><dd>Concept and version DOI at deposit, on Zenodo with DataCite metadata<\/dd><dt>Versions<\/dt><dd>Each correction is a new version (isNewVersionOf); the concept DOI resolves to the latest<\/dd><dt>Bundle<\/dt><dd>RO-Crate 1.2 with CITATION.cff, CodeMeta and PROV-O provenance; a signed manifest<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" rel=\"noopener\">CC BY 4.0<\/a> (SPDX CC-BY-4.0) for original material; metadata CC0 1.0<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Credit and identity<\/h3><dl class=\"nx-nr-os-kv\"><dt>ORCID<\/dt><dd>Your iD in the deposit and the contribution record; DataCite can then add the work to your ORCID record<\/dd><dt>ROR<\/dt><dd>Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone<\/dd><dt>CRediT<\/dt><dd>Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualisation, Writing, review and editing<\/dd><dt>Account<\/dt><dd>None needed to contribute; never a password<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Find and follow<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p\">Search the open indexes for India; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage, and a quantified scenario run is preregistered on OSF before it is run. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.<\/p><ul class=\"nx-nr-os-links\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/openalex.org\/works?search=Nexus%20Reports%20India\" rel=\"noopener\">OpenAlex<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/explore.openaire.eu\/search\/find?fv0=Nexus%20Reports%20India&amp;f0=q\" rel=\"noopener\">OpenAIRE<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/search.crossref.org\/search\/works?q=Nexus%20Reports%20India\" rel=\"noopener\">Crossref<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/commons.datacite.org\/?query=Nexus%20Reports%20India\" rel=\"noopener\">DataCite Commons<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/zenodo.org\/search?q=Nexus%20Reports%20India\" rel=\"noopener\">Zenodo<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/archive.softwareheritage.org\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Software Heritage<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/osf.io\/prereg\/\" rel=\"noopener\">OSF preregistration<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/via.hypothes.is\/https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Annotate with Hypothesis<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Mirrors and harvest<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p\">The DOI is canonical. At release each signed bundle is also given an IPFS content identifier and a bloxberg anchor as mirrors; both are listed in the record once they exist. Zenodo exposes every record over OAI-PMH, and reviews and endorsements can arrive through COAR Notify where the repository supports it.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-mt-3\"><figure class=\"nx-nr-code\"><figcaption class=\"nx-nr-code-cap\">InvenioRDM metadata for a contribution on India, prefilled from this page<\/figcaption><pre class=\"nx-nr-pre\" tabindex=\"0\"><code>{&#10;  &quot;metadata&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;resource_type&quot;: {&#10;      &quot;id&quot;: &quot;dataset&quot;&#10;    },&#10;    &quot;title&quot;: &quot;Evidence on India for Nexus Reports&quot;,&#10;    &quot;publication_date&quot;: &quot;YYYY-MM-DD&quot;,&#10;    &quot;creators&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;person_or_org&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;type&quot;: &quot;personal&quot;,&#10;          &quot;family_name&quot;: &quot;Your family name&quot;,&#10;          &quot;given_name&quot;: &quot;Your given name&quot;,&#10;          &quot;identifiers&quot;: [&#10;            {&#10;              &quot;scheme&quot;: &quot;orcid&quot;,&#10;              &quot;identifier&quot;: &quot;0000-0000-0000-0000&quot;&#10;            }&#10;          ]&#10;        },&#10;        &quot;affiliations&quot;: [&#10;          {&#10;            &quot;id&quot;: &quot;ROR identifier of your organisation&quot;&#10;          }&#10;        ]&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;description&quot;: &quot;What it is, where its record is kept and how it bears on India Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026.&quot;,&#10;    &quot;rights&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;id&quot;: &quot;cc-by-4.0&quot;&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;subjects&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Nexus Reports&quot;&#10;      },&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;India&quot;&#10;      },&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Country Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report&quot;&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;related_identifiers&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;identifier&quot;: &quot;https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/&quot;,&#10;        &quot;scheme&quot;: &quot;url&quot;,&#10;        &quot;relation_type&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;id&quot;: &quot;issupplementto&quot;&#10;        },&#10;        &quot;resource_type&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;id&quot;: &quot;publication-report&quot;&#10;        }&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;version&quot;: &quot;1.0.0&quot;&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;custom_fields&quot;: {},&#10;  &quot;access&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;record&quot;: &quot;public&quot;,&#10;    &quot;files&quot;: &quot;public&quot;&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;files&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;enabled&quot;: true&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;parent&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;communities&quot;: {&#10;      &quot;default&quot;: &quot;nexusreports&quot;&#10;    }&#10;  }&#10;}<\/code><\/pre><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-hook\" data-nx-research-hub=\"slot\" data-nx-research-context=\"{&quot;org&quot;:&quot;GCRI&quot;,&quot;site&quot;:&quot;gcri&quot;,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/&quot;,&quot;kind&quot;:&quot;edition&quot;,&quot;subject&quot;:&quot;India&quot;,&quot;series&quot;:[&quot;Country Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report&quot;]}\" hidden><\/div><\/section><\/div><div id=\"nx-nr-ind-pillars\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-ind-cc-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.5<\/span><span>Where this edition sits among the six pillars<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Foundry seals the evidence and Universe tests it; Reports publishes it; Standards takes its corrections and Academy teaches from it.<\/p><ol class=\"nx-pl-list\"><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F03 Sealed observations and indicator series<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Foundry<\/span> Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F04 After-action and scenario findings for<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Universe<\/span> After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F05 National Portfolio movement for chapter<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Foundry<\/span> National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>Applied in editions<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Standards<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a>: applied in editions.<\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>IND edition<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Reports<\/span> India 2026, published in every format with its sources, citation and corrections.<\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F06 Method and correction findings as change<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Standards<\/span> Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F12 Q4 synthesis informs the next-year<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Universe<\/span> Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>Taught in the open<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Academy<\/span> Risk Academy: taught in the open.<\/li><\/ol><p class=\"nx-caption\"><span>What Foundry and Universe hand to this edition, and what it hands to Standards, Universe and Academy. From the programme spine; IND is a drafted Baseline Edition, so these handoffs run from its first operational quarter.<\/span><\/p><ul class=\"nx-pl-legend\" aria-label=\"Pillars\"><li data-pillar=\"labs\" data-hue=\"social\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-labs\/\">Labs<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-foundry\/\">Foundry<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/universe.nexus\/\">Universe<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/\">Nexus Standards<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/\">Reports<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/\">Risk Academy<\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table nx-rd-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Handoff<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Between<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What crosses, and when<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr data-pillar=\"foundry\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F03<\/span><\/td><td>Foundry to Reports<\/td><td>Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"universe\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F04<\/span><\/td><td>Universe to Reports<\/td><td>After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"foundry\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F05<\/span><\/td><td>Foundry to Reports<\/td><td>National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"standards\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">Ring<\/span><\/td><td>Nexus Standards to Reports<\/td><td>Nexus Standards: applied in editions.<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"standards\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F06<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Nexus Standards<\/td><td>Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"universe\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F12<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Universe<\/td><td>Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"academy\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">Ring<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Risk Academy<\/td><td>Risk Academy: taught in the open.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><\/article><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-noprint\"><section id=\"nx-sec-nr-gateway\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Contribute<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Send evidence or a correction on India.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Reports is the Consortium&#8217;s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the GCRI <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Evidence desk. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work. Sent to the wrong desk, it is forwarded, not refused.<\/p><div class=\"nx-chips\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">GCRI Systems Evidence desk<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">Country Systems Risk and Resilience<\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-dest\"><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/write-to-us\/contact\/\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Email<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Gateway GW-GCRI<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Send it from this page<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Evidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/open-science\/#nx-sec-zenodo\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Zenodo<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Open deposit<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Deposit it and submit to the community<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Publish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/contribute\/#nx-sec-routing\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">GCRI<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">See which desk takes what you have<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">The routing table opens the contribution page: what you have, the desk that takes it, how each contribution is reviewed and credited, and the licence.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"contribute\" data-nxf-kind=\"workflow\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/nexus-reports\/editions\/ind\/full#contribute\" data-nxf-title=\"Contribute evidence\" data-nxf-height=\"480\" hidden><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-3\">Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><p class=\"nx-note\" data-nr-rights=\"true\"><a class=\"nx-link\" rel=\"license\" href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\">CC BY 4.0<\/a> Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by GCRI Canada.<\/p><section class=\"nx-section nx-deeper-band\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-therisk-global-nexus-reports-editions-ind-full-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><nav class=\"nx-deeper\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-therisk-global-nexus-reports-editions-ind-full-h\" data-nx-deeper=\"3\" data-nx-resources=\"1 1 1\"><h2 class=\"nx-deeper-h\" id=\"nx-deeper-therisk-global-nexus-reports-editions-ind-full-h\">Go deeper<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/model\/scenarios\/urban-flood\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Documentation:<\/span> Urban flood<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/risk-science\/risk-information-standards\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Academy:<\/span> Risk information standards and interoperability<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/data\/identification-standards\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Standards:<\/span> Identification (the UNI)<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><script class=\"_iub_cs_skip\">window.__nxMount ? window.__nxMount(document.currentScript) : null;<\/script><style>@media print { @page { margin: 20mm 17mm 20mm 17mm; @top-left { content: \"Nexus Reports\"; font: 500 7.5pt \"IBM Plex Mono\", monospace; color: #4a4a4a; } @top-right { content: \"India Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026 \\0000b7  Baseline Edition 2026\"; font: 400 7.5pt \"IBM Plex Sans\", sans-serif; color: #4a4a4a; } @bottom-left { content: \"NR-COUNTRY-IND-2026-BASELINE \\0000b7  Draft, not released\"; font: 400 7pt \"IBM Plex Mono\", monospace; color: #4a4a4a; } @bottom-center { content: \"CC BY 4.0. 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