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class=\"nx-gp-b\"\/><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><div class=\"nrp\"><div class=\"nrp-wrap\"><article class=\"nrp-flow\"><header class=\"nrp-hero\"><div class=\"nrp-hero-grid\"><div><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Reports<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Baseline Edition 2026<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Complete edition<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h1 class=\"pp-hero-title nrp-hero-title-l\">Germany Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026<\/h1><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The State of Germany\u2019s Interdependent Systems<\/p><div class=\"nrp-actions\"><button class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" type=\"button\" data-nrp-act=\"print\" hidden><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M6 18H4a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-5a2 2 0 0 1 2-2h16a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v5a2 2 0 0 1-2 2h-2\"\/><path d=\"M6 9V3a1 1 0 0 1 1-1h10a1 1 0 0 1 1 1v6\"\/><rect x=\"6\" y=\"14\" width=\"12\" height=\"8\" rx=\"1\"\/><\/svg>Print or save as PDF<\/button><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M19 12H5\"\/><path d=\"m12 19-7-7 7-7\"\/><\/svg>Edition home<\/a><\/div><p class=\"nrp-note nrp-noprint\">Choose A4 or Letter in the print dialog; running heads and page numbers are added in print. This is a review copy: the signed PDF with its DOI is issued at release.<\/p><\/div><div><div class=\"nrp-cover\"><div class=\"nrp-cover-top\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">DEU<\/span><\/div><span class=\"nrp-cover-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><p class=\"nrp-cover-k\">Country Systems Risk and Resilience<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cover-t\">Germany 2026<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cover-s\">The State of Germany\u2019s Interdependent Systems<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cover-foot\"><span>Baseline Edition 2026<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><span><abbr title=\"The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation\">GCRI<\/abbr> for the Nexus Consortium<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block nrp-imprint\" aria-label=\"Imprint\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Imprint<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Editor<\/dt><dd>Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor, the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)<\/dd><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto<\/dd><dt>Report number<\/dt><dd class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/dd><dt>Evidence close<\/dt><dd>30 September 2026, cut NQ-DEU-2026-Q0-1<\/dd><dt>Status<\/dt><dd>Draft under stewardship review; not yet released<\/dd><dt>DOI and UNI<\/dt><dd>Issued at deposit<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd>CC BY 4.0 for Nexus-authored text, tables and figures; third-party material keeps its own licence<\/dd><dt>Cite as<\/dt><dd>Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Germany <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of Germany\u2019s Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI). https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" aria-label=\"Contents\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Contents<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">\u00b7<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-summary\">Executive summary<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">1<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-coupled-system\">Chapter 1. Germany\u2019s risk is coupled, not cumulative<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">2<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-findings\">Chapter 2. Key findings<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">3<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-systems-and-sectors\">Chapter 3. Systems and sectors at baseline<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">4<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-risk-and-capability\">Chapter 4. Risks and capability<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">5<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-scenario\">Chapter 5. Hot, dry summer with low Rhine water<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">6<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-lenses-and-readings\">Chapter 6. Lenses and readings<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">7<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-agenda\">Chapter 7. The 2027 agenda<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">8<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-systems-in-depth\">Chapter 8. Systems in depth<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-methodology\">Annex A. Methodology<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">B<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-data\">Annex B. Data appendix<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">C<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-part-references\">Annex C. References and record<\/a><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-summary\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Executive summary<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Executive summary<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The edition on a few pages: the abstract, the key messages, the headline finding and what each steward reads in it.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>4 min read<\/span><span>1 figure<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>14 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.1<\/span><span>Abstract<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-prose\"><p>Germany enters 2027 having cut its greenhouse-gas emissions to 649 Mt CO\u2082e in 2024, 3.4% below 2023 and 48% below 1990, while closing its last nuclear reactors in April 2023 and ending its reliance on Russian pipeline gas within a year<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup>. Renewables supplied about 54% of gross electricity consumption in 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup>. 2024 was the warmest year in the national record<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup>. The floods of July 2021 killed more than 180 people, 135 of them in the Ahr valley, and caused damage of about \u20ac40 billion<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup>, yet only about 54% of homes carry natural-hazard insurance<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup>. Low water on the Rhine in 2018 and 2022 restricted freight and industrial supply<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup>; about 500,000 hectares of forest were damaged by drought, heat and bark beetles between 2018 and 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup>; and flying-insect biomass fell by more than 75% over 27 years in protected areas<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>. This Baseline Edition fixes the reference state for the five core <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>, maps the dependencies through which shocks travel, and sets the questions the first operational edition will answer in Q1 2027. It ranks nothing and decides nothing.<\/p><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.2<\/span><span>Key messages<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-km\"><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">649 Mt CO\u2082e in 2024, 48% below 1990, about 35 Mt a year of cuts still needed to 2030.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Where do emissions stand?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">2024 was the warmest year on record; the first federal adaptation law took effect in July 2024.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Is the climate already changing?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Flash floods in small, steep valleys killed more than 180 people and caused about \u20ac40 billion of damage.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>What did 2021 show?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Nearly half of homes have no natural-hazard cover; much damage falls on households and reconstruction funds.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Who carries flood losses?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Russian pipeline gas stopped; storage, LNG terminals and demand cuts filled the gap.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How did the energy system cope with 2022?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Low Rhine water in 2018 and 2022 restricted shipping and industrial supply.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How exposed is freight to drought?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Insect biomass down more than 75% in protected areas; 500,000 ha of forest damaged.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How is nature faring?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">A hot, dry summer with low Rhine water, heat and forest fires. SCN-DEU-HDR-01<\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>What will Q1 2027 test first?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.3<\/span><span>Headline finding<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-WAT-004<\/span><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The floods of July 2021 killed more than 180 people in Germany, 135 in the Ahr valley, and caused damage of about \u20ac40 billion, while only about 54% of homes carried natural-hazard insurance.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure S.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-fig1-t\">July 2021 floods in Germany<\/span><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">Deaths in Germany<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">180+<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Deaths in the Ahr valley<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"75.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">135<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: BMI flood report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/figure><p class=\"nrp-p\">Flash floods in small, steep catchments give little warning and leave little time to act. Where homes are uninsured, recovery depends on public reconstruction funds, so flood exposure is also a fiscal exposure<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.4<\/span><span>At a glance<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">83.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">million<\/span><p>population, end 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">649<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt CO\u2082e<\/span><p>emissions, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224854<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>renewable electricity, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">10.9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">\u00b0C<\/span><p>mean temperature, 2024 record<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224854<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>homes with natural-hazard cover<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">500k<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">hectares<\/span><p>forest damaged, 2018\u20132021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.5<\/span><span>What each steward reads in it<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-cards\" data-n=\"3\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 KEY T<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Technical Truth<\/h3><p>The evidence supports a coupled reading of German risk.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><abbr title=\"The Global Risks Forum\">GRF<\/abbr> \u00b7 KEY M<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Public Meaning<\/h3><p>For most people risk arrives as a flooded valley, a heatwave or an energy bill.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><abbr title=\"The Global Risks Alliance\">GRA<\/abbr> \u00b7 KEY F<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Capital Meaning<\/h3><p>Readiness implications only. Thin natural-hazard cover, a large new infrastructure fund and an energy system in transition show where finance-readiness evidence will matter.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEXUS<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Synthesis<\/h3><p>Germany has rebuilt its energy system fast and observes its risks well, but its rivers, forests and valleys carry growing exposure.<\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.6<\/span><span>What this edition is, and is not<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What this edition is<\/h3><p>A baseline: the state of Germany\u2019s water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> in 2026, the dependencies between them, the risks that travel through them and the capabilities that hold them. It sets the questions the operational series will answer.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What it is not<\/h3><p>Not a national <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-assessment\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The overall process of identifying, analysing and evaluating risk to inform decisions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">risk assessment<\/a>, an official warning or a rating. It decides nothing about any federal ministry, Land, municipality, operator or company. Competent authorities at federal, Land and local level keep every mandate they hold.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What comes next<\/h3><p>Q1 2027 opens the operational series with a sealed Foundry evidence cut. Each later edition reports what changed against this baseline, new observations, source revisions, method changes, scenario updates and corrections.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Treibhausgas-Emissionen in Deutschland 2024: Vorjahressch\u00e4tzung. UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, March 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz (ed.), \u201cAbschaltung der letzten drei Kernkraftwerke am 15. April 2023.\u201d BMWK, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Bundesnetzagentur (ed.), Lageberichte zur Gasversorgung 2022\u20132023. BNetzA, Bonn.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen 2024 (AGEE-Stat). UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Deutscher Wetterdienst (ed.), Deutschlandwetter im Jahr 2024. DWD, Offenbach, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Prognos, I\u00d6W and GWS (eds.), Kosten durch Klimawandelfolgen in Deutschland. Report for BMWK and BMUV, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (ed.), Naturgefahrenreport 2024. GDV, Berlin, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>C. A. Hallmann, M. Sorg, E. Jongejans et al., \u201cMore than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas,\u201d PLOS ONE, vol. 12, e0185809, 2017.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>Expertenrat f\u00fcr Klimafragen (ed.), Pr\u00fcfbericht zur Berechnung der deutschen Treibhausgasemissionen f\u00fcr das Jahr 2024. ERK, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaanpassungsgesetz (KAnG). Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin, 2023; in force 1 July 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cs-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Bev\u00f6lkerungsstand: Bev\u00f6lkerung am 31.12.2024. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cs-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-coupled-system\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 1<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Germany\u2019s risk is coupled, not cumulative<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Part I describes systems and their couplings. It assesses no authority and ranks no Land or region.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>6 min read<\/span><span>2 figures<\/span><span>2 tables<\/span><span>18 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.1<\/span><span>The questions this part answers<\/span><\/h2><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Key questions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Where is Canada\u2019s risk concentrated, and in which <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>?<\/li><li>Which couplings carry shocks from one system to the next?<\/li><li>Which capabilities hold under compound stress, and which are only documented?<\/li><li>What must the 2027 programme measure first?<\/li><\/ul><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">In this part<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Narrative<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Headline finding<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Lead figure<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Twelve-domain reading<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Sector screens<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Dependency matrix<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Risk objects<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Capability ladder<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Scenario<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Three lenses<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Portfolio<\/li><\/ul><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.2<\/span><span>The argument<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-prose\"><p>Germany\u2019s climate risks are usually discussed one at a time: a flood, a drought, a <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h5\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.thermal.heatwave\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Thermal extremes\" data-td=\"A spell of abnormally high temperature, often with warm nights, that overloads bodies, power grids and crops.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H5\" data-tr=\"draft\">heatwave<\/a>, a gas crisis. This baseline reads them as one coupled system. In July 2021 a few days of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\">extreme rain<\/a> turned small valleys into torrents; more than 180 people died in Germany, 135 in the Ahr valley alone, and damage reached about \u20ac40 billion<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup>. Attribution studies found the rainfall made more likely and more intense by <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">climate change<\/a><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n39\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r39\" aria-label=\"Note 39\">39<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>The forcing is measurable. 2024 was the warmest year in a record that begins in 1881<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup>, and about 4,500 <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> were estimated in 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup>. The first federal climate adaptation law took effect in July 2024, and the federal government adopted a precautionary adaptation strategy in December 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>Water couples drought to the economy. In the dry summers of 2018 and 2022 low water on the Rhine, the country\u2019s main freight artery, forced barges to sail part-loaded and restricted supplies to chemical and steel plants<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup>. Power-plant cooling remains the largest single use of abstracted water<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>. The national water strategy of 2023 sets out how supply is to be secured to 2050<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>The energy system has been rebuilt under pressure. Renewables supplied about 54% of gross electricity consumption in 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup>; the last nuclear reactors closed in April 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup>; and when Russian pipeline gas stopped in 2022, storage, new LNG terminals and demand cuts kept supply secure<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup>. Emissions fell to 649 Mt CO\u2082e in 2024, 48% below 1990<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup>, but the 2030 target still requires about 35 Mt of cuts a year<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>Losses and nature carry slower but deeper exposures. Only about 54% of homes carry natural-hazard insurance<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup>, so flood losses fall heavily on households and public reconstruction funds. About 500,000 hectares of forest were damaged by drought, heat and bark beetles between 2018 and 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup>, and flying-insect biomass fell by more than 75% over 27 years in protected areas<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>This edition therefore treats German risk as a property of couplings, between rain, rivers, freight, power, forests and health, rather than a list of separate hazards. The matrix, risk objects, capability ladder and scenario that follow ask where a shock travels next and who holds the capability to stop it.<\/p><\/div><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 1.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-fig1-t\">Who abstracts Germany\u2019s water? Share of water abstraction, by sector (%)<\/span><p class=\"nrp-fig-what\">Power-plant cooling is the largest use of abstracted water, followed by public supply and industry. Agriculture uses little water today, but irrigation demand rises in dry summers<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">Energy supply (cooling)<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">44<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Public water supply<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"61.4\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">27<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Mining and manufacturing<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"61.4\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">27<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Agriculture<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"4.5\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">2<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: as cited in the note to this figure. Year 2019.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Figure ID FIG-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-01-003<\/p><\/figure><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224854<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>renewable electricity, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2023<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">April<\/span><p>last nuclear reactors closed<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2023<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">strategy<\/span><p>national water strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2018 \u00b7 2022<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">low water<\/span><p>on the Rhine<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.3<\/span><span>Twenty couplings between five systems<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The Germany matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-fig2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-fig2-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 1.2<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-fig2-t\">Couplings between the five systems<\/span><p class=\"nrp-fig-what\">Each line is one coupling from one system to another, drawn by the strength the edition assigns. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events.<\/p><\/figcaption><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-ring\" viewBox=\"0 0 340 340\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Coupling ring: 20 typed couplings between water, energy, food, health and biodiversity. The matrix in the next table carries every value.\" data-nx-z=\"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\"><\/svg><ul class=\"nrp-legend\"><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"STRONG\"><\/span>Strong<\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"MODERATE\"><\/span>Moderate<\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"WEAK\"><\/span>Weak<\/li><\/ul><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: this edition&#8217;s coupling matrix (Table 1.1); status Estimated.<\/p><\/figure><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 1.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coupling matrix: from the row system to the column system<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">From, to<\/th><th scope=\"col\">WAT<\/th><th scope=\"col\">ENE<\/th><th scope=\"col\">FOO<\/th><th scope=\"col\">HLT<\/th><th scope=\"col\">BIO<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><b>WAT<\/b> Water<\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">nuclear cooling \u00b7 hydro<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">irrigation \u00b7 rain-fed yield<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">drinking water<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">flows \u00b7 wetlands<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>ENE<\/b> Energy<\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">pumping \u00b7 treatment<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">fuel \u00b7 fertiliser \u00b7 cold chain<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">facility power \u00b7 cooling<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">reservoirs \u00b7 land use<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>FOO<\/b> Food<\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">withdrawals \u00b7 nutrients<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">biofuel feedstock<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">nutrition \u00b7 food safety<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">land conversion<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>HLT<\/b> Health<\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">workforce<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">workforce<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">labour \u00b7 disease<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">residues<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>BIO<\/b> Biodiversity<\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">regulation \u00b7 filtration<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">fire on lines \u00b7 biomass<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">pollination \u00b7 soils<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">zoonoses \u00b7 smoke<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"6\">Strength: strong, moderate or weak; a Nexus estimate (status Estimated) from cited evidence and analogue events. The scale is defined in Annex A.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Transmission paths<\/h3><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 INF<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\">Extreme rain<\/a> in small valleys destroys roads, rail and homes.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> July 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 TRD<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Low Rhine water restricts freight and industrial supply.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2018 \u00b7 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">ENE \u2192 industry \u2192 FIN<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">A gas supply shock raises costs across industry and households.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 BIO \u2192 WAT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Drought and bark beetles kill forests that regulate water.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2018\u20132021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 HLT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Heatwaves raise deaths among older people.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.4<\/span><span>Reinforcing loops<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">A shock entering either system of a loop can return amplified through the other.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 1.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Pairs of systems where both directions are rated strong<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Loop<\/th><th scope=\"col\">First direction<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Second direction<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT and BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Water to biodiversity: flows \u00b7 wetlands<\/td><td>Biodiversity to water: regulation \u00b7 filtration<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO and BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Food to biodiversity: land conversion<\/td><td>Biodiversity to food: pollination \u00b7 soils<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"3\">A causal-loop reading of the matrix (Sterman, Business Dynamics, 2000): structural, from estimated strengths, not a measured feedback.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Prognos, I\u00d6W and GWS (eds.), Kosten durch Klimawandelfolgen in Deutschland. Report for BMWK and BMUV, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n39\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">39<\/span><span>F. Kreienkamp, S. Y. Philip, J. S. Tradowsky et al., Rapid attribution of heavy rainfall events leading to the severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021. World Weather Attribution, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r39\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 39\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Deutscher Wetterdienst (ed.), Deutschlandwetter im Jahr 2024. DWD, Offenbach, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), \u201cHitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2022,\u201d Epidemiologisches Bulletin. RKI, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Bundesregierung (ed.), Vorsorgende Klimaanpassungsstrategie der Bundesregierung. Berlin, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaanpassungsgesetz (KAnG). Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin, 2023; in force 1 July 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Nicht\u00f6ffentliche und \u00f6ffentliche Wasserversorgung und Abwasserentsorgung 2019. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>Bundesregierung (ed.), Nationale Wasserstrategie. Berlin, March 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen 2024 (AGEE-Stat). UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz (ed.), \u201cAbschaltung der letzten drei Kernkraftwerke am 15. April 2023.\u201d BMWK, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Bundesnetzagentur (ed.), Lageberichte zur Gasversorgung 2022\u20132023. BNetzA, Bonn.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Treibhausgas-Emissionen in Deutschland 2024: Vorjahressch\u00e4tzung. UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, March 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>Expertenrat f\u00fcr Klimafragen (ed.), Pr\u00fcfbericht zur Berechnung der deutschen Treibhausgasemissionen f\u00fcr das Jahr 2024. ERK, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (ed.), Naturgefahrenreport 2024. GDV, Berlin, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c1-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>C. A. Hallmann, M. Sorg, E. Jongejans et al., \u201cMore than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas,\u201d PLOS ONE, vol. 12, e0185809, 2017.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c1-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-findings\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 2<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Key findings<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Twelve findings carry the baseline. They are grouped by system, never ranked. Each resolves to its source or, where Nexus analysis is involved, to its stated method.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>3 min read<\/span><span>1 figure<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>14 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.1<\/span><span>Headline finding<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-WAT-004\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-WAT-004<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The floods of July 2021 killed more than 180 people in Germany, 135 in the Ahr valley, and caused damage of about \u20ac40 billion, while only about 54% of homes carried natural-hazard insurance.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 2.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-fig1-t\">July 2021 floods in Germany<\/span><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">Deaths in Germany<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">180+<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Deaths in the Ahr valley<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"75.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">135<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: BMI flood report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/figure><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Implication<\/h3><p class=\"nrp-p\">Flash floods in small, steep catchments give little warning and leave little time to act. Where homes are uninsured, recovery depends on public reconstruction funds, so flood exposure is also a fiscal exposure<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">What would move it<\/h3><p class=\"nrp-p\">Decisions on mandatory natural-hazard insurance, flood-warning reforms after 2021 and heavy-rain events in the 2027 summer would each move this finding.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.2<\/span><span>Climate forcing<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Greenhouse-gas emissions were 649 Mt CO\u2082e in 2024, 3.4% below 2023 and 48% below 1990.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The 2030 target of 65% below 1990 (about 438 Mt) requires cuts of about 35 Mt a year.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CLI-003\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CLI-003\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CLI-003<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">2024 was the warmest year in the German record, which begins in 1881.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.3<\/span><span>Water<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-WAT-004\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-WAT-004\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-WAT-004<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The July 2021 floods killed more than 180 people in Germany, 135 in the Ahr valley, and caused damage of about \u20ac40 billion.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-WAT-009\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-WAT-009\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-WAT-009<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Low water on the Rhine in 2018 and 2022 restricted freight shipping and industrial supply.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.4<\/span><span>Finance<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-FIN-005\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-FIN-005\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-FIN-005<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Only about 54% of residential buildings carry natural-hazard insurance.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.5<\/span><span>Energy<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-ENE-006\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-ENE-006\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-ENE-006<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Renewables supplied about 54% of gross electricity consumption in 2024; the last nuclear reactors closed in April 2023.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-ENE-007\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-ENE-007\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-ENE-007<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Russian pipeline gas stopped in 2022; supply was secured through storage, new LNG terminals and demand reduction.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.6<\/span><span>Health<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-HLT-008\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-HLT-008\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-HLT-008<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">About 4,500 <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> were estimated in 2022.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.7<\/span><span>Biodiversity<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-BIO-010\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-BIO-010\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-BIO-010<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Flying-insect biomass declined by more than 75% over 27 years in protected areas.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">About 500,000 hectares of forest were damaged by drought, heat and bark beetles between 2018 and 2021.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.8<\/span><span>Systemic<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012\">NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a hot, dry summer in which low Rhine water cuts freight and industrial supply while heat, drought and forest fires load health, forests and power. \u00a79.3<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (ed.), Naturgefahrenreport 2024. GDV, Berlin, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Prognos, I\u00d6W and GWS (eds.), Kosten durch Klimawandelfolgen in Deutschland. Report for BMWK and BMUV, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Treibhausgas-Emissionen in Deutschland 2024: Vorjahressch\u00e4tzung. UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, March 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>Expertenrat f\u00fcr Klimafragen (ed.), Pr\u00fcfbericht zur Berechnung der deutschen Treibhausgasemissionen f\u00fcr das Jahr 2024. ERK, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaschutzgesetz (KSG), as amended in 2024. Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Deutscher Wetterdienst (ed.), Deutschlandwetter im Jahr 2024. DWD, Offenbach, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen 2024 (AGEE-Stat). UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz (ed.), \u201cAbschaltung der letzten drei Kernkraftwerke am 15. April 2023.\u201d BMWK, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Bundesnetzagentur (ed.), Lageberichte zur Gasversorgung 2022\u20132023. BNetzA, Bonn.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), \u201cHitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2022,\u201d Epidemiologisches Bulletin. RKI, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>C. A. Hallmann, M. Sorg, E. Jongejans et al., \u201cMore than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas,\u201d PLOS ONE, vol. 12, e0185809, 2017.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c2-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c2-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-systems-and-sectors\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 3<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Systems and sectors at baseline<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>4 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>2 tables<\/span><span>15 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.1<\/span><span>Where each system stood at evidence close<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WAT \u00b7 Water<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Share of water abstraction for energy supply<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224844<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>mostly power-plant cooling; public supply about 27%.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2019<\/span><span>Destatis<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">ENE \u00b7 Energy<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Renewable share of gross electricity consumption<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224854<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>the last nuclear reactors closed in April 2023.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2024<\/span><span>UBA<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">FOO \u00b7 Food<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Share of EU agricultural output<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224813<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>among the largest producers in the EU.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2024<\/span><span>Eurostat<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n23\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">HLT \u00b7 Health<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Heat-related deaths<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u22484,500<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">deaths<\/span><p>in 2022; older people carry most of the burden.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2022<\/span><span>RKI<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">BIO \u00b7 Biodiversity<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Decline in flying-insect biomass, protected areas<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">&gt;75<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>over 27 years, a signal of pressure on pollination and food webs.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>1989\u20132016<\/span><span>Hallmann et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">SYS \u00b7 Cross-system<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">July 2021 flood damage<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224840<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">\u20ac bn<\/span><p>more than 180 deaths in Germany; 135 in the Ahr valley.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2021<\/span><span>BMI<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 Prognos<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.2<\/span><span>Domain posture<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Each of the twelve coupled domains is read in words, not scored. The coupling column names the dependency that carries risk into other <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 3.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Each domain read in words, not scored<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Domain<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Posture at baseline<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coupling<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT<\/span><\/td><td>Flash floods in small catchments; low Rhine water in dry summers; cooling the largest use.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT \u2192 ENE \u00b7 WAT \u2192 TRD<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">ENE<\/span><\/td><td>About 54% renewable electricity; nuclear closed 2023; Russian gas replaced.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">ENE \u2192 HLT \u00b7 ENE \u2190 WAT<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO<\/span><\/td><td>A major EU producer; yields cut in dry years.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO \u2190 WAT, CLI<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HLT<\/span><\/td><td>About 4,500 <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in 2022; older people most exposed.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HLT \u2190 CLI, ENE<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Insect biomass down more than 75%; forests damaged 2018\u20132021.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">BIO \u2192 FOO \u00b7 BIO \u2192 WAT<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">CLI<\/span><\/td><td>2024 the warmest year on record; heavy rain and heat increasing.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">forcing on all five systems<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INF<\/span><\/td><td>Rail, roads and bridges destroyed in 2021; inland waterways exposed to low water.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INF \u2190 CLI, WAT<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIN<\/span><\/td><td>About 54% of homes with natural-hazard cover.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIN \u2190 CLI \u00b7 FIN \u2192 households<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DAT<\/span><\/td><td>Data-centre growth around Frankfurt adds grid and cooling demand.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DAT \u2190 ENE, WAT<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">AIC<\/span><\/td><td>Compute growth not yet consolidated in national statistics.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">AIC \u2192 ENE<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MIN<\/span><\/td><td>Industrial base dependent on imported raw materials.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MIN \u2192 ENE, industry<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">TRD<\/span><\/td><td>Export-led industry exposed to freight and energy shocks.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">TRD \u2194 ENE, INF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.3<\/span><span>Sector screens<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">All sixteen sectors are screened on the same grammar, so that later editions can say what changed. The evidence column describes coverage of the baseline evidence, not the performance of the sector.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 3.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Sectors: baseline evidence and the exposure to watch<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Code<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Sector<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Exposure to watch<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence coverage<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-00<\/span><\/td><td>Cross-system<\/td><td>coupled floods, droughts and energy shocks<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>compound hot, dry summers<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-01<\/span><\/td><td>Water<\/td><td>flash floods and low water<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>heavy rain; drought<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-02<\/span><\/td><td>Energy<\/td><td>about 54% renewable power<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>flexibility as coal exits<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-03<\/span><\/td><td>Food<\/td><td>major EU producer<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>drought on yields<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-04<\/span><\/td><td>Health<\/td><td>heat deaths<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>heat among older people<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-05<\/span><\/td><td>Finance<\/td><td>natural-hazard cover about 54%<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>uninsured flood losses<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-06<\/span><\/td><td>Development<\/td><td>regional disparities<\/td><td>rural services after disasters<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-07<\/span><\/td><td>Climate<\/td><td>warmest year 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>heavy rain and heat<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-08<\/span><\/td><td>Disaster<\/td><td>2021 floods<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>flash floods; warning reach<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-09<\/span><\/td><td>Infrastructure<\/td><td>rail, roads and waterways<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>flood damage; low water<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-10<\/span><\/td><td>Cities<\/td><td>urban heat and heavy rain<\/td><td>drainage capacity<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-11<\/span><\/td><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>insects \u221275%; forests damaged<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>drought, heat, pests<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-12<\/span><\/td><td>Earth observation<\/td><td>strong national monitoring<\/td><td>data integration<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-13<\/span><\/td><td>Cyber and digital<\/td><td>data-centre hub around Frankfurt<\/td><td>outages and attacks<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-14<\/span><\/td><td>Policy<\/td><td>climate and adaptation laws<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>implementation<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-15<\/span><\/td><td>Science<\/td><td>deep research base<\/td><td>translation into operations<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Nicht\u00f6ffentliche und \u00f6ffentliche Wasserversorgung und Abwasserentsorgung 2019. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen 2024 (AGEE-Stat). UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Eurostat (ed.), Economic accounts for agriculture: agricultural output by Member State, 2024. Eurostat, Luxembourg, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r23\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 23\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), \u201cHitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2022,\u201d Epidemiologisches Bulletin. RKI, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>C. A. Hallmann, M. Sorg, E. Jongejans et al., \u201cMore than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas,\u201d PLOS ONE, vol. 12, e0185809, 2017.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Prognos, I\u00d6W and GWS (eds.), Kosten durch Klimawandelfolgen in Deutschland. Report for BMWK and BMUV, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Bundesnetzagentur (ed.), Lageberichte zur Gasversorgung 2022\u20132023. BNetzA, Bonn.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), Hitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2023 und 2024. RKI, Berlin, 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (ed.), Naturgefahrenreport 2024. GDV, Berlin, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Deutscher Wetterdienst (ed.), Deutschlandwetter im Jahr 2024. DWD, Offenbach, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaanpassungsgesetz (KAnG). Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin, 2023; in force 1 July 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c3-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaschutzgesetz (KSG), as amended in 2024. Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c3-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-risk-and-capability\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 4<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Risks and capability<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Four risk objects open the portfolio. Order carries no rank. Each is read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and consequence.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>2 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>1 table<\/span><span>7 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">4.1<\/span><span>Risk objects<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Each risk is read across the chain from hazard to consequence, with its status and evidence-quality level.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-DEU-CLI-001<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Flash floods in small, steep catchments<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>stationary storms with extreme rainfall<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>valley towns in upland regions<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>short warning times; uninsured homes<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>flood forecasting; civil protection; reconstruction funds<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 INF, HLT, FIN<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>annual<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-DEU-WAT-002<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Low water on the Rhine<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>dry summers; low snowmelt from the Alps<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>freight, chemical and steel supply chains<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>reliance on one waterway for bulk freight<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>part-loading; rail and road diversion<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>WAT \u2192 TRD \u2192 industry, ENE<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>seasonal<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-DEU-CLI-003<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Extreme heat<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>heatwaves and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h5\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.thermal.hot-nights\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Thermal extremes\" data-td=\"Nights that stay hot enough to prevent the body recovering from daytime heat, raising deaths among older and sick people and in poorly ventilated homes.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H5\" data-tr=\"draft\">tropical nights<\/a><\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>older people; dense cities<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>housing without cooling; isolation<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>heat-health warnings; heat action plans<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 HLT \u00b7 CLI \u2192 ENE<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>seasonal<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-DEU-BIO-004<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Forest dieback under drought and pests<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>drought, heat and bark beetles<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>spruce-dominated forests<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>monocultures planted for cooler climates<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>forest conversion programmes<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 BIO \u2192 WAT, carbon<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>5\u201330 years<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">4.2<\/span><span>Capability ladder<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Existence is not readiness. Each of the fifteen capability functions is placed on the ladder by the strongest public evidence at baseline.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 4.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Capabilities on the ladder of evidence: listed, exists, demonstrated, tested<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Function<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Rung<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Level<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Strongest public evidence at baseline<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Prevention and mitigation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>flood protection and planning rules; adaptation law in force<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Monitoring and observation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>DEMONSTRATED<\/td><td>DWD and federal monitoring in continuous use<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 early-warning\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Timely, actionable information about an impending hazard that lets people and institutions act to reduce harm before it occurs.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Early warning<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>warning gaps in small catchments shown in 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Preparedness and planning<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>adaptation strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup>; resilience strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n25\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-r25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Redundancy and reserves<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>DEMONSTRATED<\/td><td>gas storage and LNG used in the 2022 supply crisis<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Response<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>DEMONSTRATED<\/td><td>civil-protection and federal relief in 2021<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Continuity of critical services<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>critical-infrastructure rules under development<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recovery<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>federal and Land reconstruction funds after 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Adaptation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>first federal adaptation law, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 social-protection\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Public policies and programmes that help people manage risk and reduce poverty and vulnerability across their lives.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Social protection<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>energy-price relief in 2022\u20132023<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Finance and insurance<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>natural-hazard cover on about 54% of homes<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Institutional coordination<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>federal\u2013Land crisis structures, tested in 2021<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Technical infrastructure<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>infrastructure and climate fund created 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Workforce<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>volunteer-based civil protection; staffing pressures<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Research capacity<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>ADEQUATE<\/td><td>strong climate, water and engineering science<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"4\">A capability listed in policy is not a tested one; each rung is the strongest public evidence at baseline.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (ed.), Naturgefahrenreport 2024. GDV, Berlin, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaanpassungsgesetz (KAnG). Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin, 2023; in force 1 July 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Bundesregierung (ed.), Vorsorgende Klimaanpassungsstrategie der Bundesregierung. Berlin, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-n25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>Bundesamt f\u00fcr Bev\u00f6lkerungsschutz und Katastrophenhilfe (ed.), Deutsche Strategie zur St\u00e4rkung der Resilienz gegen\u00fcber Katastrophen. BBK, Bonn, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-r25\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 25\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Bundesnetzagentur (ed.), Lageberichte zur Gasversorgung 2022\u20132023. BNetzA, Bonn.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c4-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Gesetz zur Errichtung eines Sonderverm\u00f6gens Infrastruktur und Klimaneutralit\u00e4t. Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c4-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-scenario\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 5<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Hot, dry summer with low Rhine water<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>2 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>3 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.1<\/span><span>Assumptions<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01: what is assumed, and what is held constant.<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Baseline<\/dt><dd>the 2026 reference state in this edition<\/dd><dt>Drivers<\/dt><dd>a dry winter and spring; low Alpine snowmelt; repeated heatwaves in July and August<\/dd><dt>Analogues<\/dt><dd>summers 2018 and 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c5-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Interventions<\/dt><dd>none modelled, the specification describes the unmitigated case<\/dd><dt>Run state<\/dt><dd>narrative specification; quantified Foundry run scheduled for Q1 2027<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.2<\/span><span>The cascade, step by step<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">1<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 WAT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">low rainfall and snowmelt cut Rhine and Elbe levels<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2018 \u00b7 2022<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">2<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">WAT \u2192 TRD<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">barges sail part-loaded; freight costs rise<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c5-n24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">3<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">TRD \u2192 industry<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">chemical and steel plants cut output for lack of inputs<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2018<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">4<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 HLT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">heat deaths among older people rise<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c5-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">5<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 BIO<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">forest fires and bark-beetle damage spread<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2018\u20132021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c5-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">6<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">WAT \u2192 ENE<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">cooling-water limits on thermal plants<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2018 \u00b7 2022<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.3<\/span><span>The scenario as a table of steps<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nx-p\">How the shock in scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01 would travel through Germany&#8217;s coupled <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>, step by step, under the assumptions the edition states.<\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">01 Climate to water<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Low rainfall and snowmelt cut Rhine and Elbe levels. Analogue or source: 2018 \u00b7 2022.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition DEU, scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01, step 1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">02 Water to trade<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Barges sail part-loaded; freight costs rise. Analogue or source: 2022 [24].<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition DEU, scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01, step 2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">03 Trade to industry<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Chemical and steel plants cut output for lack of inputs. Analogue or source: 2018.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition DEU, scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01, step 3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">04 Climate to health<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Heat deaths among older people rise. Analogue or source: 2022 [4].<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition DEU, scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01, step 4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">05 Climate to biodiversity<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Forest fires and bark-beetle damage spread. Analogue or source: 2018\u20132021 [20].<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition DEU, scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01, step 5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">06 Water to energy<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Cooling-water limits on thermal plants. Analogue or source: 2018 \u00b7 2022.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition DEU, scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01, step 6<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-2\">A teaching model of a conditional scenario under the edition&#8217;s stated assumptions: not a forecast, not a prediction and not a warning. Sources: <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/scenario\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Germany 2026, scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01<\/a> (2026); Germany 2026, references (NR-CIT-1) (2026).<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c5-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), \u201cHitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2022,\u201d Epidemiologisches Bulletin. RKI, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c5-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c5-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c5-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-lenses-and-readings\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 6<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Lenses and readings<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The baseline is read through each steward\u2019s lens, then once as a whole. Each lens is a projection of reviewed findings, not a separate argument.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>8 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>6 tables<\/span><span>30 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.1<\/span><span>Three lenses<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">One edition, read by each steward. The lens of this site comes first.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cards\" data-n=\"3\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\" data-host=\"true\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 KEY T<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Technical Truth<\/h3><p>The evidence supports a coupled reading of German risk. Extreme rain, low rivers, heat and forest dieback are already recorded, and the energy system has shown it can absorb a supply shock. Evidence is strongest for emissions, floods and energy, and weakest for cross-system dependencies.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">CLI-001 \u00b7 WAT-004 \u00b7 ENE-007 \u00b7 SYS-012<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GRF \u00b7 KEY M<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Public Meaning<\/h3><p>For most people risk arrives as a flooded valley, a heatwave or an energy bill. The baseline asks that these be read as one system, and that public debate weigh who carries flood losses when nearly half of homes are uninsured.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">WAT-004 \u00b7 FIN-005 \u00b7 HLT-008<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GRA \u00b7 KEY F<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Capital Meaning<\/h3><p>Readiness implications only. Thin natural-hazard cover<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup>, a large new infrastructure fund<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup> and an energy system in transition<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup> show where finance-readiness evidence will matter. Nothing here is advice, a rating or an approval.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">FIN-005 \u00b7 ENE-006<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEXUS<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Synthesis<\/h3><p>Germany has rebuilt its energy system fast and observes its risks well, but its rivers, forests and valleys carry growing exposure. The 2027 programme should test the hot, dry Rhine summer, map flash-flood exposure and measure who carries the losses.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">SYS-012 \u00b7 A-01 \u00b7 A-02 \u00b7 A-03<\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.2<\/span><span>GCRI reading: the model card<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-p\">GCRI&#8217;s reading of this edition is its model card: what the national model is, what it computes and where it stops. It is printed in full in Annex A, with the methods it belongs to. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/methodology\/\">Annex A, methodology<\/a><\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.3<\/span><span>Global Risks Forum reading: editorial essays<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Four signed essays by the <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/programme\/reports\">Reports<\/a> editorial team set out the positions this edition takes. They are interpretation, labelled as such; the evidence they draw on is in the findings register.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The 2021 floods did not come from the great rivers but from small, steep valleys where rain ran off in hours. Flood defence built for slow river floods met a different hazard. Warning, evacuation and building in such catchments are now the frontier of German flood policy.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 01<\/h3><p>Small valleys, large losses<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">When the Rhine runs low, barges sail part-loaded and chemical and steel plants wait for inputs. A dry summer in the Alps is therefore an industrial event in the Ruhr. Freight resilience is water resilience.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 02<\/h3><p>The Rhine is an industrial lifeline<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">In 2022 Germany lost its largest gas supplier and still kept the lights on, then closed its last reactors in 2023. The system proved it can absorb a shock; the next test is flexibility as coal leaves and demand electrifies.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 03<\/h3><p>A transition tested by crisis<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">With nearly half of homes lacking natural-hazard cover, recovery after 2021 leaned on public funds. Whether that is a safety net or a hidden liability is the question behind the debate on mandatory insurance.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 04<\/h3><p>Uninsured is not unprotected, yet<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Essays are signed views of the editorial team. Contributed articles from working groups, consortium institutions and invited experts begin with the Q1 2027 edition, each with its own review route and disclosures.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.4<\/span><span>Global Risks Alliance reading: q1 2027 readiness pack<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The registers that open the first operational quarter. At baseline each is initialised from this edition.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Q1 2027 readiness pack<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Register<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State at baseline<\/th><th scope=\"col\">First Q1 2027 entry<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>E1<\/td><td>National risk state delta<\/td><td>baseline set by this edition<\/td><td>changes against the baseline<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E2<\/td><td>WEFH+B state delta<\/td><td>five system readings set<\/td><td>indicator updates and freshness<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E3<\/td><td>Agenda and Portfolio movement<\/td><td>eight agenda items \u00b7 six proposed objects<\/td><td>admission decisions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E4<\/td><td>NWG delivery register<\/td><td>no groups yet<\/td><td>first monthly outputs<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E5<\/td><td>NNC capability register<\/td><td>membership opens in Q1 2027<\/td><td>first contributions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E6<\/td><td>NLC questions and challenges<\/td><td>none yet<\/td><td>first challenge log<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E7<\/td><td>Foundry technical state<\/td><td>environment prepared<\/td><td>first sealed cut<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E8<\/td><td>Publication candidates<\/td><td>twelve findings carried forward<\/td><td>PUBLISH \u00b7 HOLD dispositions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E9<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/programme\/universe\">Universe<\/a> readiness<\/td><td>one candidate mission<\/td><td>admission and role spine<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E10<\/td><td>Correction register<\/td><td>none<\/td><td>first correction cycle<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication dispositions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Publish<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Hold<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Needs evidence<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Restricted<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Superseded<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Programme progress is not real-world risk improvement. These registers record the work of the Nexus programme; they report on no public authority.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.5<\/span><span>Nexus Standards reading: standards and regulatory watch<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Instruments that shape the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> in this edition, by status on the retrieval date. The edition assesses no one\u2019s compliance.<\/p><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">IN FORCE<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">ADOPTED<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">PUBLISHED<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">IN CONSULTATION<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Standards and regulatory watch<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Instrument<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Body<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Scope<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Relevance<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>European Climate Law<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n38\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r38\" aria-label=\"Note 38\">38<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>EU<\/td><td>EU<\/td><td>IN FORCE<\/td><td>\u221255% by 2030; neutrality by 2050<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Federal <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> Act, as amended 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Bundestag<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>IN FORCE<\/td><td>\u221265% by 2030; neutrality by 2045<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Federal Climate Adaptation Act<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Bundestag<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>IN FORCE \u00b7 JULY 2024<\/td><td>adaptation duties<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Precautionary adaptation strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Federal Government<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>ADOPTED 2024<\/td><td>adaptation targets<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>National water strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Federal Government<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>ADOPTED 2023<\/td><td>water to 2050<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resilience strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n25\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>BBK<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>PUBLISHED 2022<\/td><td>disaster resilience<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Infrastructure and climate special fund<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Bundestag<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>IN FORCE \u00b7 2025<\/td><td>\u20ac500 billion fund<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/sendai-framework-alignment\/\">Sendai Framework<\/a> 2015\u20132030<\/td><td>UNDRR<\/td><td>international<\/td><td>ADOPTED 2015<\/td><td>disaster <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-reduction\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Preventing new risk, reducing existing risk and managing residual risk, all contributing to resilience.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">risk reduction<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Changed since 2024<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>The federal adaptation law took effect in July 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>The precautionary adaptation strategy was adopted in December 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>A \u20ac500 billion infrastructure and climate fund was created in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">To watch in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Decisions on mandatory natural-hazard insurance<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Critical-infrastructure legislation<\/li><li>Progress against the 2030 emissions target<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Status is read from the issuing body on the retrieval date. A change in status opens a review task for every finding that relies on the instrument.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.6<\/span><span>Risk Academy reading: literature and evidence review, science and assessments<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The review behind this edition covers statutory assessments, peer-reviewed science and the institutional reports that bind its findings. Systematic reviews for each agenda item begin in Q1 2027.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Review protocol<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Question<\/dt><dd>What does the published evidence establish about Germany\u2019s coupled water, energy, food, health and biodiversity risks?<\/dd><dt>Sources searched<\/dt><dd>peer-reviewed literature; statutory plans and assessments; official statistics; agency and insurance data<\/dd><dt>Window<\/dt><dd>releases available at evidence close, 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Selection<\/dt><dd>sources that bind or contextualise a finding in this edition<\/dd><dt>Next step<\/dt><dd>systematic reviews for agenda items A-01 to A-05 in Q1 2027<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Assessments and peer-reviewed science<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Hallmann et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal article<\/td><td>2017<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h27\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.species.insect-decline\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Biodiversity and species stress\" data-td=\"Broad fall in insect abundance and biomass from habitat loss, pesticides, light and warming that starves birds and fish and weakens pest control and decomposition.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H27\" data-tr=\"draft\">insect decline<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Kreienkamp et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n39\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r39\" aria-label=\"Note 39\">39<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>attribution study<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>2021 rainfall<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Adaptation strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>government<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>adaptation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Expert council review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>independent council<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>emissions pace<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Lee and Romero (eds.)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>global forcing<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Zscheischler et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n28\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r28\" aria-label=\"Note 28\">28<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal article<\/td><td>2018<\/td><td>framework<\/td><td>compound events<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>McElwee et al. (eds.)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n30\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r30\" aria-label=\"Note 30\">30<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>nexus interlinkages<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Institutional reports<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Flood report 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>BMI<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>flood losses<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cost of climate impacts<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Prognos et al.<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>damage<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resilience strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>BBK<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>capability<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Official statistics and agency data<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Emissions 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UBA<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>emissions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Renewables in figures<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UBA<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>power mix<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Weather 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>DWD<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>warmest year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water statistics<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Destatis<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>water use<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Population<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Destatis<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>profile<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat mortality<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>RKI<\/td><td>2023\u201325<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>heat deaths<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Low water<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>BfG<\/td><td>recent<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>Rhine<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Energy, insurance and nature<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Gas situation reports<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>BNetzA<\/td><td>2022\u201323<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>gas crisis<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nuclear closure<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>BMWK<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>power transition<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Natural hazards report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>GDV<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>insurance cover<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Forest damage<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Th\u00fcnen \u00b7 BMEL<\/td><td>2022\u201325<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>forests<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Red Lists<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>BfN<\/td><td>recent<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>species at risk<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Catastrophe figures<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Munich Re<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>European losses<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Where the evidence agrees<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h4\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.precipitation.heavy-rain\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Precipitation extremes\" data-td=\"Rain falling fast or long enough to overwhelm drainage, soils and streams and to trigger floods and slope failures.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H4\" data-tr=\"draft\">Extreme rain<\/a> and heat are already more frequent<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n39\" aria-label=\"Note 39\">39<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Forests and insects are in long-run decline<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Emissions are falling, but not yet fast enough for 2030<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Where it is unsettled<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>How often the Rhine will run low in summer<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>How a mandatory insurance scheme would share losses<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>How much flexibility the grid will need after coal<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEWS AND PREPRINTS<\/p><p>No news report or preprint binds a finding in this edition. News is used only to date events.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (ed.), Naturgefahrenreport 2024. GDV, Berlin, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Gesetz zur Errichtung eines Sonderverm\u00f6gens Infrastruktur und Klimaneutralit\u00e4t. Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen 2024 (AGEE-Stat). UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n38\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">38<\/span><span>European Parliament and Council of the European Union (eds.), Regulation (EU) 2021\/1119 establishing the framework for achieving climate neutrality (European Climate Law). Official Journal L 243, 9 July 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r38\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 38\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaschutzgesetz (KSG), as amended in 2024. Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaanpassungsgesetz (KAnG). Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin, 2023; in force 1 July 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Bundesregierung (ed.), Vorsorgende Klimaanpassungsstrategie der Bundesregierung. Berlin, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>Bundesregierung (ed.), Nationale Wasserstrategie. Berlin, March 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>Bundesamt f\u00fcr Bev\u00f6lkerungsschutz und Katastrophenhilfe (ed.), Deutsche Strategie zur St\u00e4rkung der Resilienz gegen\u00fcber Katastrophen. BBK, Bonn, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r25\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 25\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>Expertenrat f\u00fcr Klimafragen (ed.), Pr\u00fcfbericht zur Berechnung der deutschen Treibhausgasemissionen f\u00fcr das Jahr 2024. ERK, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>C. A. Hallmann, M. Sorg, E. Jongejans et al., \u201cMore than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas,\u201d PLOS ONE, vol. 12, e0185809, 2017.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n39\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">39<\/span><span>F. Kreienkamp, S. Y. Philip, J. S. Tradowsky et al., Rapid attribution of heavy rainfall events leading to the severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021. World Weather Attribution, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r39\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 39\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> 2023: Synthesis Report. IPCC, Geneva, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., \u201cFuture climate risk from compound events,\u201d Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469\u2013477, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r28\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 28\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.13850054\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r30\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 30\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Prognos, I\u00d6W and GWS (eds.), Kosten durch Klimawandelfolgen in Deutschland. Report for BMWK and BMUV, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Treibhausgas-Emissionen in Deutschland 2024: Vorjahressch\u00e4tzung. UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, March 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Deutscher Wetterdienst (ed.), Deutschlandwetter im Jahr 2024. DWD, Offenbach, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Nicht\u00f6ffentliche und \u00f6ffentliche Wasserversorgung und Abwasserentsorgung 2019. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Bev\u00f6lkerungsstand: Bev\u00f6lkerung am 31.12.2024. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), \u201cHitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2022,\u201d Epidemiologisches Bulletin. RKI, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), Hitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2023 und 2024. RKI, Berlin, 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Bundesnetzagentur (ed.), Lageberichte zur Gasversorgung 2022\u20132023. BNetzA, Bonn.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz (ed.), \u201cAbschaltung der letzten drei Kernkraftwerke am 15. April 2023.\u201d BMWK, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Ern\u00e4hrung und Landwirtschaft (ed.), Ergebnisse der Waldzustandserhebung 2024. BMEL, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Bundesamt f\u00fcr Naturschutz (ed.), Rote Listen gef\u00e4hrdeter Tiere, Pflanzen und Pilze Deutschlands. BfN, Bonn, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c6-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c6-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-agenda\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 7<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">The 2027 agenda<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda. Each comes from a baseline finding, names the initiative that will carry it and the first output due at the Q1 2027 cut.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>5 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>6 tables<\/span><span>3 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.1<\/span><span>Questions for the operational series<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How would a hot, dry summer with low Rhine water travel through freight, industrial supply, power, forests and health at the same time?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-DEU-HDR-01 \u00b7 hot, dry Rhine summer; first output: dependency graph for the Rhine corridor.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Where are small, steep catchments most exposed to flash floods like those of 2021, and how much warning do they get?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-DEU-FLD-02 \u00b7 flash-flood exposure; first output: exposure register by district.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How would wider natural-hazard insurance change who carries flood and heavy-rain losses?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-DEU-FIN-03 \u00b7 cover and fiscal backstop; first output: loss-sharing table, 2002\u20132025.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How much grid flexibility remains as coal exits and heating and transport electrify?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-DEU-ENE-04 \u00b7 grid flexibility; first output: flexibility margin analysis.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">What heat surge capacity exists for older people at home and in care?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-DEU-HLT-05 \u00b7 heat surge readiness; first output: surge baseline for five L\u00e4nder.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How are forests recovering after 2018\u20132021, and what does that mean for water and carbon?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">With GS-11 Biodiversity; first output: forest condition note.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-07<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How do insect declines affect pollination and yields?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">To be admitted in Q1 2027; first output: scoping note.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-08<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Which capabilities have been tested in real events, and which are only documented?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">National capability register; first output: rung evidence for 15 functions.<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.2<\/span><span>Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Five initiatives and one Universe mission candidate are proposed for admission at the Q1 2027 alignment. They are programme objects, no partner, funder or member is attached to them in this edition.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Objects proposed for the first operational quarter<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">ID<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Object<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Kind<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Question<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-DEU-HDR-01<\/span><\/td><td>Hot, dry Rhine summer dependency model<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-DEU-FLD-02<\/span><\/td><td>Flash-flood exposure<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-02<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-DEU-FIN-03<\/span><\/td><td>Natural-hazard cover and fiscal backstop<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-03<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-DEU-ENE-04<\/span><\/td><td>Grid flexibility<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-04<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-DEU-HLT-05<\/span><\/td><td>Heat surge readiness<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-05<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MSN-DEU-2027-01<\/span><\/td><td>Hot, dry Rhine summer Universe mission<\/td><td>Mission<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Candidate<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.3<\/span><span>The pathway<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Germany is the national pathway through which the Nexus operating system will run from 2027, across the federation and the sixteen L\u00e4nder. At baseline the pathway is designed and its records are prepared; its councils and working groups are constituted from Q1 2027. This page states what exists today and what comes next, nothing more.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">One National Agenda<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">bounded national questions for the year<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">DRAFT 2027 \u00b7 agenda review at the Q1 alignment<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Desk<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">coordination, records, routing and continuity<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">DESIGNED \u00b7 constituted in Q1 2027<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Model<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">the country as a system of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">v0 SPECIFIED \u00b7 v1 with the first Foundry cut<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Portfolio<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">risks, capabilities, initiatives, projects, missions<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">7 PROPOSED \u00b7 admission at the Q1 alignment<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Foundry<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">continuous computational environment<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">PREPARED \u00b7 first sealed cut NQ-DEU-2027-Q1<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Reports<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">quarterly and annual publication<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">BASELINE ISSUED \u00b7 Q1 2027 \u00b7 State &amp; Agenda<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">07<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Universe<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">annual proving environment<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">CANDIDATE MISSION \u00b7 mandate set in 2027<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">08<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Evidence and correction<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">after-action, correction and renewal<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">OPEN \u00b7 first correction cycle in Q2 2027<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.4<\/span><span>Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Mandate<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Core Build \u00b7 1 month<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Action \u00b7 1 week<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Evidence seal<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Portfolio correction<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Next mandate<\/p><\/li><\/ol><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Record<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Timing<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>F1<\/td><td>Annual mandate record<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>after the Q2 2027 alignment<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F2<\/td><td>Core Build record<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>one month before the exercise<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F3<\/td><td>Exercise evidence<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>during the Action week<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F4<\/td><td>Decision packets<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>exercise state only<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F5<\/td><td>Proof receipts<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>scoped to each recorded check<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F6<\/td><td>After-action report<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>within one quarter<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F7<\/td><td>Upgrade docket<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>routed to the Portfolio<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F8<\/td><td>Portfolio renewal<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>Q4 2027 annual edition<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F9<\/td><td>Public synthesis<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>public-safe extracts only<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Mission<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>ID<\/dt><dd>MSN-DEU-2027-01 \u00b7 hot, dry Rhine summer<\/dd><dt>Role spine<\/dt><dd>Leadership sponsor (NLC) \u00b7 Institutional anchor (NNC) \u00b7 Mission lead (NWG)<\/dd><dt>Receiving actors<\/dt><dd>to be identified with the mandate<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Simulation success is not deployment approval; demonstration is not certification; finance readiness is not financing secured.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.5<\/span><span>Handoffs and routing<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Where the baseline\u2019s findings go next. A handoff routes a finding for awareness, review or work; it transfers no authority.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Handoffs and routing<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Finding<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Routed to<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Purpose<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Class<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>CLI-001 \u00b7 emissions<\/td><td>public record<\/td><td>reference for the 2027 series<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WAT-004 \u00b7 2021 floods<\/td><td>INI-DEU-FLD-02<\/td><td>flash-flood exposure<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FIN-005 \u00b7 insurance cover<\/td><td>INI-DEU-FIN-03 \u00b7 key F review<\/td><td>loss sharing<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ENE-006 \u00b7 renewables<\/td><td>INI-DEU-ENE-04 \u00b7 GS-02<\/td><td>grid flexibility<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>HLT-008 \u00b7 heat deaths<\/td><td>INI-DEU-HLT-05<\/td><td>heat surge readiness<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WAT-009 \u00b7 Rhine low water<\/td><td>INI-DEU-HDR-01 \u00b7 GS-01<\/td><td>hot, dry Rhine summer<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BIO-010 \u00b7 insects<\/td><td>GS-11 Biodiversity edition<\/td><td>condition baseline<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SYS-012 \u00b7 compound pathway<\/td><td>MSN-DEU-2027-01<\/td><td>Universe candidate<\/td><td>CONSORTIUM<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Routing rules by publication class<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Class<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Where it goes<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Who can see it<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>PUBLIC<\/td><td>the published edition and its evidence bundle<\/td><td>anyone<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CONSORTIUM<\/td><td>governed rooms of the national pathway<\/td><td>consortium members under agreement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CONTROLLED<\/td><td>need-to-know channels<\/td><td>named competent actors only<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Handoffs carry findings to Nexus programme objects and steward reviews. Competent authorities receive public editions as published; nothing here instructs them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.6<\/span><span>Feeds and signal register<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Feeds watched from Q1 2027<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Feed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Producer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Latency<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Feeds into<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Weather warnings<\/td><td>DWD<\/td><td>real time<\/td><td>early-warning rung<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Flood forecasts<\/td><td>Land flood centres<\/td><td>real time<\/td><td>RSK-DEU-CLI-001<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Waterway levels (Kaub and others)<\/td><td>federal waterways administration<\/td><td>real time<\/td><td>RSK-DEU-WAT-002<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat-health warnings<\/td><td>DWD<\/td><td>daily in season<\/td><td>RSK-DEU-CLI-003<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Electricity data (SMARD)<\/td><td>Bundesnetzagentur<\/td><td>real time<\/td><td>ENE findings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Gas storage levels<\/td><td>Bundesnetzagentur<\/td><td>daily<\/td><td>ENE-007<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h24\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">Forest fire<\/a> danger index<\/td><td>DWD<\/td><td>daily in season<\/td><td>RSK-DEU-BIO-004<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Escalation routes<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">none \u00b7 keep monitoring<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">research question<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">project<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">risk object<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">quarterly publication<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">signal report<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Signals at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">ID<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Signal<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Corroboration<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Systems<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Route<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>SIG-DEU-001<\/td><td>Recurrent low summer water on the Rhine<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c7-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>WAT \u00b7 TRD<\/td><td>initiative A-01<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SIG-DEU-002<\/td><td>Flash-flood exposure in small catchments<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c7-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>WAT \u00b7 INF<\/td><td>initiative A-02<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SIG-DEU-003<\/td><td>Continued forest damage after 2018\u20132021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c7-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>BIO \u00b7 WAT<\/td><td>research question A-06<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>A signal is not a warning. Signal records never substitute for official vigilance or early-warning authorities, and they bypass no publication control.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c7-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c7-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c7-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Ern\u00e4hrung und Landwirtschaft (ed.), Ergebnisse der Waldzustandserhebung 2024. BMEL, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c7-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-systems-in-depth\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 8<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Systems in depth<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>5 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>5 tables<\/span><span>17 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.1<\/span><span>Water, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Germany\u2019s water risk runs at both extremes: flash floods in small valleys and low water on the great rivers in dry summers.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">180+<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">deaths<\/span><p>July 2021 floods<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224844<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>of abstraction for energy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2023<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">strategy<\/span><p>national water strategy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Flash floods<\/td><td>July 2021: more than 180 deaths<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Low water<\/td><td>Rhine restrictions in 2018 and 2022<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Use<\/td><td>cooling about 44%, public supply about 27%<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Strategy<\/td><td>national water strategy to 2050<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>WAT \u2192 TRD freight on the Rhine<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 ENE cooling<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 FIN uninsured flood losses<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>flash-flood exposure by district<\/li><li>groundwater trends in the east<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Rhine levels each summer; heavy-rain warnings; groundwater in Brandenburg.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-EUR Europe<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-11 Biodiversity<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Water management rests with the Federation, the L\u00e4nder and municipalities under their own mandates; this chapter assesses none of them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.2<\/span><span>Energy, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The energy system was rebuilt under pressure: Russian gas replaced in 2022, nuclear closed in 2023, renewables above half of electricity in 2024.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224854<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>renewable electricity, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2023<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">April<\/span><p>last nuclear reactors closed<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2022<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">shock<\/span><p>Russian pipeline gas stopped<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Renewables<\/td><td>about 54% of gross electricity consumption<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nuclear<\/td><td>last three reactors closed 15 April 2023<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Gas<\/td><td>storage, LNG and demand cuts after 2022<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Emissions<\/td><td>649 Mt CO\u2082e in 2024<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>ENE \u2192 industry costs<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 HLT power for care<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 ENE cooling<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>grid flexibility after coal<\/li><li>electrified heat and transport demand<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Coal exit milestones; gas storage each winter; grid expansion.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-EUR Europe<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-11 Biodiversity<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Energy decisions rest with the Federation, regulators and system operators; this chapter assesses none of them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.3<\/span><span>Food and agrifood, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Germany is one of the EU\u2019s largest agricultural producers. Dry years cut yields, and insect declines threaten pollination.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224813<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>of EU agricultural output<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n23\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2018<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">drought<\/span><p>yield losses<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">&gt;75<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>insect biomass decline<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Production<\/td><td>among the EU\u2019s largest producers<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Drought<\/td><td>yields cut in 2018 and 2022<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pollination<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h27\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.species.insect-decline\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Biodiversity and species stress\" data-td=\"Broad fall in insect abundance and biomass from habitat loss, pesticides, light and warming that starves birds and fish and weakens pest control and decomposition.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H27\" data-tr=\"draft\">insect decline<\/a> a risk to pollination<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water<\/td><td>irrigation small but rising in dry years<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>WAT \u2192 FOO rainfall and irrigation<\/li><li>BIO \u2192 FOO pollination<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 FOO inputs<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>yield losses by Land<\/li><li>pollination dependence<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Harvest estimates after dry summers; fertiliser prices; insect monitoring.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-EUR Europe<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-11 Biodiversity<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>This chapter describes the food system; it makes no statement on agricultural policy or about any company.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.4<\/span><span>Health and One Health, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Heat is Germany\u2019s deadliest climate hazard in most years, and an ageing population raises exposure.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u22484,500<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">deaths<\/span><p>heat-related, 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2024<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">record<\/span><p>warmest year<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2023<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">plans<\/span><p>heat-protection planning<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Heat<\/td><td>about 4,500 <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in 2022<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recent years<\/td><td>continued heat mortality in 2023 and 2024<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Floods<\/td><td>deaths and injuries in 2021<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Surge capacity<\/td><td>not consolidated nationally<\/td><td>,<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>CLI \u2192 HLT heat<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 HLT floods<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 HLT cooling and care<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>heat surge capacity<\/li><li>cooling in care homes<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>DWD heat warnings; heat-related deaths each summer; heat action plans.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-EUR Europe<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-11 Biodiversity<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Health-system planning rests with the health authorities. No personal health data are used or shown in Reports.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.5<\/span><span>Biodiversity and ecosystems, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Insect biomass has collapsed in protected areas, and drought and pests damaged half a million hectares of forest in four years.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">&gt;75<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>insect biomass decline<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u2248500k<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">hectares<\/span><p>forest damaged, 2018\u20132021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2024<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">survey<\/span><p>forest condition<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Insects<\/td><td>more than 75% decline over 27 years<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Forests<\/td><td>about 500,000 ha damaged 2018\u20132021<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Condition<\/td><td>forest crowns remain stressed<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Red Lists<\/td><td>many species at risk<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>BIO \u2192 WAT forest water regulation<\/li><li>BIO \u2192 FOO pollination<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 BIO drought and pests<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>recent insect trends<\/li><li>forest recovery and conversion<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Forest condition surveys; insect monitoring; bark-beetle outbreaks.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-EUR Europe<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-11 Biodiversity<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Biodiversity is not reduced to a single number. Where valuation is used later, it will never be presented as the whole value.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Nicht\u00f6ffentliche und \u00f6ffentliche Wasserversorgung und Abwasserentsorgung 2019. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>Bundesregierung (ed.), Nationale Wasserstrategie. Berlin, March 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen 2024 (AGEE-Stat). UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz (ed.), \u201cAbschaltung der letzten drei Kernkraftwerke am 15. April 2023.\u201d BMWK, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Bundesnetzagentur (ed.), Lageberichte zur Gasversorgung 2022\u20132023. BNetzA, Bonn.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Treibhausgas-Emissionen in Deutschland 2024: Vorjahressch\u00e4tzung. UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, March 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Eurostat (ed.), Economic accounts for agriculture: agricultural output by Member State, 2024. Eurostat, Luxembourg, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r23\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 23\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Ern\u00e4hrung und Landwirtschaft (ed.), Statistisches Jahrbuch \u00fcber Ern\u00e4hrung, Landwirtschaft und Forsten 2024. BMEL, Berlin, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>C. A. Hallmann, M. Sorg, E. Jongejans et al., \u201cMore than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas,\u201d PLOS ONE, vol. 12, e0185809, 2017.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), \u201cHitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2022,\u201d Epidemiologisches Bulletin. RKI, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Deutscher Wetterdienst (ed.), Deutschlandwetter im Jahr 2024. DWD, Offenbach, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), Hitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2023 und 2024. RKI, Berlin, 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Ern\u00e4hrung und Landwirtschaft (ed.), Ergebnisse der Waldzustandserhebung 2024. BMEL, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-c8-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Bundesamt f\u00fcr Naturschutz (ed.), Rote Listen gef\u00e4hrdeter Tiere, Pflanzen und Pilze Deutschlands. BfN, Bonn, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-c8-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-methodology\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex A<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Methodology<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">How the edition was made: methods, the model card, the evidence cut and its age, the acceptance record and the glossary.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>9 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>12 tables<\/span><span>8 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.1<\/span><span>Methods<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The baseline uses published values and four simple derivations. Each is shown in full so that any reader can reproduce it.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Methods<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">No.<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Derivation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Calculation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Result<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>(1)<\/td><td>2030 target in tonnes<\/td><td>1,251 \u00d7 0.35<\/td><td>\u2248 438 Mt<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(2)<\/td><td>Annual cut needed to 2030<\/td><td>(649 \u2212 438) \u00f7 6<\/td><td>\u2248 35 Mt a year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(3)<\/td><td>Change in emissions, 2023 to 2024<\/td><td>649 \u00f7 672 \u2212 1<\/td><td>\u2248 \u22123.4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(4)<\/td><td>Homes without natural-hazard cover<\/td><td>100 \u2212 54<\/td><td>\u2248 46%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coupling strength scale (matrix and model card)<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Strength<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Definition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>STRONG<\/td><td>a disruption in the source system has historically changed the target system\u2019s service or output within one season<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>MODERATE<\/td><td>an effect is documented but buffered or slower<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WEAK<\/td><td>an effect is plausible but not documented at national scale<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Status grammar<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Label<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Rule<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td>value as issued by its source, with year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><td>reasoned from cited evidence; never a measurement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Estimated<\/span><\/td><td>Nexus analytical value with stated method<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Scenario<\/span><\/td><td>conditional on stated assumptions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><td>structured editorial judgement awaiting evidence<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.2<\/span><span>Model card, National Model v0<\/span><\/h2><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Model ID<\/dt><dd>MDL-DEU-NATIONAL \u00b7 v0.1<\/dd><dt>Purpose<\/dt><dd>represent Germany as coupled water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> with forcing and transmission layers<\/dd><dt>Family<\/dt><dd>graph-based system of systems<\/dd><dt>Inputs<\/dt><dd>the cited sources of this edition; no proprietary data<\/dd><dt>Method<\/dt><dd>expert-specified coupling strengths (STRONG \u00b7 MODERATE \u00b7 WEAK) from evidence and analogue events<\/dd><dt>Validation<\/dt><dd>none yet, first validation against Q1 2027 Foundry evidence<\/dd><dt>Uncertainty<\/dt><dd>qualitative; strengths are hypotheses, not measurements<\/dd><dt>Domain of validity<\/dt><dd>national scale; not for Land, plant or asset-level use<\/dd><dt>Reproducibility<\/dt><dd>strength table and sources published in this edition<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">20<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">couplings<\/span><p>typed in v0<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">strong<\/span><p>documented within one season<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">moderate<\/span><p>documented, buffered<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">weak<\/span><p>plausible, undocumented<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">SUITABLE FOR<\/p><p>framing the 2027 agenda; choosing which couplings to measure first; explaining the coupled reading of German risk.<\/p><\/aside><\/div><div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NOT SUITABLE FOR<\/p><p>quantitative loss estimates, operational decisions, provincial comparisons or any claim about a specific asset.<\/p><\/aside><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">VERSIONING<\/p><p>Models are immutable by version. A change to any coupling, rule or weight produces v0.2 with its own card and correction note.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.3<\/span><span>The baseline evidence cut<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Every Nexus edition is published from a frozen evidence cut. The baseline cut is documentary: it pins the exact edition of every source cited. Model runs begin with the first Foundry cut in Q1 2027.<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Cut ID<\/dt><dd>NQ-DEU-2026-Q0-1<\/dd><dt>Type<\/dt><dd>baseline documentary cut<\/dd><dt>Resolution policy<\/dt><dd>pinned \u00b7 as of 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Sources pinned<\/dt><dd>40 cited sources, each at the edition and retrieval date in the references<\/dd><dt>Model runs<\/dt><dd>none at baseline, analytical values are stated with their method<\/dd><dt>Digest<\/dt><dd>computed at <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h5\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.thermal.hard-freeze\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Thermal extremes\" data-td=\"Air temperature falling well below freezing for hours, killing crops, bursting pipes and stopping water flow.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H5\" data-tr=\"draft\">freeze<\/a> and recorded in the publication record<\/dd><dt>Supersedes<\/dt><dd>nothing, first cut of the series<\/dd><dt>Superseded by<\/dt><dd>NQ-DEU-2027-Q1-1 at the Q1 2027 close<\/dd><\/dl><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Lineage<\/h3><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">source edition<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">pinned citation<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">finding<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">page<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">publication record<\/p><\/li><\/ol><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">From the baseline cut to the first Foundry cut<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Element<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline 2026<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Q1 2027<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Sources<\/td><td>cited publications, pinned by edition<\/td><td>qualified source bindings with versions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Analysis<\/td><td>stated methods and editorial estimates<\/td><td>typed analysis specifications<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Models<\/td><td>National Model v0 specification<\/td><td>model runs with receipts<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Findings<\/td><td>twelve baseline findings<\/td><td>findings re-bound to the cut<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Review<\/td><td>five passes scheduled<\/td><td>five passes on the exact digest<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.4<\/span><span>Evidence age and coverage<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">A 2026 edition rests on evidence observed in many different years. This page shows each time base, so that no single year label hides older evidence.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Evidence age and coverage<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Indicator<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Observed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Released<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Cadence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Next release<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Greenhouse-gas emissions<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>Mar 2025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>Mar 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Warmest year on record<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>Dec 2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">Heat-related deaths<\/a><\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Renewable electricity share<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water abstraction by sector<\/td><td>2019<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>three-yearly<\/td><td>next survey<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Natural-hazard cover<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>July 2021 flood losses<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>one-off<\/td><td>,<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Population<\/td><td>end 2024<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Insect biomass<\/td><td>1989\u20132016<\/td><td>2017<\/td><td>one-off<\/td><td>new studies<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Forest damage<\/td><td>2018\u20132021<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>forest survey<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coverage by system at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">System<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Thinnest dimension<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Climate forcing<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>local heavy-rain extremes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>flexibility after coal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>small-catchment flood exposure<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>yield losses by Land<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Health<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>surge capacity<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>recent insect trends<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Finance<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>loss sharing under reform<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Digital and cyber<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><td>dependency mapping<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.5<\/span><span>Evidence cards, two anchor sources<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Issued by the Umweltbundesamt each March and checked by the expert council on climate [3]. Coverage 1990\u20132024. Role: binds CLI-001 and CLI-002.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EVD-DEU-001<\/h3><p>Greenhouse-gas emissions 2024, provisional estimate<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Issued by the federal interior ministry with the L\u00e4nder. Covers deaths, damage, relief and reconstruction. Role: binds WAT-004.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EVD-DEU-002<\/h3><p>Report on the 2021 flood disaster<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/article><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Quality dimensions at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Dimension<\/th><th scope=\"col\">EVD-CAN-001<\/th><th scope=\"col\">EVD-CAN-002<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Completeness<\/td><td>all sectors and gases<\/td><td>deaths, damage and relief<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Timeliness<\/td><td>about three months after the year<\/td><td>about a year after the event<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Revision<\/td><td>final inventory replaces the estimate<\/td><td>reconstruction figures updated<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Method transparency<\/td><td>methods published<\/td><td>sources listed<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>External validation<\/td><td>expert council review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Land reports<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence cards to follow in Q1 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Natural hazards report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup>, cover rates<\/li><li>Heat mortality reports<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup>, estimation method<\/li><li>Water statistics<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>, abstraction survey<\/li><li>Forest damage survey<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup>, satellite method<\/li><\/ul><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.6<\/span><span>Publication acceptance record<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Editorial self-check at evidence close. Every applicable item carries a disposition; the remaining items are review, approval and deposit.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab8\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.8<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Publication acceptance record<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Group<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Area<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Items<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Pass<\/th><th scope=\"col\">N\/A<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Pending<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>D1<\/td><td>Identity and scope<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D2<\/td><td>Source and data<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>1<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D3<\/td><td>Analysis and models<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D4<\/td><td>Findings and claims<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D5<\/td><td>Figures, tables, maps<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>6<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D6<\/td><td>Editorial and citations<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D7<\/td><td>Review and approval<\/td><td>13<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>13<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D8<\/td><td>Artefact and design<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>7<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D9<\/td><td>Registry and release<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication gate<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Conditions met<\/dt><dd>14 of 23 at evidence close<\/dd><dt>Blocking problems<\/dt><dd>none recorded<\/dd><dt>Open conditions<\/dt><dd>reviews, approval of the exact digest, deposit, registry pointer<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Not applicable at baseline<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Model runs<\/dt><dd>first runs in Q1 2027<\/dd><dt>Maps<\/dt><dd>plates in Q2 2027<\/dd><dt>Waivers<\/dt><dd>none<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Dispositions are recorded item by item in the machine-readable checklist. A FAIL on any item blocks release.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.7<\/span><span>Status words<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab9\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">The status every value carries<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What it means<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"positive\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Observed<\/span><\/td><td>Measured directly and published by the source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td>Published statistics of an official or institutional source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Declared<\/span><\/td><td>Stated by the body concerned; not independently measured.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Estimated<\/span><\/td><td>A Nexus estimate from cited evidence, with its method in Annex A.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Modelled<\/span><\/td><td>Produced by a stated model from cited inputs.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><td>Reasoned from cited evidence; not measured.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Forecast<\/span><\/td><td>A projection by the cited source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Simulated<\/span><\/td><td>A simulation result under stated assumptions.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Scenario<\/span><\/td><td>A conditional statement under stated assumptions; never a prediction.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><td>Expert judgement, recorded with its basis.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Candidate<\/span><\/td><td>Proposed for a later edition; not yet evidence.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"2\">Evidence-quality levels (EQL 1 to 5) grade the source behind a value; they are not a score of the subject.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.8<\/span><span>How the edition is made, released and corrected<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nx-p\">Every edition is built from a sealed evidence cut, reviewed under three keys, signed and deposited before any site shows it as published; corrections go to <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a> as change proposals and feed the next cut.<\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">01 Evidence arrives from the pillars<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Foundry seals observations and indicator series, Universe hands over after-action and scenario findings, and contributions are screened at every gateway, including this site&#8217;s.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">02 The cut is sealed<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">On the cut date the evidence is pinned under one identifier, so anyone can rebuild the edition from exactly what it was built on.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">03 The edition is assembled<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">The edition is drafted from its template and content pack. Agents may draft; they never publish and never decide.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">04 The keys turn<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">At the publisher of record the truth key comes first: every value is checked against its source or stated method before the meaning and capital keys turn. No edition moves on until every key has been turned by a named steward.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">05 The gate opens<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">A named approver releases one exact digest of the edition; any change after this point is a new version, never a silent edit.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">06 Signed and deposited<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">The PDF, the web edition and the data bundle are signed together with a manifest and an RO-Crate description, and deposited on Zenodo with a concept and a version DOI.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">07 Published on five sites<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Only then do the five Reports sites show the edition as published, each reading it through its own lens.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">08 Corrections go to Standards<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Method and correction findings go to Nexus Standards as change proposals; citations, corrections and new contributions feed the next evidence cut.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-2\">A teaching model of the process, not a forecast and not a record of any run; dates and counts on this page come from the programme record. Sources: <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/governance\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Reports governance at GCRI Canada<\/a> (2026); Zenodo, repository of record for Reports deposits (2026).<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">Lifecycle, one state at a time: Draft, Computed, Evidence bound, Reviewed, Approved for release, Published, Corrected, Superseded. This edition is a draft.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s9\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s9-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s9-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.9<\/span><span>Glossary and abbreviations<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab10\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.10<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Series terms<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Term<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Meaning<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Baseline Edition<\/td><td>the inaugural annual edition that fixes the reference state for the series<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WEFH+B<\/td><td>water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/governance-in-operation\/national-nexus\" data-tc=\"National Nexus\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The national model: the NNC, the NLC and the NWG as its three participation pillars, with the National Desk, Model and Portfolio and the NSC as the standards function of the NNC (OR-13)\">national nexus<\/a> core<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Coupling<\/td><td>a typed dependency through which one system transmits to another<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Protection gap<\/a><\/td><td>the share of losses not covered by insurance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Capability ladder<\/td><td>LISTED \u2192 EXISTS \u2192 ADEQUATE \u2192 TESTED \u2192 DEMONSTRATED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>EQL<\/td><td>evidence-quality level, 1\u20135<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Evidence cut<\/td><td>a frozen resolution of exact sources and versions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NNC \u00b7 NLC \u00b7 NWG<\/td><td>National Nexus Consortium \u00b7 National Leadership Council \u00b7 National Working Groups<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab11\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.11<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Abbreviations used in this edition<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Abbreviation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Expansion<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>BBK<\/td><td>Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BfG<\/td><td>Federal Institute of Hydrology<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BfN<\/td><td>Federal Agency for Nature Conservation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BMEL<\/td><td>Federal Ministry of Food and Agriculture<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BMI<\/td><td>Federal Ministry of the Interior<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BNetzA<\/td><td>Federal Network Agency<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Destatis<\/td><td>Federal Statistical Office<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>DWD<\/td><td>German Meteorological Service<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ERK<\/td><td>Expert Council on <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>GDV<\/td><td>German Insurance Association<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>KAnG<\/td><td>Federal Climate Adaptation Act<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>KSG<\/td><td>Federal Climate Change Act<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>RKI<\/td><td>Robert Koch Institute<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>UBA<\/td><td>German Environment Agency<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s10\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s10-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-s10-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.10<\/span><span>Technical annex<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-tab12\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.12<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Technical annex<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Annex<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Contents<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>A.1<\/td><td>Indicator definitions<\/td><td>the baseline indicator set, with units and sources<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.2<\/td><td>Coupling strengths<\/td><td>the twenty-cell matrix and its rationale<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.3<\/td><td>Scenario specification<\/td><td>SCN-DEU-HDR-01 assumptions and signposts<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.4<\/td><td>Capability placements<\/td><td>rung evidence for fifteen functions<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.5<\/td><td>Model diagnostics<\/td><td>first runs and validation<\/td><td>Q1 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.6<\/td><td>Sensitivity analyses<\/td><td>influence of coupling strengths<\/td><td>Q2 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.7<\/td><td>Land notes<\/td><td>atlas cards for the sixteen L\u00e4nder<\/td><td>Q2 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.8<\/td><td>Review statements<\/td><td>pass-by-pass review record<\/td><td>AT RELEASE<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">A.1 \u00b7 indicator definition, greenhouse-gas emissions<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Construct<\/dt><dd>annual greenhouse-gas emissions in Germany, excluding land use<\/dd><dt>Unit<\/dt><dd>Mt CO\u2082e<\/dd><dt>Scope<\/dt><dd><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> Act perimeter<\/dd><dt>Source<\/dt><dd>UBA provisional estimate<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Revision<\/dt><dd>replaced by the final inventory<\/dd><dt>Known limits<\/dt><dd>excludes emissions embodied in imports<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Annexes carry the same evidence, review and correction rules as the chapters and are versioned with the edition.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Treibhausgas-Emissionen in Deutschland 2024: Vorjahressch\u00e4tzung. UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, March 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>Expertenrat f\u00fcr Klimafragen (ed.), Pr\u00fcfbericht zur Berechnung der deutschen Treibhausgasemissionen f\u00fcr das Jahr 2024. ERK, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (ed.), Naturgefahrenreport 2024. GDV, Berlin, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), \u201cHitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2022,\u201d Epidemiologisches Bulletin. RKI, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), Hitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2023 und 2024. RKI, Berlin, 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Nicht\u00f6ffentliche und \u00f6ffentliche Wasserversorgung und Abwasserentsorgung 2019. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ca-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-ca-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-data\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex B<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Data appendix<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>7 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>7 tables<\/span><span>18 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.1<\/span><span>The indicator set<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Baseline indicator set<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Indicator<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Unit<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Greenhouse-gas emissions<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">649<\/span><\/td><td>Mt CO\u2082e<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Change since 1990<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u221248<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2030 target<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u221265<\/span><\/td><td>% vs 1990<\/td><td>2030<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Renewable share of electricity<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u224854<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Mean temperature, record year<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">10.9<\/span><\/td><td>\u00b0C<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">Heat-related deaths<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u22484,500<\/span><\/td><td>deaths<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Deaths in July 2021 floods<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">180+<\/span><\/td><td>deaths<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Flood damage, July 2021<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u224840<\/span><\/td><td>\u20ac billion<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Homes with natural-hazard cover<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u224854<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy share of water abstraction<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u224844<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2019<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Population<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">83.6<\/span><\/td><td>million<\/td><td>end 2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Share of EU agricultural output<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u224813<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n23\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Insect biomass decline<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">&gt;75<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>1989\u20132016<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Forest area damaged<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u2248500,000<\/span><\/td><td>hectares<\/td><td>2018\u20132021<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-actions nrp-noprint\"><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"data:text\/csv;charset=utf-8,Indicator%2CValue%2CUnit%2CYear%2CState%2CSource%0AGreenhouse-gas%20emissions%2C649%2CMt%20CO%E2%82%82e%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B1%5D%0AChange%20since%201990%2C%E2%88%9248%2C%25%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B1%5D%0A2030%20target%2C%E2%88%9265%2C%25%20vs%201990%2C2030%2CREPORTED%2C%5B11%5D%0ARenewable%20share%20of%20electricity%2C%E2%89%8854%2C%25%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B7%5D%0A%22Mean%20temperature%2C%20record%20year%22%2C10.9%2C%C2%B0C%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B8%5D%0AHeat-related%20deaths%2C%22%E2%89%884%2C500%22%2Cdeaths%2C2022%2CREPORTED%2C%5B4%5D%0ADeaths%20in%20July%202021%20floods%2C180%2B%2Cdeaths%2C2021%2CREPORTED%2C%5B14%5D%0A%22Flood%20damage%2C%20July%202021%22%2C%E2%89%8840%2C%E2%82%AC%20billion%2C2021%2CREPORTED%2C%5B15%5D%0AHomes%20with%20natural-hazard%20cover%2C%E2%89%8854%2C%25%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B13%5D%0AEnergy%20share%20of%20water%20abstraction%2C%E2%89%8844%2C%25%2C2019%2CREPORTED%2C%5B12%5D%0APopulation%2C83.6%2Cmillion%2Cend%202024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B6%5D%0AShare%20of%20EU%20agricultural%20output%2C%E2%89%8813%2C%25%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B23%5D%0AInsect%20biomass%20decline%2C%3E75%2C%25%2C1989%E2%80%932016%2CREPORTED%2C%5B18%5D%0AForest%20area%20damaged%2C%22%E2%89%88500%2C000%22%2Chectares%2C2018%E2%80%932021%2CREPORTED%2C%5B20%5D%0A\" download=\"NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-indicators.csv\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 15V3\"\/><path d=\"M21 15v4a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H5a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-4\"\/><path d=\"m7 10 5 5 5-5\"\/><\/svg>Indicators, CSV<\/a><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"data:application\/json;charset=utf-8,%7B%0A%20%22edition%22%3A%20%22NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE%22%2C%0A%20%22title%22%3A%20%22Germany%20Systems%20Risk%20and%20Resilience%20Report%202026%3A%20The%20State%20of%20Germany%E2%80%99s%20Interdependent%20Systems%22%2C%0A%20%22status%22%3A%20%22Draft%20under%20stewardship%20review%3B%20not%20yet%20released%22%2C%0A%20%22licence%22%3A%20%22CC-BY-4.0%20for%20the%20edition%20table%3B%20each%20value%20keeps%20its%20source's%20licence%22%2C%0A%20%22columns%22%3A%20%5B%0A%20%20%22Indicator%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Value%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Unit%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Year%22%2C%0A%20%20%22State%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Source%22%0A%20%5D%2C%0A%20%22rows%22%3A%20%5B%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Greenhouse-gas%20emissions%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22649%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Mt%20CO%E2%82%82e%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B1%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Change%20since%201990%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%88%9248%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B1%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%222030%20target%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%88%9265%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%20vs%201990%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222030%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B11%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Renewable%20share%20of%20electricity%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%8854%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B7%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Mean%20temperature%2C%20record%20year%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2210.9%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%C2%B0C%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B8%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Heat-related%20deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%884%2C500%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222022%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B4%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Deaths%20in%20July%202021%20floods%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22180%2B%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222021%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B14%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Flood%20damage%2C%20July%202021%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%8840%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%82%AC%20billion%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222021%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B15%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Homes%20with%20natural-hazard%20cover%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%8854%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B13%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Energy%20share%20of%20water%20abstraction%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%8844%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222019%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B12%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Population%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2283.6%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22million%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22end%202024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B6%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Share%20of%20EU%20agricultural%20output%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%8813%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B23%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Insect%20biomass%20decline%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%3E75%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%221989%E2%80%932016%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B18%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Forest%20area%20damaged%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%88500%2C000%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22hectares%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222018%E2%80%932021%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B20%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%0A%20%5D%0A%7D\" download=\"NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-indicators.json\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 15V3\"\/><path d=\"M21 15v4a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H5a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-4\"\/><path d=\"m7 10 5 5 5-5\"\/><\/svg>Indicators, JSON<\/a><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NOTES<\/p><p>Emissions for 2024 are a provisional estimate. A machine-readable copy of this table is published with the evidence bundle at release.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.2<\/span><span>National source register<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Domains bound by the register<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">WAT<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">ENE<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">FOO<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">HLT<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">BIO<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">CLI<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">INF<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">FIN<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">TRD<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">National source register<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Category<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Period<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Cadence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Emissions estimate 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>federal environment agency<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>1990\u20132024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>CLI \u00b7 ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Expert council review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>independent council<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat mortality<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>public health institute<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2022\u20132024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>HLT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Population<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>official statistics<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>profile<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Renewables in figures<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>federal environment agency<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Weather review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national meteorological service<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water statistics<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>official statistics<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2019<\/td><td>three-yearly<\/td><td>WAT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Natural hazards report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>insurance association<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>FIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Flood report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>federal ministry<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td>one-off<\/td><td>WAT \u00b7 FIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Gas reports<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>federal regulator<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2022\u20132023<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Insect biomass<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>peer-reviewed<\/td><td>protected areas<\/td><td>1989\u20132016<\/td><td>one-off<\/td><td>BIO<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Forest damage<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>federal research institute<\/td><td>Germany<\/td><td>2018\u20132021<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>BIO<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">FIXTURE PROHIBITION<\/p><p>No demonstration or reference-cartographic fixture is used as evidence in this edition. The publication gate checks every binding against this register.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.3<\/span><span>Regional reading, the L\u00e4nder by region<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Map plates for each Land follow in Q2 2027. This page gives the regional reading in table form, and ranks no Land.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Regional reading, the L\u00e4nder by region<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Region<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Principal hazards<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Systems most exposed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline evidence<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Rhineland-Palatinate and Saarland<\/td><td>flash floods, heat<\/td><td>valley towns, transport<\/td><td>2021 floods<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>North Rhine-Westphalia<\/td><td>flash floods, low Rhine water<\/td><td>industry, freight, housing<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baden-W\u00fcrttemberg<\/td><td>heavy rain, heat, low water<\/td><td>industry, cities<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bavaria<\/td><td>river floods, heat, Alpine change<\/td><td>cities, agriculture<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Hesse<\/td><td>heat, heavy rain<\/td><td>cities, data centres<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Lower Saxony and Bremen<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h11\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.coastal.storm-surge\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Coastal and sea-level hazards\" data-td=\"Sea level pushed above the tide by storm wind and low pressure, flooding the coast.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H11\" data-tr=\"draft\">storm surge<\/a>, drought<\/td><td>coasts, agriculture<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Schleswig-Holstein and Hamburg<\/td><td>storm surge, <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h11\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.coastal.sea-level-rise\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Coastal and sea-level hazards\" data-td=\"A long-term rise of mean sea level that raises the baseline for floods, erosion and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H11\" data-tr=\"draft\">sea-level rise<\/a><\/td><td>ports, coasts<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Berlin and Brandenburg<\/td><td>drought, heat, forest fires<\/td><td>water supply, forests, health<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt and Thuringia<\/td><td>river floods, drought, heat<\/td><td>forests, agriculture<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania<\/td><td>drought, storm surge<\/td><td>agriculture, coasts<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The leading compound pathway runs along the Rhine, where low water meets the industrial heartland.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">RHINE CORRIDOR<\/h3><p>Freight and industry<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Small, steep catchments in the west hold the 2021 reference case.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">UPLAND VALLEYS<\/h3><p>Flash floods<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Brandenburg and Saxony carry dry sandy soils, pine forests and growing fire risk.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EAST<\/h3><p>Drought, fire and forests<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">MAP PLATES IN Q2 2027<\/p><p>Each plate will carry its boundary source and version, projection, resolution, classification, uncertainty encoding and public-safe transform, with text and table alternatives.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Regional readings summarise the cited evidence. They are not risk ratings of any Land or region.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.4<\/span><span>Atlas card, the Ahr valley and the Rhine corridor<\/span><\/h2><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">catchment<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">waterway<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">industrial corridor<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">district<\/li><\/ul><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Systems in view<\/dt><dd>water, infrastructure, industry, health<\/dd><dt>Defining events<\/dt><dd>July 2021 Ahr flood, 135 deaths<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup>; low Rhine water in 2018 and 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Couplings<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 INF flash floods; WAT \u2192 TRD low water; TRD \u2192 industry inputs<\/dd><dt>Capability evidence<\/dt><dd>reconstruction after 2021; part-loading and diversion in low water<\/dd><dt>Gaps<\/dt><dd>warning reach in small catchments; freight alternatives<\/dd><dt>Agenda items<\/dt><dd>A-01 \u00b7 A-02 \u00b7 A-03<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The Ahr rose faster than warnings could travel; most deaths occurred at night in the lower valley [14].<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">FLOOD<\/h3><p>Hours, not days<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chemical and steel plants along the Rhine rely on barges for bulk inputs; low water cuts their supply [24].<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">FREIGHT<\/h3><p>One river, many plants<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">With many homes uninsured, reconstruction rested on federal and Land funds [13] [14].<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">RECOVERY<\/h3><p>Public funds carry the load<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Atlas cards are generated for each Land from Q2 2027 with consistent fields and evidence-age labels. The Ahr and Rhine are shown first because they hold the two leading water pathways.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.5<\/span><span>Germany system card<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The card through which Germany appears in the Europe regional edition and the global series. It summarises; it does not rank.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Germany system card<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">System<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline state<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coupling to watch<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Water<\/td><td>flash floods and low Rhine water<\/td><td>freight and industry<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy<\/td><td>about 54% renewable power<\/td><td>flexibility after coal<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food<\/td><td>major EU producer<\/td><td>drought<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Health<\/td><td>heat burden among older people<\/td><td>heat and care capacity<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>insects and forests declining<\/td><td>drought and pests<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The Germany card sits beside its neighbours; the Rhine, electricity trade and supply chains are read as one regional system.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EUROPE REGIONAL EDITION<\/h3><p>One regional system<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">German evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES<\/h3><p>Same findings, same IDs<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">In the global edition Germany is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">GLOBAL FLAGSHIP<\/h3><p>Peers, not ranks<\/p><\/article><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Context<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Archetype<\/dt><dd>high-income federal republic with an export-led industrial base<\/dd><dt>Population<\/dt><dd>83.6 million (end 2024)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Emissions<\/dt><dd>48% below 1990 (2024)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Electricity<\/dt><dd>about 54% renewable (2024)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>External rankings, where cited, keep their own method and source. Nexus never converts them into a rating, and national ownership of the Germany edition is unaffected.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.6<\/span><span>Licences<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Licences of each kind of material<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Material<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Licence<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Text<\/td><td>CC BY 4.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Data<\/td><td>on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Figures<\/td><td>Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Maps<\/td><td>boundary source and licence printed on each plate<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Metadata<\/td><td>CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Third-party data, figures and text<\/td><td>The source&#8217;s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"2\">Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.7<\/span><span>Formats and provenance<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">This edition in every format<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Format<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Kind<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What it is<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Identifier<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Web edition<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HTML<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Print edition<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"release\">At release<\/span><\/td><td>A4 portrait \u00b7 screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Indicator data<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">CSV \u00b7 JSON<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>14 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE data release v1<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Figures<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">SVG \u00b7 PNG<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIG-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-*<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Slides<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"none\">Not recorded<\/span><\/td><td>No slide deck is recorded for this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Evidence brief<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HTML \u00b7 PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"none\">Not recorded<\/span><\/td><td>No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Dataset with DOI<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DataCite<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"release\">At release<\/span><\/td><td>Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Provenance<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Edition pack<\/dt><dd>The edition&#8217;s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built<\/dd><dt>Evidence cut<\/dt><dd>NQ-DEU-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Reproducibility<\/dt><dd>sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters<\/dd><dt>Self-check<\/dt><dd>14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release<\/dd><dt>Review<\/dt><dd>five passes scheduled before release<\/dd><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>GCRI for the Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Corrections<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Treibhausgas-Emissionen in Deutschland 2024: Vorjahressch\u00e4tzung. UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, March 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaschutzgesetz (KSG), as amended in 2024. Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen 2024 (AGEE-Stat). UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Deutscher Wetterdienst (ed.), Deutschlandwetter im Jahr 2024. DWD, Offenbach, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), \u201cHitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2022,\u201d Epidemiologisches Bulletin. RKI, Berlin, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Prognos, I\u00d6W and GWS (eds.), Kosten durch Klimawandelfolgen in Deutschland. Report for BMWK and BMUV, Berlin, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (ed.), Naturgefahrenreport 2024. GDV, Berlin, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Nicht\u00f6ffentliche und \u00f6ffentliche Wasserversorgung und Abwasserentsorgung 2019. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Bev\u00f6lkerungsstand: Bev\u00f6lkerung am 31.12.2024. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Eurostat (ed.), Economic accounts for agriculture: agricultural output by Member State, 2024. Eurostat, Luxembourg, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r23\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 23\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>C. A. Hallmann, M. Sorg, E. Jongejans et al., \u201cMore than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas,\u201d PLOS ONE, vol. 12, e0185809, 2017.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>Expertenrat f\u00fcr Klimafragen (ed.), Pr\u00fcfbericht zur Berechnung der deutschen Treibhausgasemissionen f\u00fcr das Jahr 2024. ERK, Berlin, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), Hitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2023 und 2024. RKI, Berlin, 2024\u20132025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Bundesnetzagentur (ed.), Lageberichte zur Gasversorgung 2022\u20132023. BNetzA, Bonn.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cb-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Bundesregierung (ed.), Vorsorgende Klimaanpassungsstrategie der Bundesregierung. Berlin, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-deu-cb-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-part-references\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\">Germany 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex C<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">References and record<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Every source the edition rests on, the publication record, the corrections log and the open record.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>10 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>1 table<\/span><span>0 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.1<\/span><span>40 sources<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">NR-CIT-1, editor first. A DOI is linked where the source has one; Nexus records carry a <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/uni\/\" data-tc=\"UNI\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The universal identifier of every Nexus artifact (NS-1)\">UNI<\/a> once the catalogue allocates it (NS-1).<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Treibhausgas-Emissionen in Deutschland 2024: Vorjahressch\u00e4tzung. UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, March 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>Expertenrat f\u00fcr Klimafragen (ed.), Pr\u00fcfbericht zur Berechnung der deutschen Treibhausgasemissionen f\u00fcr das Jahr 2024. ERK, Berlin, 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), \u201cHitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2022,\u201d Epidemiologisches Bulletin. RKI, Berlin, 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Robert Koch-Institut (ed.), Hitzebedingte Mortalit\u00e4t in Deutschland 2023 und 2024. RKI, Berlin, 2024\u20132025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Bev\u00f6lkerungsstand: Bev\u00f6lkerung am 31.12.2024. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Umweltbundesamt (ed.), Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen 2024 (AGEE-Stat). UBA, Dessau-Ro\u00dflau, 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Deutscher Wetterdienst (ed.), Deutschlandwetter im Jahr 2024. DWD, Offenbach, December 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>Bundesregierung (ed.), Vorsorgende Klimaanpassungsstrategie der Bundesregierung. Berlin, December 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaanpassungsgesetz (KAnG). Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin, 2023; in force 1 July 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Bundes-Klimaschutzgesetz (KSG), as amended in 2024. Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Statistisches Bundesamt (ed.), Nicht\u00f6ffentliche und \u00f6ffentliche Wasserversorgung und Abwasserentsorgung 2019. Destatis, Wiesbaden, 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Gesamtverband der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft (ed.), Naturgefahrenreport 2024. GDV, Berlin, 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Bundesministerium des Innern und f\u00fcr Heimat (ed.), Bericht zur Hochwasserkatastrophe 2021: Katastrophenhilfe, Wiederaufbau und Evaluierungsprozesse. BMI, Berlin, 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Prognos, I\u00d6W and GWS (eds.), Kosten durch Klimawandelfolgen in Deutschland. Report for BMWK and BMUV, Berlin, 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz (ed.), \u201cAbschaltung der letzten drei Kernkraftwerke am 15. April 2023.\u201d BMWK, Berlin, 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Bundesnetzagentur (ed.), Lageberichte zur Gasversorgung 2022\u20132023. BNetzA, Bonn. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>C. A. Hallmann, M. Sorg, E. Jongejans et al., \u201cMore than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas,\u201d PLOS ONE, vol. 12, e0185809, 2017. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>Bundesamt f\u00fcr Naturschutz (ed.), Rote Listen gef\u00e4hrdeter Tiere, Pflanzen und Pilze Deutschlands. BfN, Bonn, retrieved 2026-09-30. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Th\u00fcnen-Institut (ed.), Satellitengest\u00fctzte Erfassung der Waldsch\u00e4den in Deutschland 2018\u20132021. Th\u00fcnen-Institut, Braunschweig, 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Ern\u00e4hrung und Landwirtschaft (ed.), Ergebnisse der Waldzustandserhebung 2024. BMEL, Berlin, 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Bundesministerium f\u00fcr Ern\u00e4hrung und Landwirtschaft (ed.), Statistisches Jahrbuch \u00fcber Ern\u00e4hrung, Landwirtschaft und Forsten 2024. BMEL, Berlin, 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Eurostat (ed.), Economic accounts for agriculture: agricultural output by Member State, 2024. Eurostat, Luxembourg, 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Gew\u00e4sserkunde (ed.), Das Niedrigwasser 2018 und 2022 an Rhein und Elbe. BfG, Koblenz. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>Bundesamt f\u00fcr Bev\u00f6lkerungsschutz und Katastrophenhilfe (ed.), Deutsche Strategie zur St\u00e4rkung der Resilienz gegen\u00fcber Katastrophen. BBK, Bonn, 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>Bundesregierung (ed.), Nationale Wasserstrategie. Berlin, March 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> 2023: Synthesis Report. IPCC, Geneva, 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., \u201cFuture climate risk from compound events,\u201d Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469\u2013477, 2018. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-29\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">29<\/span><span>S. V. Buldyrev, R. Parshani, G. Paul, H. E. Stanley and S. Havlin, \u201cCatastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks,\u201d Nature, vol. 464, pp. 1025\u20131028, 2010.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.13850054\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054<\/a> <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>WMO (ed.), State of the Global Climate 2025, WMO-No. 1391. WMO, Geneva, March 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-32\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">32<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Reports, The Foundational Edition, Volumes I and II. Reports series, Edition 2026\u20132030, V1.0. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-33\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">33<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-34\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">34<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-35\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">35<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Exponential Technology Report 2026, AI and Agentic Systems, Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-36\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">36<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-37\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">37<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), France Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-38\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">38<\/span><span>European Parliament and Council of the European Union (eds.), Regulation (EU) 2021\/1119 establishing the framework for achieving climate neutrality (European Climate Law). Official Journal L 243, 9 July 2021. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-39\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">39<\/span><span>F. Kreienkamp, S. Y. Philip, J. S. Tradowsky et al., Rapid attribution of heavy rainfall events leading to the severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021. World Weather Attribution, 2021. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-deu-ref-40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Bundestag (ed.), Gesetz zur Errichtung eines Sonderverm\u00f6gens Infrastruktur und Klimaneutralit\u00e4t. Bundesgesetzblatt, Berlin, 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.2<\/span><span>Publication record<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Title<\/dt><dd>Germany <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition<\/dd><dt>Series<\/dt><dd>Reports \u00b7 Edition 2026\u20132030<\/dd><dt>Edition<\/dt><dd>Baseline Edition 2026 \u00b7 inaugural annual<\/dd><dt>Version<\/dt><dd>v1.0.0 \u00b7 draft for stewardship review<\/dd><dt>Publication ID<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/dd><dt>Evidence close<\/dt><dd>30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Publication date<\/dt><dd>October 2026<\/dd><dt>DOI<\/dt><dd>concept and version DOI at deposit<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publisher<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), for the Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Place<\/dt><dd>Toronto<\/dd><dt>Editor<\/dt><dd>Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor<\/dd><dt>Stewards<\/dt><dd>GCRI \u00b7 technical truth \u00b7 GRF \u00b7 public meaning \u00b7 GRA \u00b7 capital meaning<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd>text CC BY 4.0; data on the terms of each source<\/dd><dt>Copyright<\/dt><dd>\u00a9 2026 GCRI \u00b7 Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Language<\/dt><dd>English (en-GB) source edition<\/dd><dt>Correspondence<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway \u00b7 editorial office<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">DISCLAIMER<\/p><p>This edition is published for research, planning and public understanding. It is not a government assessment, an official warning, a rating, a certification, investment advice or an operational authorisation. Reasonable care has been taken with every source; consult the cited originals before relying on any value.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Colophon<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Format<\/dt><dd>A4 portrait \u00b7 screen, print and archival PDF<\/dd><dt>Typefaces<\/dt><dd>Space Grotesk (display) \u00b7 Geist (text) \u00b7 IBM Plex Sans Italic (standfirsts) \u00b7 IBM Plex Mono (data)<\/dd><dt>Design standard<\/dt><dd>Reports Foundational Edition, Volume I, Part VII<\/dd><dt>Accessibility<\/dt><dd>tagged PDF and HTML targets; text alternatives for every figure<\/dd><dt>Production<\/dt><dd>Reports editorial team, GCRI<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">HOW TO CORRECT THIS EDITION<\/p><p>Report errors, omissions or objections through the Registry correction pathway. Each report is logged and answered; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version, and the original remains resolvable.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Release path for this version<\/h3><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table C.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Release path for this version<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">When<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Draft<\/td><td>editorial self-check complete at evidence close<\/td><td>October 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Steward review<\/td><td>five passes on the exact draft (keys T \u00b7 M \u00b7 F \u00b7 N)<\/td><td>Q4 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Approval<\/td><td>publication authority approves the exact digest<\/td><td>before release<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Deposit<\/td><td>concept and version DOI minted; registry pointer set<\/td><td>at release<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Succession<\/td><td>the Q1 2027 edition reports changes against this baseline<\/td><td>Q1 2027<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Current version<\/dt><dd>v1.0.0 draft, stewardship review<\/dd><dt>Previous edition<\/dt><dd>none, first edition of the series<\/dd><dt>Next edition<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2027-Q1-v1.0.0<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Latest version<\/dt><dd>resolve the concept DOI or the registry record<\/dd><dt>Correction route<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway<\/dd><dt>Notice types<\/dt><dd>erratum \u00b7 addendum \u00b7 supersession \u00b7 withdrawal<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NO CORRECTIONS \u2260 NO LIMITS<\/p><p>The absence of corrections does not mean the absence of limitations. Limitations and uncertainty are stated where they arise in the edition.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><div id=\"nx-nr-deu-corrections\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.3<\/span><span>Corrections log<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nx-nr-corr\"><p class=\"nx-nr-corr-sum\"><span class=\"nx-nr-corr-n\">0<\/span><span>correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition&#8217;s current version.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table nx-rd-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Edition<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Version<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Date<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Change<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Notice<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Edition\"><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">DEU<\/span><\/td><td data-label=\"Version\" class=\"nx-rd-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/td><td data-label=\"Date\">October 2026<\/td><td data-label=\"State\">Draft<\/td><td data-label=\"Change\">Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,<\/td><td data-label=\"Notice\">None<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-rd-source\">Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence.<\/p><\/div><\/section><\/div><div id=\"nx-nr-deu-outputs\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.4<\/span><span>Open record<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nx-nr-os\"><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>This edition&#8217;s open record<\/h3><dl class=\"nx-nr-os-kv\"><dt>Publication ID<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/dd><dt>Series alias<\/dt><dd>NR-NAT-DEU-2026-BL<\/dd><dt>DOI<\/dt><dd>Concept and version DOI at deposit, on Zenodo with DataCite metadata<\/dd><dt>Versions<\/dt><dd>Each correction is a new version (isNewVersionOf); the concept DOI resolves to the latest<\/dd><dt>Bundle<\/dt><dd>RO-Crate 1.2 with CITATION.cff, CodeMeta and PROV-O provenance; a signed manifest<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" rel=\"noopener\">CC BY 4.0<\/a> (SPDX CC-BY-4.0) for original material; metadata CC0 1.0<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Credit and identity<\/h3><dl class=\"nx-nr-os-kv\"><dt>ORCID<\/dt><dd>Your iD in the deposit and the contribution record; DataCite can then add the work to your ORCID record<\/dd><dt>ROR<\/dt><dd>Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone<\/dd><dt>CRediT<\/dt><dd>Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualisation, Writing, review and editing<\/dd><dt>Account<\/dt><dd>None needed to contribute; never a password<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Find and follow<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p\">Search the open indexes for Germany; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage, and a quantified scenario run is preregistered on OSF before it is run. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.<\/p><ul class=\"nx-nr-os-links\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/openalex.org\/works?search=Nexus%20Reports%20Germany\" rel=\"noopener\">OpenAlex<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/explore.openaire.eu\/search\/find?fv0=Nexus%20Reports%20Germany&amp;f0=q\" rel=\"noopener\">OpenAIRE<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/search.crossref.org\/search\/works?q=Nexus%20Reports%20Germany\" rel=\"noopener\">Crossref<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/commons.datacite.org\/?query=Nexus%20Reports%20Germany\" rel=\"noopener\">DataCite Commons<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/zenodo.org\/search?q=Nexus%20Reports%20Germany\" rel=\"noopener\">Zenodo<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/archive.softwareheritage.org\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Software Heritage<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/osf.io\/prereg\/\" rel=\"noopener\">OSF preregistration<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/via.hypothes.is\/https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Annotate with Hypothesis<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Mirrors and harvest<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p\">The DOI is canonical. At release each signed bundle is also given an IPFS content identifier and a bloxberg anchor as mirrors; both are listed in the record once they exist. Zenodo exposes every record over OAI-PMH, and reviews and endorsements can arrive through COAR Notify where the repository supports it.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-mt-3\"><figure class=\"nx-nr-code\"><figcaption class=\"nx-nr-code-cap\">InvenioRDM metadata for a contribution on Germany, prefilled from this page<\/figcaption><pre class=\"nx-nr-pre\" tabindex=\"0\"><code>{&#10;  &quot;metadata&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;resource_type&quot;: {&#10;      &quot;id&quot;: &quot;dataset&quot;&#10;    },&#10;    &quot;title&quot;: &quot;Evidence on Germany for Nexus Reports&quot;,&#10;    &quot;publication_date&quot;: &quot;YYYY-MM-DD&quot;,&#10;    &quot;creators&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;person_or_org&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;type&quot;: &quot;personal&quot;,&#10;          &quot;family_name&quot;: &quot;Your family name&quot;,&#10;          &quot;given_name&quot;: &quot;Your given name&quot;,&#10;          &quot;identifiers&quot;: [&#10;            {&#10;              &quot;scheme&quot;: &quot;orcid&quot;,&#10;              &quot;identifier&quot;: &quot;0000-0000-0000-0000&quot;&#10;            }&#10;          ]&#10;        },&#10;        &quot;affiliations&quot;: [&#10;          {&#10;            &quot;id&quot;: &quot;ROR identifier of your organisation&quot;&#10;          }&#10;        ]&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;description&quot;: &quot;What it is, where its record is kept and how it bears on Germany Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026.&quot;,&#10;    &quot;rights&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;id&quot;: &quot;cc-by-4.0&quot;&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;subjects&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Nexus Reports&quot;&#10;      },&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Germany&quot;&#10;      },&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Country Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report&quot;&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;related_identifiers&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;identifier&quot;: &quot;https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/&quot;,&#10;        &quot;scheme&quot;: &quot;url&quot;,&#10;        &quot;relation_type&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;id&quot;: &quot;issupplementto&quot;&#10;        },&#10;        &quot;resource_type&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;id&quot;: &quot;publication-report&quot;&#10;        }&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;version&quot;: &quot;1.0.0&quot;&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;custom_fields&quot;: {},&#10;  &quot;access&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;record&quot;: &quot;public&quot;,&#10;    &quot;files&quot;: &quot;public&quot;&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;files&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;enabled&quot;: true&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;parent&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;communities&quot;: {&#10;      &quot;default&quot;: &quot;nexusreports&quot;&#10;    }&#10;  }&#10;}<\/code><\/pre><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-hook\" data-nx-research-hub=\"slot\" data-nx-research-context=\"{&quot;org&quot;:&quot;GCRI&quot;,&quot;site&quot;:&quot;gcri&quot;,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/&quot;,&quot;kind&quot;:&quot;edition&quot;,&quot;subject&quot;:&quot;Germany&quot;,&quot;series&quot;:[&quot;Country Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report&quot;]}\" hidden><\/div><\/section><\/div><div id=\"nx-nr-deu-pillars\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-deu-cc-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.5<\/span><span>Where this edition sits among the six pillars<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Foundry seals the evidence and Universe tests it; Reports publishes it; Standards takes its corrections and Academy teaches from it.<\/p><ol class=\"nx-pl-list\"><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F03 Sealed observations and indicator series<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Foundry<\/span> Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F04 After-action and scenario findings for<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Universe<\/span> After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F05 National Portfolio movement for chapter<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Foundry<\/span> National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>Applied in editions<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Standards<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a>: applied in editions.<\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>DEU edition<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Reports<\/span> Germany 2026, published in every format with its sources, citation and corrections.<\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F06 Method and correction findings as change<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Standards<\/span> Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F12 Q4 synthesis informs the next-year<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Universe<\/span> Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>Taught in the open<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Academy<\/span> Risk Academy: taught in the open.<\/li><\/ol><p class=\"nx-caption\"><span>What Foundry and Universe hand to this edition, and what it hands to Standards, Universe and Academy. From the programme spine; DEU is a drafted Baseline Edition, so these handoffs run from its first operational quarter.<\/span><\/p><ul class=\"nx-pl-legend\" aria-label=\"Pillars\"><li data-pillar=\"labs\" data-hue=\"social\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-labs\/\">Labs<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-foundry\/\">Foundry<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/universe.nexus\/\">Universe<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/\">Nexus Standards<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/\">Reports<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/\">Risk Academy<\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table nx-rd-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Handoff<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Between<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What crosses, and when<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr data-pillar=\"foundry\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F03<\/span><\/td><td>Foundry to Reports<\/td><td>Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"universe\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F04<\/span><\/td><td>Universe to Reports<\/td><td>After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"foundry\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F05<\/span><\/td><td>Foundry to Reports<\/td><td>National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"standards\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">Ring<\/span><\/td><td>Nexus Standards to Reports<\/td><td>Nexus Standards: applied in editions.<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"standards\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F06<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Nexus Standards<\/td><td>Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"universe\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F12<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Universe<\/td><td>Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"academy\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">Ring<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Risk Academy<\/td><td>Risk Academy: taught in the open.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><\/article><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-noprint\"><section id=\"nx-sec-nr-gateway\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Contribute<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Send evidence or a correction on Germany.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Reports is the Consortium&#8217;s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.<\/p><div class=\"nx-chips\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">GCRI<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">Country Systems Risk and Resilience<\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-dest\"><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/write-to-us\/contact\/\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Email<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Gateway GW-GCRI<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Send it from this page<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Evidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/open-science\/#nx-sec-zenodo\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Zenodo<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Open deposit<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Deposit it and submit to the community<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Publish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/contribute\/\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">GCRI<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">See every way to contribute<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">The contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"contribute\" data-nxf-kind=\"workflow\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/nexus-reports\/editions\/deu\/full#contribute\" data-nxf-title=\"Contribute evidence\" data-nxf-height=\"480\" hidden><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-3\">Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><section class=\"nx-section nx-deeper-band\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-therisk-global-nexus-reports-editions-deu-full-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><nav class=\"nx-deeper\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-therisk-global-nexus-reports-editions-deu-full-h\" data-nx-deeper=\"3\" data-nx-resources=\"1 1 1\"><h2 class=\"nx-deeper-h\" id=\"nx-deeper-therisk-global-nexus-reports-editions-deu-full-h\">Go deeper<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/model\/scenarios\/urban-flood\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Documentation:<\/span> Urban flood<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/risk-science\/risk-information-standards\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Academy:<\/span> Risk information standards and interoperability<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/data\/identification-standards\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Standards:<\/span> Identification (the UNI)<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><script class=\"_iub_cs_skip\">window.__nxMount ? window.__nxMount(document.currentScript) : null;<\/script><style>@media print { @page { margin: 20mm 17mm 20mm 17mm; @top-left { content: \"Nexus Reports\"; font: 500 7.5pt \"IBM Plex Mono\", monospace; color: #4a4a4a; } @top-right { content: \"Germany Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026 \\0000b7  Baseline Edition 2026\"; font: 400 7.5pt \"IBM Plex Sans\", sans-serif; color: #4a4a4a; } @bottom-left { content: \"NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE \\0000b7  Draft, not released\"; font: 400 7pt \"IBM Plex Mono\", monospace; color: #4a4a4a; } @bottom-right { content: counter(page) \" \/ \" counter(pages); font: 500 7.5pt \"IBM Plex Mono\", monospace; color: #000000; } } @page :first { @top-left { content: none; } @top-right { content: none; } } html, body { background: #ffffff; } nexus-header, nexus-footer, #wpadminbar, .site-header, .site-footer, #masthead, #colophon, .sidebar, .widget-area, .comments-area, .post-navigation, .entry-meta, .page-header, .elementor-location-header, .elementor-location-footer, body > header, body > footer { display: none; } .nxe-host { margin: 0; padding: 0; } }<\/style><script>(function () { var D = document; function hosts(f) { var h = D.querySelectorAll(\".nxe-host\"); for (var i = 0; i < h.length; i++) { f(h[i].shadowRoot ? 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