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\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class=\"nx-gp-b\"\/><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><div class=\"nrp\"><div class=\"nrp-wrap\"><p class=\"nrj-draft\" data-nrj-shared=\"draft\" role=\"note\"><strong>Draft, not yet released.<\/strong> In stewardship review. Not indexed until the first approved release.<\/p><article class=\"nrp-flow\"><header class=\"nrp-hero\"><div class=\"nrp-hero-grid\"><div><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Reports<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Baseline Edition 2026<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Complete edition<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h1 class=\"pp-hero-title nrp-hero-title-l\">Argentina Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026<\/h1><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The State of Argentina\u2019s Interdependent Systems<\/p><div class=\"nrp-actions\"><button class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" type=\"button\" data-nrp-act=\"print\" hidden><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M6 18H4a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-5a2 2 0 0 1 2-2h16a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v5a2 2 0 0 1-2 2h-2\"\/><path d=\"M6 9V3a1 1 0 0 1 1-1h10a1 1 0 0 1 1 1v6\"\/><rect x=\"6\" y=\"14\" width=\"12\" height=\"8\" rx=\"1\"\/><\/svg>Print or save as PDF<\/button><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M19 12H5\"\/><path d=\"m12 19-7-7 7-7\"\/><\/svg>Edition home<\/a><\/div><p class=\"nrp-note nrp-noprint\">Choose A4 or Letter in the print dialog; running heads and page numbers are added in print. This is a review copy: the signed PDF with its DOI is issued at release.<\/p><\/div><div><div class=\"nrp-cover\"><div class=\"nrp-cover-top\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">ARG<\/span><\/div><span class=\"nrp-cover-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><p class=\"nrp-cover-k\">Country Systems Risk and Resilience<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cover-t\">Argentina 2026<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cover-s\">The State of Argentina\u2019s Interdependent Systems<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cover-foot\"><span>Baseline Edition 2026<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><span><abbr title=\"The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation\">GCRI<\/abbr> for the Nexus Consortium<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block nrp-imprint\" aria-label=\"Imprint\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Imprint<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Editor<\/dt><dd>Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor, the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)<\/dd><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto<\/dd><dt>Report number<\/dt><dd class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/dd><dt>Evidence close<\/dt><dd>30 September 2026, cut NQ-ARG-2026-Q0-1<\/dd><dt>Status<\/dt><dd>Draft under stewardship review; not yet released<\/dd><dt>DOI and UNI<\/dt><dd>Issued at deposit<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd>CC BY 4.0 for Nexus-authored text, tables and figures; third-party material keeps its own licence<\/dd><dt>Cite as<\/dt><dd>Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Argentina <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of Argentina\u2019s Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI). https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" aria-label=\"Contents\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Contents<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">\u00b7<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-summary\">Executive summary<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">1<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-coupled-system\">Chapter 1. Argentina\u2019s risk is hydrological and fiscal at once<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">2<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-findings\">Chapter 2. Key findings<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">3<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-systems-and-sectors\">Chapter 3. Systems and sectors at baseline<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">4<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-risk-and-capability\">Chapter 4. Risks and capability<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">5<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-scenario\">Chapter 5. Multi-year drought with low Paran\u00e1 flows<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">6<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-lenses-and-readings\">Chapter 6. Readings from the other desks<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">7<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-agenda\">Chapter 7. The 2027 agenda<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">8<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-systems-in-depth\">Chapter 8. Systems in depth<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-methodology\">Annex A. Methodology<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">B<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-data\">Annex B. Data appendix<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">C<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-part-references\">Annex C. References and record<\/a><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-summary\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Executive summary<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Executive summary<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The edition on a few pages: the abstract, the key messages, the headline finding and what each steward reads in it.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>6 min read<\/span><span>1 figure<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>13 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.1<\/span><span>Abstract<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-prose\"><p>Argentina (Rep\u00fablica Argentina) enters 2027 with 46.2 million residents<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup>, an ageing index that rose from 40 to 53 people aged 65 or over per 100 children in twelve years<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup>, and a poverty rate that INDEC put at 32.3% of people in the first half of 2026, up from 28.2% in the second half of 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup>. Its risks come from water and from fuel. The 2022\u201323 drought cut the wheat harvest by 44% and, by the grain exchange\u2019s estimate, cost the farm sector about US$33 billion<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>. Paran\u00e1 River flows in 2019\u20132022 were the lowest in 118 years of record<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>, and a storm in March 2025 dropped about 290 mm of rain in twelve hours on Bah\u00eda Blanca, against a previous record of 167.6 mm<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup>. On energy, low-carbon sources supplied 42% of electricity in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup> while crude oil output passed 900,000 barrels a day in 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup>. The national inventory reports 400.9 MtCO\u2082e including land use for 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup>, and the 2025 climate contribution sets a net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup>. This Baseline Edition fixes the reference state for Argentina\u2019s water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>, maps the couplings through which drought, flood, fire and supply shocks travel, and sets the questions the first operational edition will answer with Foundry evidence in Q1 2027. It decides nothing and compares no one.<\/p><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.2<\/span><span>Key messages<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Six readings that frame the Argentina baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-km\"><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">400.9 MtCO\u2082e in 2022 including land use; 377.8 net on the contribution basis. Later years are not bound.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Where do emissions stand?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">375 MtCO\u2082e net for 2030 and 2035, announced November 2025.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>What is the climate ceiling?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Low-carbon sources gave 42% of electricity in 2025.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How secure is power?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The 2022\u201323 drought cut wheat by 44%. A record wheat harvest was estimated for 2025\u201326.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How secure is food?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Paran\u00e1 flows in 2019\u20132022 were the lowest in 118 years of record.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How exposed is water?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">A record storm can overwhelm a port city in hours.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>What did Bah\u00eda Blanca show?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Poverty was 32.3% of people in the first half of 2026.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Who carries the strain?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">A multi-year drought with low river flows hitting harvests, exports, hydropower and revenue. SCN-ARG-DRT-01<\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>What will Q1 2027 test first?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.3<\/span><span>Headline finding<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-FOO-006<\/span><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The 2022\u201323 drought cut the wheat harvest by 44% to 12.4 million tonnes and soybeans to 25 million tonnes, the lowest in 23 years, and the grain exchange put farm-sector losses at about US$33 billion.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure S.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-fig1-t\">Harvest estimates, 2022\u201323 drought (million tonnes)<\/span><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">Wheat<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"34.4\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">12.4<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Soybeans<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"69.4\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">25<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Maize<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">36<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires, as reported<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>. Soybean and maize figures are estimates made during the season.<\/p><\/figure><p class=\"nrp-p\">Grain exports carry foreign-currency earnings and public revenue. A drought that cuts the harvest also cuts both, and low river flows add a logistics cost on the Paran\u00e1<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.4<\/span><span>At a glance<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">46.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">million<\/span><p>population, 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">53<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">per 100<\/span><p>people aged 65+ per 100 aged 0\u201314, 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">400.9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">MtCO\u2082e<\/span><p>inventory total incl. land use, 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">42<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>low-carbon share of electricity, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">10.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>land protected, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">32.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>people below the poverty line, H1 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.5<\/span><span>What each steward reads in it<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-cards\" data-n=\"3\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 KEY T<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Technical Truth<\/h3><p>The evidence supports a coupled reading of Argentina\u2019s risk: water extremes dominate the farm economy, the energy system is changing, and public finances limit the buffer.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><abbr title=\"The Global Risks Forum\">GRF<\/abbr> \u00b7 KEY M<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Public Meaning<\/h3><p>For most people risk arrives as a price rise, a flood or a dry season.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><abbr title=\"The Global Risks Alliance\">GRA<\/abbr> \u00b7 KEY F<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Capital Meaning<\/h3><p>Readiness implications only. Grain earnings carry public revenue, and the IMF programme frames fiscal room.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEXUS<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Synthesis<\/h3><p>Argentina holds long weather and river records, and thinner evidence on storage, reserves and service continuity.<\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.6<\/span><span>What this edition is, and is not<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What this edition is<\/h3><p>A baseline: the state of Argentina\u2019s water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> in 2026, the dependencies that connect them, the risks that travel through them and the capabilities that hold them. It sets out the questions the operational series will answer.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What it is not<\/h3><p>Not a national <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-assessment\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The overall process of identifying, analysing and evaluating risk to inform decisions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/glossary\/risk-assessment\/\" data-tgl=\"Nexus Standards glossary\">risk assessment<\/a>, an official warning or a rating. It decides nothing about any institution or asset. Competent authorities keep every mandate they hold, and national ownership of the series is unaffected.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What comes next<\/h3><p>Q1 2027 opens the operational series with a sealed Foundry evidence cut. Each later edition reports what changed against this baseline, new observations, source revisions, method changes, scenario updates and corrections.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Censos (INDEC) (ed.), Censo Nacional de Poblaci\u00f3n, Hogares y Viviendas 2022: resultados definitivos (46,234,830 inhabitants; reference date 1 July 2022). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022. Read via press reports of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Censo 2022: Indicadores demogr\u00e1ficos por sexo y edad (ageing index 53 per 100, against 40 in 2010). INDEC, Buenos Aires, November 2023. Observation year 2022. Figure read via press summary of the report.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, primer semestre de 2026 (EPH). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 24 September 2026. Observation year 2026. Figures read via press summaries of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Estimates for the 2022\/23 harvest under drought (wheat 12.4 Mt, down 44%; soybeans 25 Mt; maize 36 Mt; farm-sector losses about US$33 billion), as reported by the press. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (ed.), Report on the storm of 7 March 2025 at Bah\u00eda Blanca (about 290 mm in twelve hours; previous record 167.6 mm in 1933), as cited by BAE Negocios, 14 March 2025. SMN, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Argentina electricity profile (low-carbon share of generation 42% in 2025). Ember, London, December 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/es\/paises-y-regiones\/argentina\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Crude oil production, July 2026 (916,200 barrels a day; +17.2% year on year to June), as reported by Infobae, 9 August 2026. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/08\/09\/los-records-de-vaca-muerta-acercan-a-la-argentina-al-1-de-la-produccion-petrolera-mundial\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), Report on the technical expert review of the first biennial transparency report of Argentina, Addendum, FCCC\/ETF\/TERR.1\/2024\/ARG\/Add.1. UNFCCC, Bonn, 22 January 2026. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/terr1_2024_ARGa01.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Presidencia de la Naci\u00f3n (ed.), Announcement of Argentina\u2019s nationally determined contribution (net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 3 November 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/484146, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Wheat estimate for 2025\/26 (25.5 Mt), as reported by the press, 28 November 2025. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Estimate, not a final figure.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Municipalidad de Bah\u00eda Blanca (ed.), Casualty count for the March 2025 floods (sixteen deaths), as reported by Argentine and international press, March and October 2025. Observation year 2025. Press-reported official data.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cs-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Ecolog\u00eda Austral (ed.), Updated protected-area database for Argentina (land 10.41%, sea 8.49%). Asociaci\u00f3n Ecolog\u00eda Austral, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Read via search summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cs-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-coupled-system\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 1<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Argentina\u2019s risk is hydrological and fiscal at once<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Part I describes systems and their couplings. It assesses no authority and ranks no province.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>7 min read<\/span><span>2 figures<\/span><span>2 tables<\/span><span>15 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.1<\/span><span>The questions this part answers<\/span><\/h2><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Key questions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Where is Argentina\u2019s risk concentrated, and in which <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>?<\/li><li>Which couplings carry shocks from one system to the next?<\/li><li>Which capabilities hold under compound stress, and which are only documented?<\/li><li>What must the 2027 programme measure first?<\/li><\/ul><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">In this part<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Narrative<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Headline finding<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Lead figure<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Five system chapters<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Twelve-domain reading<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Sector screens<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Dependency matrix<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Risk objects<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Capability ladder<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Scenario<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Three lenses<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Portfolio<\/li><\/ul><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.2<\/span><span>The argument<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-prose\"><p>Argentina is a large producer of grain, meat and, increasingly, oil and gas. Its <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> are tied to the weather of the Pampas and the flow of the Paran\u00e1. This baseline reads its exposure as three forces acting together: drought and flood, a power and fuel system that is changing fast, and public finances that leave little room to absorb shocks.<\/p><p>The water layer dominates the farm economy. The 2022\u201323 drought cut the wheat harvest by 44% to 12.4 million tonnes, soybeans fell to 25 million tonnes, and the grain exchange put farm-sector losses at about US$33 billion<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>. The Paran\u00e1, the route for most grain exports, ran at its lowest flows in 118 years of record across 2019\u20132022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>. The other face of the same hydrology is flood. A storm on 7 March 2025 dropped about 290 mm of rain in twelve hours on Bah\u00eda Blanca, and sixteen deaths were reported<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>The fire layer follows drought. Fires affected 723,765 hectares in 2022, more than twice the 2021 area, and satellite analysis put the Corrientes burn at about 1.04 million hectares<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup>. The wider regional picture for 2025 shows record heat, persistent drought and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h15\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 cryo.glacier.glacier-mass-loss\" data-tk=\"Ice and snow \u00b7 Glacier, ice-sheet and permafrost change\" data-td=\"Sustained shrinking of mountain glaciers that first raises and later cuts dry-season river flow and destabilises slopes.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H15\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/cryo\/\" data-txl=\"Ice and snow\">glacier retreat<\/a> across Latin America<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>The energy layer is moving on two tracks. Low-carbon sources supplied 42% of electricity in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup>, and crude oil output passed 900,000 barrels a day in 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup>. The national inventory reports 400.9 MtCO\u2082e including land use for 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup>, and the 2025 climate contribution sets a net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>The social layer sets how much shock the country can absorb. INDEC put poverty at 32.3% of people in the first half of 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup>. The ageing index reached 53 people aged 65 or over per 100 children in 2022, from 40 in 2010<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup>. The public sector operates under a US$20 billion IMF programme agreed in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>This edition therefore reads Argentina\u2019s risk as a property of the couplings between these forces. The matrix, risk objects, capability ladder and scenario that follow ask the same two questions: where does a shock travel next, and who holds the capability to stop it?<\/p><\/div><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 1.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-fig1-t\">Where do reported emissions and ceilings sit? Argentina\u2019s totals and targets (MtCO\u2082e)<\/span><p class=\"nrp-fig-what\">The inventory total including land use was 401 MtCO\u2082e in 2022, and the net figure on the NDC basis was 378. The ceiling for 2030 and 2035 is 375<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup>. The gap between the two 2022 totals is 23 MtCO\u2082e and reflects differing accounting scopes.<\/p><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">2018 net (BUR4)<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"91.3\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">366<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">2021 net (NDC basis)<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"92.8\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">372<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">2022 net (NDC basis)<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"94.3\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">378<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">2022 inventory incl. land use<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">401<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">2030 and 2035 ceiling (2025 NDC)<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"93.5\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">375<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: as cited in the note to this figure. Year 2022.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Figure ID FIG-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-01-003<\/p><\/figure><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">400.9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">MtCO\u2082e<\/span><p>inventory total, 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">377.8<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">MtCO\u2082e<\/span><p>net on NDC basis, 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">349<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">MtCO\u2082e<\/span><p>2030 ceiling, 2021 NDC<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n42\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-r42\" aria-label=\"Note 42\">42<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">375<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">MtCO\u2082e<\/span><p>2030 and 2035 ceiling, 2025 NDC<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.3<\/span><span>Twenty couplings between five systems<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The Argentina matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-fig2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-fig2-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 1.2<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-fig2-t\">Couplings between the five systems<\/span><p class=\"nrp-fig-what\">Each line is one coupling from one system to another, drawn by the strength the edition assigns. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events.<\/p><\/figcaption><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-ring\" viewBox=\"0 0 340 340\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Coupling ring: 20 typed couplings between water, energy, food, health and biodiversity. The matrix in the next table carries every value.\" data-nx-z=\"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\"><\/svg><ul class=\"nrp-legend\"><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"STRONG\"><\/span>Strong<\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"MODERATE\"><\/span>Moderate<\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"WEAK\"><\/span>Weak<\/li><\/ul><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: this edition&#8217;s coupling matrix (Table 1.1); status Estimated.<\/p><\/figure><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 1.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coupling matrix: from the row system to the column system<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">From, to<\/th><th scope=\"col\">WAT<\/th><th scope=\"col\">ENE<\/th><th scope=\"col\">FOO<\/th><th scope=\"col\">HLT<\/th><th scope=\"col\">BIO<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><b>WAT<\/b> Water<\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">hydropower \u00b7 cooling<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">rain-fed yield \u00b7 irrigation<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">drinking water<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">flows \u00b7 wetlands<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>ENE<\/b> Energy<\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">pumping \u00b7 treatment<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">fuel \u00b7 fertiliser \u00b7 cold chain<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">facility power \u00b7 cooling<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">reservoirs \u00b7 land use<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>FOO<\/b> Food<\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">withdrawals \u00b7 nutrients<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">biofuel feedstock<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">nutrition \u00b7 food safety<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">land conversion<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>HLT<\/b> Health<\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">workforce<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">workforce<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">labour \u00b7 disease<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">residues<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>BIO<\/b> Biodiversity<\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">regulation \u00b7 filtration<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">fire on lines \u00b7 biomass<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">pollination \u00b7 soils<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">zoonoses \u00b7 smoke<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"6\">Strength: strong, moderate or weak; a Nexus estimate (status Estimated) from cited evidence and analogue events. The scale is defined in Annex A.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Transmission paths<\/h3><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 FOO<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Drought and low river flows cut harvests and lift export logistics costs.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2022\u201323<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 INF<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Record rain floods a port city and its lifelines.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> Bah\u00eda Blanca 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 BIO<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Dry conditions feed large fires in wetlands and savanna.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> Corrientes 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">WAT \u2192 ENE<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Dry years cut hydropower and raise reliance on thermal generation.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> not bound for Argentina<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">FOO \u2192 FIN<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">A poor harvest cuts export earnings and public revenue.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> 2022\u201323<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.4<\/span><span>Reinforcing loops<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">A shock entering either system of a loop can return amplified through the other.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 1.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Pairs of systems where both directions are rated strong<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Loop<\/th><th scope=\"col\">First direction<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Second direction<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT and BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Water to biodiversity: flows \u00b7 wetlands<\/td><td>Biodiversity to water: regulation \u00b7 filtration<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO and BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Food to biodiversity: land conversion<\/td><td>Biodiversity to food: pollination \u00b7 soils<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"3\">A causal-loop reading of the matrix (Sterman, Business Dynamics, 2000): structural, from estimated strengths, not a measured feedback.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Estimates for the 2022\/23 harvest under drought (wheat 12.4 Mt, down 44%; soybeans 25 Mt; maize 36 Mt; farm-sector losses about US$33 billion), as reported by the press. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (ed.), Report on the storm of 7 March 2025 at Bah\u00eda Blanca (about 290 mm in twelve hours; previous record 167.6 mm in 1933), as cited by BAE Negocios, 14 March 2025. SMN, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Municipalidad de Bah\u00eda Blanca (ed.), Casualty count for the March 2025 floods (sixteen deaths), as reported by Argentine and international press, March and October 2025. Observation year 2025. Press-reported official data.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Servicio Nacional de Manejo del Fuego, Ministerio de Ambiente (ed.), Fire reports 2022 (723,765 hectares affected nationally), as analysed by Chequeado, \u201cEn 2022 se duplic\u00f3 la superficie de hect\u00e1reas incendiadas\u201d. Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog\u00eda Agropecuaria (ed.), Satellite monitoring of fires in Corrientes, 2022 (1,042,514 hectares), as reported by the press. INTA, Buenos Aires, 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>World Meteorological Organization (ed.), State of the Climate in Latin America and the Caribbean 2025. WMO, Geneva, 18 May 2026. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/wmo.int\/node\/38574, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Argentina electricity profile (low-carbon share of generation 42% in 2025). Ember, London, December 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/es\/paises-y-regiones\/argentina\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Crude oil production, July 2026 (916,200 barrels a day; +17.2% year on year to June), as reported by Infobae, 9 August 2026. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/08\/09\/los-records-de-vaca-muerta-acercan-a-la-argentina-al-1-de-la-produccion-petrolera-mundial\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), Report on the technical expert review of the first biennial transparency report of Argentina, Addendum, FCCC\/ETF\/TERR.1\/2024\/ARG\/Add.1. UNFCCC, Bonn, 22 January 2026. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/terr1_2024_ARGa01.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Presidencia de la Naci\u00f3n (ed.), Announcement of Argentina\u2019s nationally determined contribution (net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 3 November 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/484146, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, primer semestre de 2026 (EPH). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 24 September 2026. Observation year 2026. Figures read via press summaries of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Censo 2022: Indicadores demogr\u00e1ficos por sexo y edad (ageing index 53 per 100, against 40 in 2010). INDEC, Buenos Aires, November 2023. Observation year 2022. Figure read via press summary of the report.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>International Monetary Fund (ed.), Press Release No. 25\/095: IMF reaches staff-level agreement with Argentina on a 48-month Extended Fund Facility (US$20 billion). IMF, Washington, DC, 8 April 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/News\/Articles\/2025\/04\/08\/pr25095-argentina-imf-reaches-staff-level-agreement-with-argentina-on-a-48-month-eff, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c1-n42\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">42<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Argentina\u2019s updated nationally determined contribution (net ceiling of 349 MtCO\u2082e in 2030), submitted to the UNFCCC 2 November 2021, as recorded by Climate Action Tracker. Buenos Aires, 2021. Observation year 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c1-r42\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 42\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-findings\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 2<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Key findings<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Twelve findings carry the baseline. They are grouped by system, never ranked. Each resolves to its source or, where Nexus analysis is involved, to its stated method.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>6 min read<\/span><span>1 figure<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>21 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.1<\/span><span>Headline finding<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-FOO-006\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-FOO-006<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The 2022\u201323 drought cut the wheat harvest by 44% to 12.4 million tonnes and soybeans to 25 million tonnes, the lowest in 23 years, and the grain exchange put farm-sector losses at about US$33 billion.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 2.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-fig1-t\">Harvest estimates, 2022\u201323 drought (million tonnes)<\/span><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">Wheat<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"34.4\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">12.4<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Soybeans<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"69.4\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">25<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Maize<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">36<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires, as reported<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>. Soybean and maize figures are estimates made during the season.<\/p><\/figure><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Implication<\/h3><p class=\"nrp-p\">Grain exports carry foreign-currency earnings and public revenue. A drought that cuts the harvest also cuts both, and low river flows add a logistics cost on the Paran\u00e1<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">What would move it<\/h3><p class=\"nrp-p\">Seasonal rainfall outlooks, Paran\u00e1 levels at Rosario and the wheat and maize estimates of the grain exchanges would each move this finding.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.2<\/span><span>Climate forcing<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The national inventory reports 400.9 MtCO\u2082e including land use for 2022, and 377.8 MtCO\u2082e net on the climate-contribution basis.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-002<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The 2025 climate contribution sets a net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035, against 349 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 in the 2021 update.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-007\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-007\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-007<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">A storm on 7 March 2025 dropped about 290 mm of rain in twelve hours on Bah\u00eda Blanca, against a previous record of 167.6 mm, and sixteen deaths were reported.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-008\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-008\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-CLI-008<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Fires affected 723,765 hectares in 2022, more than twice the 2021 area, and satellite analysis put the Corrientes burn at about 1.04 million hectares.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.3<\/span><span>Energy<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-ENE-003\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-ENE-003\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-ENE-003<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Low-carbon sources supplied 42% of electricity in 2025, and renewables including large hydro covered 40.2% of demand.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-ENE-004\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-ENE-004\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-ENE-004<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Crude oil output reached 916,200 barrels a day in July 2026, up 17.2% year on year to June, led by shale in the Neuqu\u00e9n basin.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.4<\/span><span>Water<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-WAT-005\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-WAT-005\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-WAT-005<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years had the largest negative Paran\u00e1 flow anomalies in 118 years of record.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.5<\/span><span>Food<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-FOO-006\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-FOO-006\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-FOO-006<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The 2022\u201323 drought cut the wheat harvest by 44% to 12.4 million tonnes and soybeans to 25 million tonnes; farm-sector losses were put at about US$33 billion.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.6<\/span><span>Health<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-HLT-009\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-HLT-009\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-HLT-009<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The 2025\u201326 dengue season closed with about 70 confirmed cases against 27,178 suspected, while chikungunya reached 3,730 confirmed or probable cases, mostly in the north-west.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.7<\/span><span>Finance<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-FIN-010\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-FIN-010\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-FIN-010<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Poverty was 32.3% of people in the first half of 2026, up 4.1 points on the second half of 2025, under a US$20 billion IMF programme.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n43\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r43\" aria-label=\"Note 43\">43<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.8<\/span><span>Biodiversity<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Protected areas covered about 10.4% of land and 8.5% of the sea in 2025, and one NGO survey counted 94,204 hectares of native forest cleared in the north in 2025.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-n23\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-r23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s9\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s9-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-s9-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.9<\/span><span>Systemic<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012\">NRF-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a multi-year drought with low Paran\u00e1 flows that cuts harvests, river exports, hydropower and public revenue together. \u00a79.3<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Estimates for the 2022\/23 harvest under drought (wheat 12.4 Mt, down 44%; soybeans 25 Mt; maize 36 Mt; farm-sector losses about US$33 billion), as reported by the press. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), Report on the technical expert review of the first biennial transparency report of Argentina, Addendum, FCCC\/ETF\/TERR.1\/2024\/ARG\/Add.1. UNFCCC, Bonn, 22 January 2026. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/terr1_2024_ARGa01.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministerio de Ambiente y Desarrollo Sostenible (ed.), Cuarto Informe Bienal de Actualizaci\u00f3n de la Rep\u00fablica Argentina a la CMNUCC (BUR4). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2021. Observation year 2018. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/4to%20Informe%20Bienal%20de%20la%20Rep%C3%BAblica%20Argentina.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Presidencia de la Naci\u00f3n (ed.), Announcement of Argentina\u2019s nationally determined contribution (net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 3 November 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/484146, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Climate Action Tracker (ed.), Argentina: targets. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, data as of June 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/climateactiontracker.org\/countries\/argentina\/targets\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (ed.), Report on the storm of 7 March 2025 at Bah\u00eda Blanca (about 290 mm in twelve hours; previous record 167.6 mm in 1933), as cited by BAE Negocios, 14 March 2025. SMN, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Municipalidad de Bah\u00eda Blanca (ed.), Casualty count for the March 2025 floods (sixteen deaths), as reported by Argentine and international press, March and October 2025. Observation year 2025. Press-reported official data.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Servicio Nacional de Manejo del Fuego, Ministerio de Ambiente (ed.), Fire reports 2022 (723,765 hectares affected nationally), as analysed by Chequeado, \u201cEn 2022 se duplic\u00f3 la superficie de hect\u00e1reas incendiadas\u201d. Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog\u00eda Agropecuaria (ed.), Satellite monitoring of fires in Corrientes, 2022 (1,042,514 hectares), as reported by the press. INTA, Buenos Aires, 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Argentina electricity profile (low-carbon share of generation 42% in 2025). Ember, London, December 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/es\/paises-y-regiones\/argentina\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>CAMMESA (ed.), Annual electricity demand and renewable coverage 2025 (141,249 GWh; renewables 40.21% including large hydro; 738 MW added), as reported by the generators\u2019 chamber. CAMMESA, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2025. Read via trade press summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Crude oil production, July 2026 (916,200 barrels a day; +17.2% year on year to June), as reported by Infobae, 9 August 2026. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/08\/09\/los-records-de-vaca-muerta-acercan-a-la-argentina-al-1-de-la-produccion-petrolera-mundial\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>International Energy Agency (ed.), Latin America Energy Outlook, Overview: Argentina. IEA, Paris, 2023. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/iea.blob.core.windows.net\/assets\/1fe309e7-95f1-48a8-b32f-4bea94de4fbe\/Argentinaenergyprofile_EN.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Ministerio de Salud (ed.), Bolet\u00edn Epidemiol\u00f3gico Nacional: dengue and chikungunya, season 2025\/26 (about 70 confirmed dengue cases; 27,178 suspected; 3,730 chikungunya cases confirmed or probable). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/504298, accessed 2026-11-03. Counts differ between press reports of the bulletin (69 and 71).<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, primer semestre de 2026 (EPH). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 24 September 2026. Observation year 2026. Figures read via press summaries of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>International Monetary Fund (ed.), Press Release No. 25\/095: IMF reaches staff-level agreement with Argentina on a 48-month Extended Fund Facility (US$20 billion). IMF, Washington, DC, 8 April 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/News\/Articles\/2025\/04\/08\/pr25095-argentina-imf-reaches-staff-level-agreement-with-argentina-on-a-48-month-eff, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n43\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">43<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, segundo semestre de 2025 (poverty 28.2% of people). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2025. Figure read via press summaries.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r43\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 43\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Ecolog\u00eda Austral (ed.), Updated protected-area database for Argentina (land 10.41%, sea 8.49%). Asociaci\u00f3n Ecolog\u00eda Austral, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Read via search summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Wildlife Conservation Society Argentina (ed.), Protected-area coverage and strict protection (about 2.2% of land and 5.8% of sea). WCS Argentina, Buenos Aires, June 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c2-n23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Greenpeace Argentina (ed.), Informe anual de deforestaci\u00f3n en el norte de Argentina 2025 (94,204 hectares of native forest cleared; 116,498 hectares burned). Greenpeace Argentina, Buenos Aires, February 2026. Observation year 2025. NGO survey, not an official series.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c2-r23\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 23\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-systems-and-sectors\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 3<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Systems and sectors at baseline<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>6 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>2 tables<\/span><span>19 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.1<\/span><span>Where each system stood at evidence close<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WAT \u00b7 Water<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Hydrological years with the largest negative Paran\u00e1 flow anomalies in 118 years of record<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">years<\/span><p>The years 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 were the three lowest-flow years in the Timb\u00faes record.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2022<\/span><span>Paran\u00e1 flow analysis<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">ENE \u00b7 Energy<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Low-carbon share of electricity generation<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">42<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>Close to the world average of 43%. Renewables including large hydro covered 40.2% of demand.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2025<\/span><span>Ember<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup> \u00b7 CAMMESA<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">FOO \u00b7 Food<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Change in the wheat harvest in the 2022\u201323 drought<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u221244<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>Final harvest 12.4 million tonnes. The 2025\u201326 estimate rose to 25.5 million tonnes.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2023<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">HLT \u00b7 Health<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Heat-related deaths, national season total<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">Not bound<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Ministerio de Salud \u00b7 blocker: no national total retrieved<\/span><p>A national heat-mortality series would fill this tile. None was found at evidence close.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not bound<\/span><span>n\/a<\/span><span>Ministerio de Salud<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">BIO \u00b7 Biodiversity<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Land in protected areas<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">10.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>Marine protected area 8.5%, against 30% by 2030. An older federal system count gave 15.9% on land.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2025<\/span><span>Ecolog\u00eda Austral study<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">SYS \u00b7 Cross-system<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Rain in about twelve hours at Bah\u00eda Blanca, 7 March 2025<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">290<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">mm<\/span><p>The previous record was 167.6 mm in 1933. Sixteen deaths were reported.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2025<\/span><span>SMN via press<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.2<\/span><span>Domain posture<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Each of the twelve coupled domains is read in words, not scored. The coupling column names the dependency that carries risk into other <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 3.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Each domain read in words, not scored<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Domain<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Posture at baseline<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coupling<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT<\/span><\/td><td>Large river basins; record low Paran\u00e1 flows 2019\u201322; flash floods in coastal and Pampas cities.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT \u2192 FOO \u00b7 WAT \u2194 ENE<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">ENE<\/span><\/td><td>Low-carbon share 42%; oil output at a record; gas and hydro balance in dry years not bound.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">ENE \u2190 WAT \u00b7 ENE \u2192 all<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO<\/span><\/td><td>Major grain exporter; harvests swing with rainfall; wheat estimate record in 2025\u201326.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO \u2190 WAT, CLI<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HLT<\/span><\/td><td>Ageing index 53 per 100; dengue season low in 2025\u201326; chikungunya in the north-west.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HLT \u2190 CLI<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Protected land 10.4% and sea 8.5%; forest loss in the north reported by NGO survey.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">BIO \u2194 WAT, FOO<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">CLI<\/span><\/td><td>Drought, fire and flood in successive years; record rain at Bah\u00eda Blanca in 2025.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">forcing on all systems<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INF<\/span><\/td><td>River ports and grain logistics depend on Paran\u00e1 depth; wider networks not mapped.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INF \u2192 all<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIN<\/span><\/td><td>US$20 billion IMF programme; poverty 32.3% in H1 2026.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIN \u2190 CLI<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DAT<\/span><\/td><td>Digital dependencies of lifelines not mapped at public-safe resolution.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DAT \u2192 ENE, FIN<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 1<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">AIC<\/span><\/td><td>Data-centre and compute demand on power and water not bound.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">AIC \u2192 ENE, WAT<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 1<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MIN<\/span><\/td><td>Second-largest lithium producer in Latin America and the Caribbean.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MIN \u2190 TRD<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">TRD<\/span><\/td><td>Grain, oil and gas exports tie national accounts to weather and prices.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">TRD \u2192 all<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.3<\/span><span>Sector screens<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">All sixteen sectors are screened on the same grammar, so that later editions can say what changed. The evidence column describes coverage of the baseline evidence, not the performance of the sector.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 3.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Sectors: baseline evidence and the exposure to watch<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Code<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Sector<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Exposure to watch<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence coverage<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-00<\/span><\/td><td>Cross-system<\/td><td>compound drought, river and fiscal stress<\/td><td>drought with low river flows<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-01<\/span><\/td><td>Water<\/td><td>river flows and flash floods<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>drought; flood<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-02<\/span><\/td><td>Energy<\/td><td>low-carbon share 42%<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup>; oil record<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>dry-year power balance<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-03<\/span><\/td><td>Food<\/td><td>drought loss and wheat rebound<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>harvest swings<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-04<\/span><\/td><td>Health<\/td><td>ageing; dengue and chikungunya<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>heat; <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/health\/biological-hazard-standards\/\">vector-borne disease<\/a><\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-05<\/span><\/td><td>Finance<\/td><td>IMF programme<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup>; poverty<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>fiscal shock cost<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-06<\/span><\/td><td>Development<\/td><td>poverty 32.3%<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>service strain<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-07<\/span><\/td><td>Climate<\/td><td>extremes in successive years<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>drought, rain, fire<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-08<\/span><\/td><td>Disaster<\/td><td>national risk-management law<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n30\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r30\" aria-label=\"Note 30\">30<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h9\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.flood.flash-flood\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Freshwater inundation\" data-td=\"A fast, violent rise of water in a small catchment or dry channel within hours of intense rain.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H9\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">flash flood<\/a> and fire<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-09<\/span><\/td><td>Infrastructure<\/td><td>river ports and grid; not mapped<\/td><td>low river; storms<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-10<\/span><\/td><td>Cities<\/td><td>Bah\u00eda Blanca flood<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>urban flooding<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-11<\/span><\/td><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>protected area 10.4% land<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>forest and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h26\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.land.wetland-loss\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Land and wetland degradation\" data-td=\"Drainage, filling or drying of wetlands that removes flood buffering, water filtering and habitat.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H26\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/eco\/\" data-txl=\"Land and ecosystems\">wetland loss<\/a><\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-12<\/span><\/td><td>Earth observation<\/td><td>national weather and satellite records used<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>continuity<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-13<\/span><\/td><td>Cyber and digital<\/td><td>dependencies not yet mapped<\/td><td>systemic outages<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-14<\/span><\/td><td>Policy<\/td><td>climate law and forest law<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n28\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-r28\" aria-label=\"Note 28\">28<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>coordination across levels<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-15<\/span><\/td><td>Science<\/td><td>peer-reviewed basin research<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>translation to regions<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Argentina electricity profile (low-carbon share of generation 42% in 2025). Ember, London, December 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/es\/paises-y-regiones\/argentina\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>CAMMESA (ed.), Annual electricity demand and renewable coverage 2025 (141,249 GWh; renewables 40.21% including large hydro; 738 MW added), as reported by the generators\u2019 chamber. CAMMESA, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2025. Read via trade press summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Estimates for the 2022\/23 harvest under drought (wheat 12.4 Mt, down 44%; soybeans 25 Mt; maize 36 Mt; farm-sector losses about US$33 billion), as reported by the press. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Wheat estimate for 2025\/26 (25.5 Mt), as reported by the press, 28 November 2025. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Estimate, not a final figure.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Ministerio de Salud (ed.), Bolet\u00edn Epidemiol\u00f3gico Nacional: dengue and chikungunya, season 2025\/26 (about 70 confirmed dengue cases; 27,178 suspected; 3,730 chikungunya cases confirmed or probable). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/504298, accessed 2026-11-03. Counts differ between press reports of the bulletin (69 and 71).<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Ecolog\u00eda Austral (ed.), Updated protected-area database for Argentina (land 10.41%, sea 8.49%). Asociaci\u00f3n Ecolog\u00eda Austral, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Read via search summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (ed.), Report on the storm of 7 March 2025 at Bah\u00eda Blanca (about 290 mm in twelve hours; previous record 167.6 mm in 1933), as cited by BAE Negocios, 14 March 2025. SMN, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Municipalidad de Bah\u00eda Blanca (ed.), Casualty count for the March 2025 floods (sixteen deaths), as reported by Argentine and international press, March and October 2025. Observation year 2025. Press-reported official data.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Crude oil production, July 2026 (916,200 barrels a day; +17.2% year on year to June), as reported by Infobae, 9 August 2026. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/08\/09\/los-records-de-vaca-muerta-acercan-a-la-argentina-al-1-de-la-produccion-petrolera-mundial\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Censo 2022: Indicadores demogr\u00e1ficos por sexo y edad (ageing index 53 per 100, against 40 in 2010). INDEC, Buenos Aires, November 2023. Observation year 2022. Figure read via press summary of the report.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>International Monetary Fund (ed.), Press Release No. 25\/095: IMF reaches staff-level agreement with Argentina on a 48-month Extended Fund Facility (US$20 billion). IMF, Washington, DC, 8 April 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/News\/Articles\/2025\/04\/08\/pr25095-argentina-imf-reaches-staff-level-agreement-with-argentina-on-a-48-month-eff, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, primer semestre de 2026 (EPH). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 24 September 2026. Observation year 2026. Figures read via press summaries of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Servicio Nacional de Manejo del Fuego, Ministerio de Ambiente (ed.), Fire reports 2022 (723,765 hectares affected nationally), as analysed by Chequeado, \u201cEn 2022 se duplic\u00f3 la superficie de hect\u00e1reas incendiadas\u201d. Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>World Meteorological Organization (ed.), State of the Climate in Latin America and the Caribbean 2025. WMO, Geneva, 18 May 2026. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/wmo.int\/node\/38574, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.287, Sistema Nacional para la Gesti\u00f3n Integral del Riesgo y la Protecci\u00f3n Civil. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2016. Observation year 2016.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r30\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 30\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog\u00eda Agropecuaria (ed.), Satellite monitoring of fires in Corrientes, 2022 (1,042,514 hectares), as reported by the press. INTA, Buenos Aires, 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.520, Presupuestos m\u00ednimos de adaptaci\u00f3n y mitigaci\u00f3n al cambio clim\u00e1tico global. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2019. Observation year 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c3-n28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 26.331, Presupuestos m\u00ednimos de protecci\u00f3n ambiental de los bosques nativos. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2007. Observation year 2007.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c3-r28\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 28\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-risk-and-capability\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 4<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Risks and capability<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Four risk objects open the portfolio. Order carries no rank. Each is read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and consequence.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>4 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>1 table<\/span><span>7 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">4.1<\/span><span>Risk objects<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Each risk is read across the chain from hazard to consequence, with its status and evidence-quality level.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-ARG-CLI-001<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Multi-year drought and low river flows<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.meteorological-drought\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"A prolonged shortfall of rain against the local normal, the starting point of every other kind of drought.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">rainfall deficit<\/a> across the Pampas and the Paran\u00e1 basin<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>grain harvests, river ports, hydropower, public revenue<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>export dependence; fiscal room under an IMF programme<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>not bound at evidence close<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 FOO, ENE, FIN, TRD<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>1\u20135 years<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-ARG-CLI-002<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Flash flood and storm in a port or river city<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>extreme rainfall over urban catchments<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>coastal and river cities, lifelines, homes<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>drainage capacity; uninsured households<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>national risk-management law exists<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n30\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-r30\" aria-label=\"Note 30\">30<\/a><\/sup>; drill records not bound<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 INF, HLT, FIN<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>annual<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-ARG-BIO-003<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Large fire in wetlands, savanna or forest<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>drought and ignition in dry vegetation<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>Corrientes, the Paran\u00e1 delta, northern forests<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>dry peat and grass; remote response<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>national fire management service reports<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 BIO \u2192 HLT, WAT<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>seasonal<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-ARG-HLT-004<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Heat and vector-borne disease load on health services<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>hotter seasons and mosquito range<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>north-west and north-east provinces, older adults<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>ageing index 53 per 100<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>epidemiological bulletin in weekly use<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 HLT \u2192 ENE peak<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>seasonal<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">4.2<\/span><span>Capability ladder<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Existence is not readiness. Each of the fifteen capability functions is placed on the ladder by the strongest public evidence at baseline.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 4.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Capabilities on the ladder of evidence: listed, exists, demonstrated, tested<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Function<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Rung<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Level<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Strongest public evidence at baseline<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Prevention and mitigation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td>national <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">climate change<\/a> law sets budgets and plans<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Monitoring and observation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>national weather service and hydrological records used in this edition<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 early-warning\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Timely, actionable information about an impending hazard that lets people and institutions act to reduce harm before it occurs.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Early warning<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: SMN and civil protection warning records \u00b7 blocker: not reviewed by evidence close<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Preparedness and planning<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td>national risk-management system created by law<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n30\" aria-label=\"Note 30\">30<\/a><\/sup>; drill records not bound<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Redundancy and reserves<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda and basin storage data \u00b7 blocker: not retrieved<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Response<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: civil protection event reports \u00b7 blocker: not reviewed<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Continuity of critical services<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: utility restoration records for Bah\u00eda Blanca \u00b7 blocker: not retrieved<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recovery<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: recovery and fund disbursement records \u00b7 blocker: not published in the sources read<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Adaptation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td>adaptation duties set by the climate change law<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 social-protection\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Public policies and programmes that help people manage risk and reduce poverty and vulnerability across their lives.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Social protection<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: national social-protection programme data \u00b7 blocker: not reviewed<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Finance and insurance<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: insurance regulator loss and cover data \u00b7 blocker: not retrieved<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Institutional coordination<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>LISTED<\/td><td>national risk-management system and climate cabinet created by law<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n30\" aria-label=\"Note 30\">30<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Technical infrastructure<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: grid and port asset registers \u00b7 blocker: not mapped at public-safe resolution<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Workforce<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td>source: health and civil protection workforce data \u00b7 blocker: not reviewed<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Research capacity<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>peer-reviewed flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 basin published<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"4\">A capability listed in policy is not a tested one; each rung is the strongest public evidence at baseline.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-n30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.287, Sistema Nacional para la Gesti\u00f3n Integral del Riesgo y la Protecci\u00f3n Civil. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2016. Observation year 2016.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-r30\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 30\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Servicio Nacional de Manejo del Fuego, Ministerio de Ambiente (ed.), Fire reports 2022 (723,765 hectares affected nationally), as analysed by Chequeado, \u201cEn 2022 se duplic\u00f3 la superficie de hect\u00e1reas incendiadas\u201d. Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Censo 2022: Indicadores demogr\u00e1ficos por sexo y edad (ageing index 53 per 100, against 40 in 2010). INDEC, Buenos Aires, November 2023. Observation year 2022. Figure read via press summary of the report.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Ministerio de Salud (ed.), Bolet\u00edn Epidemiol\u00f3gico Nacional: dengue and chikungunya, season 2025\/26 (about 70 confirmed dengue cases; 27,178 suspected; 3,730 chikungunya cases confirmed or probable). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/504298, accessed 2026-11-03. Counts differ between press reports of the bulletin (69 and 71).<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.520, Presupuestos m\u00ednimos de adaptaci\u00f3n y mitigaci\u00f3n al cambio clim\u00e1tico global. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2019. Observation year 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (ed.), Report on the storm of 7 March 2025 at Bah\u00eda Blanca (about 290 mm in twelve hours; previous record 167.6 mm in 1933), as cited by BAE Negocios, 14 March 2025. SMN, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c4-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c4-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-scenario\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 5<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Multi-year drought with low Paran\u00e1 flows<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>2 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>2 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.1<\/span><span>Assumptions<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Scenario SCN-ARG-DRT-01: what is assumed, and what is held constant.<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Baseline<\/dt><dd>the 2026 reference state in this edition<\/dd><dt>Drivers<\/dt><dd>two consecutive seasons of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.meteorological-drought\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"A prolonged shortfall of rain against the local normal, the starting point of every other kind of drought.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">rainfall deficit<\/a> over the Pampas and the upper Paran\u00e1 basin, with low river levels in the export season<\/dd><dt>Analogues<\/dt><dd>the 2022\u201323 drought<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c5-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup>; Paran\u00e1 low flows 2019\u20132022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c5-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Interventions<\/dt><dd>none modelled; the specification describes the unmitigated case<\/dd><dt>Run state<\/dt><dd>narrative specification; quantified Foundry run scheduled for Q1 2027<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.2<\/span><span>The cascade, step by step<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">1<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 WAT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.meteorological-drought\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"A prolonged shortfall of rain against the local normal, the starting point of every other kind of drought.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">rainfall deficit<\/a> and low river levels<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2022\u201323 \u00b7 2019\u201322<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">2<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">WAT \u2192 FOO<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">harvests fall; wheat fell 44% in 2022\u201323<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2022\u201323<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">3<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">WAT \u2192 INF<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">vessels load less cargo at river ports<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">Paran\u00e1 2021\u201322<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">4<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">WAT \u2192 ENE<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">hydropower falls; thermal generation fills the gap<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">not bound<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">5<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">FOO \u2192 FIN<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">export earnings and public revenue fall<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2022\u201323<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">6<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 BIO<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">dry vegetation burns in the north-east and the delta<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">Corrientes 2022<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.3<\/span><span>The scenario as a table of steps<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nx-p\">How the shock in scenario SCN-ARG-DRT-01 would travel through Argentina&#8217;s coupled <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>, step by step, under the assumptions the edition states.<\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">01 Climate to water<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.meteorological-drought\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"A prolonged shortfall of rain against the local normal, the starting point of every other kind of drought.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">Rainfall deficit<\/a> and low river levels. Analogue or source: 2022\u201323 \u00b7 2019\u201322.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition ARG, scenario SCN-ARG-DRT-01, step 1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">02 Water to food<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Harvests fall; wheat fell 44% in 2022\u201323. Analogue or source: 2022\u201323.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition ARG, scenario SCN-ARG-DRT-01, step 2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">03 Water to infrastructure<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Vessels load less cargo at river ports. Analogue or source: Paran\u00e1 2021\u201322.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition ARG, scenario SCN-ARG-DRT-01, step 3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">04 Water to energy<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Hydropower falls; thermal generation fills the gap. Analogue or source: not bound.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition ARG, scenario SCN-ARG-DRT-01, step 4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">05 Food to finance<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Export earnings and public revenue fall. Analogue or source: 2022\u201323.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition ARG, scenario SCN-ARG-DRT-01, step 5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">06 Climate to biodiversity<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Dry vegetation burns in the north-east and the delta. Analogue or source: Corrientes 2022.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition ARG, scenario SCN-ARG-DRT-01, step 6<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-2\">A teaching model of a conditional scenario under the edition&#8217;s stated assumptions: not a forecast, not a prediction and not a warning. Sources: <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/scenario\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Argentina 2026, scenario SCN-ARG-DRT-01<\/a> (2026); Argentina 2026, references (NR-CIT-1) (2026).<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Estimates for the 2022\/23 harvest under drought (wheat 12.4 Mt, down 44%; soybeans 25 Mt; maize 36 Mt; farm-sector losses about US$33 billion), as reported by the press. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c5-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c5-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c5-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-lenses-and-readings\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 6<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Readings from the other desks<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The baseline is read through each steward\u2019s lens, then once as a whole. Each lens is a projection of reviewed findings, not a separate argument. The other desks&#8217; own editions of this subject are listed first, as cross-references, not copies.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>14 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>8 tables<\/span><span>37 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.1<\/span><span>The other desks&#8217; editions of this subject<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Federation: each desk writes its own edition for the subjects in its remit. Until a desk releases, its edition shows its frame and the reading this edition printed for it.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Desk<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Edition<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Identifier<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr data-host=\"true\"><th scope=\"row\">GCRI Systems Evidence<\/th><td>No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in this cycle<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">GRF Public Deliberation<\/th><td>No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in this cycle<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">GRA Capital Readiness<\/th><td>No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in this cycle<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Standards Progress<\/th><td>Outside this desk&#8217;s remit<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in remit<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Academy Capability<\/th><td>Outside this desk&#8217;s remit<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in remit<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Index Measurement<\/th><td>No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Not in this cycle<\/span><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.2<\/span><span>Three lenses<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">One edition, read by each steward. The lens of this site comes first.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cards\" data-n=\"3\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\" data-host=\"true\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 KEY T<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Technical Truth<\/h3><p>The evidence supports a coupled reading of Argentina\u2019s risk: water extremes dominate the farm economy, the energy system is changing, and public finances limit the buffer. Evidence is strongest for emissions, harvests and storms, and weakest for reservoir storage, heat deaths and lifeline continuity.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">CLI-001 \u00b7 FOO-006 \u00b7 WAT-005 \u00b7 SYS-012<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GRF \u00b7 KEY M<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Public Meaning<\/h3><p>For most people risk arrives as a price rise, a flood or a dry season. The baseline asks that public debate weigh how poverty at 32.3% changes who can absorb a bad harvest or a flooded home.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">FIN-010 \u00b7 CLI-007 \u00b7 HLT-009<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GRA \u00b7 KEY F<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Capital Meaning<\/h3><p>Readiness implications only. Grain earnings carry public revenue, and the IMF programme frames fiscal room<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup>. These show where finance-readiness evidence will matter. Nothing here is advice, a rating or a recommendation.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">FIN-010 \u00b7 FOO-006<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEXUS<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Synthesis<\/h3><p>Argentina holds long weather and river records, and thinner evidence on storage, reserves and service continuity. The 2027 programme should test the drought\u2013river\u2013revenue chain, map the gas and hydro balance in dry years and bind a national heat-mortality series.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">SYS-012 \u00b7 A-01 \u00b7 A-02<\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.3<\/span><span>Standards, Academy and steward contributions<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">How the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a> drafts, the Risk Academy and the three stewards feed each quarterly edition for Argentina. The standards are preparatory working drafts (October 2026) and are cited as drafts, never as adopted standards.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">The quarterly rhythm every edition follows<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Quarter<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Edition<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Question<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Boundary<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Q1<\/td><td>State and Agenda<\/td><td>What matters this year, and what is the starting position?<\/td><td>observed baseline stays distinct from planned work<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q2<\/td><td>Evidence and Build<\/td><td>What new evidence and capability have been developed?<\/td><td>a configured capability is not a validated result<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q3<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 stress-test\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"An assessment of how a system, portfolio or institution would perform under severe but plausible adverse scenarios, to find weaknesses before they are revealed by events.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Stress Test<\/a> and Readiness<\/td><td>What do scenarios and tests reveal?<\/td><td>simulated loss or performance is not observed impact<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q4<\/td><td>Annual Synthesis and Renewal<\/td><td>What did the year establish, and what changes next?<\/td><td>release follows review, not event publicity deadlines<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Who contributes what each quarter<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Steward or body<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Contribution route<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>GCRI Canada<\/td><td>Lead Institution and Consortium Secretariat; publisher of record; technical truth (key T)<\/td><td>science and practice communities \u00b7 GCRI gateway<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>The Global Risks Forum (GRF)<\/td><td>leadership, dialogue and the <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/programme\/universe\">Universe<\/a> programme; public meaning (key M)<\/td><td>policy, Universe and national adoption \u00b7 GRF gateway<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>The Global Risks Alliance (GRA)<\/td><td>finance, insurance and development readiness; capital meaning (key F)<\/td><td>finance and insurance \u00b7 GRA gateway<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nexus Standards<\/td><td>preparatory drafts on vocabulary, hazards, indicators and methods<\/td><td>Standards site \u00b7 working groups HAZ, IND, MTH, FIN, AI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Risk Academy<\/td><td>learning pathways tied to the agenda questions<\/td><td>Academy gateway \u00b7 learning by review<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Argentina<\/td><td>national pathway: Desk, Leadership Council, Consortium, Working Groups<\/td><td>national Commons room<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Standards drafts used in this edition<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Risk vocabulary NRS-C1 (424 terms) for terms in the glossary<\/li><li>Hazard atlas NHS-1 1.1.0 (905 hazards in 120 families) for risk objects<\/li><li>Seven risk classes: global, catastrophic, existential, emerging, planetary, exponential, frontier-tech<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Standards calendar to watch<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Founding calls from 20 October 2026; working groups meet from 5 November 2026<\/li><li>Inaugural Global Standards Council session, 12 January 2027<\/li><li>Quarterly reviews in March, June, September and December, aligned with each edition<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Nothing here certifies. A Nexus attestation records an evaluation under a mandate; it confers no certification, endorsement or approval. National adoption of any standard is a decision of the national standards council.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.4<\/span><span>GCRI reading: the model card<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-p\">GCRI&#8217;s reading of this edition is its model card: what the national model is, what it computes and where it stops. It is printed in full in Annex A, with the methods it belongs to. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/methodology\/\">Annex A, methodology<\/a><\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.5<\/span><span>Global Risks Forum reading: editorial essays<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Four signed essays by the <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/programme\/reports\">Reports<\/a> editorial team set out the positions this edition takes. They are interpretation, labelled as such; the evidence they draw on is in the findings register.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Argentina\u2019s grain earnings rise and fall with rain and river levels. The baseline treats drought and low flows as one coupled problem, not as separate agriculture and logistics issues.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 01<\/h3><p>Water decides the farm economy<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The country that lost a wheat crop to drought also saw a year of rain fall in hours on one port city. Planning for one without the other leaves a gap.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 02<\/h3><p>Flood is the other face of the same hydrology<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Low-carbon power and record oil output sit side by side. Dry-year power balance and gas storage are the evidence still missing.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 03<\/h3><p>Energy is changing faster than its evidence<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Households with little margin absorb a bad harvest or a flood badly. Every risk object in this edition is read through that lens.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 04<\/h3><p>Poverty sets the size of the buffer<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Essays are signed views of the editorial team. Contributed articles from working groups, consortium institutions and invited experts begin with the Q1 2027 edition, each with its own review route and disclosures.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.6<\/span><span>Global Risks Alliance reading: q1 2027 readiness pack<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The registers that open the first operational quarter. At baseline each is initialised from this edition.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Q1 2027 readiness pack<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Register<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State at baseline<\/th><th scope=\"col\">First Q1 2027 entry<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>E1<\/td><td>National risk state delta<\/td><td>baseline set by this edition<\/td><td>changes against the baseline<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E2<\/td><td>WEFH+B state delta<\/td><td>five system readings set<\/td><td>indicator updates and freshness<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E3<\/td><td>Agenda and Portfolio movement<\/td><td>eight agenda items \u00b7 7 proposed objects<\/td><td>admission decisions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E4<\/td><td>NWG delivery register<\/td><td>no groups yet<\/td><td>first monthly outputs<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E5<\/td><td>NNC capability register<\/td><td>membership opens in Q1 2027<\/td><td>first contributions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E6<\/td><td>NLC questions and challenges<\/td><td>none yet<\/td><td>first challenge log<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E7<\/td><td>Foundry technical state<\/td><td>environment prepared<\/td><td>first sealed cut<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E8<\/td><td>Publication candidates<\/td><td>twelve findings carried forward<\/td><td>PUBLISH \u00b7 HOLD dispositions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E9<\/td><td>Universe readiness<\/td><td>one candidate mission<\/td><td>admission and role spine<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E10<\/td><td>Correction register<\/td><td>none<\/td><td>first correction cycle<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication dispositions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Publish<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Hold<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Needs evidence<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Restricted<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Superseded<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Programme progress is not real-world risk improvement. These registers record the work of the Nexus programme; they report on no public authority.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.7<\/span><span>Nexus Standards reading: standards and regulatory watch<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Instruments that shape the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> in this edition, by status on the retrieval date. The edition assesses no one\u2019s compliance.<\/p><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">IN FORCE<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">ADOPTED<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">SUBMITTED<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">UNDER REVIEW<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">PUBLISHED \u00b7 VOLUNTARY<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Standards and regulatory watch<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Instrument<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Body<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Scope<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Relevance<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a> \u00b7 climate contribution, net ceiling 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n35\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r35\" aria-label=\"Note 35\">35<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UNFCCC \u00b7 Argentina<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>ANNOUNCED 2025<\/td><td>emissions pathway<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Law 27.520 on minimum budgets for <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">climate change<\/a> adaptation and mitigation<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Government of Argentina<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>IN FORCE<\/td><td>climate governance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Law 26.331 on minimum budgets for native forests<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n28\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r28\" aria-label=\"Note 28\">28<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Government of Argentina<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>IN FORCE<\/td><td>forest protection<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Law 27.191 on renewable energy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n29\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r29\" aria-label=\"Note 29\">29<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Government of Argentina<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>IN FORCE<\/td><td>power mix<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Law 27.287 national risk-management system<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n30\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r30\" aria-label=\"Note 30\">30<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Government of Argentina<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>IN FORCE<\/td><td>disaster management<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Law 26.639 on glacier preservation<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Government of Argentina<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>IN FORCE \u00b7 AMENDMENT STATUS NOT VERIFIED<\/td><td>water sources<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Law 25.675 general environmental law<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n41\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r41\" aria-label=\"Note 41\">41<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Government of Argentina<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>IN FORCE<\/td><td>environmental baseline<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Kunming-Montreal Framework<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n34\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r34\" aria-label=\"Note 34\">34<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CBD<\/td><td>international<\/td><td>ADOPTED 2022<\/td><td>30by30<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/sendai-framework-alignment\/\">Sendai Framework<\/a><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n33\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r33\" aria-label=\"Note 33\">33<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UNDRR<\/td><td>international<\/td><td>ADOPTED 2015<\/td><td>disaster <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-reduction\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Preventing new risk, reducing existing risk and managing residual risk, all contributing to resilience.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">risk reduction<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Changed since 2024<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>The climate contribution announced in November 2025 sets a net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>The IMF agreed a 48-month programme in 2025 and reached staff-level agreement on its second review in April 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n44\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r44\" aria-label=\"Note 44\">44<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>The UNFCCC technical review of the first transparency report was published in January 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">To watch in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Formal registration and review of the 2035 contribution<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Any change to the forest law, reported by one NGO as under consideration<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n23\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Any change to the glacier law, status not verified at evidence close<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Status is read from the issuing body on the retrieval date. A change in status opens a review task for every finding that relies on the instrument.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.8<\/span><span>Risk Academy reading: literature and evidence review, science and assessments<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The review behind this edition covers peer-reviewed science, national and international assessments and the institutional reports that bind its findings. Full systematic reviews begin in Q1 2027 for each agenda item.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Review protocol<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Question<\/dt><dd>What does the published evidence establish about Argentina\u2019s coupled water, energy, food, health and biodiversity risks?<\/dd><dt>Sources searched<\/dt><dd>peer-reviewed literature; national and international assessments; official releases; industry loss data<\/dd><dt>Window<\/dt><dd>releases available at evidence close, 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Selection<\/dt><dd>sources that bind or contextualise a finding in this edition<\/dd><dt>Next step<\/dt><dd>systematic reviews for agenda items A-01 to A-05 in Q1 2027<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Science and assessments<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Type<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Lee and Romero (eds.)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n32\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r32\" aria-label=\"Note 32\">32<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>forcing<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>McElwee et al. (eds.)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n36\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r36\" aria-label=\"Note 36\">36<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>framework<\/td><td>nexus interlinkages<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Zscheischler et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n37\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r37\" aria-label=\"Note 37\">37<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal article<\/td><td>2018<\/td><td>framework<\/td><td>compound events<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WMO regional report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>regional extremes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Paran\u00e1 flow analysis<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal article<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>low flows<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Foundational Edition<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n39\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r39\" aria-label=\"Note 39\">39<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Reports<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>framework<\/td><td>method<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Global baseline<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Reports<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>framework<\/td><td>global anchor<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Institutional reports<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>UNFCCC technical review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UNFCCC<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>inventory<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fourth Biennial Update Report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Ministry of Environment<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>emissions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>IMF programme release<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>IMF<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>fiscal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>IEA energy overview<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>IEA<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>energy<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h25\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.forest.deforestation\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Forest and woodland stress\" data-td=\"Clearing of forest for other land uses, losing habitat, carbon storage and watershed protection.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H25\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/eco\/\" data-txl=\"Land and ecosystems\">Deforestation<\/a> report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>IFPRI<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>forests<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>World Health Statistics<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n38\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r38\" aria-label=\"Note 38\">38<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>WHO<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>health<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Official statistics and national sources<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Census 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>INDEC<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>profile<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Demographic indicators<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>INDEC<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>ageing<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Poverty release<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>INDEC<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>social strain<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Epidemiological bulletin<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Ministerio de Salud<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/health\/biological-hazard-standards\/\">vector-borne disease<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Climate contribution page<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Government of Argentina<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>targets<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-tab8\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.8<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Industry, loss data and international sources<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Harvest estimates<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Bolsa de Cereales<\/td><td>2023\u201325<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>food<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fire statistics<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>SNMF via Chequeado<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>fire<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Electricity data<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Ember \u00b7 CAMMESA<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>power<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Protected-area studies<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Ecolog\u00eda Austral \u00b7 WCS<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>biodiversity<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Where the evidence agrees<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>The climate of southern South America is changing and extremes are intensifying<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n32\" aria-label=\"Note 32\">32<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Compound events raise risk beyond the sum of their parts<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n37\" aria-label=\"Note 37\">37<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>The Paran\u00e1 basin had its lowest flows in 118 years in 2019\u20132022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Where it is unsettled<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>How to account for land-use emissions on a single basis<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>How fast low-carbon power can displace gas in dry years<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>How much heat mortality is recorded and reported<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEWS AND PREPRINTS<\/p><p>No news report or preprint binds a finding in this edition. News is used only to date events; preprints used from Q1 2027 will be flagged as not peer-reviewed.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>International Monetary Fund (ed.), Press Release No. 25\/095: IMF reaches staff-level agreement with Argentina on a 48-month Extended Fund Facility (US$20 billion). IMF, Washington, DC, 8 April 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/News\/Articles\/2025\/04\/08\/pr25095-argentina-imf-reaches-staff-level-agreement-with-argentina-on-a-48-month-eff, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Presidencia de la Naci\u00f3n (ed.), Announcement of Argentina\u2019s nationally determined contribution (net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 3 November 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/484146, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n35\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">35<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a>. United Nations, Paris, 2015. Observation year 2015.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r35\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 35\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.520, Presupuestos m\u00ednimos de adaptaci\u00f3n y mitigaci\u00f3n al cambio clim\u00e1tico global. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2019. Observation year 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 26.331, Presupuestos m\u00ednimos de protecci\u00f3n ambiental de los bosques nativos. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2007. Observation year 2007.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r28\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 28\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n29\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">29<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.191, R\u00e9gimen de fomento nacional para el uso de fuentes renovables de energ\u00eda destinada a la producci\u00f3n de energ\u00eda el\u00e9ctrica. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2015. Observation year 2015.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r29\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 29\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.287, Sistema Nacional para la Gesti\u00f3n Integral del Riesgo y la Protecci\u00f3n Civil. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2016. Observation year 2016.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r30\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 30\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 26.639, R\u00e9gimen de presupuestos m\u00ednimos para la preservaci\u00f3n de los glaciares y del ambiente periglacial. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2010. Observation year 2010. Amendment status not verified.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n41\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">41<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 25.675, Ley General del Ambiente. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2002. Observation year 2002.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r41\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 41\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n34\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">34<\/span><span>Convention on Biological Diversity (ed.), Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, Decision 15\/4. CBD Secretariat, Montreal, 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r34\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 34\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n33\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">33<\/span><span>UNDRR (ed.), <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/sendai-framework-alignment\/\">Sendai Framework<\/a> for Disaster <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-reduction\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Preventing new risk, reducing existing risk and managing residual risk, all contributing to resilience.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Risk Reduction<\/a> 2015\u20132030. UNDRR, Geneva, 2015. Observation year 2015.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r33\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 33\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n44\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">44<\/span><span>International Monetary Fund (ed.), Argentina: second review under the Extended Fund Facility, staff-level agreement, as reported by MercoPress, 15 April 2026. IMF, Washington, DC, 2026. Observation year 2026. Context only.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r44\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 44\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), Report on the technical expert review of the first biennial transparency report of Argentina, Addendum, FCCC\/ETF\/TERR.1\/2024\/ARG\/Add.1. UNFCCC, Bonn, 22 January 2026. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/terr1_2024_ARGa01.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Climate Action Tracker (ed.), Argentina: targets. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, data as of June 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/climateactiontracker.org\/countries\/argentina\/targets\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Greenpeace Argentina (ed.), Informe anual de deforestaci\u00f3n en el norte de Argentina 2025 (94,204 hectares of native forest cleared; 116,498 hectares burned). Greenpeace Argentina, Buenos Aires, February 2026. Observation year 2025. NGO survey, not an official series.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r23\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 23\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n32\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">32<\/span><span>H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC. IPCC, Geneva, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r32\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 32\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n36\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">36<\/span><span>P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054. Observation year 2024. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.13850054\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r36\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 36\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n37\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">37<\/span><span>J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., \u201cFuture climate risk from compound events,\u201d Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469\u2013477, 2018. Observation year 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r37\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 37\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>World Meteorological Organization (ed.), State of the Climate in Latin America and the Caribbean 2025. WMO, Geneva, 18 May 2026. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/wmo.int\/node\/38574, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n39\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">39<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Reports: The Foundational Edition, Volumes I and II. Reports series, Edition 2026\u20132030, V1.0. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r39\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 39\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministerio de Ambiente y Desarrollo Sostenible (ed.), Cuarto Informe Bienal de Actualizaci\u00f3n de la Rep\u00fablica Argentina a la CMNUCC (BUR4). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2021. Observation year 2018. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/4to%20Informe%20Bienal%20de%20la%20Rep%C3%BAblica%20Argentina.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>International Energy Agency (ed.), Latin America Energy Outlook, Overview: Argentina. IEA, Paris, 2023. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/iea.blob.core.windows.net\/assets\/1fe309e7-95f1-48a8-b32f-4bea94de4fbe\/Argentinaenergyprofile_EN.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>N. Jorge (ed.), Argentina report on <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h25\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.forest.deforestation\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Forest and woodland stress\" data-td=\"Clearing of forest for other land uses, losing habitat, carbon storage and watershed protection.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H25\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/eco\/\" data-txl=\"Land and ecosystems\">deforestation<\/a> 2000\u20132024. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, 5 September 2025. Observation years 2000\u20132024. Listed via the FAO AGRIS record; not read in full.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n38\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">38<\/span><span>World Health Organization (ed.), World Health Statistics 2025. WHO, Geneva, 2025. Observation year 2025. Context only.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r38\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 38\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Censos (INDEC) (ed.), Censo Nacional de Poblaci\u00f3n, Hogares y Viviendas 2022: resultados definitivos (46,234,830 inhabitants; reference date 1 July 2022). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022. Read via press reports of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Censo 2022: Indicadores demogr\u00e1ficos por sexo y edad (ageing index 53 per 100, against 40 in 2010). INDEC, Buenos Aires, November 2023. Observation year 2022. Figure read via press summary of the report.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, primer semestre de 2026 (EPH). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 24 September 2026. Observation year 2026. Figures read via press summaries of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Ministerio de Salud (ed.), Bolet\u00edn Epidemiol\u00f3gico Nacional: dengue and chikungunya, season 2025\/26 (about 70 confirmed dengue cases; 27,178 suspected; 3,730 chikungunya cases confirmed or probable). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/504298, accessed 2026-11-03. Counts differ between press reports of the bulletin (69 and 71).<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Estimates for the 2022\/23 harvest under drought (wheat 12.4 Mt, down 44%; soybeans 25 Mt; maize 36 Mt; farm-sector losses about US$33 billion), as reported by the press. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Wheat estimate for 2025\/26 (25.5 Mt), as reported by the press, 28 November 2025. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Estimate, not a final figure.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Servicio Nacional de Manejo del Fuego, Ministerio de Ambiente (ed.), Fire reports 2022 (723,765 hectares affected nationally), as analysed by Chequeado, \u201cEn 2022 se duplic\u00f3 la superficie de hect\u00e1reas incendiadas\u201d. Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Argentina electricity profile (low-carbon share of generation 42% in 2025). Ember, London, December 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/es\/paises-y-regiones\/argentina\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>CAMMESA (ed.), Annual electricity demand and renewable coverage 2025 (141,249 GWh; renewables 40.21% including large hydro; 738 MW added), as reported by the generators\u2019 chamber. CAMMESA, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2025. Read via trade press summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Ecolog\u00eda Austral (ed.), Updated protected-area database for Argentina (land 10.41%, sea 8.49%). Asociaci\u00f3n Ecolog\u00eda Austral, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Read via search summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c6-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Wildlife Conservation Society Argentina (ed.), Protected-area coverage and strict protection (about 2.2% of land and 5.8% of sea). WCS Argentina, Buenos Aires, June 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c6-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-agenda\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 7<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">The 2027 agenda<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda. Each comes from a baseline finding, names the initiative that will carry it and the first output due at the Q1 2027 cut.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>5 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>6 tables<\/span><span>3 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.1<\/span><span>Questions for the operational series<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How would a multi-year drought with low Paran\u00e1 flows cut harvests, river exports, hydropower and public revenue together?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-ARG-WAT-01 \u00b7 drought\u2013river\u2013revenue test; first output: dependency graph for the Paran\u00e1 basin.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How does the gas and hydro balance hold in a dry, cold year as oil and gas output grow?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-ARG-ENE-02 \u00b7 power in dry years; first output: generation-mix and storage register.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How exposed are grain exports to river logistics and weather together?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-ARG-FOO-03 \u00b7 export exposure; first output: commodity and route dependence table.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How much surge capacity do health services hold for heat and <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/health\/biological-hazard-standards\/\">vector-borne disease<\/a>?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-ARG-HLT-04 \u00b7 heat and vectors; first output: surge baseline for five provinces.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Where do flash floods and storms fall on uninsured households and public budgets?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-ARG-FIN-05 \u00b7 <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/globalriskalliance.com\/glossary\/protection-gap\/\" data-tgl=\"Global Risks Alliance glossary\">protection gap<\/a>; first output: peril-by-province loss table.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How do fire and drought interact in the Paran\u00e1 delta and the north-east?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-ARG-BIO-01 \u00b7 fire and wetlands; first output: fire-season exposure note.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-07<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How would a changed forest or glacier law alter basin risk?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">To be admitted in Q1 2027; first output: scoping note.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-08<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Which capabilities have been tested in real events, and which are only listed?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">National capability register; first output: rung evidence for 15 functions.<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.2<\/span><span>Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Five initiatives and one Universe mission candidate are proposed for admission at the Q1 2027 alignment. They are programme objects, no partner, funder or member is attached to them in this edition.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Objects proposed for the first operational quarter<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">ID<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Object<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Kind<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Question<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-ARG-WAT-01<\/span><\/td><td>Drought, river and revenue test for the Paran\u00e1 basin<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-ARG-ENE-02<\/span><\/td><td>Power balance in dry years<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-02<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-ARG-FOO-03<\/span><\/td><td>Grain export exposure to weather and river logistics<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-03<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-ARG-HLT-04<\/span><\/td><td>Heat and <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/health\/biological-hazard-standards\/\">vector-borne disease<\/a> surge baseline<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-04<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-ARG-FIN-05<\/span><\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h9\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.flood.flash-flood\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Freshwater inundation\" data-td=\"A fast, violent rise of water in a small catchment or dry channel within hours of intense rain.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H9\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">Flash flood<\/a> and storm <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/globalriskalliance.com\/glossary\/protection-gap\/\" data-tgl=\"Global Risks Alliance glossary\">protection gap<\/a><\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-05<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PRJ-ARG-WAT-01a<\/span><\/td><td>Paran\u00e1 basin dependency graph<\/td><td>Project<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MSN-ARG-2027-01<\/span><\/td><td>Drought\u2013river\u2013revenue Universe mission<\/td><td>Mission<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Candidate<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.3<\/span><span>The pathway<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Argentina is the national pathway through which the Nexus operating system will run in Argentina from 2027. At baseline the pathway is designed and its records are prepared; its councils and working groups are constituted from Q1 2027. This page states what exists today and what comes next, nothing more.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">One National Agenda<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">bounded national questions for the year<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">DRAFT 2027 \u00b7 agenda review at the Q1 alignment<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Desk<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">coordination, records, routing and continuity<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">DESIGNED \u00b7 constituted in Q1 2027<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Model<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">the country as a system of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">v0 SPECIFIED \u00b7 v1 with the first Foundry cut<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Portfolio<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">risks, capabilities, initiatives, projects, missions<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">7 PROPOSED \u00b7 admission at the Q1 alignment<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Foundry<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">continuous computational environment<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">PREPARED \u00b7 first sealed cut NQ-ARG-2027-Q1<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Reports<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">quarterly and annual publication<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">BASELINE ISSUED \u00b7 Q1 2027 \u00b7 State &amp; Agenda<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">07<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Universe<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">annual proving environment<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">CANDIDATE MISSION \u00b7 mandate set in 2027<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">08<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Evidence and correction<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">after-action, correction and renewal<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">OPEN \u00b7 first correction cycle in Q2 2027<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.4<\/span><span>Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Mandate<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Core Build \u00b7 1 month<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Action \u00b7 1 week<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Evidence seal<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Portfolio correction<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Next mandate<\/p><\/li><\/ol><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Record<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Timing<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>F1<\/td><td>Annual mandate record<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>after the Q2 2027 alignment<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F2<\/td><td>Core Build record<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>one month before the exercise<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F3<\/td><td>Exercise evidence<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>during the Action week<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F4<\/td><td>Decision packets<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>exercise state only<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F5<\/td><td>Proof receipts<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>scoped to each recorded check<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F6<\/td><td>After-action report<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>within one quarter<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F7<\/td><td>Upgrade docket<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>routed to the Portfolio<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F8<\/td><td>Portfolio renewal<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>Q4 2027 annual edition<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F9<\/td><td>Public synthesis<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>public-safe extracts only<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Mission<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>ID<\/dt><dd>MSN-ARG-2027-01 \u00b7 Drought\u2013river\u2013revenue Universe mission<\/dd><dt>Role spine<\/dt><dd>Leadership sponsor (NLC) \u00b7 Institutional anchor (NNC) \u00b7 Mission lead (NWG)<\/dd><dt>Receiving actors<\/dt><dd>to be identified with the mandate<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Simulation success is not deployment approval; demonstration is not certification; finance readiness is not financing secured.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.5<\/span><span>Handoffs and routing<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Where the baseline\u2019s findings go next. A handoff routes a finding for awareness, review or work; it transfers no authority.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Handoffs and routing<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Finding<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Routed to<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Purpose<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Class<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>CLI-001 \u00b7 emissions<\/td><td>public record<\/td><td>reference for the 2027 series<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WAT-005 \u00b7 Paran\u00e1 flows<\/td><td>INI-ARG-WAT-01<\/td><td>drought\u2013river\u2013revenue test<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ENE-003 \u00b7 power mix<\/td><td>INI-ARG-ENE-02<\/td><td>dry-year balance<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FOO-006 \u00b7 drought<\/td><td>INI-ARG-FOO-03<\/td><td>export exposure<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>HLT-009 \u00b7 <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/health\/biological-hazard-standards\/\">vector-borne disease<\/a><\/td><td>INI-ARG-HLT-04<\/td><td>heat and vectors<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CLI-007 \u00b7 Bah\u00eda Blanca<\/td><td>INI-ARG-FIN-05 \u00b7 key F review<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/globalriskalliance.com\/glossary\/protection-gap\/\" data-tgl=\"Global Risks Alliance glossary\">protection gap<\/a><\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BIO-011 \u00b7 protected land<\/td><td>INI-ARG-BIO-01<\/td><td>fire and wetlands<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SYS-012 \u00b7 compound pathway<\/td><td>MSN-ARG-2027-01<\/td><td>Universe candidate<\/td><td>CONSORTIUM<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Routing rules by publication class<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Class<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Where it goes<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Who can see it<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>PUBLIC<\/td><td>the published edition and its evidence bundle<\/td><td>anyone<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CONSORTIUM<\/td><td>governed rooms of the national pathway<\/td><td>consortium members under agreement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CONTROLLED<\/td><td>need-to-know channels<\/td><td>named competent actors only<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Handoffs carry findings to Nexus programme objects and steward reviews. Competent authorities receive public editions as published; nothing here instructs them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.6<\/span><span>Feeds and signal register<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Feeds watched from Q1 2027<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Feed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Producer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Latency<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Feeds into<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Weather and rainfall alerts<\/td><td>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional<\/td><td>real time<\/td><td>CLI findings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>River level and hydrological reports<\/td><td>Instituto Nacional del Agua<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>WAT-005<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Electricity demand and supply<\/td><td>CAMMESA<\/td><td>daily<\/td><td>ENE findings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Crude oil and gas output<\/td><td>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><td>ENE-004<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Harvest and planting estimates<\/td><td>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires<\/td><td>weekly in season<\/td><td>FOO-006<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fire and burned-area reports<\/td><td>Servicio Nacional de Manejo del Fuego<\/td><td>seasonal<\/td><td>CLI-008<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Epidemiological bulletin<\/td><td>Ministerio de Salud<\/td><td>weekly<\/td><td>HLT-009<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Poverty and price series<\/td><td>INDEC<\/td><td>half-yearly and monthly<\/td><td>FIN-010<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Escalation routes<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">none \u00b7 keep monitoring<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">research question<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">project<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">risk object<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">quarterly publication<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">signal report<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Signals at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">ID<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Signal<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Corroboration<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Systems<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Route<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>SIG-ARG-001<\/td><td>Record rain at Bah\u00eda Blanca on 7 March 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c7-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>CLI \u00b7 WAT \u00b7 INF<\/td><td>risk object RSK-ARG-CLI-002<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SIG-ARG-002<\/td><td>Record crude oil output in 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c7-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>ENE \u00b7 FIN<\/td><td>initiative A-02<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SIG-ARG-003<\/td><td>Poverty rise in the first half of 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c7-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>FIN \u00b7 HLT<\/td><td>initiative A-05<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>A signal is not a warning. Signal records never substitute for official alerting or early-warning authorities, and they bypass no publication control.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (ed.), Report on the storm of 7 March 2025 at Bah\u00eda Blanca (about 290 mm in twelve hours; previous record 167.6 mm in 1933), as cited by BAE Negocios, 14 March 2025. SMN, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c7-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Crude oil production, July 2026 (916,200 barrels a day; +17.2% year on year to June), as reported by Infobae, 9 August 2026. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/08\/09\/los-records-de-vaca-muerta-acercan-a-la-argentina-al-1-de-la-produccion-petrolera-mundial\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c7-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c7-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, primer semestre de 2026 (EPH). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 24 September 2026. Observation year 2026. Figures read via press summaries of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c7-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-systems-in-depth\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 8<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Systems in depth<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>7 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>5 tables<\/span><span>20 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.1<\/span><span>Water, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Argentina\u2019s farm and export economy runs on rain and on the Paran\u00e1. Low flows, flash floods and drought are the binding water risks. Drinking-water coverage was not bound at evidence close.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">118<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">years<\/span><p>of Paran\u00e1 record, lowest flows 2019\u201322<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">290<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">mm<\/span><p>rain in 12 hours at Bah\u00eda Blanca, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">Not bound<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">JMP<\/span><p>drinking-water coverage<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n46\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r46\" aria-label=\"Note 46\">46<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Low flows<\/td><td>largest negative anomalies in 118 years of record<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h9\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.flood.flash-flood\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Freshwater inundation\" data-td=\"A fast, violent rise of water in a small catchment or dry channel within hours of intense rain.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H9\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">Flash flood<\/a><\/td><td>record rain at Bah\u00eda Blanca, sixteen deaths reported<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Glaciers<\/td><td>glacier preservation law in force<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Coverage<\/td><td>water and sanitation coverage by province<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n46\" aria-label=\"Note 46\">46<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>WAT \u2192 FOO rainfall and river flow<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 ENE hydropower<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 WAT drought and heavy rain<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 HLT drinking water<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>reservoir and aquifer storage<\/li><li>drinking-water and sanitation coverage<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Paran\u00e1 levels at Rosario, basin rainfall and restoration times after flash floods.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Water services rest with provinces and utilities; this chapter assesses none of them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.2<\/span><span>Energy, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Low-carbon sources supplied 42% of electricity in 2025, and crude oil output passed 900,000 barrels a day in 2026. Dry-year power balance and gas output were not bound.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">42<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>low-carbon share of electricity, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">916,200<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">barrels a day<\/span><p>crude oil, Jul 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">738<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">MW<\/span><p>new renewable capacity, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Power mix<\/td><td>low-carbon 42% of electricity<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Demand<\/td><td>141,249 GWh, with renewables covering 40.2%<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Oil<\/td><td>record output led by shale<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Gas output<\/td><td>official series not retrieved<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n47\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r47\" aria-label=\"Note 47\">47<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>WAT \u2192 ENE hydropower<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 FOO fuel and fertiliser<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 ENE peak demand<\/li><li>BIO \u2192 ENE fire on lines<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>gas production series<\/li><li>dry-year hydropower shortfall<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Monthly oil and gas output, hydro inflows and summer and winter demand peaks.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Energy decisions rest with the government, regulators and operators; this chapter assesses none of them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.3<\/span><span>Food and agrifood, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Argentina is a large grain exporter, and harvests swing with rainfall. The 2022\u201323 drought cut wheat by 44%, and a record wheat harvest was estimated for 2025\u201326.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">44<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>wheat fall, 2022\u201323<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">12.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt<\/span><p>wheat harvest, 2022\u201323<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">25.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt<\/span><p>wheat estimate, 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Drought loss<\/td><td>wheat 12.4 Mt, soybeans 25 Mt, maize 36 Mt<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Losses<\/td><td>about US$33 billion, grain exchange estimate<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rebound<\/td><td>wheat estimate 25.5 Mt for 2025\u201326<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Trade flows<\/td><td>maize and feed trade volumes not retrieved<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n47\" aria-label=\"Note 47\">47<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>WAT \u2192 FOO rain and irrigation<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 FOO fuel and fertiliser<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 FOO heat and drought<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>final 2025\u201326 harvest<\/li><li>export volumes by route<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Rainfall during planting, Paran\u00e1 levels in the export season and the exchanges\u2019 harvest estimates.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>This chapter describes the food system; it makes no statement on agricultural or trade policy.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.4<\/span><span>Health and One Health, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Argentina is an ageing country, and its health services face <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/health\/biological-hazard-standards\/\">vector-borne disease<\/a> and, in some seasons, heat. A national heat-mortality series was not bound at evidence close.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">53<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">per 100<\/span><p>ageing index, 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224870<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">cases<\/span><p>dengue confirmed, 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">3,730<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">cases<\/span><p>chikungunya, 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Ageing<\/td><td>index of 53 per 100, from 40 in 2010<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Dengue<\/td><td>about 70 confirmed against 27,178 suspected<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Chikungunya<\/td><td>3,730 confirmed or probable, mostly north-west<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat deaths<\/td><td>national season total not retrieved<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>CLI \u2192 HLT heat and vectors<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 HLT drinking water<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 HLT cooling and power<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>heat deaths<\/li><li>surge capacity in health services<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>The weekly epidemiological bulletin, summer heat alerts and winter respiratory load.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Health planning rests with national and provincial authorities. No personal health data are used or shown in Reports.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.5<\/span><span>Biodiversity and ecosystems, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Protected areas cover about 10.4% of land and 8.5% of the sea, well short of the 30% goal, and fire and clearing continue in the north. Official forest area was not bound.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">10.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>of land protected, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">8.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>of sea protected, 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">30<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>target by 2030<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n34\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r34\" aria-label=\"Note 34\">34<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Protection<\/td><td>land 10.41%, sea 8.49%; older federal count gave 15.9% on land<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Strict protection<\/td><td>about 2.2% of land and 5.8% of sea<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Clearing<\/td><td>94,204 hectares cleared in the north in 2025, NGO survey<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n23\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Forest area<\/td><td>official area and loss not retrieved; the Chaco region holds about 31.6 million hectares of native forest<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n45\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r45\" aria-label=\"Note 45\">45<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-n25\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-r25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>BIO \u2192 WAT forest and watershed regulation<\/li><li>BIO \u2192 FOO pollination and soils<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 BIO drought and fire<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>official forest area and loss<\/li><li>wetland condition<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Fire-season burned area, clearing alerts and any change to the forest law.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Biodiversity is not reduced to a single number. Where valuation is used later, it will never be presented as the whole value.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (ed.), Report on the storm of 7 March 2025 at Bah\u00eda Blanca (about 290 mm in twelve hours; previous record 167.6 mm in 1933), as cited by BAE Negocios, 14 March 2025. SMN, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n46\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">46<\/span><span>World Health Organization and UNICEF (eds.), Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply, Sanitation and Hygiene: Argentina country file. WHO and UNICEF, Geneva and New York, 2025. Observation year 2024. Source that would fill the water-coverage gap; not retrieved.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r46\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 46\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Municipalidad de Bah\u00eda Blanca (ed.), Casualty count for the March 2025 floods (sixteen deaths), as reported by Argentine and international press, March and October 2025. Observation year 2025. Press-reported official data.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 26.639, R\u00e9gimen de presupuestos m\u00ednimos para la preservaci\u00f3n de los glaciares y del ambiente periglacial. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2010. Observation year 2010. Amendment status not verified.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Argentina electricity profile (low-carbon share of generation 42% in 2025). Ember, London, December 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/es\/paises-y-regiones\/argentina\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Crude oil production, July 2026 (916,200 barrels a day; +17.2% year on year to June), as reported by Infobae, 9 August 2026. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/08\/09\/los-records-de-vaca-muerta-acercan-a-la-argentina-al-1-de-la-produccion-petrolera-mundial\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>CAMMESA (ed.), Annual electricity demand and renewable coverage 2025 (141,249 GWh; renewables 40.21% including large hydro; 738 MW added), as reported by the generators\u2019 chamber. CAMMESA, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2025. Read via trade press summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>International Energy Agency (ed.), Latin America Energy Outlook, Overview: Argentina. IEA, Paris, 2023. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/iea.blob.core.windows.net\/assets\/1fe309e7-95f1-48a8-b32f-4bea94de4fbe\/Argentinaenergyprofile_EN.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n47\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">47<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Balance energ\u00e9tico nacional and gas production series. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires. Observation year to be confirmed. Source that would fill the gas-output and trade-flow gaps; not retrieved at evidence close.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r47\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 47\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Estimates for the 2022\/23 harvest under drought (wheat 12.4 Mt, down 44%; soybeans 25 Mt; maize 36 Mt; farm-sector losses about US$33 billion), as reported by the press. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Wheat estimate for 2025\/26 (25.5 Mt), as reported by the press, 28 November 2025. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Estimate, not a final figure.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Censo 2022: Indicadores demogr\u00e1ficos por sexo y edad (ageing index 53 per 100, against 40 in 2010). INDEC, Buenos Aires, November 2023. Observation year 2022. Figure read via press summary of the report.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Ministerio de Salud (ed.), Bolet\u00edn Epidemiol\u00f3gico Nacional: dengue and chikungunya, season 2025\/26 (about 70 confirmed dengue cases; 27,178 suspected; 3,730 chikungunya cases confirmed or probable). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/504298, accessed 2026-11-03. Counts differ between press reports of the bulletin (69 and 71).<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Ecolog\u00eda Austral (ed.), Updated protected-area database for Argentina (land 10.41%, sea 8.49%). Asociaci\u00f3n Ecolog\u00eda Austral, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Read via search summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n34\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">34<\/span><span>Convention on Biological Diversity (ed.), Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, Decision 15\/4. CBD Secretariat, Montreal, 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r34\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 34\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Wildlife Conservation Society Argentina (ed.), Protected-area coverage and strict protection (about 2.2% of land and 5.8% of sea). WCS Argentina, Buenos Aires, June 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Greenpeace Argentina (ed.), Informe anual de deforestaci\u00f3n en el norte de Argentina 2025 (94,204 hectares of native forest cleared; 116,498 hectares burned). Greenpeace Argentina, Buenos Aires, February 2026. Observation year 2025. NGO survey, not an official series.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r23\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 23\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n45\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">45<\/span><span>Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), Global Forest Resources Assessment 2025: Argentina country report. FAO, Rome, 2025. Observation year 2025. Source that would fill the forest-area gap; not reached at evidence close.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r45\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 45\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-c8-n25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog\u00eda Agropecuaria and Ministerio de Ambiente (eds.), Segundo Inventario Nacional de Bosques Nativos (Parque Chaque\u00f1o about 31.6 million hectares of native forest), as summarised by CGIAR. Buenos Aires, 2020s. Observation year to be confirmed. Used as context only.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-c8-r25\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 25\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-methodology\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex A<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Methodology<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">How the edition was made: methods, the model card, the evidence cut and its age, the acceptance record and the glossary.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>9 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>12 tables<\/span><span>6 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.1<\/span><span>Methods<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The baseline uses published values and four simple derivations. Each is shown in full so that any reader can reproduce it.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Methods<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">No.<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Derivation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Calculation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Result<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>(1)<\/td><td>Gap between 2022 inventory total and net on NDC basis<\/td><td>400.9 \u2212 377.8<\/td><td>\u2248 23.1 MtCO\u2082e<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(2)<\/td><td>Net 2022 against 2030 and 2035 ceiling<\/td><td>377.8 \u2212 375<\/td><td>\u2248 2.8 MtCO\u2082e<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(3)<\/td><td>Poverty change, H2 2025 to H1 2026<\/td><td>32.3 \u2212 28.2<\/td><td>4.1 points<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(4)<\/td><td>Ageing index change, 2010 to 2022<\/td><td>53 \u2212 40<\/td><td>13 per 100<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coupling strength scale (matrix and model card)<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Strength<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Definition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>STRONG<\/td><td>a disruption in the source system has historically changed the target system\u2019s service or output within one season<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>MODERATE<\/td><td>an effect is documented but buffered or slower<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WEAK<\/td><td>an effect is plausible but not documented at national scale<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Status grammar<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Label<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Rule<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td>value as issued by its source, with year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><td>reasoned from cited evidence; never a measurement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Estimated<\/span><\/td><td>Nexus analytical value with stated method<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Scenario<\/span><\/td><td>conditional on stated assumptions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><td>structured editorial judgement awaiting evidence<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.2<\/span><span>Model card, National Model v0<\/span><\/h2><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Model ID<\/dt><dd>MDL-ARG-NATIONAL \u00b7 v0.1<\/dd><dt>Purpose<\/dt><dd>represent Argentina as coupled water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> with forcing and transmission layers<\/dd><dt>Family<\/dt><dd>graph-based system of systems<\/dd><dt>Inputs<\/dt><dd>the cited sources of this edition; no proprietary data<\/dd><dt>Method<\/dt><dd>expert-specified coupling strengths (STRONG \u00b7 MODERATE \u00b7 WEAK) from evidence and analogue events<\/dd><dt>Validation<\/dt><dd>none yet, first validation against Q1 2027 Foundry evidence<\/dd><dt>Uncertainty<\/dt><dd>qualitative; strengths are hypotheses, not measurements<\/dd><dt>Domain of validity<\/dt><dd>national scale; not for province or asset-level use<\/dd><dt>Reproducibility<\/dt><dd>strength table and sources published in this edition<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">20<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">couplings<\/span><p>typed in v0<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">strong<\/span><p>documented within one season<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">moderate<\/span><p>documented, buffered<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">weak<\/span><p>plausible, undocumented<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">SUITABLE FOR<\/p><p>framing the 2027 agenda; choosing which couplings to measure first; explaining the coupled reading of risk in Argentina.<\/p><\/aside><\/div><div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NOT SUITABLE FOR<\/p><p>quantitative loss estimates, operational decisions, provincial comparisons or any claim about a specific asset.<\/p><\/aside><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">VERSIONING<\/p><p>Models are immutable by version. A change to any coupling, rule or weight produces v0.2 with its own card and correction note.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.3<\/span><span>The baseline evidence cut<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Every Nexus edition is published from a frozen evidence cut. The baseline cut is documentary: it pins the exact edition of every source cited. Model runs begin with the first Foundry cut in Q1 2027.<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Cut ID<\/dt><dd>NQ-ARG-2026-Q0-1<\/dd><dt>Type<\/dt><dd>baseline documentary cut<\/dd><dt>Resolution policy<\/dt><dd>pinned \u00b7 as of 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Sources pinned<\/dt><dd>47 cited sources, each at the edition and retrieval date in the references<\/dd><dt>Model runs<\/dt><dd>none at baseline, analytical values are stated with their method<\/dd><dt>Digest<\/dt><dd>computed at <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h5\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.thermal.hard-freeze\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Thermal extremes\" data-td=\"Air temperature falling well below freezing for hours, killing crops, bursting pipes and stopping water flow.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H5\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/atmo\/\" data-txl=\"Atmosphere and weather\">freeze<\/a> and recorded in the publication record<\/dd><dt>Supersedes<\/dt><dd>nothing, first cut of the series<\/dd><dt>Superseded by<\/dt><dd>NQ-ARG-2027-Q1-1 at the Q1 2027 close<\/dd><\/dl><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Lineage<\/h3><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">source edition<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">pinned citation<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">finding<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">page<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">publication record<\/p><\/li><\/ol><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">From the baseline cut to the first Foundry cut<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Element<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline 2026<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Q1 2027<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Sources<\/td><td>cited publications, pinned by edition<\/td><td>qualified source bindings with versions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Analysis<\/td><td>stated methods and editorial estimates<\/td><td>typed analysis specifications<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Models<\/td><td>National Model v0 specification<\/td><td>model runs with receipts<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Findings<\/td><td>twelve baseline findings<\/td><td>findings re-bound to the cut<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Review<\/td><td>five passes scheduled<\/td><td>five passes on the exact digest<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.4<\/span><span>Evidence age and coverage<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">A 2026 edition rests on evidence observed in many different years. This page shows each time base, so that no single year label hides older evidence.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Evidence age and coverage<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Indicator<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Observed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Released<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Cadence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Next release<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Population<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>Nov 2023<\/td><td>decennial<\/td><td>next census<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Poverty<\/td><td>H1 2026<\/td><td>Sep 2026<\/td><td>half-yearly<\/td><td>Mar 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>GHG inventory (reviewed)<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>Jan 2026<\/td><td>biennial<\/td><td>next transparency report<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Climate contribution<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>Nov 2025<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>next update<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Electricity mix<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>Dec 2025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Crude oil output<\/td><td>Jul 2026<\/td><td>Aug 2026<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Wheat estimate<\/td><td>2025\u201326<\/td><td>Nov 2025<\/td><td>weekly<\/td><td>season close<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Dengue season<\/td><td>2025\u201326<\/td><td>Sep 2026<\/td><td>weekly<\/td><td>season close<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Protected areas<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>irregular<\/td><td>not scheduled<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coverage by system at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">System<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Thinnest dimension<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Climate forcing<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>regional rainfall extremes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>export routes and fertiliser<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>dry-year balance and storage<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>basin storage and sanitation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Health<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>heat deaths<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>official forest loss<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Finance<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>insurance cover<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Digital<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><td>dependency mapping<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.5<\/span><span>Evidence cards, two anchor sources<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Issued by the UNFCCC secretariat review team on 22 January 2026. Reviews the 2022 inventory and the NDC tracking tables. Role: binds CLI-001 and the 2022 totals.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EVD-ARG-001<\/h3><p>Technical review of the first biennial transparency report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Issued by INDEC on 24 September 2026. Half-yearly, 31 urban agglomerations, projected nationally. Role: binds FIN-010. Primary release retrieved only through press summaries at evidence close.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EVD-ARG-002<\/h3><p>Poverty and indigence release, first half 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/article><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Quality dimensions at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Dimension<\/th><th scope=\"col\">EVD-ARG-001<\/th><th scope=\"col\">EVD-ARG-002<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Completeness<\/td><td>all sectors and gases reported<\/td><td>urban agglomerations only, projected<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Timeliness<\/td><td>about 3 years after the inventory year<\/td><td>about 3 months after the period<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Revision<\/td><td>inventory back-revised each cycle<\/td><td>half-yearly series<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Method transparency<\/td><td>review text public<\/td><td>method public; not read in full<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>External validation<\/td><td>expert review team<\/td><td>national statistics authority<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence cards to follow in Q1 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>FAO Global Forest Resources Assessment 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-n45\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-r45\" aria-label=\"Note 45\">45<\/a><\/sup>, forest area and loss<\/li><li>WHO and UNICEF JMP<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-n46\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-r46\" aria-label=\"Note 46\">46<\/a><\/sup>, water and sanitation coverage<\/li><li>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda balance<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-n47\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-r47\" aria-label=\"Note 47\">47<\/a><\/sup>, gas production and energy balance<\/li><li>Ministerio de Salud heat-health records<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup>, counting rules<\/li><\/ul><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.6<\/span><span>Publication acceptance record<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Editorial self-check at evidence close. Every applicable item carries a disposition; the remaining items are review, approval and deposit.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab8\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.8<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Publication acceptance record<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Group<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Area<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Items<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Pass<\/th><th scope=\"col\">N\/A<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Pending<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>D1<\/td><td>Identity and scope<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D2<\/td><td>Source and data<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>1<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D3<\/td><td>Analysis and models<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D4<\/td><td>Findings and claims<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D5<\/td><td>Figures, tables, maps<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>6<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D6<\/td><td>Editorial and citations<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D7<\/td><td>Review and approval<\/td><td>13<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>13<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D8<\/td><td>Artefact and design<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>7<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D9<\/td><td>Registry and release<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication gate<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Conditions met<\/dt><dd>14 of 23 at evidence close<\/dd><dt>Blocking problems<\/dt><dd>none recorded<\/dd><dt>Open conditions<\/dt><dd>reviews, approval of the exact digest, deposit, registry pointer<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Not applicable at baseline<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Model runs<\/dt><dd>first runs in Q1 2027<\/dd><dt>Maps<\/dt><dd>plates in Q2 2027<\/dd><dt>Waivers<\/dt><dd>none<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Dispositions are recorded item by item in the machine-readable checklist. A FAIL on any item blocks release.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.7<\/span><span>Status words<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab9\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">The status every value carries<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What it means<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"positive\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Observed<\/span><\/td><td>Measured directly and published by the source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td>Published statistics of an official or institutional source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Declared<\/span><\/td><td>Stated by the body concerned; not independently measured.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Estimated<\/span><\/td><td>A Nexus estimate from cited evidence, with its method in Annex A.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Modelled<\/span><\/td><td>Produced by a stated model from cited inputs.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><td>Reasoned from cited evidence; not measured.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Forecast<\/span><\/td><td>A projection by the cited source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Simulated<\/span><\/td><td>A simulation result under stated assumptions.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Scenario<\/span><\/td><td>A conditional statement under stated assumptions; never a prediction.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><td>Expert judgement, recorded with its basis.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Candidate<\/span><\/td><td>Proposed for a later edition; not yet evidence.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"2\">Evidence-quality levels (EQL 1 to 5) grade the source behind a value; they are not a score of the subject.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.8<\/span><span>How the edition is made, released and corrected<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nx-p\">Every edition is built from a sealed evidence cut, reviewed under three keys, signed and deposited before any site shows it as published; corrections go to <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a> as change proposals and feed the next cut.<\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">01 Evidence arrives from the pillars<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Foundry seals observations and indicator series, Universe hands over after-action and scenario findings, and contributions are screened at every gateway, including this site&#8217;s.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">02 The cut is sealed<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">On the cut date the evidence is pinned under one identifier, so anyone can rebuild the edition from exactly what it was built on.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">03 The edition is assembled<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">The edition is drafted from its template and content pack. Agents may draft; they never publish and never decide.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">04 The keys turn<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">At the publisher of record the truth key comes first: every value is checked against its source or stated method before the meaning and capital keys turn. No edition moves on until every key has been turned by a named steward.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">05 The gate opens<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">A named approver releases one exact digest of the edition; any change after this point is a new version, never a silent edit.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">06 Signed and deposited<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">The PDF, the web edition and the data bundle are signed together with a manifest and an RO-Crate description, and deposited on Zenodo with a concept and a version DOI.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">07 Published on its desk&#8217;s site<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Only then does the edition show as published on its desk&#8217;s Reports site, and the Collection lists it as a part.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">08 Corrections go to Standards<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Method and correction findings go to Nexus Standards as change proposals; citations, corrections and new contributions feed the next evidence cut.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-2\">A teaching model of the process, not a forecast and not a record of any run; dates and counts on this page come from the programme record. Sources: <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/governance\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Reports governance at GCRI Canada<\/a> (2026); Zenodo, repository of record for Reports deposits (2026).<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">Lifecycle, one state at a time: Draft, Computed, Evidence bound, Reviewed, Approved for release, Published, Corrected, Superseded. This edition is a draft.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s9\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s9-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s9-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.9<\/span><span>Glossary and abbreviations<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab10\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.10<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Series terms<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Term<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Meaning<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Baseline Edition<\/td><td>the inaugural annual edition that fixes the reference state for the series<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WEFH+B<\/td><td>water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/governance-in-operation\/national-nexus\" data-tc=\"National Nexus\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The national model: the NNC, the NLC and the NWG as its three participation pillars, with the National Desk, Model and Portfolio and the NSC as the standards function of the NNC (OR-13)\">national nexus<\/a> core<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Coupling<\/td><td>a typed dependency through which one system transmits to another<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tg=\"https:\/\/globalriskalliance.com\/glossary\/protection-gap\/\" data-tgl=\"Global Risks Alliance glossary\">Protection gap<\/a><\/td><td>the share of losses not covered by insurance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Capability ladder<\/td><td>LISTED \u2192 EXISTS \u2192 ADEQUATE \u2192 TESTED \u2192 DEMONSTRATED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>EQL<\/td><td>evidence-quality level, 1\u20135<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Evidence cut<\/td><td>a frozen resolution of exact sources and versions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NNC \u00b7 NLC \u00b7 NWG<\/td><td>National Nexus Consortium \u00b7 National Leadership Council \u00b7 National Working Groups<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab11\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.11<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Abbreviations used in this edition<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Abbreviation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Expansion<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>BCBA<\/td><td>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (Buenos Aires Grain Exchange)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BUR4<\/td><td>Fourth Biennial Update Report<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CAMMESA<\/td><td>Compa\u00f1\u00eda Administradora del Mercado Mayorista El\u00e9ctrico<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>INA<\/td><td>Instituto Nacional del Agua<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>INDEC<\/td><td>Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Censos (National Institute of Statistics and Censuses)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>INTA<\/td><td>Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog\u00eda Agropecuaria<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NDC<\/td><td>nationally determined contribution<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SMN<\/td><td>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (National Weather Service)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SNMF<\/td><td>Servicio Nacional de Manejo del Fuego (National Fire Management Service)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>UNFCCC<\/td><td>United Nations Framework Convention on <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s10\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s10-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-s10-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.10<\/span><span>Technical annex<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-tab12\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.12<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Technical annex<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Annex<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Contents<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>A.1<\/td><td>Indicator definitions<\/td><td>the baseline indicator set, with units and sources<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.2<\/td><td>Coupling strengths<\/td><td>the twenty-cell matrix and its rationale<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.3<\/td><td>Scenario specification<\/td><td>SCN-ARG-DRT-01 assumptions and signposts<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.4<\/td><td>Capability placements<\/td><td>rung evidence for fifteen functions<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.5<\/td><td>Model diagnostics<\/td><td>first runs and validation<\/td><td>Q1 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.6<\/td><td>Sensitivity analyses<\/td><td>influence of coupling strengths<\/td><td>Q2 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.7<\/td><td>Provincial notes<\/td><td>atlas cards for every province<\/td><td>Q2 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.8<\/td><td>Review statements<\/td><td>pass-by-pass review record<\/td><td>AT RELEASE<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">A.1 \u00b7 indicator definition, net greenhouse-gas emissions on the NDC basis<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Construct<\/dt><dd>annual emissions minus removals, on the basis used to track the climate contribution<\/dd><dt>Unit<\/dt><dd>MtCO\u2082e<\/dd><dt>Scope<\/dt><dd>calendar year, national<\/dd><dt>Source<\/dt><dd>UNFCCC technical review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Revision<\/dt><dd>back-revised at each transparency report<\/dd><dt>Known limits<\/dt><dd>differs from the inventory total including land use by about 23 MtCO\u2082e in 2022<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Annexes carry the same evidence, review and correction rules as the chapters and are versioned with the edition.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), Report on the technical expert review of the first biennial transparency report of Argentina, Addendum, FCCC\/ETF\/TERR.1\/2024\/ARG\/Add.1. UNFCCC, Bonn, 22 January 2026. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/terr1_2024_ARGa01.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, primer semestre de 2026 (EPH). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 24 September 2026. Observation year 2026. Figures read via press summaries of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-n45\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">45<\/span><span>Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), Global Forest Resources Assessment 2025: Argentina country report. FAO, Rome, 2025. Observation year 2025. Source that would fill the forest-area gap; not reached at evidence close.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-r45\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 45\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-n46\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">46<\/span><span>World Health Organization and UNICEF (eds.), Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply, Sanitation and Hygiene: Argentina country file. WHO and UNICEF, Geneva and New York, 2025. Observation year 2024. Source that would fill the water-coverage gap; not retrieved.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-r46\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 46\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-n47\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">47<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Balance energ\u00e9tico nacional and gas production series. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires. Observation year to be confirmed. Source that would fill the gas-output and trade-flow gaps; not retrieved at evidence close.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-r47\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 47\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ca-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Ministerio de Salud (ed.), Bolet\u00edn Epidemiol\u00f3gico Nacional: dengue and chikungunya, season 2025\/26 (about 70 confirmed dengue cases; 27,178 suspected; 3,730 chikungunya cases confirmed or probable). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/504298, accessed 2026-11-03. Counts differ between press reports of the bulletin (69 and 71).<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-ca-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-data\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex B<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Data appendix<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>9 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>7 tables<\/span><span>22 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.1<\/span><span>The indicator set<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Baseline indicator set<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Indicator<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Unit<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Population<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">46.2<\/span><\/td><td>million<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ageing index (65+ per 100 aged 0\u201314)<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">53<\/span><\/td><td>per 100<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Poverty, share of people<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">32.3<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>H1 2026<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Indigence, share of people<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">7.5<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>H1 2026<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Inventory total incl. land use<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">400.9<\/span><\/td><td>MtCO\u2082e<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Net emissions, NDC basis<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">377.8<\/span><\/td><td>MtCO\u2082e<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Net ceiling for 2030 and 2035<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">375<\/span><\/td><td>MtCO\u2082e<\/td><td>2025 NDC<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Low-carbon share of electricity<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">42<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Renewables incl. large hydro, share of demand<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">40.2<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Crude oil output<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">916,200<\/span><\/td><td>barrels a day<\/td><td>Jul 2026<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Wheat harvest, 2022\u201323<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">12.4<\/span><\/td><td>million tonnes<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rain at Bah\u00eda Blanca in about 12 hours<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">290<\/span><\/td><td>mm<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Burned area nationally<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">723,765<\/span><\/td><td>hectares<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Dengue confirmed, season 2025\u201326<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u224870<\/span><\/td><td>cases<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Protected land<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">10.41<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Protected sea<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">8.49<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/health\/\" data-txl=\"Health and biosecurity\">Heat-related deaths<\/a>, national<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">Not bound<\/span><\/td><td>deaths<\/td><td>n\/a<\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Forest area, official<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">Not bound<\/span><\/td><td>million ha<\/td><td>n\/a<\/td><td>NOT BOUND<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n45\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r45\" aria-label=\"Note 45\">45<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-actions nrp-noprint\"><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" 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download=\"NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-indicators.csv\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 15V3\"\/><path d=\"M21 15v4a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H5a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-4\"\/><path d=\"m7 10 5 5 5-5\"\/><\/svg>Indicators, CSV<\/a><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"data:application\/json;charset=utf-8,%7B%0A%20%22edition%22%3A%20%22NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE%22%2C%0A%20%22title%22%3A%20%22Argentina%20Systems%20Risk%20and%20Resilience%20Report%202026%3A%20The%20State%20of%20Argentina%E2%80%99s%20Interdependent%20Systems%22%2C%0A%20%22status%22%3A%20%22Draft%20under%20stewardship%20review%3B%20not%20yet%20released%22%2C%0A%20%22licence%22%3A%20%22CC-BY-4.0%20for%20the%20edition%20table%3B%20each%20value%20keeps%20its%20source's%20licence%22%2C%0A%20%22columns%22%3A%20%5B%0A%20%20%22Indicator%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Value%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Unit%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Year%22%2C%0A%20%20%22State%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Source%22%0A%20%5D%2C%0A%20%22rows%22%3A%20%5B%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Population%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2246.2%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22million%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222022%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B1%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Ageing%20index%20(65%2B%20per%20100%20aged%200%E2%80%9314)%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2253%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22per%20100%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222022%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B2%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Poverty%2C%20share%20of%20people%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2232.3%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22H1%202026%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B3%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Indigence%2C%20share%20of%20people%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%227.5%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22H1%202026%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B3%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Inventory%20total%20incl.%20land%20use%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22400.9%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22MtCO%E2%82%82e%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222022%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B4%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Net%20emissions%2C%20NDC%20basis%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22377.8%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22MtCO%E2%82%82e%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222022%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B4%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Net%20ceiling%20for%202030%20and%202035%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22375%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22MtCO%E2%82%82e%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%20NDC%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B6%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Low-carbon%20share%20of%20electricity%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2242%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B8%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Renewables%20incl.%20large%20hydro%2C%20share%20of%20demand%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2240.2%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B9%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Crude%20oil%20output%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22916%2C200%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22barrels%20a%20day%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Jul%202026%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B10%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Wheat%20harvest%2C%202022%E2%80%9323%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2212.4%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22million%20tonnes%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222023%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B12%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Rain%20at%20Bah%C3%ADa%20Blanca%20in%20about%2012%20hours%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22290%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22mm%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B14%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Burned%20area%20nationally%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22723%2C765%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22hectares%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222022%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B16%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Dengue%20confirmed%2C%20season%202025%E2%80%9326%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%8870%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22cases%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222026%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B20%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Protected%20land%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2210.41%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B21%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Protected%20sea%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%228.49%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B21%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Heat-related%20deaths%2C%20national%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Not%20bound%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22n%2Fa%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22NOT%20BOUND%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B20%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Forest%20area%2C%20official%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Not%20bound%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22million%20ha%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22n%2Fa%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22NOT%20BOUND%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B45%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%0A%20%5D%0A%7D\" download=\"NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-indicators.json\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 15V3\"\/><path d=\"M21 15v4a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H5a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-4\"\/><path d=\"m7 10 5 5 5-5\"\/><\/svg>Indicators, JSON<\/a><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NOTES<\/p><p>Scenario values are labelled SCENARIO. Rows marked NOT BOUND show a designed empty state: the source that would fill the row is named in the source column, and the blockers are listed in the evidence notes. No value is estimated to fill a gap. Argentina reports by calendar year unless a campaign year is stated. A machine-readable copy of this table is published with the evidence bundle at release.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.2<\/span><span>National source register<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Domains bound by the register<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">WAT<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">ENE<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">FOO<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">HLT<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">BIO<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">CLI<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">INF<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">FIN<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">TRD<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">MIN<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">National source register<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Category<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Period<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Cadence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Census 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national statistics<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>decennial<\/td><td>profile<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Poverty release<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national statistics<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>H1 2026<\/td><td>half-yearly<\/td><td>FIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Inventory review<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UNFCCC \u00b7 ministry<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2018\u20132022<\/td><td>biennial<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Climate contribution<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>government \u00b7 tracker<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2025\u20132026<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Electricity data<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>tracker \u00b7 system operator<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Oil output<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>ministry as reported<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><td>ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Harvest estimates<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>trade body as reported<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2023\u20132025<\/td><td>weekly<\/td><td>FOO<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Storm record<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>weather service as reported<\/td><td>local<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>per event<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fire records<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>fire service \u00b7 research institute<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>seasonal<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Epidemiological bulletin<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>ministry<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2025\u20132026<\/td><td>weekly<\/td><td>HLT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Protected areas<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>research \u00b7 NGO<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>irregular<\/td><td>BIO<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">FIXTURE PROHIBITION<\/p><p>No demonstration or reference-cartographic fixture is used as evidence in this edition. The publication gate checks every binding against this register.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.3<\/span><span>Regional reading, Argentina by region<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Map plates for every province follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Regional reading, Argentina by region<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Region<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Principal hazards<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Systems most exposed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline evidence<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Pampas<\/td><td>drought, <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h9\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.flood.flash-flood\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Freshwater inundation\" data-td=\"A fast, violent rise of water in a small catchment or dry channel within hours of intense rain.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H9\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/water\/\" data-txl=\"Water systems\">flash flood<\/a>, storms<\/td><td>food, urban lifelines<\/td><td>Bah\u00eda Blanca 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup>; drought 2022\u201323<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Litoral and Paran\u00e1 delta<\/td><td>low river flows, fire<\/td><td>water, logistics, biodiversity<\/td><td>Paran\u00e1 2019\u201322<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>; delta fires 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>North-east<\/td><td>fire, heat, <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/health\/biological-hazard-standards\/\">vector-borne disease<\/a><\/td><td>biodiversity, health<\/td><td>Corrientes 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>North-west<\/td><td>vector-borne disease, heat<\/td><td>health<\/td><td>chikungunya season 2025\u201326<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cuyo and Andes<\/td><td>glacier and snow water, drought<\/td><td>water<\/td><td>glacier law in force<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup>; storage not bound<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Patagonia<\/td><td>oil and gas basins, fire<\/td><td>energy<\/td><td>Neuqu\u00e9n oil output<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup>; fire not bound<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Regional readings summarise the cited evidence. They are not risk ratings of any province.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.4<\/span><span>Atlas card, Bah\u00eda Blanca (Buenos Aires province)<\/span><\/h2><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">city<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">port<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">flash flood<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">record rain<\/li><\/ul><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Systems in view<\/dt><dd>water, roads, power, health and port logistics<\/dd><dt>Defining event<\/dt><dd>storm of 7 March 2025, about 290 mm in twelve hours<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Couplings<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 WAT \u2192 INF; WAT \u2192 HLT<\/dd><dt>Capability evidence<\/dt><dd>restoration records not bound<\/dd><dt>Gaps<\/dt><dd>drainage capacity; <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 recovery-time\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The time needed to restore a function or service to an acceptable level after disruption.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">recovery time<\/a>; insured share<\/dd><dt>Agenda items<\/dt><dd>A-05<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">About 290 mm fell in twelve hours, against a previous record of 167.6 mm in 1933.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">RAIN<\/h3><p>A record in hours<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Press agencies reported sixteen deaths and more than a thousand people evacuated.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">PEOPLE<\/h3><p>Sixteen deaths reported<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">No official loss total was retrieved. A loss figure of US$400 million quoted by the mayor in the press is not used here.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">LOSSES<\/h3><p>Not bound<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Atlas cards are generated for every province from Q2 2027 with consistent fields and evidence-age labels. Bah\u00eda Blanca is shown first because it is the most recent record event in the evidence set.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.5<\/span><span>Argentina system card<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The card through which Argentina appears in the South America regional edition and the global series. It summarises; it does not rank.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Argentina system card<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">System<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline state<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coupling to watch<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Water<\/td><td>record low flows; flash floods<\/td><td>drought into harvest<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy<\/td><td>low-carbon 42%; oil record<\/td><td>dry-year power balance<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food<\/td><td>harvest swings with rain<\/td><td>drought into revenue<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Health<\/td><td>ageing; <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/health\/biological-hazard-standards\/\">vector-borne disease<\/a><\/td><td>heat and disease load<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>protected 10.4% of land<\/td><td>fire and forest loss<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Context<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Archetype<\/dt><dd>federal G20 economy, major grain exporter and growing oil and gas producer<\/dd><dt>Population<\/dt><dd>46.2 million (2022)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Trade<\/dt><dd>grain and energy exports tie accounts to weather<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Hazard<\/dt><dd>record rain 290 mm in 12 hours, Bah\u00eda Blanca<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-n14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Argentina\u2019s card sits beside its neighbours\u2019; shared basins, grids, corridors and supply chains are read as one regional system.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">SOUTH AMERICA REGIONAL EDITION<\/h3><p>One regional system<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Argentine evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers, so a correction travels everywhere at once.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES<\/h3><p>Same findings, same IDs<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">In the global edition Argentina is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">GLOBAL FLAGSHIP<\/h3><p>Peers, not ranks<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>External rankings, where cited, keep their own method and source. Nexus never converts them into a rating, and Argentina\u2019s national ownership of its edition is unaffected.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.6<\/span><span>Licences<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Licences of each kind of material<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Material<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Licence<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Text<\/td><td>CC BY 4.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Data<\/td><td>on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Figures<\/td><td>Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Maps<\/td><td>boundary source and licence printed on each plate<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Metadata<\/td><td>CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Third-party data, figures and text<\/td><td>The source&#8217;s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"2\">Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.7<\/span><span>Formats and provenance<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">This edition in every format<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Format<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Kind<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What it is<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Identifier<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Web edition<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HTML<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Print edition<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"release\">At release<\/span><\/td><td>A4 portrait \u00b7 screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Indicator data<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">CSV \u00b7 JSON<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>18 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE data release v1<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Figures<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">SVG \u00b7 PNG<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIG-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-*<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Slides<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"none\">Not recorded<\/span><\/td><td>No slide deck is recorded for this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Evidence brief<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HTML \u00b7 PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"none\">Not recorded<\/span><\/td><td>No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Dataset with DOI<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DataCite<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"release\">At release<\/span><\/td><td>Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Provenance<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Edition pack<\/dt><dd>The edition&#8217;s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built<\/dd><dt>Evidence cut<\/dt><dd>NQ-ARG-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Reproducibility<\/dt><dd>sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters<\/dd><dt>Self-check<\/dt><dd>14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release<\/dd><dt>Review<\/dt><dd>five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)<\/dd><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>GCRI for the Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Corrections<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Censos (INDEC) (ed.), Censo Nacional de Poblaci\u00f3n, Hogares y Viviendas 2022: resultados definitivos (46,234,830 inhabitants; reference date 1 July 2022). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022. Read via press reports of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Censo 2022: Indicadores demogr\u00e1ficos por sexo y edad (ageing index 53 per 100, against 40 in 2010). INDEC, Buenos Aires, November 2023. Observation year 2022. Figure read via press summary of the report.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, primer semestre de 2026 (EPH). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 24 September 2026. Observation year 2026. Figures read via press summaries of the release, 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), Report on the technical expert review of the first biennial transparency report of Argentina, Addendum, FCCC\/ETF\/TERR.1\/2024\/ARG\/Add.1. UNFCCC, Bonn, 22 January 2026. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/terr1_2024_ARGa01.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Presidencia de la Naci\u00f3n (ed.), Announcement of Argentina\u2019s nationally determined contribution (net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 3 November 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/484146, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Argentina electricity profile (low-carbon share of generation 42% in 2025). Ember, London, December 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/es\/paises-y-regiones\/argentina\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>CAMMESA (ed.), Annual electricity demand and renewable coverage 2025 (141,249 GWh; renewables 40.21% including large hydro; 738 MW added), as reported by the generators\u2019 chamber. CAMMESA, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2025. Read via trade press summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Crude oil production, July 2026 (916,200 barrels a day; +17.2% year on year to June), as reported by Infobae, 9 August 2026. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/08\/09\/los-records-de-vaca-muerta-acercan-a-la-argentina-al-1-de-la-produccion-petrolera-mundial\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Estimates for the 2022\/23 harvest under drought (wheat 12.4 Mt, down 44%; soybeans 25 Mt; maize 36 Mt; farm-sector losses about US$33 billion), as reported by the press. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (ed.), Report on the storm of 7 March 2025 at Bah\u00eda Blanca (about 290 mm in twelve hours; previous record 167.6 mm in 1933), as cited by BAE Negocios, 14 March 2025. SMN, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Servicio Nacional de Manejo del Fuego, Ministerio de Ambiente (ed.), Fire reports 2022 (723,765 hectares affected nationally), as analysed by Chequeado, \u201cEn 2022 se duplic\u00f3 la superficie de hect\u00e1reas incendiadas\u201d. Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Ministerio de Salud (ed.), Bolet\u00edn Epidemiol\u00f3gico Nacional: dengue and chikungunya, season 2025\/26 (about 70 confirmed dengue cases; 27,178 suspected; 3,730 chikungunya cases confirmed or probable). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/504298, accessed 2026-11-03. Counts differ between press reports of the bulletin (69 and 71).<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Ecolog\u00eda Austral (ed.), Updated protected-area database for Argentina (land 10.41%, sea 8.49%). Asociaci\u00f3n Ecolog\u00eda Austral, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Read via search summary.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n45\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">45<\/span><span>Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), Global Forest Resources Assessment 2025: Argentina country report. FAO, Rome, 2025. Observation year 2025. Source that would fill the forest-area gap; not reached at evidence close.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r45\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 45\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministerio de Ambiente y Desarrollo Sostenible (ed.), Cuarto Informe Bienal de Actualizaci\u00f3n de la Rep\u00fablica Argentina a la CMNUCC (BUR4). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2021. Observation year 2018. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/4to%20Informe%20Bienal%20de%20la%20Rep%C3%BAblica%20Argentina.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Climate Action Tracker (ed.), Argentina: targets. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, data as of June 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/climateactiontracker.org\/countries\/argentina\/targets\/, accessed 2026-11-03.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Wheat estimate for 2025\/26 (25.5 Mt), as reported by the press, 28 November 2025. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Estimate, not a final figure.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Municipalidad de Bah\u00eda Blanca (ed.), Casualty count for the March 2025 floods (sixteen deaths), as reported by Argentine and international press, March and October 2025. Observation year 2025. Press-reported official data.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog\u00eda Agropecuaria (ed.), Satellite monitoring of fires in Corrientes, 2022 (1,042,514 hectares), as reported by the press. INTA, Buenos Aires, 2022. Observation year 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Wildlife Conservation Society Argentina (ed.), Protected-area coverage and strict protection (about 2.2% of land and 5.8% of sea). WCS Argentina, Buenos Aires, June 2025. Observation year 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cb-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 26.639, R\u00e9gimen de presupuestos m\u00ednimos para la preservaci\u00f3n de los glaciares y del ambiente periglacial. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2010. Observation year 2010. Amendment status not verified.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-arg-cb-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-part-references\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\">Argentina 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex C<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">References and record<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Every source the edition rests on, the publication record, the corrections log and the open record.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>13 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>1 table<\/span><span>0 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.1<\/span><span>47 sources<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">NR-CIT-1, editor first. A DOI is linked where the source has one; Nexus records carry a <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/uni\/\" data-tc=\"UNI\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The universal identifier of every Nexus artifact (NS-1)\">UNI<\/a> once the catalogue allocates it (NS-1).<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Censos (INDEC) (ed.), Censo Nacional de Poblaci\u00f3n, Hogares y Viviendas 2022: resultados definitivos (46,234,830 inhabitants; reference date 1 July 2022). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022. Read via press reports of the release, 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Censo 2022: Indicadores demogr\u00e1ficos por sexo y edad (ageing index 53 per 100, against 40 in 2010). INDEC, Buenos Aires, November 2023. Observation year 2022. Figure read via press summary of the report. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, primer semestre de 2026 (EPH). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 24 September 2026. Observation year 2026. Figures read via press summaries of the release, 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 7<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), Report on the technical expert review of the first biennial transparency report of Argentina, Addendum, FCCC\/ETF\/TERR.1\/2024\/ARG\/Add.1. UNFCCC, Bonn, 22 January 2026. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/terr1_2024_ARGa01.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>Ministerio de Ambiente y Desarrollo Sostenible (ed.), Cuarto Informe Bienal de Actualizaci\u00f3n de la Rep\u00fablica Argentina a la CMNUCC (BUR4). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2021. Observation year 2018. https:\/\/unfccc.int\/sites\/default\/files\/resource\/4to%20Informe%20Bienal%20de%20la%20Rep%C3%BAblica%20Argentina.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>Presidencia de la Naci\u00f3n (ed.), Announcement of Argentina\u2019s nationally determined contribution (net ceiling of 375 MtCO\u2082e for 2030 and 2035). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 3 November 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/484146, accessed 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>Climate Action Tracker (ed.), Argentina: targets. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, data as of June 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/climateactiontracker.org\/countries\/argentina\/targets\/, accessed 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>Ember (ed.), Argentina electricity profile (low-carbon share of generation 42% in 2025). Ember, London, December 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/es\/paises-y-regiones\/argentina\/, accessed 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>CAMMESA (ed.), Annual electricity demand and renewable coverage 2025 (141,249 GWh; renewables 40.21% including large hydro; 738 MW added), as reported by the generators\u2019 chamber. CAMMESA, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2025. Read via trade press summary. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Crude oil production, July 2026 (916,200 barrels a day; +17.2% year on year to June), as reported by Infobae, 9 August 2026. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/08\/09\/los-records-de-vaca-muerta-acercan-a-la-argentina-al-1-de-la-produccion-petrolera-mundial\/, accessed 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>International Energy Agency (ed.), Latin America Energy Outlook, Overview: Argentina. IEA, Paris, 2023. Observation years 2021\u20132022. https:\/\/iea.blob.core.windows.net\/assets\/1fe309e7-95f1-48a8-b32f-4bea94de4fbe\/Argentinaenergyprofile_EN.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Estimates for the 2022\/23 harvest under drought (wheat 12.4 Mt, down 44%; soybeans 25 Mt; maize 36 Mt; farm-sector losses about US$33 billion), as reported by the press. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>Bolsa de Cereales de Buenos Aires (ed.), Wheat estimate for 2025\/26 (25.5 Mt), as reported by the press, 28 November 2025. BCBA, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Estimate, not a final figure. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional (ed.), Report on the storm of 7 March 2025 at Bah\u00eda Blanca (about 290 mm in twelve hours; previous record 167.6 mm in 1933), as cited by BAE Negocios, 14 March 2025. SMN, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 7, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>Municipalidad de Bah\u00eda Blanca (ed.), Casualty count for the March 2025 floods (sixteen deaths), as reported by Argentine and international press, March and October 2025. Observation year 2025. Press-reported official data. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Servicio Nacional de Manejo del Fuego, Ministerio de Ambiente (ed.), Fire reports 2022 (723,765 hectares affected nationally), as analysed by Chequeado, \u201cEn 2022 se duplic\u00f3 la superficie de hect\u00e1reas incendiadas\u201d. Buenos Aires, 2023. Observation year 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog\u00eda Agropecuaria (ed.), Satellite monitoring of fires in Corrientes, 2022 (1,042,514 hectares), as reported by the press. INTA, Buenos Aires, 2022. Observation year 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Flow analysis of the Paran\u00e1 River and contextualisation of low flows in 2019\/20, 2020\/21 and 2021\/22 hydrological years. Peer-reviewed journal article, Argentina. Observation years 2019\u20132022. Record read at https:\/\/bdu.siu.edu.ar\/bdu\/Record\/I15-R229-article-224\/Description, accessed 2026-11-03. Authors and journal to be confirmed from the article page. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>World Meteorological Organization (ed.), State of the Climate in Latin America and the Caribbean 2025. WMO, Geneva, 18 May 2026. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/wmo.int\/node\/38574, accessed 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 3, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Ministerio de Salud (ed.), Bolet\u00edn Epidemiol\u00f3gico Nacional: dengue and chikungunya, season 2025\/26 (about 70 confirmed dengue cases; 27,178 suspected; 3,730 chikungunya cases confirmed or probable). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2026. https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/node\/504298, accessed 2026-11-03. Counts differ between press reports of the bulletin (69 and 71). <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Ecolog\u00eda Austral (ed.), Updated protected-area database for Argentina (land 10.41%, sea 8.49%). Asociaci\u00f3n Ecolog\u00eda Austral, Buenos Aires, 2025. Observation year 2025. Read via search summary. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>Wildlife Conservation Society Argentina (ed.), Protected-area coverage and strict protection (about 2.2% of land and 5.8% of sea). WCS Argentina, Buenos Aires, June 2025. Observation year 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>Greenpeace Argentina (ed.), Informe anual de deforestaci\u00f3n en el norte de Argentina 2025 (94,204 hectares of native forest cleared; 116,498 hectares burned). Greenpeace Argentina, Buenos Aires, February 2026. Observation year 2025. NGO survey, not an official series. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>N. Jorge (ed.), Argentina report on <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h25\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.forest.deforestation\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Forest and woodland stress\" data-td=\"Clearing of forest for other land uses, losing habitat, carbon storage and watershed protection.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H25\" data-tr=\"draft\" data-tx=\"https:\/\/risksindex.com\/hazards\/eco\/\" data-txl=\"Land and ecosystems\">deforestation<\/a> 2000\u20132024. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, 5 September 2025. Observation years 2000\u20132024. Listed via the FAO AGRIS record; not read in full. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog\u00eda Agropecuaria and Ministerio de Ambiente (eds.), Segundo Inventario Nacional de Bosques Nativos (Parque Chaque\u00f1o about 31.6 million hectares of native forest), as summarised by CGIAR. Buenos Aires, 2020s. Observation year to be confirmed. Used as context only. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>International Monetary Fund (ed.), Press Release No. 25\/095: IMF reaches staff-level agreement with Argentina on a 48-month Extended Fund Facility (US$20 billion). IMF, Washington, DC, 8 April 2025. Observation year 2025. https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/News\/Articles\/2025\/04\/08\/pr25095-argentina-imf-reaches-staff-level-agreement-with-argentina-on-a-48-month-eff, accessed 2026-11-03. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.520, Presupuestos m\u00ednimos de adaptaci\u00f3n y mitigaci\u00f3n al cambio clim\u00e1tico global. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2019. Observation year 2019. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 26.331, Presupuestos m\u00ednimos de protecci\u00f3n ambiental de los bosques nativos. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2007. Observation year 2007. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-29\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">29<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.191, R\u00e9gimen de fomento nacional para el uso de fuentes renovables de energ\u00eda destinada a la producci\u00f3n de energ\u00eda el\u00e9ctrica. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2015. Observation year 2015. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 27.287, Sistema Nacional para la Gesti\u00f3n Integral del Riesgo y la Protecci\u00f3n Civil. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2016. Observation year 2016. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 26.639, R\u00e9gimen de presupuestos m\u00ednimos para la preservaci\u00f3n de los glaciares y del ambiente periglacial. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2010. Observation year 2010. Amendment status not verified. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-32\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">32<\/span><span>H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC. IPCC, Geneva, 2023. Observation year 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-33\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">33<\/span><span>UNDRR (ed.), <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/sendai-framework-alignment\/\">Sendai Framework<\/a> for Disaster <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-reduction\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Preventing new risk, reducing existing risk and managing residual risk, all contributing to resilience.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Risk Reduction<\/a> 2015\u20132030. UNDRR, Geneva, 2015. Observation year 2015. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-34\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">34<\/span><span>Convention on Biological Diversity (ed.), Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, Decision 15\/4. CBD Secretariat, Montreal, 2022. Observation year 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-35\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">35<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a>. United Nations, Paris, 2015. Observation year 2015. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-36\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">36<\/span><span>P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054. Observation year 2024. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.13850054\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054<\/a> <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-37\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">37<\/span><span>J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., \u201cFuture climate risk from compound events,\u201d Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469\u2013477, 2018. Observation year 2018. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-38\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">38<\/span><span>World Health Organization (ed.), World Health Statistics 2025. WHO, Geneva, 2025. Observation year 2025. Context only. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-39\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">39<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Reports: The Foundational Edition, Volumes I and II. Reports series, Edition 2026\u20132030, V1.0. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-41\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">41<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Ley 25.675, Ley General del Ambiente. Bolet\u00edn Oficial, Buenos Aires, 2002. Observation year 2002. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-42\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">42<\/span><span>Government of Argentina (ed.), Argentina\u2019s updated nationally determined contribution (net ceiling of 349 MtCO\u2082e in 2030), submitted to the UNFCCC 2 November 2021, as recorded by Climate Action Tracker. Buenos Aires, 2021. Observation year 2021. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-43\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">43<\/span><span>INDEC (ed.), Incidencia de la pobreza y la indigencia en 31 aglomerados urbanos, segundo semestre de 2025 (poverty 28.2% of people). INDEC, Buenos Aires, 2026. Observation year 2025. Figure read via press summaries. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 2<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-44\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">44<\/span><span>International Monetary Fund (ed.), Argentina: second review under the Extended Fund Facility, staff-level agreement, as reported by MercoPress, 15 April 2026. IMF, Washington, DC, 2026. Observation year 2026. Context only. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-45\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">45<\/span><span>Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), Global Forest Resources Assessment 2025: Argentina country report. FAO, Rome, 2025. Observation year 2025. Source that would fill the forest-area gap; not reached at evidence close. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-46\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">46<\/span><span>World Health Organization and UNICEF (eds.), Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply, Sanitation and Hygiene: Argentina country file. WHO and UNICEF, Geneva and New York, 2025. Observation year 2024. Source that would fill the water-coverage gap; not retrieved. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-arg-ref-47\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">47<\/span><span>Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (ed.), Balance energ\u00e9tico nacional and gas production series. Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires. Observation year to be confirmed. Source that would fill the gas-output and trade-flow gaps; not retrieved at evidence close. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.2<\/span><span>Publication record<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Title<\/dt><dd>Argentina <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition<\/dd><dt>Series<\/dt><dd>Reports \u00b7 Edition 2026\u20132030<\/dd><dt>Edition<\/dt><dd>Baseline Edition 2026 \u00b7 inaugural annual<\/dd><dt>Version<\/dt><dd>v1.0.0 \u00b7 draft for stewardship review<\/dd><dt>Publication ID<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/dd><dt>Evidence close<\/dt><dd>30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Publication date<\/dt><dd>October 2026<\/dd><dt>DOI<\/dt><dd>concept and version DOI at deposit<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publisher<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), for the Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Place<\/dt><dd>Toronto<\/dd><dt>Editor<\/dt><dd>Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor<\/dd><dt>Stewards<\/dt><dd>GCRI \u00b7 technical truth \u00b7 GRF \u00b7 public meaning \u00b7 GRA \u00b7 capital meaning<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd>text CC BY 4.0; data on the terms of each source<\/dd><dt>Copyright<\/dt><dd>\u00a9 2026 GCRI \u00b7 Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Language<\/dt><dd>English (en-GB) source edition<\/dd><dt>Correspondence<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway \u00b7 editorial office<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">DISCLAIMER<\/p><p>This edition is published for research, planning and public understanding. It is not a government assessment, an official warning, a rating, a certification, investment advice or an operational authorisation. Reasonable care has been taken with every source; consult the cited originals before relying on any value.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Colophon<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Format<\/dt><dd>A4 portrait \u00b7 screen, print and archival PDF<\/dd><dt>Typefaces<\/dt><dd>Space Grotesk (display) \u00b7 Geist (text) \u00b7 IBM Plex Sans Italic (standfirsts) \u00b7 IBM Plex Mono (data)<\/dd><dt>Design standard<\/dt><dd>Reports Foundational Edition, Volume I, Part VII<\/dd><dt>Accessibility<\/dt><dd>tagged PDF and HTML targets; text alternatives for every figure<\/dd><dt>Production<\/dt><dd>Reports editorial team, GCRI<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">HOW TO CORRECT THIS EDITION<\/p><p>Report errors, omissions or objections through the Registry correction pathway. Each report is logged and answered; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version, and the original remains resolvable.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Release path for this version<\/h3><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table C.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Release path for this version<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">When<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Draft<\/td><td>editorial self-check complete at evidence close<\/td><td>October 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Steward review<\/td><td>five passes on the exact draft (keys T \u00b7 M \u00b7 F \u00b7 N)<\/td><td>Q4 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Approval<\/td><td>publication authority approves the exact digest<\/td><td>before release<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Deposit<\/td><td>concept and version DOI minted; registry pointer set<\/td><td>at release<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Succession<\/td><td>the Q1 2027 edition reports changes against this baseline<\/td><td>Q1 2027<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Current version<\/dt><dd>v1.0.0 draft, stewardship review<\/dd><dt>Previous edition<\/dt><dd>none, first edition of the series<\/dd><dt>Next edition<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2027-Q1-v1.0.0<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Latest version<\/dt><dd>resolve the concept DOI or the registry record<\/dd><dt>Correction route<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway<\/dd><dt>Notice types<\/dt><dd>erratum \u00b7 addendum \u00b7 supersession \u00b7 withdrawal<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NO CORRECTIONS \u2260 NO LIMITS<\/p><p>The absence of corrections does not mean the absence of limitations. Limitations and uncertainty are stated where they arise in the edition.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><div id=\"nx-nr-arg-corrections\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.3<\/span><span>Corrections log<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nx-nr-corr\"><p class=\"nx-nr-corr-sum\"><span class=\"nx-nr-corr-n\">0<\/span><span>correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition&#8217;s current version.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table nx-rd-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Edition<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Version<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Date<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Change<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Notice<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Edition\"><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">ARG<\/span><\/td><td data-label=\"Version\" class=\"nx-rd-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/td><td data-label=\"Date\">October 2026<\/td><td data-label=\"State\">Draft<\/td><td data-label=\"Change\">Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,<\/td><td data-label=\"Notice\">None<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-rd-source\">Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence.<\/p><\/div><\/section><\/div><div id=\"nx-nr-arg-outputs\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.4<\/span><span>Open record<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nx-nr-os\"><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>This edition&#8217;s open record<\/h3><dl class=\"nx-nr-os-kv\"><dt>Publication ID<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/dd><dt>Desk identifier and series alias<\/dt><dd>NR-NAT-ARG-2026-BL<\/dd><dt>Collection<\/dt><dd>None<\/dd><dt>DOI<\/dt><dd>Concept and version DOI at deposit, on Zenodo with DataCite metadata<\/dd><dt>Versions<\/dt><dd>Each correction is a new version (isNewVersionOf); the concept DOI resolves to the latest<\/dd><dt>Bundle<\/dt><dd>RO-Crate 1.2 with CITATION.cff, CodeMeta and PROV-O provenance; a signed manifest<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" rel=\"noopener\">CC BY 4.0<\/a> (SPDX CC-BY-4.0) for original material; metadata CC0 1.0<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Credit and identity<\/h3><dl class=\"nx-nr-os-kv\"><dt>ORCID<\/dt><dd>Your iD in the deposit and the contribution record; DataCite can then add the work to your ORCID record<\/dd><dt>ROR<\/dt><dd>Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone<\/dd><dt>CRediT<\/dt><dd>Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualisation, Writing, review and editing<\/dd><dt>Account<\/dt><dd>None needed to contribute; never a password<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Find and follow<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p\">Search the open indexes for Argentina; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage, and a quantified scenario run is preregistered on OSF before it is run. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.<\/p><ul class=\"nx-nr-os-links\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/openalex.org\/works?search=Nexus%20Reports%20Argentina\" rel=\"noopener\">OpenAlex<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/explore.openaire.eu\/search\/find?fv0=Nexus%20Reports%20Argentina&amp;f0=q\" rel=\"noopener\">OpenAIRE<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/search.crossref.org\/search\/works?q=Nexus%20Reports%20Argentina\" rel=\"noopener\">Crossref<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/commons.datacite.org\/?query=Nexus%20Reports%20Argentina\" rel=\"noopener\">DataCite Commons<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/zenodo.org\/search?q=Nexus%20Reports%20Argentina\" rel=\"noopener\">Zenodo<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/archive.softwareheritage.org\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Software Heritage<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/osf.io\/prereg\/\" rel=\"noopener\">OSF preregistration<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/via.hypothes.is\/https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Annotate with Hypothesis<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Mirrors and harvest<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p\">The DOI is canonical. At release each signed bundle is also given an IPFS content identifier and a bloxberg anchor as mirrors; both are listed in the record once they exist. Zenodo exposes every record over OAI-PMH, and reviews and endorsements can arrive through COAR Notify where the repository supports it.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-mt-3\"><figure class=\"nx-nr-code\"><figcaption class=\"nx-nr-code-cap\">InvenioRDM metadata for a contribution on Argentina, prefilled from this page<\/figcaption><pre class=\"nx-nr-pre\" tabindex=\"0\"><code>{&#10;  &quot;metadata&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;resource_type&quot;: {&#10;      &quot;id&quot;: &quot;dataset&quot;&#10;    },&#10;    &quot;title&quot;: &quot;Evidence on Argentina for Nexus Reports&quot;,&#10;    &quot;publication_date&quot;: &quot;YYYY-MM-DD&quot;,&#10;    &quot;creators&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;person_or_org&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;type&quot;: &quot;personal&quot;,&#10;          &quot;family_name&quot;: &quot;Your family name&quot;,&#10;          &quot;given_name&quot;: &quot;Your given name&quot;,&#10;          &quot;identifiers&quot;: [&#10;            {&#10;              &quot;scheme&quot;: &quot;orcid&quot;,&#10;              &quot;identifier&quot;: &quot;0000-0000-0000-0000&quot;&#10;            }&#10;          ]&#10;        },&#10;        &quot;affiliations&quot;: [&#10;          {&#10;            &quot;id&quot;: &quot;ROR identifier of your organisation&quot;&#10;          }&#10;        ]&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;description&quot;: &quot;What it is, where its record is kept and how it bears on Argentina Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026.&quot;,&#10;    &quot;rights&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;id&quot;: &quot;cc-by-4.0&quot;&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;subjects&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Nexus Reports&quot;&#10;      },&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Argentina&quot;&#10;      },&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Country Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report&quot;&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;related_identifiers&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;identifier&quot;: &quot;https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/&quot;,&#10;        &quot;scheme&quot;: &quot;url&quot;,&#10;        &quot;relation_type&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;id&quot;: &quot;issupplementto&quot;&#10;        },&#10;        &quot;resource_type&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;id&quot;: &quot;publication-report&quot;&#10;        }&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;version&quot;: &quot;1.0.0&quot;&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;custom_fields&quot;: {},&#10;  &quot;access&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;record&quot;: &quot;public&quot;,&#10;    &quot;files&quot;: &quot;public&quot;&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;files&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;enabled&quot;: true&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;parent&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;communities&quot;: {&#10;      &quot;default&quot;: &quot;nexusreports&quot;&#10;    }&#10;  }&#10;}<\/code><\/pre><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-hook\" data-nx-research-hub=\"slot\" data-nx-research-context=\"{&quot;org&quot;:&quot;GCRI&quot;,&quot;site&quot;:&quot;gcri&quot;,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/arg\/&quot;,&quot;kind&quot;:&quot;edition&quot;,&quot;subject&quot;:&quot;Argentina&quot;,&quot;series&quot;:[&quot;Country Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report&quot;]}\" hidden><\/div><\/section><\/div><div id=\"nx-nr-arg-pillars\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-arg-cc-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.5<\/span><span>Where this edition sits among the six pillars<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Foundry seals the evidence and Universe tests it; Reports publishes it; Standards takes its corrections and Academy teaches from it.<\/p><ol class=\"nx-pl-list\"><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F03 Sealed observations and indicator series<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Foundry<\/span> Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F04 After-action and scenario findings for<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Universe<\/span> After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F05 National Portfolio movement for chapter<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Foundry<\/span> National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>Applied in editions<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Standards<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a>: applied in editions.<\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>ARG edition<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Reports<\/span> Argentina 2026, published in every format with its sources, citation and corrections.<\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F06 Method and correction findings as change<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Standards<\/span> Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F12 Q4 synthesis informs the next-year<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Universe<\/span> Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>Taught in the open<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Academy<\/span> Risk Academy: taught in the open.<\/li><\/ol><p class=\"nx-caption\"><span>What Foundry and Universe hand to this edition, and what it hands to Standards, Universe and Academy. From the programme spine; ARG is a drafted Baseline Edition, so these handoffs run from its first operational quarter.<\/span><\/p><ul class=\"nx-pl-legend\" aria-label=\"Pillars\"><li data-pillar=\"labs\" data-hue=\"social\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-labs\/\">Labs<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-foundry\/\">Foundry<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/universe.nexus\/\">Universe<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/\">Nexus Standards<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/\">Reports<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/\">Risk Academy<\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table nx-rd-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Handoff<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Between<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What crosses, and when<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr data-pillar=\"foundry\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F03<\/span><\/td><td>Foundry to Reports<\/td><td>Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"universe\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F04<\/span><\/td><td>Universe to Reports<\/td><td>After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"foundry\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F05<\/span><\/td><td>Foundry to Reports<\/td><td>National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"standards\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">Ring<\/span><\/td><td>Nexus Standards to Reports<\/td><td>Nexus Standards: applied in editions.<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"standards\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F06<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Nexus Standards<\/td><td>Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"universe\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F12<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Universe<\/td><td>Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"academy\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">Ring<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Risk Academy<\/td><td>Risk Academy: taught in the open.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><\/article><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-noprint\"><section id=\"nx-sec-nr-gateway\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Contribute<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Send evidence or a correction on Argentina.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Reports is the Consortium&#8217;s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the GCRI <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Evidence desk. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work. Sent to the wrong desk, it is forwarded, not refused.<\/p><div class=\"nx-chips\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">GCRI Systems Evidence desk<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">Country Systems Risk and Resilience<\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-dest\"><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/write-to-us\/contact\/\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Email<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Gateway GW-GCRI<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Send it from this page<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Evidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/open-science\/#nx-sec-zenodo\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Zenodo<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Open deposit<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Deposit it and submit to the community<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Publish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. 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A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><p class=\"nx-note\" data-nr-rights=\"true\"><a class=\"nx-link\" rel=\"license\" href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\">CC BY 4.0<\/a> Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by GCRI Canada.<\/p><section class=\"nx-section nx-deeper-band\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-therisk-global-nexus-reports-editions-arg-full-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><nav class=\"nx-deeper\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-therisk-global-nexus-reports-editions-arg-full-h\" data-nx-deeper=\"3\" data-nx-resources=\"1 1 1\"><h2 class=\"nx-deeper-h\" id=\"nx-deeper-therisk-global-nexus-reports-editions-arg-full-h\">Go deeper<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/model\/scenarios\/urban-flood\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Documentation:<\/span> Urban flood<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/risk-science\/risk-information-standards\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Academy:<\/span> Risk information standards and interoperability<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/data\/identification-standards\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Standards:<\/span> Identification (the UNI)<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><script class=\"_iub_cs_skip\">window.__nxMount ? window.__nxMount(document.currentScript) : null;<\/script><style>@media print { @page { margin: 20mm 17mm 20mm 17mm; @top-left { content: \"Nexus Reports\"; font: 500 7.5pt \"IBM Plex Mono\", monospace; color: #4a4a4a; } @top-right { content: \"Argentina Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026 \\0000b7  Baseline Edition 2026\"; font: 400 7.5pt \"IBM Plex Sans\", sans-serif; color: #4a4a4a; } @bottom-left { content: \"NR-COUNTRY-ARG-2026-BASELINE \\0000b7  Draft, not released\"; font: 400 7pt \"IBM Plex Mono\", monospace; color: #4a4a4a; } @bottom-center { content: \"CC BY 4.0. 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