{"id":86,"date":"2026-10-17T10:42:06","date_gmt":"2026-10-17T10:42:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/?page_id=86"},"modified":"2026-10-21T12:32:45","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T12:32:45","slug":"methods","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/research\/methods\/","title":{"rendered":"Methods and uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- Nexus network page \u00b7 https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/research\/methods\/ \u00b7 source template \u00b7 generated by integrations\/wordpress\/network\/build.mjs, never edit this file --><script type=\"application\/json\" class=\"_iub_cs_skip\" id=\"nxe-water-data\" 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class=\"nx-theme-toggle\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Appearance of this page\" hidden><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"light\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Light<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"dark\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Dark<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"auto\" aria-pressed=\"true\">Auto<\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-folio\" aria-label=\"Document reference\"><strong>G-P07 \u00b7 EVIDENCE \u00b7 methods<\/strong>GCRI dossier \u00b7 service level R0<\/div><div class=\"nx-hero-grid\"><div class=\"nx-hero-text\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">GCRI<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Oceans and Coasts<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">In development<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-accent-row\"><span class=\"nx-accent-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span>Methods and uncertainty<\/span><\/div><h1 id=\"nx-title-1\" class=\"nx-hero-title\">Methods and uncertainty<\/h1><p class=\"nx-tagline\">The methods Oceans and Coasts relies on, the assumptions they carry and the limits of what they can show.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/contact\/\">Make an enquiry <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/research\/\">Back to Research and evidence<\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-hero-panel\"><div class=\"nx-register\" data-variant=\"ledger\"><div class=\"nx-register-head\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><strong>Oceans and Coasts<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Register<\/span><\/div><ol class=\"nx-register-rows\"><li><div><span class=\"nx-register-n\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Fields<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">Oceans and coasts, Climate and hazards, Biodiversity and nature<\/span><\/div><\/li><li><div><span class=\"nx-register-n\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">STEM methods<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">7 canonical methods applied<\/span><\/div><\/li><li><div><span class=\"nx-register-n\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Topics<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">8 subject pages<\/span><\/div><\/li><li><div><span class=\"nx-register-n\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Counterparts<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">7 platforms in shared fields<\/span><\/div><\/li><li><div><span class=\"nx-register-n\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Publisher<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation<\/span><\/div><\/li><\/ol><p class=\"nx-register-foot\">GCRI \u00b7 In development \u00b7 service level R0<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section> <nav class=\"nx-index-strip\" data-nx-spy=\"true\" aria-label=\"On this page\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><a href=\"#nx-sec-brief-answer\"><span>01<\/span>The short answer<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-3-sec\"><span>02<\/span>Draft to published version<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-field\"><span>03<\/span>Ocean state in Pacific Island states<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-methods\"><span>04<\/span>The methods in use<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-pg-method-register\"><span>05<\/span>Each method, its role in this field\u2026<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-pg-uncertainty\"><span>06<\/span>Where uncertainty in ocean and\u2026<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-uncertainty\"><span>07<\/span>How uncertainty is reported<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-terms\"><span>08<\/span>Terms used on this page<\/a><\/div><\/nav> <section id=\"nx-sec-brief-answer\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"water\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-2\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">In brief<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-2\" class=\"nx-section-title\">The short answer.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The Oceans and Coasts methods page sets out the methods the platform relies on, among them ocean and coastal science, Earth observation and remote sensing, and extreme value theory and tail risk, with their assumptions, validation and limits. Each analysis lists its assumptions and data, reports ranges and confidence beside central estimates, is checked against observations or other models, and states what it cannot show.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"search\" data-nxf-kind=\"search\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G-P07\/research\/methods\/#search\" data-nxf-title=\"Search publications\" data-nxf-height=\"520\" hidden><\/div><section id=\"nx-s-3-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-3\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Canvas<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-3\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Draft to published version.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-canvas-wrap\"><div class=\"nx-plate\" data-wide=\"true\"><div class=\"nx-plate-label\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><strong>Canvas<\/strong> \u00b7 draft to published version<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Design, not a record<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-figure-frame\" data-scene=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-figure nx-ui nx-dag\" viewBox=\"0 0 1200 564\" data-nx-dag=\"true\" data-w=\"1200\" data-h=\"564\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-dag-g-p07-research-methods-source-passport-t nx-dag-g-p07-research-methods-source-passport-d\" data-nx-z=\"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\"><title id=\"nx-dag-g-p07-research-methods-source-passport-t\">Methods and uncertainty: from a source to a labelled evidence record<\/title><desc id=\"nx-dag-g-p07-research-methods-source-passport-d\">A source is registered with its licence and steward, checked for quality and coverage, labelled by evidence class, versioned and published with a passport; corrections create a new version. Design of the process, not a record of a run.<\/desc><\/svg><\/div><\/div><p class=\"nx-caption\"><strong>Fig.<\/strong><span>How a finding is reviewed before it is published. Design, not a record.<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-field\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-4\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Geography<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-4\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Ocean state in Pacific Island states.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Marine heat, sea surface temperature, chlorophyll and sea ice from satellite analyses, framed on Pacific Island states; each layer is a dated NASA product.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-canvas-wrap\"><div class=\"nx-cmap-field\" data-nx-map=\"ctx-field\" data-cmap=\"pacific-islands:oceans\"><div class=\"nx-wm\" data-nx-water=\"ctx-oceans\" data-wm-domain=\"ctx-oceans\" data-wm-tiles=\"on\" data-wm-flat=\"on\" data-wm-focus=\"150,-24,190,0\" data-ws-live=\"off\" data-claim=\"INTEGRATED\" data-wm-panel=\"closed\" data-wm-mode=\"2d\"><div class=\"nx-wm-stage\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"application\" aria-roledescription=\"interactive map\" aria-label=\"Ocean state, Pacific Island states: satellite and model layers from NASA on a 3D terrain of ASTER GDEM elevation. Arrow keys move; with Shift they turn and tilt in 3D; plus and minus zoom, 0 resets; I inspects, question mark lists the keys.\" aria-describedby=\"nx-wm-help\"><canvas class=\"nx-wm-canvas\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/canvas><p class=\"nx-wm-noscript\">The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.<\/p><div class=\"nx-wm-presets\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Quick views\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-preset\" data-wm-preset=\"ssta||||\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Marine heat<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-preset\" data-wm-preset=\"sst||||\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Sea temperature<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-preset\" data-wm-preset=\"chl||||\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Plankton (chlorophyll)<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-preset\" data-wm-preset=\"ice||||\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Sea ice<\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-panel\" id=\"nx-wm-panel\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"Map layers\"><div class=\"nx-wm-panel-head\"><p class=\"nx-wm-panel-title\">Layers <span class=\"nx-wm-count\">1<\/span><\/p><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon nx-wm-panel-close\" data-wm-act=\"panel\" aria-label=\"Close the layer list\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3.5 3.5l9 9M12.5 3.5l-9 9\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg><\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-panel-body\"><div class=\"nx-wm-group\"><p class=\"nx-wm-group-title\">Ocean state<\/p><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-layer\" data-wm-toggle=\"ssta\" aria-pressed=\"true\" data-wm-z=\"20\" data-wm-lag=\"0\" data-wm-op=\"0.85\" data-wm-name=\"Sea surface temperature anomaly\" data-wm-short=\"Marine heat (anomaly)\" data-wm-src=\"NASA JPL PO.DAAC GHRSST MUR25\" data-wm-prov=\"NASA JPL PO.DAAC\" data-wm-kind=\"Satellite analysis\"><span class=\"nx-wm-check\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-text\"><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-name\">Sea surface temperature anomaly<\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-src\">NASA JPL PO.DAAC GHRSST MUR25 \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"ssta\">12 Oct 2026<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/button><div class=\"nx-wm-tools\" data-wm-tools=\"ssta\" hidden><\/div><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-layer\" data-wm-toggle=\"sst\" aria-pressed=\"false\" data-wm-z=\"21\" data-wm-lag=\"0\" data-wm-op=\"0.85\" data-wm-name=\"Sea surface temperature\" data-wm-short=\"Sea temperature\" data-wm-src=\"NASA JPL PO.DAAC GHRSST MUR\" data-wm-prov=\"NASA JPL PO.DAAC\" data-wm-kind=\"Satellite analysis\"><span class=\"nx-wm-check\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-text\"><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-name\">Sea surface temperature<\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-src\">NASA JPL PO.DAAC GHRSST MUR \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"sst\">12 Oct 2026<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/button><div class=\"nx-wm-tools\" data-wm-tools=\"sst\" hidden><\/div><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-layer\" data-wm-toggle=\"chl\" aria-pressed=\"false\" data-wm-z=\"22\" data-wm-lag=\"1\" data-wm-op=\"0.9\" data-wm-name=\"Ocean chlorophyll-a concentration\" data-wm-short=\"Chlorophyll-a\" data-wm-src=\"NASA OB.DAAC MODIS Aqua ocean colour\" data-wm-prov=\"NASA OB.DAAC\" data-wm-kind=\"Satellite retrieval; clouds and sun glint leave gaps\"><span class=\"nx-wm-check\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-text\"><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-name\">Ocean chlorophyll-a concentration<\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-src\">NASA OB.DAAC MODIS Aqua ocean colour \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"chl\">12 Oct 2026<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/button><div class=\"nx-wm-tools\" data-wm-tools=\"chl\" hidden><\/div><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-layer\" data-wm-toggle=\"ice\" aria-pressed=\"false\" data-wm-z=\"23\" data-wm-lag=\"0\" data-wm-op=\"0.9\" data-wm-name=\"Sea ice concentration\" data-wm-short=\"Sea ice\" data-wm-src=\"NASA JPL PO.DAAC GHRSST MUR\" data-wm-prov=\"NASA JPL PO.DAAC\" data-wm-kind=\"Satellite analysis\"><span class=\"nx-wm-check\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-text\"><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-name\">Sea ice concentration<\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-src\">NASA JPL PO.DAAC GHRSST MUR \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"ice\">12 Oct 2026<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/button><div class=\"nx-wm-tools\" data-wm-tools=\"ice\" hidden><\/div><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-layer\" data-wm-toggle=\"true\" aria-pressed=\"false\" data-wm-z=\"24\" data-wm-lag=\"1\" data-wm-op=\"1\" data-wm-name=\"True colour\" data-wm-short=\"True colour\" data-wm-src=\"NASA LANCE VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance\" data-wm-prov=\"NASA LANCE\" data-wm-kind=\"Satellite image\"><span class=\"nx-wm-check\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-text\"><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-name\">True colour<\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-layer-src\">NASA LANCE VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"true\">13 Oct 2026<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/button><div class=\"nx-wm-tools\" data-wm-tools=\"true\" hidden><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-rail\" role=\"toolbar\" aria-orientation=\"vertical\" aria-label=\"Map controls\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon nx-wm-open\" data-wm-act=\"panel\" aria-controls=\"nx-wm-panel\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-label=\"Layers\" title=\"Layers\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M8 2.5l-6.5 3.5 6.5 3.5 6.5-3.5zm-6.5 6.5 6.5 3.5 6.5-3.5m-13 2.8 6.5 3.5 6.5-3.5\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon\" data-wm-act=\"tools\" aria-controls=\"nx-wm-menu\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-label=\"Expert tools\" title=\"Expert tools\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 4.5l10 0m-10 3.5 10 0m-10 3.5 10 0m-7.5-8.5 0 3m5 .5 0 3m-3.5.5 0 3\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg><\/button><span class=\"nx-wm-sep\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon\" data-wm-act=\"in\" aria-label=\"Zoom in\" title=\"Zoom in\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M8 3v10M3 8h10\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon\" data-wm-act=\"out\" aria-label=\"Zoom out\" title=\"Zoom out\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 8h10\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon\" data-wm-act=\"reset\" aria-label=\"Reset the view\" title=\"Reset the view\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3.2 8a4.8 4.8 0 1 0 1.5-3.5M3.2 2.6v2.6h2.6\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon\" data-wm-act=\"full\" aria-label=\"Full screen\" title=\"Full screen\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M2.5 6l0-3.5 3.5 0m7.5 3.5 0-3.5-3.5 0m-7.5 7.5 0 3.5 3.5 0m7.5-3.5 0 3.5-3.5 0\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg><\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-menu\" id=\"nx-wm-menu\" role=\"menu\" aria-label=\"Expert tools\" hidden><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-menu-item\" role=\"menuitemcheckbox\" aria-checked=\"false\" data-wm-tool=\"inspect\">Inspect a point<kbd>I<\/kbd><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-menu-item\" role=\"menuitemcheckbox\" aria-checked=\"false\" data-wm-tool=\"measure\">Measure distance<kbd>M<\/kbd><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-menu-item\" role=\"menuitemcheckbox\" aria-checked=\"false\" data-wm-tool=\"compare\">Compare two dates<kbd>C<\/kbd><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-menu-item\" role=\"menuitem\" data-wm-tool=\"share\">Copy a link to this view<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-menu-item\" role=\"menuitem\" data-wm-tool=\"png\">Export as PNG with credits<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-menu-item\" role=\"menuitem\" data-wm-tool=\"keys\">Keyboard shortcuts<kbd>?<\/kbd><\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-keys\" role=\"dialog\" aria-label=\"Keyboard shortcuts\" hidden><p class=\"nx-wm-keys-title\">Keyboard, with the map focused<\/p><dl class=\"nx-wm-keys-list\"><div><dt><kbd>Arrows<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Move<\/dd><\/div><div><dt><kbd>Shift and arrows<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Turn and tilt (3D)<\/dd><\/div><div><dt><kbd>+ and \u2212<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Zoom<\/dd><\/div><div><dt><kbd>0<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Reset the view<\/dd><\/div><div><dt><kbd>N and P<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Next and previous station<\/dd><\/div><div><dt><kbd>Enter<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Pin the station<\/dd><\/div><div><dt><kbd>I<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Inspect a point<\/dd><\/div><div><dt><kbd>M<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Measure<\/dd><\/div><div><dt><kbd>C<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Compare dates<\/dd><\/div><div><dt><kbd>Escape<\/kbd><\/dt><dd>Close<\/dd><\/div><\/dl><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon nx-wm-keys-close\" data-wm-tool=\"keys\" aria-label=\"Close the shortcuts\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3.5 3.5l9 9M12.5 3.5l-9 9\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg><\/button><\/div><p class=\"nx-wm-hint\" hidden>Hold Ctrl or \u2318 and scroll to zoom<\/p><p class=\"nx-wm-toolbar\" role=\"status\" hidden><\/p><div class=\"nx-wm-tip\" role=\"tooltip\" hidden><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-pin\" hidden><div class=\"nx-wm-pin-head\"><p class=\"nx-wm-pin-title\"><\/p><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon\" data-wm-act=\"unpin\" aria-label=\"Close the card\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3.5 3.5l9 9M12.5 3.5l-9 9\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg><\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-pin-chart\"><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-pin-body\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-dock\"><div class=\"nx-wm-time\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Imagery date\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon\" data-wm-step=\"prev\" aria-label=\"One day earlier\">\u2039<\/button><p class=\"nx-wm-time-label\">Latest available<\/p><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-icon\" data-wm-step=\"next\" aria-label=\"One day later\">\u203a<\/button><span class=\"nx-wm-track\" role=\"slider\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Imagery date, up to 30 days back\"><\/span><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-wm-latest\" data-wm-step=\"latest\" aria-pressed=\"true\">Latest<\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-wm-chips\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Legends\"><\/div><p class=\"nx-wm-attrib\">NASA GIBS \/ EOSDIS \u00b7 ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) \u00b7 Natural Earth<\/p><div class=\"nx-wm-legends\" aria-live=\"polite\" hidden><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-container nx-wm-below\"><p class=\"nx-wm-status\" role=\"status\">Loading the latest NASA imagery.<\/p><p id=\"nx-wm-help\" class=\"nx-wm-help\">Drag to move. Ctrl or \u2318 and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.<\/p><p class=\"nx-caption\"><span>Marine heat, sea surface temperature, chlorophyll and sea ice from satellite analyses, framed on Pacific Island states.<\/span><span data-honesty=\"true\">Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.<\/span><\/p><details class=\"nx-wm-credits\"><summary><span class=\"nx-wm-credits-line\">Data: NASA GIBS \u00b7 ASTER GDEM \u00b7 Natural Earth<\/span><span class=\"nx-wm-credits-more\">Sources and licences<\/span><\/summary><p class=\"nx-wm-credit\"><ul class=\"nx-wm-credit-list\"><li data-wm-credit=\"nasa.gibs.field-layers\">We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.earthdata.nasa.gov\/engage\/open-data-services-software-policies\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NASA open data<\/a><\/li><li data-wm-credit=\"nasa.podaac.ghrsst-mur\">GHRSST Level 4 MUR analyses, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory; distributed by the NASA Physical Oceanography DAAC (PO.DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.earthdata.nasa.gov\/engage\/open-data-services-software-policies\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NASA open data<\/a><\/li><li data-wm-credit=\"nasa.obdaac.ocean-color\">MODIS Aqua ocean colour, NASA Ocean Biology Processing Group; distributed by the NASA Ocean Biology DAAC (OB.DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.earthdata.nasa.gov\/engage\/open-data-services-software-policies\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NASA open data<\/a><\/li><li data-wm-credit=\"nasa.lance.viirs-water\">VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.earthdata.nasa.gov\/engage\/open-data-services-software-policies\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NASA open data<\/a><\/li><li data-wm-credit=\"nasa-meti.aster-gdem-v3\">ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.earthdata.nasa.gov\/engage\/open-data-services-software-policies\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NASA open data<\/a><\/li><li data-wm-credit=\"naturalearth.all-scales\">Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.naturalearthdata.com\/about\/terms-of-use\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Public domain<\/a><\/li><li>Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, \u00a9 MapLibre contributors.<\/li><\/ul><p class=\"nx-wm-credit\"><strong>Layers and dates<\/strong><\/p><ul class=\"nx-wm-credit-list\"><li>Sea surface temperature anomaly: GHRSST MUR25, NASA JPL PO.DAAC \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"ssta\">12 Oct 2026<\/span><\/li><li>Sea surface temperature: GHRSST MUR, NASA JPL PO.DAAC \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"sst\">12 Oct 2026<\/span><\/li><li>Ocean chlorophyll-a concentration: MODIS Aqua ocean colour, NASA OB.DAAC \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"chl\">12 Oct 2026<\/span><\/li><li>Sea ice concentration: GHRSST MUR, NASA JPL PO.DAAC \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"ice\">12 Oct 2026<\/span><\/li><li>True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE \u00b7 <span data-wm-date=\"true\">13 Oct 2026<\/span><\/li><\/ul><\/p><\/details><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-live-slot nx-live-slot--map\" data-nxf-slot=\"map\" data-nxf-kind=\"map\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G-P07\/research\/methods\/#map\" data-nxf-title=\"Oceans and Coasts live map\" data-nxf-height=\"560\" hidden><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-methods\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"water\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-5\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Methods<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-5\" class=\"nx-section-title\">The methods in use.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-methods\"><ol class=\"nx-mledger\" aria-label=\"Methods\"><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/ocean-science\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Ocean and coastal science<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Regional sea-level budgets \u00b7 Marine heatwave analysis \u00b7 Wave climate assessment<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/science\/ocean-science\/\" aria-label=\"Ocean and coastal science: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/earth-observation\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Earth observation and remote sensing<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Ocean colour and blooms \u00b7 Shoreline change mapping \u00b7 Coastal habitat mapping<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/technology\/earth-observation\/\" aria-label=\"Earth observation and remote sensing: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/extreme-value\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Extreme value theory and tail risk<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Extreme sea level return levels \u00b7 Amplification factors \u00b7 Extreme wave heights<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/extreme-value\/\" aria-label=\"Extreme value theory and tail risk: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/ecology\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Ecology and biodiversity science<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Reef condition monitoring \u00b7 Stock assessment inputs \u00b7 Restoration monitoring<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/science\/ecology\/\" aria-label=\"Ecology and biodiversity science: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/geospatial\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Geospatial information systems<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Coastal exposure mapping \u00b7 Marine spatial planning layers \u00b7 Fishing effort mapping<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/technology\/geospatial\/\" aria-label=\"Geospatial information systems: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/geoscience\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">06<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Earth and geophysical science<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Delta subsidence \u00b7 Sediment budgets \u00b7 Tsunami source characterisation<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/science\/geoscience\/\" aria-label=\"Earth and geophysical science: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-mledger-main\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/environmental-engineering\/\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">07<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-body\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-name\">Water and environmental engineering<\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-role\">Coastal defence options \u00b7 Coastal wastewater planning \u00b7 Adaptation pathways<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-mledger-go\"><span class=\"nx-mledger-go-label\">Applied here<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><div class=\"nx-mledger-aside\"><a class=\"nx-mledger-canon\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/engineering\/environmental-engineering\/\" aria-label=\"Water and environmental engineering: canonical page on the STEM Commons\">Canonical \u00b7 STEM Commons <span aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/li><\/ol><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"evidence\" data-nxf-kind=\"evidence\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G-P07\/research\/methods\/#evidence\" data-nxf-title=\"Evidence records\" data-nxf-height=\"520\" hidden><\/div><section id=\"nx-sec-pg-method-register\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" data-variant=\"split\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-6\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Method register<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-6\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Each method, its role in this field and how it is checked.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\" data-lv=\"register\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><ul class=\"nx-dir\" data-cols=\"3\" aria-label=\"Method\"><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/ocean-science\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Ocean science<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Ocean and coastal science is the core science this platform stewards for the network.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Budget closure; Climatology consistency; Model-buoy comparison<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/earth-observation\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Earth observation<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Earth observation measures the ocean surface and coast from space: temperature, colour, sea level, waves, ice, habitats and shoreline change.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">In situ match-ups; Tide correction; Accuracy by class<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/extreme-value\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Extreme value<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Extreme value statistics estimate rare high sea levels, waves and marine heat from limited records.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Record length; Tail fit diagnostics; Independence of peaks<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/ecology\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Ecology<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Ecology studies how marine species and ecosystems function and respond to pressure.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Standardised protocols; Reference comparison; Observer calibration<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/geospatial\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Geospatial<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Geospatial information systems map coasts, seas and their uses.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Vertical accuracy; Data currency; Stakeholder review<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/geoscience\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Geoscience<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Earth and geophysical science explains the coast's solid ground: sediment supply, subsidence, tectonic movement and submarine hazards.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">GNSS comparison; Budget uncertainty; Source model review<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dir-row\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/stem\/environmental-engineering\/\"><span class=\"nx-dir-name\">Environmental engineering<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Role here<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Environmental and coastal engineering design defences, drainage, wastewater treatment and nature-based coastal protection.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-fact\"><span class=\"nx-dir-k\">Checks applied<\/span><span class=\"nx-dir-v\">Design standard review; Downdrift effects; Pathway triggers<\/span><\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-pg-uncertainty\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"band\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-7\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">06<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Uncertainty<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-7\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Where uncertainty in ocean and coastal analysis comes from, and how it is shown.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\" data-lv=\"register\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th>Source<\/th><th>Why it matters here<\/th><th>How it is reported<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Ice-sheet contribution<\/td><td data-label=\"Why it matters here\">Dominates the upper range of sea-level rise<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is reported\">Likely range and high-end scenarios shown separately<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Vertical land motion<\/td><td data-label=\"Why it matters here\">Can exceed sea-level rise locally<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is reported\">Tide-gauge and satellite data combined, with datum stated<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Storm surge statistics<\/td><td data-label=\"Why it matters here\">Short records for extremes<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is reported\">Return levels with intervals<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Ecosystem response<\/td><td data-label=\"Why it matters here\">Thresholds uncertain<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is reported\">Ranges and observed events<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-p\">Sea-level figures always state the datum, baseline period and scenario.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-uncertainty\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"water\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-8\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">07<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Uncertainty<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-8\" class=\"nx-section-title\">How uncertainty is reported.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ol class=\"nx-rows\"><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">01<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">State assumptions<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Each analysis lists its assumptions and the data it depends on.<\/p><\/div><\/li><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">02<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Quantify where possible<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Ranges and confidence are reported alongside central estimates.<\/p><\/div><\/li><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">03<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Validate and compare<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Models are checked against observations and, where possible, against other models.<\/p><\/div><\/li><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">04<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Publish limits<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">What an analysis cannot show is stated beside what it can.<\/p><\/div><\/li><\/ol><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-terms\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"band\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-9\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">08<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Key terms<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-9\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Terms used on this page.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\" data-lv=\"register\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Term<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Definition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Uncertainty quantification<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Characterising and propagating the uncertainties in a model to state confidence in its outputs.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Sensitivity analysis<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Repeating an analysis under different assumptions to show how much the result depends on them.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Model validation<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Comparing model predictions with independent observations to judge fitness for a stated use.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Ocean and coastal science<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">Ocean science studies the physics, chemistry, biology and geology of the oceans and coasts.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-pg-sources\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\" data-variant=\"split\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-10\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">09<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Sources<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-10\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Where this page's references lead.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-list\" data-nav=\"true\"><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/srocc\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/goosocean.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS)<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/psmsl.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.un.org\/depts\/los\/convention_agreements\/convention_overview_convention.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UN DOALOS)<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-11-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"water\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-11\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">10<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Questions<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-11\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Questions and answers.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-faq\"><details><summary>Are the methods open?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. Code and data follow their own licences and access terms, listed in the source register.<\/div><\/details><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-section\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-rel-12\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Related<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-rel-12\" class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Around Oceans and Coasts.<\/h2><nav class=\"nx-related nx-mt-3\" aria-label=\"Related\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/research\/sources\/\">Source and data register <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/\">Oceans and Coasts home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/counterparts\/\">Counterparts across the Consortium <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/\">The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/trust\/\">GCRI governance and trust <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/nav><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-closing\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-close-13\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Oceans and Coasts<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-close-13\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Bring your expertise to this field.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"mailto:contact@therisk.global?subject=Oceans%20and%20Coasts%3A%20Methods%20and%20uncertainty\">Write to the team <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/contact\/\">See all contact routes<\/a><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><script class=\"_iub_cs_skip\">window.__nxMount ? window.__nxMount(document.currentScript) : null;<\/script>\n\n\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/research\/methods\/#faq\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/oceans-coasts\/research\/methods\/#webpage\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Are the methods open?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. 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