{"id":315,"date":"2026-10-12T16:17:28","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T16:17:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/?page_id=315"},"modified":"2026-10-12T23:45:53","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T23:45:53","slug":"drought-and-flood","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/drought-and-flood\/","title":{"rendered":"Drought and flood"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- Nexus network page \u00b7 https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/drought-and-flood\/ \u00b7 source authored \u00b7 generated by integrations\/wordpress\/network\/build.mjs, never edit this file --><div class=\"nxe-host\" data-nxe-embed=\"n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood\"><div class=\"nxe\" id=\"nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood\" data-inst=\"gcri\" data-theme=\"auto\" data-grammar=\"atlas\" data-domain=\"water\" data-arche=\"topic\" lang=\"en\"><style>#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe{--nx-bg-canvas: #000000;--nx-bg-surface: #0a0a0a;--nx-bg-elevated: 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.nx-related a{display: flex;align-items: center;justify-content: space-between;gap: 12px;padding: 18px 0;border-bottom: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline);color: var(--nx-text-primary);font-size: 14px;font-weight: 500;transition: color 120ms var(--nx-ease)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-related a .nx-arrow{color: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-related a:hover{color: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-closing{padding: 72px 0;background: var(--nx-text-primary);color: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-closing .nx-eyebrow,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-closing .nx-lede{color: var(--nx-text-disabled)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-closing .nx-section-title{color: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-closing .nx-btn[data-variant=\"primary\"]{background: var(--nx-bg-canvas);color: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-closing .nx-btn[data-variant=\"primary\"]:hover{background: var(--nx-bg-hover)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-closing .nx-btn[data-variant=\"secondary\"]{border-color: var(--nx-text-disabled);color: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-closing .nx-btn[data-variant=\"secondary\"]:hover{border-color: var(--nx-bg-canvas);background: transparent}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-closing :where(a,button):focus-visible{outline-color: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe{--nxp-water-a: #a5f3fc;--nxp-water-b: #93c5fd;--nxp-energy-a: #fde68a;--nxp-energy-b: #fdba74;--nxp-food-a: #d9f99d;--nxp-food-b: #6ee7b7;--nxp-health-a: #fbcfe8;--nxp-health-b: #f0abfc;--nxp-biodiversity-a: #a7f3d0;--nxp-biodiversity-b: #7dd3fc;--nxp-infrastructure-a: #c7d2fe;--nxp-infrastructure-b: #a5f3fc;--nxp-climate-a: #bae6fd;--nxp-climate-b: #c4b5fd;--nxp-risk-a: #f9a8d4;--nxp-risk-b: #c4b5fd;--nxp-systemic-a: #fda4af;--nxp-systemic-b: #d8b4fe;--nxp-finance-a: #fef08a;--nxp-finance-b: #fcd34d;--nxp-supply-a: #ccfbf1;--nxp-supply-b: #a5b4fc;--nxp-social-a: #fecdd3;--nxp-social-b: #f9a8d4;--nxp-project-a: #e9d5ff;--nxp-project-b: #fbcfe8}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-theme=\"light\"]{--nxp-water-a: #06b6d4;--nxp-water-b: #3b82f6;--nxp-energy-a: #eab308;--nxp-energy-b: #f97316;--nxp-food-a: #84cc16;--nxp-food-b: #10b981;--nxp-health-a: #f472b6;--nxp-health-b: #d946ef;--nxp-biodiversity-a: #10b981;--nxp-biodiversity-b: #0ea5e9;--nxp-infrastructure-a: #6366f1;--nxp-infrastructure-b: #06b6d4;--nxp-climate-a: #38bdf8;--nxp-climate-b: #8b5cf6;--nxp-risk-a: #ec4899;--nxp-risk-b: #8b5cf6;--nxp-systemic-a: #f43f5e;--nxp-systemic-b: #a855f7;--nxp-finance-a: #eab308;--nxp-finance-b: #f59e0b;--nxp-supply-a: #14b8a6;--nxp-supply-b: #6366f1;--nxp-social-a: #fb7185;--nxp-social-b: #ec4899;--nxp-project-a: #a855f7;--nxp-project-b: #ec4899}@media (prefers-color-scheme: light){#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-theme=\"auto\"]{--nxp-water-a: #06b6d4;--nxp-water-b: #3b82f6;--nxp-energy-a: #eab308;--nxp-energy-b: #f97316;--nxp-food-a: #84cc16;--nxp-food-b: #10b981;--nxp-health-a: #f472b6;--nxp-health-b: #d946ef;--nxp-biodiversity-a: #10b981;--nxp-biodiversity-b: #0ea5e9;--nxp-infrastructure-a: #6366f1;--nxp-infrastructure-b: #06b6d4;--nxp-climate-a: #38bdf8;--nxp-climate-b: #8b5cf6;--nxp-risk-a: #ec4899;--nxp-risk-b: #8b5cf6;--nxp-systemic-a: #f43f5e;--nxp-systemic-b: #a855f7;--nxp-finance-a: #eab308;--nxp-finance-b: #f59e0b;--nxp-supply-a: #14b8a6;--nxp-supply-b: #6366f1;--nxp-social-a: #fb7185;--nxp-social-b: #ec4899;--nxp-project-a: #a855f7;--nxp-project-b: #ec4899}}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"water\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-water-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-water-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"energy\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-energy-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-energy-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"food\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-food-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-food-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"health\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-health-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-health-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"biodiversity\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-biodiversity-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-biodiversity-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"infrastructure\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-infrastructure-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-infrastructure-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"climate\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-climate-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-climate-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"risk\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-risk-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-risk-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"systemic\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-systemic-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-systemic-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"finance\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-finance-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-finance-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"supply\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-supply-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-supply-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"social\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-social-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-social-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-hue=\"project\"]{--nxe-a: var(--nxp-project-a);--nxe-b: var(--nxp-project-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-glyph{display: inline-flex;flex: none;color: var(--nx-text-secondary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-glyph .nx-i{width: 20px;height: 20px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-glyph[data-size=\"sm\"] .nx-i{width: 16px;height: 16px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-i{width: 20px;height: 20px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-glyph-row{display: flex;align-items: center;gap: 10px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-caption{display: flex;flex-wrap: wrap;gap: 4px 16px;margin-top: 16px;padding-top: 12px;border-top: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline);color: var(--nx-text-muted);font-family: var(--nx-font-mono);font-size: 11px;line-height: 1.5}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-caption strong{color: var(--nx-text-secondary);font-weight: 500}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-figure-frame{padding: 24px;border: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline);border-radius: 6px;background: var(--nx-bg-surface)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-tablist{display: flex;gap: 24px;overflow-x: auto;border-bottom: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline);scrollbar-width: none}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-tablist::-webkit-scrollbar{display: none}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-tab{display: inline-flex;flex: none;align-items: center;gap: 8px;margin-bottom: -1px;padding: 12px 0;border: 0;border-bottom: 2px solid transparent;background: none;color: var(--nx-text-muted);font-family: var(--nx-font-sans);font-size: 13.5px;font-weight: 500;line-height: 1.2;white-space: nowrap;cursor: pointer;transition: color 120ms var(--nx-ease),border-color 120ms var(--nx-ease)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-tab:hover{color: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-tab[aria-selected=\"true\"]{border-bottom-color: var(--nx-text-primary);color: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-panel{margin-top: 28px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-panel[hidden]{display: none}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-nx-tabs]:not([data-ready]) .nx-tablist{display: none}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-nx-tabs]:not([data-ready]) .nx-panel + .nx-panel{margin-top: 32px;padding-top: 32px;border-top: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer{display: grid;grid-template-columns: minmax(0,1fr);gap: 40px;align-items: start}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer>*{min-width: 0}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer .nx-figure [data-link]{stroke: var(--nx-border-hairline-strong);stroke-width: 1;transition: stroke 180ms var(--nx-ease),stroke-width 180ms var(--nx-ease)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer .nx-figure [data-nx-select]{cursor: pointer}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer .nx-figure [data-nx-select] circle{transition: fill 180ms var(--nx-ease),stroke 180ms var(--nx-ease)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer .nx-figure [data-nx-select] text{transition: fill 180ms var(--nx-ease)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"water\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"water\"]{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.5}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"energy\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"energy\"]{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.5}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"food\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"food\"]{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.5}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"health\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"health\"]{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.5}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"biodiversity\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"biodiversity\"]{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.5}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"infrastructure\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"infrastructure\"]{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.5}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"water\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"water\"] circle{fill: var(--nx-accent);stroke: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"energy\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"energy\"] circle{fill: var(--nx-accent);stroke: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"food\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"food\"] circle{fill: var(--nx-accent);stroke: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"health\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"health\"] circle{fill: var(--nx-accent);stroke: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"biodiversity\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"biodiversity\"] circle{fill: var(--nx-accent);stroke: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"infrastructure\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"infrastructure\"] circle{fill: var(--nx-accent);stroke: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"water\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"water\"] text{fill: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"energy\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"energy\"] text{fill: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"food\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"food\"] text{fill: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"health\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"health\"] text{fill: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"biodiversity\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"biodiversity\"] text{fill: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"infrastructure\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"infrastructure\"] text{fill: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-inst=\"gcri\"]{--nxi-accent: #f2c14e;--nxi-accent-soft: rgba(242,193,78,0.12);--nxi-a: #ffe7a8;--nxi-b: #f2b544;--nxi-c: #e8913a}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-inst=\"gcri\"][data-theme=\"light\"]{--nxi-accent: #946200;--nxi-accent-soft: rgba(185,122,16,0.1);--nxi-a: #f0c25a;--nxi-b: #c98a1c;--nxi-c: #946200}@media (prefers-color-scheme: light){#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-inst=\"gcri\"][data-theme=\"auto\"]{--nxi-accent: #946200;--nxi-accent-soft: rgba(185,122,16,0.1);--nxi-a: #f0c25a;--nxi-b: #c98a1c;--nxi-c: #946200}}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-inst][data-theme]{--nx-accent: var(--nxi-accent);--nx-accent-soft: var(--nxi-accent-soft);--nx-focus: var(--nxi-accent);--nxi-grad: linear-gradient(90deg,var(--nxi-a),var(--nxi-b) 55%,var(--nxi-c))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-inst] .nx-accent-rule{width: 28px;height: 2px;background: var(--nxi-grad)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-inst] .nx-eyebrow-row .nx-rule{width: 20px;height: 2px;border-top: 0;background: var(--nxi-grad)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-inst] .nx-tab[aria-selected=\"true\"]{border-bottom-color: transparent;background: var(--nxi-grad) left bottom \/ 100% 2px no-repeat}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-glyph[data-tone=\"accent\"] .nx-i{stroke: url(#nx-gi)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-defs{position: absolute;width: 0;height: 0;overflow: hidden}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-gi-a{stop-color: var(--nxi-a,var(--nx-accent))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-gi-b{stop-color: var(--nxi-b,var(--nx-accent))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-gi-c{stop-color: var(--nxi-c,var(--nx-accent))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-ui rect.u-accent{fill: url(#nx-giu)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-window{position: relative;overflow: hidden;border: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline-strong);border-radius: 6px;background: var(--nx-bg-elevated)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-window::before{content: \"\";position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;right: 0;height: 2px;background: var(--nxi-grad,var(--nx-accent))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-window-bar{display: flex;align-items: center;gap: 14px;height: 40px;padding: 0 16px;border-bottom: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline);background: var(--nx-bg-surface);font-family: var(--nx-font-mono);font-size: 11px;letter-spacing: 0.08em;color: var(--nx-text-muted)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-window-dots{display: flex;gap: 6px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-window-dots span{width: 6px;height: 6px;border-radius: 50%;background: var(--nx-border-hairline-strong)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-window-bar strong{color: var(--nx-text-primary);font-weight: 500}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-window-bar .nx-window-note{margin-left: auto}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-window>.nx-figure-frame{border: 0;border-radius: 0}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-signals{border-top: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline);border-bottom: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline);background: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-signals dl{display: grid;grid-template-columns: repeat(2,minmax(0,1fr));margin: 0}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-signals dl>div{padding: 28px 16px 28px 0}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-signals dt{margin-bottom: 16px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-signals dd{margin: 0}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-signals .nx-sig-wrap{margin-top: 18px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-signals dl>div:first-child .nx-metric{color: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-sig{display: block;position: relative;width: 100%;max-width: 160px;height: 6px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-inst=\"gcri\"] .nx-sig{border-bottom: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline-strong);background: var(--nxi-grad) left bottom \/ 32px 2px no-repeat,repeating-linear-gradient(90deg,var(--nx-border-hairline-strong) 0 1px,transparent 1px 12px) left bottom \/ 100% 5px no-repeat}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-tab .nx-glyph .nx-i{width: 16px;height: 16px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"water\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"water\"],#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"energy\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"energy\"],#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"food\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"food\"],#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"health\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"health\"],#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"biodiversity\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"biodiversity\"],#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"infrastructure\"] .nx-figure [data-link~=\"infrastructure\"]{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.5}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"water\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"water\"] circle,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"energy\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"energy\"] circle,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"food\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"food\"] circle,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"health\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"health\"] circle,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"biodiversity\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"biodiversity\"] circle,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer[data-active=\"infrastructure\"] .nx-figure [data-nx-select=\"infrastructure\"] circle{fill: var(--nx-accent);stroke: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-ui .u-canvas{fill: var(--nx-bg-elevated)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-ui .u-dotfield{fill: var(--nx-text-primary);opacity: 0.09}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-ui .u-panel{fill: var(--nx-bg-surface);stroke: var(--nx-border-hairline);stroke-width: 1}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-ui .u-panel-fill{fill: var(--nx-bg-surface)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-ui .u-chip{fill: 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.nx-hero-grid>div:first-child{max-width: 760px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-kpis{display: grid;grid-template-columns: repeat(2,minmax(0,1fr));gap: 1px;border: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline);background: var(--nx-border-hairline)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-kpis[data-cols=\"2\"]{grid-template-columns: repeat(2,minmax(0,1fr))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-kpi{min-width: 0;padding: 20px;background: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-section[data-tone=\"alt\"] .nx-kpi{background: var(--nxe-alt-bg)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-kpi .nx-metric{margin-top: 12px;font-size: 26px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-kpi .nx-metric-note{margin-top: 8px;color: var(--nx-text-muted);font-size: 12px;line-height: 1.4}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-index-strip{display: flex;flex-wrap: wrap;gap: 8px 24px;margin-top: 24px;padding-top: 16px;border-top: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-index-strip a{color: var(--nx-text-muted);font-family: var(--nx-font-mono);font-size: 11px;letter-spacing: 0.12em;text-transform: uppercase;text-decoration: none}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-index-strip a:hover{color: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-index-strip a span{color: var(--nx-accent);margin-right: 6px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-p{font-size: 16px;line-height: 1.6}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-lede{font-size: 18px;max-width: 62ch}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-h4{font-size: 16.5px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-h3{font-size: 21px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-list>li{font-size: 15.5px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-table{font-size: 15px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-faq summary{font-size: 17.5px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-faq .nx-answer{font-size: 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[data-active=\"test\"] .nx-field [data-link~=\"test\"],#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"standdown\"] .nx-field [data-link~=\"standdown\"]{fill: var(--nxi-b,var(--nx-accent))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"frequent\"] .nx-field [data-link~=\"frequent\"],#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"moderate\"] .nx-field [data-link~=\"moderate\"],#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"severe\"] .nx-field [data-link~=\"severe\"],#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"extreme\"] .nx-field [data-link~=\"extreme\"]{fill: var(--nx-accent-soft)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-faq .nx-answer,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-note{overflow-wrap: anywhere}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-legend{display: flex;flex-wrap: wrap;gap: 8px 20px;margin-top: 12px;color: var(--nx-text-muted);font-size: 13px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-legend>span{display: 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.nx-hero[data-layout=\"field\"] .nx-hero-grid>div:first-child{max-width: 720px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-hero[data-layout=\"field\"] .nx-explorer{gap: 24px}@media (min-width: 900px){#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-hero[data-layout=\"field\"] .nx-hero-grid[data-cols=\"2\"]{grid-template-columns: minmax(0,7fr) minmax(0,5fr);column-gap: 56px;align-items: center}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-hero[data-layout=\"field\"] .nx-hero-grid[data-cols=\"2\"]>.nx-explorer{grid-column: 1 \/ -1}}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-plate[data-aside] .nx-figure-frame[data-scene]{max-height: none}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer .nx-panel .nx-metric{margin-top: 6px;font-size: 30px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-explorer .nx-panel .nx-kpis{margin-top: 20px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-metric[data-size=\"xl\"]{font-size: 56px;letter-spacing: 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var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-nx-tabs][data-ready] .nx-legend>span[role=\"button\"]:focus-visible{outline: 2px solid var(--nx-accent);outline-offset: 2px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-nx-tabs][data-ready] .nx-legend>span[data-l][aria-pressed=\"true\"]{color: var(--nx-text-primary);box-shadow: inset 0 -1px 0 var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-nx-tabs][data-ready] .nx-legend>span[data-t][aria-pressed=\"false\"]{opacity: 0.45}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-field [data-link][data-dim]{fill-opacity: 0.06;stroke-opacity: 0.25;transition: fill-opacity 240ms var(--nx-ease)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-field[data-terrain-off] .u-terrain,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-field[data-terrain-off] .u-river{display: none}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-field[data-terrain-off] .u-t-sea{fill: var(--nx-bg-surface)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-field[data-terrain-off] .u-land{fill: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-field[data-terrain-off] .u-cell{stroke: var(--nx-border-hairline)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-field .u-cell{cursor: crosshair;pointer-events: visible}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-index-strip[data-nx-spy]{display: block;position: sticky;top: 0;z-index: 3;margin-top: 0;padding: 0;border-top: 0;background: var(--nx-bg-canvas);border-bottom: 1px solid var(--nx-border-hairline)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-index-strip[data-nx-spy]>.nx-container{display: flex;flex-wrap: wrap;gap: 8px 24px;padding-top: 12px;padding-bottom: 12px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-index-strip a[aria-current=\"true\"]{color: var(--nx-text-primary);box-shadow: inset 0 -1px 0 var(--nx-accent);padding-bottom: 2px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-index-strip a:focus-visible{outline: 2px solid var(--nx-accent);outline-offset: 3px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-top=\"200\"] .nx-hero{padding-top: 200px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-top=\"200\"] .nx-hero[data-layout=\"field\"]{padding-top: 200px}@media (max-width: 640px){#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-top=\"200\"] .nx-hero{padding-top: 140px}}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-plate[data-wide]{margin-top: 32px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-plate[data-wide] .nx-figure-frame[data-scene]{max-height: none}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-group{fill: var(--nx-bg-surface);fill-opacity: 0.35;stroke: var(--nx-border-hairline-strong);stroke-width: 1;stroke-dasharray: 4 4}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-head{fill: var(--nx-bg-muted)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-icon{fill: var(--nx-bg-canvas);stroke: var(--nx-border-hairline-strong);stroke-width: 1}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-glyph{fill: none;stroke: var(--nx-text-secondary);stroke-width: 1.2;stroke-linecap: round;stroke-linejoin: round}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-live .u-node-glyph{stroke: url(#nx-gp)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-port{fill: var(--nx-bg-canvas);stroke: var(--nx-text-muted);stroke-width: 1.2}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-port-live{fill: var(--nx-accent);stroke: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-edge-flow{fill: none;stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.8;stroke-dasharray: 3 9;stroke-linecap: round;opacity: 0.9}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-minimap .u-mm-node{fill: var(--nx-text-muted)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-minimap .u-node-live{fill: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-minimap .u-node-done{fill: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-mm-view{fill: none;stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1;stroke-dasharray: 2 2}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-tl-bar{fill: var(--nx-text-muted)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-tl-bar.u-node-done{fill: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-tl-bar.u-node-live{fill: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-tl-bar.u-node-gate,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-tl-bar.u-node-decision{fill: var(--nxe-b,var(--nx-accent))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-tb-badge{fill: transparent}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-box{fill: var(--nx-bg-elevated);stroke: var(--nx-border-hairline-strong);stroke-width: 1}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-tag{fill: var(--nx-bg-muted);stroke: var(--nx-border-hairline);stroke-width: 1}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-tag-text{fill: var(--nx-text-muted)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-done .u-node-tag{fill: var(--nx-text-primary);stroke: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-done .u-node-tag-text{fill: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-live .u-node-box{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.5}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-live .u-node-tag{fill: var(--nx-accent);stroke: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-live .u-node-tag-text{fill: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-gate .u-node-box{stroke-dasharray: 3 3}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-node-decision .u-node-box{stroke: var(--nx-text-primary)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-edge{fill: none;stroke: var(--nx-text-muted);stroke-width: 1.2;opacity: 0.8}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-edge-live{stroke: url(#nx-gp);stroke-width: 1.8;opacity: 1}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-edge-next{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1.4;stroke-dasharray: 4 3}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-arrow{fill: var(--nx-text-muted)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-arrow-live{fill: var(--nxe-b,var(--nx-accent))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-now-line{stroke: var(--nx-accent);stroke-width: 1;stroke-dasharray: 2 3}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag .u-ink-on-accent{fill: var(--nx-bg-canvas)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-nx-motion] .nx-dag:not([data-in]) .u-edge{stroke-dasharray: 1;stroke-dashoffset: 1}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-nx-motion] .nx-dag:not([data-in]) .u-node,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-nx-motion] .nx-dag:not([data-in]) .u-now{opacity: 0}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] .u-edge{stroke-dasharray: 1;animation: nx-draw 600ms var(--nx-ease) both}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] .u-edge-next{animation: nx-draw 600ms var(--nx-ease) both}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] .u-node,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] .u-now{animation: nx-reveal 360ms var(--nx-ease) both}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"1\"]{animation-delay: 0ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"2\"]{animation-delay: 120ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"3\"]{animation-delay: 240ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"4\"]{animation-delay: 360ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"5\"]{animation-delay: 480ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"6\"]{animation-delay: 600ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"7\"]{animation-delay: 720ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"8\"]{animation-delay: 840ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"9\"]{animation-delay: 960ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"10\"]{animation-delay: 1080ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"11\"]{animation-delay: 1200ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"12\"]{animation-delay: 1320ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"13\"]{animation-delay: 1440ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] [data-step=\"14\"]{animation-delay: 1560ms}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] .u-node-live .u-live{animation: nx-pulse 1600ms var(--nx-ease) 1700ms 3;transform-box: fill-box;transform-origin: center}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-nx-motion] .nx-dag:not([data-in]) .u-edge-flow{opacity: 0}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-dag[data-in] .u-edge-flow{animation: nx-flow 1400ms linear 1600ms infinite}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-field[data-ring] .u-cell{pointer-events: visible}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe .nx-field[data-matrix] .u-cell{fill: var(--nx-bg-surface);stroke: var(--nx-border-hairline);stroke-width: 1;transition: fill 240ms var(--nx-ease),fill-opacity 240ms var(--nx-ease);pointer-events: visible}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"coverage\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"coverage-1\"]{fill: var(--nxi-a,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 0.3}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"coverage\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"coverage-2\"]{fill: var(--nxi-a,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 0.55}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"coverage\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"coverage-3\"]{fill: var(--nxi-b,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 0.85}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"coverage\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"coverage-4\"]{fill: var(--nxi-c,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 1}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"evidence\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"evidence-1\"]{fill: var(--nxi-a,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 0.3}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"evidence\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"evidence-2\"]{fill: var(--nxi-a,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 0.55}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"evidence\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"evidence-3\"]{fill: var(--nxi-b,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 0.85}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"evidence\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"evidence-4\"]{fill: var(--nxi-c,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 1}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"decision\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"decision-1\"]{fill: var(--nxi-a,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 0.3}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"decision\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"decision-2\"]{fill: var(--nxi-a,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 0.55}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"decision\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"decision-3\"]{fill: var(--nxi-b,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 0.85}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe [data-active=\"decision\"] .nx-field[data-matrix] [data-link~=\"decision-4\"]{fill: var(--nxi-c,var(--nx-accent));fill-opacity: 1}@media (prefers-reduced-motion: reduce){#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe *,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe *::before,#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe *::after{transition: none;animation: none}}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"water\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-water-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-water-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"energy\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-energy-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-energy-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"food\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-food-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-food-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"health\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-health-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-health-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"biodiversity\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-biodiversity-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-biodiversity-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"infrastructure\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-infrastructure-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-infrastructure-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"climate\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-climate-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-climate-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"risk\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-risk-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-risk-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"systemic\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-systemic-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-systemic-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"finance\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-finance-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-finance-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"supply\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-supply-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-supply-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"social\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-social-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-social-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain=\"project\"]{--nxd-a: var(--nxp-project-a);--nxd-b: var(--nxp-project-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-hero{position: relative;overflow: hidden}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-hero::before{content: \"\";position: absolute;inset: 0 0 auto 0;height: 3px;background: linear-gradient(90deg,var(--nxd-a),var(--nxd-b) 55%,var(--nx-accent))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-hero::after{content: \"\";position: absolute;inset: 0;pointer-events: none}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-hero-grid{position: relative}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-accent-rule{background: linear-gradient(90deg,var(--nxd-a),var(--nxd-b))}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-eyebrow-row .nx-eyebrow:nth-child(3){color: var(--nxd-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-plate{border-top: 2px solid transparent;border-image: linear-gradient(90deg,var(--nxd-a),var(--nxd-b) 60%,transparent) 1}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-plate-label .nx-eyebrow strong{color: var(--nxd-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-kpi:first-child .nx-metric{color: var(--nxd-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-signals dl>div:first-child .nx-metric{color: var(--nx-accent)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-index-strip a[data-current=\"true\"]{color: var(--nxd-b);border-color: var(--nxd-b)}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-domain] .nx-dag .u-edge-live{stroke: 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14px}#nxe-n-g01-topics-drought-and-flood.nxe[data-grammar=\"atlas\"] .nx-hero>.nx-container>.nx-theme-toggle{justify-self: start}}<\/style><svg class=\"nx-defs\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"0\" height=\"0\"><defs><linearGradient id=\"nx-gi\" x1=\"0\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"1\" y2=\"1\"><stop offset=\"0\" class=\"nx-gi-a\"\/><stop offset=\"0.55\" class=\"nx-gi-b\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" class=\"nx-gi-c\"\/><\/linearGradient><linearGradient id=\"nx-giu\" gradientUnits=\"userSpaceOnUse\" x1=\"0\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"800\" y2=\"0\"><stop offset=\"0\" class=\"nx-gi-a\"\/><stop offset=\"0.55\" class=\"nx-gi-b\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" class=\"nx-gi-c\"\/><\/linearGradient><linearGradient id=\"nx-gp\" x1=\"0\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"1\" y2=\"1\"><stop offset=\"0\" class=\"nx-gp-a\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" class=\"nx-gp-b\"\/><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><section class=\"nx-hero\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-title-1\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-theme-toggle\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Appearance of this page\" hidden><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"light\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Light<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"dark\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Dark<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"auto\" aria-pressed=\"true\">Auto<\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-folio\" aria-label=\"Document reference\"><strong>G01 \u00b7 TOPIC \u00b7 drought-and-flood<\/strong>GCRI dossier \u00b7 service level R0<\/div><div class=\"nx-hero-grid\"><div><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">GCRI<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Water Nexus<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Established<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-accent-row\"><span class=\"nx-accent-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span>Topic dossier \u00b7 Water Nexus<\/span><\/div><h1 id=\"nx-title-1\" class=\"nx-hero-title\">Drought and flood<\/h1><p class=\"nx-tagline\">Droughts and floods are the two ends of hydrological variability, and they increasingly occur together: a dry season that empties reservoirs and dries soils, then intense rain on hard ground that overwhelms drainage. This page sets out how the two extremes develop, how they are measured and forecast, and what the forecasts can and cannot tell the people who must act on them.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/contact\/\">Make an enquiry <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/\">Back to Topics<\/a><\/div><dl class=\"nx-facts\"><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Publisher<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation<\/dd><\/div><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Field<\/dt><dd>Water, Climate and hazards, Critical infrastructure<\/dd><\/div><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Status<\/dt><dd>Established<\/dd><\/div><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Service level<\/dt><dd>R0: information and enquiries<\/dd><\/div><\/dl><\/div><div><div class=\"nx-window\"><div class=\"nx-window-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"nx-window-dots\"><span><\/span><span><\/span><span><\/span><\/span><span><strong>GCRI<\/strong> \u00b7 Water Nexus<\/span><span class=\"nx-window-note\">Illustrative<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-figure-frame\" data-scene=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-figure nx-ui\" viewBox=\"0 0 1200 300\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-ui-trace-t nx-ui-trace-d\"><title id=\"nx-ui-trace-t\">Cascade trace, illustrative interface<\/title><desc id=\"nx-ui-trace-d\">An illustrative trace of a compound drought and heat cascade in six steps from a rainfall deficit to hospital continuity at risk, each with its time offset, an evidence label and a falling confidence meter. Names and values are placeholders.<\/desc><defs><pattern id=\"nx-ui-trace-dots\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" patternUnits=\"userSpaceOnUse\"><circle class=\"u-dotfield\" cx=\"8\" cy=\"8\" r=\"0.7\"\/><\/pattern><\/defs><rect class=\"u-canvas\" width=\"1200\" height=\"300\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect width=\"1200\" height=\"300\" fill=\"url(#nx-ui-trace-dots)\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"40\" y=\"44\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.14em\">CASCADE TRACE \u00b7 COMPOUND DROUGHT AND HEAT<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"1160\" y=\"44\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"end\">ILLUSTRATIVE \u00b7 EVIDENCE LABEL PER STEP<\/text><line class=\"u-hair-s\" x1=\"120\" x2=\"1080\" y1=\"128\" y2=\"128\"\/><line class=\"u-accent-stroke\" x1=\"120\" x2=\"696\" y1=\"128\" y2=\"128\" stroke-width=\"2\"\/><circle class=\"u-fill-solid\" cx=\"120\" cy=\"128\" r=\"9\"\/><path class=\"u-stroke-bg\" d=\"M 115 128 L 118.5 131.5 L 125 124.5\" fill=\"none\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink1\" x=\"120\" y=\"92\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">T0<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w500\" x=\"120\" y=\"166\" font-size=\"12.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Rainfall deficit<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"120\" y=\"186\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Seasonal rainfall below<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"120\" y=\"201\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">the 10th percentile<\/text><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"78\" y=\"216\" width=\"84\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"120\" y=\"230\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">OBSERVED<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"78\" y=\"252\" width=\"84\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><rect class=\"u-fill-ink2\" x=\"78\" y=\"252\" width=\"76\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><circle class=\"u-fill-solid\" cx=\"312\" cy=\"128\" r=\"9\"\/><path class=\"u-stroke-bg\" d=\"M 307 128 L 310.5 131.5 L 317 124.5\" fill=\"none\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink1\" x=\"312\" y=\"92\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">T+3 W<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w500\" x=\"312\" y=\"166\" font-size=\"12.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Reservoir below rule curve<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"312\" y=\"186\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Storage crosses the<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"312\" y=\"201\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">operating threshold<\/text><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"270\" y=\"216\" width=\"84\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"312\" y=\"230\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">OBSERVED<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"270\" y=\"252\" width=\"84\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><rect class=\"u-fill-ink2\" x=\"270\" y=\"252\" width=\"72\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><circle class=\"u-fill-solid\" cx=\"504\" cy=\"128\" r=\"9\"\/><path class=\"u-stroke-bg\" d=\"M 499 128 L 502.5 131.5 L 509 124.5\" fill=\"none\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink1\" x=\"504\" y=\"92\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">T+5 W<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w500\" x=\"504\" y=\"166\" font-size=\"12.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Hydropower output falls<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"504\" y=\"186\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Turbine dispatch cut<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"504\" y=\"201\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">as head drops<\/text><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"462\" y=\"216\" width=\"84\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"504\" y=\"230\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">MODELLED<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"462\" y=\"252\" width=\"84\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><rect class=\"u-fill-ink2\" x=\"462\" y=\"252\" width=\"52\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><circle class=\"u-panel-fill u-stroke-ink1\" cx=\"696\" cy=\"128\" r=\"9\" stroke-width=\"1.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-accent\" cx=\"696\" cy=\"128\" r=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink1\" x=\"696\" y=\"92\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">T+6 W<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"696\" y=\"166\" font-size=\"12.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Grid load shedding<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"696\" y=\"186\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Reserve margin exhausted<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"696\" y=\"201\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">at evening peak<\/text><rect class=\"u-chip u-accent-stroke\" x=\"654\" y=\"216\" width=\"84\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"696\" y=\"230\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">SCENARIO<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"654\" y=\"252\" width=\"84\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><rect class=\"u-accent\" x=\"654\" y=\"252\" width=\"39\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><circle class=\"u-panel-fill u-hair-s\" cx=\"888\" cy=\"128\" r=\"9\" stroke-dasharray=\"2 3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"888\" y=\"92\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">T+6 W<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w500\" x=\"888\" y=\"166\" font-size=\"12.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Treatment interrupted<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"888\" y=\"186\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Pumping and chlorination<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"888\" y=\"201\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">lose power<\/text><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"846\" y=\"216\" width=\"84\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"888\" y=\"230\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">SCENARIO<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"846\" y=\"252\" width=\"84\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><rect class=\"u-fill-ink2\" x=\"846\" y=\"252\" width=\"32\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><circle class=\"u-panel-fill u-hair-s\" cx=\"1080\" cy=\"128\" r=\"9\" stroke-dasharray=\"2 3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"1080\" y=\"92\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">T+7 W<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w500\" x=\"1080\" y=\"166\" font-size=\"12.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Hospital continuity at risk<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"1080\" y=\"186\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Backup fuel hours below<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink3 u-w400\" x=\"1080\" y=\"201\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\">the planning floor<\/text><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"1038\" y=\"216\" width=\"84\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"1080\" y=\"230\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">ESTIMATED<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"1038\" y=\"252\" width=\"84\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><rect class=\"u-fill-ink2\" x=\"1038\" y=\"252\" width=\"25\" height=\"4\" rx=\"2\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"60\" y=\"258\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"end\">CONFIDENCE<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"40\" y=\"284\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">CONFIDENCE FALLS ALONG THE CHAIN \u00b7 A LATER STEP NEVER INHERITS THE LABEL OF AN EARLIER ONE<\/text><\/svg><\/div><\/div><p class=\"nx-caption\"><strong>Water Nexus<\/strong><span>Wireframe of the working environment, not a live screen. Names and values are placeholders.<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section> <nav class=\"nx-index-strip\" data-nx-spy=\"true\" aria-label=\"On this page\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><a href=\"#nx-s-2-sec\"><span>01<\/span>Why drought and flood matters<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-3-sec\"><span>02<\/span>How drought and flood connects<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-4-sec\"><span>03<\/span>How the shock moves through the field<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-5-sec\"><span>04<\/span>Water Nexus on the map<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-6-sec\"><span>05<\/span>What is measured, and how well<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-7-sec\"><span>06<\/span>From sources to decisions<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-8-sec\"><span>07<\/span>Where the evidence comes from<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-9-sec\"><span>08<\/span>Who decides, and what the evidence\u2026<\/a><\/div><\/nav> <div class=\"nx-signals\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Water Nexus in figures, from the registry\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><dl><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">STEM methods<\/dt><dd class=\"nx-metric\" data-count=\"true\">9<\/dd><dd class=\"nx-metric-note\">Canonical methods this field applies<\/dd><dd class=\"nx-sig-wrap\"><span class=\"nx-sig\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><\/dd><\/div><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Topics<\/dt><dd class=\"nx-metric\" data-count=\"true\">8<\/dd><dd class=\"nx-metric-note\">Subject pages in the field<\/dd><dd class=\"nx-sig-wrap\"><span class=\"nx-sig\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><\/dd><\/div><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Counterparts<\/dt><dd class=\"nx-metric\" data-count=\"true\">10<\/dd><dd class=\"nx-metric-note\">Platforms in shared fields at GCRI, GRF and GRA<\/dd><dd class=\"nx-sig-wrap\"><span class=\"nx-sig\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><\/dd><\/div><div><dt class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Report series<\/dt><dd class=\"nx-metric\" data-count=\"true\">3<\/dd><dd class=\"nx-metric-note\">Nexus Reports series it contributes to<\/dd><dd class=\"nx-sig-wrap\"><span class=\"nx-sig\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><\/dd><\/div><\/dl><\/div><\/div><section id=\"nx-s-2-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"water\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-2\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">The question<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-2\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Why drought and flood matters.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Compound water extremes, forecasts and limits. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-kpis\" data-cols=\"4\"><div class=\"nx-kpi\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Indicators<\/span><div class=\"nx-metric\" data-count=\"true\">8<\/div><div class=\"nx-metric-note\">Named with unit, cadence, source type and label<\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-kpi\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Sources<\/span><div class=\"nx-metric\" data-count=\"true\">7<\/div><div class=\"nx-metric-note\">Public datasets and records with licence class<\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-kpi\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Methods<\/span><div class=\"nx-metric\" data-count=\"true\">5<\/div><div class=\"nx-metric-note\">Canonical methods applied on this topic<\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-kpi\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Decision holders<\/span><div class=\"nx-metric\" data-count=\"true\">4<\/div><div class=\"nx-metric-note\">Authorities the evidence serves<\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-cells\" data-cols=\"2\"><div><div class=\"nx-glyph-row\"><span class=\"nx-glyph\" data-tone=\"accent\"><svg class=\"nx-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M5 22h14\"\/><path d=\"M5 2h14\"\/><path d=\"M17 22v-4.172a2 2 0 0 0-.586-1.414L12 12l-4.414 4.414A2 2 0 0 0 7 17.828V22\"\/><path d=\"M7 2v4.172a2 2 0 0 0 .586 1.414L12 12l4.414-4.414A2 2 0 0 0 17 6.172V2\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Mechanism<\/span><\/div><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Deficit builds slowly<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">A rainfall deficit becomes a soil-moisture deficit, then low river flow and falling reservoirs and groundwater. Heat deepens it: higher evaporation and higher demand for irrigation and cooling at the same time.<\/p><\/div><div><div class=\"nx-glyph-row\"><span class=\"nx-glyph\" data-tone=\"accent\"><svg class=\"nx-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M22 12h-2.48a2 2 0 0 0-1.93 1.46l-2.35 8.36a.25.25 0 0 1-.48 0L9.24 2.18a.25.25 0 0 0-.48 0l-2.35 8.36A2 2 0 0 1 4.49 12H2\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Mechanism<\/span><\/div><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Floods arrive fast<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Flash floods from intense convective rain, river floods from sustained basin-wide rain or snowmelt, and coastal floods from surge and tide. The same storm can produce all three.<\/p><\/div><div><div class=\"nx-glyph-row\"><span class=\"nx-glyph\" data-tone=\"accent\"><svg class=\"nx-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"4.5\" r=\"2.5\"\/><path d=\"m10.2 6.3-3.9 3.9\"\/><circle cx=\"4.5\" cy=\"12\" r=\"2.5\"\/><path d=\"M7 12h10\"\/><circle cx=\"19.5\" cy=\"12\" r=\"2.5\"\/><path d=\"m13.8 17.7 3.9-3.9\"\/><circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"19.5\" r=\"2.5\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Mechanism<\/span><\/div><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">The two compound<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">A warmer atmosphere holds more moisture and releases it in heavier bursts. Dry, compacted or burnt ground sheds water instead of absorbing it, so a drought raises the flood risk of the rain that ends it.<\/p><\/div><div><div class=\"nx-glyph-row\"><span class=\"nx-glyph\" data-tone=\"accent\"><svg class=\"nx-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M19.07 4.93A10 10 0 0 0 6.99 3.34\"\/><path d=\"M4 6h.01\"\/><path d=\"M2.29 9.62A10 10 0 1 0 21.31 8.35\"\/><path d=\"M16.24 7.76A6 6 0 1 0 8.23 16.67\"\/><path d=\"M12 18h.01\"\/><path d=\"M17.99 11.66A6 6 0 0 1 15.77 16.67\"\/><circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"2\"\/><path d=\"m13.41 10.59 5.66-5.66\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Mechanism<\/span><\/div><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Impacts cascade<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Reservoir storage sets hydropower output; turbine curtailment strains the grid; pumping and treatment lose power; hospitals fall back on fuel. Each step carries its own evidence label and its own uncertainty.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-3-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-3\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Systems<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-3\" class=\"nx-section-title\">How drought and flood connects.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The systems this subject touches, the method at its core and the decisions it informs.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><figure class=\"nx-figure-block\"><div class=\"nx-figure-frame\" data-scene=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-figure nx-ui\" viewBox=\"0 0 800 450\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-sm-therisk-global-water-nexus-topics-drought--t nx-sm-therisk-global-water-nexus-topics-drought--d\"><title id=\"nx-sm-therisk-global-water-nexus-topics-drought--t\">Drought and flood: systems map<\/title><desc id=\"nx-sm-therisk-global-water-nexus-topics-drought--d\">How Drought and flood links to Water, Climate and hazards, Critical infrastructure, Food Nexus, Energy Nexus and informs Risk assessment, Planning and investment, Preparedness and warning, Adaptation choices, Research priorities. Illustrative.<\/desc><defs><pattern id=\"nx-sm-therisk-global-water-nexus-topics-drought--dots\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" patternUnits=\"userSpaceOnUse\"><circle class=\"u-dotfield\" cx=\"8\" cy=\"8\" r=\"0.7\"\/><\/pattern><\/defs><rect class=\"u-canvas\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect width=\"800\" height=\"450\" fill=\"url(#nx-sm-therisk-global-water-nexus-topics-drought--dots)\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"30\" y=\"46\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">LINKED SYSTEMS<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 220 102 C 275 102, 275 225, 330 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"30\" y=\"86\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"42\" y=\"106\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Water<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 220 172 C 275 172, 275 225, 330 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"30\" y=\"156\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"42\" y=\"176\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Climate and hazards<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 220 242 C 275 242, 275 225, 330 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"30\" y=\"226\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"42\" y=\"246\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Critical infrastructure<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 220 312 C 275 312, 275 225, 330 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"30\" y=\"296\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"42\" y=\"316\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Food Nexus<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 220 382 C 275 382, 275 225, 330 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"30\" y=\"366\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"42\" y=\"386\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Energy Nexus<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"770\" y=\"46\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"end\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DECISIONS IT INFORMS<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 580 102 C 525 102, 525 225, 470 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"580\" y=\"86\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"592\" y=\"106\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Risk assessment<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 580 172 C 525 172, 525 225, 470 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"580\" y=\"156\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"592\" y=\"176\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Planning and investment<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 580 242 C 525 242, 525 225, 470 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"580\" y=\"226\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"592\" y=\"246\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Preparedness and warning<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 580 312 C 525 312, 525 225, 470 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"580\" y=\"296\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"592\" y=\"316\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Adaptation choices<\/text><path class=\"u-hair-s\" d=\"M 580 382 C 525 382, 525 225, 470 225\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"580\" y=\"366\" width=\"190\" height=\"32\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink2 u-w400\" x=\"592\" y=\"386\" font-size=\"11.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Research priorities<\/text><rect class=\"u-panel-fill u-stroke-ink1\" x=\"330\" y=\"185\" width=\"140\" height=\"80\" rx=\"8\" stroke-width=\"1.5\"\/><rect class=\"u-accent\" x=\"330\" y=\"185\" width=\"140\" height=\"3\" rx=\"1.5\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"400\" y=\"213\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">SUBJECT<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w500\" x=\"400\" y=\"235\" font-size=\"13\" text-anchor=\"middle\">Drought and flood<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"400\" y=\"253\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">HYDROLOGY AND WATER S\u2026<\/text><\/svg><\/div><figcaption class=\"nx-caption\"><span>Systems map for Drought and flood. Illustrative: it shows relationships, not measured strengths.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-4-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-4\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Explorer<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-4\" class=\"nx-section-title\">How the shock moves through the field.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Select a scenario. Real geography, placeholder values: the cells show a design of how stress spreads, not a measurement.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-explorer\" data-nx-tabs=\"true\" data-active=\"baseline\" data-levels=\"No signal|Low|Elevated|High|Severe\" data-ratio=\"7-5\"><div><div class=\"nx-plate\"><div class=\"nx-plate-label\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><strong>Field view<\/strong> \u00b7 select a scenario<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" data-tip=\"Coastlines, lakes and rivers from Natural Earth; elevation from Terrain Tiles. Cell levels are placeholders a national programme replaces with its own evidence.\" tabindex=\"0\">Real geography \u00b7 placeholder values<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-figure-frame\"><svg class=\"nx-figure nx-field\" data-terrain=\"true\" viewBox=\"0 0 1140 640\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-field-basin-t nx-field-basin-d\"><title id=\"nx-field-basin-t\">Basin stress field, illustrative values on real geography<\/title><desc id=\"nx-field-basin-d\">The Lower Mekong region with real coastlines, lakes and rivers from Natural Earth and elevation from terrain tiles: bathymetry, hypsometric land bands and contour lines. Hexagonal cells over land are coloured by an illustrative stress level that changes with the selected scenario: baseline, drought and heat, or flood after drought. 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class=\"u-stroke-ink2\" x1=\"398.7\" x2=\"542.2\" y1=\"604\" y2=\"604\" stroke-width=\"2\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"398.690552594534\" y=\"596\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">200 KM<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"1116\" y=\"620\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"end\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">2,350 CELLS \u00b7 H3 RESOLUTION 5<\/text><\/svg><\/div><div class=\"nx-legend\"><span>No signal<\/span><span data-l=\"1\">Low<\/span><span data-l=\"2\">Elevated<\/span><span data-l=\"3\">High<\/span><span data-l=\"4\">Severe<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-legend\"><span data-t=\"sea\">Sea floor<\/span><span data-t=\"0\">Delta, 0 to 10 m<\/span><span data-t=\"2\">Plain, 50 to 150 m<\/span><span data-t=\"4\">Upland, 400 to 800 m<\/span><span data-t=\"6\">Highland, 1,500 to 2,500 m<\/span><span data-t=\"river\">Rivers<\/span><\/div><\/div><p class=\"nx-caption\"><strong>Fig. 01<\/strong><span>Drought and flood on a reference basin with real elevation, coastlines, lakes and rivers. Cell levels are placeholders, not results; a national programme replaces them with its own labelled evidence.<\/span><\/p><\/div><div><div class=\"nx-tablist\" role=\"tablist\" aria-label=\"Scenario\"><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-tab-baseline\" aria-controls=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-panel-baseline\" aria-selected=\"true\" data-key=\"baseline\">Baseline<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-tab-drought\" aria-controls=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-panel-drought\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"drought\">Drought and heat<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-tab-flood\" aria-controls=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-panel-flood\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"flood\">Flood after drought<\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-panel\" role=\"tabpanel\" id=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-panel-baseline\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-tab-baseline\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Baseline<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Before a shock<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-2\">The reference basin in a normal season: storage within rule curves, flows near the median, no indicator in deficit.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-panel\" role=\"tabpanel\" id=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-panel-drought\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-tab-drought\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Drought and heat<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Stress builds inland<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-2\">Deficit indicators agree inland first; hydropower and treatment feel it weeks later. Each step keeps its own label and confidence.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-panel\" role=\"tabpanel\" id=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-panel-flood\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-g01-drought-and-flood-tab-flood\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Flood after drought<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">The coast and the lake plain take the second shock<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-2\">Intense rain on dry ground overwhelms drainage and inundates treatment works and pumping stations. The same model shows where the two shocks compound.<\/p><\/div><p class=\"nx-note\">Levels in the figure are placeholders in a design, not findings. A programme replaces them with labelled evidence it owns.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-5-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"water\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-5\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Field<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-5\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Water Nexus on the map.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Where this page&#8217;s subject sits in the world: boundaries and context now, the field layers when the interactive map loads.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-plate\" data-wide=\"true\"><div class=\"nx-plate-label\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><strong>Field<\/strong> \u00b7 world view<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Design figure until live<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-figure-frame\" data-scene=\"true\"><div class=\"nx-map\" data-nx-map=\"world\"><div class=\"nx-figure-frame\" data-scene=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-figure nx-world\" viewBox=\"0 0 1000 500\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-world-t nx-world-d\"><title id=\"nx-world-t\">World map, Equal Earth projection<\/title><desc id=\"nx-world-d\">Land and country boundaries from Natural Earth at 1:110 million, drawn in the Equal Earth projection with a fifteen degree graticule. 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class=\"u-sphere-line\" d=\"M207,10L500,10L793,10L844,34L865,47L886,61L905,76L923,93L940,111L954,129L966,148L976,168L984,188L989,209L993,229L994,250L993,271L989,291L984,312L976,332L966,352L954,371L940,389L923,407L905,424L886,439L865,453L844,466L793,490L500,490L207,490L156,466L135,453L114,439L95,424L77,407L60,389L46,371L34,352L24,332L16,312L11,291L7,271L6,250L7,229L11,209L16,188L24,168L34,148L46,129L60,111L77,93L95,76L114,61L135,47L156,34L207,10Z\"\/><\/svg><\/div><div class=\"nx-live-slot nx-live-slot--map\" data-nxf-slot=\"map\" data-nxf-kind=\"map\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G01\/topics\/drought-and-flood\/#map\" data-nxf-title=\"Water Nexus live map\" data-nxf-height=\"560\" hidden><\/div><div class=\"nx-map-hud\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 Water Nexus \u00b7 field<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-map-hud-right\">DESIGN FIGURE<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><p class=\"nx-caption\"><strong>Map<\/strong><span>World map in the Equal Earth projection, land and boundaries from Natural Earth (public domain). The interactive map loads through the Nexus Foundry plugin (globe or flat view).<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-6-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-6\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Indicators<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-6\" class=\"nx-section-title\">What is measured, and how well.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Indicator<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Unit<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Cadence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source type<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Label<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Indicator\">Standardised precipitation index<\/td><td data-label=\"Unit\">dimensionless (3, 6, 12 month)<\/td><td data-label=\"Cadence\">monthly<\/td><td data-label=\"Source type\">Gauge and satellite rainfall<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">ESTIMATED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Indicator\">Soil moisture anomaly<\/td><td data-label=\"Unit\">percent of climatology<\/td><td data-label=\"Cadence\">weekly<\/td><td data-label=\"Source type\">Satellite radiometry, land-surface model<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">MODELLED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Indicator\">Streamflow percentile<\/td><td data-label=\"Unit\">percent of period of record<\/td><td data-label=\"Cadence\">daily<\/td><td data-label=\"Source type\">Stream gauges<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">OBSERVED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Indicator\">Reservoir storage<\/td><td data-label=\"Unit\">percent of live capacity<\/td><td data-label=\"Cadence\">daily<\/td><td data-label=\"Source type\">Operator records<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">OFFICIAL<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Indicator\">Groundwater level anomaly<\/td><td data-label=\"Unit\">metres below mean<\/td><td data-label=\"Cadence\">monthly<\/td><td data-label=\"Source type\">Observation wells, satellite gravimetry<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">OBSERVED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Indicator\">Flood return period of peak flow<\/td><td data-label=\"Unit\">years<\/td><td data-label=\"Cadence\">per event<\/td><td data-label=\"Source type\">Flood frequency analysis<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">ESTIMATED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Indicator\">Inundated area<\/td><td data-label=\"Unit\">square kilometres<\/td><td data-label=\"Cadence\">per event<\/td><td data-label=\"Source type\">Synthetic-aperture radar<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">OBSERVED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Indicator\">Population in the flood extent<\/td><td data-label=\"Unit\">persons<\/td><td data-label=\"Cadence\">per event<\/td><td data-label=\"Source type\">Gridded population on the flood layer<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">ESTIMATED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"indicators\" data-nxf-kind=\"indicator\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G01\/topics\/drought-and-flood\/#indicators\" data-nxf-title=\"Indicators\" data-nxf-height=\"520\" hidden><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-7-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-7\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">06<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Canvas<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-7\" class=\"nx-section-title\">From sources to decisions.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The topic as a computational graph: named sources feed the methods, an evidence review gates the outputs, and the decisions stay with the authorities that hold them.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-plate\" data-wide=\"true\"><div class=\"nx-plate-label\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><strong>Pipeline canvas<\/strong> \u00b7 Drought and flood as a run graph<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Design, not a record<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-figure-frame\" data-scene=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-figure nx-ui nx-dag\" viewBox=\"0 0 1200 668\" data-nx-dag=\"true\" data-w=\"1200\" data-h=\"668\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-dag-g01-drought-and-flood-t nx-dag-g01-drought-and-flood-d\"><title id=\"nx-dag-g01-drought-and-flood-t\">Drought and flood: from sources to decisions<\/title><desc id=\"nx-dag-g01-drought-and-flood-d\">Named sources feed the methods applied on Water Nexus; an evidence review gate labels and bounds the outputs; the decisions stay with the authorities that hold them. 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y2=\"60\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"18\" y=\"35\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.04em\">runs \/ water-nexus \/ drought-and-flood<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag u-tb-badge\" x=\"282.79999999999995\" y=\"21\" width=\"92\" height=\"18\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"328.79999999999995\" y=\"33.5\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">DESIGN RUN<\/text><g class=\"u-tb\" data-action=\"zoom-in\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"zoom in\"><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"987.4\" y=\"20\" width=\"24.6\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"999.6999999999999\" y=\"34\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">+<\/text><\/g><g class=\"u-tb\" data-action=\"zoom-out\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"zoom out\"><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"954.8\" y=\"20\" width=\"24.6\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"967.0999999999999\" y=\"34\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">\u2212<\/text><\/g><g class=\"u-tb\" data-action=\"fit\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"fit\"><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"909\" y=\"20\" width=\"37.8\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"927.9\" y=\"34\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">FIT<\/text><\/g><g class=\"u-tb\" data-action=\"play\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"play\"><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"856.6\" y=\"20\" width=\"44.4\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"878.8000000000001\" y=\"34\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">PLAY<\/text><\/g><rect class=\"u-chip\" x=\"758\" y=\"20\" width=\"90.6\" height=\"20\" rx=\"4\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"803.3\" y=\"34\" font-size=\"10.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">LAYOUT \u00b7 LR<\/text><rect class=\"u-group\" x=\"49.2\" y=\"79\" width=\"180\" height=\"426\" rx=\"8\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"59.2\" y=\"93\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">PUBLIC SOURCES<\/text><rect class=\"u-group\" x=\"279.6\" y=\"79\" width=\"180\" height=\"426\" rx=\"8\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"289.6\" y=\"93\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">WATER NEXUS \u00b7 METHODS<\/text><rect class=\"u-group\" x=\"510\" y=\"183\" width=\"180\" height=\"114\" rx=\"8\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"520\" y=\"197\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">REVIEW<\/text><rect class=\"u-group\" x=\"740.4000000000001\" y=\"79\" width=\"180\" height=\"426\" rx=\"8\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"750.4000000000001\" y=\"93\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">OUTPUTS<\/text><rect class=\"u-group\" x=\"970.8000000000001\" y=\"79\" width=\"180.0000000000001\" height=\"426\" rx=\"8\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"980.8000000000001\" y=\"93\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">COMPETENT AUTHORITIES<\/text><path class=\"u-edge u-edge-live\" data-step=\"5\" data-from=\"s0\" data-to=\"m0\" pathLength=\"1\" d=\"M 217.2 142 C 254.4 142 254.4 142 291.6 142\" marker-end=\"url(#nx-dag-g01-drought-and-flood-arrow-live)\"\/><path class=\"u-edge-flow\" d=\"M 217.2 142 C 254.4 142 254.4 142 291.6 142\"\/><path class=\"u-edge u-edge-live\" data-step=\"5\" data-from=\"s1\" data-to=\"m1\" pathLength=\"1\" d=\"M 217.2 246 C 254.4 246 254.4 246 291.6 246\" marker-end=\"url(#nx-dag-g01-drought-and-flood-arrow-live)\"\/><path class=\"u-edge-flow\" d=\"M 217.2 246 C 254.4 246 254.4 246 291.6 246\"\/><path class=\"u-edge u-edge-live\" data-step=\"6\" data-from=\"s2\" data-to=\"m2\" pathLength=\"1\" d=\"M 217.2 350 C 254.4 350 254.4 350 291.6 350\" marker-end=\"url(#nx-dag-g01-drought-and-flood-arrow-live)\"\/><path class=\"u-edge-flow\" d=\"M 217.2 350 C 254.4 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454 C 945.6000000000001 454 945.6000000000001 454 982.8000000000001 454\" marker-end=\"url(#nx-dag-g01-drought-and-flood-arrow)\"\/><g class=\"u-node u-node-done\" data-step=\"2\" data-node=\"s0\" data-label=\"CHIRPS rainfall\" data-type=\"dataset\" data-state=\"DONE\" data-m1=\"Public domain\" data-m2=\"label: OFFICIAL\" data-group=\"Public sources\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"CHIRPS rainfall, dataset, done\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"103\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"103\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"117\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"109\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(69.2,109)\" d=\"M3 4.5c0-1 2-1.5 4-1.5s4 .5 4 1.5v5c0 1-2 1.5-4 1.5s-4-.5-4-1.5zM3 7c0 1 2 1.5 4 1.5s4-.5 4-1.5\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"89.2\" y=\"120.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">CHIRPS rainfall<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"145\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DATASET<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"159\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">Public domain<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"172\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">label: OFFICIAL<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"172.39999999999998\" y=\"136\" width=\"36.8\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"190.79999999999998\" y=\"147\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">DONE<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"217.2\" cy=\"142\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-done\" data-step=\"2\" data-node=\"s1\" data-label=\"ERA5 reanalysis\u2026\" data-type=\"dataset\" data-state=\"DONE\" data-m1=\"Free and open,\u2026\" data-m2=\"label: OBSERVED\" data-group=\"Public sources\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"ERA5 reanalysis\u2026, dataset, done\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"221\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"213\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(69.2,213)\" d=\"M3 4.5c0-1 2-1.5 4-1.5s4 .5 4 1.5v5c0 1-2 1.5-4 1.5s-4-.5-4-1.5zM3 7c0 1 2 1.5 4 1.5s4-.5 4-1.5\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"89.2\" y=\"224.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">ERA5 reanalysis\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"249\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DATASET<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"263\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">Free and open,\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"276\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">label: OBSERVED<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"172.39999999999998\" y=\"240\" width=\"36.8\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"190.79999999999998\" y=\"251\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">DONE<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"217.2\" cy=\"246\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-done\" data-step=\"3\" data-node=\"s2\" data-label=\"Global Runoff Data\u2026\" data-type=\"dataset\" data-state=\"DONE\" data-m1=\"Free for research and\u2026\" data-m2=\"label: OFFICIAL\" data-group=\"Public sources\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Global Runoff Data\u2026, dataset, done\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"311\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"311\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"325\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"317\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(69.2,317)\" d=\"M3 4.5c0-1 2-1.5 4-1.5s4 .5 4 1.5v5c0 1-2 1.5-4 1.5s-4-.5-4-1.5zM3 7c0 1 2 1.5 4 1.5s4-.5 4-1.5\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"89.2\" y=\"328.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Global Runoff Da\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"353\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DATASET<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"367\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">Free for research and\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"380\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">label: OFFICIAL<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"172.39999999999998\" y=\"344\" width=\"36.8\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"190.79999999999998\" y=\"355\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">DONE<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"217.2\" cy=\"350\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-done\" data-step=\"4\" data-node=\"s3\" data-label=\"GRACE and GRACE-FO\" data-type=\"dataset\" data-state=\"DONE\" data-m1=\"Public domain\" data-m2=\"label: OBSERVED\" data-group=\"Public sources\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"GRACE and GRACE-FO, dataset, done\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"415\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"415\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"61.2\" y=\"429\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"421\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(69.2,421)\" d=\"M3 4.5c0-1 2-1.5 4-1.5s4 .5 4 1.5v5c0 1-2 1.5-4 1.5s-4-.5-4-1.5zM3 7c0 1 2 1.5 4 1.5s4-.5 4-1.5\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"89.2\" y=\"432.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">GRACE and GRACE-\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"457\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DATASET<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"471\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">Public domain<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"69.2\" y=\"484\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">label: OBSERVED<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"172.39999999999998\" y=\"448\" width=\"36.8\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"190.79999999999998\" y=\"459\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">DONE<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"217.2\" cy=\"454\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-live\" data-step=\"5\" data-node=\"m0\" data-label=\"Hydrology and water\u2026\" data-type=\"model\" data-state=\"RUNNING\" data-m1=\"STEM Commons\" data-m2=\"assumptions stated\" data-group=\"Water Nexus \u00b7 methods\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Hydrology and water\u2026, model, running\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"103\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"103\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"117\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"109\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(299.6,109)\" d=\"M3 11l3-5 2 3 3-6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"319.6\" y=\"120.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Hydrology and wa\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"145\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">MODEL<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"159\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">STEM Commons<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"172\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">assumptions stated<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"384.20000000000005\" y=\"136\" width=\"55.4\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"411.90000000000003\" y=\"147\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">RUNNING<\/text><circle class=\"u-accent u-live\" cx=\"375.20000000000005\" cy=\"143.5\" r=\"3\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"291.6\" cy=\"142\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port u-port-live\" cx=\"447.6\" cy=\"142\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-done\" data-step=\"5\" data-node=\"m1\" data-label=\"Forecasting and\u2026\" data-type=\"model\" data-state=\"DONE\" data-m1=\"STEM Commons\" data-m2=\"assumptions stated\" data-group=\"Water Nexus \u00b7 methods\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Forecasting and\u2026, model, done\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"221\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"213\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(299.6,213)\" d=\"M3 11l3-5 2 3 3-6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"319.6\" y=\"224.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Forecasting and\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"249\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">MODEL<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"263\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">STEM Commons<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"276\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">assumptions stated<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"402.8\" y=\"240\" width=\"36.8\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"421.20000000000005\" y=\"251\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">DONE<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"291.6\" cy=\"246\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"447.6\" cy=\"246\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-done\" data-step=\"6\" data-node=\"m2\" data-label=\"Extreme value theory\u2026\" data-type=\"model\" data-state=\"DONE\" data-m1=\"STEM Commons\" data-m2=\"assumptions stated\" data-group=\"Water Nexus \u00b7 methods\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Extreme value theory\u2026, model, done\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"311\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"311\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"325\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"317\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(299.6,317)\" d=\"M3 11l3-5 2 3 3-6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"319.6\" y=\"328.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Extreme value th\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"353\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">MODEL<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"367\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">STEM Commons<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"380\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">assumptions stated<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"402.8\" y=\"344\" width=\"36.8\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"421.20000000000005\" y=\"355\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">DONE<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"291.6\" cy=\"350\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"447.6\" cy=\"350\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-done\" data-step=\"7\" data-node=\"m3\" data-label=\"Earth observation\u2026\" data-type=\"model\" data-state=\"DONE\" data-m1=\"STEM Commons\" data-m2=\"assumptions stated\" data-group=\"Water Nexus \u00b7 methods\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Earth observation\u2026, model, done\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"415\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"415\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"291.6\" y=\"429\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"421\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(299.6,421)\" d=\"M3 11l3-5 2 3 3-6\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"319.6\" y=\"432.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Earth observatio\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"457\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">MODEL<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"471\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">STEM Commons<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"299.6\" y=\"484\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">assumptions stated<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"402.8\" y=\"448\" width=\"36.8\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"421.20000000000005\" y=\"459\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">DONE<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"291.6\" cy=\"454\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"447.6\" cy=\"454\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-gate\" data-step=\"8\" data-node=\"gate\" data-label=\"Evidence review\" data-type=\"gate\" data-state=\"GATE\" data-m1=\"labels \u00b7 uncertainty\" data-m2=\"independent reviewer\" data-group=\"Review\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Evidence review, gate, gate\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"522\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"522\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"522\" y=\"221\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"530\" y=\"213\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(530,213)\" d=\"M7 2l5 5-5 5-5-5z\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"550\" y=\"224.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Evidence review<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"530\" y=\"249\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">GATE<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"530\" y=\"263\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">labels \u00b7 uncertainty<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"530\" y=\"276\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">independent reviewer<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"633.2\" y=\"240\" width=\"36.8\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"651.6\" y=\"251\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">GATE<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"522\" cy=\"228\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"522\" cy=\"240\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"522\" cy=\"252\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"522\" cy=\"264\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"678\" cy=\"228\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"678\" cy=\"240\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"678\" cy=\"252\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"678\" cy=\"264\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-queued\" data-step=\"8\" data-node=\"o0\" data-label=\"Drought monitor with\u2026\" data-type=\"dataset\" data-state=\"QUEUED\" data-m1=\"versioned \u00b7 cited\" data-m2=\"limits attached\" data-group=\"Outputs\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Drought monitor with\u2026, dataset, queued\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"103\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"103\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"117\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"109\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(760.4000000000001,109)\" d=\"M3 4.5c0-1 2-1.5 4-1.5s4 .5 4 1.5v5c0 1-2 1.5-4 1.5s-4-.5-4-1.5zM3 7c0 1 2 1.5 4 1.5s4-.5 4-1.5\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"780.4000000000001\" y=\"120.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Drought monitor \u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"145\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DATASET<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"159\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">versioned \u00b7 cited<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"172\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">limits attached<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"851.2\" y=\"136\" width=\"49.2\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"875.8000000000001\" y=\"147\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">QUEUED<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"752.4000000000001\" cy=\"142\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"908.4000000000001\" cy=\"142\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-queued\" data-step=\"9\" data-node=\"o1\" data-label=\"Seasonal and\u2026\" data-type=\"dataset\" data-state=\"QUEUED\" data-m1=\"versioned \u00b7 cited\" data-m2=\"limits attached\" data-group=\"Outputs\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Seasonal and\u2026, dataset, queued\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"221\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"213\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(760.4000000000001,213)\" d=\"M3 4.5c0-1 2-1.5 4-1.5s4 .5 4 1.5v5c0 1-2 1.5-4 1.5s-4-.5-4-1.5zM3 7c0 1 2 1.5 4 1.5s4-.5 4-1.5\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"780.4000000000001\" y=\"224.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Seasonal and\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"249\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DATASET<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"263\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">versioned \u00b7 cited<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"276\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">limits attached<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"851.2\" y=\"240\" width=\"49.2\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"875.8000000000001\" y=\"251\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">QUEUED<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"752.4000000000001\" cy=\"246\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"908.4000000000001\" cy=\"246\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-queued\" data-step=\"10\" data-node=\"o2\" data-label=\"Flood hazard maps by\u2026\" data-type=\"dataset\" data-state=\"QUEUED\" data-m1=\"versioned \u00b7 cited\" data-m2=\"limits attached\" data-group=\"Outputs\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Flood hazard maps by\u2026, dataset, queued\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"311\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"311\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"325\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"317\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(760.4000000000001,317)\" d=\"M3 4.5c0-1 2-1.5 4-1.5s4 .5 4 1.5v5c0 1-2 1.5-4 1.5s-4-.5-4-1.5zM3 7c0 1 2 1.5 4 1.5s4-.5 4-1.5\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"780.4000000000001\" y=\"328.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Flood hazard map\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"353\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DATASET<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"367\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">versioned \u00b7 cited<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"380\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">limits attached<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"851.2\" y=\"344\" width=\"49.2\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"875.8000000000001\" y=\"355\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">QUEUED<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"752.4000000000001\" cy=\"350\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"908.4000000000001\" cy=\"350\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-queued\" data-step=\"11\" data-node=\"o3\" data-label=\"Compound-event\u2026\" data-type=\"dataset\" data-state=\"QUEUED\" data-m1=\"versioned \u00b7 cited\" data-m2=\"limits attached\" data-group=\"Outputs\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Compound-event\u2026, dataset, queued\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"415\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"415\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"752.4000000000001\" y=\"429\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"421\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(760.4000000000001,421)\" d=\"M3 4.5c0-1 2-1.5 4-1.5s4 .5 4 1.5v5c0 1-2 1.5-4 1.5s-4-.5-4-1.5zM3 7c0 1 2 1.5 4 1.5s4-.5 4-1.5\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"780.4000000000001\" y=\"432.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Compound-event\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"457\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DATASET<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"471\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">versioned \u00b7 cited<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"760.4000000000001\" y=\"484\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">limits attached<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"851.2\" y=\"448\" width=\"49.2\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"875.8000000000001\" y=\"459\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">QUEUED<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"752.4000000000001\" cy=\"454\" r=\"3.5\"\/><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"908.4000000000001\" cy=\"454\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-decision\" data-step=\"11\" data-node=\"d0\" data-label=\"Water allocation\u2026\" data-type=\"decision\" data-state=\"AUTHORITY\" data-m1=\"under its own rules\" data-m2=\"never the platform\" data-group=\"Competent authorities\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Water allocation\u2026, decision, authority\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"103\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"103\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"117\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"109\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(990.8000000000001,109)\" d=\"M2 7h10M7 2v10\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"1010.8000000000001\" y=\"120.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Water allocation\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"145\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DECISION<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"159\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">under its own rules<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"172\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">never the platform<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"1063.0000000000002\" y=\"136\" width=\"67.80000000000001\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"1096.9\" y=\"147\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">AUTHORITY<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"982.8000000000001\" cy=\"142\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-decision\" data-step=\"12\" data-node=\"d1\" data-label=\"Grid and hydropower\u2026\" data-type=\"decision\" data-state=\"AUTHORITY\" data-m1=\"under its own rules\" data-m2=\"never the platform\" data-group=\"Competent authorities\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Grid and hydropower\u2026, decision, authority\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"207\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"221\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"213\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(990.8000000000001,213)\" d=\"M2 7h10M7 2v10\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"1010.8000000000001\" y=\"224.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Grid and hydropo\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"249\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DECISION<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"263\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">under its own rules<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"276\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">never the platform<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"1063.0000000000002\" y=\"240\" width=\"67.80000000000001\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"1096.9\" y=\"251\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">AUTHORITY<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"982.8000000000001\" cy=\"246\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-decision\" data-step=\"13\" data-node=\"d2\" data-label=\"Disaster management\u2026\" data-type=\"decision\" data-state=\"AUTHORITY\" data-m1=\"under its own rules\" data-m2=\"never the platform\" data-group=\"Competent authorities\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Disaster management\u2026, decision, authority\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"311\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"311\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"325\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"317\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(990.8000000000001,317)\" d=\"M2 7h10M7 2v10\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"1010.8000000000001\" y=\"328.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Disaster managem\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"353\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DECISION<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"367\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">under its own rules<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"380\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">never the platform<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"1063.0000000000002\" y=\"344\" width=\"67.80000000000001\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"1096.9\" y=\"355\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">AUTHORITY<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"982.8000000000001\" cy=\"350\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-node u-node-decision\" data-step=\"14\" data-node=\"d3\" data-label=\"Finance ministries and\u2026\" data-type=\"decision\" data-state=\"AUTHORITY\" data-m1=\"under its own rules\" data-m2=\"never the platform\" data-group=\"Competent authorities\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Finance ministries and\u2026, decision, authority\"><rect class=\"u-node-box\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"415\" width=\"156\" height=\"78\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"415\" width=\"156\" height=\"26\" rx=\"6\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-head\" x=\"982.8000000000001\" y=\"429\" width=\"156\" height=\"12\"\/><rect class=\"u-node-icon\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"421\" width=\"14\" height=\"14\" rx=\"3\"\/><path class=\"u-node-glyph\" transform=\"translate(990.8000000000001,421)\" d=\"M2 7h10M7 2v10\"\/><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600\" x=\"1010.8000000000001\" y=\"432.5\" font-size=\"11.5\">Finance ministri\u2026<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"457\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.12em\">DECISION<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"471\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">under its own rules<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"990.8000000000001\" y=\"484\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">never the platform<\/text><rect class=\"u-node-tag\" x=\"1063.0000000000002\" y=\"448\" width=\"67.80000000000001\" height=\"15\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-node-tag-text\" x=\"1096.9\" y=\"459\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">AUTHORITY<\/text><circle class=\"u-port\" cx=\"982.8000000000001\" cy=\"454\" r=\"3.5\"\/><\/g><g class=\"u-minimap\"><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"1026\" y=\"8\" width=\"150\" height=\"44\" rx=\"4\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-done\" x=\"1039.0\" y=\"15.5\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-done\" x=\"1039.0\" y=\"22.7\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-done\" x=\"1039.0\" y=\"29.9\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-done\" x=\"1039.0\" y=\"37.1\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-live\" x=\"1065.5\" y=\"15.5\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-done\" x=\"1065.5\" y=\"22.7\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-done\" x=\"1065.5\" y=\"29.9\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-done\" x=\"1065.5\" y=\"37.1\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-gate\" x=\"1092.0\" y=\"22.7\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-queued\" x=\"1118.5\" y=\"15.5\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-queued\" x=\"1118.5\" y=\"22.7\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-queued\" x=\"1118.5\" y=\"29.9\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-queued\" x=\"1118.5\" y=\"37.1\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-decision\" x=\"1145.0\" y=\"15.5\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-decision\" x=\"1145.0\" y=\"22.7\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-decision\" x=\"1145.0\" y=\"29.9\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-node u-node-decision\" x=\"1145.0\" y=\"37.1\" width=\"17.9\" height=\"4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"u-mm-view\" x=\"1032\" y=\"14\" width=\"138\" height=\"32\" rx=\"2\"\/><\/g><line class=\"u-hair-s\" x1=\"0\" x2=\"1200\" y1=\"524\" y2=\"524\"\/><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"24\" y=\"532\" width=\"700\" height=\"124\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"36\" y=\"550\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.14em\">RUN TIMELINE \u00b7 ONE EVIDENCE CYCLE<\/text><line class=\"u-hair\" x1=\"174\" x2=\"174\" y1=\"560\" y2=\"650\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"178\" y=\"568\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">Ingest<\/text><line class=\"u-hair\" x1=\"306.5\" x2=\"306.5\" y1=\"560\" y2=\"650\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"310.5\" y=\"568\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">Model<\/text><line class=\"u-hair\" x1=\"439\" x2=\"439\" y1=\"560\" y2=\"650\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"443\" y=\"568\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">Review<\/text><line class=\"u-hair\" x1=\"571.5\" x2=\"571.5\" y1=\"560\" y2=\"650\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"575.5\" y=\"568\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">Publish<\/text><line class=\"u-hair\" x1=\"704\" x2=\"704\" y1=\"560\" y2=\"650\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"708\" y=\"568\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.06em\">Decide<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"36\" y=\"584\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">CHIRPS rainfall<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"174\" y=\"578\" width=\"530\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><rect class=\"u-tl-bar u-node-done\" x=\"174.0\" y=\"578\" width=\"106.0\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"36\" y=\"594.5\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">ERA5 reanalysis\u2026<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"174\" y=\"588.5\" width=\"530\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><rect class=\"u-tl-bar u-node-done\" x=\"174.0\" y=\"588.5\" width=\"106.0\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"36\" y=\"605\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Global Runoff Data\u2026<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"174\" y=\"599\" width=\"530\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><rect class=\"u-tl-bar u-node-done\" x=\"174.0\" y=\"599\" width=\"106.0\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"36\" y=\"615.5\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">GRACE and GRACE-FO<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"174\" y=\"609.5\" width=\"530\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><rect class=\"u-tl-bar u-node-done\" x=\"174.0\" y=\"609.5\" width=\"106.0\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink1\" x=\"36\" y=\"626\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Hydrology and water\u2026<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"174\" y=\"620\" width=\"530\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><rect class=\"u-tl-bar u-node-live\" x=\"280.0\" y=\"620\" width=\"106.0\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"36\" y=\"636.5\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Forecasting and\u2026<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"174\" y=\"630.5\" width=\"530\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><rect class=\"u-tl-bar u-node-done\" x=\"280.0\" y=\"630.5\" width=\"106.0\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"36\" y=\"647\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\">Extreme value theor\u2026<\/text><rect class=\"u-track\" x=\"174\" y=\"641\" width=\"530\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><rect class=\"u-tl-bar u-node-done\" x=\"280.0\" y=\"641\" width=\"106.0\" height=\"6\" rx=\"3\"\/><g class=\"u-now\" data-step=\"1\" data-ax-x=\"174\" data-ax-w=\"530\" data-now-x=\"407.2\"><line class=\"u-now-line\" x1=\"407.2\" x2=\"407.2\" y1=\"556\" y2=\"650\"\/><rect class=\"u-accent\" x=\"389.2\" y=\"544\" width=\"36\" height=\"13\" rx=\"2\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink-on-accent\" x=\"407.2\" y=\"553.5\" font-size=\"8\" text-anchor=\"middle\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">NOW<\/text><\/g><rect class=\"u-panel\" x=\"740\" y=\"532\" width=\"436\" height=\"124\" rx=\"6\"\/><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"752\" y=\"550\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.14em\">INSPECTOR \u00b7 SELECTED NODE<\/text><text class=\"u-sans u-ink1 u-w600 u-ins-title\" x=\"752\" y=\"570\" font-size=\"12.5\">Evidence review \u00b7 gate<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"752\" y=\"588\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">OWNER<\/text><text data-ins=\"owner\" class=\"u-ins-v u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"850\" y=\"588\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">independent reviewer \u00b7 platform editor<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"752\" y=\"603\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">INPUTS<\/text><text data-ins=\"inputs\" class=\"u-ins-v u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"850\" y=\"603\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">4 method outputs, labelled<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"752\" y=\"618\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">OUTPUTS<\/text><text data-ins=\"outputs\" class=\"u-ins-v u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"850\" y=\"618\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">4 outputs with limits<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"752\" y=\"633\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">EVIDENCE<\/text><text data-ins=\"evidence\" class=\"u-ins-v u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"850\" y=\"633\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">OBSERVED \u00b7 MODELLED \u00b7 ESTIMATED kept apart<\/text><text class=\"u-mono u-ink3\" x=\"752\" y=\"648\" font-size=\"8.5\" text-anchor=\"start\" letter-spacing=\"0.1em\">UNLOCKS<\/text><text data-ins=\"unlocks\" class=\"u-ins-v u-mono u-ink2\" x=\"850\" y=\"648\" font-size=\"9\" text-anchor=\"start\">publication, never the decision<\/text><\/svg><\/div><\/div><p class=\"nx-caption\"><strong>Fig. 02<\/strong><span>Nodes carry their type, two metric rows and a state; connectors show what feeds what; dashed frames name the owners; the timeline is the cadence. Design of the pipeline, not a record of a run.<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-8-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"water\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-8\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">07<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Sources<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-8\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Where the evidence comes from.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What it gives<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Licence class<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">CHIRPS rainfall<\/td><td data-label=\"What it gives\">Daily and monthly gridded rainfall since 1981, gauge-blended satellite estimates<\/td><td data-label=\"Licence class\">Public domain<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus)<\/td><td data-label=\"What it gives\">Hourly atmospheric and land variables, global, 1940 to present<\/td><td data-label=\"Licence class\">Free and open, attribution<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Global Runoff Data Centre<\/td><td data-label=\"What it gives\">Daily river discharge from national gauge networks<\/td><td data-label=\"Licence class\">Free for research and public tasks under the data policy<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">GRACE and GRACE-FO<\/td><td data-label=\"What it gives\">Monthly terrestrial water storage anomalies from satellite gravimetry<\/td><td data-label=\"Licence class\">Public domain<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">JRC Global Surface Water<\/td><td data-label=\"What it gives\">Surface-water occurrence, change and seasonality from Landsat, 1984 onwards<\/td><td data-label=\"Licence class\">Free and open, attribution<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">Sentinel-1 radar<\/td><td data-label=\"What it gives\">All-weather flood extent mapping at ten-metre resolution<\/td><td data-label=\"Licence class\">Free and open, attribution<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Source\">National hydrological services<\/td><td data-label=\"What it gives\">Gauge records, reservoir rule curves, warnings<\/td><td data-label=\"Licence class\">By agreement with each service<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"evidence\" data-nxf-kind=\"evidence\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/gcri\/G01\/topics\/drought-and-flood\/#evidence\" data-nxf-title=\"Sources\" data-nxf-height=\"520\" hidden><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-9-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-9\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">08<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Decisions<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-9\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Who decides, and what the evidence serves.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Water Nexus prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Who decides<\/th><th scope=\"col\">The question<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence this page serves<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Who decides\">Water allocation authority<\/td><td data-label=\"The question\">When to move from voluntary to mandatory restrictions, and in which sectors<\/td><td data-label=\"Evidence this page serves\">Indicator agreement across SPI, storage and groundwater; outlook skill for the next season<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Who decides\">Grid and hydropower operators<\/td><td data-label=\"The question\">How much hydropower to schedule and when to secure replacement capacity<\/td><td data-label=\"Evidence this page serves\">Reservoir inflow forecasts with confidence bands; the cascade to generation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Who decides\">Disaster management agencies<\/td><td data-label=\"The question\">When to warn, pre-position and evacuate, and for which areas<\/td><td data-label=\"Evidence this page serves\">Flood forecasts by reach, the mapped extent of comparable past events, exposure in the extent<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Who decides\">Finance ministries and insurers<\/td><td data-label=\"The question\">What a one-in-fifty and a one-in-two-hundred year loss looks like, and who carries it<\/td><td data-label=\"Evidence this page serves\">Return-period losses with retained, transferred and uninsured layers kept apart<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-4\">Outputs this topic produces<\/h3><ul class=\"nx-list\"><li>Drought monitor with indicator agreement<\/li><li>Seasonal and sub-seasonal outlooks with skill stated<\/li><li>Flood hazard maps by return period<\/li><li>Compound-event scenarios for the coupled model<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-10-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-10\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">09<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Core questions<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-10\" class=\"nx-section-title\">What experts ask about extremes.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-list\"><li>How likely is an event of a given size, and is that likelihood changing?<\/li><li>When do several hazards combine, such as heavy rain on saturated ground, a storm surge with river flooding, or drought with heat?<\/li><li>How far ahead can an event be forecast, and with what confidence?<\/li><li>Which people, services and assets are exposed and how vulnerable are they?<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-11-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"water\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-11\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">10<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Mechanisms<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-11\" class=\"nx-section-title\">How extremes develop and combine.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><p class=\"nx-p\">Drought develops slowly: a lack of rainfall becomes a soil moisture deficit, then low river flows and falling reservoirs and groundwater. Higher temperatures intensify it by increasing evaporation. Floods can be fast, as in flash floods from intense convective rain, or slow, as in large river floods driven by prolonged rain or snowmelt.<\/p><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-2\">A warmer atmosphere holds more moisture, which tends to increase heavy rainfall intensity. Compound events matter because their joint probability is higher than independent hazards would suggest, and because they defeat defences designed for one hazard at a time. A drought can harden soils and kill vegetation, increasing runoff when rain returns.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-12-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-12\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">11<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Methods and data<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-12\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Forecasts, statistics and their limits.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ol class=\"nx-rows\"><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">01<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Frequency analysis<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/stem\/extreme-value\/\">extreme value analysis<\/a> estimates return periods from records. Short or non-stationary records make rare-event estimates uncertain.<\/p><\/div><\/li><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">02<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Forecasting<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Ensemble weather and hydrological forecasts, with <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/stem\/forecasting\/\">forecasting and time-series analysis<\/a>, give probabilities rather than certainties. Skill falls with lead time and is lower for convective rainfall.<\/p><\/div><\/li><li><span class=\"nx-eyebrow nx-index\">03<\/span><div><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Exposure mapping<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Flood and drought maps built with <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/stem\/geospatial\/\">geospatial information systems<\/a> and <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/stem\/earth-observation\/\">Earth observation<\/a>. Maps reflect their input data and defences as assumed, not necessarily as built.<\/p><\/div><\/li><\/ol><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-13-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-13\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">12<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Methods<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-13\" class=\"nx-section-title\">How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Method<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Applied here<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Canonical page<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Method\">Hydrology and water science<\/td><td data-label=\"Applied here\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/stem\/hydrology\/\">Hydrology and water science in this field<\/a><\/td><td data-label=\"Canonical page\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/science\/hydrology\/\">STEM Commons<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Method\">Forecasting and time-series analysis<\/td><td data-label=\"Applied here\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/stem\/forecasting\/\">Forecasting and time-series analysis in this field<\/a><\/td><td data-label=\"Canonical page\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/forecasting\/\">STEM Commons<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Method\">Extreme value theory and tail risk<\/td><td data-label=\"Applied here\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/stem\/extreme-value\/\">Extreme value theory and tail risk in this field<\/a><\/td><td data-label=\"Canonical page\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/extreme-value\/\">STEM Commons<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Method\">Earth observation and remote sensing<\/td><td data-label=\"Applied here\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/stem\/earth-observation\/\">Earth observation and remote sensing in this field<\/a><\/td><td data-label=\"Canonical page\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/technology\/earth-observation\/\">STEM Commons<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Method\">Uncertainty quantification and model validation<\/td><td data-label=\"Applied here\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/stem\/uncertainty-quantification\/\">Uncertainty quantification and model validation in this field<\/a><\/td><td data-label=\"Canonical page\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/uncertainty-quantification\/\">STEM Commons<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-3\">Forecasts give probabilities, not events. Short records make rare return periods uncertain by a wide margin. Gauge networks are thinning in many basins, so satellite and model products carry more weight and their labels matter more. Compound events are harder to estimate than either extreme alone because their dependence changes with the climate. Water Nexus issues no warnings; competent authorities do, under their own rules.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-14-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"water\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-14\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">13<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Related<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-14\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Around this topic.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-list\"><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/catchment-hydrology\/\">Catchment hydrology<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/groundwater-and-aquifers\/\">Groundwater and aquifers<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/drinking-water-and-sanitation\/\">Drinking water and sanitation<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/water-utilities\/\">Water utilities<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/shared-river-basins\/\">Shared river basins<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/water-energy-interdependence\/\">Water energy interdependence<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-15-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"climate\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-15\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">14<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Connected<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-15\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Where this page leads across the Consortium.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Link<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Relationship<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Why<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Link\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/climate-hazards\/topics\/heat-and-drought\/\">Heat and drought<\/a><\/td><td data-label=\"Relationship\">Related topic<\/td><td data-label=\"Why\">Hydrological impact context links to hazard science without equating forecast and observed evidence.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Link\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskalliance.com\/reinsurance-catastrophe\/topics\/catastrophe-models\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Catastrophe models<\/a><\/td><td data-label=\"Relationship\">Related topic<\/td><td data-label=\"Why\">Drought\/flood evidence links to independent reinsurance modelling and its uncertainty.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-16-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-16\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">15<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Questions<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-16\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Questions and answers.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-faq\"><details><summary>What does a one-in-a-hundred year flood mean?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">A flow with a one percent chance of being exceeded in any given year, estimated from the record. It is not a flood that happens once a century, and two can occur in consecutive years.<\/div><\/details><details><summary>Why do forecasts give probabilities?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">Because the atmosphere and the catchment are only partly observed and only partly predictable. A probability states what the evidence supports; a single number would hide the uncertainty that decision-makers need to see.<\/div><\/details><details><summary>Why are compound events hard to estimate?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">Each extreme has a short record, and their dependence on each other is changing. Estimating the joint probability needs assumptions that the record cannot fully test, so the page keeps those assumptions visible.<\/div><\/details><details><summary>Does Water Nexus issue warnings?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">No. Warnings are issued by national hydrological and meteorological services and civil protection authorities. Water Nexus prepares evidence those authorities can use under their own mandates.<\/div><\/details><details><summary>Which values on this page are real?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">The indicator names, units, sources and methods are real. Levels in the figures are placeholders in a design. A national programme replaces them with labelled evidence it owns.<\/div><\/details><details><summary>What does a one-in-a-hundred-year flood mean?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">An event with a one in a hundred chance of being equalled or exceeded in any given year, estimated from past records. It can happen in consecutive years, and the estimate changes as the climate and catchment change.<\/div><\/details><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-section\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-rel-17\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Related<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-rel-17\" class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Around Water Nexus.<\/h2><nav class=\"nx-related nx-mt-3\" aria-label=\"Related\"><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/catchment-hydrology\/\">Catchment hydrology <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/groundwater-and-aquifers\/\">Groundwater and aquifers <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/drinking-water-and-sanitation\/\">Drinking water and sanitation <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/water-utilities\/\">Water utilities <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/shared-river-basins\/\">Shared river basins <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/water-energy-interdependence\/\">Water energy interdependence <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/\">Water Nexus home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/counterparts\/\">Counterparts across the Consortium <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/\">The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/trust\/\">GCRI governance and trust <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/nav><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-closing\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-close-18\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Water Nexus<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-close-18\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Bring your expertise to this field.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"mailto:contact@therisk.global?subject=Water%20Nexus%3A%20Drought%20and%20flood\">Write to the team <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/contact\/\">See all contact routes<\/a><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><script class=\"_iub_cs_skip\">(function (script) { var host = script ? script.previousElementSibling : null; if (!host || !host.attachShadow || host.shadowRoot) { return; } var embed = host.firstElementChild; if (!embed) { return; } var root = host.attachShadow({ mode: \"open\" }); root.appendChild(embed); var PRESETS = { plex: { families: [\"IBM Plex Sans\", \"IBM Plex Mono\"], href: \"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=IBM+Plex+Sans:wght@400;500;600&family=IBM+Plex+Mono:wght@400;500&display=swap\" }, manrope: { families: [\"Manrope\", \"JetBrains Mono\"], href: \"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=Manrope:wght@500;600;700&family=JetBrains+Mono:wght@400;500&display=swap\" }, jakarta: { families: [\"Plus Jakarta Sans\", \"IBM Plex Mono\"], href: \"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=Plus+Jakarta+Sans:wght@500;600;700&family=IBM+Plex+Mono:wght@400;500&display=swap\" }, geist: { families: [\"Geist\", \"Geist Mono\"], href: \"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=Geist:wght@400;500;600&family=Geist+Mono:wght@400;500&display=swap\" } }; var presetName = embed.getAttribute(\"data-fonts\") || \"plex\"; var preset = PRESETS[presetName] || PRESETS.plex; function hasFamily(name) { var found = false; try { document.fonts.forEach(function (face) { if (String(face.family).replace(\/[\"']\/g, \"\") === name) { found = true; } }); } catch (e) { found = false; } return found; } function hasPreset() { return hasFamily(preset.families[0]); } function applyType() { if (hasPreset()) { embed.setAttribute(\"data-type\", presetName); embed.removeAttribute(\"data-font\"); return; } embed.setAttribute(\"data-font\", \"system\"); } if (document.fonts) { if (!hasPreset()) { var present = document.querySelector(\"link[data-nx-fonts='\" + presetName + \"']\"); if (present) { present.addEventListener(\"load\", applyType); } if (!present) { var pre = document.createElement(\"link\"); pre.rel = \"preconnect\"; pre.href = \"https:\/\/fonts.gstatic.com\"; pre.crossOrigin = \"anonymous\"; var link = document.createElement(\"link\"); link.rel = \"stylesheet\"; link.href = preset.href; link.setAttribute(\"data-nx-fonts\", presetName); link.addEventListener(\"load\", function () { applyType(); document.fonts.ready.then(applyType); }); document.head.appendChild(pre); document.head.appendChild(link); } } applyType(); document.fonts.ready.then(applyType); if (document.fonts.addEventListener) { document.fonts.addEventListener(\"loadingdone\", applyType); } } var reduce = window.matchMedia ? 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It can happen in consecutive years, and the estimate changes as the climate and catchment change.\"}}]}<\/script>\n\n<!-- nx-rev:adb660f43ec79d05 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>LightDarkAuto G01 \u00b7 TOPIC \u00b7 drought-and-floodGCRI dossier \u00b7 service level R0 GCRI\u00b7Water Nexus\u00b7Established Topic dossier \u00b7 Water Nexus Drought and flood Droughts and floods are the two ends of hydrological &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/topics\/drought-and-flood\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Drought and flood&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":261,"menu_order":1605,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_header_footer","meta":{"_buddyx_sub_header_visibility":"","_buddyx_sub_header_title_visibility":"","_hide_show_side_panel":"","_buddyxpro_page_sidebar":"","_buddyxpro_page_disable_header":"","_buddyxpro_page_disable_footer":"","_buddyxpro_page_content_width":"","_buddyxpro_page_header_style":"","_buddyxpro_page_color_mode":"","_buddyxpro_page_loader":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-315","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/315","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=315"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/315\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":434,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/315\/revisions\/434"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/therisk.global\/water-nexus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=315"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}