GCRI · Advanced Industry and Robotics

Spatial intelligenceObservations, models and their uncertainty in one view

Technology adoption

New production technologies spread unevenly: large firms and leading regions adopt early, while small and medium enterprises lag because of cost, skills, finance and uncertainty. The gap shapes productivity, competitiveness and resilience. This page sets out how industrial firms adopt technology, what holds them back, how diffusion is measured, and what evidence serves the agencies and programmes that support adoption.

02The question

Technology adoption: how the risk develops.

Skills, productivity and inclusion. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Upfront costs deter small firms

Equipment, integration and training costs come before benefits. Small firms with limited finance and short horizons delay investment.

Mechanism

Skills and management matter

Firms need managers who can plan and staff who can use new technology. Management practices are a strong predictor of adoption.

Mechanism

Intermediaries reduce risk

Technology centres, demonstration facilities and advisory services let firms test technology before buying it, reducing uncertainty and risk.

Mechanism

Supply chains pull adoption

Large customers often require suppliers to adopt standards and technologies, spreading them along supply chains.

03Geography

Infrastructure exposure in Germany.

Night lights, population density, flood water and true-colour imagery over Germany, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 4

Infrastructure exposure, for this page

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Infrastructure exposure, framed on Germany. Layers as NASA publishes them, each with its own date.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · U.S. Geological Survey · NASA HLS S30Sources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), VIIRS 375 m active fire product, NASA LANCE; vector tiles via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Live: U.S. Geological Survey Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Observed (EO): NASA HLS S30 (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • River discharge forecast, 30 days with range (GloFAS via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Emergency Management Service information 2026; not a flood warning.
  • Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
  • Optional layers (12 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Active fires and thermal anomalies, last day: VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS), NASA LANCE FIRMS · 13 Oct 2026

04Across the Nexus

Adoption decides whether technology helps any domain.

05Console

Energy and circularity board, in outline.

The working screen behind this subject: its structure, terms and states. Names are placeholders and values illustrative.

Energy and circularity board

Technology adoption · Industrial park A · Year 2

On planGCRI · Advanced Industry and Robotics

Material flows

  • Recycled
  • Recovered
  • Landfill

Targets

Waste recycled49% of 70% requiredWater reused59% of 50% requiredEnergy from renewables31% of 60% required
Energy and circularity board: the screen's structure, terms and states for Technology adoption.Placeholder names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
06Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Adoption of advanced technologies by firm sizepercent of firmsper surveyBusiness surveysREPORTED
Management practice scoresscoreper surveyManagement surveysESTIMATED
Firms using technology extension servicescountannualProgramme recordsREPORTED
Productivity gap between leading and lagging firmsratioannualFirm-level productivity dataESTIMATED
Public support for technology adoptioncurrency unitsannualProgramme budgetsPublished statistics
Business investment in machinery and equipmentshare of GDPannualNational accountsPublished statistics
07Twin and cascade simulator

Model technology adoption as a system. Run the cascade.

Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Industry and manufacturing: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification.

Hazards

  • Natech event
  • Dam failure
  • River flood (set off downstream)
  • Flash flood (set off downstream)
  • Mass displacement (set off downstream)
  • Chemical spill or leak (set off downstream)
  • Emergency-response overload (set off downstream)
  • Widespread power outage (set off downstream)
  • Water supply shortfall (set off downstream)
  • Toxic gas release (set off downstream)
  • Industrial fire (set off downstream)

Controls

  • NS-0 Constitution and principles
  • NS-9 Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)
  • NS-11 Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)
  • NS-12 Software, model and AI/ML artifacts (supply chain, model cards, dataset sheets)
  • NRS-H60 Hazard family: Supply-chain and flow disruption (NHS-1 sys.supply-chain)
  • NRS-H50 Hazard family: Industrial and process accidents (NHS-1 infra.industrial)
  • NRS-H109 Hazard family: Energy-transition technology failures (NHS-1 tech.energy-transition)
  • NRS-X10 Chemical, industrial, nuclear and radiological safety
  • NRS-H54 Hazard family: Signal and platform disruption (NHS-1 cyber.platform)
  • NRS-K14 Domain pack profile: Manufacturing industrial (DOMAIN-014)

Observation

  • eMARS Major Accident Reporting System (listed for reference)
  • World Development Indicators (listed for reference)
  • ILOSTAT (listed for reference)
  • Manufacturing value added as a proportion of GDP and per capita
  • CO2 emission per unit of value added
  • Manufacturing, value added (% of GDP)
  • Direct economic loss to all other damaged or destroyed productive assets attributed to disasters

Example geography

  • The Strait of Malacca: 227 H3 hexagons at resolution 4
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
  • Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
  • Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
  • Surface soil moisture (SMAP), NASA GIBS
08Canvas

From sources to decisions.

The topic as a computational graph: named sources feed the methods, an evidence review gates the outputs, and the decisions stay with the authorities that hold them.

Pipeline canvas · Technology adoption as a run graphDesign, not a record
Technology adoption: the risk management process, scope to reviewScope, context and criteria set the frame; risks are identified, analysed and evaluated against criteria; treatment follows; monitoring and review and communication run across every step, and the process is recorded and reported. Design of the process, not a record of a run.

Fig. 02Nodes carry their type, two metric rows and a state; connectors show what feeds what; dashed frames name the owners; the timeline is the cadence. Design of the pipeline, not a record of a run.

09Methods and evidence

How technology adoption is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

System model

The couplings between the systems in technology adoption: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.

++−++IndustryWorkTradeCommunitiesEconomyR reinforcingB balancing
Causal loop diagram from the page's systems; signs show the direction of influence. Illustrative structure for a system dynamics or network model, not estimated couplings.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
10Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
OECD studies on technology diffusion and productivityEvidence on adoption gaps and policiesPublic, OECD terms
World Management SurveyManagement practice scores across firms and countriesPublic, terms to check
World Bank Enterprise Surveys and Firm-level Adoption of Technology surveyTechnology use by firms in many countriesFree with registration, World Bank terms
Eurostat enterprise technology statisticsAdoption by firm sizeOpen, Eurostat reuse policy
Evaluations of manufacturing extension programmesEffects of adoption supportLicence per publication
11Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Advanced Industry and Robotics prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Industry ministries and development agenciesHow to design adoption supportGap profiles; evaluation evidence
Technology centresWhich services to offer and to whomBarrier analyses
Firms and associationsHow to plan technology investmentAdoption and productivity evidence

Outputs this topic produces

  • Adoption gap profiles by firm size and region
  • Evaluation designs for adoption support programmes
  • Management and skills barrier analyses
  • Evidence notes for industrial policy
12Core questions

What experts ask.

  1. 01

    Who adopts, and why?

    How firm size, sector, finance, skills and management affect uptake.

  2. 02

    Does adoption raise productivity?

    Why gains often lag adoption and depend on complementary investments.

  3. 03

    Who gains and who loses?

    Effects on wages, employment and regional economies.

  4. 04

    How can adoption be safe?

    How small firms manage safety and cyber risk with limited expertise.

13Mechanisms

What drives the risk.

Productivity gains from new technology often lag adoption because firms must reorganize processes, retrain staff and accumulate experience. Complementary investments in skills, data and management matter as much as the equipment, and firms that buy technology without them often see little benefit and sometimes new failure modes.

Small and medium manufacturers face barriers: upfront cost, lack of in-house expertise and uncertainty about returns. When they lag, supply chains become uneven and gaps between leading and lagging firms widen.

Labour market effects vary. Automation can displace routine tasks while creating demand for technical and maintenance skills. Outcomes depend on training, mobility and social protection.

Rapid adoption by firms without safety expertise can introduce hazards. Integration support, shared guidance and training help smaller firms adopt safely.

Geography matters. Adoption clusters where skills, suppliers, research institutions and finance are close together, so regions without them risk falling further behind unless institutions deliberately spread capability.

14Methods and limits

How evidence is gathered, and where it stops.

Method or dataWhat it showsIts limit
Firm surveysAdoption rates and barriersResponse bias toward larger firms
Productivity statisticsOutput per worker over timeHard to attribute to technology
Labour market dataEmployment and wage effectsMany confounding factors
Case studiesHow adoption unfolds in practiceLimited generalizability
15Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Optimization and operations researchProduction scheduling · Energy-aware operations · Buffer and spare sizingApplied here
  2. Systems engineeringIntegrated safety and security requirements · Factory and site acceptance testingApplied here
  3. Robotics and automationRobot cell risk assessment · Vision-guided handling · Collaborative workstation designApplied here
16Sources

Where this page's references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

17Questions

Questions and answers.

Why do small firms adopt technology more slowly?
Because of upfront costs, limited access to finance, skills shortages, management capacity and uncertainty about the benefits they will see.
What is a technology extension service?
A public or non-profit service that helps firms assess, test and adopt new technologies and practices.
Does technology adoption raise productivity?
Evidence suggests it can, especially when combined with good management and skills, though effects vary by firm and technology.
Does automation destroy jobs?
It changes tasks. Some jobs disappear, others change and new ones appear. Net effects vary by sector, region and policy.
Does the platform recommend technologies to firms?
No. It publishes research and endorses no technology or vendor.
Why focus on small firms?
Because they employ many people and anchor supply chains, yet face the highest barriers to safe adoption.
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