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Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems

Artificial intelligence and agentic systems as physical infrastructure, compute, energy, water, chips, labour, safety and governance, at the 2026 baseline. The GCRI core edition is drafted and in stewardship review; the other desks in the remit write their own editions of this subject.

Code
XT-01
Family
Exponential Technology Report

01 · Editions

Editions over time.

One Baseline Edition, then one edition each quarter. Quarters after the baseline are planned and have no content yet.

EditionIdentifierStateEvidence cut or quarter
Baseline 2026NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0Drafted, in stewardship reviewDC-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-B0
Q1 2027NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2027-Q1-v1.0.0 (reserved)PlannedState and agenda
Q2 2027NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2027-Q2-v1.0.0 (reserved)PlannedEvidence and build
Q3 2027NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2027-Q3-v1.0.0 (reserved)PlannedStress test and readiness
Q4 2027NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2027-Q4-v1.0.0 (reserved)PlannedAnnual flagship

02 · Collection

The subject collection, across desks.

The subject collection holds the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) core edition and every desk edition for this subject, compiled by GCRI Canada into the Collection. The marked row is this desk.

DeskEditionState
GCRI Systems EvidenceAI and Agentic Systems 2026Drafted, in stewardship review
GRF Public DeliberationOutside this desk’s remitNot in remit
GRA Capital ReadinessOutside this desk’s remitNot in remit
Standards ProgressStandards Progress: Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems 2026In preparation
Academy CapabilityCapability: Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems 2026In preparation
Index MeasurementOutside this desk’s remitNot in remit

03 · Frame

The eight chapters.

The core edition’s chapters on the frame every desk shares.

FrameCore edition chapterState
1 · The questionThe coupled systemRead the chapter
2 · FindingsFindingsRead the chapter
3 · By system and sectorSystems and sectorsRead the chapter
4 · Risk and capabilityRisks and capabilityRead the chapter
5 · ScenarioScenario cascadeRead the chapter
6 · ReadingsReadings from the other desksRead the chapter
7 · AgendaThe 2027 agendaRead the chapter
8 · In depthSystems in depthRead the chapter

04 · Follow

Follow this subject.

  • Releases and notices: each new edition and correction of this subject is listed there once deposited.
  • Zenodo community nexusreports-gcri: every deposit of this desk, with its DOI.
  • Contribute: evidence, a correction or a case for this subject, routed to the desk that takes it.
ReportsContribute

Contribute on Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the GCRI Systems Evidence desk. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work. Sent to the wrong desk, it is forwarded, not refused.

GCRI Systems Evidence deskArtificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems

CC BY 4.0 Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by GCRI Canada.

The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

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