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Data and Compute · Dependencies and consequences

Dependencies and consequences

Data and compute infrastructure sits in the middle of a web of dependencies. It needs electricity, cooling, hardware, network connectivity, software supply chains and skilled people. In turn, science, public services, finance and other infrastructure need it. This page sets out the causal, physical, economic, social and ecological links and how stress travels along them. It complements the field overview and the topic on compute, energy and water.

Publisher
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation
Field
Data and compute, Energy
Status
In development
Service level
R0: information and enquiries

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Layers 3

Connected activity, for this page

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

For dependencies and consequences, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on night lights, true-colour imagery and population density with true colour from NASA GIBS, framed on the contiguous United States; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · Copernicus Sentinel-2 L2A · NASA HLS S30Sources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). CC BY 4.0
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
  • Observed (EO): Copernicus Sentinel-2 L2A (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026), Microsoft Planetary Computer
  • Observed (EO): NASA HLS S30 (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Optional layers (35 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Enhanced vegetation index, rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra EVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Vegetation greenness (NDVI), rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra NDVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026

GeographyFor dependencies and consequences, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on night lights, true-colour imagery and population density with true colour from NASA GIBS, framed on the contiguous United States; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.

STEM methods
7
Canonical methods this field applies
Topics
8
Subject pages in the field
Counterparts
0
Platforms in shared fields at GCRI, GRF and GRA
Report series
2
Nexus Reports series it contributes to
01In brief

The short answer.

Dependencies and consequences in Data and Compute describe how data and compute as well as energy connect to other systems through physical, economic, social and ecological links, and how stress travels along them. Every dependency map states its assumptions, data and uncertainty; it describes connections, not a forecast.

02Canvas

One field, three institutions.

Canvas · one field, three institutionsDesign, not a record
One field, three institutions: Data and Compute and its counterpartsGCRI studies the field as science, GRF governs and convenes it, GRA builds shared financial understanding; the Nexus Universe tests work across them and the competent authorities decide. Design of the arrangement, not a record.

Fig.How GCRI, GRF and GRA share one field while the authorities decide. Design, not a record.

03Console

Field overview, in outline.

The working screen behind this subject: its structure, terms and states. Names are placeholders and values illustrative.

Field overview: the screen's structure, terms and states for Data and compute.Placeholder names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
04Upstream dependencies

What data and compute need.

Power

Continuous electricity

Data centres and supercomputers draw large, steady loads and need backup power for continuity.

Cooling

Heat removal

Air or liquid cooling, often using water directly or indirectly, especially in warm climates.

Hardware

Concentrated supply

Processors, memory and networking equipment from a small number of manufacturers and fabrication plants.

Connectivity

Networks and cables

Terrestrial and submarine fibre that links data centres and users across borders.

05Downstream consequences

What depends on data and compute.

  1. 01

    Science and forecasting

    Weather, climate, hydrological and epidemiological models need sustained high-performance computing.

  2. 02

    Public services

    Digital identity, payments, health records and benefit systems run on data centres and networks.

  3. 03

    Finance

    Trading, settlement and risk systems depend on low-latency computing and concentrated cloud services.

  4. 04

    Infrastructure control

    Grids, water systems and transport increasingly use data platforms and edge computing for operation.

06How stress travels

Patterns of systemic failure.

Concentration is the main pattern: many users depend on a few cloud regions, a few hardware suppliers or a few cables, so one failure has wide reach. Common-mode software faults can disable many systems at once, as a faulty update or shared library flaw propagates through everything that uses it. Heat and drought can stress data centre cooling while also stressing the grid that powers them.

Economic and social links follow. Hardware shortages delay research and raise costs for smaller institutions first. Data centre growth can compete with households and industry for grid connections and water, creating local tension. Ecologically, the energy and water footprint of computing adds to pressures on shared resources, and electronic waste carries its own burden.

07Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
InterdependencyA two-way dependency between infrastructures, such as power needing telecoms for control while telecoms need power to run.
Cascading riskRisk that a failure in one system or component triggers failures in others that depend on it.
Compound eventTwo or more hazards or drivers occurring together or in sequence whose joint impact exceeds what either would cause alone, such as drought followed by intense rain; IPCC assessments use the term.
Dependency mappingTracing the people, processes, technology, facilities and suppliers a service relies on.
08Method

How dependencies are analysed.

Analysis uses computing, power systems engineering and optimization and operations research. Each analysis states its boundaries, data and uncertainty. Data on private infrastructure and supply chains is often incomplete, so maps describe patterns rather than specific facilities.

09Questions

Questions and answers.

Is a dependency map a forecast?
No. It describes how systems are connected and how stress could travel. Scenarios are labelled as such.
Are specific data centres or cables identified?
No. Published work describes classes and patterns. Sensitive locations are not published.
Who acts on these dependencies?
Operators, research institutions, grid and water authorities and governments, under their own rules. Governance dialogue is convened by The Global Risks Forum (GRF) at AI and Digital Governance.
Data and Compute

Bring your expertise to this field.

The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.