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GCRI · Critical Infrastructure

Telecommunications and cables

Telecommunications carry emergency calls, warnings, payments, business and government. Mobile and fixed networks depend on power, backhaul links, data centres and, between continents, a small number of submarine cables. This page sets out how communications fail, from local power loss to cable cuts, how resilience is measured, and what evidence serves the operators and regulators who keep networks running.

01Register

Telecommunications and cables on the record.

02The question

Telecommunications and cables: how the risk develops.

Communications, data links and shared dependencies. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Base stations run on batteries

Mobile sites have batteries and sometimes generators for hours of backup. Widespread power outages longer than that take sites off air, often exactly when people need to call for help.

Mechanism

Cables concentrate in corridors

Submarine cables carry nearly all intercontinental data and land at a limited number of stations. Anchors, fishing, seabed movement and deliberate damage can cut several cables in one corridor.

Mechanism

Services concentrate in data centres

Applications and network functions are hosted in a few data centres and cloud regions. Their power, cooling and connectivity become shared dependencies for many services.

Mechanism

Repairs depend on ships and crews

Cable repair needs specialised ships, permits and calm weather. Limited repair capacity means outages can last weeks when several cables fail.

03Monitor

Asset criticality register.

The screen a team would use to follow this subject: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

Asset criticality register

Telecommunications and cables · Lifeline system A · Register v5

8 critical assets in flood zoneGCRI · Critical Infrastructure

Critical assets

SS-12ElectricityTier 1Flood 1-in-10022
WTW-2WaterTier 1Flood 1-in-10042
DX-1TelecomTier 2Heat11
H-CampusHealthTier 1Earthquake52
PN-3TransportTier 2Storm surgen/a

SS-12 dependencies

Upstream
Transmission L4, L7
Downstream
WTW-2, H-Campus, DX-1
Restoration target
10 h
Owner
Asset owner

Dependency graph

red: SS-12 and its dependants

Restoration time by sector

050100hours to restore after outage, last eventsPowerWaterTelecomHealthRoads
Asset criticality register: the screen's structure, terms and states for Telecommunications and cables.Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
04Across the domains

Communications carry the control and coordination of every domain.

Telecommunications studies are designed for the Strategic Systems series. Submarine cable protection follows International Cable Protection Committee guidance, and ITU recommendations address network resilience to disasters.

  • Cable fault and repair records.
  • Network outage reports during disasters.
05Simulator

A cascade through interdependent networks.

A hazard footprint takes out co-located assets in every layer; fragmentation, dependency between layers and overload of the survivors then spread the failure. The 3D view separates the layers by depth. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction.

Controls

Assets per layer
18
Hazard footprint
8% of area
Assets that depend on another layer
60%
Spare capacity (tolerance)
30%

Readouts

Assets hit by the hazard
9%
Assets still working
28%
Amplification of the initial damage
7.8 times
Steps to settle
4
Numbers, methods and sources
StepTransport working (%)Power working (%)Telecoms working (%)
0948989
1784489
2442861
3442817
4442811

Methods

  1. Interdependent networks Buldyrev and others (2010), Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks, Nature 464
  2. Overload cascades Motter and Lai (2002), Physical Review E 66
  3. Betweenness load Brandes (2001), Journal of Mathematical Sociology 25
  4. Multilayer networks Kivela and others (2014), Journal of Complex Networks 2
  5. Infrastructure interdependencies Rinaldi, Peerenboom and Kelly (2001), IEEE Control Systems 21(6)
  6. Uncertainty fan (parameter Monte Carlo) Spiegelhalter, Pearson and Short (2011), Visualising uncertainty about the future, Science 333
  7. One-at-a-time sensitivity (tornado) Saltelli and others (2008), Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, Wiley

Data

The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page's map can draw:

  • Major roads Natural Earth
  • Railways Natural Earth
  • Seaports Natural Earth
  • Airports Natural Earth
  • Urban extents Natural Earth
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band) NASA/NOAA VIIRS (Suomi NPP) · register nasa.gibs.context-live-layers
  • Natural events (NASA EONET) NASA EONET · register nasa.eonet.events
A cascade through interdependent networks. Illustrative teaching model: it runs on the values set by the controls, not on measured data. Methods: Interdependent networks (Buldyrev and others (2010), Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks, Nature 464); Overload cascades (Motter and Lai (2002), Physical Review E 66); Betweenness load (Brandes (2001), Journal of Mathematical Sociology 25).
06Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Mobile sites off airpercent of siteshourly during eventsOperator reports to regulatorsREPORTED
Network outage incidentscount by causeannualRegulator incident reportingPublished statistics
Submarine cable landings per countrycount of cable systemsannualCable databasesREPORTED
International bandwidth redundancycount of independent routesannualNetwork route analysisESTIMATED
Base station backup durationhoursper site classOperator design standardsDECLARED
Cable repair timedays from fault to repairper eventOperator and industry reportsREPORTED
07Methods and evidence

How telecommunications and cables is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

System model

The couplings between the systems in telecommunications and cables: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.

++−+Critical infrastructureCitiesCommunitiesEconomyR reinforcingB balancing
Causal loop diagram from the page's systems; signs show the direction of influence. Illustrative structure for a system dynamics or network model, not estimated couplings.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
08Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
ENISA annual telecom security incident reportsAggregated incident reports from EU member states by cause and impactPublic, ENISA terms
US FCC Network Outage Reporting System summaries and Disaster Information Reporting SystemOutage reporting and cell site status during disastersPublic summaries, US government
TeleGeography Submarine Cable MapSubmarine cable systems and landing stationsLicence to check (CC BY-NC-SA for the map data)
ITU World Telecommunication/ICT IndicatorsNetwork coverage and connectivity statistics by countryFree for some tables, ITU terms (to check)
International Cable Protection Committee recommendationsIndustry recommendations on cable protection and repairMembers; public summaries
09Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Critical Infrastructure prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Telecommunications regulatorsWhat resilience and backup obligations to set for operatorsOutage data; backup reviews
Network operatorsWhere to add route diversity and backup powerRoute analyses; incident patterns
Governments and port authoritiesHow to protect cable landings and corridorsCable concentration and repair evidence

Outputs this topic produces

  • Route diversity analyses of international connectivity
  • Power backup reviews for mobile networks in outages
  • Concentration analyses of data centre and cloud dependencies
  • Evidence notes on cable repair capacity and timelines
10Core questions

What experts ask.

  • Which essential services lose function when communications fail, and how quickly?
  • Where do apparently diverse routes actually share ducts, landing stations or data centres?
  • How long do mobile sites and exchanges operate on backup power?
  • How exposed are submarine cables and their landing points, and how fast can they be repaired?
  • What role can satellite links play as backup, and with what capacity limits?
11Mechanisms

Drivers and failure pathways.

Communications networks are designed with redundancy, but diversity on paper is not always diversity in the ground. Separate operators may lease capacity on the same fibre, routes may converge on one bridge or landing station, and many services depend on a small number of data centres and internet exchange points. When those shared points fail, apparently independent services fail together.

Power is the dominant dependency. Mobile base stations and street cabinets typically hold limited battery backup, so extended power outages lead to progressive loss of coverage, just when people need to call for help. Submarine cables carry most intercontinental data traffic; faults from anchors, fishing, seabed movement and deliberate damage are repaired by a small fleet of specialised ships, so repair times can be long.

Cyber intrusion is a further pathway, studied with Cybersecurity and Digital Resilience.

12Methods and limits

How it is studied.

  1. 01

    Network topology analysis

    Graph methods from network science and contagion identify chokepoints and shared routes.

  2. 02

    Route diversity audits

    Physical route records show whether redundant links truly follow separate paths.

  3. 03

    Backup and satellite assessment

    Engineering analysis from communications and network technology and space systems and satellite services assesses backup duration and alternative links.

  4. 04

    Limits

    Route and capacity data is commercially sensitive and often unavailable. Public maps of cables and exchanges are incomplete, and network behaviour under heavy emergency load is hard to test.

14Where this page's references

Where this page's references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

15Questions

Questions and answers.

How much data travels by submarine cable?
Nearly all intercontinental internet traffic travels through submarine cables rather than satellites, according to industry and government sources, which makes cable corridors critical infrastructure.
How long can mobile networks run without power?
It depends on each site's batteries and generators, typically hours. Long outages take sites off air unless fuel or power is restored.
What is route diversity?
Having physically separate paths for traffic, so that damage to one cable, duct or landing station does not cut all connections.
Are two different providers enough for resilience?
Not necessarily. Providers can share physical routes, buildings or upstream links, so diversity must be checked at the physical level.
Can satellites replace terrestrial networks in a crisis?
They can provide valuable backup, but with capacity, equipment and power constraints of their own.
Does the platform publish cable vulnerabilities?
No. It publishes methods and general findings, never security-sensitive details of specific assets.
Who reviews coverage of this topic?
Published analysis is designed to be reviewed by a named subject reviewer with relevant engineering expertise, to cite its references and to include independent voices, including operators. Where specialists disagree, the disagreement is reported rather than resolved by omission.
ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

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