GCRI · Critical Infrastructure
Reviewed models and scenarios
Model descriptions for Critical Infrastructure are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.
The workspace for reviewed models and scenarios.
Build workspace
Critical infrastructure · Reviewed models · Run R-8171 · Example interface, not a record
Runs
same inputs, versioned
| R-4980 | Reliability | v5.5 | 0.77 | Running |
| R-1285 | Systems engineering | v3.4 | 0.53 | Failed test |
| R-6179 | Network science | v4.2 | 0.50 | Passed |
| R-5373 | Sensors, IoT | v3.8 | 0.42 | Passed |
Model card
- Method
- Reliability and resilience engineering
- Inputs
- Asset register, Hazard layers
- Validation
- held-out period, skill reported
- Label
- MODELLED
Run log
- 00:00:11InfoIngest asset register
- 00:02:12InfoSchema and licence checks passed
- 00:07:40WarnGap filled by interpolation, flagged
- 00:16:03DoneCalibration complete
- 00:21:55GateIndependent test queued
Critical Infrastructure · Build workspace. Build workspace: example names and illustrative values, not a record.
Released, referenced and rights-cleared.
- Time and space reference for every view.
- Sources and licence.
- Uncertainty and known limits.
- Version and date of release.
The kinds of model infrastructure work relies on.
| Model class | Open examples | Question it answers | Validation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interdependency network models | Multilayer network tools | Cascades across sectors | Reconstruction of past outages |
| Input-output models | Inoperability input-output models | Economic consequence of outages | Comparison with observed impacts |
| Agent-based restoration models | Open simulation frameworks | Restoration sequencing | Past restoration records |
| Fragility and loss models | Hazus methodology | Asset damage under hazards | Post-event surveys |
How the process runs.
Process explorer · Process
Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability
10 steps·4 stages
Process
Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability
In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system's exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.
01 Drivers
- 01HazardDataset · Infrastructure regulatorThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
- 02ExposureDataset · Infrastructure regulatorThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
- 03SensitivityDataset · Infrastructure regulatorThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
- 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Infrastructure regulatorThe ability of systems, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.
02 Assessment
- 05Risk from responsesComponent · Infrastructure regulatorRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
- 06VulnerabilityComponent · Infrastructure regulatorThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
- 07RiskModel · Critical InfrastructureRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system's exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.
03 Response
- 08Risk management and responseStep · Infrastructure regulatorRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
- 09Residual riskRecord · Infrastructure regulatorThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.
04 Decision
- 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Infrastructure regulatorThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.
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