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GCRI · Critical Infrastructure

Reviewed models and scenarios

Model descriptions for Critical Infrastructure are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.

01Workspace

The workspace for reviewed models and scenarios.

Build workspace

Critical infrastructure · Reviewed models · Run R-8171 · Example interface, not a record

Run in progressGCRI · Critical Infrastructure

Runs

same inputs, versioned

R-4980Reliabilityv5.50.77Running
R-1285Systems engineeringv3.40.53Failed test
R-6179Network sciencev4.20.50Passed
R-5373Sensors, IoTv3.80.42Passed

Model card

Method
Reliability and resilience engineering
Inputs
Asset register, Hazard layers
Validation
held-out period, skill reported
Label
MODELLED

Run log

  1. 00:00:11InfoIngest asset register
  2. 00:02:12InfoSchema and licence checks passed
  3. 00:07:40WarnGap filled by interpolation, flagged
  4. 00:16:03DoneCalibration complete
  5. 00:21:55GateIndependent test queued
Build workspace.Illustrative interface; not live data.

Critical Infrastructure · Build workspace. Build workspace: example names and illustrative values, not a record.

02What is shown

Released, referenced and rights-cleared.

  • Time and space reference for every view.
  • Sources and licence.
  • Uncertainty and known limits.
  • Version and date of release.
03Model classes

The kinds of model infrastructure work relies on.

Model classOpen examplesQuestion it answersValidation
Interdependency network modelsMultilayer network toolsCascades across sectorsReconstruction of past outages
Input-output modelsInoperability input-output modelsEconomic consequence of outagesComparison with observed impacts
Agent-based restoration modelsOpen simulation frameworksRestoration sequencingPast restoration records
Fragility and loss modelsHazus methodologyAsset damage under hazardsPost-event surveys
04Process

How the process runs.

Process explorer · Process

Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

10 steps4 stages

Process

Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system's exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.

  1. 01 Drivers

    1. 01HazardDataset · Infrastructure regulatorThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
    2. 02ExposureDataset · Infrastructure regulatorThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
    3. 03SensitivityDataset · Infrastructure regulatorThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
    4. 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Infrastructure regulatorThe ability of systems, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.
  2. 02 Assessment

    1. 05Risk from responsesComponent · Infrastructure regulatorRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
    2. 06VulnerabilityComponent · Infrastructure regulatorThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
    3. 07RiskModel · Critical InfrastructureRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system's exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.
  3. 03 Response

    1. 08Risk management and responseStep · Infrastructure regulatorRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
    2. 09Residual riskRecord · Infrastructure regulatorThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.
  4. 04 Decision

    1. 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Infrastructure regulatorThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.

Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.

05Status

Releases appear as they are reviewed.

Analysis runs in Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.

06Sources

Where this page's references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

07Questions

Questions and answers.

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Critical Infrastructure

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