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GCRI · Data and Compute

High performance computing

High-performance computing runs the weather forecasts, climate projections, engineering simulations, genomics and AI training that modern science and public services rely on. National capacity depends on machines, software, skilled people, energy and long-term funding. This page sets out how HPC capacity is built and used, how it is measured, and what evidence serves the research funders and agencies that plan national computing.

01Register

High performance computing on the record.

02The question

High performance computing: how the risk develops.

HPC/GPU workloads and scientific compute. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Capability and capacity differ

Some problems need one very large machine running one job; others need many smaller jobs. Planning for one does not serve the other.

Mechanism

Machines age fast

Supercomputers are replaced every few years as performance per watt improves. Gaps between systems interrupt the work of forecasting and research centres.

Mechanism

Software and skills limit use

Codes must be ported and optimised for new architectures such as GPUs. Shortages of research software engineers leave capacity underused.

Mechanism

Power sets the ceiling

Large systems draw megawatts. Energy cost and grid capacity increasingly decide where and how large new machines can be.

03Geography

Connected activity in the contiguous United States.

Night lights, population density and true-colour imagery over the contiguous United States, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Connected activity, for this page

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Connected activity, framed on the contiguous United States.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA HLS S30Sources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
  • Observed (EO): NASA HLS S30 (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Optional layers (5 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Enhanced vegetation index, rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra EVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Vegetation greenness (NDVI), rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra NDVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026

04Across the domains

High-performance computing runs the models every domain relies on.

Capacity studies are designed for the Strategic Systems series. The TOP500 and Green500 lists record benchmark performance and efficiency of large systems; benchmarks do not measure scientific usefulness.

  • Compute access policies of research centres.
  • Model performance studies.
05Twin and cascade simulator

Model high performance computing as a system. Run the cascade.

Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Digital, telecom and platforms: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full System Builder.

Hazards

Controls

  • NS-0 Constitution and principles
  • NS-9 Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)
  • NS-11 Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)
  • NS-12 Software, model and AI/ML artefacts (supply chain, model cards, dataset sheets)
  • NRS-H86 Hazard family: Telecom and data-centre failure (NHS-1 infra.digital)
  • NRS-H54 Hazard family: Signal and platform disruption (NHS-1 cyber.platform)
  • NRS-H93 Hazard family: Identity, trust and cryptographic failure (NHS-1 cyber.identity)
  • NRS-H94 Hazard family: Systemic cyber events (NHS-1 cyber.systemic-cyber)
  • NRS-T8 Software and supply-chain integrity risk
  • NRS-X6 Cyber and digital security risk

Observation

  • ITU DataHub ICT indicators (listed for reference)
  • World Development Indicators (listed for reference)
  • WMO Alert Hub and Register of Alerting Authorities (listed for reference)
  • Proportion of population covered by a mobile network, by technology
  • Fixed broadband subscriptions per 100 inhabitants, by speed
  • Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
  • Number of people per 100,000 that are covered by early warning information through local governments or through national dissemination mechanisms

Example geography

  • North America: 243 hexagonal cells
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
  • Vegetation disturbance alerts, 30 m (OPERA DIST-ALERT), NASA GIBS
06Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Sustained performance on standard benchmarksfloating point operations per secondtwice yearlyTOP500 listOBSERVED
Energy efficiencyfloating point operations per watttwice yearlyGreen500 listOBSERVED
System utilisationpercent of available node hours usedmonthlyCentre usage recordsOBSERVED
Allocation oversubscriptionratio of requested to available hoursper callAllocation recordsPublished statistics
Research software engineers employedcountannualCentre staffing recordsREPORTED
Codes ported to acceleratorspercent of major community codesper assessmentCentre reportsREPORTED
07Methods and evidence

How high performance computing is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

Datasets and provenance

The data classes behind high performance computing and what is recorded about each before it is used.

Data classProvenance recordedResolution statedLicence checked
Satellite imagery, optical and radarsensor, processing level, acquisition datepixel size and revisitper scene
Reanalysis and climate model outputmodel, experiment, member, versiongrid and time stepper release
In-situ sensors and gaugesstation, instrument, calibration recordpoint and sampling rateper network
Population and asset exposuremethod, vintage, input sourcescell size and unitper release
Boundaries and reference geographyproducer, edition, datescaleper edition
Lineage
W3C PROV record from source to figure
Principles
FAIR: findable, accessible, interoperable, reusable
Gaps
shown as missing, never filled silently
Data classes and the provenance fields recorded for each; a dataset is listed by name only once its licence admits the use.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
08Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
TOP500 and Green500 listsPerformance and energy efficiency of the most powerful systemsPublic, TOP500 terms
EuroHPC Joint Undertaking reports and access callsEuropean supercomputers and allocationPublic, EU terms
National HPC centre annual reportsUsage, allocation and science outputsPublic records, terms per centre
ESFRI roadmap and landscape analysisEuropean research infrastructure planningPublic, EU terms
WMO reports on numerical weather prediction capacityComputing used by meteorological servicesPublic, WMO terms
09Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Data and Compute prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Research funders and science ministriesWhat computing capacity to fund and whereCapacity and demand reviews; oversubscription
HPC centresHow to allocate time and support usersUtilisation and allocation analyses
Meteorological and climate servicesWhen to procure the next systemPerformance and workload evidence

Outputs this topic produces

  • National HPC capacity and demand reviews
  • Allocation and utilisation analyses
  • Workforce and software readiness assessments
  • Evidence notes for computing investment plans
10Core questions

What HPC experts ask.

  • Which workloads need tightly coupled supercomputers, and which can run on cloud or distributed resources?
  • How should capacity be balanced between traditional simulation and AI workloads, which favour different architectures?
  • Can scientific codes be ported to new architectures without years of rewriting?
  • Who gets access, and how are competing scientific priorities weighed?
11Mechanisms

What makes HPC distinct.

Large simulations divide a problem into many pieces that must exchange data constantly. Performance depends not only on processor speed but on memory bandwidth, the interconnect between nodes and input and output to storage. A system that is fast on paper can be slow for a given code if these are unbalanced.

Accelerators such as GPUs deliver much more arithmetic per unit of energy for suitable workloads, which is why AI training uses them. But many scientific codes were written for conventional processors and need substantial effort to use accelerators well. Architecture shifts therefore create a software burden and a skills burden, not just a procurement decision.

12Methods and limits

How capacity is planned and evaluated.

  1. 01

    Workload analysis

    Profiling the actual codes and data volumes a community runs. Limits: future workloads, especially AI, are hard to predict.

  2. 02

    Benchmarks

    Standard tests of computing performance. Limits: no benchmark represents all workloads, and peak figures overstate real performance.

  3. 03

    Capacity planning

    Modelling demand, utilisation and replacement cycles with optimisation and operations research. Limits: depends on funding cycles and hardware availability.

  4. 04

    Energy efficiency analysis

    Measuring useful work per unit of energy, linked to power systems engineering. Limits: comparisons across workloads are difficult.

14Where this page's references

Where this page's references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

15Questions

Questions and answers.

What is a supercomputer?
A computer system with very high processing capability, typically thousands of linked processors, used for large simulations and data analysis.
What does the TOP500 measure?
The sustained performance of systems on the LINPACK benchmark, which solves a dense system of linear equations, published twice a year.
Why are GPUs used in HPC?
Because they perform many calculations in parallel efficiently, which suits simulations and AI, though existing codes must be adapted to use them.
Will cloud computing replace supercomputers?
For many workloads, cloud is a good fit. Tightly coupled simulations that need fast interconnects still tend to run best on dedicated systems, although the boundary is shifting.
Why do AI and simulation compete for capacity?
Both need large amounts of computing, but they favour different hardware balances. Centres must decide how to serve both within limited budgets and power.
Does the platform publish rankings of computing capacity?
No. It publishes methods for describing capacity, need and dependency.
ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

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