Draft, not yet released. In stewardship review. Not indexed until the first approved release.

Data appendix

The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.

9 min read0 figures8 tables16 notesNR-STRATEGIC-HUMANSYSTEMS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
  3. 1People and places change together
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5A heatwave that meets an ageing, dense and informally housed district
  8. 6Readings from the other desks
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
    1. B.1 The indicator set
    2. B.2 Global source register
    3. B.3 Regional reading, ten regional clusters
    4. B.4 Regional card: Sub-Saharan Africa
    5. B.5 How countries appear in the global edition
    6. B.6 Licences
    7. B.7 Formats and provenance
  13. CReferences and record
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

B.1The indicator set

Table B.1Global baseline indicator set
IndicatorValueUnitYearStateSource
World population8.2billion2024Reported1
Global total fertility rate2.25births per woman2024Reported1
Life expectancy at birth73.3years2024Reported1
Share of world population in cities45per cent2025Reported2
Projected added city residents986millionto 2050Reported2
Megacities33cities2025Reported2
People in slums or informal settlements1.12billion2025Reported5
Urban green space share13.9per cent2020Reported5
Workers in informal employment≈ 61per cent2016Reported9
China births7.92million2025Reported11
China deaths11.31million2025Reported11
Japan births686,061births2024Reported12
EU total fertility rate1.34births per woman2024Reported20
Heat-related deaths, annual average546,000deaths a year2012 to 2021Reported16
Ambient air pollution deaths4.2million2019Reported17
Indicators, CSVIndicators, JSON

B.2Global source register

The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.

Domains bound by the register

  • DEM
  • INF
  • DEV
  • HLT
  • CLI
  • FIN
  • MIG
  • DAT
  • BIO
  • TRD
Table B.3Global source register
SourceCategoryCoveragePeriodCadenceRole
UN World Population Prospects 20241UN agencyglobal2024biennialpopulation
UN World Urbanization Prospects 20252UN agencyglobal2025periodicurbanisation
SDG Report 20255UN agencyglobal2025annualhousing and floods
UNFPA State of World Population7UN agency14 countries2025annualfertility aspirations
UN-Habitat World Cities Report8UN agencyglobal2024biennialcity finance
ILO informality report9UN agencyglobal2016periodicinformal work
NBS China communique11national statistics officeChina2025annualbirths and deaths
Japan vital statistics12national ministryJapan2024annualbirths and deaths
Lancet Countdown16academic and WHOglobal2012 to 2024annualheat deaths
IDMC Global Report15research centreglobal2024annualinternal displacement

B.3Regional reading, ten regional clusters

Map plates follow with the regional Baseline Editions, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form and ranks no region.

Table B.4Regional reading, ten regional clusters
RegionPrincipal hazardsSystems most exposedBaseline evidence
North Americaageing; heat; flood exposurehousing, healthregional statistics (not bound)
South Americaurban concentration; informal housinghousing, servicesregional statistics (not bound)
Europelow fertility; population ageing; net migrationhealth, pensions, housingEurostat20
Eurasiapopulation peak passed; ageinglabour, healthUN DESA1
Middle East and North Africafast city growth in Egypthousing, waterUN DESA2
Africarural and urban growth; informal housing; displacementhousing, services, shelterUN DESA2; SDG Report6; IDMC15
South Asialargest city growth; towns; Dhakahousing, transport, heatUN DESA2
East Asiabirths below deaths; ageing; fertility lowscare, finance, labourNBS11; Japan12; Korea13
ASEANlargest city is Jakarta; fast growthhousing, floodUN DESA2
Oceania-Pacificsmall islands; heat; coastal exposurehousing, waterregional statistics (not bound)

B.4Regional card: Sub-Saharan Africa

  • region
  • urban growth
  • informal housing
  • displacement
Systems in view
housing, health, water, shelter and public finance
Defining facts
slum share of urban residents 53.6 per cent in 20226; 38.8 million internally displaced at end 202415
Couplings
URB → DEV; MIG → URB
Capability evidence
national urban policies and a regional convention on displaced people2340
Gaps
city-level service data; movement into cities
Agenda items
H-02 · H-04

Sub-Saharan Africa is the only region with substantial rural population growth in recent decades and will account for nearly all future rural growth [2].

GROWTH

Rural and city growth

The share of urban residents in slums was highest in sub-Saharan Africa in 2022 [6].

HOUSING

Informal settlements

Sub-Saharan Africa reached a record 38.8 million internally displaced people at the end of 2024 [15].

DISPLACEMENT

A record count

B.5How countries appear in the global edition

Countries enter the human systems edition through the demographic and city chapters of their own national editions, on one card grammar. They are read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.

Table B.5How countries appear in the global edition
Card fieldWhat it showsSource
WEFH+B stateeach core system against peer distribution bandsnational edition
Couplingsthe national dependency matrixnational edition
Risk objectsthe national risk portfolionational edition
Capability rungsthe national capability laddernational edition
Evidence ageoldest and newest source datesnational source register

Editions in the 2026 Baseline programme

26national

countries and unions

10regional

clusters

16global

flagship and sector

14strategic

systems reports

20frontier

technology reports

How to read a country card

  • Each system is shown against the distribution of its peers, with thresholds where they exist
  • Couplings and risk objects come from the country’s own national edition
  • Capability rungs record evidence, not a judgement of institutions
  • Evidence age is printed, so older national data are visible as such
Table B.6National Baseline Editions in the 2026 programme
WaveCountries and unionsState
W0CanadaISSUED
W1United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, European Union, SwitzerlandPLANNED
W2Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Türkiye, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, South Africa, Senegal, Kenya, African Union, India, China, Republic of Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, AustraliaPLANNED

B.6Licences

Table B.7Licences of each kind of material
MaterialLicence
TextCC BY 4.0
Dataon the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0
FiguresNexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited
Mapsboundary source and licence printed on each plate
MetadataCC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it
Third-party data, figures and textThe source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed
Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.

B.7Formats and provenance

Table B.8This edition in every format
FormatKindStateWhat it isIdentifier
Web editionHTMLOn this siteDraft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.NR-STRATEGIC-HUMANSYSTEMS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Print editionPDFAt releaseA4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.NR-STRATEGIC-HUMANSYSTEMS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site15 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.NR-STRATEGIC-HUMANSYSTEMS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1
FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.FIG-STRATEGIC-HUMANSYSTEMS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-*
SlidesPDFNot recordedNo slide deck is recorded for this edition.
Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recordedNo evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt releaseConcept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

Provenance

Edition pack
The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
Evidence cut
DC-STRATEGIC-HUMANSYSTEMS-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
Reproducibility
sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
Self-check
14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
Review
five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
Publisher of record
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
Corrections
Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

  1. 1UN DESA Population Division (ed.), World Population Prospects 2024: Summary of Results (advance unedited version, July 2024). United Nations, New York. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  2. 2UN DESA Population Division (ed.), World Urbanization Prospects 2025: Summary of Results, ten key messages (November 2025). United Nations, New York. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  3. 5United Nations (ed.), The Sustainable Development Goals Report 2025, Goal 11 (1.12 billion in slums or informal settlements; urban green space 19.5 per cent in 1990 and 13.9 per cent in 2020; one billion in riverine flood-prone areas, half in cities). United Nations Statistics Division, New York. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  4. 9ILO (ed.), Women and men in the informal economy: a statistical picture, third edition (news release of 30 April 2018; about 2 billion workers, more than 61 per cent of the employed; Africa 85.8 per cent). International Labour Organization, Geneva. Observation year 2016. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  5. 11National Bureau of Statistics of China (ed.), Statistical Communique on the 2025 National Economic and Social Development, 28 February 2026 (year-end population 1,404.89 million; births 7.92 million; deaths 11.31 million; urbanisation 67.89 per cent; 65 and over 15.9 per cent). NBS, Beijing. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  6. 12Japan Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, vital statistics for 2024 (686,061 births; total fertility rate 1.15; 1,605,298 deaths; Tokyo 0.96), read in a news summary of 5 June 2025; the ministry release was not opened. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  7. 20Eurostat (ed.), Demography of Europe, 2026 edition (EU population 451 million on 1 January 2025; about 3.6 million births in 2024; fertility 1.34; 22 per cent aged 65 and over). European Commission, Luxembourg. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  8. 16WHO (ed.), news release on the 2025 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change, 29 October 2025 (about 546,000 heat-related deaths a year; up 23 per cent since the 1990s; USD 261 billion cost among older adults). World Health Organization, Geneva. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  9. 17WHO (ed.), Ambient (outdoor) air quality and health, fact sheet (99 per cent of people above guideline levels; 4.2 million deaths; 2019 data). World Health Organization, Geneva. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  10. 7UNFPA (ed.), State of World Population 2025: The Real Fertility Crisis (survey of 14 countries; 39 per cent cite financial limitations; nearly 20 per cent expect to have fewer children than they want). United Nations Population Fund, New York. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  11. 8UN-Habitat (ed.), World Cities Report 2024: Cities and Climate Action (cities receive less than 20 per cent of the finance they need for effective climate action; page read, not the full report). UN-Habitat, Nairobi. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  12. 15IDMC (ed.), 2025 Global Report on Internal Displacement (report page: sub-Saharan Africa a record 38.8 million internally displaced, around 46 per cent of the global total; the global counter showed no value). Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre, Geneva. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  13. 6UN DESA (ed.), Sustainable Development Goal 11, facts and figures (latest data 2026: about 1.16 billion in slums, informal settlements or inadequate housing; 24.8 per cent of urban residents in slums in 2022; 53.6 per cent in sub-Saharan Africa). United Nations, New York. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  14. 13Statistics Korea (ed.), first quarter 2025 births (total fertility rate 0.82 against 0.77 a year earlier; 65,022 births), read in a news report of 28 May 2025; the agency release was not opened. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  15. 23United Nations, New Urban Agenda (adopted at Habitat III in Quito on 20 October 2016; endorsed by the General Assembly on 23 December 2016; Habitat III page read). United Nations, Quito and New York. Observation year 2016. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  16. 40UNVERIFIED, not opened: African Union, Convention for the Protection and Assistance of Internally Displaced Persons in Africa (Kampala Convention), 2009, cited from memory. Observation year 2009. Accessed 2026-11-03.back

Cite this annex

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Annex B: Data appendix. In Strategic Systems Report 2026: Cities, Demography and Human Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-STRATEGIC-HUMANSYSTEMS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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