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Nexus Reports · Exponential Technology

Exponential Technology

Exponential Technology assesses technologies whose capability is changing fast (AI, quantum, biotechnology, robotics, space) for the risks they create and the risks they could reduce.

Publisher
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation
Field
Research and evidence
  1. 01Draftsources cited, labels attached
  2. 02Evidence checkevery value traced
  3. 03Independent reviewconflicts declared
  4. 04Editionpublished with its limits
  5. 05Correctiona new version, never a silent edit
01In brief

The short answer.

Exponential Technology is the Nexus Reports series on frontier technologies such as AI, quantum, biotechnology and robotics, and their implications. Contributions come from platforms such as Artificial Intelligence and Autonomous Systems as well as Data and Compute. Editors follow the series method, and each edition is listed with its date, method and version history once released; a planned edition is never shown as published.

02Geography

Systemic exposure in the Gulf of Mexico coast.

Where people and networks concentrate, the exposure through which shocks travel between systems, shown for the Gulf of Mexico coast as an example geography for this subject.

Where people and networks concentrate, the exposure through which shocks travel between systems.Indicator derived from Natural Earth at map scale; a screening view, not an assessment.
GCRI · Nexus Reports · fieldDESIGN FIGURE
04Scope

What the series covers and at what unit.

An edition separates demonstrated capability from roadmap claims, maps the dependencies of the technology, and sets out the governance instruments that apply.

ElementIn this series
Unit of analysisA technology or technology cluster
MethodCapability evidence review, technology readiness assessment, dependency mapping, review of risk frameworks (NIST AI RMF, ISO/IEC 42001 and others)
05Out of scope

What an edition of this series does not do.

  • Recommend products or vendors.
  • Publish dual-use technical detail; biotechnology content stays at capacity and oversight level.
  • Predict dates for capability milestones.
06Editions

Editions appear when published.

Each edition is listed with its date, method and version history. A planned edition is never shown as released.

07Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Technology convergenceThe combination of advances from several technology fields into new capabilities, such as AI with biotechnology or sensors with networks, whose risks are often greater than those of any part.
Dual useTechnology or research that can serve both civilian and military purposes.
Pacing problemThe gap that opens when technology develops faster than the laws and institutions that govern it.
Editorial independenceThe condition in which editors decide what is published on the validity and relevance of the work, free from interference by owners, funders or sponsors, as ICMJE and COPE guidance describe it.
08Sources

Where this page's references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

09Questions

Questions and answers.

Who decides what is published?
The series editors, following the series method. No funder, sponsor or member can buy or block a finding.
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