The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Foresight Outlook explores plausible futures over horizons beyond current planning, to surface risks and opportunities that present analysis would miss.
Foresight Outlook is the Nexus Reports series on long-horizon outlooks and horizon scans for institutions that must anticipate change. Contributions come from platforms such as Quantum Technologies as well as Future of Work and Skills. Editors follow the series method, and each edition is listed with its date, method and version history once released; a planned edition is never shown as published.
Where people and networks concentrate, the exposure through which shocks travel between systems, shown for the Gulf of Mexico coast as an example geography for this subject.
Editions use structured foresight (horizon scanning, scenarios, cross-impact analysis) and state the assumptions behind each scenario.
| Element | In this series |
|---|---|
| Unit of analysis | A theme over a ten- to thirty-year horizon |
| Method | Horizon scanning, scenario development, cross-impact analysis, expert elicitation with stated protocol |
Each edition is listed with its date, method and version history. A planned edition is never shown as released.
Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Strategic foresight | A structured and systematic way of using ideas about the future to anticipate and prepare for change, in OECD usage. |
| Horizon scanning | A systematic search for early signs of emerging risks and opportunities beyond current planning. |
| Weak signal | An early, ambiguous indication of a change that may grow in significance. |
| Editorial independence | The condition in which editors decide what is published on the validity and relevance of the work, free from interference by owners, funders or sponsors, as ICMJE and COPE guidance describe it. |
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.