The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Model descriptions for Climate and Hazards are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.
Climate and Hazards reviewed models are published descriptions of the models used in the climate and hazards field, with their assumptions, data, validation and limits, built on methods such as climate and atmospheric science as well as Earth and geophysical science. They describe models; they are not live simulations, and no output on them is a finding.
Fig.A programme from scoping to the owner's decision. Design, not a record.
For reviewed models and scenarios, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on daytime surface heat, rain, marine heat and true-colour imagery, framed on World; 2 further NASA layers wait in the list.
The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.
Layers 4
Climate signals, for this page
Keyboard, with the map focused
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Latest available
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth
Loading the latest NASA imagery.
Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.
For reviewed models and scenarios, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on daytime surface heat, rain, marine heat and true-colour imagery, framed on World; 2 further NASA layers wait in the list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.
Layers and dates
| Model class | Open examples | Question it answers | Validation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global climate models | CMIP ensembles | Large-scale climate change | Historical simulation, process diagnostics |
| Regional climate models | CORDEX ensembles | Regional detail | Observed regional climate |
| Probabilistic seismic hazard | OpenQuake | Ground-shaking probabilities | Observed ground motions |
| Event attribution | Methods used in attribution studies | Change in likelihood of an observed event | Model evaluation for the event type |
Analysis runs in Nexus Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.
Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Model validation | Comparing model predictions with independent observations to judge fitness for a stated use. |
| Model card | A short document describing a model's intended use, training data, performance and limits. |
| Uncertainty quantification | Characterising and propagating the uncertainties in a model to state confidence in its outputs. |
| Surrogate model | A fast statistical model trained to approximate a slow simulation or experiment. |
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.