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GCRI · Climate and Hazards

Released maps

Maps of Climate and Hazards are published here once their data rights are cleared and they have been reviewed. Each shows its time and space reference, its sources and its uncertainty.

01Workspace

The workspace for released maps.

Map workspace.Illustrative interface; not live data.

Climate and Hazards · Map workspace. Map workspace: example names and illustrative values, not a record.

02What is shown

Released, referenced and rights-cleared.

  • Time and space reference for every view.
  • Sources and licence.
  • Uncertainty and known limits.
  • Version and date of release.
03Geography

Hazards now worldwide.

Population density, active fires and flood water across the world, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Hazards now, for this page

About this layer
Evidence
Estimated
Source
Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University))
Provider
NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University)
Licence
CC BY 4.0
Vintage
null; Census-based estimate, static (2020)
Resolution
about 1 km grid
Uncertainty
Census-based estimate of people per square kilometre in 2020, shown as exposure context; not a count of people affected by any hazard.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds and overpass timing leave gaps)
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS) (NASA LANCE FIRMS)
Provider
NASA LANCE FIRMS
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite detection; clouds and overpass timing leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-13
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite hot-spot detections for the day shown, including gas flares and industrial heat; not a confirmed fire, an incident report or a warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds leave gaps)
Source
VIIRS Global Flood Product (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite detection; clouds leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-14
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite detection; clouds leave gaps. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite image
Newest at build
2026-10-14
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite image. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (persistent cloud still leaves gaps)
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
8-day; Satellite 8-day composite; persistent cloud still leaves gaps
Newest at build
2026-09-14
Resolution
about 1 km grid
Uncertainty
Satellite skin temperature of the ground over the 8 days ending on the date shown, a heat exposure indicator; not air temperature, heat index or a heat warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Modelled (latest year GIBS publishes)
Source
MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1) (NASA LP DAAC)
Provider
NASA LP DAAC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
yearly; Satellite classification; latest year GIBS publishes
Newest at build
2024-01-01
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite land cover classes for the year shown, including croplands; a classification with known errors, not a farm register.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Hazards now, framed on the world.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · U.S. Geological Survey · NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERTSources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), VIIRS 375 m active fire product, NASA LANCE; vector tiles via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Live: U.S. Geological Survey Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Observed (EO): NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • River discharge forecast, 30 days with range (GloFAS via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Emergency Management Service information 2026; not a flood warning.
  • Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
  • Optional layers (20 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Active fires and thermal anomalies: VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS), NASA LANCE FIRMS · 13 Oct 2026
  • Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land surface temperature, day, 8-day composite: VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day, NASA LANCE · 14 Sep 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024

04Indicators

What a released map in this field would carry.

IndicatorUnitCadenceEvidence labelTopic
Temperature anomalydegrees Celsius against a stated reference periodmonthlyObservedClimate baselines
Precipitation anomalypercent of reference-period meanmonthlyObservedClimate baselines
Station record completenesspercent of days with valid observationsannualObservedClimate baselines
Reanalysis temperaturedegrees CelsiushourlyModelledClimate baselines
Observing network densitystations per ten thousand square kilometresannualPublished statisticsClimate baselines
Homogenisation adjustments appliedcount of breakpoints adjustedper releaseReportedClimate baselines
Standardized Precipitation Indexstandard deviations at a stated accumulation periodmonthlyObservedHeat and drought
Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Indexstandard deviations at a stated accumulation periodmonthlyEstimatedHeat and drought
Soil moisture anomalypercentile against reference perioddaily to monthlyModelledHeat and drought
Heatwave dayscount of days above a local thresholdseasonalObservedHeat and drought
Wet-bulb globe temperaturedegrees CelsiushourlyEstimatedHeat and drought
Vegetation conditionanomaly of a vegetation indexdekadalObservedHeat and drought
Streamflow percentilepercentile of flow for the day of yeardailyObservedHeat and drought
Peak river dischargecubic metres per secondper eventObservedFlood and storm
Discharge return periodyearsper eventEstimatedFlood and storm
Rainfall intensitymillimetres per hoursub-dailyObservedFlood and storm
Storm surge heightmetres above predicted tideper eventObservedFlood and storm
Tropical cyclone maximum sustained windknots at a stated averaging periodsix-hourlyPublished statisticsFlood and storm
Flood extentsquare kilometresper eventObservedFlood and storm
Population in flood hazard zonepeople by return periodper model releaseModelledFlood and storm
Fire Weather Indexdimensionless indexdailyModelledWildfire and land
Active fire detectionscount of detectionsdailyObservedWildfire and land
Burned areahectaresmonthly and annualObservedWildfire and land
Fire radiative powermegawattsper detectionObservedWildfire and land
Fire season lengthdays above a fire danger thresholdannualModelledWildfire and land
Population at the wildland-urban interfacepeopleper assessmentEstimatedWildfire and land
Smoke fine particulate exposuremicrograms per cubic metredailyModelledWildfire and land
Earthquake magnitudemoment magnitudeper eventObservedEarthquakes and geohazards
Peak ground accelerationfraction of gravityper eventObservedEarthquakes and geohazards
Macroseismic intensityintensity scale levelper eventEstimatedEarthquakes and geohazards
Seismic hazard at a return periodpeak ground acceleration with a stated exceedance probabilityper model releaseModelledEarthquakes and geohazards
Landslide susceptibilitysusceptibility classper assessmentModelledEarthquakes and geohazards
Ground deformation ratemillimetres per yearper acquisition seriesObservedEarthquakes and geohazards
Volcanic alert levelalert level on the observatory’s scaleas issuedPublished statisticsEarthquakes and geohazards
Concurrent hot and dry dayscount per seasonseasonalObservedCompound hazards
Joint return periodyears for the combined eventper analysisEstimatedCompound hazards
Dependence between driverscorrelation or tail dependence coefficientper analysisEstimatedCompound hazards
Events with multiple hazard typescountannualReportedCompound hazards
Simultaneous breadbasket shortfallscount of regions below a yield thresholdannualEstimatedCompound hazards
Recovery interval between eventsmonthsper event sequenceObservedCompound hazards
Change in annual mean temperaturedegrees Celsius at a stated warming levelper ensemble releaseModelledClimate projections
Change in heavy precipitationpercent change in annual maximum daily rainfallper ensemble releaseModelledClimate projections
Change in hot daysdays above a threshold per yearper ensemble releaseModelledClimate projections
Ensemble spreadrange across modelsper ensemble releaseModelledClimate projections
Model agreement on sign of changepercent of modelsper ensemble releaseModelledClimate projections
Bias against observationsdifference over reference periodper modelEstimatedClimate projections
Forecast skillcontinuous ranked probability skill score against a referenceper verification cycleObservedClimate services and warnings
Warning lead timehours between warning issue and hazard onsetper eventObservedClimate services and warnings
Population covered by multi-hazard early warningpercent of populationannualPublished statisticsClimate services and warnings
Warnings in Common Alerting Protocolpercent of warnings issued in CAPannualObservedClimate services and warnings
False alarm ratioratio of warnings without the hazardper verification cycleObservedClimate services and warnings
People who received and acted on a warningpercent of surveyed populationper surveyReportedClimate services and warnings
05Process

How the process runs.

Process explorer · Process

Released maps: Layers to published map

7 steps4 stages1 gate

Process

Released maps: Layers to published map

Layers enter with their rights, are aligned, analysed and checked for uncertainty, then released after public-safe review; a map is a governed spatial claim.

  1. 01 Data

    1. 01Source layers with their rightsDataset · NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)Spatial views of The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX) products sit under the boundary licence gate. Rights classification sets how a layer may be used.
  2. 02 Harmonise

    1. 02Coordinate reference and boundary versionRecord · NXS-EOP (earth observation and digital twins)The area of interest preserves its coordinate reference system, polygon validity and observation support. Boundary versions are kept.
    2. 03Harmonise units, variables and timeStepUnit metadata, conversion records and transformation logs are required. Alignment is an evidence event, not hidden preprocessing.
  3. 03 Analyse and check

    1. 04Analyse with a recorded processing recipeModel · GIS teamA processing recipe records parameters, calibration, inputs and output lineage. The analysis methods are named in each product’s own record.
    2. 05Spatial uncertainty checkGateSpatial uncertainty is recorded and affects downstream use. A high-uncertainty polygon may suit internal review, not public-safe release.
  4. 04 Publish

    1. 06Spatial metadata bundleRecordThe bundle records boundary type, jurisdiction, geometry version, projection, resolution, source, time window, uncertainty and access class.
    2. 07Public-safe release of the mapDecisionThe output record names the redactions, uncertainty and public-safe reviewer. A map is a governed spatial claim, never merely a picture.

Spatio-temporal intelligence · Data protocols: semantic, jurisdictional and temporal intelligence · NXS-EOPDesigned programme process, not a record of operation. No cycle has run and every programme is at service level R0. A gate is a programme decision, never a public-authority approval, certification or deployment authorisation. The pages cited are design doctrine.

06Reading the maps

Cautions that apply to hazard maps.

  • Hazard maps show probability of the hazard, not risk; exposure and vulnerability are separate layers.
  • Return-period maps rest on records that may be non-stationary.
  • Projected change maps depend on scenario and period; both are stated.
  • Global hazard maps are too coarse for site decisions.
07Status

Releases appear as they are reviewed.

Analysis runs in Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.

09Questions

Questions and answers.

Can I request a map or model?
Write to the contact form with what you need and why.
ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRIClimate and HazardsGlobal Systems Risk and ResilienceObservatory SignalScenario and Stress-Test
Climate and Hazards

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Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.