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GCRI · Data and Compute

Methods and uncertainty

The methods Data and Compute relies on: their equations and assumptions, the data they need, how they are validated and the limits of what they can show.

01Register

Methods and uncertainty on the record.

Data and Compute
  1. 01FieldsData and compute, Energy
  2. 02STEM methods7 canonical methods applied
  3. 03Topics8 subject pages
  4. 04Counterparts0 platforms in shared fields
  5. 05PublisherThe Global Centre for Risk and Innovation
03Method register

Each method, its role in this field and how it is checked.

04Process

How the process runs.

Process explorer · Process

Methods and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

10 steps4 stages

Process

Methods and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

PRISMA 2020 is a reporting guideline for systematic reviews; the steps follow its checklist, not a mandated sequence, and no Nexus document adopts it.

  1. 01 Plan

    1. 01Registration and protocolRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for registration details, access to the protocol and any amendments.
    2. 02Eligibility criteriaRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for the inclusion and exclusion criteria and how studies were grouped.
  2. 02 Find and select

    1. 03Search: sources and strategiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the information sources and the full search strategies. It does not fix which sources are used.
    2. 04Selection of studiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how studies were judged eligible, including how many reviewers screened. It does not fix the number of reviewers.
    3. 05Flow diagramRecordThe flow diagram shows the number of records found, the number of studies included and the reasons for exclusion.
  3. 03 Analyse

    1. 06Data collectionStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how data were collected from reports and which data items were sought.
    2. 07Risk of biasStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods and tools used to assess risk of bias.
    3. 08SynthesisModel · The review teamThe guideline asks for the effect measures and the synthesis methods. It does not prescribe meta-analysis.
    4. 09Certainty of evidenceStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods used to assess certainty, and reports the result per outcome. It does not name a grading scale.
  4. 04 Report

    1. 10Review reportRecordThe guideline helps authors report why the review was done, what they did and what they found.

ReportsOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.

05Uncertainty

Where uncertainty in data and compute analysis comes from, and how it is shown.

SourceWhy it matters hereHow it is reported
Demand growthCompute and data-centre growth projections vary widelyScenario ranges with drivers
Facility dataMany facilities are not disclosedCoverage stated
EfficiencyHardware and cooling efficiency change quicklyDated metrics
Water useRarely reportedEstimates labelled

Projections of compute energy demand are reported as ranges from several sources.

06How uncertainty is reported

How uncertainty is reported.

  1. 01

    State assumptions

    Each analysis lists its assumptions and the data it depends on.

  2. 02

    Quantify where possible

    Ranges and confidence are reported alongside central estimates.

  3. 03

    Validate and compare

    Models are checked against observations and, where possible, against other models.

  4. 04

    Publish limits

    What an analysis cannot show is stated beside what it can.

08Questions

Questions and answers.

Are the methods open?
Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. Code and data follow their own licences and access terms, listed in the source register.
ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRIData and ComputeExponential TechnologyStrategic Systems
Data and Compute

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Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.