GCRI · Fields across the Consortium
Spatial intelligenceObservations, models and their uncertainty in one view
Industry and robotics
Industrial risk spans process safety in plants that handle hazardous materials, the automation and robotics that change how plants fail, and the industrial base a country needs to recover from any shock.
The field, seen three ways.
Water now worldwide.
Flood water, population density, night lights and true-colour imagery across the world, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.
The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.
Layers 4
Water now, for this page
Keyboard, with the map focused
Hold Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll to zoom
Latest available
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth
Loading the latest NASA imagery.
Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.
Water now, framed on World. Layers as NASA publishes them, each with its own date.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.
Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA HLS S30Sources and licences
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
- VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- GPM IMERG precipitation, NASA Precipitation Processing System; distributed by the NASA Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- SMAP Level 4 soil moisture and snow mass, NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office; distributed by the NASA National Snow and Ice Data Center DAAC; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
- Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
- © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
- Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
- Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
- Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
- Observed (EO): NASA HLS S30 (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- River discharge forecast, 30 days with range (GloFAS via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Emergency Management Service information 2026; not a flood warning.
- Past year, daily temperature (ERA5 via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026.
- Past year, daily temperature and sunshine (NASA POWER): These data were obtained from the NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC) POWER Project funded through the NASA Earth Science/Applied Science Program..
- Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
- Optional layers (14 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.
Layers and dates
- Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
- Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
- Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
- True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
- Precipitation rate, daily mean: GPM IMERG, NASA GES DISC · 12 Oct 2026
- Root-zone soil moisture, 0 to 100 cm: SMAP Level 4, NASA NSIDC DAAC · 11 Oct 2026
Low-frequency, high-consequence events and automation.
Major industrial accidents are rare at any single site and recurrent across an industry; their causes repeat (loss of containment, inadequate management of change, degraded safety barriers). Natural-hazard-triggered technological accidents, known as Natech events, combine both fields. Automation reduces some human error and introduces software and integration failure modes.
- Barrier management and safety-instrumented systems under IEC 61511 and IEC 61508.
- Natech risk where floods, earthquakes or heat reach hazardous installations.
- Industrial capacity for recovery: steel, cement, chemicals and equipment that reconstruction needs.
A shock through an input-output economy.
A loss of output in one sector propagates through the technical coefficients to its suppliers and customers, and recovers at the rate you set; the coefficients are teaching values, not national accounts. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction.
Controls
- Sector hit first (position in the list)
- 0
- Size of the shock
- 30 % of its output
- Duration of the shock
- 30 days
- Recovery rate
- 0.08 per day
- Days simulated
- 180 days
Readouts
- Output lost over the run
- 0.63 % of a year's output
- Total over direct (multiplier)
- 1.84 times
- Most affected other sector
- Transport and ports
- Its peak inoperability
- 3.2 %
Numbers, methods and sources
| Sector | Peak inoperability (%) | Output weight (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Agriculture | 30.54 | 12.2 |
| Energy | 1.10 | 21.1 |
| Manufacturing | 2.67 | 20.5 |
| Transport and ports | 3.22 | 11.1 |
| Trade | 2.06 | 14.8 |
| Services | 2.79 | 20.3 |
Methods
- Input-output analysis Leontief (1936); Miller and Blair (2009), Input-Output Analysis, Cambridge University Press
- Inoperability input-output model Haimes and Jiang (2001), Journal of Infrastructure Systems 7
- Dynamic inoperability and recovery Lian and Haimes (2006), Systems Engineering 9
- Uncertainty fan (parameter Monte Carlo) Spiegelhalter, Pearson and Short (2011), Visualizing uncertainty about the future, Science 333
- One-at-a-time sensitivity (tornado) Saltelli and others (2008), Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, Wiley
Data
The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page's map can draw:
- Seaports Natural Earth
- Maritime chokepoints Nexus (named straits and canals at their published coordinates)
- Railways Natural Earth
- Major roads Natural Earth
Across the six pillars, led by Nexus Consortium
- Experiments Labs at GCRI: Nexus Labs
- Built in Foundry at GCRI: Nexus Foundry
- Tested at Universe at GCRI: Nexus Universe technical office
- Codified in Industry, Trade and Supply Chains on Nexus Standards
- Published in Reports at GCRI: Publish
- Taught in Technological, industrial and Natech hazards on Risk Academy
Process safety and machinery standards.
| Framework or body | What it governs or supplies |
|---|---|
| EU Seveso III Directive | Prevention and control of major-accident hazards involving dangerous substances |
| IEC 61508 and IEC 61511 | Functional safety of programmable systems and of process-industry safety-instrumented systems |
| CCPS risk-based process safety | Process safety elements and lessons from incidents |
| ISO 10218 | Safety requirements for industrial robots |
Model industry and robotics as a system. Run the cascade.
Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Industry and manufacturing: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification.
Hazards
- Natech event
- Dam failure
- River flood (set off downstream)
- Flash flood (set off downstream)
- Mass displacement (set off downstream)
- Chemical spill or leak (set off downstream)
- Emergency-response overload (set off downstream)
- Widespread power outage (set off downstream)
- Water supply shortfall (set off downstream)
- Toxic gas release (set off downstream)
- Industrial fire (set off downstream)
Systems and couplings
Controls
NS-0Constitution and principlesNS-9Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)NS-11Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)NS-12Software, model and AI/ML artifacts (supply chain, model cards, dataset sheets)NRS-H60Hazard family: Supply-chain and flow disruption (NHS-1 sys.supply-chain)NRS-H50Hazard family: Industrial and process accidents (NHS-1 infra.industrial)NRS-H109Hazard family: Energy-transition technology failures (NHS-1 tech.energy-transition)NRS-X10Chemical, industrial, nuclear and radiological safetyNRS-H54Hazard family: Signal and platform disruption (NHS-1 cyber.platform)NRS-K14Domain pack profile: Manufacturing industrial (DOMAIN-014)
Observation
- eMARS Major Accident Reporting System (listed for reference)
- World Development Indicators (listed for reference)
- ILOSTAT (listed for reference)
- Manufacturing value added as a proportion of GDP and per capita
- CO2 emission per unit of value added
- Manufacturing, value added (% of GDP)
- Direct economic loss to all other damaged or destroyed productive assets attributed to disasters
Example geography
- The Strait of Malacca: 227 H3 hexagons at resolution 4
- Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
- Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
- Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
- Surface soil moisture (SMAP), NASA GIBS
Plants, workers and supply.
- Work: occupational safety and automation's effect on tasks.
- Trade: industrial inputs and outputs in supply chains.
- Disaster: Natech events.
The science sits on Advanced Industry and Robotics; methods start from process safety.
The methods behind the field.
- Network science and contagion
- Optimization and operations research
- Econometrics
- Geospatial information systems
- Materials science and chemistry
- Urban and transport engineering
- Robotics and automation
- Process and industrial safety engineering
- Systems engineering
- Sensors, IoT and observation networks
- Energy generation, storage and grid technology
- Water and environmental engineering
- Policy, institutional and decision science
- Artificial intelligence and machine learning
- Financial economics and macro-finance
- Financial and risk engineering
- Scenario design and stress testing
Where this page's references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
- EU Seveso III Directive on major-accident hazards (European Commission)
- IEC 61508 Functional safety of electrical, electronic and programmable systems (IEC)
- Center for Chemical Process Safety (AIChE CCPS), risk-based process safety
- ISO 10218 Robotics, safety requirements for industrial robots (ISO)
- UNIDO industrial statistics
Questions and answers.
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The same subject across the Consortium.
- GRFglobalriskforum.comInnovation NexusMandates, commitments and accountability
- GRAglobalriskalliance.comPrivate Equity NexusExposure, loss and capital
- Nexus Standardsnexustandards.comIndustry, Trade and Supply ChainsStandards that apply
- Risk Academyrisksacademy.comTechnological, industrial and Natech hazardsWhere it is taught
- Nexus Reportstherisk.globalAdvanced Industry and Robotics in Nexus ReportsWhere it is reported
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