Poverty dynamics with panel data
Panel surveys track the same households over time to estimate who moves into and out of poverty and what predicts those moves.
GCRI · Sociedad y desarrollo humano
Econometrics estimates relationships in social and economic data. In this field it measures how income, prices, shocks and policies relate to poverty, wellbeing and inequality, using panels and time series with uncertainty stated.
Econometrics applies statistical methods to economic data to estimate relationships, test theories and forecast. It provides empirical evidence on how shocks and policies affect economic outcomes. In society and human development and information and public trust, econometric evidence estimates how disasters, pandemics and financial shocks affect output, employment and prices. It informs the economic case for reducción del riesgo. The canonical description is on STEM Commons.
Panel surveys track the same households over time to estimate who moves into and out of poverty and what predicts those moves.
Household spending patterns and price data estimate how food and energy price changes affect real incomes across the distribution.
Inequality is decomposed into differences within and between groups, such as regions or genders, to see where gaps come from.
La pantalla que utilizaría un equipo para seguir este método: sus mediciones, estados y decisiones. Los nombres son ejemplos y los valores son ilustrativos.
Society and human development · Econometrics for social outcomes · Run R-6763
errores estándar robustos
| People in need | 0.58 | 0.07 | [−0.2, 1.0] | Sí |
| Pobreza multidimensional | −0.22 | 0.08 | [−0.5, 0.9] | No |
| Internally displaced people | 0.24 | 0.09 | [−0.6, 0.7] | Sí |
| School attendance | 0.14 | 0.11 | [−0.3, 0.3] | No |
Datasets and records used by econometrics on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in el registro de fuentes.
| Datos | Función | Etiqueta |
|---|---|---|
| Panel household surveys | Dynamics | NOTIFICADO |
| Price indices | Price changes | Estadísticas publicadas |
| Income and consumption surveys | Distribución | ESTIMADO |
El modelo, sus supuestos, sus datos y su incertidumbre, en la forma en que un científico o un ingeniero los comprobaría. Las estructuras siguen métodos publicados. Los valores representados son ilustrativos, no hallazgos.
The couplings between the systems in econometrics for social outcomes: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.
Models are assessed through specification tests, robustness checks and out-of-sample performance. Results are compared across datasets and methods.
| Verificación | Cómo se hace |
|---|---|
| Measurement error | Analyses account for measurement error in income and consumption |
| Robustness to specification | Results are tested across models |
| Attrition analysis | Panel attrition is assessed for bias |
Endogeneity, measurement error and structural change can bias estimates. Relationships may shift under extreme conditions.
Process explorer · Process
10 steps·4 etapas
Proceso
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