Poverty dynamics with panel data
Panel surveys track the same households over time to estimate who moves into and out of poverty and what predicts those moves.
GCRI · 社会と人間開発
Econometrics estimates relationships in social and economic data. In this field it measures how income, prices, shocks and policies relate to poverty, wellbeing and inequality, using panels and time series with uncertainty stated.
Econometrics applies statistical methods to economic data to estimate relationships, test theories and forecast. It provides empirical evidence on how shocks and policies affect economic outcomes. In society and human development and information and public trust, econometric evidence estimates how disasters, pandemics and financial shocks affect output, employment and prices. It informs the economic case for リスク削減. The canonical description is on STEM Commons.
Panel surveys track the same households over time to estimate who moves into and out of poverty and what predicts those moves.
Household spending patterns and price data estimate how food and energy price changes affect real incomes across the distribution.
Inequality is decomposed into differences within and between groups, such as regions or genders, to see where gaps come from.
この手法を追跡するためにチームが使う画面:その指標、状態、決定。名前は例であり、値はイメージです。
Society and human development · Econometrics for social outcomes · Run R-6763
頑健な標準誤差
| People in need | 0.58 | 0.07 | [−0.2, 1.0] | はい |
| 多次元貧困 | −0.22 | 0.08 | [−0.5, 0.9] | いいえ |
| Internally displaced people | 0.24 | 0.09 | [−0.6, 0.7] | はい |
| School attendance | 0.14 | 0.11 | [−0.3, 0.3] | いいえ |
Datasets and records used by econometrics on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in 出典の登録簿.
| データ | 役割 | ラベル |
|---|---|---|
| Panel household surveys | Dynamics | 報告値 |
| Price indices | Price changes | 公表統計 |
| Income and consumption surveys | 分配 | 推定 |
モデル、その仮定、データ、不確実性を、科学者やエンジニアが確認する形で示します。構造は公表された手法に従っています。描かれた値は例示であり、知見ではありません。
The couplings between the systems in econometrics for social outcomes: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.
Models are assessed through specification tests, robustness checks and out-of-sample performance. Results are compared across datasets and methods.
| 確認 | 実施方法 |
|---|---|
| Measurement error | Analyses account for measurement error in income and consumption |
| Robustness to specification | Results are tested across models |
| Attrition analysis | Panel attrition is assessed for bias |
Endogeneity, measurement error and structural change can bias estimates. Relationships may shift under extreme conditions.
Process explorer · Process
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経済開発 stewards econometrics for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.
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