Lab programmes, by discipline.
Each programme gathers the labs that teach in one Academy faculty. It names the lab work it backs, the disciplines it serves, the standards its modules teach and open-access reading to start from.
- Earth and environment10
- Hazards, disasters and resilience14
- Infrastructure, energy and industry12
- Technology and digital systems11
- Health and society11
- All nine programmesTabs
Counts are disciplines in each faculty
Choose a programme.
Programmes follow the nine Risk Academy faculties, so every contribution has a course to live in.
Earth and environment lab programme
Earth observation, climate and ecosystem data turned into exposure and change evidence that a learner can reproduce from open archives.
- Earth observation change-detection labs
- Climate data processing notebooks
- Biodiversity indicator exercises
Disciplines
Atmosphere and air chemistry · Biodiversity and ecosystems · Climate science, variability and change · Cryosphere and mountain systems · Earth observation and Earth system data · Food systems and agriculture · Land, forests and soils · Oceans and coasts · Planetary boundaries and Earth system resilience · Water security and hydrology
Further reading (open access)
Open-access works chosen by relevance to the programme, with full citations. Metadata only; follow the link for the text.
Rölfer, L., Winter, G., Máñez Costa, M., & Celliers, L. (2020). Earth observation and coastal climate services for small islands. Climate Services, 18, 100168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100168
doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100168 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Rölfer, L., Winter, G., Máñez Costa, M., & Celliers, L. (2020). Earth observation and coastal climate services for small islands. Climate Services, 18, 100168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100168
ChicagoRölfer, Lena, Gundula Winter, María Máñez Costa, and Louis Celliers. 2020. “Earth observation and coastal climate services for small islands.” Climate Services 18: 100168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100168.
BibTeX@article{rolfer2020earth, author = {Rölfer, Lena and Winter, Gundula and Máñez Costa, María and Celliers, Louis}, title = {{Earth observation and coastal climate services for small islands}}, journal = {Climate Services}, year = {2020}, volume = {18}, pages = {100168}, doi = {10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100168}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100168}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Rölfer, Lena AU - Winter, Gundula AU - Máñez Costa, María AU - Celliers, Louis TI - Earth observation and coastal climate services for small islands JO - Climate Services PY - 2020 VL - 18 SP - 100168 DO - 10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100168 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100168 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100168 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Miao, Z., Li, C., Su, T., & Wu, Y. (2026). Global assessment of climate-driven lag and cumulative effects on vegetation using Earth Observation data and multivariable machine learning models. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 152, 105403. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2026.105403
doi:10.1016/j.jag.2026.105403 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Miao, Z., Li, C., Su, T., & Wu, Y. (2026). Global assessment of climate-driven lag and cumulative effects on vegetation using Earth Observation data and multivariable machine learning models. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 152, 105403. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2026.105403
ChicagoMiao, Zhuqing, Cheng Li, Tao Su, and Yongping Wu. 2026. “Global assessment of climate-driven lag and cumulative effects on vegetation using Earth Observation data and multivariable machine learning models.” International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 152: 105403. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2026.105403.
BibTeX@article{miao2026global, author = {Miao, Zhuqing and Li, Cheng and Su, Tao and Wu, Yongping}, title = {{Global assessment of climate-driven lag and cumulative effects on vegetation using Earth Observation data and multivariable machine learning models}}, journal = {International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation}, year = {2026}, volume = {152}, pages = {105403}, doi = {10.1016/j.jag.2026.105403}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2026.105403}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Miao, Zhuqing AU - Li, Cheng AU - Su, Tao AU - Wu, Yongping TI - Global assessment of climate-driven lag and cumulative effects on vegetation using Earth Observation data and multivariable machine learning models JO - International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation PY - 2026 VL - 152 SP - 105403 DO - 10.1016/j.jag.2026.105403 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2026.105403 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2026.105403 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Lucas, A. (2021). Risking the earth Part 1: Reassessing dangerous anthropogenic interference and climate risk in IPCC processes. Climate Risk Management, 31, 100257. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257
doi:10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Lucas, A. (2021). Risking the earth Part 1: Reassessing dangerous anthropogenic interference and climate risk in IPCC processes. Climate Risk Management, 31, 100257. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257
ChicagoLucas, Adam. 2021. “Risking the earth Part 1: Reassessing dangerous anthropogenic interference and climate risk in IPCC processes.” Climate Risk Management 31: 100257. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257.
BibTeX@article{lucas2021risking, author = {Lucas, Adam}, title = {{Risking the earth Part 1: Reassessing dangerous anthropogenic interference and climate risk in IPCC processes}}, journal = {Climate Risk Management}, year = {2021}, volume = {31}, pages = {100257}, doi = {10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Lucas, Adam TI - Risking the earth Part 1: Reassessing dangerous anthropogenic interference and climate risk in IPCC processes JO - Climate Risk Management PY - 2021 VL - 31 SP - 100257 DO - 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Kardkasem, R., & Carney, M. (2024). Modeling Multiday Extreme Precipitation Across Eastern Australia: A Dynamical Perspective (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.10139
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2403.10139 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Kardkasem, R., & Carney, M. (2024). Modeling Multiday Extreme Precipitation Across Eastern Australia: A Dynamical Perspective (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.10139
ChicagoKardkasem, Ruethaichanok, and Meagan Carney. 2024. Modeling Multiday Extreme Precipitation Across Eastern Australia: A Dynamical Perspective. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.10139.
BibTeX@misc{kardkasem2024modeling, author = {Kardkasem, Ruethaichanok and Carney, Meagan}, title = {{Modeling Multiday Extreme Precipitation Across Eastern Australia: A Dynamical Perspective}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2024}, version = {v1}, eprint = {2403.10139}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2403.10139}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.10139} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Kardkasem, Ruethaichanok AU - Carney, Meagan TI - Modeling Multiday Extreme Precipitation Across Eastern Australia: A Dynamical Perspective PY - 2024 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2403.10139 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.10139 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.10139 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Healy, D., Tawn, J. A., Thorne, P., & Parnell, A. (2024). Spatio-temporal analysis of extreme winter temperatures in Ireland (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.10796
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2412.10796 · Open access · Preprint · Version v2 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Healy, D., Tawn, J. A., Thorne, P., & Parnell, A. (2024). Spatio-temporal analysis of extreme winter temperatures in Ireland (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.10796
ChicagoHealy, Dáire, Jonathan A. Tawn, Peter Thorne, and Andrew Parnell. 2024. Spatio-temporal analysis of extreme winter temperatures in Ireland. Version v2. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.10796.
BibTeX@misc{healy2024spatio, author = {Healy, Dáire and Tawn, Jonathan A. and Thorne, Peter and Parnell, Andrew}, title = {{Spatio-temporal analysis of extreme winter temperatures in Ireland}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2024}, version = {v2}, eprint = {2412.10796}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2412.10796}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.10796} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Healy, Dáire AU - Tawn, Jonathan A. AU - Thorne, Peter AU - Parnell, Andrew TI - Spatio-temporal analysis of extreme winter temperatures in Ireland PY - 2024 ET - v2 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2412.10796 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.10796 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.10796 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Hazards, disasters and resilience lab programme
Hazard, exposure and vulnerability, early warning and anticipatory action, with the decision a warning has to support kept in view.
- Forecast-based trigger design exercises
- Flood and storm exposure labs
- After-action review case material
- NRS-X2 Disaster risk reduction and crisis management
- NRS-M2 Hazard science
- NRS-C14 Resilience capability and maturity
Disciplines
Biological and epidemic hazards in disaster risk management · Community resilience and inclusion · Disaster risk reduction · Early warning and anticipatory action · Floods, storms and tropical cyclones · Earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunamis and landslides · Heat, drought and wildfire · Humanitarian action and displacement · Migration and human mobility · Multi-hazard and compound risk assessment · Preparedness, emergency and crisis management · Recovery, reconstruction and loss accounting · Space weather and extraterrestrial hazards · Technological, industrial and Natech hazards
Further reading (open access)
Open-access works chosen by relevance to the programme, with full citations. Metadata only; follow the link for the text.
Glantz, M. H., & Ramírez, I. J. (2025). Enhancing Societal Value of Early Warning Early Action and Anticipatory Action Frameworks Using NOAA’s Oceanic Niño Index. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 16(2), 171–181. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-025-00625-6
doi:10.1007/s13753-025-00625-6 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Glantz, M. H., & Ramírez, I. J. (2025). Enhancing Societal Value of Early Warning Early Action and Anticipatory Action Frameworks Using NOAA’s Oceanic Niño Index. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 16(2), 171–181. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-025-00625-6
ChicagoGlantz, Michael H., and Ivan J. Ramírez. 2025. “Enhancing Societal Value of Early Warning Early Action and Anticipatory Action Frameworks Using NOAA’s Oceanic Niño Index.” International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 16 (2): 171–181. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-025-00625-6.
BibTeX@article{glantz2025enhancing, author = {Glantz, Michael H. and Ramírez, Ivan J.}, title = {{Enhancing Societal Value of Early Warning Early Action and Anticipatory Action Frameworks Using NOAA’s Oceanic Niño Index}}, journal = {International Journal of Disaster Risk Science}, year = {2025}, volume = {16}, number = {2}, pages = {171--181}, doi = {10.1007/s13753-025-00625-6}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-025-00625-6}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Glantz, Michael H. AU - Ramírez, Ivan J. TI - Enhancing Societal Value of Early Warning Early Action and Anticipatory Action Frameworks Using NOAA’s Oceanic Niño Index JO - International Journal of Disaster Risk Science PY - 2025 VL - 16 IS - 2 SP - 171 EP - 181 DO - 10.1007/s13753-025-00625-6 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-025-00625-6 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 L1 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-025-00625-6 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Gumiran, B. A., & Daag, A. (2021). Negotiated participatory action research for multi-stakeholder implementation of early warning systems for landslides. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 58, 102184. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102184
doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102184 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Gumiran, B. A., & Daag, A. (2021). Negotiated participatory action research for multi-stakeholder implementation of early warning systems for landslides. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 58, 102184. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102184
ChicagoGumiran, Brian Anthony, and Arturo Daag. 2021. “Negotiated participatory action research for multi-stakeholder implementation of early warning systems for landslides.” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 58: 102184. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102184.
BibTeX@article{gumiran2021negotiated, author = {Gumiran, Brian Anthony and Daag, Arturo}, title = {{Negotiated participatory action research for multi-stakeholder implementation of early warning systems for landslides}}, journal = {International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction}, year = {2021}, volume = {58}, pages = {102184}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102184}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102184}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Gumiran, Brian Anthony AU - Daag, Arturo TI - Negotiated participatory action research for multi-stakeholder implementation of early warning systems for landslides JO - International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction PY - 2021 VL - 58 SP - 102184 DO - 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102184 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102184 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102184 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Eze, E., Sabela-Rikhotso, P. T. Z., & Siegmund, A. (2026). Associations Between Early Warning Message Completeness, Reception Mode, and Protective Action Across Four At-Risk Communities in Ethiopia and South Africa. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-026-00774-2
doi:10.1007/s13753-026-00774-2 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Eze, E., Sabela-Rikhotso, P. T. Z., & Siegmund, A. (2026). Associations Between Early Warning Message Completeness, Reception Mode, and Protective Action Across Four At-Risk Communities in Ethiopia and South Africa. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-026-00774-2
ChicagoEze, Emmanuel, Phindile Tiyiselani Zanele Sabela-Rikhotso, and Alexander Siegmund. 2026. “Associations Between Early Warning Message Completeness, Reception Mode, and Protective Action Across Four At-Risk Communities in Ethiopia and South Africa.” International Journal of Disaster Risk Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-026-00774-2.
BibTeX@article{eze2026associations, author = {Eze, Emmanuel and Sabela-Rikhotso, Phindile Tiyiselani Zanele and Siegmund, Alexander}, title = {{Associations Between Early Warning Message Completeness, Reception Mode, and Protective Action Across Four At-Risk Communities in Ethiopia and South Africa}}, journal = {International Journal of Disaster Risk Science}, year = {2026}, doi = {10.1007/s13753-026-00774-2}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-026-00774-2}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Eze, Emmanuel AU - Sabela-Rikhotso, Phindile Tiyiselani Zanele AU - Siegmund, Alexander TI - Associations Between Early Warning Message Completeness, Reception Mode, and Protective Action Across Four At-Risk Communities in Ethiopia and South Africa JO - International Journal of Disaster Risk Science PY - 2026 DO - 10.1007/s13753-026-00774-2 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-026-00774-2 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 L1 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-026-00774-2 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Ben-Haim, Z., Anisimov, V., Yonas, A., Gulshan, V., Shafi, Y., Hoyer, S., & Nevo, S. (2019). Inundation Modeling in Data Scarce Regions (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1910.05006
doi:10.48550/arxiv.1910.05006 · Open access · Preprint · Version v2 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Ben-Haim, Z., Anisimov, V., Yonas, A., Gulshan, V., Shafi, Y., Hoyer, S., & Nevo, S. (2019). Inundation Modeling in Data Scarce Regions (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1910.05006
ChicagoBen-Haim, Zvika, Vladimir Anisimov, Aaron Yonas, Varun Gulshan, Yusef Shafi, Stephan Hoyer, and Sella Nevo. 2019. Inundation Modeling in Data Scarce Regions. Version v2. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1910.05006.
BibTeX@misc{benhaim2019inundation, author = {Ben-Haim, Zvika and Anisimov, Vladimir and Yonas, Aaron and Gulshan, Varun and Shafi, Yusef and Hoyer, Stephan and Nevo, Sella}, title = {{Inundation Modeling in Data Scarce Regions}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2019}, version = {v2}, eprint = {1910.05006}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.1910.05006}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1910.05006} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Ben-Haim, Zvika AU - Anisimov, Vladimir AU - Yonas, Aaron AU - Gulshan, Varun AU - Shafi, Yusef AU - Hoyer, Stephan AU - Nevo, Sella TI - Inundation Modeling in Data Scarce Regions PY - 2019 ET - v2 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.1910.05006 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1910.05006 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/1910.05006 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Pan, X., Mohammadi, N., & Taylor, J. E. (2024). Short-term Streamflow and Flood Forecasting based on Graph Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network and Residual Error Learning (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.04764
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2412.04764 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Pan, X., Mohammadi, N., & Taylor, J. E. (2024). Short-term Streamflow and Flood Forecasting based on Graph Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network and Residual Error Learning (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.04764
ChicagoPan, Xiyu, Neda Mohammadi, and John E. Taylor. 2024. Short-term Streamflow and Flood Forecasting based on Graph Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network and Residual Error Learning. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.04764.
BibTeX@misc{pan2024short, author = {Pan, Xiyu and Mohammadi, Neda and Taylor, John E.}, title = {{Short-term Streamflow and Flood Forecasting based on Graph Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network and Residual Error Learning}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2024}, version = {v1}, eprint = {2412.04764}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2412.04764}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.04764} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Pan, Xiyu AU - Mohammadi, Neda AU - Taylor, John E. TI - Short-term Streamflow and Flood Forecasting based on Graph Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network and Residual Error Learning PY - 2024 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2412.04764 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2412.04764 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.04764 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Infrastructure, energy and industry lab programme
Lifelines and the energy transition: dependency, restoration, adequacy and the failure paths between critical services.
- Grid adequacy and outage exercises
- Infrastructure dependency mapping
- Restoration sequencing case studies
Disciplines
Cities, housing and the built environment · Climate and energy technologies · Critical infrastructure and lifelines · Critical minerals, mining and extractives · Energy systems and the energy transition · Energy transition risk and grid integration · Advanced industry, manufacturing and materials · Reliability, safety and resilience engineering · Telecommunications and digital infrastructure · Trade, supply chains and geoeconomics · Transport, ports and logistics · Water and wastewater systems
Further reading (open access)
Open-access works chosen by relevance to the programme, with full citations. Metadata only; follow the link for the text.
Shamsi, N., & Helmrich, A. (2025). Interdependency classification: a framework for infrastructure resilience. Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, 5(1), 015009. https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/adac89
doi:10.1088/2634-4505/adac89 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Shamsi, N., & Helmrich, A. (2025). Interdependency classification: a framework for infrastructure resilience. Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, 5(1), 015009. https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/adac89
ChicagoShamsi, Negin, and Alysha Helmrich. 2025. “Interdependency classification: a framework for infrastructure resilience.” Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability 5 (1): 015009. https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/adac89.
BibTeX@article{shamsi2025interdependency, author = {Shamsi, Negin and Helmrich, Alysha}, title = {{Interdependency classification: a framework for infrastructure resilience}}, journal = {Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability}, year = {2025}, volume = {5}, number = {1}, pages = {015009}, doi = {10.1088/2634-4505/adac89}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/adac89}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Shamsi, Negin AU - Helmrich, Alysha TI - Interdependency classification: a framework for infrastructure resilience JO - Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability PY - 2025 VL - 5 IS - 1 SP - 015009 DO - 10.1088/2634-4505/adac89 UR - https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/adac89 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/adac89 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Ampratwum, G., Osei-Kyei, R., & Tam, V. W. Y. (2026). Modelling of critical resilience strategies to build critical infrastructure resilience using public-private partnership. Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, 1–28. https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2026.2674356
doi:10.1080/23789689.2026.2674356 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Ampratwum, G., Osei-Kyei, R., & Tam, V. W. Y. (2026). Modelling of critical resilience strategies to build critical infrastructure resilience using public-private partnership. Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, 1–28. https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2026.2674356
ChicagoAmpratwum, Godslove, Robert Osei-Kyei, and Vivian W. Y. Tam. 2026. “Modelling of critical resilience strategies to build critical infrastructure resilience using public-private partnership.” Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure: 1–28. https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2026.2674356.
BibTeX@article{ampratwum2026modelling, author = {Ampratwum, Godslove and Osei-Kyei, Robert and Tam, Vivian W. Y.}, title = {{Modelling of critical resilience strategies to build critical infrastructure resilience using public-private partnership}}, journal = {Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure}, year = {2026}, pages = {1--28}, doi = {10.1080/23789689.2026.2674356}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2026.2674356}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Ampratwum, Godslove AU - Osei-Kyei, Robert AU - Tam, Vivian W. Y. TI - Modelling of critical resilience strategies to build critical infrastructure resilience using public-private partnership JO - Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure PY - 2026 SP - 1 EP - 28 DO - 10.1080/23789689.2026.2674356 UR - https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2026.2674356 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2026.2674356 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Rueda, D. F., & Calle, E. (2017). Using interdependency matrices to mitigate targeted attacks on interdependent networks: A case study involving a power grid and backbone telecommunications networks. International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, 16, 3–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcip.2016.11.004
doi:10.1016/j.ijcip.2016.11.004 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Rueda, D. F., & Calle, E. (2017). Using interdependency matrices to mitigate targeted attacks on interdependent networks: A case study involving a power grid and backbone telecommunications networks. International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, 16, 3–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcip.2016.11.004
ChicagoRueda, Diego F., and Eusebi Calle. 2017. “Using interdependency matrices to mitigate targeted attacks on interdependent networks: A case study involving a power grid and backbone telecommunications networks.” International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection 16: 3–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcip.2016.11.004.
BibTeX@article{rueda2017using, author = {Rueda, Diego F. and Calle, Eusebi}, title = {{Using interdependency matrices to mitigate targeted attacks on interdependent networks: A case study involving a power grid and backbone telecommunications networks}}, journal = {International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection}, year = {2017}, volume = {16}, pages = {3--12}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijcip.2016.11.004}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcip.2016.11.004}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Rueda, Diego F. AU - Calle, Eusebi TI - Using interdependency matrices to mitigate targeted attacks on interdependent networks: A case study involving a power grid and backbone telecommunications networks JO - International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection PY - 2017 VL - 16 SP - 3 EP - 12 DO - 10.1016/j.ijcip.2016.11.004 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcip.2016.11.004 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcip.2016.11.004 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Zhu, Q., & Basar, T. (2024). Disentangling Resilience from Robustness: Contextual Dualism, Interactionism, and Game-Theoretic Paradigms (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.06299
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2403.06299 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Zhu, Q., & Basar, T. (2024). Disentangling Resilience from Robustness: Contextual Dualism, Interactionism, and Game-Theoretic Paradigms (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.06299
ChicagoZhu, Quanyan, and Tamer Basar. 2024. Disentangling Resilience from Robustness: Contextual Dualism, Interactionism, and Game-Theoretic Paradigms. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.06299.
BibTeX@misc{zhu2024disentangling, author = {Zhu, Quanyan and Basar, Tamer}, title = {{Disentangling Resilience from Robustness: Contextual Dualism, Interactionism, and Game-Theoretic Paradigms}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2024}, version = {v1}, eprint = {2403.06299}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2403.06299}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.06299} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Zhu, Quanyan AU - Basar, Tamer TI - Disentangling Resilience from Robustness: Contextual Dualism, Interactionism, and Game-Theoretic Paradigms PY - 2024 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2403.06299 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2403.06299 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.06299 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Leštáková, M., Logan, K. T., Rehm, I.-S., Pelz, P. F., & Friesen, J. (2023). Do Resilience Metrics of Water Distribution Systems Really Assess Resilience? A Critical Review (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2306.13113
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2306.13113 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Leštáková, M., Logan, K. T., Rehm, I.-S., Pelz, P. F., & Friesen, J. (2023). Do Resilience Metrics of Water Distribution Systems Really Assess Resilience? A Critical Review (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2306.13113
ChicagoLeštáková, Michaela, Kevin Tiernan Logan, Imke-Sophie Rehm, Peter F. Pelz, and John Friesen. 2023. Do Resilience Metrics of Water Distribution Systems Really Assess Resilience? A Critical Review. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2306.13113.
BibTeX@misc{lestakova2023do, author = {Leštáková, Michaela and Logan, Kevin Tiernan and Rehm, Imke-Sophie and Pelz, Peter F. and Friesen, John}, title = {{Do Resilience Metrics of Water Distribution Systems Really Assess Resilience? A Critical Review}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2023}, version = {v1}, eprint = {2306.13113}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2306.13113}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2306.13113} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Leštáková, Michaela AU - Logan, Kevin Tiernan AU - Rehm, Imke-Sophie AU - Pelz, Peter F. AU - Friesen, John TI - Do Resilience Metrics of Water Distribution Systems Really Assess Resilience? A Critical Review PY - 2023 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2306.13113 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2306.13113 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.13113 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Technology and digital systems lab programme
AI, cyber and digital public infrastructure as sources of risk and as tools for risk work, with evaluation and assurance built in.
- AI evaluation and red-team protocols
- Cyber resilience tabletop material
- Data governance exercises
Disciplines
AI assurance and audit · AI safety and evaluation · Artificial intelligence and machine learning · Cybersecurity and digital resilience · Data infrastructure, compute and semiconductors · Digital public infrastructure and digital identity · Operational technology and cyber-physical security · Positioning, navigation and timing resilience · Quantum technologies · Robotics and autonomous systems · Space systems, space weather and navigation
Further reading (open access)
Open-access works chosen by relevance to the programme, with full citations. Metadata only; follow the link for the text.
Godlove, T., & Buchanan, J. (2026). From Model Risk Management to AI Assurance: Integrating AI Risk Management, Independent Validation, and AI Auditing for Generative and Agentic AI. Transactions on Engineering and Computing Sciences, 14(05), 19–62. https://doi.org/10.14738/tecs.1405.12205
doi:10.14738/tecs.1405.12205 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Godlove, T., & Buchanan, J. (2026). From Model Risk Management to AI Assurance: Integrating AI Risk Management, Independent Validation, and AI Auditing for Generative and Agentic AI. Transactions on Engineering and Computing Sciences, 14(05), 19–62. https://doi.org/10.14738/tecs.1405.12205
ChicagoGodlove, Timothy, and John Buchanan. 2026. “From Model Risk Management to AI Assurance: Integrating AI Risk Management, Independent Validation, and AI Auditing for Generative and Agentic AI.” Transactions on Engineering and Computing Sciences 14 (05): 19–62. https://doi.org/10.14738/tecs.1405.12205.
BibTeX@article{godlove2026from, author = {Godlove, Timothy and Buchanan, John}, title = {{From Model Risk Management to AI Assurance: Integrating AI Risk Management, Independent Validation, and AI Auditing for Generative and Agentic AI}}, journal = {Transactions on Engineering and Computing Sciences}, year = {2026}, volume = {14}, number = {05}, pages = {19--62}, doi = {10.14738/tecs.1405.12205}, url = {https://doi.org/10.14738/tecs.1405.12205}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Godlove, Timothy AU - Buchanan, John TI - From Model Risk Management to AI Assurance: Integrating AI Risk Management, Independent Validation, and AI Auditing for Generative and Agentic AI JO - Transactions on Engineering and Computing Sciences PY - 2026 VL - 14 IS - 05 SP - 19 EP - 62 DO - 10.14738/tecs.1405.12205 UR - https://doi.org/10.14738/tecs.1405.12205 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.14738/tecs.1405.12205 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Sharma, A. (2026). Proxy-Based Evaluation and the Limits of Assurance in AI Governance. ACM AI Letters, 1(3), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1145/3828672
doi:10.1145/3828672 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Sharma, A. (2026). Proxy-Based Evaluation and the Limits of Assurance in AI Governance. ACM AI Letters, 1(3), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1145/3828672
ChicagoSharma, Aman. 2026. “Proxy-Based Evaluation and the Limits of Assurance in AI Governance.” ACM AI Letters 1 (3): 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1145/3828672.
BibTeX@article{sharma2026proxy, author = {Sharma, Aman}, title = {{Proxy-Based Evaluation and the Limits of Assurance in AI Governance}}, journal = {ACM AI Letters}, year = {2026}, volume = {1}, number = {3}, pages = {1--8}, doi = {10.1145/3828672}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1145/3828672}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Sharma, Aman TI - Proxy-Based Evaluation and the Limits of Assurance in AI Governance JO - ACM AI Letters PY - 2026 VL - 1 IS - 3 SP - 1 EP - 8 DO - 10.1145/3828672 UR - https://doi.org/10.1145/3828672 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode L1 - https://doi.org/10.1145/3828672 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Muhammad, A. E., & Yow, K.-C. (2026). Risk-Based AI Assurance Framework. Information, 17(3), 263. https://doi.org/10.3390/info17030263
doi:10.3390/info17030263 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Muhammad, A. E., & Yow, K.-C. (2026). Risk-Based AI Assurance Framework. Information, 17(3), 263. https://doi.org/10.3390/info17030263
ChicagoMuhammad, Aoun E., and Kin-Choong Yow. 2026. “Risk-Based AI Assurance Framework.” Information 17 (3): 263. https://doi.org/10.3390/info17030263.
BibTeX@article{muhammad2026risk, author = {Muhammad, Aoun E. and Yow, Kin-Choong}, title = {{Risk-Based AI Assurance Framework}}, journal = {Information}, year = {2026}, volume = {17}, number = {3}, pages = {263}, doi = {10.3390/info17030263}, url = {https://doi.org/10.3390/info17030263}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Muhammad, Aoun E. AU - Yow, Kin-Choong TI - Risk-Based AI Assurance Framework JO - Information PY - 2026 VL - 17 IS - 3 SP - 263 DO - 10.3390/info17030263 UR - https://doi.org/10.3390/info17030263 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.3390/info17030263 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Tan, S., Taeihagh, A., & Baxter, K. (2022). The Risks of Machine Learning Systems (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2204.09852
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2204.09852 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Tan, S., Taeihagh, A., & Baxter, K. (2022). The Risks of Machine Learning Systems (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2204.09852
ChicagoTan, Samson, Araz Taeihagh, and Kathy Baxter. 2022. The Risks of Machine Learning Systems. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2204.09852.
BibTeX@misc{tan2022risks, author = {Tan, Samson and Taeihagh, Araz and Baxter, Kathy}, title = {{The Risks of Machine Learning Systems}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2022}, version = {v1}, eprint = {2204.09852}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2204.09852}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2204.09852} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Tan, Samson AU - Taeihagh, Araz AU - Baxter, Kathy TI - The Risks of Machine Learning Systems PY - 2022 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2204.09852 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2204.09852 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.09852 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Winfield, A. F. T., & Winkle, K. (2020). RoboTed: a case study in Ethical Risk Assessment (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2007.15864
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2007.15864 · Open access · Preprint · Version v2 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Winfield, A. F. T., & Winkle, K. (2020). RoboTed: a case study in Ethical Risk Assessment (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2007.15864
ChicagoWinfield, Alan F. T., and Katie Winkle. 2020. RoboTed: a case study in Ethical Risk Assessment. Version v2. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2007.15864.
BibTeX@misc{winfield2020roboted, author = {Winfield, Alan F. T. and Winkle, Katie}, title = {{RoboTed: a case study in Ethical Risk Assessment}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2020}, version = {v2}, eprint = {2007.15864}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2007.15864}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2007.15864} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Winfield, Alan F. T. AU - Winkle, Katie TI - RoboTed: a case study in Ethical Risk Assessment PY - 2020 ET - v2 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2007.15864 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2007.15864 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.15864 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Health and society lab programme
Epidemic, climate-health and social risk, read through the people and services that carry it, with inequality kept visible.
- Epidemic model exercises on open case data
- Heat-health vulnerability labs
- Health-system continuity case studies
Disciplines
Biotechnology, biosecurity and neurotechnology · Climate and health · Epidemic modelling and forecasting · Health systems and health care resilience · Human development, poverty and inequality · Just transition, social and human rights risk · Mental health and psychosocial risk · One Health, zoonoses and antimicrobial resistance · Pollution and environmental health · Public health emergencies and epidemics · Work, skills and occupational safety
Further reading (open access)
Open-access works chosen by relevance to the programme, with full citations. Metadata only; follow the link for the text.
Yousuf, A., & Bartz, D. (2026). A mental health lens on LGBTQ+ climate disaster vulnerability. The Journal of Climate Change and Health, 32, 100748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100748
doi:10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100748 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Yousuf, A., & Bartz, D. (2026). A mental health lens on LGBTQ+ climate disaster vulnerability. The Journal of Climate Change and Health, 32, 100748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100748
ChicagoYousuf, Aroub, and Deborah Bartz. 2026. “A mental health lens on LGBTQ+ climate disaster vulnerability.” The Journal of Climate Change and Health 32: 100748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100748.
BibTeX@article{yousuf2026mental, author = {Yousuf, Aroub and Bartz, Deborah}, title = {{A mental health lens on LGBTQ+ climate disaster vulnerability}}, journal = {The Journal of Climate Change and Health}, year = {2026}, volume = {32}, pages = {100748}, doi = {10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100748}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100748}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Yousuf, Aroub AU - Bartz, Deborah TI - A mental health lens on LGBTQ+ climate disaster vulnerability JO - The Journal of Climate Change and Health PY - 2026 VL - 32 SP - 100748 DO - 10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100748 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100748 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2026.100748 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Ren, D., Zheng, J., & Newman, G. (2026). A Data-Integrity Audit of Spatial Associations Among Surface Temperature, Health Vulnerability, and Social Vulnerability in Houston, Texas. Climate, 14(10), 219. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14100219
doi:10.3390/cli14100219 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Ren, D., Zheng, J., & Newman, G. (2026). A Data-Integrity Audit of Spatial Associations Among Surface Temperature, Health Vulnerability, and Social Vulnerability in Houston, Texas. Climate, 14(10), 219. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14100219
ChicagoRen, Dingding, Jiang Zheng, and Galen Newman. 2026. “A Data-Integrity Audit of Spatial Associations Among Surface Temperature, Health Vulnerability, and Social Vulnerability in Houston, Texas.” Climate 14 (10): 219. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14100219.
BibTeX@article{ren2026data, author = {Ren, Dingding and Zheng, Jiang and Newman, Galen}, title = {{A Data-Integrity Audit of Spatial Associations Among Surface Temperature, Health Vulnerability, and Social Vulnerability in Houston, Texas}}, journal = {Climate}, year = {2026}, volume = {14}, number = {10}, pages = {219}, doi = {10.3390/cli14100219}, url = {https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14100219}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Ren, Dingding AU - Zheng, Jiang AU - Newman, Galen TI - A Data-Integrity Audit of Spatial Associations Among Surface Temperature, Health Vulnerability, and Social Vulnerability in Houston, Texas JO - Climate PY - 2026 VL - 14 IS - 10 SP - 219 DO - 10.3390/cli14100219 UR - https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14100219 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14100219 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Pradyumna, A., & Sankam, J. (2022). Tools and methods for assessing health vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: A scoping review. The Journal of Climate Change and Health, 8, 100153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100153
doi:10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100153 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Pradyumna, A., & Sankam, J. (2022). Tools and methods for assessing health vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: A scoping review. The Journal of Climate Change and Health, 8, 100153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100153
ChicagoPradyumna, Adithya, and Joshitha Sankam. 2022. “Tools and methods for assessing health vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: A scoping review.” The Journal of Climate Change and Health 8: 100153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100153.
BibTeX@article{pradyumna2022tools, author = {Pradyumna, Adithya and Sankam, Joshitha}, title = {{Tools and methods for assessing health vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: A scoping review}}, journal = {The Journal of Climate Change and Health}, year = {2022}, volume = {8}, pages = {100153}, doi = {10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100153}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100153}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Pradyumna, Adithya AU - Sankam, Joshitha TI - Tools and methods for assessing health vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: A scoping review JO - The Journal of Climate Change and Health PY - 2022 VL - 8 SP - 100153 DO - 10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100153 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100153 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100153 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Xu, W.-J., Zhong, C.-Y., Ye, H.-F., Chen, R.-D., Qiu, T., Ren, F., & Zhong, L.-X. (2020). Coupled effects of epidemic information and risk awareness on contagion (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2009.05327
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2009.05327 · Open access · Preprint · Version v2 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Xu, W.-J., Zhong, C.-Y., Ye, H.-F., Chen, R.-D., Qiu, T., Ren, F., & Zhong, L.-X. (2020). Coupled effects of epidemic information and risk awareness on contagion (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2009.05327
ChicagoXu, Wen-Juan, Chen-Yang Zhong, Hui-Fen Ye, Rong-Da Chen, Tian Qiu, Fei Ren, and Li-Xin Zhong. 2020. Coupled effects of epidemic information and risk awareness on contagion. Version v2. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2009.05327.
BibTeX@misc{xu2020coupled, author = {Xu, Wen-Juan and Zhong, Chen-Yang and Ye, Hui-Fen and Chen, Rong-Da and Qiu, Tian and Ren, Fei and Zhong, Li-Xin}, title = {{Coupled effects of epidemic information and risk awareness on contagion}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2020}, version = {v2}, eprint = {2009.05327}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2009.05327}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2009.05327} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Xu, Wen-Juan AU - Zhong, Chen-Yang AU - Ye, Hui-Fen AU - Chen, Rong-Da AU - Qiu, Tian AU - Ren, Fei AU - Zhong, Li-Xin TI - Coupled effects of epidemic information and risk awareness on contagion PY - 2020 ET - v2 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2009.05327 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2009.05327 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.05327 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
MA, L., Mieghem, P. V., & Kitsak, M. (2023). Reporting delays: a widely neglected impact factor in COVID-19 forecasts (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2304.11863
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2304.11863 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7MA, L., Mieghem, P. V., & Kitsak, M. (2023). Reporting delays: a widely neglected impact factor in COVID-19 forecasts (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2304.11863
ChicagoMA, Long, Piet Van Mieghem, and Maksim Kitsak. 2023. Reporting delays: a widely neglected impact factor in COVID-19 forecasts. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2304.11863.
BibTeX@misc{ma2023reporting, author = {MA, Long and Mieghem, Piet Van and Kitsak, Maksim}, title = {{Reporting delays: a widely neglected impact factor in COVID-19 forecasts}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2023}, version = {v1}, eprint = {2304.11863}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2304.11863}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2304.11863} }RISTY - UNPB AU - MA, Long AU - Mieghem, Piet Van AU - Kitsak, Maksim TI - Reporting delays: a widely neglected impact factor in COVID-19 forecasts PY - 2023 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2304.11863 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2304.11863 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.11863 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Finance and economics lab programme
Risk evidence translated into the questions finance, insurance and public budgets ask, with the limits of the evidence stated.
- Catastrophe loss and protection-gap exercises
- Climate stress-test teaching cases
- Disaster risk finance design labs
Disciplines
Actuarial science · Asset management, private markets and institutional investors · Banking and credit risk · Climate and nature financial risk · Development finance · Disaster risk finance · Economic development and macroeconomic shocks · Financial crime and fraud · Financial regulation and supervision · Financial stability and systemic financial risk · Insurance, reinsurance and protection gaps · Macroeconomics of climate and disasters · Market, liquidity and treasury risk · Nature and biodiversity finance · Operational resilience and ICT risk in finance · Payments, market infrastructure and fintech · Public finance and sovereign debt
Further reading (open access)
Open-access works chosen by relevance to the programme, with full citations. Metadata only; follow the link for the text.
Elliot-Kerr, S., Marshall, E., Penman, T., & Plumanns-Pouton, E. (2025). Future wildfires increase the risk of the residential insurance gap. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 130, 105814. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105814
doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105814 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Elliot-Kerr, S., Marshall, E., Penman, T., & Plumanns-Pouton, E. (2025). Future wildfires increase the risk of the residential insurance gap. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 130, 105814. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105814
ChicagoElliot-Kerr, Shona, Erica Marshall, Trent Penman, and Ella Plumanns-Pouton. 2025. “Future wildfires increase the risk of the residential insurance gap.” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 130: 105814. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105814.
BibTeX@article{elliotkerr2025future, author = {Elliot-Kerr, Shona and Marshall, Erica and Penman, Trent and Plumanns-Pouton, Ella}, title = {{Future wildfires increase the risk of the residential insurance gap}}, journal = {International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction}, year = {2025}, volume = {130}, pages = {105814}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105814}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105814}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Elliot-Kerr, Shona AU - Marshall, Erica AU - Penman, Trent AU - Plumanns-Pouton, Ella TI - Future wildfires increase the risk of the residential insurance gap JO - International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction PY - 2025 VL - 130 SP - 105814 DO - 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105814 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105814 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105814 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Bellia, M., Di Girolamo, E. F., Pagano, A., & Giudici, M. P. (2025). The flood protection gap: Evidence for public finances and insurance premiums. Risk Management and Insurance Review, 28(1), 34–66. https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.70001
doi:10.1111/rmir.70001 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Bellia, M., Di Girolamo, E. F., Pagano, A., & Giudici, M. P. (2025). The flood protection gap: Evidence for public finances and insurance premiums. Risk Management and Insurance Review, 28(1), 34–66. https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.70001
ChicagoBellia, Mario, Erica Francesca Di Girolamo, Andrea Pagano, and Marco Petracco Giudici. 2025. “The flood protection gap: Evidence for public finances and insurance premiums.” Risk Management and Insurance Review 28 (1): 34–66. https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.70001.
BibTeX@article{bellia2025flood, author = {Bellia, Mario and Di Girolamo, Erica Francesca and Pagano, Andrea and Giudici, Marco Petracco}, title = {{The flood protection gap: Evidence for public finances and insurance premiums}}, journal = {Risk Management and Insurance Review}, year = {2025}, volume = {28}, number = {1}, pages = {34--66}, doi = {10.1111/rmir.70001}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.70001}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Bellia, Mario AU - Di Girolamo, Erica Francesca AU - Pagano, Andrea AU - Giudici, Marco Petracco TI - The flood protection gap: Evidence for public finances and insurance premiums JO - Risk Management and Insurance Review PY - 2025 VL - 28 IS - 1 SP - 34 EP - 66 DO - 10.1111/rmir.70001 UR - https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.70001 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1111/rmir.70001 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Pleterski, N. (2025). Parametric Insurance for Sustainable Disaster Risk Finance: Legal, Data, and Governance Pathways in Slovenia and Croatia. Sustainability, 17(21), 9643. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219643
doi:10.3390/su17219643 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Pleterski, N. (2025). Parametric Insurance for Sustainable Disaster Risk Finance: Legal, Data, and Governance Pathways in Slovenia and Croatia. Sustainability, 17(21), 9643. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219643
ChicagoPleterski, Nina. 2025. “Parametric Insurance for Sustainable Disaster Risk Finance: Legal, Data, and Governance Pathways in Slovenia and Croatia.” Sustainability 17 (21): 9643. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219643.
BibTeX@article{pleterski2025parametric, author = {Pleterski, Nina}, title = {{Parametric Insurance for Sustainable Disaster Risk Finance: Legal, Data, and Governance Pathways in Slovenia and Croatia}}, journal = {Sustainability}, year = {2025}, volume = {17}, number = {21}, pages = {9643}, doi = {10.3390/su17219643}, url = {https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219643}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Pleterski, Nina TI - Parametric Insurance for Sustainable Disaster Risk Finance: Legal, Data, and Governance Pathways in Slovenia and Croatia JO - Sustainability PY - 2025 VL - 17 IS - 21 SP - 9643 DO - 10.3390/su17219643 UR - https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219643 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219643 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Gaudemet, J.-B., Deschamps, J., & Vinciguerra, O. (2022). A Stochastic Climate Model -- An approach to calibrate the Climate-Extended Risk Model (CERM) (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2205.02581
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2205.02581 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Gaudemet, J.-B., Deschamps, J., & Vinciguerra, O. (2022). A Stochastic Climate Model -- An approach to calibrate the Climate-Extended Risk Model (CERM) (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2205.02581
ChicagoGaudemet, Jean-Baptiste, Jules Deschamps, and Olivier Vinciguerra. 2022. A Stochastic Climate Model -- An approach to calibrate the Climate-Extended Risk Model (CERM). Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2205.02581.
BibTeX@misc{gaudemet2022stochastic, author = {Gaudemet, Jean-Baptiste and Deschamps, Jules and Vinciguerra, Olivier}, title = {{A Stochastic Climate Model -- An approach to calibrate the Climate-Extended Risk Model (CERM)}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2022}, version = {v1}, eprint = {2205.02581}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2205.02581}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2205.02581} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Gaudemet, Jean-Baptiste AU - Deschamps, Jules AU - Vinciguerra, Olivier TI - A Stochastic Climate Model -- An approach to calibrate the Climate-Extended Risk Model (CERM) PY - 2022 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2205.02581 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2205.02581 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.02581 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Azzone, M., Bechi, C., & Sbaiz, G. (2026). Temperature Anomalies and Climate Physical Risk in Portfolio Construction (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2604.11143
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2604.11143 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Azzone, M., Bechi, C., & Sbaiz, G. (2026). Temperature Anomalies and Climate Physical Risk in Portfolio Construction (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2604.11143
ChicagoAzzone, Michele, Carlo Bechi, and Gabriele Sbaiz. 2026. Temperature Anomalies and Climate Physical Risk in Portfolio Construction. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2604.11143.
BibTeX@misc{azzone2026temperature, author = {Azzone, Michele and Bechi, Carlo and Sbaiz, Gabriele}, title = {{Temperature Anomalies and Climate Physical Risk in Portfolio Construction}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2026}, version = {v1}, eprint = {2604.11143}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2604.11143}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2604.11143} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Azzone, Michele AU - Bechi, Carlo AU - Sbaiz, Gabriele TI - Temperature Anomalies and Climate Physical Risk in Portfolio Construction PY - 2026 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2604.11143 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2604.11143 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.11143 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Governance, policy and international affairs lab programme
How institutions decide under uncertainty: risk governance, regulation, capacity development and international cooperation.
- Policy options appraisal exercises
- Risk governance case studies
- Simulation material for decision rooms
Disciplines
AI and digital governance · Capacity development and technical assistance · Climate and nature governance · Compliance and regulatory change · Conflict, fragility and security · Contracts, intellectual property and licensing · Diplomacy, cooperation and the global commons · Foresight and futures · Geopolitical and political risk · Global health governance · Information integrity and public trust · Innovation and frontier technology governance · Intergenerational governance and future generations · Risk-informed public policy · Research, evidence and the science-policy interface · Risk governance and institutions · Security, defence and hybrid threats · Technology security: dual-use, export controls and compute governance
Further reading (open access)
Open-access works chosen by relevance to the programme, with full citations. Metadata only; follow the link for the text.
Dewulf, A., & Biesbroek, R. (2018). Nine lives of uncertainty in decision-making: strategies for dealing with uncertainty in environmental governance. Policy and Society, 37(4), 441–458. https://doi.org/10.1080/14494035.2018.1504484
doi:10.1080/14494035.2018.1504484 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY-NC 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Dewulf, A., & Biesbroek, R. (2018). Nine lives of uncertainty in decision-making: strategies for dealing with uncertainty in environmental governance. Policy and Society, 37(4), 441–458. https://doi.org/10.1080/14494035.2018.1504484
ChicagoDewulf, Art, and Robbert Biesbroek. 2018. “Nine lives of uncertainty in decision-making: strategies for dealing with uncertainty in environmental governance.” Policy and Society 37 (4): 441–458. https://doi.org/10.1080/14494035.2018.1504484.
BibTeX@article{dewulf2018nine, author = {Dewulf, Art and Biesbroek, Robbert}, title = {{Nine lives of uncertainty in decision-making: strategies for dealing with uncertainty in environmental governance}}, journal = {Policy and Society}, year = {2018}, volume = {37}, number = {4}, pages = {441--458}, doi = {10.1080/14494035.2018.1504484}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1080/14494035.2018.1504484}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Dewulf, Art AU - Biesbroek, Robbert TI - Nine lives of uncertainty in decision-making: strategies for dealing with uncertainty in environmental governance JO - Policy and Society PY - 2018 VL - 37 IS - 4 SP - 441 EP - 458 DO - 10.1080/14494035.2018.1504484 UR - https://doi.org/10.1080/14494035.2018.1504484 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1080/14494035.2018.1504484 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Hadjisotiriou, S., Marchau, V., Walker, W., & Rikkert, M. O. (2023). Decision making under deep uncertainty for pandemic policy planning. Health Policy, 133, 104831. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104831
doi:10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104831 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Hadjisotiriou, S., Marchau, V., Walker, W., & Rikkert, M. O. (2023). Decision making under deep uncertainty for pandemic policy planning. Health Policy, 133, 104831. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104831
ChicagoHadjisotiriou, Sophie, Vincent Marchau, Warren Walker, and Marcel Olde Rikkert. 2023. “Decision making under deep uncertainty for pandemic policy planning.” Health Policy 133: 104831. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104831.
BibTeX@article{hadjisotiriou2023decision, author = {Hadjisotiriou, Sophie and Marchau, Vincent and Walker, Warren and Rikkert, Marcel Olde}, title = {{Decision making under deep uncertainty for pandemic policy planning}}, journal = {Health Policy}, year = {2023}, volume = {133}, pages = {104831}, doi = {10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104831}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104831}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Hadjisotiriou, Sophie AU - Marchau, Vincent AU - Walker, Warren AU - Rikkert, Marcel Olde TI - Decision making under deep uncertainty for pandemic policy planning JO - Health Policy PY - 2023 VL - 133 SP - 104831 DO - 10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104831 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104831 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104831 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Aymanns, C., Caccioli, F., Farmer, J. D., & Tan, V. W. C. (2015). Taming the Basel Leverage Cycle (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1507.04136
doi:10.48550/arxiv.1507.04136 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Aymanns, C., Caccioli, F., Farmer, J. D., & Tan, V. W. C. (2015). Taming the Basel Leverage Cycle (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1507.04136
ChicagoAymanns, Christoph, Fabio Caccioli, J. Doyne Farmer, and Vincent W. C. Tan. 2015. Taming the Basel Leverage Cycle. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1507.04136.
BibTeX@misc{aymanns2015taming, author = {Aymanns, Christoph and Caccioli, Fabio and Farmer, J. Doyne and Tan, Vincent W. C.}, title = {{Taming the Basel Leverage Cycle}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2015}, version = {v1}, eprint = {1507.04136}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.1507.04136}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1507.04136} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Aymanns, Christoph AU - Caccioli, Fabio AU - Farmer, J. Doyne AU - Tan, Vincent W. C. TI - Taming the Basel Leverage Cycle PY - 2015 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.1507.04136 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1507.04136 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.04136 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Zhang, C., Shi, P., & Ward, A. (2026). The Dynamic and Endogenous Behavior of Re-Offense Risk: An Agent-Based Simulation Study of Treatment Allocation in Incarceration Diversion Programs (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2601.12441
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2601.12441 · Open access · Preprint · Version v2 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Zhang, C., Shi, P., & Ward, A. (2026). The Dynamic and Endogenous Behavior of Re-Offense Risk: An Agent-Based Simulation Study of Treatment Allocation in Incarceration Diversion Programs (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2601.12441
ChicagoZhang, Chuwen, Pengyi Shi, and Amy Ward. 2026. The Dynamic and Endogenous Behavior of Re-Offense Risk: An Agent-Based Simulation Study of Treatment Allocation in Incarceration Diversion Programs. Version v2. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2601.12441.
BibTeX@misc{zhang2026dynamic, author = {Zhang, Chuwen and Shi, Pengyi and Ward, Amy}, title = {{The Dynamic and Endogenous Behavior of Re-Offense Risk: An Agent-Based Simulation Study of Treatment Allocation in Incarceration Diversion Programs}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2026}, version = {v2}, eprint = {2601.12441}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2601.12441}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2601.12441} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Zhang, Chuwen AU - Shi, Pengyi AU - Ward, Amy TI - The Dynamic and Endogenous Behavior of Re-Offense Risk: An Agent-Based Simulation Study of Treatment Allocation in Incarceration Diversion Programs PY - 2026 ET - v2 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2601.12441 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2601.12441 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.12441 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Risk science and methods lab programme
Methods that make a risk estimate defensible: probability, uncertainty, expert judgement, model validation and the evidence trail behind each figure.
- Model validation and back-testing exercises
- Uncertainty quantification on open data
- Structured expert elicitation protocols
Disciplines
AI and machine learning for risk analysis · Assurance, internal control and risk culture · Catastrophe, exposure and vulnerability modelling · Enterprise risk management and risk frameworks · Expert judgement and elicitation · Geospatial analysis, Earth observation and GeoAI · Risk indicators and composite indices · Model risk and validation · Operational risk and business continuity · Probabilistic forecasting and verification · Quantitative risk analysis and statistics · Risk communication and risk literacy · Risk data governance, provenance and licensing · Risk information standards and interoperability · Risk perception and behavioural science · Scenario analysis and stress testing · Uncertainty and decision making
Further reading (open access)
Open-access works chosen by relevance to the programme, with full citations. Metadata only; follow the link for the text.
Rambauli, M., Ravele, T., & Sigauke, C. (2026). Application of Explainable AI and Uncertainty Quantification in Credit Risk Assessment. Risks, 14(7), 152. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks14070152
doi:10.3390/risks14070152 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Rambauli, M., Ravele, T., & Sigauke, C. (2026). Application of Explainable AI and Uncertainty Quantification in Credit Risk Assessment. Risks, 14(7), 152. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks14070152
ChicagoRambauli, Mulavhelesi, Thakhani Ravele, and Caston Sigauke. 2026. “Application of Explainable AI and Uncertainty Quantification in Credit Risk Assessment.” Risks 14 (7): 152. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks14070152.
BibTeX@article{rambauli2026application, author = {Rambauli, Mulavhelesi and Ravele, Thakhani and Sigauke, Caston}, title = {{Application of Explainable AI and Uncertainty Quantification in Credit Risk Assessment}}, journal = {Risks}, year = {2026}, volume = {14}, number = {7}, pages = {152}, doi = {10.3390/risks14070152}, url = {https://doi.org/10.3390/risks14070152}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Rambauli, Mulavhelesi AU - Ravele, Thakhani AU - Sigauke, Caston TI - Application of Explainable AI and Uncertainty Quantification in Credit Risk Assessment JO - Risks PY - 2026 VL - 14 IS - 7 SP - 152 DO - 10.3390/risks14070152 UR - https://doi.org/10.3390/risks14070152 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.3390/risks14070152 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Yildiz, A., Zhao, H., & Kowalski, J. (2023). Computationally-feasible uncertainty quantification in model-based landslide risk assessment. Frontiers in Earth Science, 10, Article 1032438. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.1032438
doi:10.3389/feart.2022.1032438 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Yildiz, A., Zhao, H., & Kowalski, J. (2023). Computationally-feasible uncertainty quantification in model-based landslide risk assessment. Frontiers in Earth Science, 10, Article 1032438. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.1032438
ChicagoYildiz, Anil, Hu Zhao, and Julia Kowalski. 2023. “Computationally-feasible uncertainty quantification in model-based landslide risk assessment.” Frontiers in Earth Science 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.1032438.
BibTeX@article{yildiz2023computationally, author = {Yildiz, Anil and Zhao, Hu and Kowalski, Julia}, title = {{Computationally-feasible uncertainty quantification in model-based landslide risk assessment}}, journal = {Frontiers in Earth Science}, year = {2023}, volume = {10}, doi = {10.3389/feart.2022.1032438}, url = {https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.1032438}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Yildiz, Anil AU - Zhao, Hu AU - Kowalski, Julia TI - Computationally-feasible uncertainty quantification in model-based landslide risk assessment JO - Frontiers in Earth Science PY - 2023 VL - 10 DO - 10.3389/feart.2022.1032438 UR - https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.1032438 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.1032438 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Muniruzzaman, M., & Pedretti, D. (2020). Mechanistic models supporting uncertainty quantification of water quality predictions in heterogeneous mining waste rocks: a review. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 35(5), 985–1001. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-020-01884-z
doi:10.1007/s00477-020-01884-z · Open access · Version of record · CC BY 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Muniruzzaman, M., & Pedretti, D. (2020). Mechanistic models supporting uncertainty quantification of water quality predictions in heterogeneous mining waste rocks: a review. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 35(5), 985–1001. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-020-01884-z
ChicagoMuniruzzaman, Muhammad, and Daniele Pedretti. 2020. “Mechanistic models supporting uncertainty quantification of water quality predictions in heterogeneous mining waste rocks: a review.” Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 35 (5): 985–1001. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-020-01884-z.
BibTeX@article{muniruzzaman2020mechanistic, author = {Muniruzzaman, Muhammad and Pedretti, Daniele}, title = {{Mechanistic models supporting uncertainty quantification of water quality predictions in heterogeneous mining waste rocks: a review}}, journal = {Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment}, year = {2020}, volume = {35}, number = {5}, pages = {985--1001}, doi = {10.1007/s00477-020-01884-z}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-020-01884-z}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Muniruzzaman, Muhammad AU - Pedretti, Daniele TI - Mechanistic models supporting uncertainty quantification of water quality predictions in heterogeneous mining waste rocks: a review JO - Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment PY - 2020 VL - 35 IS - 5 SP - 985 EP - 1001 DO - 10.1007/s00477-020-01884-z UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-020-01884-z N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 L1 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-020-01884-z ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Ji, J., Li, D., & Zhang, Z. (2021). Modeling and Decoupling Systemic Risk (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2107.10148
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2107.10148 · Open access · Preprint · Version v2 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Ji, J., Li, D., & Zhang, Z. (2021). Modeling and Decoupling Systemic Risk (Version v2) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2107.10148
ChicagoJi, Jingyu, Deyuan Li, and Zhengjun Zhang. 2021. Modeling and Decoupling Systemic Risk. Version v2. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2107.10148.
BibTeX@misc{ji2021modeling, author = {Ji, Jingyu and Li, Deyuan and Zhang, Zhengjun}, title = {{Modeling and Decoupling Systemic Risk}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2021}, version = {v2}, eprint = {2107.10148}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2107.10148}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2107.10148} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Ji, Jingyu AU - Li, Deyuan AU - Zhang, Zhengjun TI - Modeling and Decoupling Systemic Risk PY - 2021 ET - v2 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2107.10148 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2107.10148 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.10148 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Stern, R. H., Smith, D. E., & Gurm, H. S. (2015). Improving the Presentation and Understanding of Risk Models (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1504.05138
doi:10.48550/arxiv.1504.05138 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Stern, R. H., Smith, D. E., & Gurm, H. S. (2015). Improving the Presentation and Understanding of Risk Models (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1504.05138
ChicagoStern, Ralph H., Dean E. Smith, and Hitinder S. Gurm. 2015. Improving the Presentation and Understanding of Risk Models. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1504.05138.
BibTeX@misc{stern2015improving, author = {Stern, Ralph H. and Smith, Dean E. and Gurm, Hitinder S.}, title = {{Improving the Presentation and Understanding of Risk Models}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2015}, version = {v1}, eprint = {1504.05138}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.1504.05138}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1504.05138} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Stern, Ralph H. AU - Smith, Dean E. AU - Gurm, Hitinder S. TI - Improving the Presentation and Understanding of Risk Models PY - 2015 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.1504.05138 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1504.05138 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/1504.05138 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Systems and interconnected risk lab programme
How shocks travel between water, energy, food, health, finance and infrastructure, and how to model compound and cascading failure honestly.
- Cascading-failure models on public network data
- Compound hazard scenario sets
- Supply-network contagion exercises
Disciplines
Complex systems and systems modelling · Global catastrophic risks · Nexus-Based Risk Management (NRM) · Polycrisis and global risk assessment · Supply network and economic contagion · Systemic, compound and cascading risk · Tipping points and resilience of Earth and social systems · Water-energy-food-ecosystems nexus
Further reading (open access)
Open-access works chosen by relevance to the programme, with full citations. Metadata only; follow the link for the text.
Daniotti, S., Servedio, V. D. P., Kager, J., Robben-Baldauf, A., & Thurner, S. (2024). Systemic risk approach to mitigate delay cascading in railway networks. npj Sustainable Mobility and Transport, 1(1), Article 15. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44333-024-00012-6
doi:10.1038/s44333-024-00012-6 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Daniotti, S., Servedio, V. D. P., Kager, J., Robben-Baldauf, A., & Thurner, S. (2024). Systemic risk approach to mitigate delay cascading in railway networks. npj Sustainable Mobility and Transport, 1(1), Article 15. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44333-024-00012-6
ChicagoDaniotti, Simone, Vito D. P. Servedio, Johannes Kager, Aad Robben-Baldauf, and Stefan Thurner. 2024. “Systemic risk approach to mitigate delay cascading in railway networks.” npj Sustainable Mobility and Transport 1 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44333-024-00012-6.
BibTeX@article{daniotti2024systemic, author = {Daniotti, Simone and Servedio, Vito D. P. and Kager, Johannes and Robben-Baldauf, Aad and Thurner, Stefan}, title = {{Systemic risk approach to mitigate delay cascading in railway networks}}, journal = {npj Sustainable Mobility and Transport}, year = {2024}, volume = {1}, number = {1}, doi = {10.1038/s44333-024-00012-6}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s44333-024-00012-6}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Daniotti, Simone AU - Servedio, Vito D. P. AU - Kager, Johannes AU - Robben-Baldauf, Aad AU - Thurner, Stefan TI - Systemic risk approach to mitigate delay cascading in railway networks JO - npj Sustainable Mobility and Transport PY - 2024 VL - 1 IS - 1 DO - 10.1038/s44333-024-00012-6 UR - https://doi.org/10.1038/s44333-024-00012-6 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 L1 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s44333-024-00012-6 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Huang, X., Vodenska, I., Havlin, S., & Stanley, H. E. (2013). Cascading Failures in Bi-partite Graphs: Model for Systemic Risk Propagation. Scientific Reports, 3(1), Article 1219. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01219
doi:10.1038/srep01219 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Huang, X., Vodenska, I., Havlin, S., & Stanley, H. E. (2013). Cascading Failures in Bi-partite Graphs: Model for Systemic Risk Propagation. Scientific Reports, 3(1), Article 1219. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01219
ChicagoHuang, Xuqing, Irena Vodenska, Shlomo Havlin, and H. Eugene Stanley. 2013. “Cascading Failures in Bi-partite Graphs: Model for Systemic Risk Propagation.” Scientific Reports 3 (1). https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01219.
BibTeX@article{huang2013cascading, author = {Huang, Xuqing and Vodenska, Irena and Havlin, Shlomo and Stanley, H. Eugene}, title = {{Cascading Failures in Bi-partite Graphs: Model for Systemic Risk Propagation}}, journal = {Scientific Reports}, year = {2013}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, doi = {10.1038/srep01219}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01219}, note = {Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Huang, Xuqing AU - Vodenska, Irena AU - Havlin, Shlomo AU - Stanley, H. Eugene TI - Cascading Failures in Bi-partite Graphs: Model for Systemic Risk Propagation JO - Scientific Reports PY - 2013 VL - 3 IS - 1 DO - 10.1038/srep01219 UR - https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01219 N1 - Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01219 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Kita, S. M., Sparkes, E., Cotti, D., & Hagenlocher, M. (2026). A Nation of Disasters: Lessons on Systemic Risks and Cascading Impacts From Malawi's COVID‐19 Experience. Risk Analysis, 46(4), Article e70229. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70229
doi:10.1111/risa.70229 · Open access · Version of record · CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 · Metadata: Crossref
Cite this
APA 7Kita, S. M., Sparkes, E., Cotti, D., & Hagenlocher, M. (2026). A Nation of Disasters: Lessons on Systemic Risks and Cascading Impacts From Malawi's COVID‐19 Experience. Risk Analysis, 46(4), Article e70229. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70229
ChicagoKita, Stern Mwakalimi, Edward Sparkes, Davide Cotti, and Michael Hagenlocher. 2026. “A Nation of Disasters: Lessons on Systemic Risks and Cascading Impacts From Malawi's COVID‐19 Experience.” Risk Analysis 46 (4). https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70229.
BibTeX@article{kita2026nation, author = {Kita, Stern Mwakalimi and Sparkes, Edward and Cotti, Davide and Hagenlocher, Michael}, title = {{A Nation of Disasters: Lessons on Systemic Risks and Cascading Impacts From Malawi's COVID‐19 Experience}}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = {2026}, volume = {46}, number = {4}, doi = {10.1111/risa.70229}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70229}, note = {Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/} }RISTY - JOUR AU - Kita, Stern Mwakalimi AU - Sparkes, Edward AU - Cotti, Davide AU - Hagenlocher, Michael TI - A Nation of Disasters: Lessons on Systemic Risks and Cascading Impacts From Malawi's COVID‐19 Experience JO - Risk Analysis PY - 2026 VL - 46 IS - 4 DO - 10.1111/risa.70229 UR - https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70229 N1 - Licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ L1 - https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70229 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Zhong, C., Xing, Y., Fan, Y., & Zeng, A. (2022). Predicting the cascading dynamics in complex networks via the bimodal failure size distribution (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2208.06726
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2208.06726 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Zhong, C., Xing, Y., Fan, Y., & Zeng, A. (2022). Predicting the cascading dynamics in complex networks via the bimodal failure size distribution (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2208.06726
ChicagoZhong, Chongxin, Yanmeng Xing, Ying Fan, and An Zeng. 2022. Predicting the cascading dynamics in complex networks via the bimodal failure size distribution. Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2208.06726.
BibTeX@misc{zhong2022predicting, author = {Zhong, Chongxin and Xing, Yanmeng and Fan, Ying and Zeng, An}, title = {{Predicting the cascading dynamics in complex networks via the bimodal failure size distribution}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2022}, version = {v1}, eprint = {2208.06726}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2208.06726}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2208.06726} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Zhong, Chongxin AU - Xing, Yanmeng AU - Fan, Ying AU - Zeng, An TI - Predicting the cascading dynamics in complex networks via the bimodal failure size distribution PY - 2022 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2208.06726 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2208.06726 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.06726 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
Cheng, J., Adamic, L. A., Dow, P. A., Kleinberg, J., & Leskovec, J. (2014). Can Cascades be Predicted? (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1403.4608
doi:10.48550/arxiv.1403.4608 · Open access · Preprint · Version v1 · Metadata: arXiv
Cite this
APA 7Cheng, J., Adamic, L. A., Dow, P. A., Kleinberg, J., & Leskovec, J. (2014). Can Cascades be Predicted? (Version v1) [Preprint]. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1403.4608
ChicagoCheng, Justin, Lada A. Adamic, P. Alex Dow, Jon Kleinberg, and Jure Leskovec. 2014. Can Cascades be Predicted? Version v1. Preprint. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1403.4608.
BibTeX@misc{cheng2014can, author = {Cheng, Justin and Adamic, Lada A. and Dow, P. Alex and Kleinberg, Jon and Leskovec, Jure}, title = {{Can Cascades be Predicted?}}, publisher = {arXiv}, year = {2014}, version = {v1}, eprint = {1403.4608}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, howpublished = {Preprint}, doi = {10.48550/arxiv.1403.4608}, url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1403.4608} }RISTY - UNPB AU - Cheng, Justin AU - Adamic, Lada A. AU - Dow, P. Alex AU - Kleinberg, Jon AU - Leskovec, Jure TI - Can Cascades be Predicted? PY - 2014 ET - v1 PB - arXiv DO - 10.48550/arxiv.1403.4608 UR - https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1403.4608 L1 - https://arxiv.org/abs/1403.4608 ER -
Select a block to copy it.
How further reading is chosen and cited.
Reading is fetched when the site is built, never when you open the page, and only where the source's licence allows its metadata to be shown.
- CrossrefWhat is takenJournal articles by DOI and relevanceMetadata licenceCC0 1.0 (abstracts excluded)Open-access ruleShown only when the version of record carries a Creative Commons licence in force
- arXivWhat is takenPreprints by category and keywordMetadata licenceCC0 1.0Open-access ruleAlways open; the link goes to the preprint page
- OpenAlexWhat is takenOpen-access works and topicsMetadata licenceCC0 1.0Open-access ruleBest open location
- UnpaywallWhat is takenThe open copy of a DOIMetadata licenceCC0 1.0Open-access ruleBest open location, when configured
OpenAlex works and topics are not included: OpenAlex now asks every caller for an API key. The key is set in the build environment, never in the page.
Unpaywall needs a role contact address. Until it is set, only sources that are open by nature are marked open access: arXiv preprints, open Zenodo records and versions of record under a Creative Commons licence.
No abstract or full text is copied. Each reference offers APA, Chicago, BibTeX and RIS under "Cite this", and the same component builds Academy reading lists.
Where lab work goes next.
Programmes link a lab's subject to the Academy faculty that teaches it and the standards it follows.
- Risk AcademyCourses and pathwaysContributed modules are published on Risk Academy, the estate's learning platform, inside its faculties and course catalogue.
- Nexus StandardsOpen standardsCitation (NS-2), identifiers (NS-1, NS-16) and dataset metadata (NS-3b) that lab outputs follow, and the risk standards a module teaches.
- The IndexThe Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX)Open country and place risk evidence. Lab datasets and methods can be proposed as sources through the Index's own contribution forms.
Questions about lab programmes.
Can a lab join more than one programme?
Why follow the Academy faculties?
Who chose the further reading?
Contribute evidence from this page.
Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
- EmailGateway GW-GCRISend it from this pageEvidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.
- ZenodoOpen depositDeposit it and submit to the communityPublish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.
- ReportsGCRISee every way to contributeThe contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.
Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.
More in the lab network.
Find your programme and apply.
Name the programme closest to your lab's work in the application. A reference and a review follow.