GCRI · Labs

Labs

Interdisciplinary experiments, technical research, methods and supervised innovation challenge programmes. Labs is an established platform of The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation.

STEM methods
5
Canonical methods this field applies
Topics
8
Subject pages in the field
Counterparts
3
Platforms in shared fields across the network
Report series
2
Reports series it contributes to
02What the platform does

Protocols, testbeds and records that make experiments accountable.

Labs is designed to give interdisciplinary teams a common way of planning, running and recording experiments, so that the result, the method and the uncertainty travel together.

Protocols

Hypotheses written first

Pre-specified questions, controls, acceptance criteria and analysis plans, recorded before data are examined. See research protocols.

Testbeds

Controlled environments

Laboratory, simulation and field settings with documented safety cases and site permissions. See field and lab testbeds.

Records

Results, including failures

Reproducibility records, corrections and negative results kept on the same footing as positive findings. See reproducibility and negative results.

Supervised innovation challenge programmes are designed to run on the same protocols, with named supervisors and written terms for every participant.

03Monitor

Protocol and replication board.

The screen a team would use to follow this field: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

Protocol and replication board

Labs · Quarter 4

Two replications runningGCRI · Labs

Protocols

PR-309 sensor driftField experimentYesApprovedRunning
PR-017 AI triageRandomisedYesConditionsSetup
PR-975 message recallSurvey experimentYesApprovedComplete
PR-870 heat exposureCohortNoPendingDraft

Replication R-39

Original effect
0.4 SD
Replication effect
0.1 SD
Verdict
Smaller, same sign
Published
with data and code

Testbed availability

Protocol and replication board: the screen's structure, terms and states for Labs.Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
05Simulator

Stocks, flows, delays and a tipping threshold.

Two stocks, pressure and adaptive capacity, joined by a reinforcing growth loop, a delayed balancing response and damage when pressure outruns capacity; past the threshold the system can tip. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction.

Controls

Growth of pressure
6.0% a year
Efficacy of capacity in reducing pressure
4.0% a year
Investment response to perceived pressure
20%
Perception delay
4.0 years
Tipping threshold of pressure
60 index
Amplification past the threshold
2.0 times
Years simulated
50 years

Readouts

Peak pressure
113 index
Capacity at the end
186 index
Years over the threshold
15.8 years
Numbers, methods and sources
YearPressureCapacityPerceived
020.050.020.0
423.344.921.2
827.242.224.0
1231.742.327.7
1636.845.532.2
2042.351.537.2
2447.960.342.6
2853.271.348.0
3257.884.353.1
3666.498.458.4
4082.7115.969.7
4497.8139.783.8
48109.1169.497.3

Methods

  1. System dynamics Forrester (1961), Industrial Dynamics, MIT Press; Sterman (2000), Business Dynamics
  2. Critical transitions and tipping points Scheffer and others (2009), Early-warning signals for critical transitions, Nature 461
  3. Causal loop diagram Sterman (2000), Business Dynamics, McGraw-Hill
  4. Uncertainty fan (parameter Monte Carlo) Spiegelhalter, Pearson and Short (2011), Visualising uncertainty about the future, Science 333
  5. One-at-a-time sensitivity (tornado) Saltelli and others (2008), Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, Wiley

Data

No observed data enters this model: it runs on the teaching values set by the controls, to be replaced with a programme's own evidence.

Stocks, flows, delays and a tipping threshold. Illustrative teaching model: it runs on the values set by the controls, not on measured data. Methods: System dynamics (Forrester (1961), Industrial Dynamics, MIT Press; Sterman (2000), Business Dynamics); Critical transitions and tipping points (Scheffer and others (2009), Early-warning signals for critical transitions, Nature 461); Causal loop diagram (Sterman (2000), Business Dynamics, McGraw-Hill).

Across the six pillars, led by Nexus Consortium

06Cycle

How work moves in this field.

A question becomes evidence, a governed build, an organised community, a controlled test, a reviewed publication and, finally, a decision taken by the competent authority under its own rules.

  1. Question Universe National, regional or institutional priority. Question in Labs
  2. Evidence Foundry STEM foundation of the platform. Evidence in Labs
  3. Build Foundry Foundry. Build in Labs
  4. Organise Universe Nexus ecosystem. Organise in Labs
  5. Test Universe Universe (independent site). Test in Labs
  6. Publish Reports Reports. Publish in Labs
  7. Decide Competent authority Competent authorities and institutions, through NXS-RLS (participants, agreements and handoffs). Decide in Labs
  8. Renew Universe Corrections and the next annual agenda. Renew in Labs

Each step of the cycle in the pillar it runs in; the decision stays with the competent authority, outside the programme.

07Methods and evidence

How labs is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

Model, equations and assumptions

The model structure used for labs, the assumptions it makes and how each is tested.

Risk of element iRi = f(Hi, Ei, Vi, Ci)hazard, exposure, vulnerability and coping capacity
Expected annual lossEAL = ∑k pk · Lkover events k with annual probability pk
Coupled systemsxt+1 = A xt + B ut + εtA carries the couplings, u the shock, ε the error
AssumptionWhy it is madeHow it is tested
Hazard and exposure are independent within an eventKeeps the loss integral tractableCompare with a copula fit on joint records
Couplings are linear near the operating pointLets shocks propagate through APerturb beyond the linear range and compare
Vulnerability curves transfer between placesLocal curves are rarely availableValidate against observed losses where they exist
Inputs
versioned datasets with provenance
Outputs
distributions, never single numbers
Code
released with the model card and tests
Reproduction
same data, code, environment and seed
Standard risk and state-space formulations; the assumptions listed are typical of the method, stated for review, not results.

Datasets and provenance

The data classes behind labs and what is recorded about each before it is used.

Data classProvenance recordedResolution statedLicence checked
Satellite imagery, optical and radarsensor, processing level, acquisition datepixel size and revisitper scene
Reanalysis and climate model outputmodel, experiment, member, versiongrid and time stepper release
In-situ sensors and gaugesstation, instrument, calibration recordpoint and sampling rateper network
Population and asset exposuremethod, vintage, input sourcescell size and unitper release
Boundaries and reference geographyproducer, edition, datescaleper edition
Lineage
W3C PROV record from source to figure
Principles
FAIR: findable, accessible, interoperable, reusable
Gaps
shown as missing, never filled silently
Data classes and the provenance fields recorded for each; a dataset is listed by name only once its licence admits the use.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
08Overview

What Labs does.

Research reproducibility is the ability to obtain consistent results when a study's data, code or methods are reused or repeated, and it is the test of whether research produces reliable knowledge. Labs studies where that fails, in protocols, testbeds, models, pilots and the publication record, across work, media, energy, water, health and biotechnology.

Who it serves

Its community

Research teams; universities; engineers; student teams; scientists.

How it works

Its methods

Research protocols; reproducibility; experimental design; controlled testing.

What it produces

Its outputs

Experimental protocols; reproducibility records; research findings.

09Mandate and boundaries

What Labs tests, and why a test result is not an approval.

Labs runs controlled research: pre-registered protocols, testbeds and pilots that check whether a method, tool or intervention does what is claimed under stated conditions. It publishes negative and null results. A Labs result describes what was tested and found; it is never a seal of approval, a procurement recommendation or evidence that something works elsewhere.

Experiments involving people follow the ethics review of the institutions involved and the Declaration of Helsinki where it applies. Illustrations of experiments on these pages are examples, not results.

11Reports, standards and contributions

From Labs to Reports, and how researchers take part.

Labs results are designed for the Labs Evidence series, with protocols registered before data collection. Datasets and code would carry identifiers and model cards under the proposed Nexus Standards. Readiness assessments that follow a Labs result go to the Foundry Build and Readiness series.

  • Propose a protocol or a replication of a published result.
  • Offer a testbed site, with its owner's terms.
  • Contribute a negative result that others should know about.
12The problem

Systemic risk research fails when experiments cannot be trusted or repeated.

Most of the questions the Nexus Consortium works on are about coupled systems: a drought that lowers reservoir levels, cuts hydropower, raises food prices and strains clinics at the same time. No single discipline owns that chain, and no single dataset shows it. Understanding it needs experiments that cross disciplines, and those are the experiments most likely to go wrong quietly.

The failure modes are well documented across science. Hypotheses are written after the data are seen. Controls are weak or missing. A model is tuned until it matches the one dataset it was tested on. Field trials run without the permissions, safety cases or consent they needed. Negative results are not published, so the next team repeats the same dead end. In interdisciplinary work these problems compound: an ecologist may not know how a hydrological model was calibrated, and an engineer may not know which social survey weighted which population.

When such results feed decisions about infrastructure, health or public spending, a weak experiment does not stay in the laboratory. It is cited, reused in a model, placed in a briefing and acted on. A result that cannot be repeated becomes a hidden assumption inside systems that many people rely on. That is why the method matters as much as the finding.

13Topics and labs

Where the platform's experimental work is organised.

Method topics cover research protocols, field and lab testbeds, AI and scientific workflows and reproducibility and negative results. These apply across every lab.

Thematic labs apply them to specific systems: the Future of Energy and Water Labs examine resource transitions and their technical constraints; the Future of Health and Bio Labs examine human health, One Health and biotechnology questions under biosafety rules; the Future of Work Lab studies how work, skills and institutions change; and the Future of Media Lab studies information ecosystems and responsible media innovation.

The platform's working pages set out the protocol library, the testbed register, experiment records and published results. Each shows records as they are released and none shows a record that does not exist.

14Coverage

The areas of research and evidence this platform takes on.

Labs studies how research and innovation produce reliable knowledge and where they fail: in protocols, testbeds, models, pilots and the publication record. Its pages cover research design, reproducibility, technology readiness and responsible innovation across work, media, energy, water, health and biotechnology. Each page sets out mechanisms, measures, sources, methods and the bodies that decide, with every indicator labelled by its evidence and no results stated.

Area

Research design and protocols

Hypotheses, controls, sample size, preregistration and the reporting standards that decide what a study can claim.

Area

Reproducibility and correction

Replication, computational reproducibility, negative results, retractions and how the scientific record corrects itself.

Area

Laboratories and testbeds

Test environments, field trials, living labs and sandboxes, with their safety, permits and fidelity to real use.

Area

Technology readiness

Readiness scales, stage gates and the passage from prototype to a reliable system in its operating environment.

Area

AI in scientific work

Model evaluation, leakage, benchmarks, generated content and the reproducibility of model-assisted research.

Area

Work and media innovation

Research on workplace change and information ecosystems, where studies involve people, institutions and platforms.

Area

Energy, water and health transitions

Demonstration and evaluation of technologies for energy, water, health and biotechnology, with One Health links.

Area

Research assessment and integrity

How funders, institutions and journals evaluate research, and the integrity systems behind those judgements.

15Grounding

Built on named science, technology, engineering and mathematics.

Every claim on Labs rests on methods with a canonical page in the STEM Commons, so readers can see what a finding depends on and where its limits lie.

Probability and statisticsUncertainty quantification and model validationArtificial intelligence and machine learningSystems engineeringCausal inference and impact evaluation

See the STEM foundation of Labs

16Six pillars

How this works across the six pillars.

Labs works through six pillars of one annual programme, led by the Nexus Consortium, with GCRI, the Global Risks Forum (GRF) and the Global Risks Alliance (GRA) each contributing in its role: explore, experiment and prototype in Labs, build, simulate and prepare in Foundry, convene and test in Universe, codify, correct and apply in Nexus Standards, publish in every format in Reports, teach in the open in Risk Academy.

Select pillars · hover lines18 / 18 handoffs

Route

The whole programme

Every pillar hands its work to another; together they close the year's feedback loops.

L · F · U · S · R · A

Pillars
6 of 6
Handoffs
18 of 18
Loops
17 closed

Handoffs in play

  • F01Universe → Foundry · Admitted mission becomes a cycle project with a decision caseReadiness preparation
  • F02Foundry → Universe · Core Build Report and go or no-go evidenceControlled build
  • F03Foundry → Reports · Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profileCloseout
  • F04Universe → Reports · After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13After-action review

and 14 more

F01 to F14 are the recorded handoffs of the programme year, each with the artefact that moves and its phase; R1, R2, R3 and R4 carry work around the ring. A loop counts when every pillar on it is selected. Every pillar is led by the Nexus Consortium.
  1. LabsWhere questions become experiments and prototypes: new methods, data and tools are tried in the open, with their limits on record, before the Foundry builds them, under the Nexus Consortium.Labs in LabsLabs
  2. FoundryWhere methods, data and models become reproducible builds, each run with its inputs, version and limits on record.Labs in FoundryFoundry
  3. UniverseWhere a build is tested under controlled conditions with independent evaluators, so a method's skill is measured, not assumed.Labs in Universeuniverse.nexus
  4. Nexus StandardsWhere methods, identifiers and data schemas are codified in the open and corrected when a test finds a fault.Data and Evidence in Standardsnexustandards.com
  5. ReportsWhere findings are published with their method, uncertainty and evidence class, and corrected as new versions.Labs in ReportsReports
  6. Risk AcademyWhere methods and systems are taught on real data and real places, by working the case, on Risk Academy.Faculty of Risk Science and Methods in Academyrisksacademy.com
17Frameworks

What the work is read against.

The platform does not set standards. It reads its evidence against the frameworks that competent bodies have adopted, so a finding can be placed where a decision-maker already works.

Framework or standardBodyWhat it sets
Frascati ManualOECDDefinitions and measurement guidance for research and experimental development, used in national R&D statistics
Oslo ManualOECD and EurostatDefinitions and measurement guidance for innovation in firms and other organisations
Technology readiness levelsNASA; European Commission; ISO 16290Level definitions from basic principles to a system demonstrated in its operating environment
FAIR Guiding PrinciplesFORCE11 and the GO FAIR communityFindable, accessible, interoperable and reusable data and research objects
San Francisco Declaration on Research Assessment (DORA)DORAAssessment of research on its own merits rather than journal-based metrics
ISO 56000 series on innovation managementInternational Organization for Standardization, ISO/TC 279Vocabulary, system requirements and guidance for managing innovation
Recommendation on Open ScienceUNESCOShared definitions, values and principles for open scientific knowledge, infrastructure and engagement
Declaration of Helsinki and CIOMS International Ethical GuidelinesWorld Medical Association; CIOMS with WHOEthical principles and review requirements for research involving human participants
Reporting guidelines: CONSORT, SPIRIT, PRISMA, ARRIVE, STROBEEQUATOR Network and guideline groupsMinimum reporting items by study design
European Code of Conduct for Research IntegrityALLEAPrinciples of reliability, honesty, respect and accountability, and the handling of violations
18Consortium

The same field, seen three ways.

GCRI studies a field as science, GRF governs it and GRA builds shared financial understanding of it. Labs links to its counterparts so that work on one side is visible on the others.

22Questions

Questions and answers.

Who publishes Labs?
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) publishes Labs and is responsible for what it publishes. GCRI is a research, development and policy institution. It is not a regulator, and it does not certify, license or approve; its findings carry their methods and uncertainty.
Is Labs active?
Labs is an established platform of The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation. Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.
How can I contribute?
Start with the participation paths or write to contact@therisk.global. An enquiry receives a reference; it does not create membership, a role or an assignment.
Where are findings published?
Reviewed outputs appear on the publications page, and contributions to the Reports series are listed on Publish in Reports.
Which values on this platform are real?
Indicator names, units, sources, methods and frameworks are real. Levels in figures and canvases are examples in a design. A programme replaces them with labelled evidence it owns.
How do I report an error?
Use corrections and concerns, or write to integrity@therisk.global. A correction is recorded as a new version, never a silent edit.
What kind of research does Labs take on?
Interdisciplinary experiments on systemic risk: questions where water, energy, health, work or information systems interact and where a controlled test, a simulation or a supervised field trial can answer something a desk study cannot.
Does Labs publish negative results?
Yes, by design. A well-run experiment that finds no effect, or that fails to reproduce an earlier result, is recorded with its protocol so that other teams do not repeat it. See reproducibility and negative results.
ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRILabsLabs EvidenceMethods and Technical
How it works

How Labs works.

Choose a view and press Play to follow the platform's process, its programme year, the standards it applies and how its findings are published. The outline shows how the work is designed to run, not the status of any decision.

Labs

How Labs works

Platforms · Programme year · Standards · Reports

A platform joins a field to named methods, labelled evidence and the outputs it publishes, without becoming the authority it serves.

  1. 01 Scope

    1. 01Field and familiesStart · The platform leadThe home states the field, its families and who it serves.
    2. 02Topic dossiersRecord · Platform authorsTopics explain the subject with labelled evidence.
  2. 02 Evidence

    1. 03Evidence labelsRecord · GCRIEach value is labelled: observed, published statistics, estimated, modelled, scenario or unknown.
    2. 04MethodsStep · Method ownersMethods come from the STEM Commons, each with one canonical page.
  3. 03 Work

    1. 05Scenarios on the systemsModel · Foundry pillarScenarios run on the Nexus systems, labelled as scenario.
    2. 06Standards that applyRecord · Nexus StandardsThe platform names the standards that apply. A validator report is evidence for review.
  4. 04 Publish

    1. 07EditionsRecord · ReportsFindings are published through Reports with their limits.
    2. 08Authority decidesOutcome · The competent authorityDecisions and execution stay with the government, operator or licensed institution.

Labs home · Platforms · Shared methodsAn outline of how the work is designed to run; it does not report the status of any decision or record.

Take part

Take part in Labs.

Start from who you are. Answer an open call. Or form and lead a competence cell on the Labs platform.

Route

National institutions

Ministries, statistics offices and agencies: a national desk and chapter, and a seat in the working groups. National chapters

Route

Sectors and professions

Operators, regulators, banks, insurers and professional bodies whose work touches Labs. Participate

Route

Learning

Courses and practice, with a record of every course completed. Free to study. Open learning

Route

Standards

Draft, review and adopt the methods and data standards with the working groups. Working groups

Route

Communities and research

Universities, civil society and individual experts: projects, data and review. Write to the team

The Global Risks Index

Every figure on this page is indexed: hazards, climate, conflict, the world.

The Index is the Consortium's indexing system for risk data. Every indicator, hazard, series and country profile carries its Nexus Standards identifier, its source and its licence, so what this page shows can be traced, corrected and reused.

  1. 01 · Sources205 registered sourcesEvery value keeps its source and licence; withheld values are counted.Data and licences
  2. 02 · Nexus StandardsNIS-1 and NHS-1451 indicators, 905 hazards; every record carries a UNI.Nexus Standards
  3. 03 · The Index54 series, 195 country profilesComputed on the standards; no value is published until an edition is released.The Global Risks Index
  4. 04 · This pageLabsMaps, figures and feeds read the Index in the context of hazards, climate, conflict.Public API
Sources205registered, each with its licence
Indicators451NIS-1, 106 composites, 20 domain indices
Hazards905NHS-1, crosswalked to UNDRR-ISC HIPs
Series54global, sector, strategic, technology, thematic
Country profiles195one site per country

Series in this context hazards, climate, conflict

  1. GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap…NXS-GRX-AR-000002Hazards · Climate · Conflict
  2. THDisaster Risk Intelligence (DRI)Signals, observations, event streams, geospatial layers and scenario packs turned into structured risk intelligence for preparedness and planning.NXS-GRX-AR-000111Hazards · Climate · Conflict
  3. GSGlobal CitiesUrban exposure, heat, flooding, informal settlement, service dependency and the economic weight of cities at risk.NXS-GRX-AR-000068Hazards · Infrastructure · Climate
  4. GSGlobal ClimateChronic and acute physical climate hazard, transition exposure, adaptation gaps and scenario pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100.NXS-GRX-AR-000065Climate · Hazards · Finance

All 54 series · The 20 domain indices

Country profiles the world

Every country profile carries the source and licence of each value. Correct a value or reply

Hazard domains NHS-1

Geodata and API open

Open layers on an equal-area hexagon grid, shown as densities per km² or as symbols: People · GHSL 2025People · WorldPop 2025Built-up areaPortsAirportsRoadsRailwaysRivers and lake centrelines

/api/v1/public/grix · https://nexustandards.com/uni/{uni}
Developers · Data · Made with Natural Earth, Public domain; GHSL and WorldPop, CC BY 4.0

Snapshot of the Index registries pinned 2026-10-23 · 22c6eed. Research and risk-analytics information: not a rating, an official classification, a warning, a benchmark or advice.

Labs

Bring a method, a dataset or a question.

Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

Not for profit

Our articles, maps and twins are free to read and free to republish. Readers and partners keep it that way.

Support our work

Who funds us

GCRI is a not-for-profit institution. To ask who funds a piece of work, use the funding questions form.

Independence

Editors and the expert reviewers named on each article decide what we publish. Funders and partners do not review or approve articles before publication.

Licence

Articles: CC BY 4.0. Figures, maps, twins and data: CC BY 4.0. Other uses: ask through the permissions form.