Draft, not yet released. In stewardship review. Not indexed until the first approved release.

Readings from the other desks

The regional baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole. Each lens is a projection of reviewed findings, not a separate argument. The other desks’ own editions of this subject are listed first, as cross-references, not copies.

18 min read0 figures8 tables49 notesNR-REGIONAL-OCP-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
  3. 1Oceania-Pacific’s risk is set by ocean, coast and distance
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5Cyclone and marine-heatwave season across the Coral Sea and nearby island coasts
  8. 6Readings from the other desks
    1. 6.1 The other desks’ editions of this subject
    2. 6.2 Three lenses
    3. 6.3 Standards, Academy and steward contributions
    4. 6.4 GCRI reading: the model card
    5. 6.5 Global Risks Forum reading: editorial essays
    6. 6.6 Global Risks Alliance reading: 2027 regional readiness pack
    7. 6.7 Nexus Standards reading: standards and regulatory watch
    8. 6.8 Risk Academy reading: literature and evidence review: science and assessments
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
  13. CReferences and record
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

6.1The other desks’ editions of this subject

Federation: each desk writes its own edition for the subjects in its remit. Until a desk releases, its edition shows its frame and the reading this edition printed for it.

DeskEditionStateIdentifier
GCRI Systems EvidenceSystems Evidence: Oceania-Pacific 2026Drafted, in stewardship reviewNR-REGIONAL-OCP-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
GRF Public DeliberationPublic Deliberation: Oceania-Pacific 2026In preparationNR-GRF-REG-OCP-2026-BASELINE (reserved)
GRA Capital ReadinessOutside this desk’s remitNot in remit
Standards ProgressOutside this desk’s remitNot in remit
Academy CapabilityOutside this desk’s remitNot in remit
Index MeasurementMeasurement: Oceania-Pacific 2026In preparationNR-GRX-REG-OCP-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

6.2Three lenses

One edition, read by each steward. The lens of this site comes first.

GCRI · KEY T

Technical Truth

The evidence supports a reading of Oceania-Pacific risk as exposure and access: warm oceans and sea level act on coasts, power and health together. Evidence is strongest for population, emissions, electricity access and ocean warmth, and weakest for losses, sea-level rates and the condition of reefs.

CLI-001 · CLI-006 · ENE-005 · SYS-012

GRF · KEY M

Public Meaning

For most people risk arrives as a cyclone warning, a hot week or a fuel shortage. The baseline asks that public debate weigh how distance and thin access make one island’s event a regional concern.

CLI-007 · ENE-005 · FOO-009

GRA · KEY F

Capital Meaning

Readiness implications only. Loss series by country are not bound, and the Asian Development Bank frames resilience in its Pacific monitor25. These show where finance-readiness evidence will matter. Nothing here is advice, a rating or an endorsement.

CLI-006 · SYS-012

NEXUS

Synthesis

Oceania-Pacific has strong statistics for Australia and a clear ocean-warming record, and thin national data for island states. The 2027 programme should bind loss, sea-level and fuel-stock data, test the cyclone season, and ask the registry whether Pacific states can be admitted.

SYS-012 · A-01 · A-02

6.3Standards, Academy and steward contributions

How the Nexus Standards drafts, the Risk Academy and the three stewards feed each quarterly edition for Oceania-Pacific. The standards are preparatory working drafts (October 2026) and are cited as drafts, never as adopted standards.

Table 6.1The quarterly rhythm every edition follows
QuarterEditionQuestionBoundary
Q1State and AgendaWhat matters this year, and what is the starting position?observed baseline stays distinct from planned work
Q2Evidence and BuildWhat new evidence and capability have been developed?a configured capability is not a validated result
Q3Stress Test and ReadinessWhat do scenarios and tests reveal?simulated loss or performance is not observed impact
Q4Annual Synthesis and RenewalWhat did the year establish, and what changes next?release follows review, not event publicity deadlines
Table 6.2Who contributes what each quarter
Steward or bodyRoleContribution route
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI Canada)Lead Institution and Consortium Secretariat; publisher of record; technical truth (key T)science and practice communities · GCRI gateway
The Global Risks Forum (GRF)leadership, dialogue and the Universe programme; public meaning (key M)policy, Universe and national adoption · GRF gateway
The Global Risks Alliance (GRA)finance, insurance and development readiness; capital meaning (key F)finance and insurance · GRA gateway
Nexus Standardspreparatory drafts on vocabulary, hazards, indicators and methodsStandards site · working groups HAZ, IND, MTH, FIN, AI
Risk Academylearning pathways tied to the agenda questionsAcademy gateway · learning by review
Oceania-Pacific regional pathwayregional pathway: hubs named in the registryregional Commons room

Standards drafts used in this edition

  • Risk vocabulary NRS-C1 (424 terms) for terms in the glossary
  • Hazard atlas NHS-1 1.1.0 (905 hazards in 120 families) for risk objects
  • Seven risk classes: global, catastrophic, existential, emerging, planetary, exponential, frontier-tech

Standards calendar to watch

  • Founding calls from 20 October 2026; working groups meet from 5 November 2026
  • Inaugural Global Standards Council session, 12 January 2027
  • Quarterly reviews in March, June, September and December, aligned with each edition

6.4GCRI reading: the model card

GCRI’s reading of this edition is its model card: what the national model is, what it computes and where it stops. It is printed in full in Annex A, with the methods it belongs to. Annex A, methodology

6.5Global Risks Forum reading: editorial essays

Four signed essays by the Reports editorial team set out the positions this edition takes. They are interpretation, labelled as such; the evidence they draw on is in the findings register.

Most Pacific islanders live within 500 m of the sea. The baseline treats the coast and the ocean basin as the units of analysis, with countries as the places where effects land.

EDITORIAL ESSAY · 01

Risk lands on the coast first

The Pacific Islands Forum has 18 members, including Australia and New Zealand. This edition reads Oceania-Pacific as the registry defines it and uses the Forum and World Bank series only as reference groups. They are never joined on a code alone.

EDITORIAL ESSAY · 02

A forum is not a region

Electricity access of 20.5% in one country and 100% in another shows that resilience depends on who is connected, not on national totals alone.

EDITORIAL ESSAY · 03

Access is a design question

Several data that matter most for risk, including the sea-level rate, cyclone losses and fuel stocks, could not be read at evidence close. The edition shows each gap and the source that would fill it.

EDITORIAL ESSAY · 04

Gaps are findings too

6.6Global Risks Alliance reading: 2027 regional readiness pack

The registers that open the 2027 regional cycle. At baseline each is initialised from this edition.

Table 6.32027 regional readiness pack
ItemRegisterState at baselineFirst 2027 entry
E1Regional risk state deltabaseline set by this editionchanges against the baseline
E2WEFH+B state deltafive regional system readings setindicator updates and freshness
E3Agenda and Portfolio movementeight agenda items · 7 proposed objectsadmission decisions
E4Federation delivery registereditions in programme as listed in the series registryregional and sector baselines
E5Consortium capability registernational consortia formingfirst contributions
E6Leadership questions and challengesnone yetfirst challenge log
E7Foundry technical statenational environments preparedfirst federation cut
E8Publication candidatestwelve findings carried forwardPUBLISH · HOLD dispositions
E9Universe readinessone candidate missionadmission and role spine
E10Correction registernonefirst federation-wide cycle

Publication dispositions

  • Publish
  • Hold
  • Needs evidence
  • Restricted
  • Superseded

6.7Nexus Standards reading: standards and regulatory watch

Instruments that shape the systems in this edition, by status on the retrieval date. The edition assesses no one’s compliance.

  • IN FORCE
  • ADOPTED
  • SUBMITTED
  • UNDER REVIEW
  • PUBLISHED · VOLUNTARY
Table 6.4Standards and regulatory watch
InstrumentBodyScopeStatusRelevance
Climate Change Act 2022 (Australia)32Parliament of AustraliaAustraliaIN FORCE2030 and 2050 targets
Australia’s 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution31Government of AustraliaAustraliaREPORTED SEPTEMBER 20252035 target
2050 Strategy for the Blue Pacific Continent2021Pacific Islands ForumForum membersDATED AUGUST 2022regional strategy
Boe Declaration on Regional Security34Pacific Islands ForumForum membersADOPTED 2018climate and security
Falepili Union treaty35Australia and TuvalubilateralSIGNED 2023mobility and security
Paris Agreement37UNFCCCinternationalIN FORCEclimate targets
Sendai Framework 2015–203036UNDRRinternationalADOPTED 2015disaster risk reduction
Kunming-Montreal Framework38CBDinternationalADOPTED 202230by30
National Adaptation Plan2433Australian GovernmentAustraliaISSUED 2025adaptation
Forum Strategic Plan 2025 to 203023Pacific Islands Forum SecretariatForum membersREPORTED AUGUST 2026secretariat work plan

Changed since 2024

  • The Forum Strategic Plan 2025 to 2030 was reported in August 2026 with six goals23
  • Australia’s 2035 target of 62 to 70% below 2005 was reported from September 202531
  • Australia’s climate risk assessment and adaptation plan were issued in 20252433

To watch in 2027

  • Implementation of the 2035 target3151
  • Delivery of the Forum 2050 Strategy Implementation Plan to 203020
  • Application of the Kunming-Montreal targets by Forum members38

6.8Risk Academy reading: literature and evidence review: science and assessments

The review behind this edition covers peer-reviewed science, regional and international assessments and the institutional reports that bind its findings. Full systematic reviews begin in Q1 2027 for each agenda item.

Review protocol

Question
What does the published evidence establish about Oceania-Pacific’s coupled water, energy, food, health and biodiversity risks across its member countries?
Sources searched
peer-reviewed literature; regional and international assessments; official releases; statutory instruments
Window
releases available at evidence close, 30 September 2026
Selection
sources that bind or contextualise a finding in this edition
Next step
systematic reviews for agenda items A-01 to A-05 in Q1 2027
Table 6.5Science and assessments
ReferenceTypeYearRoleUsed for
Pörtner et al. (eds.)39assessment2022frameworkimpacts and adaptation
Pörtner et al. (eds.)40assessment2019contextocean and coasts
McElwee et al. (eds.)41assessment2024frameworknexus interlinkages
Zscheischler et al.42journal article2018frameworkcompound events
National climate risk assessment33government assessment2025supportsrisk framing
Table 6.6Institutional reports
ReferenceIssuerYearRoleUsed for
State of the Climate in the South-West Pacific 2024171819WMO2025supportsheat, ocean, coasts
State of the Climate 202452CSIRO and BoM2024contextAustralian climate
Annual Climate Statement 202529BoM2026contextAustralian temperature
Pacific environment assessment53SPREP2020contextislands
Climate risk assessment24Australian Government2025supportsrisk framing
Table 6.7Official statistics and regional sources
ReferenceIssuerYearRoleUsed for
Population127ABS and World Bank2026supportsprofile
Water and life expectancy34ABS2025supportswater, health
Emissions and electricity8101428World Bank and Ember2026supportsclimate, power
Food, land and protected areas111315World Bank2026supportsfood, nature
National accounts and agriculture56916ABS and World Bank2026supportsprofile
Table 6.8Industry, grid and international sources
ReferenceIssuerYearRoleUsed for
Renewable capacity statistics45IRENA2026contextcapacity
Australia energy review46IEA2023contextenergy
Quarterly energy dynamics47AEMO2026contextgrid
Crop report48 and basin storage49ABARES and MDBA2026contextfood, water
Health report50 and Western Pacific page26AIHW and WHO2024contexthealth

Where the evidence agrees

  • The Pacific is warming and its ocean is hotter, with records in 202418
  • Coastal exposure is high for island populations1840
  • Compound and sequential hazards load health and services together2442

Where it is unsettled

  • How fast sea level is rising in the region and what that implies for relocation1740
  • How much of the Australian emissions change reflects land use, which the series treat on different bases830
  • How to read island states against a registry that holds one member22

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

  1. 25Asian Development Bank (ed.), Pacific Economic Monitor (series page; latest edition listed, August 2024, Building Resilience the Pacific Way; no figure used). ADB, Manila. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  2. 32Parliament of Australia (ed.), Climate Change Act 2022 (Cth), No. 37, 2022, compilation No. 2 (Federal Register of Legislation text read; section 10: net emissions 43% below 2005 levels by 2030 and net zero by 2050). Canberra, 2022. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  3. 31Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (ed.), Australia’s 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution: informed by the outcomes of the first Global Stocktake (presentation held by the UNFCCC; 62 to 70% reduction in national emissions below 2005 levels by 2035, all sectors and all gases; submission to the UNFCCC on 18 September 2025 per the Climate Action Tracker Australia page). DCCEEW, Canberra. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  4. 20Pacific Islands Forum (ed.), 2050 Strategy for the Blue Pacific Continent (page opened; Implementation Plan 2023–2030; strategy document dated August 2022; regional emissions just over 1% of the global total). Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat, Suva. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  5. 21Pacific Islands Forum (ed.), 2050 Strategy for the Blue Pacific Continent: thematic areas (seven areas; 18 members). Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat, Suva. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  6. 34Pacific Islands Forum (ed.), Boe Declaration on Regional Security (5 September 2018; climate change remains the single greatest threat to the livelihoods, security and wellbeing of the peoples of the Pacific). Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat, Suva, 2018. Observation year 2018. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  7. 35Prime Minister of Tuvalu and Prime Minister of Australia, Joint statement on the Falepili Union between Tuvalu and Australia (10 November 2023; announces the bilateral treaty signed that day, with a special mobility pathway for citizens of Tuvalu and assistance in disasters, pandemics and security threats). Prime Minister of Australia, Canberra, 2023. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  8. 37UNFCCC (ed.), Paris Agreement. United Nations, Paris, 2015. Observation year 2015. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  9. 36UNDRR (ed.), Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030. UNDRR, Geneva, 2015. Observation year 2015. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  10. 38Convention on Biological Diversity (ed.), Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, Decision 15/4. CBD Secretariat, Montreal, 2022. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  11. 24Clayton Utz (ed.), Australia’s first National Climate Risk Assessment Report and National Adaptation Plan (law firm briefing, October 2025; secondary summary of the Australian Government documents; the page and other reports give different release dates). Clayton Utz, Sydney. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  12. 33Australian Climate Service (ed.), Australia’s National Climate Risk Assessment Report (first national assessment, developed with the Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water; supports the National Adaptation Plan; ISBN 978-1-925738-94-0, CC BY 4.0; full report read in a public copy because the department and service hosts did not serve it). Australian Climate Service, Canberra, 2025. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  13. 23Pacific Islands News Association (ed.), Forum strategic plan sets six priorities to drive 2050 Blue Pacific vision (news report, 5 August 2026; Strategic Plan 2025–2030). PINA, Suva. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  14. 51Australian Government (ed.), Joint press conference, Sydney, 18 September 2025 (transcript; Prime Minister, Treasurer, Minister for Climate Change and Energy and Climate Change Authority Chair: the government accepted the Authority’s advice of a 2035 target of 62 to 70%; the Authority’s own advice was not served by its host). The Treasury, Canberra, 2025. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  15. 39H.-O. Pörtner, D. C. Roberts et al. (eds.), Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2022. doi:10.1017/9781009325844. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-05. doi:10.1017/9781009325844back
  16. 40H.-O. Pörtner, D. C. Roberts et al. (eds.), The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate: Special Report of the IPCC. IPCC, Geneva, 2019; Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2022. doi:10.1017/9781009157964. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-05. doi:10.1017/9781009157964back
  17. 41P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281/zenodo.13850054. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-05. doi:10.5281/zenodo.13850054back
  18. 42J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., “Future climate risk from compound events,” Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469–477, 2018. Observation year 2018. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  19. 17World Meteorological Organization (ed.), State of the Climate in the South-West Pacific 2024 (series page, published 5 June 2025). WMO, Geneva. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  20. 18World Meteorological Organization (ed.), Ocean heat and sea-level rise threaten communities in the South-West Pacific (news release on the 2024 report; 0.48 °C above 1991–2020, about 40 million km² of marine heatwaves, more than half of Pacific islanders within 500 m of the coast, at least 50,000 islanders a year at displacement risk). WMO, Geneva, June 2025. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  21. 19World Meteorological Organization (ed.), State of the Climate in the South-West Pacific 2024 report launch (event page; launch date 5 June 2025). WMO, Geneva. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  22. 52CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology (eds.), State of the Climate 2024 (report page opened; biennial report released by CSIRO in partnership with the Bureau). CSIRO and BoM, Canberra, 2024. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  23. 29Bureau of Meteorology (ed.), Annual Climate Statement 2025 (national annual mean temperature 1.23 °C above the 1961–1990 average, the fourth-warmest year since records began in 1910). BoM, Melbourne, 2026. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  24. 53Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme (ed.), State of Environment and Conservation in the Pacific Islands: 2020 Regional Report (report portal read: 31 regional environment indicators in 22 Pacific island countries and territories, period 2015 to 2020, including live coral cover; no figure used). SPREP, Apia, 2021. Observation year 2020. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  25. 1Australian Bureau of Statistics (ed.), National, state and territory population, March 2026 (released 17 September 2026; 27,921,150 residents, up 392,700 or 1.4%). ABS, Canberra. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  26. 2Australian Bureau of Statistics (ed.), Regional population, 2024–25 (released 31 March 2026; eight capital cities 18,750,888 at 30 June 2025). ABS, Canberra. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  27. 7DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: population, total (SP.POP.TOTL), Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea and Pacific island small states (source updated 2026-10-08). World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  28. 3Australian Bureau of Statistics (ed.), Life expectancy, 2022–2024 (released 11 November 2025; 81.1 years for males, 85.1 for females). ABS, Canberra. Observation years 2022–24. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  29. 4Australian Bureau of Statistics (ed.), Water Account, Australia, 2023–24 (released 11 December 2025). ABS, Canberra. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  30. 8DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: total greenhouse gas emissions excluding LULUCF (EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5), Australia, Fiji, Papua New Guinea and Pacific island small states (source updated 2026-10-08). World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  31. 10World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: renewable electricity output and electricity production from fossil sources (EG.ELC.RNEW.ZS, EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS), Australia, Fiji, Papua New Guinea and Pacific island small states; no value after 2021. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  32. 14World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: access to electricity (EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS, 2023) and people using safely managed drinking water services (SH.H2O.SMDW.ZS, 2022; value returned for Fiji only), Australia, Fiji, Papua New Guinea and Pacific island small states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  33. 28DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: Ember (ed.), Australia electricity profile (page last updated 30 October 2026; 2025: wind and solar 33%, clean 39%, fossil 61%, coal 43%; no 2024 value and no TWh on the page). Ember, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  34. 11World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: terrestrial and marine protected areas (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS, ER.MRN.PTMR.ZS), Australia, Fiji, Papua New Guinea and Pacific island small states; upstream UNEP-WCMC and IUCN. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  35. 13World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: prevalence of undernourishment (SN.ITK.DEFC.ZS), Australia, Fiji, Papua New Guinea and Pacific island small states; upstream FAO. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  36. 15World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: forest area and agricultural land (AG.LND.FRST.ZS, AG.LND.AGRI.ZS), Australia, Fiji, Papua New Guinea and Pacific island small states; upstream FAO. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  37. 5Australian Bureau of Statistics (ed.), Australian National Accounts: National Income, Expenditure and Product, June 2026 (released 2 September 2026; GDP up 0.4% in the quarter and 2.1% in the year). ABS, Canberra. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  38. 6Australian Bureau of Statistics (ed.), Agricultural Commodities, Australia, 2021–22 (final issue; the page carries two release dates; wheat 36 million tonnes, 369 million hectares of agricultural land). ABS, Canberra. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  39. 9World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: GDP, current US$ (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), and GDP per capita (NY.GDP.PCAP.CD), Australia, Fiji, Papua New Guinea and Pacific island small states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  40. 16World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: urban population and population ages 65 and above (SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS, SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS), Australia, Fiji, Papua New Guinea and Pacific island small states; upstream UN Population Division. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  41. 45International Renewable Energy Agency (ed.), Renewable Capacity Statistics 2026 (report opened; installed capacity by country and technology, not generation shares; no figure used). IRENA, Abu Dhabi, 2026. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  42. 46International Energy Agency (ed.), Australia 2023: Energy Policy Review. IEA, Paris, 2023. doi:10.1787/ebff8fca-en. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-05. doi:10.1787/ebff8fca-enback
  43. 47Australian Energy Market Operator (ed.), Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q2 2026 (latest quarter at evidence close; the AEMO host returned 403 to every route, so the release was read in pv magazine, 28 July 2026, and PV Tech, 30 July 2026, which report renewables at 42.1% of National Electricity Market generation in Q2 2026, against 37.1% a year earlier; no figure from it is bound in this edition). AEMO, Melbourne, 2026. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  44. 48Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ed.), Australian Crop Report: September 2026 (latest edition at evidence close, available 1 September 2026; forecasts of area, yield and production of the major winter and summer broadacre crops by state; DOI record read, doi:10.25814/5s62-8a44; the report body was not served by the ABARES host and no figure is used). ABARES, Canberra, 2026. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-05. doi:10.25814/5s62-8a44back
  45. 49Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment (ed.), 2021 State of the Environment: water storages in the northern Murray-Darling Basin, Copeton and Argyle, 2010 to 2020 (dataset behind Figure 05 of the Inland water chapter; daily percentage full). data.gov.au, Canberra, February 2022. CC BY 4.0. Observation years 2010 to 2020; no 2026 basin storage value is bound. The MDBA storage page refused access. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  46. 50Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (ed.), Australia’s health 2024: data insights (catalogue number AUS 250; doi:10.25816/0933-3876; ISBN 978-1-923085-92-3; CC BY 4.0; read in the copy tendered to the NSW Special Commission of Inquiry into Healthcare Funding, as the AIHW host returned 403; extreme heat caused 78% of injury hospitalisations related to extreme weather, 7,104 between 2012 and 2022; no count of heat deaths). AIHW, Canberra, 2024. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-05. doi:10.25816/0933-3876back
  47. 26World Health Organization Regional Office for the Western Pacific (ed.), Noncommunicable diseases (topic page; about 12 million deaths from noncommunicable diseases in the Western Pacific Region in 2019; Pacific Islands–WHO Multi-country Cooperation Strategy 2024–2029). WHO, Manila. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  48. 30Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (ed.), Quarterly Update of Australia’s National Greenhouse Gas Inventory: March 2026 (released 28 August 2026; 455.6 Mt CO₂e in the year to March 2026, down 1.6% or 7.5 Mt, 25.0% below 2005; preliminary estimate for the year to June 2026 452.4 Mt; the department host did not respond, so the figures were read in F. Sekin, WINSS, 29 August 2026, which reports the release, and the fall of 1.6% and 25% below 2005 also in Sustainability Tracker, 3 September 2026). DCCEEW, Canberra. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-05.back
  49. 22Pacific Islands Forum (ed.), Forum members (18 members, four associate members; Secretariat in Suva). Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat, Suva. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back

Downloads

Draft, not yet releasedReview copies of a draft in stewardship review. The released edition carries its DOI and replaces them.

  • Print

    • PDF, A4

      The designed print edition, A4: cover, imprint and licence, how to cite, contents with page numbers, every chapter, figure, table and annex.

      PDF110 pages957 KBTagged, with bookmarks

      SHA-256 45a7391ddf348427441ff84250ed8f90de498a2b2aa9e80dfb0509f4b82d9cc9

    • PDF, US Letter

      The designed print edition, US Letter: cover, imprint and licence, how to cite, contents with page numbers, every chapter, figure, table and annex.

      PDF117 pages971 KBTagged, with bookmarks

      SHA-256 6cbfd233aead329a1e265710fc05d624ca202246c99ee90c222f9d4cd168084a

  • Web edition

  • Data bundle

    • Indicators, CSV

      20 indicators with unit, year, status and source

      NR-REGIONAL-OCP-2026-BASELINE-indicators.csv1 KB

      SHA-256 4cd84b7ce55fff6cb2593102e1970cfd8790f096d3072d0849528d48ebc8cfea

    • Indicators, JSON

      The same indicators with the edition’s identity and licence

      NR-REGIONAL-OCP-2026-BASELINE-indicators.json3 KB

      SHA-256 99ecdf2c45f15539f6fe858dd64f565b8d1cb24548fb9a71030fdece4888baa5

    • Findings, CSV

      12 findings with status, evidence-quality level and references

      NR-REGIONAL-OCP-2026-BASELINE-findings.csv3 KB

      SHA-256 ee5116d317e90b2f2a1e6c1c7a70b75b6662e0127f4b94ba372921d6431ca7bc

  • Citation files

    • Citation, BibTeX

      For LaTeX and reference managers

      NR-REGIONAL-OCP-2026-BASELINE.bib1 KB

      SHA-256 016817f88e8629d2de255b6cd322f1036ee3872a4ff2916825c27a4c519b0123

    • Citation, RIS

      For Zotero, EndNote and Mendeley

      NR-REGIONAL-OCP-2026-BASELINE.ris1 KB

      SHA-256 42f7b0343adaa5869a31c588e8acb3b6d90aacdd1836fa2ae871d6983fe3fa94

    • Citation, CITATION.cff

      Citation File Format 1.2.0, for GitHub, Zenodo and software catalogues

      NR-REGIONAL-OCP-2026-BASELINE.cff1 KB

      SHA-256 bd958f93d8a74939cd13d739c04e576c69c72d1981e2f9610737aa578f0ae128

Check a file with its SHA-256: shasum -a 256 <file> (macOS, Linux) or Get-FileHash <file> (Windows). Text, tables and figures by Nexus: CC BY 4.0; each source keeps its own licence.

Cite this chapter

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Chapter 6: Readings from the other desks. In Oceania-Pacific Regional Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition, The State of Oceania-Pacific’s Interdependent Systems. (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-REGIONAL-OCP-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

ReportsContribute

Send evidence or a correction on Oceania-Pacific.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the GCRI Systems Evidence desk. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work. Sent to the wrong desk, it is forwarded, not refused.

GCRI Systems Evidence deskRegional Systems

CC BY 4.0 Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by GCRI Canada.

Your role here

What you can do from this page.

  • ReaderFound an error? Every correction is public.Corrections log
  • ContributorSend evidence, data or a correction to this desk.Contribute
  • ReviewerReview for this desk; verified reviews are credited.Become a reviewer
  • Editor, steward or boardQueues, decisions and production are in the workspace.My workspace
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

Science · evidence · measurement

Not for profit

Our articles, maps and twins are free to read and free to republish. Readers and partners keep it that way.

Partner with us

Who funds us

GCRI is a not-for-profit institution. To ask who funds a piece of work, use the funding questions form.

Independence

Editors and the expert reviewers named on each article decide what we publish. Funders and partners do not review or approve articles before publication.

Licence

Articles: CC BY 4.0. Figures, maps, twins and data: CC BY 4.0. Other uses: ask through the permissions form.