Reports · GCRI · Country profile
Switzerland 2026
سوئیس
Switzerland (Schweiz, Suisse, Svizzera) enters 2027 with 9.13 million residents, and people aged 65 or over (about 1.81 million) now outnumber those under 20 (about 1.80 million). Its risks come from mountains and from water.
- یافته‌ها
- 12
- each with its status and source
- Sectors with findings
- 5 of 6
- Infrastructure not assessed
- Risk objects
- 4
- order carries no rank
- منابع
- 62
- Evidence close 30 September 2026
01 · Readings
Switzerland in six readings.
Six readings that frame the Switzerland baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.
02 · Sectors
Six sectors, one hexagon.
Water first, then Energy, Infrastructure, Food, Health and Biodiversity. Each count is the findings of this edition in that sector: coverage of the evidence, never a score. Infrastructure is not assessed: the edition holds no Infrastructure finding and its coupling matrix does not assess it.
- WATآب1 finding
≈20% Monitoring stations at a record low for the season, 1 April to 31 July 2026, 2026. □گزارش‌شده
Source of Alpine rivers; 97% of people use safely managed drinking water; record-low flows and lakes in 2026.
- ENEانرژی2 findings
−22.5% Change in domestic hydropower output, 2025 on 2024, 2025. □گزارش‌شده
Hydropower 55.5% and nuclear 27.2% of generation; all gas imported; reservoirs low in July 2026.
- INFزیرساختnot assessed
Rail, road and river navigation depend on water levels and stable slopes; wider networks not mapped.
- FOOغذا1 finding
Not bound FSO and FOAG · blocker: official release not opened Self-sufficiency rate of food supply, n/a. ·Not bound
Farm and pasture stress in 2026; self-sufficiency rate not bound.
- HLTسلامت1 finding
326 deaths Heat-attributable deaths, May to September 2024, 2024. □گزارش‌شده
Heat deaths 326 in 2024 and 542 in 2023; people aged 65+ outnumber under-20s.
- BIOتنوع زیستی1 finding
7% Forest area designated as protected area, 2022. □گزارش‌شده
About a third of species and nearly half of habitat types threatened; 7% of forest protected.
Outside the six sectors: Climate forcing 4, Finance 1, Systemic 1.
03 · Hazard exposure
The hazards this edition reads.
The edition’s own risk objects, in its order, each read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and horizon. The hexagon marks the sectors the cascade reaches; the domain beside each is an editorial reading of its hazard words.
RSK-CHE-CLI-001
Dry year with low reservoirs and low river flows
□گزارش‌شدهEQL 4
- محرک
- snow deficit, dry spring and heat across the Plateau and the Alps
- مواجهه
- hydropower, river and lake levels, pastures, forests
- آسیب‌پذیری
- winter import dependence; thin groundwater monitoring [22]
- ظرفیت
- reservoir storage reported weekly [8]; reserve status not bound
- آبشار
- CLI → WAT → ENE, FOO, BIO, FIN
- Horizon
- 1–5 years
RSK-CHE-CLI-002
Rock, ice or debris avalanche above a settlement
□گزارش‌شدهEQL 3
- محرک
- rock failure, glacier load and permafrost change
- مواجهه
- Alpine villages, roads, rail and power lines
- آسیب‌پذیری
- settlements in the run-out zone; a scenario of 5 million m³ is analysed [24]
- آبشار
- CLI → WAT → INF, FIN
- Horizon
- annual
No domain reading
RSK-CHE-HLT-003
Heatwave load on health services and older residents
□گزارش‌شدهEQL 3
- محرک
- hotter summers and tropical nights
- مواجهه
- cities and Ticino, which was particularly affected in 2024 [17]
- آسیب‌پذیری
- ageing population [2]
- ظرفیت
- heat-mortality monitoring runs to July 2026 [17]
- آبشار
- CLI → HLT → ENE peak
- Horizon
- seasonal
RSK-CHE-ENE-004
Prolonged winter power shortage
▲InferredEQL 2
- محرک
- low reservoirs, import limits and plant outages
- مواجهه
- households, industry, rail, health facilities
- آسیب‌پذیری
- winter demand above domestic generation
- ظرفیت
- ملی تحلیل ریسک treats a 30% shortfall for 12 weeks [24]
- آبشار
- ENE → all
- Horizon
- seasonal
No domain reading
Scenario · SCN-CHE-DRT-01
Dry year with low reservoirs and low river flows
Under this scenario, results describe a conditional season under stated assumptions. It is not a forecast, and no intervention described here has been carried out.
2 of 12 findings name a hazard in their text. Show them
- 1CLI → WATsnow deficit and dry spring lower rivers, lakes and groundwater
- 2WAT → ENEhydropower falls; 2025 output was down 22.5%
- 3ENE → FINimport needs and exposure to foreign supply rise in winter
- 4WAT → FOOpastures and farm liquidity strained; CHF 54 million in loans offered
- 5CLI → BIOforests and streams under stress; dead trees were 7.2% to 15.4% of trees by region
- 6CLI → HLThot, dry summers raise heat deaths
04 · Couplings
How the sectors carry risk into each other.
The Switzerland matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core سامانه‌ها. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.
| از | WAT | ENE | FOO | HLT | BIO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAT | · | Strong | متوسط | متوسط | Strong |
| ENE | متوسط | · | متوسط | Strong | متوسط |
| FOO | متوسط | Weak | · | متوسط | Strong |
| HLT | Weak | Weak | Weak | · | Weak |
| BIO | Strong | Weak | Strong | Weak | · |
Water: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Energy: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Food: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Health: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Biodiversity: 4 couplings out, 4 in. Infrastructure is not in the coupling matrix: none of the edition matrices types it, so it carries no value.
Cascade paths, in the edition’s order
- CLI → WAT → ENEa snow-poor winter and dry spring lower rivers and reservoirs and cut hydropower□گزارش‌شده
- CLI → WAT → FOOdrought strains pastures and farm liquidity□گزارش‌شده
- CLI → INFglacier and rock failure above a village destroys homes and roads□گزارش‌شده
- CLI → HLThot summers raise deaths among older people□گزارش‌شده
- ENE → FINlow hydropower raises import needs and exposure to foreign supply▲Inferred
05 · Findings
Every finding of Switzerland.
Search, filter by sector, system or status, and sort. The address bar keeps the view, so a filtered list can be shared. Every row opens the finding at its source.
All 12 findings
| ID | ویراست | Sector or system | وضعیت | Statement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLI-001 | سوئیس | CLI Climate forcing | □ گزارش‌شده | Greenhouse-gas emissions were 40.1 MtCO₂e in 2024, 27.3% below 1990 and 22.3% below when land use is included; transport emitted 13.4 MtCO₂e and international aviation and maritime a further 5.5 MtCO₂e outside the 2030 target. |
| CLI-002 | سوئیس | CLI Climate forcing | □ گزارش‌شده | The second contribution sets a cut of at least 65% by 2035 on 1990 as a 2031–2035 budget of 106.8 MtCO₂e, and the Climate and Innovation Act, adopted by 59.07% of voters in 2023, sets net zero by 2050. |
| ENE-003 | سوئیس | ENE انرژی | □ گزارش‌شده | In 2025 hydropower supplied 55.5% of domestic electricity generation, nuclear power 27.2% and photovoltaics 11.8%, and final electricity consumption was 57,970 GWh. |
| ENE-004 | سوئیس | ENE انرژی | □ گزارش‌شده | Hydropower output fell 22.5% in 2025 after a record 2024, and reservoirs stood at 46% in mid-July 2026, 16.4 points below the 20-year average; reservoirs can cover about 20% of winter-half demand. |
| WAT-005 | سوئیس | WAT آب | □ گزارش‌شده | Between 1 April and 31 July 2026 about one-fifth of monitoring stations recorded their lowest level for the period since measurements began, and Lake Zurich reached its lowest level since 1951 on 19 August 2026. |
| FOO-006 | سوئیس | FOO غذا | □ گزارش‌شده | The Federal Council offered CHF 54 million in interest-free operating loans to farm businesses after the 2026 drought, and the contribution text sets a goal that domestic production covers at least 50% of food needs. |
| CLI-007 | سوئیس | CLI Climate forcing | □ گزارش‌شده | On 28 May 2025 the Birch Glacier collapsed under about 3 million m³ of rock debris, buried most of Blatten and caused one death; insured damage was put at CHF 255 million. |
| CLI-008 | سوئیس | CLI Climate forcing | □ گزارش‌شده | Glaciers lost almost 3% of their volume in 2025 and about a quarter since 2015, and the contribution states that glaciers have lost over 65% of their volume since 1850. |
| HLT-009 | سوئیس | HLT سلامت | □ گزارش‌شده | Heat-attributable deaths were 623 in June to August 2022, 542 in May to September 2023 and 326 in May to September 2024. |
| FIN-010 | سوئیس | FIN مالی | □ گزارش‌شده | GDP grew 1.4% in 2025 and inflation was 0.2%, and the IMF assessed the debt brake as appropriate while noting that the shift to a low-carbon economy will raise spending needs. |
| BIO-011 | سوئیس | BIO تنوع زیستی | □ گزارش‌شده | About a third of species and nearly half of habitat types are threatened, and 7% of forest area was protected by 2022 against a federal goal of 10% by 2030. |
| SYS-012 | سوئیس | SYS Systemic | ◎ Expert input | The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a dry year with low reservoirs and low river flows that cuts hydropower and raises winter import dependence at the same time as farm and forest stress. |
06 · Editions and calendar
The desks’ editions for Switzerland.
| Desk | ویراست | وضعیت | شناسه |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCRI Systems Evidence | Switzerland 2026 | Drafted, in stewardship review | NR-COUNTRY-CHE-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| GRF Public Deliberation | Public Deliberation: Switzerland 2026 | در دست آماده‌سازی | |
| GRA Capital Readiness | Capital Readiness: Switzerland 2026 | در دست آماده‌سازی | |
| Standards Progress | No edition in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Academy Capability | No edition in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Index Measurement | Measurement: Switzerland 2026 | در دست آماده‌سازی |
Calendar · 2026 Baseline
- 01Call opensset by the editor
- 02Contribution closeset by the editor
- 03بستن شواهد30 September 2026
- 04Desk review and releaseset by the editor
- 05Collection compilationset by the editor
- 06Collection releaseset by the editor
- 07اصلاحیه‌هاafter release, as needed
Evidence cut NQ-CHE-2026-Q0-1. Next cycles: Q1 2027, Q2 2027, Q3 2027, Q4 2027; their dates are set by the editor.
07 · Take part
Read it, improve it, cite it.
- بخوانیدThe edition, chapter by chapter, with every source.
- مشارکتSend evidence, a source or a method before the next cut.
- داوریJoin the stewardship review of this edition.
- CiteAPA, Chicago, BibTeX, RIS and the house style, as a draft.
- PDFThe signed PDF is issued at release; print the complete edition today.
سیاههٔ اصلاحات
| نسخه | Date | وضعیت | تغییر | Notice |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NR-COUNTRY-CHE-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | DRAFT | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | هیچ |
Data gaps3What the repository does not hold yet, and the source proposed for each
| شکاف | Shown here as | Proposed source |
|---|---|---|
| Exposure values per hazard (people, assets, hectares) | the edition’s own risk objects, without values | the Index country profile once the Index releases values, risksindex.com/che/ |
| The NHS-1 hazard types and their assignment to this edition’s risk objects | an editorial reading of the hazard words | the NHS-1 type assignment through the Registry |
| Infrastructure in the coupling matrix | Infrastructure marked not assessed | an Infrastructure row and column in the edition matrix at the next cut |
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