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GCRI · دەریاکان و کەناراوەکان

Reviewed models and scenarios

Model descriptions for Oceans and Coasts are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.

پرسیارێک بنێرە Back to Data and technical methods
01ناوەڕۆک

Reviewed models and scenarios in four parts.

لەم دۆسیەیەدا4 بەش
  1. 01What is shownReleased, referenced and rights-cleared
  2. 02Model classesThe kinds of model ocean and coastal work relies on
  3. 03دۆخReleases appear as they are reviewed
  4. 04سەرچاوەکانWhere this page’s references lead
02What is shown

Released, referenced and rights-cleared.

  • Time and space reference for every view.
  • Sources and licence.
  • Uncertainty and known limits.
  • Version and date of release.
03Model classes

The kinds of model ocean and coastal work relies on.

Model classOpen examplesQuestion it answersپشتڕاستکردنەوە
شەپۆلی گێژاو and tide modelsOpen coastal ocean modelsSurge heights and inundationTide-gauge records
Shoreline change modelsOpen coastal morphology modelsErosion and accretionHistorical shoreline positions
Ocean biogeochemical modelsCMIP ocean componentsWarming, acidification, oxygenObservations from floats and cruises
Fisheries ecosystem modelsEcopath with EcosimStock responsesCatch and survey data
04پرۆسە

چۆن پرۆسەکە کار دەکات.

Process explorer · Process

Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

10 steps4 قۆناغ

پرۆسە

Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.

  1. 01 Drivers

    1. 01مەترسیدەرDataset · Island councilThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
    2. 02ڕووبەڕووبوونDataset · Island councilThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
    3. 03هەستیاریDataset · Island councilThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
    4. 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Island councilThe ability of سیستەمە, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.

  2. 02 Assessment

    1. 05Risk from responsesComponent · Island councilRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
    2. 06لاوازیComponent · Island councilThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
    3. 07مەترسیModel · Oceans and CoastsRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.

  3. 03 Response

    1. 08Risk management and responseStep · Island councilRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
    2. 09مەترسیی ماوەRecord · Island councilThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.

  4. 04 Decision

    1. 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Island councilThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.

Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.

05دۆخ

Releases appear as they are reviewed.

Analysis runs in Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.

06سەرچاوەکان

Where this page’s references lead.

ئەو لەش و بەڵگەنامانەی ئەم لاپەڕەیەیان لەگەڵ دەخوێنرێتەوە. دۆخ و وەشانەکان دەگۆڕێن؛ هەر بەستەرێک دەچێتە لای لەشی دەرکەر.

07پرسیارەکان

پرسیار و وەڵام.

Can I request a map or model?
نووسین بۆ فۆرمی پەیوەندی with what you need and why.
Reportsبەشداربە

لەم لاپەڕەیەوە بەڵگە پێشکەش بکە.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

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هەرگیز داتای کەسی، وردەکاریی هەستیاری ژێرخان یان هیچ شتێک مەنێرە کە مافی بڵاوکردنەوەت نییە. بەشدارییەک پێش بەکارهێنان پێداچوونەوەی بۆ دەکرێت؛ ناردنی ماف نابەخشێت بە نووسەرایەتی یان بەڕێوەبردنی ڕاگەیاندن، و پاڵپشتی دارایی هەرگیز دۆزینەوەیەک ناکڕێت.

دەریاکان و کەناراوەکان

ڕێگایەک، کۆمەڵە داتایەک یان پرسیارێک بهێنە.

زانیاری و پرسیار ئەمڕۆ کراوەن. پرسیارێک ژمارەی ئاماژەی پێدەدرێت و هەنگاوی دواتر دیاری دەکات؛ داواکاری، پارەدان، تەرخانکردنی کۆمپیوتەر و تۆمارکردن تەنیا کاتێک دەکرێنەوە کە تیم، مەرج و توانای پێداچوونەوەیان هەبێت.

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یاسایی

نەخشە، داتا و وێنەکانی ئەم ماڵپەڕە بۆ ناوەڕۆک و زانیاریی گشتی پیشان دراون. ئامۆژگاری، پێشبینی یان ئاگادارکردنەوە نین؛ سنوورەکانی زانیارییەکە لە ڕەتکردنەوەی بەرپرسیارێتی و ئاگاداریی داتادا دەستنیشان کراون.