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GCRI · Okyanûs û peravên

Reviewed models and scenarios

Model descriptions for Oceans and Coasts are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.

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01Naverok

Reviewed models and scenarios in four parts.

Di vê dosyeyê de4 beş
  1. 01What is shownReleased, referenced and rights-cleared
  2. 02Model classesThe kinds of model ocean and coastal work relies on
  3. 03RewşReleases appear as they are reviewed
  4. 04ÇavkanîWhere this page’s references lead
02What is shown

Released, referenced and rights-cleared.

  • Time and space reference for every view.
  • Sources and licence.
  • Uncertainty and known limits.
  • Version and date of release.
03Model classes

The kinds of model ocean and coastal work relies on.

Model classOpen examplesQuestion it answersErêkirin
Bilindbûna ava behrê ya bahozê and tide modelsOpen coastal ocean modelsSurge heights and inundationTide-gauge records
Shoreline change modelsOpen coastal morphology modelsErosion and accretionHistorical shoreline positions
Ocean biogeochemical modelsCMIP ocean componentsWarming, acidification, oxygenObservations from floats and cruises
Fisheries ecosystem modelsEcopath with EcosimStock responsesCatch and survey data
04Pêvajo

Pêvajo çawa dimeşe.

Process explorer · Process

Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

10 steps4 qonax

Pêvajo

Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.

  1. 01 Drivers

    1. 01MetirsîDataset · Island councilThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
    2. 02RûbirûbûnDataset · Island councilThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
    3. 03HesasîDataset · Island councilThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
    4. 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Island councilThe ability of pergalan, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.

  2. 02 Assessment

    1. 05Risk from responsesComponent · Island councilRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
    2. 06LawazîComponent · Island councilThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
    3. 07XetereModel · Oceans and CoastsRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.

  3. 03 Response

    1. 08Risk management and responseStep · Island councilRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
    2. 09Xetera mayîRecord · Island councilThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.

  4. 04 Decision

    1. 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Island councilThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.

Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.

05Rewş

Releases appear as they are reviewed.

Analysis runs in Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.

06Çavkanî

Where this page’s references lead.

Sazî û belgeyên ku ev rûpel li hember wan tê xwendin. Rewş û çap diguherin; her girêdan diçe ba saziya derxistinê.

07Pirs

Pirs û bersiv.

Can I request a map or model?
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rêzeya Pergalên Stratejîk is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

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