GCRI · 海洋与海岸
已审查的模型与情景
Model descriptions for Oceans and Coasts are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.
Reviewed models and scenarios in four parts.
Released, referenced and rights-cleared.
- Time and space reference for every view.
- Sources and licence.
- Uncertainty and known limits.
- Version and date of release.
The kinds of model ocean and coastal work relies on.
| Model class | Open examples | 它回答的问题 | 验证 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 风暴潮 and tide models | Open coastal ocean models | Surge heights and inundation | Tide-gauge records |
| Shoreline change models | Open coastal morphology models | Erosion and accretion | Historical shoreline positions |
| Ocean biogeochemical models | CMIP ocean components | Warming, acidification, oxygen | Observations from floats and cruises |
| Fisheries ecosystem models | Ecopath with Ecosim | Stock responses | Catch and survey data |
流程如何运行。
Process explorer · Process
Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability
10 steps·4 个阶段
流程
Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability
In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.
01 驱动因素
02 评估
- 05应对措施带来的风险Component · Island council当气候应对措施未能实现目标，或因权衡取舍或负面副作用，就会产生来自应对措施的风险。
- 06脆弱性Component · Island council易受不利影响的倾向或习性。它包括对伤害的敏感性以及应对与适应能力的缺乏。
- 07风险Model · Oceans and CoastsRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.
03 响应
- 08风险管理与响应Step · Island council风险管理是指降低不利后果发生的可能性或规模的计划、行动、战略或政策。
- 09剩余风险Record · Island council在适应与减缓努力之后仍然存在的气候影响风险。适应可能在地区与群体之间重新分配风险。
04 决定
- 10由责任方作出决定Decision · Island council该框架不指定单一决策者。关于应对措施的决定由责任方依据其自身规则作出。
依据公开来源对某一外部标准或方法的概述。它描述的是该框架的内容，而非任何运行记录。它并不表明 Nexus 或任何合作伙伴执行、认证或批准某一步骤。关口是该方法的一个步骤，绝不是 Nexus 的批准。
Where this page’s references lead.
阅读本页时所对照的机构和文件。状态和版本会变化；每个链接都指向发布机构。
问题与解答。
Can I request a map or model?
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法律文件。
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