GCRI · Zanista pergalan û modelkirin
Reviewed models and scenarios
Model descriptions for Pergal Science and Modelling are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.
Rêza ku tişt tê de diqewimin.
- 01PirsPêşengiya neteweyî, herêmî an sazûmanî
- 02DelîlBingeha STEM a platformê
- 03Ava bikeFoundry
- 04Organîze bikeEkosîstema Nexus
- 05CeribandinUniverse (malpera serbixwe)
- 06Biweşînerêzeya Pergalên Stratejîk
- 07Biryar bideRayedar û saziyên jêhatî, bi riya NXS-RLS (beşdar, lihevkirin û radestkirin)
- 08Nû bikeRastkirin û ajandaya salane ya pêş
Released, referenced and rights-cleared.
- Time and space reference for every view.
- Sources and licence.
- Uncertainty and known limits.
- Version and date of release.
The kinds of model systems modelling work relies on.
| Model class | Open examples | Question it answers | Erêkirin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coupled sector models | ISIMIP ensembles | Cross-sector impacts | Intercomparison |
| Agent-based models | Documented with ODD | Emergent behaviour | Pattern validation |
| Network cascade models | Open network tools | Contagion | Bûyerên berê |
| Robust decision welat | Open exploratory modelling tools | Robust options | Scenario coverage |
Pêvajo çawa dimeşe.
Process explorer · Process
Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability
10 steps·4 qonax
Pêvajo
Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability
In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.
01 Drivers
- 01MetirsîDataset · User agencyThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
- 02RûbirûbûnDataset · User agencyThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
- 03HesasîDataset · User agencyThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
- 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · User agencyThe ability of pergalan, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.
02 Assessment
- 05Risk from responsesComponent · User agencyRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
- 06LawazîComponent · User agencyThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
- 07XetereModel · Systems Science and ModellingRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.
03 Response
- 08Risk management and responseStep · User agencyRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
- 09Xetera mayîRecord · User agencyThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.
04 Decision
- 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · User agencyThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.
Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.
Releases appear as they are reviewed.
Analysis runs in Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.
Where this page’s references lead.
Sazî û belgeyên ku ev rûpel li hember wan tê xwendin. Rewş û çap diguherin; her girêdan diçe ba saziya derxistinê.
Pirs û bersiv.
Can I request a map or model?
Ji vê rûpelê delîl bidin.
rêzeya Pergalên Stratejîk is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
- E-nameDergeh GW-GCRIJi vê rûpelê bişîninDelîl, rastkirin, doz, rêbaz, nirxandin, wergerandin an têketina profîlê. Bi nîşana vê rûpelê digihîje, ji ber vê yekê edîtorê xwediyê wê wê bistîne.
- ZenodoDepoya vekirîWê razînin û ji civakê re bişîninTomara xwe li Zenodo bi ORCID iD ya xwe biweşînin, paşê wê li wir ji civaka Reports re bişînin. Kurator wê vedikolin; DOI ya we dimîne.
- rêzeya Pergalên StratejîkGCRIHemû rêyên beşdariyê bibîneCureyên beşdariyê, her yek çawa tê nirxandin, tu çi navlêkirinê distînî, lîsans û tiştê ku qet nayê qebûlkirin.
Tu carî daneyên şexsî, hûrgiliyên binesaza hesas an tiştekî ku mafê we yê parvekirinê tune ne neşînin. Beşdarî berî bikaranînê tê nirxandin; şandina wê nivîskarî an mafên edîtorî nade û sponsorî tu carî encamekê nakire.
Rêbazek, danehevek an pirsek bîne.
Agahî û pirs îro vekirî ne. Pirsek referansekê distîne û gava piştî wê dide nasîn; serlêdan, drav, veqetandina hesabkirinê û tomarkirin tenê dema ku tîm, mercên wê û kapasîteya vekolînê hebin vedibin.
Belgeyên hiqûqî.
Nexşe, dane û jimarên vê malperê ji bo çarçoveyê û agahiyên giştî têne nîşandan. Ew ne şîret, ne pêşbînî û ne hişyarî ne; sînorên agahiyê di Daxuyaniyên Berpirsiyariyê û Daxuyaniyên Daneyê de hatine diyarkirin.