Skip to content

GCRI · Zanista pergalan û modelkirin

Reviewed models and scenarios

Model descriptions for Pergal Science and Modelling are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.

02What is shown

Released, referenced and rights-cleared.

  • Time and space reference for every view.
  • Sources and licence.
  • Uncertainty and known limits.
  • Version and date of release.
03Model classes

The kinds of model systems modelling work relies on.

Model classOpen examplesQuestion it answersErêkirin
Coupled sector modelsISIMIP ensemblesCross-sector impactsIntercomparison
Agent-based modelsDocumented with ODDEmergent behaviourPattern validation
Network cascade modelsOpen network toolsContagionBûyerên berê
Robust decision welatOpen exploratory modelling toolsRobust optionsScenario coverage
04Pêvajo

Pêvajo çawa dimeşe.

Process explorer · Process

Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

10 steps4 qonax

Pêvajo

Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.

  1. 01 Drivers

    1. 01MetirsîDataset · User agencyThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
    2. 02RûbirûbûnDataset · User agencyThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
    3. 03HesasîDataset · User agencyThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
    4. 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · User agencyThe ability of pergalan, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.
  2. 02 Assessment

    1. 05Risk from responsesComponent · User agencyRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
    2. 06LawazîComponent · User agencyThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
    3. 07XetereModel · Systems Science and ModellingRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.
  3. 03 Response

    1. 08Risk management and responseStep · User agencyRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
    2. 09Xetera mayîRecord · User agencyThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.
  4. 04 Decision

    1. 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · User agencyThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.

Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.

05Rewş

Releases appear as they are reviewed.

Analysis runs in Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.

07Pirs

Pirs û bersiv.

Can I request a map or model?
Binivîse bo forma têkiliyê with what you need and why.
rêzeya Pergalên StratejîkTevkarî bike

Ji vê rûpelê delîl bidin.

rêzeya Pergalên Stratejîk is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRIZanista pergalan û modelkirinRêbaz û teknîkîSenaryo û ceribandina stresê
Zanista pergalan û modelkirin

Rêbazek, danehevek an pirsek bîne.

Agahî û pirs îro vekirî ne. Pirsek referansekê distîne û gava piştî wê dide nasîn; serlêdan, drav, veqetandina hesabkirinê û tomarkirin tenê dema ku tîm, mercên wê û kapasîteya vekolînê hebin vedibin.