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GCRI · Programmes

Institutional research

Research at The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) examines systemic risk where it is felt: in the coupled systems of water, energy, food, health, biodiversity and infrastructure, and in the frontier technologies that change exposure and capability. The agenda, its governance and how initiatives are approved are below. No approved initiative is listed yet. Part of GCRI programmes.

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01Workspace

The workspace for institutional research.

Programme board

Country programme A · Institutional research · Cycle 2 of 4 · Example interface, not a record

  • Workstreams active
    6Active
  • Milestones due this quarter
    3Watch
  • Decisions pending with owners
    3Watch
  • Open risks
    7
Quarter review dueGCRI · GCRI

Workstreams

by stage

Scoping02
Report edition planningWS-431 · owner: Independent reviewer
National Model buildWS-544 · owner: Independent reviewer
In delivery02
Country programme formationMilestone M4 · slipping
Evidence label auditMilestone M5 · on plan
Review01
Methods review cycleIndependent reviewer named
Closed01
Annual mission designClosure note on record

Gates

  1. Requestowner named
  2. Scoping noteboundary
  3. Qualifiedinputs
  4. BuildFoundry
  5. Testcontrolled
  6. Publishwith limits
  7. Decisionauthority
Programme board.Illustrative interface; not live data.

GCRI · Programme board. Programme board: example names and illustrative values, not a record.

02Agenda

Twelve domains in five families.

FamilyDomains
EnvironmentalClimate and hazards; water; biodiversity and land; food
SocietalHealth and biosecurity
InfrastructureEnergy; lifeline infrastructure; critical minerals
EconomicTrade and supply chains; finance and insurance
TechnologicalAI and cyber; data and compute

Science and methods are described on Science and methods.

03Governance

How research is governed.

  1. 01

    Protocol

    Each initiative has a protocol with its question, methods, data, rights and publication route.

  2. 02

    Conflicts

    Researchers and reviewers declare interests; a conflicted reviewer does not sign acceptance.

  3. 03

    Review

    Findings are accepted on method by qualified, conflict-managed reviewers.

  4. 04

    Disclosure

    Funding and review are disclosed with each publication.

  5. 05

    Correction

    Negative findings and independent scrutiny always remain possible, and corrections create new versions.

04Process

How the process runs.

Process

Institutional research: Programme through eight gates

The Global Risks Forum (GRF) records eight yearly gates, each a programme decision; a gate not passed stops its work, and the competent authority decides outside.

  1. 01 Q1 · Planning

    1. 01G0 · Annual programme authorisedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF authorises the annual mandate. It never sets a national agenda.
    2. 03Route the candidate mission to standardsStep · Nexus StandardsNexus Standards routes each candidate mission to the standards and profiles that apply.

  2. 02 Q2 · Readiness and build

    1. 04G1 · Missions admittedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF admits missions with reasons recorded. It cannot admit a mission without an accountable owner.
    2. 05G2 · Data and resources qualifiedGate · The Global Risks ForumReadiness preparation closes when data, people and resources are qualified.
    3. 06G3 · Build accepted for exerciseGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF records whether the build is accepted for exercise. A gate not passed stops the work it governs.

  3. 03 Q3 · Action Week

    1. 07G4 · Controlled live operation authorisedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF authorises controlled live operation for Action Week.
    2. 08G5 · Evidence sealed and stand-down recordedGate · The Global Risks ForumThe evidence is sealed with its provenance and the stand-down is recorded.

  4. 04 Q4 · Reporting and renewal

    1. 02Competent authority decides and actsActor · The competent authorityThe competent authority decides and acts under its own rules. The programme informs it and never decides for it.
    2. 09Scientific and editorial reviewStep · Reviewers and the publisherQualified, conflict-managed reviewers and the publisher decide what is accepted. Institutions cannot decide a scientific conclusion.
    3. 10G6 · Publication authorisedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF authorises publication of results that have passed scientific and editorial review. It cannot publish personal data.
    4. 11G7 · Renewal reviewedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF reviews renewal and sets the next cycle’s mandate.

The programme year · The Global Risks Forum · Decision rightsDesigned programme process, not a record of operation. No cycle has run and every programme is at service level R0. A gate is a programme decision, never a public-authority approval, certification or deployment authorisation.

05Initiatives

Approved initiatives.

None is listed yet. An initiative appears here once its protocol, owner and resources are recorded. Universities and institutes can propose research or independent review through Universities and researchers, and outputs appear in the Research library when released.

06Approach

Five commitments of the GCRI method.

  1. 01

    Model dependencies, not silos

    Each analysis states the systems it couples, the transmission mechanism and its assumptions.

  2. 02

    Keep evidence distinct

    Observed, reported, estimated, modelled, forecast and scenario results carry their own labels.

  3. 03

    Test compound scenarios

    Examine how events combine and propagate rather than scoring hazards one at a time.

  4. 04

    Start from places

    Questions come from national demand and local knowledge, with rights-holders involved on their own terms.

  5. 05

    Carry analysis to tested action

    Findings move into exercises and handoffs, and results return as corrections.

07Status

What is open today.

Information and enquiries are open today. Send research enquiries to the research collaboration form. Integrity rules are on Research integrity. The Global Risks Forum (GRF) publishes governance research through its Research Nexus. The Global Risks Alliance (GRA) publishes financial-system research on Research and intelligence.

08Questions

Questions and answers.

Can external researchers take part?
Yes, through a research protocol with contribution and rights terms and a publication route that keeps negative findings possible.
Is GCRI research peer reviewed?
Findings are reviewed on method by qualified, conflict-managed reviewers before publication. Each release states its review chain.
Who owns research results?
A rights schedule separates background material, joint results, third-party material and protected community knowledge.
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

Bring a method, a dataset or a question.

Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

Propose a method See all contact routes
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