GCRI · Food Nexus

Storage and cold chain

Between harvest and plate, food is dried, stored, cooled, processed, packed and moved. Each step can lose food to spoilage, pests and damage, and each can introduce hazards that make food unsafe. Perishable foods such as fruit, vegetables, dairy, meat and fish depend on an unbroken cold chain, which in turn depends on electricity and refrigerants. This page sets out where losses and safety failures arise, how they are measured, and who acts on the evidence.

01Canvas

How the work runs.

Systems · around this subjectIllustrative

Storage and cold chain

Storage and cold chain · Supply corridor 2 · Week 31

  • Sites reporting
    21of 24Normal
  • Excursions this week
    7Watch
  • Estimated post-harvest loss
    7pct of throughputWatch
  • Days of stock in reserve
    38daysNormal
Two sites above temperature bandGCRI · Food Nexus

Store temperature

Stores

CS-01674In band
CS-04628Excursion
WH-027919Ambient
CS-07237In band
Storage and cold chain: the screen’s structure, terms and states for Storage and cold chain.Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.

Fig.Storage and cold chain: example names and illustrative values, not a record or a live system.

02The question

Storage and cold chain: how the risk develops.

Refrigeration, logistics and food safety. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Losses differ by stage and setting

Where drying, storage and transport are weak, losses concentrate on the farm and in storage, from moulds, pests and damage. Where they are strong, waste concentrates in retail and households. Each stage needs different measures.

Mechanism

Cold chains depend on power

Refrigeration needs continuous electricity or fuel. Outages, heatwaves beyond equipment design and gaps at transfer points let temperatures rise, and quality and safety degrade within hours.

Mechanism

Contamination travels with the product

Mycotoxins from poorly dried grain, pathogens from broken temperature control and chemical residues move with food through trade. One contaminated lot can reach many countries before it is traced.

Mechanism

Storage capacity sets the buffer

Public and private stocks smooth supply between harvests and through shocks. Stocks that are too small, poorly managed or in the wrong place leave a country exposed when imports or harvests fail.

03Geography

Growing conditions in the Black Sea region.

Crop greenness, root-zone soil moisture and daytime surface heat over the Black Sea region, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Growing conditions, for this page

About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds leave gaps)
Source
MODIS Terra NDVI (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite index; clouds leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-13
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite greenness index over the 8 days to the date shown; an indicator of crop and pasture condition, not a yield estimate or a food security warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Modelled
Source
SMAP Level 4 (NASA NSIDC DAAC)
Provider
NASA NSIDC DAAC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Model with satellite data assimilated
Newest at build
2026-10-11
Resolution
about 2 km grid
Uncertainty
Model with satellite data assimilated. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (persistent cloud still leaves gaps)
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
8-day; Satellite 8-day composite; persistent cloud still leaves gaps
Newest at build
2026-09-14
Resolution
about 1 km grid
Uncertainty
Satellite skin temperature of the ground over the 8 days ending on the date shown, a heat exposure indicator; not air temperature, heat index or a heat warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite image
Newest at build
2026-10-14
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite image. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Modelled (latest year GIBS publishes)
Source
MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1) (NASA LP DAAC)
Provider
NASA LP DAAC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
yearly; Satellite classification; latest year GIBS publishes
Newest at build
2024-01-01
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite land cover classes for the year shown, including croplands; a classification with known errors, not a farm register.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Modelled (latest 8-day period GIBS publishes)
Source
MODIS Aqua GPP (MYD17) (NASA LP DAAC)
Provider
NASA LP DAAC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
8-day; Satellite-driven model; latest 8-day period GIBS publishes
Newest at build
2026-09-30
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Model estimate of carbon taken up by plants over the 8-day period shown; an indicator of growth, not harvest or production.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Growing conditions, framed on the Black Sea region.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERTSources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • SMAP Level 4 soil moisture and snow mass, NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office; distributed by the NASA National Snow and Ice Data Center DAAC; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Observed (EO): NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • River discharge forecast, 30 days with range (GloFAS via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Emergency Management Service information 2026; not a flood warning.
  • Past year, daily temperature (ERA5 via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026.
  • Past year, daily temperature and sunshine (NASA POWER): These data were obtained from the NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC) POWER Project funded through the NASA Earth Science/Applied Science Program..
  • Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
  • Optional layers (13 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Vegetation greenness (NDVI), rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra NDVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Root-zone soil moisture, 0 to 100 cm: SMAP Level 4, NASA NSIDC DAAC · 11 Oct 2026
  • Land surface temperature, day, 8-day composite: VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day, NASA LANCE · 14 Sep 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Gross primary production, 8-day total: MODIS Aqua GPP (MYD17), NASA LP DAAC · 30 Sep 2026

04Couplings

Storage and cold chains depend on power, heat and safe water.

DomainHow it couples hereWhat to watch
EnergyRefrigeration stops when the grid fails, and heat raises cooling load. See heat and cooling.Hours of cold storage autonomy without grid power
HealthTemperature abuse causes food-borne illness; vaccines share the same cold chains in many places. See health supply chains.Food-borne outbreak reports; temperature excursions
WaterWashing, processing and ice production need safe water.Water quality at processing sites
BiodiversityLosses upstream mean more land and water used for the same food reaching people.Food loss by stage

SDG target 12.3 separates food loss (from harvest up to retail, measured by FAO’s Food Loss Index) from food waste (at retail and consumption, measured by UNEP’s Food Waste Index, latest report 2024). The UNEP and FAO report on sustainable food cold chains (2022) sets out the energy and refrigerant trade-offs.

05Twin and cascade simulator

Model storage and cold chain as a system. Run the cascade.

Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Food security and nutrition risk: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full System Builder.

Hazards

Controls

  • NS-0 Constitution and principles
  • NS-3 Risk record UNIs (grammar, legacy crosswalk, allocation authority)
  • NS-9 Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)
  • NS-10 Policies and clauses (machine-readable obligations: definition, binding, evaluation and enforcement)
  • NS-11 Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)
  • NRS-H57 Hazard family: Humanitarian crises (NHS-1 soc.humanitarian)
  • NRS-H61 Hazard family: Cascading failure (NHS-1 sys.cascade)
  • NRS-H81 Hazard family: Malnutrition and micronutrient deficiency (NHS-1 health.nutrition)
  • NRS-H59 Hazard family: Economic shocks and governance failure (NHS-1 soc.economic)
  • NRS-N3 Food and agriculture risk and resilience
  • NRS-N7 Water-energy-food-health-biodiversity-infrastructure nexus coupling

Observation

  • IPC acute food insecurity analyses (listed for reference)
  • FEWS NET outlooks and data (listed for reference)
  • FAO GIEWS Food Price Monitoring and Analysis tool (listed for reference)
  • CHIRPS quasi-global gridded precipitation (listed for reference)
  • Prevalence of undernourishment
  • Prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity
  • Prevalence of stunting among children under 5 years of age
  • Prevalence of malnutrition among children under 5 years of age

Example geography

  • The Ganges and Brahmaputra Basin: 178 hexagonal cells
  • Surface soil moisture (SMAP), NASA GIBS
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
  • Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
  • Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
06Reports, standards and contributions

Cold chain evidence and how operators can add to it.

Cold chain resilience studies are designed for the Global Sector Risk and Resilience series. Food safety rules are set by national authorities under Codex principles; the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) sets none. Useful contributions: outage and temperature logs from cold stores, loss measurements by stage, and lessons from off-grid cooling.

07Methods and evidence

How storage and cold chain is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

System model

The couplings between the systems in storage and cold chain: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.

++−++FoodTradeClimateCommunitiesEconomyR reinforcingB balancing
Causal loop diagram from the page’s systems; signs show the direction of influence. Illustrative structure for a system dynamics or network model, not estimated couplings.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
08Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Food loss index (SDG 12.3.1a)index of loss percentage against a base periodannualNational loss surveys and modelsESTIMATED
Food waste per capita (SDG 12.3.1b)kilograms per person per yearannualHousehold, retail and food service measurementESTIMATED
Post-harvest loss by crop and stagepercent of harvested quantityseasonalLoss assessment surveysESTIMATED
Refrigerated storage capacitycubic metresannualIndustry and government inventoriesREPORTED
Temperature excursions in storage and transporthours outside the specified rangecontinuousData loggersOBSERVED
Food safety notificationscount by hazard and productweeklyRapid alert systemsPublished statistics
Aflatoxin exceedance in sampled grainpercent of samples above the applicable limitper surveyLaboratory testingOBSERVED
Public grain stock levelmonths of consumptionmonthlyReserve agency recordsPublished statistics
09Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
FAO Food Loss and Waste DatabaseLoss and waste estimates by commodity, stage and countryFree and open, attribution
UNEP Food Waste Index reportsHousehold, retail and food service waste estimates and the measurement methodFree, attribution
African Postharvest Losses Information System (APHLIS)Cereal post-harvest loss estimates by country and provinceFree, attribution
EU Rapid Alert System for Food and Feed (RASFF)Notifications of food and feed hazards found in tradePublic records, terms per European Commission
WHO estimates of the global burden of foodborne diseasesIllness and death from foodborne hazards by regionFree, attribution
World Bank Logistics Performance IndexComparative performance of trade logistics by countryFree and open, attribution
National food safety authorities and reserve agenciesInspection results, recalls and stock recordsPublic records, terms per agency
10Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Food Nexus prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Food safety authoritiesWhich hazards and products need sampling, border checks or recall readinessNotification trends, laboratory exceedances and the trade routes of affected products
Agriculture and trade ministries, and reserve agenciesHow large strategic stocks should be, where to hold them and when to release themStock levels against consumption, import lead times and shock scenarios
Cold-chain operators and logistics firmsWhere backup power, insulation or redundancy is needed to keep product within specificationTemperature excursion records against outage and heat exposure
Development finance institutionsWhich storage and cold-chain investments reduce loss where it is largestLoss estimates by stage and commodity, with their method and uncertainty

Outputs this topic produces

  • Loss and waste hotspot maps by commodity and stage
  • Cold-chain dependency maps linking storage and transport to power supply
  • Food safety hazard traces along trade routes
  • Storage and reserve siting scenarios
11Core questions

What experts ask.

A harvest is only food security once it reaches people safely. Losses after harvest can be large for perishable produce and in places with limited storage, and a broken cold chain can turn a supply of food into a public health hazard. The resilience of this middle part of the chain is often less studied than production or consumption, which makes it a frequent hidden weakness.

  • Where along the chain is food lost or wasted, and why?
  • How dependent are cold chains on grid power, fuel and refrigerant supply, and how long can they hold temperature in an outage?
  • Which storage options suit smallholders, and what limits their use?
  • How do temperature failures translate into microbial growth and food safety incidents?
12Mechanisms

Drivers and processes.

Losses come from biology, infrastructure and organisation together.

Biology

Spoilage and pests

Moisture, heat and time drive mould, rot and insect damage. Some moulds produce toxins that make grain unsafe even when it looks sound.

Infrastructure

Power and logistics

Refrigeration needs continuous power; transport needs roads, ports and fuel. A grid failure can spoil perishable stocks within hours to days.

Organisation

Handling and coordination

Delays at markets and borders, poor packaging and weak handling practices add loss at every step.

13Methods and data

How the evidence is built, and its limits.

  1. 01

    Loss studies

    Measure losses at stages of the chain. Methods differ, so estimates are hard to compare across studies.

  2. 02

    Temperature monitoring

    Sensors record cold chain performance; data are often held privately by operators.

  3. 03

    Food safety surveillance

    Outbreak and contamination data show consequences, but under-reporting is common.

  4. 04

    Network models

    Logistics and facility location models built with optimisation and operations research assess capacity and redundancy, within the limits of their input data.

14Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Water and environmental engineeringIrrigation and drainage design · Safe wastewater reuse in agricultureApplied here
  2. Optimisation and operations researchHumanitarian supply and prepositioning · Strategic reserve designApplied here
  3. Agricultural, soil and food scienceCrop simulation for seasonal yield risk · Yield gap and nutrient limitation analysisApplied here
  4. Biotechnology platformsBreeding for stress tolerance · Rapid diagnostics for pests and diseaseApplied here
  5. Forecasting and time-series analysisSeasonal production outlooks · Staple price forecasting · Anticipatory action triggersApplied here
17Questions

Questions and answers.

What is the difference between food loss and food waste?
Loss occurs from harvest up to, but not including, retail. Waste occurs at retail, in food service and in households. The two are tracked by separate indicators under SDG target 12.3.
Why does refrigeration raise climate concerns?
Cold chains use energy, and many refrigerants are potent greenhouse gases. The Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol phases down hydrofluorocarbons, so cold-chain expansion and refrigerant choice are planned together.
How are aflatoxins controlled?
By timely harvest, thorough drying, clean storage and testing against maximum levels set in Codex and national standards. Biological control products are also used in some regions.
Does Food Nexus inspect food safety?
No. Inspection and enforcement belong to food safety authorities. The platform studies how failures arise and spread.
Why does the platform link cold chains to the power grid?
Because refrigeration depends on continuous electricity. Grid failures are one of the most common causes of cold chain breaks.
Are medicines included?
Medicines that share cold chains with food are considered where they share infrastructure, but health supply chains are not the platform’s focus.
Which investments reduce post-harvest loss most?
It depends on the crop, climate and market. Drying and hermetic storage often matter most for grains, while cooling and faster handling matter most for perishables. Evidence from comparable settings should guide each choice.
ReportsContribute

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Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRIFood NexusGlobal Sector Risk and ResilienceCountry Systems Risk and ResilienceEvidence Brief
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