GCRI · Health Nexus

Health equity

Health risk is not shared equally. Exposure to hazards, vulnerability to their effects and access to care differ by income, place, gender, age, disability, ethnicity and migration status, and these differences compound one another. This page sets out how health inequities arise and widen under stress, how they are measured without hiding people in averages, and what disaggregated evidence serves for the institutions responsible for universal health coverage.

02The question

Health equity: how the risk develops.

Unequal exposure and access to services. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Exposure follows disadvantage

Lower-income households more often live on flood plains, in heat islands, beside polluting sources and in informal settlements without safe water. The same hazard does more harm where exposure and vulnerability coincide.

Mechanism

Access depends on distance and cost

Travel time, transport cost, user fees, opening hours and language decide whether care is used. Out-of-pocket spending pushes households into hardship or leads them to forgo care, and both widen gaps.

Mechanism

Averages hide the gap

National indicators can improve while some groups fall behind. Disaggregation by wealth, place, sex and other dimensions reveals who is being left behind, and it needs sample sizes and identifiers that many systems lack.

Mechanism

Shocks widen inequities

Disasters and epidemics cut income, disrupt services and displace people, and the least resourced recover slowest. Without deliberate protection, each shock leaves the social gradient in health steeper than before.

03Geography

Environmental exposure in Africa.

Population density, daytime surface heat and haze over Africa, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Environmental exposure, for this page

About this layer
Evidence
Estimated
Source
Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University))
Provider
NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University)
Licence
CC BY 4.0
Vintage
null; Census-based estimate, static (2020)
Resolution
about 1 km grid
Uncertainty
Census-based estimate of people per square kilometre in 2020, shown as exposure context; not a count of people affected by any hazard.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (persistent cloud still leaves gaps)
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
8-day; Satellite 8-day composite; persistent cloud still leaves gaps
Newest at build
2026-09-14
Resolution
about 1 km grid
Uncertainty
Satellite skin temperature of the ground over the 8 days ending on the date shown, a heat exposure indicator; not air temperature, heat index or a heat warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds leave gaps)
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 Deep Blue AOD (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite retrieval; clouds leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-14
Resolution
about 2 km grid
Uncertainty
Satellite measure of haze, smoke and dust through the whole air column on the day shown; an exposure indicator, not ground-level PM2.5, an air quality index or a health warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite image
Newest at build
2026-10-14
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite image. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Modelled (latest year GIBS publishes)
Source
MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1) (NASA LP DAAC)
Provider
NASA LP DAAC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
yearly; Satellite classification; latest year GIBS publishes
Newest at build
2024-01-01
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite land cover classes for the year shown, including croplands; a classification with known errors, not a farm register.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds leave gaps)
Source
OMI Aura (NASA GES DISC)
Provider
NASA GES DISC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite retrieval; clouds leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-10
Resolution
about 2 km grid
Uncertainty
Satellite column of nitrogen dioxide in the lower atmosphere on the day shown, mostly from combustion; not a ground-level concentration or a health warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Environmental exposure, framed on Africa.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERTSources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS and VIIRS atmosphere products, NASA LANCE and LAADS DAAC; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • OMI nitrogen dioxide (Aura) and OMPS aerosol index (Suomi NPP), NASA; distributed by the NASA GES DISC; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Observed (EO): NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Air quality forecast, 5 days, PM2.5 (CAMS via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information 2026.
  • Past year, daily temperature (ERA5 via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026.
  • Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
  • Optional layers (14 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Land surface temperature, day, 8-day composite: VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day, NASA LANCE · 14 Sep 2026
  • Aerosol optical depth, daily: VIIRS NOAA-20 Deep Blue AOD, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Nitrogen dioxide, lower atmosphere column: OMI Aura, NASA GES DISC · 10 Oct 2026

04Couplings

Inequity concentrates exposure across every domain.

DomainHow it couples hereWhat to watch
WaterHouseholds without safely managed water bear the first effects of supply failure. See drinking water and sanitation.Service ladder by wealth quintile
EnergyEnergy poverty limits heating, cooling and safe cooking.Clean cooking access by income
FoodFood insecurity and poor diets track income. See food security and access.Cost of a healthy diet relative to income
BiodiversityCommunities dependent on natural resources lose most when ecosystems degrade.Natural resource dependence of livelihoods

The Commission on Social Determinants of Health (2008) set the frame: health inequities follow the conditions in which people are born, grow, live, work and age. WHO’s Health Equity Assessment Toolkit computes summary measures of inequality, such as the difference and ratio between subgroups, and WHO’s world report on social determinants of health equity (2025) updates the evidence.

05Monitor

Heat-health and equity watch.

The screen a team would use to follow this subject: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

Heat-health and equity watch

Health equity · Summer season · District 4

Heat-health alert level 3GCRI · Health Nexus

Daily maximum temperature

Outreach to at-risk groups

People over 75 living alone106140On track
Outdoor workers214366Behind
Care homes1692On track

Actions

  1. A-1Open cooling centres, district 4Civil protectiontoday
  2. A-2Adjust outdoor work hoursLabour inspectorate1 d
Heat-health and equity watch: the screen’s structure, terms and states for Health equity.Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
06Reports, standards and contributions

Equity evidence and how communities take part.

Disaggregated analyses are designed for the Country Systems Risk and Resilience series and the Evidence Brief series. Small subgroups are suppressed rather than reported with misleading precision. Communities can contribute accounts of access barriers and corrections to how they are described, through consent-aware routes.

07Twin and cascade simulator

Model health equity as a system. Run the cascade.

Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Health security and One Health: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full System Builder.

Hazards

Controls

  • NS-0 Constitution and principles
  • NS-3 Risk record UNIs (grammar, legacy crosswalk, allocation authority)
  • NS-9 Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)
  • NS-10 Policies and clauses (machine-readable obligations: definition, binding, evaluation and enforcement)
  • NS-11 Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)
  • NRS-H83 Hazard family: Health system capacity failure (NHS-1 health.system)
  • NRS-H42 Hazard family: Rare and persistent human infections (NHS-1 health.other-human)
  • NRS-H41 Hazard family: Animal-to-human spillover (NHS-1 health.zoonotic)
  • NRS-H43 Hazard family: Livestock and aquaculture epizootics (NHS-1 health.animal-health)
  • NRS-D3 Humanitarian response and resilient recovery
  • NRS-H46 Hazard family: Environmental and product harm to people (NHS-1 health.harm)

Observation

  • WHO Disease Outbreak News (listed for reference)
  • WAHIS animal health events (listed for reference)
  • WorldPop gridded population (listed for reference)
  • International Health Regulations capacity and health emergency preparedness
  • Percentage of bloodstream infections due to selected antimicrobial-resistant organisms

Example geography

  • West Africa: 59 hexagonal cells
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
  • Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
  • Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
08Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
UHC service coverage indexindex from zero to one hundredbiennialSDG indicator 3.8.1 from tracer service dataESTIMATED
Catastrophic health spendingpercent of households above the spending thresholdper surveyHousehold budget surveys, SDG indicator 3.8.2ESTIMATED
Travel time to the nearest health facilityminutesper updateFriction surfaces with facility locationsMODELLED
Wealth gap in skilled birth attendancepercentage-point difference between richest and poorest quintilesper surveyDHS and MICS household surveysESTIMATED
Subnational under-five mortalitydeaths per thousand live birthsannualSurveys and vital registration with small-area modelsMODELLED
Population in hazard zones by deprivationpersonsper updateGridded population, hazard layers and deprivation indicesESTIMATED
Completeness of disaggregated reportingpercent of indicators reported by sex, age and placeannualHealth information system auditsREPORTED
09Sector signature

The sector signature of health equity.

The sectors health equity touches and how strongly they depend on each other: what a study has to observe and model together.

Select corners · hover lines6 / 15 relations

Signature

Health and its partners

Health gives workforce for operations to infrastructure (0.3), farm labour to food (0.3) and utility workforce to water (0.2).

W · E · I · F · H · B

Sectors
4 of 6
Relations
6 of 15
Coupling
0.42 share of total

Strongest relations in play

  • Water → Food · irrigation0.8
  • Food → Health · nutrition0.7
  • Infrastructure → Water · pipes, dams and treatment works0.6
  • Water → Health · drinking water and sanitation0.7
Teaching values for a typical city-region, not measurements for any place. Coupling is the summed strength of the relations in play, as a share of all fifteen.
10Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
WHO Health Inequality Data RepositoryHealth indicators disaggregated by dimensions of inequalityOpen, attribution, WHO terms of use
Demographic and Health Surveys and UNICEF MICSHousehold data by wealth, residence, education and sexFree with registration, terms per survey
World Bank Health Equity and Financial Protection IndicatorsService coverage and financial protection by wealth quintileFree and open, attribution (CC BY 4.0)
Malaria Atlas Project accessibility surfacesModelled travel time to health facilitiesFree and open, attribution (CC BY 4.0)
WorldPopGridded population by age and sexFree and open, attribution (CC BY 4.0)
Global Data Lab Subnational Human Development IndexSubnational development, education and health indicesFree, attribution, terms of use
11Methods and evidence

How health equity is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

System model

The couplings between the systems in health equity: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.

++−HealthCommunitiesEconomyR reinforcingB balancing
Causal loop diagram from the page’s systems; signs show the direction of influence. Illustrative structure for a system dynamics or network model, not estimated couplings.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
12Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Health Nexus prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Ministries of healthWhere to place new facilities, outreach and staff to close coverage gapsAccess maps with modelled travel time; disaggregated coverage with uncertainty
Health financing agencies and insurersWhich groups need fee exemptions or subsidised coverage to avoid financial hardshipCatastrophic and impoverishing spending by quintile and region
Local governments and public health agenciesWhich neighbourhoods need priority in heat, flood and outbreak plansExposure overlays with deprivation and service access
National statistics officesWhich identifiers and sample designs are needed to report by population groupCompleteness audits of disaggregated reporting

Outputs this topic produces

  • Access maps of travel-time and cost barriers by population group
  • Disaggregated health profiles with sampling uncertainty stated
  • Overlays of hazard exposure, deprivation and service gaps
  • Equity evidence for proposed investments and measures, prepared for review
13Core questions

What experts ask.

Equity work asks who bears the harm and why.

  • Which groups are most exposed to a hazard, and which are most sensitive to it?
  • Who can reach essential services in time, and who cannot?
  • How do income, housing, occupation, disability, age, gender and legal status shape outcomes?
  • Do emergency measures and service changes reduce or widen existing gaps?
  • Whose data is missing, and what does that hide?
14Mechanisms

Mechanisms and drivers.

Differences in health outcomes arise from differences in exposure (for example, crowded or poorly insulated housing during heat), sensitivity (underlying conditions that are themselves unequally distributed) and capacity to cope (savings, paid leave, transport, information). These social determinants interact, so disadvantage compounds.

Access to care is shaped by distance, cost, opening hours, language, discrimination and trust. When services are disrupted, people with fewer alternatives lose access first and regain it last, and the burden of deferred care falls hardest on those who already had the least.

15Methods and data

How it is studied, and where the methods stop.

Method or dataWhat it showsLimits
Health services access analysisTravel time and cost to services by area and population groupRoad networks and facility data may be outdated; travel modes vary
Disaggregated surveillance and outcome dataDifferences in illness and death between groupsMany systems do not record ethnicity, disability or migration status consistently
Small-area deprivation indicesWhere disadvantage is concentratedArea averages can hide differences within neighbourhoods
Participatory and qualitative researchBarriers people actually faceFindings are context-specific and need careful generalisation
16Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Epidemiology and public health scienceSurveillance design and evaluation · Nowcasting under reporting delayApplied here
  2. Probability and statisticsSurvey-weighted and small-area estimation · Expected baselines for excess mortalityApplied here
  3. Causal inference and impact evaluationEvaluating public health measures · Exposure-response for heat and airApplied here
  4. Data engineering, interoperability and stewardshipLinking health information systems · Privacy-preserving publicationApplied here
17Where this page’s references

Where this page’s references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

18Questions

Questions and answers.

What is the difference between inequality and inequity?
Inequality describes a measured difference in health between groups. Inequity is a difference that is unnecessary, avoidable and unfair. Judging fairness is a social and political decision that evidence informs but does not make.
Why not simply report national averages?
Because averages can improve while some groups fall further behind. Disaggregated indicators, reported with their uncertainty, show who is being left behind and where.
How accurate are travel-time maps?
They are modelled from road networks, land cover and assumed speeds, so they are approximate. They are most useful for comparing places, and least reliable where roads, seasons or insecurity change how people travel.
Is inequality in health the same as inequity?
Not quite. Some differences in health are unavoidable, for example by age. Inequity refers to differences that are avoidable and considered unfair, such as those caused by poverty or discrimination.
Why are access maps useful?
They show where people would struggle to reach care if a facility closed or a road flooded, which helps planners see the consequences of disruption for specific communities.
How is sensitive group data protected?
Health Nexus uses aggregated data under the terms recorded in its source and data register and publishes results at levels that protect individuals.
ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRIHealth NexusGlobal Sector Risk and ResilienceCountry Systems Risk and ResilienceEvidence Brief
Health Nexus

Bring a method, a dataset or a question.

Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

Science · evidence · measurement

Not for profit

Our articles, maps and twins are free to read and free to republish. Readers and partners keep it that way.

Partner with us

Who funds us

GCRI is a not-for-profit institution. To ask who funds a piece of work, use the funding questions form.

Independence

Editors and the expert reviewers named on each article decide what we publish. Funders and partners do not review or approve articles before publication.

Licence

Articles: CC BY 4.0. Figures, maps, twins and data: CC BY 4.0. Other uses: ask through the permissions form.