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과학 워크플로의 AI

Machine learning now enters science at every step: screening literature, designing experiments, analysing images and sequences, emulating simulations and drafting text. Each use can speed discovery and each can introduce errors that look like findings. This page sets out how models are evaluated for scientific use, where leakage, benchmark overfitting and silent drift arise, and what evidence editors, funders and regulators need before they rely on a model-assisted result.

01캔버스

일이 진행되는 방식.

시스템 · 이 주제 주변예시

Testbed operations

AI in scientific workflows · Field lab coast · Campaign 5

Sensors deployedGCRI · Labs

Sensor deployment

예시 해안선

Buoy관측소Gauge바다Bands: tidal rangeN

Sensors

S-01 tide940.0Nominal
S-04 salinity760.4Recalibrate
S-07 wave950.1Nominal

Sensor vs reference

Testbed operations: the screen’s structure, terms and states for AI in scientific workflows.예시 이름과 예시 값으로, 실제 기록이나 운영 중인 시스템이 아닌 설계안입니다.

그림Testbed operations: example names and illustrative values, not a record or a live system.

02질문

AI in scientific workflows: how the risk develops.

Model evaluation and scientific assistance. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

메커니즘

Leakage inflates performance

When information from the test set reaches training, through duplicates, shared patients, neighbouring sites or preprocessing fitted on all the data, a model appears more accurate than it is. Leakage has been documented in many fields that adopted machine learning.

메커니즘

Benchmarks get overfitted

Repeated tuning against the same public benchmark selects models that fit its quirks. Gains on a leaderboard can vanish on new data, and contamination of training corpora with benchmark items makes scores hard to interpret.

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Drift and distribution shift

Instruments, protocols, populations and software change. A model validated on last year’s data or another lab’s scanner can degrade without any visible error. Monitoring after deployment is part of the evaluation, not an extra.

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Generated text and fabricated sources

Language models can produce fluent text, citations and code that are wrong. Unchecked, these errors enter manuscripts, peer reviews and proposals, and spread through citation. Disclosure and verification policies exist because such errors are hard to see.

03방법과 근거

How AI in scientific workflows is modelled, measured and tested.

모형, 그 가정, 데이터, 불확실성을 과학자나 엔지니어가 확인할 형태로 제시합니다. 구조는 발행된 방법을 따릅니다. 제시된 값은 예시이며 결과가 아닙니다.

모형, 방정식 및 가정

The model structure used for AI in scientific workflows, the assumptions it makes and how each is tested.

요소 i의 리스크Ri = f(Hi, Ei, Vi, Ci)재해, 노출, 취약성, 대처 역량
연간 기대 손실EAL = ∑k pk · Lk연간 확률이 pk
결합 시스템xt+1 = A xt + B ut + εtA carries the couplings, u the shock, ε the error
가정만드는 이유시험 방법
한 사건 안에서 재해와 노출은 서로 독립적임손실 적분을 다루기 쉽게 유지함결합 기록에 적합한 코퓰러와 비교
결합은 운전점 근처에서 선형이다충격이 A를 통해 전파되게 함선형 범위를 넘어 섭동을 주고 비교하십시오
취약성 곡선은 장소 간에 옮겨 쓸 수 있다지역 곡선은 거의 없다관측된 손실이 있는 곳에서는 이에 대해 검증
투입 자료
출처 정보가 있는 버전 관리 데이터세트
산출물
분포이며 결코 단일 숫자가 아님
코드
모델 카드 및 시험과 함께 공개
재현
같은 데이터, 코드, 환경과 시드
표준 리스크 및 상태공간 정식화로, 나열된 가정은 해당 방법에 일반적인 것이며 검토를 위해 명시한 것으로 결과가 아닙니다.
FAIR 지침 원칙 · GO FAIR와 FORCE11W3C PROV · 월드 와이드 웹 컨소시엄불확실성의 일관된 처리에 관한 지침 · IPCCCEOS 분석 준비 데이터(Analysis Ready Data) · 지구관측위성위원회
04In the five domains

AI in scientific workflows changes each domain’s methods.

05지표

측정되는 것과 그 정확도.

각 지표에는 단위, 주기, 그 뒤의 출처 종류, 값에 붙을 근거 표시가 있습니다. 값은 표시하지 않습니다. 값은 프로그램이 자체 권한으로 제공합니다.

지표단위주기출처 유형라벨
Held-out evaluation design statedpercent of model-based studies연간Audit against the REFORMS checklist관측
Code and model weights availablepercent of studies with runnable code and weights연간Repository and article audit관측
External validationpercent of models tested on data from another site or period연간Literature review추정
보정 오차expected calibration error, dimensionlessper modelHeld-out evaluation관측
Performance gap under shiftdifference in the primary metric between internal and external test setsper modelValidation reports관측
AI use disclosurepercent of submissions with a disclosure statement연간Journal submission records신고됨
Contamination checks reportedpercent of benchmark evaluation reports연간Evaluation reports보고됨
06출처

근거의 출처.

이름이 명시된 공개 데이터셋과 기관 기록으로, 각각 라이선스 등급이 있습니다. 협약에 따른 출처는 그 조건에 따라서만 사용하며 결코 재게시하지 않습니다.

출처제공하는 것라이선스 등급
OpenMLDatasets, tasks and evaluation runs with standardised splitsOpen, CC BY
Hugging Face Hub model and dataset cardsDocumented models and datasets with stated training data and limitationsLicence per model or dataset
MLCommons benchmarksShared benchmarks and measurement rules for model performanceOpen, Apache 2.0
AI Incident Database (Responsible AI Collaborative)Reported failures and harms of deployed AI 시스템공개, 출처 표시
Software HeritageArchived source code with persistent intrinsic identifiersOpen archive, licence per repository
arXiv metadataPreprints across physics, computing and quantitative biologyMetadata CC0; licence per paper
Zenodo (CERN)Citable deposits of code, models, data and evaluation outputsOpen, licence per record
07결정

누가 결정하며 근거는 무엇에 쓰이는지.

랩 prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

결정 주체질문이 페이지가 제공하는 근거
Journal editors and reviewersWhether a model-based claim rests on an evaluation that excludes leakage and tests generalisationREFORMS or TRIPOD+AI checklist, split design, external validation, code availability
연구 재원 제공 기관Whether applicants and reviewers may use generative AI, and on what disclosure termsFunder policy, disclosure records, documented verification of generated content
Medicines and device regulatorsWhether an AI component in a medical product is validated for its intended usePrespecified evaluation, external validation, predetermined change control plan
Research integrity officesWhether an allegation involving fabricated or generated content is substantiatedProvenance of text, data and code; version history; tool logs

이 주제가 생산하는 산출물

  • Evaluation protocols that fix splits, metrics and baselines before training
  • Model cards and datasheets with intended use, limits and known failure modes
  • Leakage and contamination audits of model-assisted studies
  • Reproducible pipelines with code, weights, environment and data versions archived
08핵심 질문

What experts ask about AI in research.

  • What task is the model doing, and what is it compared against?
  • Was the model evaluated on data independent of the data it was trained or tuned on?
  • How does performance change when conditions shift away from the training data?
  • Can the output be checked by a person or a simpler method, and is it?
  • Which steps of the workflow were assisted, and is that disclosed in the result?
09메커니즘과 동인

Where AI helps and where it misleads.

Machine learning models learn statistical regularities from data. They can be very effective where those regularities are stable and data are plentiful, for example classifying land cover from satellite imagery or emulating a climate model to explore many scenarios. They are weaker where data are sparse, where the system changes over time or where rare events matter most, which describes much of risk science.

Common failure modes are well understood: leakage, where information from the test set reaches training; 분포 변화, where conditions in use differ from those in training; shortcut learning, where a model relies on a spurious cue; and overconfident outputs without calibrated uncertainty. Generative models add the risk of fluent but fabricated content, including citations and code that looks correct but is not.

Workflow effects matter as much as model accuracy. When a tool is used at several stages, small errors can accumulate, and reviewers may give automated outputs more trust than they deserve.

10방법과 데이터

How AI tools are evaluated.

  1. 01

    Held-out and out-of-distribution tests

    Evaluation on data separated by time, place or source. This is the minimum for any claim of generalisation.

  2. 02

    Baselines

    Comparison with simple statistical methods and expert judgement. A complex model that does not beat a simple baseline is not adding value.

  3. 03

    Calibration and uncertainty

    Checks that stated confidence matches observed accuracy, using 불확실성 정량화.

  4. 04

    Provenance and disclosure

    A record of which model, version and prompts or settings were used at each step, so the workflow can be re-run or audited.

Benchmark scores rarely transfer directly to a new research setting, and a model’s behaviour can change between versions. Evaluation is repeated when either the task or the model changes.

11방법

연구되는 방식과 방법이 말할 수 없는 것.

12Where this page’s references

Where this page’s references lead.

이 페이지를 읽을 때 기준이 되는 기구와 문서. 상태와 판은 바뀌며, 각 링크는 발행 기구로 연결됩니다.

13질문

질문과 답변.

What is data leakage?
Any route by which information about the test data influences training or model selection. It makes reported performance higher than the model will achieve on genuinely new data.
Is a high benchmark score enough to publish a method?
Not on its own. Reviewers increasingly expect external validation, uncertainty on the score, ablations and an account of how the benchmark was protected from contamination.
Can a generative AI tool be listed as an author?
COPE and the ICMJE say no, because authorship carries accountability a tool cannot hold. Use of such tools is disclosed in the methods or acknowledgements, under the journal’s policy.
Why publish model weights and code?
So others can rerun the evaluation, test on new data and find errors. Where weights cannot be shared, for privacy or safety, a controlled access route and a stated reason are the accepted alternative.
Does Labs use generative AI to write findings?
Any assisted step is designed to be disclosed. Findings are the responsibility of named researchers, who check every generated claim, citation and line of code.
Can Labs evaluate a commercial AI model?
A model can be evaluated under a published protocol. The result describes performance on the tested task and is not an endorsement or approval.
Why compare with simple baselines?
Because complex models often appear impressive on benchmarks but add little over a well-chosen simple method on real research data.
보고서기여하기

이 페이지에서 증거를 기여하십시오.

보고서 is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRI랩Labs 근거방법 및 기술
랩

방법, 데이터세트 또는 질문을 가져오십시오.

정보와 문의는 오늘부터 열려 있습니다. 문의에는 참조 번호가 부여되고 다음 단계가 안내됩니다. 신청, 결제, 컴퓨팅 할당, 등록은 해당 팀, 약관, 심사 역량이 갖추어졌을 때만 열립니다.