Data appendix

The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.

9 min read0 figures7 tables23 notesNR-COUNTRY-RUS-2026-BASELINE

Contents

B.1The indicator set

Table B.1Baseline indicator set
Indicator	Value	Unit	Year	State	Source
Population, Rosstat preliminary	146.0	million	1 Jan 2025	Reported	²³
Population, UN-based series	143.5	million	2025	Reported	¹²
Aged 65 or over	17.8	%	2025	Reported	¹³
Life expectancy at birth	73.4	years	2024	Reported	¹⁴
Births and deaths, national	Not bound	count	n/a	NOT BOUND	Rosstat
Heat-attributable deaths	Not bound	deaths	n/a	NOT BOUND	Rosstat · Ministry of Health
GDP growth	1.0	%	2025	Reported	²⁰
1990 net base year, NDC	2,427.2	Mt CO₂e	1990	Reported	¹
2035 ceiling, upper end (derived)	1,626	Mt CO₂e	2035	Inferred	¹
2035 ceiling, lower end (derived)	1,578	Mt CO₂e	2035	Inferred	¹
Latest national net emissions	Not bound	Mt CO₂e	n/a	NOT BOUND	UNFCCC inventory²
Electricity generation, unified system	1,166	TWh	2025	Reported	⁸
Thermal share of generation	57.5	%	2025	Reported	⁸
Gas share of primary energy	53	%	2023	Reported	⁹
Crude oil production	9.2	million b/d	2024	Reported	⁹
Grain harvest, Rosstat excl. new regions	141.2	Mt	2025	Reported	²²
Prevalence of undernourishment	≤2.5	%	2024	Reported	¹⁹
Safely managed drinking water	76.3	%	2024	Reported	¹⁷
Freshwater withdrawal share of internal resources	1.5	%	2022	Reported	¹⁸
Forest share of land	50.8	%	2024	Reported	¹⁵
Protected areas, terrestrial and marine	8.6	% of territory	2025	Reported	¹⁶
Reservoir storage, main basins	Not bound	%	n/a	NOT BOUND	Rosvodresursy
Wildfire area, full season	Not bound	million ha	n/a	NOT BOUND	Federal Forestry Agency

Indicators, CSV Indicators, JSON

B.2National source register

The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.

Domains bound by the register

Table B.3National source register
Source	Category	Coverage	Period	Cadence	Role
Second NDC¹	government	national	1990 to 2023	periodic	CLI · BIO
Inventory submission 2026²	UNFCCC submission	national	1990 to 2024	annual	CLI
Climate report 2025⁵⁶	national technical authority	national	2025	annual	CLI
Power operating data⁸	system operator	national	2025	annual	ENE
Energy country analysis⁹	foreign government agency	national	2023 to 2024	periodic	ENE · TRD
Grain releases²¹²²	national statistics	national	2025	annual	FOO
Population estimate²³	national statistics	national	2025	annual	HLT
Seismic record²⁵	geological survey	event	2025	per event	SEI
Flood reports²⁶	press citing officials	regional	2024	per event	WAT
Indicator series¹² to²⁰	international organisation	national	2022 to 2025	annual	profile

B.3Regional reading, Russian Federation by federal district

Map plates for every federal subject follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form.

Table B.4Regional reading, Russian Federation by federal district
Region	Principal hazards	Systems most exposed	Baseline evidence
Central	heat, flood, smoke	power demand, grain, cities	temperature record 2025⁶
Northwestern	not bound	not bound	not bound
Southern and North Caucasian	not bound	not bound	not bound
Volga	spring flood, dam failure, heat	water, housing, grain	Orsk 2024²⁶; temperature record 2025⁶
Ural and Siberian	permafrost thaw, wildfire, cold	energy, northern infrastructure	Norilsk 2020³²
Far Eastern	earthquake, tsunami, wildfire	ports, coastal communities, forest	Kamchatka 2025²⁵; Zabaikalsky fires 2025²⁷

B.4Atlas card, Orenburg Region (Ural River basin)

region
river basin
spring flood
dam safety

Systems in view: water, housing, roads and emergency response
Defining events: dam failure at Orsk on 5 April 2024; river level 9.6 m against a design level of 5.5 m²⁶
Couplings: CLI → WAT → INF; WAT → HLT
Capability evidence: federal emergency declared; evacuation of more than 7,700 people²⁶
Gaps: deaths and damage in official form; dam condition register; recovery progress
Agenda items: A-05

The Orsk dam was built for 5.5 m and the Ural River reached 9.6 m on 5 April 2024.

WATER

A dam below the event level

Press reports citing regional officials gave 6,793 houses affected across the Orenburg Region.

HOUSING

Thousands of homes affected

More than 7,700 people were evacuated across the region, and the federal government declared an emergency.

PEOPLE

Evacuation at scale

B.5Russian Federation system card

The card through which the Russian Federation appears in the Eurasia regional edition and the global series. It summarises; it does not rank.

Table B.5Russian Federation system card
System	Baseline state	Coupling to watch	Coverage
Water	abundant resource; dam safety event at Orsk	flood into infrastructure	PARTIAL
Energy	thermal 57.5% of power; large fossil exports	cold extremes and export shifts	GOOD
Food	grain harvest 141.2 Mt	heat, inputs and logistics	PARTIAL
Health	ageing; series narrowed	heat and smoke load	THIN
Biodiversity	forest on 50.8% of land	fire and thaw	PARTIAL

Context

Archetype: large continental economy with boreal forest, permafrost and energy and grain exports
Population: 146.0 million (Rosstat preliminary, 1 January 2025)²³
Trade: crude oil about 11% of world exports in 2023⁹; grain harvest 141.2 Mt in 2025²²
Hazard: Kamchatka earthquake of magnitude 8.8, 29 July 2025²⁵

Russian Federation’s card sits beside its neighbours’; shared basins, grids, corridors and supply chains are read as one regional system.

EURASIA REGIONAL EDITION

One regional system

Russian evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers, so a correction travels everywhere at once.

GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES

Same findings, same IDs

In the global edition the Russian Federation is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.

GLOBAL FLAGSHIP

Peers, not ranks

B.6Licences

Table B.6Licences of each kind of material
Material	Licence
Text	CC BY 4.0
Data	on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0
Figures	Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited
Maps	boundary source and licence printed on each plate
Metadata	CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it
Third-party data, figures and text	The source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed
Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.

B.7Formats and provenance

Table B.7This edition in every format
Format	Kind	State	What it is	Identifier
Web edition	HTML	On this site	Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.	NR-COUNTRY-RUS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Print edition	PDF	At release	A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.	NR-COUNTRY-RUS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Indicator data	CSV · JSON	On this site	23 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.	NR-COUNTRY-RUS-2026-BASELINE data release v1
Figures	SVG · PNG	On this site	4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.	FIG-COUNTRY-RUS-2026-BASELINE-*
Slides	PDF	Not recorded	No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
Evidence brief	HTML · PDF	Not recorded	No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
Dataset with DOI	DataCite	At release	Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

Provenance

Edition pack: The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
Evidence cut: NQ-RUS-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
Reproducibility: sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
Self-check: 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
Review: five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
Publisher of record: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
Corrections: Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

23Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) (ed.), Preliminary population estimate as of 1 January 2025, as reported by TASS, 31 January 2025.back
12World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: population, total (SP.POP.TOTL), Russian Federation. Data vintage of 8 October 2026. World Bank, Washington.back
13World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: population ages 65 and above (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS), Russian Federation. Data vintage of 8 October 2026. World Bank, Washington.back
14World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: life expectancy at birth (SP.DYN.LE00.IN), Russian Federation. Data vintage of 8 October 2026. World Bank, Washington.back
20World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: GDP growth (NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG), Russian Federation. Data vintage of 8 October 2026. World Bank, Washington.back
1Government of the Russian Federation (ed.), Second Nationally Determined Contribution of the Russian Federation. Submission to the UNFCCC, Moscow, September 2025.back
2UNFCCC secretariat (ed.), Russian Federation: 2026 National Inventory Document and Common Reporting Tables, 1990 to 2024. Submitted 25 June 2026. UNFCCC, Bonn, 2026.back
8System Operator of the Unified Energy System (ed.), Operating results of the unified energy system in 2025, as reported by TASS, 14 January 2026.back
9U.S. Energy Information Administration (ed.), Russia: country analysis brief. EIA, Washington, last updated 24 July 2025.back
22Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) (ed.), Grain and wheat harvest 2025, excluding new regions, as reported by Interfax, 24 August 2026.back
19World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: prevalence of undernourishment (SN.ITK.DEFC.ZS), Russian Federation. Data vintage of 8 October 2026. World Bank, Washington.back
17World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: people using safely managed drinking water services (SH.H2O.SMDW.ZS), Russian Federation. Data vintage of 8 October 2026. World Bank, Washington.back
18World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: freshwater withdrawals (ER.H2O.FWTL.ZS) and renewable internal freshwater per capita (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), Russian Federation. Data vintage of 8 October 2026. World Bank, Washington.back
15World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: forest area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), Russian Federation. Data vintage of 8 October 2026. World Bank, Washington.back
16World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: terrestrial and marine protected areas (ER.PTD.TOTL.ZS), Russian Federation. Data vintage of 8 October 2026. World Bank, Washington.back
38United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (ed.), World Population Prospects 2024. United Nations, New York, 2024.back
5Roshydromet (ed.), Report on climate features on the territory of the Russian Federation in 2025. Roshydromet, Moscow, February 2026.back
6The Moscow Times (ed.), “2025 was Russia’s second warmest year on record.” The Moscow Times, 2026, reporting the Roshydromet annual climate report.back
21Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) (ed.), Preliminary grain harvest 2025 in the socio-economic situation report, as reported by TASS, 26 December 2025.back
25U.S. Geological Survey (ed.), M 8.8, 2025 Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia Earthquake, event us6000qw60. USGS, Reston, 29 July 2025.back
26Al Jazeera (ed.), “Russia evacuates 4,000 people after dam bursts, floods near Kazakh border,” 6 April 2024; WAM (ed.), “Over 7,700 people evacuated from flooded areas in Russia’s Orenburg Region,” April 2024.back
32S. Rajendran et al., “Monitoring oil spill in Norilsk, Russia using satellite data,” Scientific Reports, vol. 11, 2021.back
27The Moscow Times (ed.), “Russia sees milder wildfire season so far in 2025 but experts warn against complacency,” reporting official figures through August 2025 via Kedr.back

Cite this annex

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Annex B: Data appendix. In Russian Federation Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of the Russian Federation’s Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-RUS-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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