GCRI · Reports
Foresight Outlook
Foresight Outlook explores plausible futures over horizons beyond current planning, to surface risks and opportunities that present analysis would miss.
The order things happen in.
- 01Draftsources cited, labels attached
- 02Evidence checkevery value traced
- 03Independent reviewconflicts declared
- 04Editionpublished with its limits
- 05Correctiona new version, never a silent edit
Platforms that contribute.
What the series covers and at what unit.
Editions use structured foresight (horizon scanning, scenarios, cross-impact analysis) and state the assumptions behind each scenario.
| Element | In this series |
|---|---|
| Unit of analysis | A theme over a ten- to thirty-year horizon |
| Method | Horizon scanning, scenario development, cross-impact analysis, expert elicitation with stated protocol |
What an edition of this series does not do.
- Predict the future or assign probabilities to scenarios without a basis.
- Present one scenario as preferred.
- Replace national foresight processes.
The Foundry systems an edition draws on.
What each system is designed to supply to Foresight Outlook; an edition cites a record only once it exists and has passed review.
| System | Rooms | Designed to supply |
|---|---|---|
| NXS-DSS (decision cases and deliberation) | Scenarios | Reproducible alternative futures over long horizons |
| NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) | Fusion | The weak signals fused from heterogeneous observations |
No edition is scheduled yet.
This series has no edition in the Baseline programme. Its editors commission editions from the first operational quarter. A planned edition is never shown as released.
Where the series’ subjects are taught.
Risk Academy, led by the Nexus Consortium, teaches the subjects of Foresight Outlook in these disciplines; the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) links to the Academy as a partner and does not provide its courses.
Where this page’s references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Questions and answers.
Who decides what is published?
Bring a method, a dataset or a question.
Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.
Legal documents.
Maps, data and figures on this site are shown for context and general information. They are not advice, forecasts or warnings; the limits of the information are set out in the Disclaimers and Data Notices.