GCRI · 量子技術
量子産業
Quantum technology is moving from laboratories into firms that build hardware, software, components and services, supported by large public and private investment. Revenues are small relative to expectations, many products are prototypes, and supply chains for specialised components are thin. This page sets out how quantum industries are developing, how their activity is measured without hype, and what evidence serves investors, governments and buyers.
作業の進め方。
ポスト量子移行追跡ツール
Quantum industries · Crypto inventory · Wave 4
移住
- 目録暗号すべて
- 優先順位をつけるデータの寿命
- 選択する標準アルゴリズム
- ハイブリッド展開従来型と PQC
- 試験相互運用性
- 切り替え退役
優先度別のシステム
| アーカイブの署名 | RSA-2048 | 28 | ML-DSA ハイブリッド | 試験運用 |
| VPN ゲートウェイ | ECDH | 10 | ML-KEM ハイブリッド | 計画中 |
| 決済 HSM | RSA-3072 | 10 | ベンダーのロードマップ | 阻害中 |
| Web TLS | ECDHE | 3 | ハイブリッド鍵交換 | 完了 |
進捗
図Post-quantum migration tracker: example names and illustrative values, not a record or a live system.
Quantum industries: how the risk develops.
Potential supply chains and applications. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.
Investment precedes revenue
Public programmes and venture capital fund firms years before products earn significant revenue. Expectations can run ahead of technical progress.
Enablers form a supply chain
Cryogenics, lasers, control electronics and photonic components are supplied by specialised firms, often few per component.
Cloud access shapes the market
Most users access quantum hardware through cloud services, which lets them experiment without owning machines.
Policy drives location
National strategies, procurement and export controls shape where firms locate and who they can sell to.
How quantum industries is modelled, measured and tested.
モデル、その仮定、データ、不確実性を、科学者やエンジニアが確認する形で示します。構造は公表された手法に従っています。描かれた値は例示であり、知見ではありません。
システム・モデル
The couplings between the systems in quantum industries: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.
Quantum industries are early, and claims outrun evidence.
Industry analyses are designed for the Exponential Technology series. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) assesses no vendor and gives no investment view; it reports evidence and its gaps.
- Benchmarks published with methods.
- Independent replications.
何を、どの程度うまく測定しているか。
各指標には、その単位、更新頻度、背後にある出典の種類、値が持つことになるエビデンスのラベルが付いています。値は表示しません：プログラムが自らの権限のもとで値を提供します。
| 指標 | 単位 | 周期 | 出典の種類 | ラベル |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public funding announced for quantum | currency units | 年次 | Government announcements | 申告済み |
| Private investment in quantum firms | currency units | 年次 | Investment databases | 報告値 |
| Quantum firms by segment | 件数 | 年次 | Industry surveys | 報告値 |
| Quantum patents filed | 件数 | 年次 | Patent databases | 観測 |
| Quantum hardware accessible via cloud | count of システム | 年次 | Provider documentation | 申告済み |
| Revenue of quantum firms | currency units | 年次 | Company reports | 報告値 |
エビデンスの出所。
名前の明示された公開データセットと機関の記録。それぞれにライセンス区分があります。合意に基づく出典は、その条件のもとでのみ使用し、再公開することはありません。
| 出典 | 提供するもの | ライセンス区分 |
|---|---|---|
| OECD quantum technologies policy primer and related work | Policy, investment and industry overview | Public, OECD terms |
| Patent data from WIPO PATENTSCOPE and EPO Espacenet | Patent filings by technology and applicant | Free access, terms per office |
| Company filings of listed quantum firms | Revenue and risk disclosures | 公的記録 |
| Government quantum strategy documents | Announced public funding | Public records, licence per government |
| Industry market reports | Firm counts and investment | Commercial; public summaries (to check) |
誰が決め、エビデンスが何に役立つか。
Quantum Technologies prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.
| 誰が決定するか | 質問 | このページが提供するエビデンス |
|---|---|---|
| Governments and economic agencies | Which parts of the quantum industry to support | Industry maps; supply chain analyses |
| Investors | How to read industry claims and progress | Revenue and technical evidence |
| Buyers of quantum services | Which services are mature enough to use | Cloud access and benchmark evidence |
このトピックが生み出す成果物
- Industry maps by segment and component
- Investment and revenue tracking with sources stated
- Supply chain dependency analyses
- Evidence notes separating announced from spent funding
専門家が問うこと。
Industry questions separate near-term reality from long-term potential.
- Which applications are commercially real today, and which depend on future fault-tolerant machines?
- Where are critical components made, and how concentrated is supply?
- How dependent is the industry on public funding and on a few large technology firms?
- What happens to firms, investors and regions if expectations are not met on schedule?
- How do export controls and research security rules shape markets?
メカニズムと要因。
Quantum sensing and timing already have markets. Quantum computing is mainly sold as cloud access for research and exploration, and quantum key distribution serves niche uses. Many larger applications depend on capabilities that do not yet exist, so valuations rest heavily on expectation, which makes the industry sensitive to shifts in sentiment.
Supply chains rely on specialised inputs: dilution refrigerators, lasers, photonic chips, isotopically enriched materials and control electronics, often from few suppliers. Governments treat quantum as strategic, investing heavily and restricting exports of some equipment, which shapes where firms locate and who can access technology.
どのように研究され、手法がどこで止まるか。
| 手法またはデータ | 表示内容 | 限界 |
|---|---|---|
| Supply-chain mapping | Concentration and single points of failure | Firm-level data is often confidential |
| Investment and funding data | Scale and direction of capital | Announcements may not reflect committed funds |
| Technology readiness assessment | How mature an application is | Readiness scales are subjective |
| Case studies of adoption | How organisations actually use quantum services | Few cases, often reported by vendors |
Where this page’s references lead.
このページの読解の基準となる機関と文書。状態と版は変わります。各リンクは発行機関へ移動します。
質問と回答。
How big is the quantum industry?
What are quantum enabling technologies?
Can organisations use quantum computers today?
Is the quantum industry a bubble?
Which quantum products are on the market today?
Does the platform give investment advice?
このページからエビデンスを提供する。
報告書 is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
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