GCRI · How Nexus works
Decide
The decision belongs to the competent authority or institution, under its own rules. GCRI’s part ends at handing over evidence, options and their limits in a form the decision-holder can use and others can audit.
This step sits outside the programme.
The decision is taken by the competent authority under its own rules; the six pillars, led by the Nexus Consortium, supply evidence and options and do not decide.
handoff in playrecorded handoffno direct handoff
Programme yearAll phases
Route
The whole programme
Every pillar hands its work to another; together they close the year’s feedback loops.
L · F · U · S · R · A
- Pillars
- 6 of 6
- Handoffs
- 18 of 18
- Loops
- 17 closed
Handoffs in play
- F01Universe → Foundry · Admitted mission becomes a cycle project with a decision caseReadiness preparation
- F02Foundry → Universe · Core Build Report and go or no-go evidenceControlled build
- F03Foundry → Reports · Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profileCloseout
- F04Universe → Reports · After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13After-action review
and 14 more
- LabsWhere questions become experiments and prototypes: new methods, data and tools are tried in the open, with their limits on record, before the Foundry builds them, under the Nexus Consortium.Labs at GCRI: Labs
- FoundryWhere methods, data and models become reproducible builds, each run with its inputs, version and limits on record.Foundry at GCRI: Foundry
- UniverseWhere a build is tested under controlled conditions with independent evaluators, so a method’s skill is measured, not assumed.Universe at GCRI: Universe technical officeuniverse.nexus
- Nexus StandardsWhere methods, identifiers and data schemas are codified in the open and corrected when a test finds a fault.Nexus Standards
- ReportsWhere findings are published with their method, uncertainty and evidence class, and corrected as new versions.Reports at GCRI: PublishReports
- Risk AcademyWhere methods and systems are taught on real data and real places, by working the case, on Risk Academy.Risk Academy
What a decision-holder receives.
| Item | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| The question as framed, with its criteria | So the decision-holder can see whether it was the right question |
| Options with consequences and uncertainty | Decision analysis compares options, it does not choose among them |
| Evidence labels and limits | So a modelled result is not acted on as an observation |
| What would change the answer | Triggers for revisiting the decision as monitoring data arrive |
Under the Sendai Framework, disaster risk governance is a national responsibility shared with local government and other stakeholders. Evidence from the cycle feeds that governance; it does not substitute for it.
The workspace for the decide step.
Action week
Universe · the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) · Week 27 · Example interface, not a record
Tracks
controlled sessions
Observer notes
- O-1Escalation path unclear between cellsTrack 14 h
- O-2Data hand-off worked as designedTrack 21 h
- O-3Public message drafted before verificationTrack 34 h
GCRI · Action week. Action week: example names and illustrative values, not a record.
NXS-RLS records who decided what.
Where a competent body chooses to record a decision taken on cycle evidence, the record names the body, the mandate, the date and the evidence version it relied on. That record is what makes the renew step possible: when the evidence is corrected, the decisions that relied on it can be found. Authenticated is not authorised, and an analyst’s access to a build gives no decision right.
How the process runs.
Process
Decide: Deliberation to decision
A dialogue question gets an accountable owner, evidence and financial readings; deliberation is recorded with dissent, and the accountable decider decides.
01 Question and evidence
- 01Frame the question with an accountable ownerRecord · The Global Risks ForumGRF frames dialogue questions, with GCRI consulted and the Global Risks Alliance (GRA) where finance is involved. The question note names an accountable owner.
- 02Evidence briefRecord · GCRIGCRI prepares an evidence brief with labels, sources and limits. GRF and GRA are informed.
- 03Financial reading, where finance is involvedRecord · The Global Risks AllianceWhere a record has financial implications, GRA supplies a financial reading as an options note. It is never a transaction or an approval.
02 Dialogue
- 04Who takes part, and with what authorityComponentForum design asks who the audience is, who should participate, who should not, and what authority, if any, speakers carry.
- 05Dialogue and deliberationExercise · The Global Risks Forum; councilsCouncils decide by consensus on the record, with dissent recorded. Evidence producers, deliberators and funders stay distinguishable.
- 06Options and recommendationRecord · The decision ownerThe Decisions room keeps the decision case, options, criteria, appraisal run and recommendation as records.
03 Record
- 07Deliberation recorded before findings move onRecord · The councilCouncil deliberation on exercise findings is recorded before findings go to Reports. Approved minutes are published, with dissent.
04 Decision
- 08Accountable decider decidesDecision · The accountable deciderCouncils recommend within a published scope and take no public-authority decisions. Each decision has one accountable decider.
- 09Follow-up route and recordRecordEvery forum has a follow-up route. Records state what was concluded, if anything, and what remains unresolved.
Councils · The Global Risks Forum · The global levelDesigned programme process, not a record of operation. No cycle has run and every programme is at service level R0. A gate is a programme decision, never a public-authority approval, certification or deployment authorisation. No council is constituted.
Each pillar’s contribution.
Then: renew.
Where this page’s references lead.
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