Conservation and restoration spend public and private money on the expectation that interventions work. Causal inference tests that expectation, estimating what protected areas, payments, restoration and policy changes achieved compared with what would have happened without them. Without that comparison, background trends are easily mistaken for success.
What causal inference and impact evaluation does here.
Causal inference and impact evaluation develop methods to determine whether and how interventions or exposures cause outcomes. They separate genuine effects from correlation. In biodiversity and nature, climate and hazards and oceans and coasts, causal inference shows whichکەمکردنەوەی مەترسییmeasures actually work. It supports allocating resources toward interventions with demonstrated effect across connected risks. The canonical description is onSTEM Commons.
Protected area effectiveness
Protected sites are matched to unprotected sites with similar slope, remoteness and pressure, and differences in forest loss or species trends are estimated with sensitivity to hidden bias.
Restoration and payment programme evaluation
Difference-in-differences and synthetic control designs compare enrolled land with comparable land outside a programme, before and after it starts.
Policy and supply-chain commitments
Staggered adoption of moratoria, regulations or zero-deforestation commitments is used to estimate effects on clearing and on displacement of clearing to other areas.
03ڕێگا و بەڵگە
How impact evaluation for conservation is modelled, measured and tested.
پرەنسیپە ڕێنماییەکانی FAIR · GO FAIR و FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web Consortiumڕێنمایی بۆ مامەڵەی یەکسان لەگەڵ نادڵنیاییەکان · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
04داتا
What the method consumes.
Datasets and records used by causal inference and impact evaluation on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed inthe source register.
داتا
ڕۆڵ
ناونیشان
Global Forest Change and national land-cover series
Outcome measures
چاودێریکراو
Protected Planet boundaries and designation dates
Treatment timing and extent
DECLARED
Programme enrolment records
Treatment assignment
REPORTED
Terrain, access and land-use covariates
Matching and adjustment
مەزەندەکراو
05پرۆسە
چۆن پرۆسەکە کار دەکات.
Process explorer · Process
Impact evaluation for conservation: PRISMA 2020 review reporting
10 steps·4 قۆناغ
پرۆسە
Impact evaluation for conservation: PRISMA 2020 review reporting
PRISMA 2020 is a reporting guideline for systematic reviews; the steps follow its checklist, not a mandated sequence, and no Nexus document adopts it.
01 Plan
01Registration and protocolRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for registration details, access to the protocol and any amendments.
02Eligibility criteriaRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for the inclusion and exclusion criteria and how studies were grouped.
02 Find and select
03Search: sources and strategiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the information sources and the full search strategies. It does not fix which sources are used.
04Selection of studiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how studies were judged eligible, including how many reviewers screened. It does not fix the number of reviewers.
05Flow diagramتۆمارThe flow diagram shows the number of records found, the number of studies included and the reasons for exclusion.
03 Analyse
06Data collectionStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how data were collected from reports and which data items were sought.
07Risk of biasStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods and tools used to assess risk of bias.
08SynthesisModel · The review teamThe guideline asks for the effect measures and the synthesis methods. It does not prescribe meta-analysis.
09Certainty of evidenceStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods used to assess certainty, and reports the result per outcome. It does not name a grading scale.
04 Report
10Review reportتۆمارThe guideline helps authors report why the review was done, what they did and what they found.
ReportsOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.
06پشتڕاستکردنەوە
How results are checked.
Identification assumptions are probed through placebo tests, falsification checks andsensitivity analysis. Replication across settings tests external validity.
بپشکنە
How it is done
Covariate balance
Treated and comparison units are compared on observed characteristics before effects are estimated
Placebo and pre-trend tests
Effects are tested in periods and places where none should exist
Sensitivity to hidden bias
Results state how strong an unobserved confounder would need to be to change the conclusion
Spillover and leakage
Neighbouring areas are examined for displaced pressure
Unobserved confounding and spillovers can bias estimates. Effects found in one context may not transfer to another.
What are the limits of causal inference and impact evaluation in this field?
Unobserved confounding and spillovers can bias estimates. Effects found in one context may not transfer to another.
How are results checked?
Identification assumptions are probed through placebo tests, falsification checks and sensitivity analysis. Replication across settings tests external validity.
Are the values on this page real?
The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method’s use, not a run; no result is reported here.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
GCRIBiodiversity Nexusمەترسی و خۆڕاگریی کەرتی جیهانیئاماژەی چاودێرگە
Editors and the expert reviewers named on each article decide what we publish. Funders and partners do not review or approve articles before publication.
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