GCRI · Biodiversity Nexus

Ecosystem integrity

Ecosystem integrity is the degree to which an ecosystem’s composition, structure and function remain within the range of its natural variation. Integrity erodes gradually through degradation, then can collapse when a threshold is crossed: a reef that shifts to algae, a forest edge that becomes savanna, a clear lake that turns turbid. This page sets out how condition is measured against a reference, how thresholds are recognised, and what the evidence can and cannot tell the authorities that manage land and sea.

02The question

Ecosystem integrity: how the risk develops.

Habitat condition and ecological thresholds. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Degradation accumulates quietly

Logging, grazing, pollution, invasive species and altered fire or flow regimes each remove a little structure or function. Condition declines long before extent does, so an ecosystem can look intact on a land-cover map while losing its species and processes.

Mechanism

Thresholds and regime shifts

Reinforcing feedbacks hold an ecosystem in one state until a driver pushes it past a threshold. Shallow lakes, kelp forests, coral reefs and rainforest margins can flip to a degraded state that persists even after the pressure eases.

Mechanism

Pressures compound

Warming, nutrient enrichment, fragmentation and harvesting interact. A reef weakened by runoff recovers more slowly from a marine heatwave; a fragmented forest dries and burns more readily. Combined effects are often larger than the sum of their parts.

Mechanism

Loss propagates to people

Lost integrity reduces the services ecosystems supply: water regulation, soil stability, fisheries, pollination and carbon storage. Those reductions reach water utilities, farms, insurers and lenders through supply chains, asset values and public budgets.

03Geography

Habitat condition in the Amazon Basin.

Vegetation, land cover and plant growth over the Amazon Basin, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Habitat condition, for this page

About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds leave gaps)
Source
MODIS Terra EVI (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite index; clouds leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-13
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite vegetation index for the 8 days to the date shown, a habitat condition indicator; not a measure of species or biodiversity.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Modelled (latest year GIBS publishes)
Source
MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1) (NASA LP DAAC)
Provider
NASA LP DAAC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
yearly; Satellite classification; latest year GIBS publishes
Newest at build
2024-01-01
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite land cover classes for the year shown, including croplands; a classification with known errors, not a farm register.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Modelled (latest 8-day period GIBS publishes)
Source
MODIS Aqua GPP (MYD17) (NASA LP DAAC)
Provider
NASA LP DAAC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
8-day; Satellite-driven model; latest 8-day period GIBS publishes
Newest at build
2026-09-30
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Model estimate of carbon taken up by plants over the 8-day period shown; an indicator of growth, not harvest or production.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite image
Newest at build
2026-10-14
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite image. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds and overpass timing leave gaps)
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS) (NASA LANCE FIRMS)
Provider
NASA LANCE FIRMS
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite detection; clouds and overpass timing leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-13
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite hot-spot detections for the day shown, including gas flares and industrial heat; not a confirmed fire, an incident report or a warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Estimated
Source
Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University))
Provider
NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University)
Licence
CC BY 4.0
Vintage
null; Census-based estimate, static (2020)
Resolution
about 1 km grid
Uncertainty
Census-based estimate of people per square kilometre in 2020, shown as exposure context; not a count of people affected by any hazard.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Habitat condition, framed on the Amazon Basin.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERTSources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), VIIRS 375 m active fire product, NASA LANCE; vector tiles via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Observed (EO): NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Optional layers (6 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Enhanced vegetation index, rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra EVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Gross primary production, 8-day total: MODIS Aqua GPP (MYD17), NASA LP DAAC · 30 Sep 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Active fires and thermal anomalies: VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS), NASA LANCE FIRMS · 13 Oct 2026
  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static

04Couplings

Ecosystem integrity underpins water, food and health services.

DomainHow it couples hereWhat to watch
WaterForests, wetlands and soils regulate flow and quality. See catchment hydrology.Condition of headwater ecosystems
FoodPollination, pest control and soil fertility. See soil and land.Natural habitat near cropland
HealthIntact ecosystems regulate disease; degradation can raise spillover risk. See One Health.Land-use change at disease hotspots
EnergyEnergy infrastructure and mining fragment ecosystems.Footprint of energy and mining sites

Integrity is described by extent, condition and function. The IUCN Global Ecosystem Typology (Keith and others, 2022) gives a common classification; the IUCN Red List of Ecosystems assesses risk of collapse; the UN SEEA Ecosystem Accounting, adopted in 2021, records extent and condition in accounts. Goal A of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (2022) targets the integrity of ecosystems.

05Monitor

LEAP workspace.

The screen a team would use to follow this subject: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

LEAP workspace

Ecosystem integrity · Landscape A · Assessment cycle 1

Evaluate phaseGCRI · Biodiversity Nexus

LEAP approach

  1. Locateinterface with nature
  2. Evaluatedependencies · impacts
  3. Assessrisks · opportunities
  4. Preparerespond · report

Dependencies and impacts

materiality, 0 low to 100 high

Scores are examples for an assessment the owner completes.

Sensitive locations

sites near high-integrity areas

Circle: site footprint · shaded: sensitive areaN

Nature-related risk register

Water scarcity at site 3Physical, acuteAbstraction and droughtHighWater stewardship plan
Habitat conversion in supply chainTransition, marketLand use changeMediumSupplier screening
Community objectionSystemic, socialConsent gapsMediumConsent records review
Pollinator declinePhysical, chronicPesticide useLowMonitor
LEAP workspace: the screen’s structure, terms and states for Ecosystem integrity.Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
06Reports, standards and contributions

Integrity evidence and contributions.

Ecosystem condition analyses are designed for the Country Systems Risk and Resilience series. Condition datasets would carry NS-3b metadata under the proposed Nexus Standards. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) designates no protected area and assesses no project for approval. Useful contributions: field condition surveys, ecosystem maps with accuracy and local knowledge shared with consent.

07Twin and cascade simulator

Model ecosystem integrity as a system. Run the cascade.

Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Biodiversity and nature risk standards: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full System Builder.

Hazards

  • Deforestation
  • Biodiversity loss (set off downstream)
  • Soil erosion (set off downstream)
  • Land-system change boundary transgression (set off downstream)
  • Amazon rainforest dieback (set off downstream)
  • Slope slide (set off downstream)
  • Flash flood (set off downstream)
  • Zoonotic spillover event (set off downstream)
  • Wildfire (set off downstream)
  • Emerging arbovirus outbreak (set off downstream)
  • Malaria resurgence (set off downstream)

Controls

  • NS-0 Constitution and principles
  • NS-1 The UNI and the artefact catalogue (grammar v0.2: domain, sector, region and environment segments)
  • NS-3 Risk record UNIs (grammar, legacy crosswalk, allocation authority)
  • NS-3b Dataset and product metadata profile (STAC, DCAT, PROV-O)
  • NS-5 Figure, map and visualisation standard (with the UI/UX kit)
  • NS-9 Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)
  • NS-11 Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)
  • NRS-N5 Biodiversity and nature risk and resilience
  • NRS-H65 Hazard family: Planetary boundary transgressions (NHS-1 planet.boundary)
  • NRS-H27 Hazard family: Biodiversity and species stress (NHS-1 eco.species)
  • NRS-H26 Hazard family: Land and wetland degradation (NHS-1 eco.land)
  • NRS-H28 Hazard family: Climate-state shifts (NHS-1 eco.climate-state)
  • NRS-H64 Hazard family: Ecosystem regime shifts (NHS-1 eco.regime-shift)

Observation

  • GBIF occurrence API and downloads (listed for reference)
  • World Database on Protected and Conserved Areas (listed for reference)
  • Global Forest Watch tree cover loss (Hansen/UMD) and alerts (listed for reference)
  • ESA WorldCover 10 m land cover (listed for reference)
  • Copernicus Land Monitoring Service products (listed for reference)
  • Red List Index
  • Forest area as a proportion of total land area
  • Proportion of important sites for terrestrial and freshwater biodiversity covered by protected areas

Example geography

  • Pacific Island states: 150 hexagonal cells
  • Vegetation disturbance alerts, 30 m (OPERA DIST-ALERT), NASA GIBS
  • Surface soil moisture (SMAP), NASA GIBS
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
  • Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
08Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Ecosystem extent by typesquare kilometres per Global Ecosystem Typology unitannualSatellite classification and national mapsOBSERVED
Biodiversity Intactness Indexpercent of reference-state abundanceperiodicStatistical model on compiled field surveysMODELLED
Forest Landscape Integrity Indexdimensionless indexperiodicRemote sensing of pressures and connectivityMODELLED
Red List of Ecosystems risk categorycategory from least concern to collapsedper assessmentIUCN Red List of Ecosystems assessmentsPublished statistics
Ecosystem condition indexdimensionless, relative to reference conditionper accounting periodSEEA Ecosystem Accounting condition accountsESTIMATED
Human footprintdimensionless pressure scoreperiodicMapped settlement, roads, land use and night lightsMODELLED
Early warning signals of transitionvariance and autocorrelation of a state variableper time seriesLong-term monitoring seriesESTIMATED
09Sector signature

The sector signature of ecosystem integrity.

The sectors ecosystem integrity touches and how strongly they depend on each other: what a study has to observe and model together.

Select corners · hover lines6 / 15 relations

Signature

Biodiversity and its partners

Biodiversity gives pollination and soils to food (0.6), watershed regulation to water (0.5) and zoonotic spillover and medicines to health (0.4).

W · E · I · F · H · B

Sectors
4 of 6
Relations
6 of 15
Coupling
0.46 share of total

Strongest relations in play

  • Food → Biodiversity · land conversion0.6
  • Water → Food · irrigation0.8
  • Water → Biodiversity · environmental flows0.6
  • Food → Health · nutrition0.7
Teaching values for a typical city-region, not measurements for any place. Coupling is the summed strength of the relations in play, as a share of all fifteen.
10Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
IUCN Red List of EcosystemsRisk-of-collapse assessments of ecosystem types against standard criteriaFree for non-commercial use, terms of use
IUCN Global Ecosystem TypologyA hierarchical classification of ecosystem functional groups across all realmsFree and open, attribution
Biodiversity Intactness Index (Natural History Museum, PREDICTS)Modelled intactness of local species assemblages from compiled field studiesFree and open, attribution
Forest Landscape Integrity IndexForest condition from observed pressures, inferred pressures and lost connectivityFree and open, attribution
ESA WorldCover and Copernicus Land Monitoring ServiceLand cover and change for ecosystem extentFree and open, attribution
National ecosystem accounts under SEEAExtent and condition accounts compiled by national statistical officesPublic records, terms per agency
International Long Term Ecological Research networkMulti-decade site measurements of ecosystem state and processesTerms per site
11Methods and evidence

How ecosystem integrity is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

Earth observation chain

How a satellite or sensor record becomes evidence on ecosystem integrity, and where each step adds uncertainty.

  1. 01 · Acquireorbit, sensor and revisitUncertainty: gaps from cloud and orbit
  2. 02 · Calibrateradiometric and geometricUncertainty: sensor drift
  3. 03 · Correctatmosphere and terrainUncertainty: aerosol and slope assumptions
  4. 04 · Retrieve or classifythe variable or the classUncertainty: model and training error
  5. 05 · Validateagainst ground truthUncertainty: sample design and size
  6. 06 · Publishwith error bars and lineageUncertainty: stated, never hidden
Processing chain in the CEOS Analysis Ready Data sense; each step records its uncertainty before a figure is drawn. A generic structure, not results.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
12Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Biodiversity Nexus prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Environment ministries and national statistical officesWhich ecosystems to prioritise for protection and restoration in the national biodiversity strategyExtent and condition by ecosystem type; risk-of-collapse categories with their criteria
Protected-area and land management authoritiesWhere condition is declining toward a threshold and which pressure to reduce firstCondition trends with early warning signals; pressure maps by driver
Planning and environmental assessment authoritiesWhether a proposed development pushes a threatened ecosystem toward collapseRed List of Ecosystems status, condition at the site, cumulative pressure in the landscape
Financial supervisors and institutionsWhich portfolios are exposed to ecosystem degradation and collapseCondition and threshold evidence linked to the locations of assets and suppliers

Outputs this topic produces

  • Ecosystem extent and condition maps against a stated reference
  • Threshold and regime-shift evidence notes with their uncertainty
  • Condition accounts aligned with SEEA Ecosystem Accounting
  • Pressure maps that keep each driver separate
13Core questions

What experts ask.

Integrity is easy to invoke and hard to measure. Experts work on a small set of recurring questions.

  • What is the reference state against which condition is judged, and how is it defined where no undisturbed reference exists?
  • Which indicators of composition, structure and function move first when a system degrades?
  • Where are the thresholds beyond which a system shifts state, and how close are particular places to them?
  • How much connectivity and functional redundancy does a system need to recover from fire, drought or storm?
  • How should integrity be compared across very different ecosystem types?
14Mechanisms and drivers

Why systems degrade gradually and then shift.

Ecosystems are held in a particular state by feedbacks. A forest shades its floor and keeps it moist, which suppresses fire; a clear lake supports rooted plants that hold sediment and absorb nutrients, which keeps it clear; a reef with abundant grazers keeps algae in check. Pressure such as clearing, nutrient pollution or overfishing weakens these feedbacks without visible change, until a disturbance tips the system into an alternative state held by different feedbacks: grassland instead of forest, turbid water instead of clear, algae instead of coral.

Resilience depends on diversity within functional groups, on connectivity that lets species recolonise, and on the slow variables, such as soil depth or nutrient stocks, that change over decades. Because these properties are eroded quietly, condition indicators that track only extent can miss decline until recovery is expensive or no longer possible.

15Methods and data

How the evidence is built, and where it stops.

  1. 01

    Field condition assessment

    Plot surveys of vegetation structure, indicator species and soil or water quality give the most direct evidence. They are costly, sparse and often not repeated on the same sites.

  2. 02

    Remote sensing

    Satellite and airborne data track extent, canopy structure, productivity and disturbance across large areas, through Earth observation. They measure proxies for condition, not species or function directly.

  3. 03

    Indices and reference states

    Composite indices compare current condition with a reference. Their results depend heavily on the reference chosen, which should always be stated.

  4. 04

    Early-warning signals

    Rising variance or slower recovery from small disturbances can precede regime shifts in some systems. They need long, dense time series and can give false alarms.

16Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

19Questions

Questions and answers.

What is the difference between extent and condition?
Extent is how much of an ecosystem exists; condition is how well it functions and how complete its species and structure are. An ecosystem can keep its extent while losing condition, so both are reported.
Can a tipping point be predicted?
Not precisely. Rising variance and slower recovery from disturbance can signal an approaching transition, but the signals are probabilistic and need long, regular records. The page reports them with their uncertainty and never as a forecast date.
What does collapsed mean on the Red List of Ecosystems?
That the defining features of an ecosystem have been lost and replaced by a different ecosystem throughout its range. Assessments apply standard criteria on decline in extent, restricted distribution and degradation of environment and processes.
Which values on this page are real?
The indicator names, units, sources and methods are real. Levels in the figures are examples in a design. A national programme replaces them with labelled evidence it owns.
Is ecosystem integrity the same as naturalness?
Not exactly. Integrity concerns whether composition, structure and function are within the range expected for that ecosystem and whether it can recover. Some long-managed landscapes have high integrity in that sense.
Can satellites measure integrity on their own?
No. They measure structure, cover and productivity well across large areas, but integrity also depends on species composition and processes that need field evidence to confirm.
Why does the reference state matter so much?
Because condition is a comparison. A site can appear intact against a degraded baseline and badly damaged against a historical one, so every assessment should state which reference it uses and why.
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