GCRI · PAGE · standardsGCRI dossier · service level R0
GCRINexus Ecosystem
Ecosystem · Methods and standards

Methods and standards

Countries can compare and combine their work only if they share methods. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) stewards the methods and interoperability conventions of the Nexus Ecosystem: how evidence is labelled, how models are documented, how data moves between systems and how capacity is measured. These are working conventions for the programme. They are not certification, accreditation or a claim of conformity with any external standard, and completing a test or profile never implies one. Return to Nexus Ecosystem.

01In brief

The short answer.

Methods and standards in the Nexus Ecosystem are the working conventions GCRI stewards so that countries can compare and combine their work: how evidence is labelled, how models are documented, how data moves between systems and how capacity is measured. They are conventions for the programme, not certification, accreditation or a claim of compliance.

02Geography

Landscapes and remoteness in the Caribbean.

Mountain ranges, deserts, wetlands, glaciers and reefs, and how remote each division is from large cities, shown for the Caribbean as an example geography for this subject.

Mountain ranges, deserts, wetlands, glaciers and reefs, and how remote each division is from large cities.Indicator derived from Natural Earth at map scale; a screening view, not an assessment.
GCRI · institution · fieldDESIGN FIGURE
03Evidence methodology

Every result carries one of nine labels.

LabelMeaning
ObservedMeasured directly
Officially reportedReported by a competent authority; a source type, not an endorsement
Institution-reportedReported by a participating institution
EstimatedDerived from partial data with a stated method
ModelledProduced by a documented model
ForecastA model projection for a future period
ScenarioA plausible what-if, not a prediction
Expert judgementStructured opinion with its basis
UnknownNot known; never shown as zero
04Interoperability

Conventions that let work move between countries.

Methods

Canonical method pages

Each of the fifty-four methods has one canonical page in the STEM Commons.

Models

Model and data cards

Data, model and software cards record purpose, inputs, validation, limits and version.

Exchange

Source interfaces

Versioned source agreements, schema mappings and refresh and correction protocols with source agencies.

05No implied certification

What these conventions are not.

Conventions make work comparable. They do not tell anyone that a product, person or institution meets a requirement.

  • Test completion is never presented as accredited certification.
  • External standards are named as references where relevant, never as claims of alignment or conformity.
  • GCRI does not certify, license or approve products, people or institutions.
  • A methods profile is reusable where licensed; it confers no status on those who use it.
06Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Evidence labelA tag on an assertion naming the kind of evidence behind it, such as observed, officially reported or modelled.
Model cardA short document describing a model's intended use, training data, performance and limits.
InteroperabilityThe ability of health information systems to exchange data and use it with the same meaning, using standards such as HL7 FHIR.
HarmonisationAdjusting data from different sensors so they can be combined consistently.
07Collaborate

Work with standards bodies and societies.

Standards bodies, metrology organizations and professional societies can propose methods or interoperability collaboration. The first outcome is a scoped profile, an interoperability protocol and reusable artifacts where licensed. Write to research@therisk.global. See also Methods and technical papers and the evidence and data standards of The Global Risks Alliance (GRA).

08Questions

Questions and answers.

Can my organization claim it follows Nexus standards?
You may describe the methods you use. Please do not present them as a certification or an endorsement by GCRI.
Does GCRI align with ISO or other standards?
External standards are cited as references where useful. No alignment or conformity is claimed without an assessment record.
Why not use a single risk index?
A single score hides the dependencies, uncertainty and evidence types that decision-makers need to see. The methods compare systems domain by domain and keep every kind of evidence labelled.
How are methods changed?
Through review on the canonical method page; each change creates a new version with its reasons.
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

Start with an enquiry.

The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

Have questions?