Catchment flood modelling
Rainfall-runoff and hydraulic models simulate how a storm becomes river flow and inundation, calibrated against gauged events.
GCRI · Iklim dan Bahaya
Hydrology explains how rainfall becomes streamflow, floods, soil moisture and groundwater. In this field it links atmospheric hazards to their effects on land, through catchment models, flood frequency analysis and the propagation of drought.
Hydrology studies the movement, distribution and quality of water across the land surface, subsurface and atmosphere. It underpins the assessment of floods, droughts and water supply, which affect food, energy, health and infrastructure together. In climate and hazards and disaster and crisis, hydrological estimates set design standards for dams, levees and drainage and inform water allocation between competing users. They link climate hazards to downstream effects on power generation, crops and public health. The canonical description is on STEM Commons.
Rainfall-runoff and hydraulic models simulate how a storm becomes river flow and inundation, calibrated against gauged events.
Deficits are traced from rainfall to soil moisture, streamflow and groundwater, with the lag at each stage estimated for the catchment.
Flood peaks are analysed with methods that allow change over time, and design floods are compared under present and projected conditions.
Rain, flood water and root-zone soil moisture across the world, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.
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Terbaru yang tersedia
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © kontributor OpenStreetMap (ODbL) · Natural Earth
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Kondisi air terkini, dengan fokus dunia.Produk satelit dan model sebagaimana diterbitkan NASA, masing-masing dengan tanggalnya sendiri. Produk ini adalah indikator, bukan penilaian atas tempat mana pun.
Lapisan dan tanggal
Datasets and records used by hydrology and water science on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in register sumber.
| Data | Peran | Label |
|---|---|---|
| River gauging networks | Discharge records | TERAMATI |
| GloFAS reanalysis | Simulated discharge where gauges are absent | DIMODELKAN |
| Groundwater monitoring wells | Aquifer levels | TERAMATI |
| Digital elevation and land cover | Catchment properties | TERAMATI |
Layar yang akan digunakan sebuah tim untuk mengikuti metode ini: ukuran, status, dan keputusannya. Nama adalah contoh dan nilai bersifat ilustratif.
Climate and hazards · Hydrology for climate hazards · Run R-8921
held-out period
| T+2 | 0.11 | 0.28 | 0.26 | Skilful |
| T+4 | 0.12 | 0.26 | 0.34 | Marginal |
| T+6 | 0.43 | 0.19 | 0.15 | Skilful |
| T+8 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.24 | Marginal |
Models are calibrated on one period of observed flows and tested on an independent period or neighbouring catchment. Skill scores and comparison with surveyed flood extents are used to judge performance.
| Pemeriksaan | Cara pelaksanaannya |
|---|---|
| Split-sample testing | Models are calibrated on one period and tested on another |
| Rating curve review | Discharge derived from stage is checked for rating curve uncertainty at high flows |
| Multi-model comparison | Several hydrological models are compared before relying on one |
Assumptions of stationarity weaken as climate and land use change. Ungauged basins, karst aquifers and rapid urbanisation are poorly represented by parameters fitted elsewhere.
Rain becomes runoff by the curve number method, drains each sub-catchment through a linear reservoir and travels down the main stem by Muskingum routing; play it to watch the flood wave move and flatten. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction.
Kendali
Pembacaan
| Hour | Outlet (m³/s) | Unrouted (m³/s) | Upper reach (m³/s) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | 0.0 | 678.9 | 0.0 |
| 12.0 | 308.3 | 1,151.4 | 181.8 |
| 21.6 | 452.4 | 35.1 | 73.7 |
| 31.2 | 363.3 | 1.1 | 11.1 |
| 40.8 | 198.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| 50.4 | 79.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 60.0 | 25.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 69.6 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 79.2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 88.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 98.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 108.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 117.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 127.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 136.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page’s map can draw:
Di seluruh enam pilar, dipimpin oleh Nexus Consortium
Disusun dari profil bidang Nexus Standards profil area Standar risiko iklim: bahaya yang disebutkannya, sistem dan sektor yang menanggung kerugian, kendali yang meredamnya, dan data yang mengamatinya. Pilih komponen, tentukan bahaya pemicu, dan telusuri kaskade langkah demi langkah. Tampilan Peta menempatkan proses pada contoh geografi dengan data terbuka. Setiap bobot keterkaitan adalah asumsi yang dinyatakan dan dapat Anda ubah. Model pengajaran, bukan prakiraan, penilaian, atau sertifikasi. Untuk memodelkan tempat pilihan Anda sendiri, buka System Builder.
Bahaya
Sistem dan keterkaitan
Kendali
NS-0 Anggaran dasar dan prinsipNS-1 Observatory UNI dan katalog artefak (tata bahasa v0.2: segmen domain, sektor, wilayah, dan lingkungan)NS-3 UNI catatan risiko (tata bahasa, pemetaan ke sistem lama, kewenangan alokasi)NS-3b Profil metadata dataset dan produk (STAC, DCAT, PROV-O)NS-9 UNI kontekstual (penerapan, instans, instans program)NS-11 Verifikasi dan pemantauan (bukti, atestasi, pengamatan kesesuaian zero trust)NS-14 Kesesuaian dan pemetaan silang ke standar eksternalNRS-H65 Keluarga bahaya: Pelampauan batas planet (NHS-1 planet.boundary)NRS-H62 Keluarga bahaya: Peristiwa majemuk dan multibahaya (NHS-1 sys.compound)NRS-H71 Keluarga bahaya: Bencana zaman purba dan kosmik (NHS-1 planet.deep-time)NRS-H79 Keluarga bahaya: Krisis kesehatan jiwa (NHS-1 health.mental)NRS-H75 Keluarga bahaya: Penyakit yang peka iklim (NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive)NRS-H7 Keluarga bahaya: Anomali sirkulasi skala besar (NHS-1 atmo.climate-mode)Pengamatan
Contoh geografi
Water Nexus stewards hydrology and water science for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.
The sectors hydrology for climate hazards touches and how strongly they depend on each other: what a study has to observe and model together.
Tanda tangan
Air dan mitranya
Air memberi irigasi bagi pangan (0,8), air pendingin dan tenaga air bagi energi (0,6), dan aliran lingkungan bagi keanekaragaman hayati (0,6).
W · E · I · F · H · B
Model, asumsi, data, dan ketidakpastiannya, dalam bentuk yang akan diperiksa ilmuwan atau insinyur. Strukturnya mengikuti metode yang dipublikasikan. Nilai yang digambar bersifat ilustratif, bukan temuan.
How far the outlook for hydrology for climate hazards could spread, shown as ranges rather than a single line.
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