G02 · TOPIC · soil-and-landGCRI dossier · service level R0
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Topic dossier · Food Nexus

Soil and land

Soil is the slowest food-system asset to build and one of the fastest to lose. Its organic matter, structure, nutrients and biology set how much water a field holds, how well crops use fertiliser and how a landscape absorbs rain. Erosion, salinisation, compaction, nutrient mining and conversion lower productivity long before the damage is visible. This page sets out how soil and land condition are measured, how degradation spreads, and who acts on the evidence.

Plains, deltas and basins, the corridors that carry food to ports, and how far each division sits from one.Indicator derived from Natural Earth at map scale; a screening view, not an assessment.
GCRI · Food Nexus · fieldDESIGN FIGURE
01In brief

The short answer.

Soil degradation is the decline of a soil's capacity to support plants and store water, carbon and nutrients, through erosion, nutrient mining, salinisation, compaction and loss of organic matter. It lowers productivity long before it is visible. Soil and land condition are mapped from soil profiles, laboratory analyses and satellites, and reported nationally under the UNCCD.

02Console

Crop and harvest monitor, in outline.

The working screen behind this subject: its structure, terms and states. Names are placeholders and values illustrative.

Crop and harvest monitor

Soil and land · Main season · Crop stage: grain fill

Assessment in fieldGCRI · Food Nexus

Crop calendar

  1. Land preparationdone
  2. Plantingdone
  3. Emergencedone
  4. Vegetativedone
  5. Grain fillnow
  6. Harvestnext
  7. Post-harvest

Vegetation index, season to date

Yield outlook by zone

Highland zone2.1▼ 8Medium
Coastal plain3.2▼ 5Medium
Region North0.8▼ 16Low
Region South1.0▼ 6Medium

Field assessment plots

red: crop stress observed

Plot markers · placeholder positionsN
Crop and harvest monitor: the screen's structure, terms and states for Soil and land.Placeholder names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
03The question

Soil and land: how the risk develops.

Soil health, land degradation and productivity. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Erosion removes the productive layer

Water and wind strip topsoil fastest where land is bare, steep or overgrazed. Topsoil holds most of the organic matter and nutrients, and it forms far more slowly than it is lost under poor management.

Mechanism

Nutrient mining and excess

Harvests remove nutrients that are not replaced where fertiliser is unaffordable, while heavy use elsewhere leaks nitrogen and phosphorus into water. Both lower long-term productivity, in different places.

Mechanism

Salinity and waterlogging

Irrigation without drainage raises water tables and leaves salts in the root zone. Coastal land takes salt from storm surges and from seawater drawn into overpumped aquifers.

Mechanism

Degradation feeds back

Degraded soil holds less water, so droughts bite sooner and floods run off faster. Lower yields push cultivation onto marginal land and forest, and the degradation front moves with it.

04Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Land degradation neutralityA state in which the amount and quality of land resources stay stable or increase within a given time and area, the target of SDG 15.3 under the UNCCD.
Soil organic carbonThe carbon held in soil organic matter, which supports soil structure, water holding and nutrient supply.
SalinisationThe build-up of soluble salts in soil, often from irrigation with poor drainage, which reduces crop growth.
Nutrient miningRemoval of more nutrients in harvests than are returned by fertiliser, manure or residues, depleting soil fertility over time.
05Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Soil organic carbon stocktonnes of carbon per hectare to a stated depthmulti-yearSoil sampling, digital soil mappingMODELLED
Proportion of land that is degraded (SDG 15.3.1)percent of land areareporting cycleNational reporting to the UNCCDOFFICIAL
Land productivity dynamicstrend classmulti-yearSatellite net primary productivity time seriesESTIMATED
Soil erosion ratetonnes per hectare per yearmulti-yearErosion models with field validationMODELLED
Soil salinitydecisiemens per metre (electrical conductivity)per surveySoil samplingOBSERVED
Soil nutrient balancekilograms of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium per hectare per yearannualInput and harvest accountsESTIMATED
Conversion to and from croplandhectaresannualSatellite land cover classificationOBSERVED
06Canvas

From sources to decisions.

The topic as a computational graph: named sources feed the methods, an evidence review gates the outputs, and the decisions stay with the authorities that hold them.

Pipeline canvas · Soil and land as a run graphDesign, not a record
Soil and land: food security early warning to early actionMarket prices, crop conditions and rainfall feed a seasonal outlook and a food security analysis by area; projected phases are tested against pre-agreed triggers, and early actions are released before the lean season. Design of the process, not a record of a run.

Fig. 02Nodes carry their type, two metric rows and a state; connectors show what feeds what; dashed frames name the owners; the timeline is the cadence. Design of the pipeline, not a record of a run.

07Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
SoilGrids (ISRIC)Global gridded soil properties with prediction uncertaintyFree and open, attribution
Harmonized World Soil Database (FAO and IIASA)Soil units and attributes for crop and land evaluationFree, terms per FAO and IIASA
Global Soil Partnership maps (FAO)Country-driven maps of soil organic carbon and salt-affected soilsFree, terms per FAO
UNCCD national reporting and Trends.EarthLand cover, land productivity and soil carbon sub-indicators of degradationPublic records; open-source tool
ESA WorldCover and Copernicus land coverCropland extent and land cover changeFree and open, attribution
LUCAS topsoil survey (European Commission JRC)Harmonised topsoil samples for mapping and validationFree on registration, terms per JRC
National soil surveys and laboratoriesSoil profiles, analyses and national soil mapsPublic records, terms per agency
08Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Food Nexus prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Agriculture and environment ministriesWhere to target soil conservation, restoration and fertiliser supportDegradation hotspots, nutrient balances and soil maps with their uncertainty
National focal points to the UNCCDHow to report progress toward land degradation neutrality and which measures to commitSub-indicator layers with method, baseline and confidence
Irrigation and drainage authoritiesWhere salinity and waterlogging call for drainage investment or changed water managementSalinity sampling, water-table depth and irrigation records read together
Land administration and planning authoritiesWhere conversion of cropland, pasture or forest needs control or tenure supportLand cover change with tenure context, read against the Voluntary Guidelines on tenure

Outputs this topic produces

  • Soil and land condition maps with prediction uncertainty
  • Degradation hotspot layers combining productivity, cover and carbon
  • Nutrient balance accounts by district
  • Restoration scenarios with productivity and water effects stated as ranges
09Core questions

What experts ask.

Soil condition is rarely visible in a single season, which is why it is easy to neglect. Yet it sets the ceiling on yields, the buffer against drought and flood, and the cost of producing food in future. Experts treat soil as natural capital that can be run down or rebuilt, with consequences that outlast any one harvest.

  • What is the condition of soils in a production region, and how fast is it changing?
  • Which practices restore organic matter, structure and water-holding capacity, and over what time scales?
  • How does land degradation interact with drought, so that degraded land loses more yield in a dry year?
  • How do tenure, incentives and markets shape whether land users invest in soil?
10Mechanisms

Drivers and processes.

Soil change is slow to build and fast to lose, which makes it a hidden driver of risk.

Physical

Erosion and compaction

Wind and water erosion remove fertile topsoil; heavy machinery and overgrazing compact soil and reduce infiltration.

Chemical

Nutrients and salinity

Imbalanced fertilization depletes some nutrients and pollutes water with others. Poorly drained irrigation raises salinity.

Biological

Soil life and carbon

Soil organisms cycle nutrients and build structure. Loss of organic carbon weakens both and releases greenhouse gases.

11Methods and data

How the evidence is built, and its limits.

  1. 01

    Soil sampling

    Laboratory analysis gives precise measures at points; scaling to landscapes needs careful design and spatial statistics.

  2. 02

    Digital soil mapping

    Combines samples, terrain, climate and satellite data using spatial statistics. Maps carry prediction uncertainty that should be shown alongside them.

  3. 03

    Remote sensing

    Detects bare soil, vegetation cover and some erosion features, but cannot measure most soil properties directly.

  4. 04

    Long-term trials

    Decades-long experiments reveal how practices change soils. They are few, and results may not transfer between climates and soil types.

12Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Agricultural, soil and food scienceCrop simulation for seasonal yield risk · Yield gap and nutrient limitation analysisApplied here
  2. Spatial statistics and geostatisticsSmall-area estimation of food insecurity · Digital soil mappingApplied here
  3. Earth observation and remote sensingCrop condition monitoring · Crop type and area mapping · Irrigation and water productivityApplied here
  4. Ecology and biodiversity sciencePollination and natural pest control · Fisheries and aquatic food websApplied here
  5. Hydrology and water scienceIrrigation supply and demand · Agricultural drought monitoring · Flood exposure of croplandApplied here
13Questions

Questions and answers.

What is land degradation neutrality?
A commitment under the UN Convention to Combat Desertification that the amount and quality of land resources stay stable or increase. It is assessed through land cover, land productivity and soil organic carbon together.
Can soil carbon be measured from space?
Not directly. Satellites supply covariates used to map soil carbon from field samples, but detecting a change in carbon stocks needs repeated sampling on the ground.
Why does salinity matter for food?
Salt in the root zone reduces water uptake and yields, and severe salinity takes land out of production. Irrigated land in dry regions and low-lying coasts are the most exposed.
Is land degradation reversible?
Often, but slowly. Restoring organic matter and structure can take many years, and severe erosion can remove soil that takes far longer to form.
Does Food Nexus verify soil carbon claims?
No. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) does not certify or verify claims. It publishes methods and evidence that others can use under their own rules.
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