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GCRI · کۆمەڵگا و گەشەپێدانی مرۆیی

Methods and uncertainty

The methods Society and Human Development relies on: their equations and assumptions, the data they need, how they are validated and the limits of what they can show.

پرسیارێک بنێرە Back to Research and evidence
01ناوەڕۆک

Methods and uncertainty in five parts.

لەم دۆسیەیەدا5 parts
  1. 01میتۆدەکانThe methods in use
  2. 02Method registerEach method, its role in this field and how it is checked
  3. 03نادڵنیاییWhere uncertainty in human development analysis comes from, and how it is shown
  4. 04نادڵنیاییHow uncertainty is reported
  5. 05سەرچاوەکانWhere this page’s references lead
02میتۆدەکان

The methods in use.

  1. زانستی کۆمەڵایەتی و ڕەفتاریSurvey design for hard-to-reach groups · Qualitative and participatory researchApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  2. دەرهێنانی هۆکاری و هەڵسەنگاندنی کاریگەریEvaluating cash transfers · Effects of disasters on households · Education programme evaluationApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  3. ئاماری شوێنی و جیۆئامارSmall-area poverty estimation · Vulnerability and hazard overlayApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  4. ئابووریپێویPoverty dynamics with panel data · Price shock incidence · Inequality decompositionApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
03Method register

Each method, its role in this field and how it is checked.

04پرۆسە

چۆن پرۆسەکە کار دەکات.

Process explorer · Process

Methods and uncertainty: Source to evidence record

10 steps4 قۆناغ2 دەروازە

پرۆسە

Methods and uncertainty: Source to evidence record

A source is registered and assessed, its record labelled and classified, and a Digital Evidence Passport carries provenance; a correction reaches every dependent record.

  1. 01 Intake

    1. 01Identify the sourceSource · The source stewardDiscovery is not ingestion. Source identification records the source class, steward, institutional role and jurisdiction.
    2. 03Register the sourceهەنگاوRegistration makes a discovered source a governed participant in the evidence lifecycle. It implies no endorsement or certification.

  2. 02 Assessment

    1. 04Jurisdiction and rights classificationدەروازەRights classification identifies licence, consent, confidentiality and reuse limits. The result determines access and routing.
    2. 05Evidence quality assessmentهەنگاوQuality assessment decides whether a record is fit for a defined use. Quality is multidimensional and never a single score.
    3. 06Evidence labelهەنگاوEvery finding carries one of nine evidence labels. Missing data is shown as missing, never as zero.

  3. 03 Record

    1. 07Evidence classificationتۆمارClassification gives records lifecycle states, such as source-verified, public-safe or restricted. States can coexist and set evidence use.
    2. 08Source release and identifierتۆمار · NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)A source release records rights, temporal coverage and source lineage. A UNI is allocated through a catalogue and never typed by hand.
    3. 09Digital Evidence PassportتۆمارThe passport records provenance, quality, rights, jurisdiction, permitted use and history, so evidence keeps its context when it travels.

  4. 04 Use and correction

    1. 02Correction reaches dependent recordsStep · NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)A source correction propagates to dependent cuts and products without rewriting old results.
    2. 10پێداچوونەوەی سەلامەتی گشتیدەروازەPublic-safe review decides whether a record can be shared publicly. It is a distinct stage and is not validation.

Data protocols: evidence lifecycle · Data protocols: core data objects and evidence records · The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX)Designed programme process, not a record of operation. No cycle has run and every programme is at service level R0. A gate is a programme decision, never a public-authority approval, certification or deployment authorisation. The data-protocol pages describe a design, not a running system.

05نادڵنیایی

Where uncertainty in human development analysis comes from, and how it is shown.

سەرچاوەWhy it matters hereHow it is reported
Survey dataInfrequent and sometimes outdatedSurvey year stated
Displacement countsMethods differ between sourcesSource and definition stated
Composite indicesWeighting choices matterComponents shown
06How uncertainty is reported

How uncertainty is reported.

  1. 01

    State assumptions

    Each analysis lists its assumptions and the data it depends on.

  2. 02

    Quantify where possible

    Ranges and confidence are reported alongside central estimates.

  3. 03

    Validate and compare

    Models are checked against observations and, where possible, against other models.

  4. 04

    Publish limits

    What an analysis cannot show is stated beside what it can.

07سەرچاوەکان

Where this page’s references lead.

ئەو لەش و بەڵگەنامانەی ئەم لاپەڕەیەیان لەگەڵ دەخوێنرێتەوە. دۆخ و وەشانەکان دەگۆڕێن؛ هەر بەستەرێک دەچێتە لای لەشی دەرکەر.

08پرسیارەکان

پرسیار و وەڵام.

Are the methods open?
Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. Code and data follow their own licences and access terms, listed in the source register.
Reportsبەشداربە

لەم لاپەڕەیەوە بەڵگە پێشکەش بکە.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRIکۆمەڵگا و گەشەپێدانی مرۆییمەترسی و خۆڕاگریی سیستەمی وڵاتکورتەی بەڵگە

هەرگیز داتای کەسی، وردەکاریی هەستیاری ژێرخان یان هیچ شتێک مەنێرە کە مافی بڵاوکردنەوەت نییە. بەشدارییەک پێش بەکارهێنان پێداچوونەوەی بۆ دەکرێت؛ ناردنی ماف نابەخشێت بە نووسەرایەتی یان بەڕێوەبردنی ڕاگەیاندن، و پاڵپشتی دارایی هەرگیز دۆزینەوەیەک ناکڕێت.

کۆمەڵگا و گەشەپێدانی مرۆیی

ڕێگایەک، کۆمەڵە داتایەک یان پرسیارێک بهێنە.

زانیاری و پرسیار ئەمڕۆ کراوەن. پرسیارێک ژمارەی ئاماژەی پێدەدرێت و هەنگاوی دواتر دیاری دەکات؛ داواکاری، پارەدان، تەرخانکردنی کۆمپیوتەر و تۆمارکردن تەنیا کاتێک دەکرێنەوە کە تیم، مەرج و توانای پێداچوونەوەیان هەبێت.

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یاسایی

نەخشە، داتا و وێنەکانی ئەم ماڵپەڕە بۆ ناوەڕۆک و زانیاریی گشتی پیشان دراون. ئامۆژگاری، پێشبینی یان ئاگادارکردنەوە نین؛ سنوورەکانی زانیارییەکە لە ڕەتکردنەوەی بەرپرسیارێتی و ئاگاداریی داتادا دەستنیشان کراون.