References and record

Every source the edition rests on, the publication record, the corrections log and the open record.

12 min read0 figures1 table0 notesNR-COUNTRY-MEX-2026-BASELINE

Contents

C.147 sources

NR-CIT-1, editor first. A DOI is linked where the source has one; Nexus records carry a UNI once the catalogue allocates it (NS-1).

1Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (ed.), Encuesta Intercensal 2025: En 2025, en México residían 130.9 millones de personas. Comunicado de prensa 54/26. INEGI, Aguascalientes, 22 September 2026. Observation year: 2025. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
2Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (ed.), Pobreza multidimensional 2024. Comunicado de prensa 118/25. INEGI, Aguascalientes, 13 August 2025. Observation year: 2024. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8
3Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (ed.), Actualización de la Contribución Determinada a nivel Nacional 3.0 de México. Submission to the UNFCCC, Mexico City, November 2025. Observation year: 2025 (preliminary 2024 inventory shares). Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8
4Banco de México (ed.), “La matriz energética de México,” Recuadro 5, Reporte de Estabilidad Financiera, June 2026, pp. 127–131, using SENER, Balance Nacional de Energía 2024. Banxico, Mexico City, 10 June 2026. Observation year: 2024. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8
5Ember (ed.), Mexico: electricity country profile, 2025 data. Ember, London, page updated 20 May 2026. Observation year: 2025. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
6E. H. Humphreys, N. T. Carter and C. V. Stern, 1944 U.S.-Mexico Water Treaty: Issues in the 119th Congress. CRS Insight IF12976, Congressional Research Service, Washington DC, 6 March 2026. Observation year: 2025 (cycle end), 2026 (commitments). Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8
7National Hurricane Center (ed.), Tropical Cyclone Report: Hurricane Otis (EP182023), 22–25 October 2023. NOAA, Miami, 2024. Observation year: 2023. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 7
8World Bank (ed.), “World Bank Issues $420 Million in Catastrophe Bonds for Renewed Disaster Risk Protection for Mexico.” Press release, Washington DC, 17 April 2024. Observation year: 2024. Cited in the summary, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6
9Servicio Sismológico Nacional (ed.), Reporte especial: Sismo del día 19 de septiembre de 2017, Puebla-Morelos (M 7.1). UNAM, Mexico City, 2017. Observation year: 2017. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4
10Secretaría de Gobernación (ed.), Declaratorias de Emergencia Extraordinaria y de Desastre Natural por el sismo de magnitud 7.1 del 19 de septiembre de 2017. Diario Oficial de la Federación, Mexico City, 27–28 September 2017. Observation year: 2017. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2
11E. Chaussard, E. Havazli, H. Fattahi, E. Cabral-Cano and D. Solano-Rojas, “Over a century of sinking in Mexico City: no hope for significant elevation and storage capacity recovery,” Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, vol. 126, no. 4, e2020JB020648, 2021. Observation year: 2021 (record from 1900). Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6
12Expansión Política (ed.), “Presupuesto 2027 pone en riesgo las áreas naturales protegidas,” reporting an analysis by NOSSA of official data. Expansión, Mexico City, 22 September 2026. Observation year: 2026. Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 8
13Expansión Política (ed.), “Acuíferos sobreexplotados en México y gestión del agua subterránea,” reporting Conagua data. Expansión, Mexico City, 25 January 2026. Observation year: 2023. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 8
14UnoTV and AFP (eds.), “Sequía retrocede a 7.4% tras máximo de 2024, el menor nivel en 6 años,” reporting the SMN drought monitor. UnoTV, Mexico City, 30 January 2026. Observation year: 2024 (peak), 2026 (January). Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 7
15Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and Comisión Nacional del Agua (eds.), Monitor de Sequía en México. Conagua, Mexico City, issued every two weeks since February 2014; page consulted 2026. Observation year: 2026. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6
16El Imparcial (ed.), “¿Cuándo termina la ola de calor del 2024? 285 muertos por altas temperaturas: Secretaría de Salud.” El Imparcial, 28 August 2024. Observation year: 2024. Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8
17Por Esto (ed.), “Suman 72 muertos y 48 desaparecidos por lluvias en cinco estados,” reporting a federal government statement. Por Esto, Mérida, 17 October 2025. Observation year: 2025. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 7
18ADN40 (ed.), “Sismo del 2 de enero acumula cerca de mil réplicas: recuento de daños y zonas afectadas.” ADN40, Mexico City, 2 January 2026. Observation year: 2026.
19Climate Action Tracker (ed.), Mexico: 2035 NDC assessment. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, update of 25 February 2026. Observation year: 2025–2026. Cited in chapter 2
20United States and Mexico, Treaty on Utilization of Waters of the Colorado and Tijuana Rivers and of the Rio Grande. Washington DC, 3 February 1944. Observation year: 1944 (text in force). Cited in the summary, chapter 2, chapter 6
21Government of Canada, Government of Mexico and Government of the United States, Agreement between the United States of America, the United Mexican States and Canada (USMCA). In force 1 July 2020. Observation year: 2020 (text in force). Cited in the summary, chapter 2, chapter 6
22Seed World (ed.), “Mexico approves constitutional ban on planting genetically modified corn.” Seed World, 24 March 2025. Observation year: 2025. Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8
23El Imparcial (ed.), “Cierra EEUU nuevamente frontera con México por gusano en el ganado.” El Imparcial, 11 May 2025. Observation year: 2025. Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 8
24J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., “Future climate risk from compound events,” Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469–477, 2018. Observation year: 2018. Cited in chapter 6
25H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC. IPCC, Geneva, 2023. Observation year: 2023. Cited in chapter 6
26P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. Observation year: 2024. Cited in chapter 6
27UNDRR (ed.), Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030. UNDRR, Geneva, 2015. Observation year: 2015. Cited in chapter 6
28Convention on Biological Diversity (ed.), Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, Decision 15/4. CBD Secretariat, Montreal, 2022. Observation year: 2022. Cited in chapter 6
29UNFCCC (ed.), Paris Agreement. United Nations, Paris, 2015. Observation year: 2015. Cited in chapter 6
30S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Reports: The Foundational Edition, Volumes I and II. Reports series, Edition 2026–2030, V1.0. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. Observation year: 2026.
31S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. Observation year: 2026.
32Gobierno de México (ed.), Plan Nacional de Desarrollo 2025–2030. Mexico City, 2025. Observation year: 2025. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 6
33Congreso de la Unión (ed.), Ley General de Cambio Climático, as amended. Diario Oficial de la Federación, Mexico City, 6 June 2012 and later reforms. Observation year: 2012 (text in force). Cited in chapter 6
34Congreso de la Unión (ed.), Ley de Aguas Nacionales, as amended. Diario Oficial de la Federación, Mexico City, 1 December 1992 and later reforms. Observation year: 1992 (text in force). Cited in chapter 6
35Congreso de la Unión (ed.), Ley del Sector Eléctrico, in force from the March 2025 energy reform package. Diario Oficial de la Federación, Mexico City, March 2025. Observation year: 2025. Cited in chapter 6
36Instituto Nacional de Ecología y Cambio Climático (ed.), Informe del Inventario Nacional de Emisiones de Gases y Compuestos de Efecto Invernadero 1990–2022. INECC, Mexico City, 2024. Observation year: 2022 (total not bound in this edition). Cited in chapter 6
37Comisión Nacional del Agua (ed.), Estadísticas del Agua en México. Conagua, Mexico City, latest edition (not opened at evidence close). Observation year: to be bound.
38Secretaría de Energía (ed.), Balance Nacional de Energía 2024. SENER, Mexico City, 2025 (figures used as reproduced in [4]). Observation year: 2024.
39Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (ed.), Global Forest Resources Assessment 2025. FAO, Rome, 2025 (Mexico country report not opened at evidence close). Observation year: 2025 (not bound). Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8
40International Energy Agency (ed.), World Energy Outlook 2025. IEA, Paris, 2025. Observation year: 2024–2025. Cited in chapter 6
41UNDRR (ed.), Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2025. UNDRR, Geneva, 2025. Observation year: 2025. Cited in chapter 6
42World Bank Group (ed.), Mexico Country Climate and Development Report. World Bank, Washington DC, 2023. Observation year: 2023. Cited in chapter 6
43World Meteorological Organization (ed.), State of the Climate in Latin America and the Caribbean 2024. WMO, Geneva, 2025. Observation year: 2024. Cited in chapter 6
44UNESCO World Water Assessment Programme (ed.), The United Nations World Water Development Report 2024: Water for Prosperity and Peace. UNESCO, Paris, 2024. Observation year: 2023–2024. Cited in chapter 6
45Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales and INECC (eds.), Sexta Comunicación Nacional y Segundo Informe Bienal de Actualización ante la CMNUCC. Mexico City, 2018. Observation year: 2018. Cited in chapter 6
46United States Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service (ed.), Mexico: Grain and Feed Annual. GAIN report, Washington DC, latest edition (not retrievable at evidence close). Observation year: not bound. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 8
47Dirección General de Epidemiología (ed.), Informe semanal de daños a la salud por temperaturas naturales extremas. Secretaría de Salud, Mexico City, weekly in season (national season total not retrieved). Observation year: not bound.

C.2Publication record

Publication

Title: Mexico Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition
Series: Reports · Edition 2026–2030
Edition: Baseline Edition 2026 · inaugural annual
Version: v1.0.0 · draft for stewardship review
Publication ID: NR-COUNTRY-MEX-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Evidence close: 30 September 2026
Publication date: October 2026
DOI: concept and version DOI at deposit

Publisher

Publisher of record: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), for the Nexus Consortium
Place: Toronto
Editor: Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor
Stewards: GCRI · technical truth · the Global Risks Forum (GRF) · public meaning · the Global Risks Alliance (GRA) · capital meaning
Licence: text CC BY 4.0; data on the terms of each source
Copyright: © 2026 GCRI · Nexus Consortium
Language: English (en-GB) source edition
Correspondence: Registry correction pathway · editorial office

Colophon

Format: A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF
Typefaces: Space Grotesk (display) · Geist (text) · IBM Plex Sans Italic (standfirsts) · IBM Plex Mono (data)
Design standard: Reports Foundational Edition, Volume I, Part VII
Accessibility: tagged PDF and HTML targets; text alternatives for every figure
Production: Reports editorial team, GCRI

Release path for this version

Table C.1Release path for this version
Step	What happens	When
Draft	editorial self-check complete at evidence close	October 2026
Steward review	five passes on the exact draft (keys T · M · F · N)	Q4 2026
Approval	publication authority approves the exact digest	before release
Deposit	concept and version DOI minted; registry pointer set	at release
Succession	the Q1 2027 edition reports changes against this baseline	Q1 2027

Current version: v1.0.0 draft, stewardship review
Previous edition: none, first edition of the series
Next edition: NR-COUNTRY-MEX-2027-Q1-v1.0.0

Latest version: resolve the concept DOI or the registry record
Correction route: Registry correction pathway
Notice types: erratum · addendum · supersession · withdrawal

C.3Corrections log

0correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition’s current version.

Edition	Version	Date	State	Change	Notice
MEX	NR-COUNTRY-MEX-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0	October 2026	Draft	Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,	None

Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence.

C.4Open record

This edition’s open record

Publication ID: NR-COUNTRY-MEX-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Desk identifier and series alias: NR-NAT-MEX-2026-BL
Collection: None
DOI: Concept and version DOI at deposit, on Zenodo with DataCite metadata
Versions: Each correction is a new version (isNewVersionOf); the concept DOI resolves to the latest
Bundle: RO-Crate 1.2 with CITATION.cff, CodeMeta and PROV-O provenance; a signed manifest
Licence: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0) for original material; metadata CC0 1.0

Credit and identity

ORCID: Your iD in the deposit and the contribution record; DataCite can then add the work to your ORCID record
ROR: Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone
CRediT: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualisation, Writing, review and editing
Account: None needed to contribute; never a password

Find and follow

Search the open indexes for Mexico; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage, and a quantified scenario run is preregistered on OSF before it is run. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.

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InvenioRDM metadata for a contribution on Mexico, prefilled from this page

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C.5Where this edition sits among the six pillars

Foundry seals the evidence and Universe tests it; Reports publishes it; Standards takes its corrections and Academy teaches from it.

F03 Sealed observations and indicator series Foundry Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).
F04 After-action and scenario findings for Universe After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).
F05 National Portfolio movement for chapter Foundry National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).
Applied in editions Standards Nexus Standards: applied in editions.
MEX edition Reports Mexico 2026, published in every format with its sources, citation and corrections.
F06 Method and correction findings as change Standards Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).
F12 Q4 synthesis informs the next-year Universe Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).
Taught in the open Academy Risk Academy: taught in the open.

What Foundry and Universe hand to this edition, and what it hands to Standards, Universe and Academy. From the programme spine; MEX is a drafted Baseline Edition, so these handoffs run from its first operational quarter.

Handoff	Between	What crosses, and when
F03	Foundry to Reports	Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).
F04	Universe to Reports	After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).
F05	Foundry to Reports	National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).
Ring	Nexus Standards to Reports	Nexus Standards: applied in editions.
F06	Reports to Nexus Standards	Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).
F12	Reports to Universe	Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).
Ring	Reports to Risk Academy	Risk Academy: taught in the open.

Cite this annex

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Annex C: References and record. In Mexico Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of Mexico’s Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-MEX-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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