Data appendix
The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.
Contents
- ·Edition home
- ·Executive summary
- 1Governance is the layer that sets the rules for every other system
- 2Key findings
- 3Systems and sectors at baseline
- 4Risks and capability
- 5Debt-service squeeze under aid cuts, thinner oversight and a health or food shock
- 6Readings from the other desks
- 7The 2027 agenda
- 8Systems in depth
- AMethodology
- BData appendix
- CReferences and record
- ·Complete edition, for print
B.1The indicator set
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Year | State | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| People living in autocracies | 74 | % | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Autocracies | 92 | countries | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Democracies | 87 | countries | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Autocratizing countries | 44 | countries | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Democratizing countries | 18 | countries | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| People in countries rated Free | 21 | % | 2025 | Reported | 2 |
| Countries deteriorating (Freedom House) | 54 | countries | 2025 | Reported | 2 |
| Countries improving (Freedom House) | 35 | countries | 2025 | Reported | 2 |
| Corruption perception, global average | 42 | score 0 to 100 | 2025 | Reported | 4 |
| Bribery prevalence, median | ≈17 | % | 2024 | Reported | 6 |
| States with access to information guarantees | 141 | states | 2026 | Reported | 6 |
| Women in national parliaments | 27.2 | % | 2025 | Reported | 12 |
| Women Speakers | 19.9 | % | 2025 | Reported | 5 |
| Members aged 40 and under | 19 | % | 2025 | Reported | 5 |
| People in detention | 11.6 | million | 2024 | Reported | 5 |
| Fully compliant national human rights institutions | 89 | countries | 2025 | Reported | 5 |
| Forcibly displaced people, end of year | 117.8 | million | 2025 | Reported | 7 |
| Forcibly displaced people, mid-year (UN SDG report) | 117.3 | million | 2025 | Reported | 6 |
| Net interest, developing countries | 995 | USD billion | 2025 | Reported | 9 |
| Official development assistance | 174.3 | USD billion | 2025 | Reported | 6 |
| Fossil fuel subsidies | 921 | USD billion | 2024 | Reported | 6 |
| Tax revenue, world aggregate | 13.9 | % of GDP | 2024 | Reported | 13 |
| People lagging in digital government | 22.4 | % | 2024 | Reported | 10 |
| People using the Internet (issuer estimate) | 76 | % | 2026 | Reported | 11 |
| People facing hunger | 645 | million | 2025 | Reported | 14 |
| Countries with disaster risk reduction strategies | 141 | countries | 2025 | Reported | 6 |
| Debt-service saving at developed-country borrowing costs | 500 | USD billion a year | 2025 | Scenario | 9 |
B.2Global source register
The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.
Domains bound by the register
- GOV
- FIN
- HLT
- ENE
- FOO
- WAT
- BIO
- DAT
- AIC
- TRD
| Source | Category | Coverage | Period | Cadence | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V-Dem Democracy Report 20261 | university research institute | global | 2025 | annual | regimes |
| Freedom in the World 20262 | non-profit organisation | global | 2025 | annual | freedoms |
| Global State of Democracy 20253 | intergovernmental organisation | global | 2024 to 2025 | annual | democratic performance |
| Corruption Perceptions Index 20254 | non-profit organisation | global | 2025 | annual | perceived corruption |
| SDG Extended Report 2026, Goal 165 | UN agencies | global | 2024 to 2025 | annual | institutions, rights |
| SDG progress report 20266 | UN Secretary-General | global | 2024 to 2025 | annual | finance, institutions |
| UNHCR Global Trends 20257 | UN agency | global | 2025 | annual | displacement |
| UNCTAD A World of Debt 20269 | UN agency | developing countries | 2025 | annual | public debt |
| UN E-Government Survey 202410 | UN agency | global | 2024 | biennial | digital government |
| World Bank World Development Indicators1213 | multilateral development bank | global | 2024 to 2025 | annual | parliament, tax, access |
B.3Regional reading: governance across ten clusters
Map plates follow with the regional Baseline Editions, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form and scores no region.
| Region | Principal hazards | Systems most exposed | Baseline evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| North America | level of democracy for the average citizen at its lowest in over 50 years, in V-Dem’s reading of Western Europe and North America combined | courts, legislatures, media | V-Dem1 |
| South America | highest regional homicide rate at 19.3 per 100,000 in Latin America and the Caribbean; about 60% of killings of defenders over the decade | justice, civil society | SDG 16 storylines5 |
| Europe | V-Dem lists seven EU member states and two close allies as autocratizing; median bribery prevalence of 9% for Europe and Northern America | courts, media, integrity | V-Dem1; SDG 165 |
| Eurasia | regional statistics not bound | not bound | gap register |
| Middle East and North Africa | 65% of recorded civilian conflict deaths in 2025 fell in Western Asia and Northern Africa; all 24 Speaker posts held by men | justice, legislatures | SDG 16 storylines5 |
| Africa | median bribery prevalence of 24% in Sub-Saharan Africa; more than half of Sub-Saharan countries have fully compliant human rights institutions | integrity, rights bodies | SDG 16 storylines5 |
| South Asia | almost 60% of prisoners unsentenced in Central and Southern Asia in 2024; median bribery prevalence of 22.5% | justice, integrity | SDG 16 storylines5 |
| East Asia | homicide rate of 0.9 per 100,000 in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia; satisfaction with health service availability reported at 88.2% by one UN source and 74.2% by another | services, justice | SDG 16 storylines56 |
| ASEAN | not read separately; included in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia in the UN series | not bound | gap register |
| Oceania-Pacific | national bribery prevalence ranges from 4% to 64%; about 11% of small island developing states have fully compliant human rights institutions | integrity, rights bodies | SDG 16 storylines5 |
B.4Instrument card: pandemic rules and the Health Regulations
- health
- treaty
- regulation
- cross-border
- Systems in view
- health, trade, travel, research
- Defining events
- amendments to the Health Regulations in June 2024 and adoption of the Pandemic Agreement on 20 May 20252019
- Couplings
- GOV → HLT emergency determination; BIO → HLT zoonotic risk; GOV → TRD travel and trade measures
- Capability evidence
- adopted texts with a defined pandemic emergency and a national authority20
- Gaps
- ratification status; pathogen access annex position
- Agenda items
- G-02 · G-08
The Pandemic Agreement enters into force after sixty ratifications and opens for signature after its annex is adopted [19].
TREATY
Entry condition
The amended Regulations define a pandemic emergency and require a National IHR Authority [20].
REGULATION
Pandemic emergency
A study of 177 countries found trust and low corruption associated with lower infection rates, and preparedness indices not [28].
LEARNING
Trust and preparedness
B.5How countries appear in the governance edition
Countries enter the governance edition through the institutions chapters of their own national editions, on one card grammar. They are read against peer distributions and thresholds, never ranked.
| Card field | What it shows | Source |
|---|---|---|
| WEFH+B state | each core system against peer distribution bands | national edition |
| Couplings | the national dependency matrix | national edition |
| Risk objects | the national risk portfolio | national edition |
| Capability rungs | the national capability ladder | national edition |
| Evidence age | oldest and newest source dates | national source register |
Editions in the 2026 Baseline programme
26national
countries and unions
10regional
clusters
16global
flagship and sector
20frontier
technology reports
How to read a country card
- Each system is shown against the distribution of its peers, with thresholds where they exist
- Couplings and risk objects come from the country’s own national edition
- Capability rungs record evidence, not a judgement of institutions
- Evidence age is printed, so older national data are visible as such
| Wave | Countries and unions | State |
|---|---|---|
| W0 | Canada | ISSUED |
| W1 | United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, European Union, Switzerland | PLANNED |
| W2 | Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Türkiye, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, South Africa, Senegal, Kenya, African Union, India, China, Republic of Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, Australia | PLANNED |
B.6Licences
| Material | Licence |
|---|---|
| Text | CC BY 4.0 |
| Data | on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0 |
| Figures | Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited |
| Maps | boundary source and licence printed on each plate |
| Metadata | CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it |
| Third-party data, figures and text | The source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed |
| Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence. | |
B.7Formats and provenance
| Format | Kind | State | What it is | Identifier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Web edition | HTML | On this site | Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. | NR-SECTOR-POLICY-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| Print edition | At release | A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. | NR-SECTOR-POLICY-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | |
| Indicator data | CSV · JSON | On this site | 27 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. | NR-SECTOR-POLICY-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1 |
| Figures | SVG · PNG | On this site | 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. | FIG-SECTOR-POLICY-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-* |
| Slides | Not recorded | No slide deck is recorded for this edition. | ||
| Evidence brief | HTML · PDF | Not recorded | No evidence brief is recorded for this edition. | |
| Dataset with DOI | DataCite | At release | Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet. |
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- DC-SECTOR-POLICY-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
- Publisher of record
- The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 1Nord, M., Altman, D., Fernandes, T., Good God, A. and Lindberg, S.I., Democracy Report 2026: Unraveling The Democratic Era? (March 2026; PDF read, based on the V-Dem dataset v16). V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 2Freedom House (ed.), Freedom in the World 2026: The Growing Shadow of Autocracy, press release of 19 March 2026 (the press release was read, not the report). Freedom House, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 4Transparency International (ed.), Corruption Perceptions Index 2025 (results page read). Transparency International, Berlin. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6United Nations Secretary-General, Progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals, A/81/93-E/2026/73, 8 June 2026 (PDF read). United Nations, New York. Observation year 2024 to 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, SG.GEN.PARL.ZS, proportion of seats held by women in national parliaments, world aggregate (API extract, series last updated 2026-10-08; underlying data from the Inter-Parliamentary Union). World Bank, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5UN DESA Statistics Division (ed.), The Sustainable Development Goals Extended Report 2026, Goal 16 indicator storylines (inputs as of 30 April 2026; PDF read). United Nations, New York. Observation year 2024 to 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 7UNHCR (ed.), Global Trends: Forced Displacement in 2025 (PDF read as a mirrored copy of the agency document; data as of 1 May 2026). UN Refugee Agency, Geneva. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9UNCTAD (ed.), A World of Debt 2026: Rising debt costs and stalling development (publication page with key statistics read; the full report was not opened). UN Trade and Development, Geneva. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 13DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS (tax revenue, % of GDP) and IT.NET.USER.ZS (individuals using the Internet), world aggregates (API extract, series last updated 2026-10-08; the Internet series was read and not used in a finding). World Bank, Washington. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 10UN DESA Division for Public Institutions and Digital Government (ed.), United Nations E-Government Survey 2024 (survey page read). United Nations, New York. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11ITU (ed.), Measuring digital development: Facts and Figures 2026 (statistics page read; the 2026 edition gives end-2026 estimates). International Telecommunication Union, Geneva. Observation year 2026 (estimate). Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO (eds.), The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2026: Understanding and addressing the high cost of a healthy diet (landing page read; the full report was not opened). FAO, Rome. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3International IDEA (ed.), The Global State of Democracy 2025: Democracy on the Move (publication summary page read, not the PDF). International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, Stockholm. Observation year 2024 to 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 20World Health Assembly, International Health Regulations (2005) as amended, document A77/A/CONF./14, 1 June 2024 (PDF read). World Health Organization, Geneva. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 19World Health Assembly, resolution WHA78.1, WHO Pandemic Agreement, 20 May 2025 (PDF read, including the annexed agreement). World Health Organization, Geneva. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back