- Reports
- Baseline Edition 2026
- Complete edition
Exponential Technology Report 2026: Genomics and Gene Editing
Exponential Technology
Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
Imprint
- Editor
- Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor, the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
- Publisher of record
- The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto
- Report number
- NR-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE
- Evidence close
- 30 September 2026, cut DC-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-B0
- Status
- Draft under stewardship review; not yet released
- DOI and UNI
- Issued at deposit
- Licence
- CC BY 4.0 for Nexus-authored text, tables and figures; third-party material keeps its own licence
- Cite as
- Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Exponential Technology Report 2026: Genomics and Gene Editing (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI). https://therisk.global/nexus-reports/editions/xt-05/
Contents
- Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
- Executive summary
Executive summary
The edition on a few pages: the abstract, the key messages, the headline finding and what each steward reads in it.
S.1Abstract
Genomics and gene editing matter to the Nexus programme in two ways. They are a data and hardware infrastructure: sequencers, reference genomes, biobanks, compute and a workforce that reads results. They are also a therapeutic technology whose first products are reaching patients, with rules that differ by country. The therapy evidence is strong for one product family. In a phase 3 study of exagamglogene autotemcel in sickle cell disease, 29 of 30 evaluable patients (97%) were free of severe vaso-occlusive crises for 12 months or more2. In transfusion-dependent beta-thalassaemia, 32 of 35 evaluable patients (91%) reached transfusion independence3. The FDA approved the first CRISPR-based therapy on 8 December 20231. A 2025 report describes one infant treated with a patient-specific base editor4. The data base is large. The first complete human genome sequence has 3.055 billion base pairs11, UK Biobank has sequenced 490,640 participants16, and the All of Us programme released 245,388 genomes, 77% from communities under-represented in research17. The physical and legal base is less measured. Vendor pages claim sequencing prices of USD 60 or more per genome15, independent costs are not bound, and compute has a carbon footprint21. Trade controls shaped sequencer supply in 20253031. Heritable editing is judged unacceptable at this time by the Third Summit28. This baseline sets out what the evidence supports and where it is thin. It forecasts no clinical or market outcome and ranks no country or company.
S.2Key messages
Six readings that frame the genomics baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.
In two phase 3 studies most evaluable patients met the primary end point at short follow-up.23
Do editing therapies work?Reported
The FDA approved Casgevy on 8 December 2023 for patients 12 and older.1
Is the approval real?Reported
One infant received a patient-specific base editor in 2025; one case is not a trend.4
Can a therapy be made for one patient?Reported
No. A 2023 death after high-dose viral vector therapy and a 2025 liver event show open risks.910
Is the safety record settled?Reported
A complete genome of 3.055 billion base pairs and genome releases of 245,388 and 490,640 people.111617
How large are the data resources?Reported
Vendor pages claim list prices; independent cost data were not read.1415
What does a genome cost?Reported
The Third Summit judged it unacceptable at this time; national rules differ.2728
What are the rules on heritable editing?Reported
Whether delivery, payment and oversight can keep pace with individualised editing. SCN-XT05-DLV-01
What will 2027 test first?Expert input
S.3Headline finding
ReportedEQL 4NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-HLT-001
In a phase 3 study of exa-cel in severe sickle cell disease, 29 of 30 evaluable patients (97%) were free of severe vaso-occlusive crises for at least 12 consecutive months.
| Item | Bar, scaled to the largest value | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Evaluable for the primary end point | 30 | |
| Free of severe crises for 12 months or more | 29 | |
| Free of related hospitalisation for 12 months or more | 30 |
Source: Frangoul et al., NEJM 20242. 44 patients received exa-cel; 30 had sufficient follow-up.
The result supports reading ex vivo editing of blood stem cells as a working therapy for one disease. Median follow-up was 19.3 months, patients needed myeloablative conditioning, and no cancers occurred in the period reported. The FDA approved the product on 8 December 2023 for patients 12 and older12.
S.4At a glance
S.5What each steward reads in it
GCRI · KEY T
Technical Truth
The evidence supports reading genomics as data infrastructure and as a therapeutic technology.
GRF · KEY M
Public Meaning
For most people the genomics story arrives as a cure headline, a data-privacy scare or a price.
GRA · KEY F
Capital Meaning
Readiness implications only. Revenue is small, access depends on cost and manufacturing capacity, and one-time prices raise payment questions.
NEXUS
Synthesis
Genomics is well described by single results and thinly measured as a system.
S.6What this edition is, and is not
What this edition is
A baseline: the 2026 state of genomics and gene editing as infrastructure and the couplings through which it carries risk into other systems. It synthesises published evidence and ranks no country, company or asset.
What it is not
Not a forecast of therapy uptake, a technology ranking, an endorsement of any vendor or an assessment of any programme. Clinical approval, data protection, trade controls and rules on heritable editing are decisions of competent authorities.
What comes next
National, regional and sector evidence feeds the 2027 genomics edition through the federation. Each edition reports what changed against this baseline: observations, source revisions, method changes, scenario updates and corrections.
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3Locatelli, F. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Transfusion-Dependent beta-Thalassemia, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 52 treated, 35 evaluable, 32 transfusion independent). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 1US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), FDA approves first gene therapies to treat patients with sickle cell disease (press announcement, 8 December 2023; Casgevy uses CRISPR/Cas9, Lyfgenia a lentiviral vector; patients 12 years and older). FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 4Musunuru, K. et al., Patient-Specific In Vivo Gene Editing to Treat a Rare Genetic Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; one infant, two infusions at about 7 and 8 months of age). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17All of Us Research Program Genomics Investigators, Genomic data in the All of Us Research Program, Nature 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 245,388 genomes; 77% from communities under-represented in research). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21Grealey, J. et al., The Carbon Footprint of Bioinformatics, Molecular Biology and Evolution 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%). Oxford University Press, Oxford. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 30Latham and Watkins (ed.), BIOSECURE Act becomes law, limiting grants with biotechnology companies of concern (law-firm summary; enacted 18 December 2025 in the FY2026 NDAA; OMB list due by 18 December 2026; secondary source of a statute). Latham and Watkins, Los Angeles. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31MedTech Dive (ed.), China to lift Illumina export ban (trade press, November 2025; listing in February 2025, import ban in March 2025, lift on 10 November 2025, instrument sales in China down 54% in the third quarter; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 28Royal Society (ed.), Statement from the Organising Committee of the Third International Summit on Human Genome Editing (8 March 2023; convened by the Royal Society, the Academy of Medical Sciences, the US National Academies and The World Academy of Sciences). Royal Society, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9BioSpace (ed.), Life-threatening liver toxicity triggers FDA freeze on two Intellia gene therapy studies (trade press, 30 October 2025; relays company disclosures; secondary report, weak evidence). BioSpace, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 10Lek, A. et al., Death after High-Dose rAAV9 Gene Therapy in a Patient with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy, New England Journal of Medicine 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Illumina (ed.), NovaSeq X Series product page (vendor claims: 16 to 21 Tb per run for NovaSeq X Plus, more than 128 genomes per run, run time about 14 to 48 hours; vendor evidence, weak). Illumina, San Diego. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 27World Health Organization (ed.), Human genome editing: a framework for governance (technical document, 12 July 2021; companion recommendations published separately and not read). WHO, Geneva. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results (company press release read through a wire page; Casgevy revenue USD 42.9 million against USD 14.2 million; pediatric submission completed; company statement, weak evidence). Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
- Chapter 1
Genomics is data infrastructure and a therapeutic frontier
Part I describes systems and their couplings. It ranks no country or operator and assesses no authority.
1.1The questions this part answers
Key questions
- Where is genomics risk concentrated?
- Which couplings carry genomics shocks into other systems?
- Which genomics capabilities hold under compound stress?
- What must 2027 evidence measure first?
In this part
- Narrative
- Headline finding
- Lead figure
- Five footprint and governance chapters
- Twelve-domain reading
- Sector screens
- Dependency matrix
- Risk objects
- Capability ladder
- Scenario
- Three lenses
- Portfolio
1.2The argument
Genomics is often told as a story of falling cost. The 2026 evidence reads it as two things at once: a data and hardware infrastructure of sequencers, reference genomes and biobanks, and a therapeutic technology whose first products now reach patients11161.
The therapy evidence is strong for one family. In two phase 3 studies, 97% of evaluable sickle cell patients and 91% of evaluable thalassaemia patients met the primary end point23. One infant received a patient-specific base editor in 20254. These are results at short follow-up, not a settled safety record910.
The data evidence is practical. A complete genome sequence of 3.055 billion base pairs exists11, a draft pangenome adds 119 million base pairs12, and two biobanks hold hundreds of thousands of genomes1617. Most genetic studies still rest on European ancestry1819.
The physical and legal base is the least measured part. Vendor pages claim low sequencing prices1415, the energy footprint of sequencing is unpublished, compute has a carbon footprint21, and trade rules changed sequencer supply in 20253031.
Both releases added sequence to the earlier reference. The two figures are measured against the same earlier reference but with different methods, so they are not additive1112.
| Item | Bar, scaled to the largest value | Value |
|---|---|---|
| T2T-CHM13 (2022): nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence | 200 | |
| Draft pangenome (2023): 119 million base pairs of added polymorphic sequence | 119 |
Source: as cited in the note to this figure. Year 2023.
Figure ID FIG-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-01-003
1.3Twenty couplings between five systems
The genomics-centred matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core systems, read for their genomics content. Strengths are Nexus estimates (ESTIMATED) from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the graph that 2027 evidence will test.
Each line is one coupling from one system to another, drawn by the strength the edition assigns. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events.
- Strong
- Moderate
- Weak
Source: this edition’s coupling matrix (Table 1.1); status Estimated.
| From, to | WAT | ENE | FOO | HLT | BIO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAT Water | · | WEAK no documented link | WEAK no documented link | WEAK no documented link | WEAK no documented link |
| ENE Energy | WEAK no documented link | · | WEAK no documented link | WEAK compute and cold chain power | WEAK no documented link |
| FOO Food | WEAK no documented link | WEAK no documented link | · | WEAK no documented link | WEAK no documented link |
| HLT Health | WEAK no documented link | WEAK clinic and laboratory load | WEAK no documented link | · | MODERATE genome data and therapy outcomes |
| BIO Biodiversity | WEAK no documented link | WEAK no documented link | MODERATE edited plants under new rules | MODERATE genome variation and disease | · |
| Strength: strong, moderate or weak; a Nexus estimate (status Estimated) from cited evidence and analogue events. The scale is defined in Annex A. | |||||
Transmission paths
- 01
DAT → HLT
Reference genomes and biobanks inform diagnosis and therapy targets.
- 02
TRD → INF
Trade rules change sequencer supply.
- 03
FIN → HLT
Payment and manufacturing capacity limit therapy access.
- 04
ENE → INF
Compute and cold chain power shape the cost of scale.
- 05
GOV → HLT
Approval pathways and heritable-editing limits set what reaches patients.
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 1US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), FDA approves first gene therapies to treat patients with sickle cell disease (press announcement, 8 December 2023; Casgevy uses CRISPR/Cas9, Lyfgenia a lentiviral vector; patients 12 years and older). FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3Locatelli, F. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Transfusion-Dependent beta-Thalassemia, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 52 treated, 35 evaluable, 32 transfusion independent). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 4Musunuru, K. et al., Patient-Specific In Vivo Gene Editing to Treat a Rare Genetic Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; one infant, two infusions at about 7 and 8 months of age). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9BioSpace (ed.), Life-threatening liver toxicity triggers FDA freeze on two Intellia gene therapy studies (trade press, 30 October 2025; relays company disclosures; secondary report, weak evidence). BioSpace, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 10Lek, A. et al., Death after High-Dose rAAV9 Gene Therapy in a Patient with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy, New England Journal of Medicine 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12Liao, W.-W. et al. (Human Pangenome Reference Consortium), A draft human pangenome reference, Nature 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 47 phased diploid assemblies; 119 million base pairs added). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17All of Us Research Program Genomics Investigators, Genomic data in the All of Us Research Program, Nature 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 245,388 genomes; 77% from communities under-represented in research). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 18Fatumo, S. et al., A roadmap to increase diversity in genomic studies, Nature Medicine 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 19Sirugo, G., Williams, S.M. and Tishkoff, S.A., The Missing Diversity in Human Genetic Studies, Cell 2019 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Cell Press, Cambridge. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Illumina (ed.), NovaSeq X Series product page (vendor claims: 16 to 21 Tb per run for NovaSeq X Plus, more than 128 genomes per run, run time about 14 to 48 hours; vendor evidence, weak). Illumina, San Diego. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21Grealey, J. et al., The Carbon Footprint of Bioinformatics, Molecular Biology and Evolution 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%). Oxford University Press, Oxford. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 30Latham and Watkins (ed.), BIOSECURE Act becomes law, limiting grants with biotechnology companies of concern (law-firm summary; enacted 18 December 2025 in the FY2026 NDAA; OMB list due by 18 December 2026; secondary source of a statute). Latham and Watkins, Los Angeles. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31MedTech Dive (ed.), China to lift Illumina export ban (trade press, November 2025; listing in February 2025, import ban in March 2025, lift on 10 November 2025, instrument sales in China down 54% in the third quarter; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results (company press release read through a wire page; Casgevy revenue USD 42.9 million against USD 14.2 million; pediatric submission completed; company statement, weak evidence). Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 7Chetlapalli, K. et al., Haploidentical transplant, gene therapy, and standard care in sickle cell disease: a cost-effectiveness analysis, Blood 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; gene therapy access limited by cost and manufacturing capacity). American Society of Hematology, Washington. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 22Lannelongue, L., Grealey, J. and Inouye, M., Green Algorithms: Quantifying the Carbon Footprint of Computation, Advanced Science 2021 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Wiley, Weinheim. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5Clinical Trials Arena (ed.), FDA unveils new pathway to usher bespoke therapies to market (trade press, 13 November 2025; describes the plausible mechanism pathway announced in a journal article by the FDA Commissioner and the CBER Director; secondary report, weak evidence). Clinical Trials Arena, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 28Royal Society (ed.), Statement from the Organising Committee of the Third International Summit on Human Genome Editing (8 March 2023; convened by the Royal Society, the Academy of Medical Sciences, the US National Academies and The World Academy of Sciences). Royal Society, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
- Chapter 2
Key findings
Twelve findings carry the genomics baseline. They are grouped by coupling and never ranked. Each resolves to its source or, where Nexus analysis is involved, to its stated method.
2.1Headline finding
ReportedEQL 4NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-HLT-001
In a phase 3 study of exa-cel in severe sickle cell disease, 29 of 30 evaluable patients (97%) were free of severe vaso-occlusive crises for at least 12 consecutive months.
| Item | Bar, scaled to the largest value | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Evaluable for the primary end point | 30 | |
| Free of severe crises for 12 months or more | 29 | |
| Free of related hospitalisation for 12 months or more | 30 |
Source: Frangoul et al., NEJM 20242. 44 patients received exa-cel; 30 had sufficient follow-up.
Implication
The result supports reading ex vivo editing of blood stem cells as a working therapy for one disease. Median follow-up was 19.3 months, patients needed myeloablative conditioning, and no cancers occurred in the period reported. The FDA approved the product on 8 December 2023 for patients 12 and older12.
What would move it
Longer follow-up, treatment counts, price negotiations and cost-effectiveness studies would each move this finding67.
2.2Health
ReportedEQL 4NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-HLT-001
In a phase 3 study of exa-cel in severe sickle cell disease, 29 of 30 evaluable patients (97%) were free of severe vaso-occlusive crises for 12 months or more, and all 30 were free of related hospitalisation.2
ReportedEQL 4NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-HLT-002
In a phase 3 study of exa-cel in transfusion-dependent beta-thalassaemia, 32 of 35 evaluable patients (91%) reached transfusion independence for 12 months or more.3
ReportedEQL 3NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-HLT-003
A 2025 report describes one infant with carbamoyl-phosphate synthetase 1 deficiency who received a patient-specific base-editing therapy in two infusions; follow-up was 7 weeks after the first infusion and no serious adverse events occurred.45
ReportedEQL 2NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-HLT-004
In October 2025 a patient in a phase 3 trial of an in vivo editing therapy had a life-threatening liver event, and the FDA placed two trials on hold, according to trade press reporting company disclosures.939
2.3Finance
ReportedEQL 3NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-FIN-005
Casgevy revenue was USD 42.9 million in the first quarter of 2026 against USD 14.2 million a year earlier, and a cost-effectiveness analysis states that gene therapy access is limited by cost and manufacturing capacity.67
2.4Data and digital
ReportedEQL 4NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-DAT-006
The T2T-CHM13 sequence has 3.055 billion base pairs with nearly 200 million new, and the draft pangenome holds 47 phased diploid assemblies and adds 119 million base pairs of polymorphic sequence.1112
ReportedEQL 4NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-DAT-007
UK Biobank released whole genomes for 490,640 participants and All of Us released 245,388 genomes, of which 77% are from communities under-represented in research; literature finds most studies still rest on European ancestry.16171819
2.5Infrastructure
ReportedEQL 2NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-INF-008
Vendor pages claim more than 128 genomes per run on one sequencer and a USD 60 genome at list price on another; neither claim is independent evidence.141540
2.6Energy
ReportedEQL 3NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-ENE-009
A study of common analyses found biobank-scale association studies emit substantial carbon, and a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%.2122
2.7Trade
ReportedEQL 3NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-TRD-010
China listed Illumina as an unreliable entity in February 2025, banned its sequencer imports in March 2025 and lifted the ban on 10 November 2025; the BIOSECURE Act was enacted on 18 December 2025.3031
2.8Governance
ReportedEQL 5NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-GOV-011
The FDA approved Casgevy and Lyfgenia on 8 December 2023, and the Third Summit organising committee judged heritable genome editing unacceptable at this time on 8 March 2023.12728
2.9Systemic
Expert inputEQL 2NRF-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012
The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is individualised editing moving faster than the payment, manufacturing and oversight systems around it. § scenario
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 1US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), FDA approves first gene therapies to treat patients with sickle cell disease (press announcement, 8 December 2023; Casgevy uses CRISPR/Cas9, Lyfgenia a lentiviral vector; patients 12 years and older). FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results (company press release read through a wire page; Casgevy revenue USD 42.9 million against USD 14.2 million; pediatric submission completed; company statement, weak evidence). Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 7Chetlapalli, K. et al., Haploidentical transplant, gene therapy, and standard care in sickle cell disease: a cost-effectiveness analysis, Blood 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; gene therapy access limited by cost and manufacturing capacity). American Society of Hematology, Washington. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3Locatelli, F. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Transfusion-Dependent beta-Thalassemia, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 52 treated, 35 evaluable, 32 transfusion independent). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 4Musunuru, K. et al., Patient-Specific In Vivo Gene Editing to Treat a Rare Genetic Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; one infant, two infusions at about 7 and 8 months of age). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5Clinical Trials Arena (ed.), FDA unveils new pathway to usher bespoke therapies to market (trade press, 13 November 2025; describes the plausible mechanism pathway announced in a journal article by the FDA Commissioner and the CBER Director; secondary report, weak evidence). Clinical Trials Arena, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9BioSpace (ed.), Life-threatening liver toxicity triggers FDA freeze on two Intellia gene therapy studies (trade press, 30 October 2025; relays company disclosures; secondary report, weak evidence). BioSpace, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 39UNVERIFIED, not opened: Intellia Therapeutics and trade press on the lifting of the 2025 clinical holds on the MAGNITUDE trials, taken from search-result summaries that differ on dates. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12Liao, W.-W. et al. (Human Pangenome Reference Consortium), A draft human pangenome reference, Nature 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 47 phased diploid assemblies; 119 million base pairs added). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17All of Us Research Program Genomics Investigators, Genomic data in the All of Us Research Program, Nature 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 245,388 genomes; 77% from communities under-represented in research). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 18Fatumo, S. et al., A roadmap to increase diversity in genomic studies, Nature Medicine 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 19Sirugo, G., Williams, S.M. and Tishkoff, S.A., The Missing Diversity in Human Genetic Studies, Cell 2019 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Cell Press, Cambridge. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Illumina (ed.), NovaSeq X Series product page (vendor claims: 16 to 21 Tb per run for NovaSeq X Plus, more than 128 genomes per run, run time about 14 to 48 hours; vendor evidence, weak). Illumina, San Diego. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 40UNVERIFIED, not opened: Ultima Genomics (ed.), UG 100 Solaris launch announcement of 24 February 2025 (USD 80 genome at list price), taken from search-result summaries; vendor evidence, weak. Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21Grealey, J. et al., The Carbon Footprint of Bioinformatics, Molecular Biology and Evolution 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%). Oxford University Press, Oxford. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 22Lannelongue, L., Grealey, J. and Inouye, M., Green Algorithms: Quantifying the Carbon Footprint of Computation, Advanced Science 2021 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Wiley, Weinheim. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 30Latham and Watkins (ed.), BIOSECURE Act becomes law, limiting grants with biotechnology companies of concern (law-firm summary; enacted 18 December 2025 in the FY2026 NDAA; OMB list due by 18 December 2026; secondary source of a statute). Latham and Watkins, Los Angeles. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31MedTech Dive (ed.), China to lift Illumina export ban (trade press, November 2025; listing in February 2025, import ban in March 2025, lift on 10 November 2025, instrument sales in China down 54% in the third quarter; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 27World Health Organization (ed.), Human genome editing: a framework for governance (technical document, 12 July 2021; companion recommendations published separately and not read). WHO, Geneva. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 28Royal Society (ed.), Statement from the Organising Committee of the Third International Summit on Human Genome Editing (8 March 2023; convened by the Royal Society, the Academy of Medical Sciences, the US National Academies and The World Academy of Sciences). Royal Society, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
- Chapter 3
Systems and sectors at baseline
3.1Where each system stood at evidence close
HLT · Therapy
Evaluable sickle cell patients free of severe crises
97%29 of 30 patients, 12 months or more.
Reported2024NEJM2
DAT · Reference
Base pairs in the complete T2T-CHM13 sequence
3.055billionnearly 200 million base pairs new.
Reported2022Science11
DAT · Biobanks
Participants with whole genomes in UK Biobank
490,640participantsreleased in 2025.
Reported2025Nature16
FIN · Finance
Casgevy revenue in the first quarter
42.9USD millionagainst 14.2 in the first quarter of 2025; company report.
Reported2026Vertex6
INF · Hardware
Vendor claim: genomes per NovaSeq X Plus run
>128genomesvendor page, not independent evidence.
Reported2026Illumina14
TRD · Trade
Fall in Illumina instrument sales in China, third quarter
54% fallyear on year; import ban lifted in November 2025.
Reported2025MedTech Dive31
3.2Domain posture
Each of the twelve coupled domains is read through genomics, in words, not scored. The coupling column names the dependency that carries genomics risk into each domain.
| Domain | Posture at baseline | Coupling | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAT | Water use of sequencing laboratories and cell-therapy manufacture is not published. | none documented | Expert input EQL 1 |
| ENE | Compute for genomics has a carbon footprint; sequencing and cold-chain energy is unpublished. | ENE ↔ INF | Reported EQL 3 |
| FOO | Gene-edited plants are regulated in England and the EU; yield and uptake evidence is not bound here. | GOV → FOO | Reported EQL 3 |
| HLT | The core therapeutic coupling: one approved editing product, a case report and safety events. | the core system | Reported EQL 4 |
| BIO | Reference genomes and pangenomes describe human variation; ecological applications are not evidenced here. | DAT → BIO | Reported EQL 3 |
| CLI | Footprint at scale is not bound; no figure is used. | ENE → CLI | Expert input EQL 1 |
| INF | Sequencers, flow cells and cold chains carry the work; throughput claims come from vendors. | INF ↔ DAT | Reported EQL 2 |
| FIN | Casgevy revenue is rising from a small base; access is limited by cost and manufacturing capacity. | FIN → HLT | Reported EQL 3 |
| DAT | Reference genomes and two large biobanks; ancestry balance is uneven. | the data carrier | Reported EQL 4 |
| AIC | A genome foundation model trained on 9.3 trillion base pairs was reported in a 2025 preprint; clinical use is not evidenced here. | DAT → AIC | Reported EQL 2 |
| MIN | No documented mineral coupling at baseline; consumables and reagents are not assessed. | none documented | Expert input EQL 1 |
| TRD | Trade rules changed instrument supply in 2025 and a procurement law followed. | TRD → INF | Reported EQL 3 |
3.3Sector screens
All sixteen sectors are screened for their dependence on genomics, on the same grammar as every national edition. The evidence column describes coverage of the baseline evidence, not the performance of the sector.
| Code | Sector | Baseline evidence | Exposure to watch | Evidence coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS-00 | Cross-system | genomics couples to health, data, trade and finance | delivery outpaces oversight | THIN |
| GS-01 | Water | water use not published | none documented | THIN |
| GS-02 | Energy | compute footprint21 | load from large compute | THIN |
| GS-03 | Food | plant editing rules2936 | regulatory divergence | PARTIAL |
| GS-04 | Health | approved therapy and phase 3 results123 | safety and access | GOOD |
| GS-05 | Finance | Casgevy revenue6 | payment of one-time therapies | PARTIAL |
| GS-06 | Development | cost barrier in low-income settings8 | widening gaps | THIN |
| GS-07 | Climate | footprint at scale not bound | energy demand | THIN |
| GS-08 | Disaster | no documented coupling | none documented | THIN |
| GS-09 | Infrastructure | sequencer and cold-chain needs14 | single-vendor dependence | THIN |
| GS-10 | Cities | no documented coupling | none documented | THIN |
| GS-11 | Biodiversity | no documented coupling | none documented | THIN |
| GS-12 | Earth observation | no documented coupling | none documented | THIN |
| GS-13 | Cyber and digital | genetic data sale in bankruptcy3238 | data protection | PARTIAL |
| GS-14 | Policy | WHO framework and national rules272936 | uneven oversight | PARTIAL |
| GS-15 | Science | strong peer-reviewed base21112 | common benchmarks | GOOD |
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results (company press release read through a wire page; Casgevy revenue USD 42.9 million against USD 14.2 million; pediatric submission completed; company statement, weak evidence). Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Illumina (ed.), NovaSeq X Series product page (vendor claims: 16 to 21 Tb per run for NovaSeq X Plus, more than 128 genomes per run, run time about 14 to 48 hours; vendor evidence, weak). Illumina, San Diego. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31MedTech Dive (ed.), China to lift Illumina export ban (trade press, November 2025; listing in February 2025, import ban in March 2025, lift on 10 November 2025, instrument sales in China down 54% in the third quarter; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21Grealey, J. et al., The Carbon Footprint of Bioinformatics, Molecular Biology and Evolution 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%). Oxford University Press, Oxford. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 29UK Parliament (ed.), Genetic Technology (Precision Breeding) Act 2023, 2023 c. 6 (contents page read; section texts not read). UK Parliament, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 36UNVERIFIED, not opened: European Parliament and Council, Regulation (EU) 2026/1388 on plants obtained by certain new genomic techniques (adopted 17 June 2026, published 26 June 2026, applies from 17 July 2028), taken from search-result summaries that differ on some dates. Official Journal of the European Union, Luxembourg. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 1US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), FDA approves first gene therapies to treat patients with sickle cell disease (press announcement, 8 December 2023; Casgevy uses CRISPR/Cas9, Lyfgenia a lentiviral vector; patients 12 years and older). FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3Locatelli, F. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Transfusion-Dependent beta-Thalassemia, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 52 treated, 35 evaluable, 32 transfusion independent). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 8Montano-Campos, J.F. et al., Cost-effectiveness of gene therapy for sickle cell disease in Uganda: tailoring high-income evidence to Uganda context, Gene Therapy 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 32MedTech Dive (ed.), Anne Wojcicki bid to buy 23andMe in bankruptcy (trade press, 17 June 2025; USD 305 million bid against a USD 256 million bid; state objections; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 38UNVERIFIED, not opened: NPR (ed.), Judge approves sale of 23andMe to a nonprofit led by its founder (30 June 2025), taken from a search-result summary; the page returned a service error. NPR, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 27World Health Organization (ed.), Human genome editing: a framework for governance (technical document, 12 July 2021; companion recommendations published separately and not read). WHO, Geneva. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12Liao, W.-W. et al. (Human Pangenome Reference Consortium), A draft human pangenome reference, Nature 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 47 phased diploid assemblies; 119 million base pairs added). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
- Chapter 4
Risks and capability
Four genomics risk objects open the portfolio. Order carries no rank. Each is read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and consequence.
4.1Risk objects
Each risk is read across the chain from hazard to consequence, with its status and evidence-quality level.
InferredEQL 3RSK-XT05-HLT-001
Safety events in in vivo editing
InferredEQL 3RSK-XT05-DAT-002
Genetic data ownership and privacy
InferredEQL 3RSK-XT05-TRD-003
Sequencer and consumable supply politics
InferredEQL 3RSK-XT05-GOV-004
Uneven oversight of editing
4.2Capability ladder
Existence is not readiness. Each of the fifteen capability functions is placed on the ladder by the strongest public evidence for genomics at the global level.
| Function | Rung | Level | Strongest public evidence at baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prevention and mitigation | EXISTS | newborn and population screening programmes running34 | |
| Monitoring and observation | LISTED | no common tracker of treatment counts or long-term safety | |
| Early warning | LISTED | safety signals reach the public through company disclosures9 | |
| Preparedness and planning | EXISTS | WHO framework and approval pathways1527 | |
| Redundancy and reserves | LISTED | instrument and reagent reserves are not documented | |
| Response | EXISTS | clinical holds and monitoring rules were applied in 20259 | |
| Continuity of critical services | LISTED | cold-chain continuity for cell therapies not documented | |
| Recovery | LISTED | not applicable at baseline | |
| Adaptation | EXISTS | new pathways for individualised therapies are being drafted537 | |
| Social protection | LISTED | access in low-income settings is limited8 | |
| Finance and insurance | LISTED | price negotiations ongoing; payer data not bound7 | |
| Institutional coordination | EXISTS | summits and WHO governance work2728 | |
| Technical infrastructure | EXISTS | reference genomes and biobanks available111617 | |
| Workforce | LISTED | genetic counsellor numbers known; wider workforce not bound33 | |
| Research capacity | ADEQUATE | strong peer-reviewed base2111224 | |
| A capability listed in policy is not a tested one; each rung is the strongest public evidence at baseline. | |||
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 9BioSpace (ed.), Life-threatening liver toxicity triggers FDA freeze on two Intellia gene therapy studies (trade press, 30 October 2025; relays company disclosures; secondary report, weak evidence). BioSpace, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 10Lek, A. et al., Death after High-Dose rAAV9 Gene Therapy in a Patient with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy, New England Journal of Medicine 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 27World Health Organization (ed.), Human genome editing: a framework for governance (technical document, 12 July 2021; companion recommendations published separately and not read). WHO, Geneva. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 32MedTech Dive (ed.), Anne Wojcicki bid to buy 23andMe in bankruptcy (trade press, 17 June 2025; USD 305 million bid against a USD 256 million bid; state objections; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 38UNVERIFIED, not opened: NPR (ed.), Judge approves sale of 23andMe to a nonprofit led by its founder (30 June 2025), taken from a search-result summary; the page returned a service error. NPR, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 44UNVERIFIED, not opened: Genetic Information Nondiscrimination Act of 2008, Public Law 110-233, United States Congress, cited from memory. Observation year 2008. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 30Latham and Watkins (ed.), BIOSECURE Act becomes law, limiting grants with biotechnology companies of concern (law-firm summary; enacted 18 December 2025 in the FY2026 NDAA; OMB list due by 18 December 2026; secondary source of a statute). Latham and Watkins, Los Angeles. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31MedTech Dive (ed.), China to lift Illumina export ban (trade press, November 2025; listing in February 2025, import ban in March 2025, lift on 10 November 2025, instrument sales in China down 54% in the third quarter; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5Clinical Trials Arena (ed.), FDA unveils new pathway to usher bespoke therapies to market (trade press, 13 November 2025; describes the plausible mechanism pathway announced in a journal article by the FDA Commissioner and the CBER Director; secondary report, weak evidence). Clinical Trials Arena, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 29UK Parliament (ed.), Genetic Technology (Precision Breeding) Act 2023, 2023 c. 6 (contents page read; section texts not read). UK Parliament, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 36UNVERIFIED, not opened: European Parliament and Council, Regulation (EU) 2026/1388 on plants obtained by certain new genomic techniques (adopted 17 June 2026, published 26 June 2026, applies from 17 July 2028), taken from search-result summaries that differ on some dates. Official Journal of the European Union, Luxembourg. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 28Royal Society (ed.), Statement from the Organising Committee of the Third International Summit on Human Genome Editing (8 March 2023; convened by the Royal Society, the Academy of Medical Sciences, the US National Academies and The World Academy of Sciences). Royal Society, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 41UNVERIFIED, not opened: Council of Europe (ed.), Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Dignity of the Human Being with regard to the Application of Biology and Medicine (Oviedo Convention), 1997, cited from memory; the page returned an access error. Council of Europe, Strasbourg. Observation year 1997. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 42UNVERIFIED, not opened: Lander, E.S. et al., Adopt a moratorium on heritable genome editing, Nature 567, 165 to 168, 2019, cited from memory. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 34Genomics England (ed.), Generation Study: newborn genome sequencing (initiative page; 100,000 babies; more than 200 conditions; recruitment progress not stated). Genomics England, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 1US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), FDA approves first gene therapies to treat patients with sickle cell disease (press announcement, 8 December 2023; Casgevy uses CRISPR/Cas9, Lyfgenia a lentiviral vector; patients 12 years and older). FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 37UNVERIFIED, not opened: US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), draft guidance on the plausible mechanism framework for individualised therapies, February 2026, taken from search-result summaries. FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 8Montano-Campos, J.F. et al., Cost-effectiveness of gene therapy for sickle cell disease in Uganda: tailoring high-income evidence to Uganda context, Gene Therapy 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 7Chetlapalli, K. et al., Haploidentical transplant, gene therapy, and standard care in sickle cell disease: a cost-effectiveness analysis, Blood 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; gene therapy access limited by cost and manufacturing capacity). American Society of Hematology, Washington. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17All of Us Research Program Genomics Investigators, Genomic data in the All of Us Research Program, Nature 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 245,388 genomes; 77% from communities under-represented in research). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 33US Bureau of Labor Statistics (ed.), Occupational Outlook Handbook: Genetic Counselors (about 4,200 jobs in 2025; median pay USD 100,040 in May 2025; 10% growth projected 2025 to 2035). BLS, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12Liao, W.-W. et al. (Human Pangenome Reference Consortium), A draft human pangenome reference, Nature 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 47 phased diploid assemblies; 119 million base pairs added). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 24Jinek, M. et al., A programmable dual-RNA-guided DNA endonuclease in adaptive bacterial immunity, Science 2012 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2012. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
- Chapter 5
Individualised editing outpaces delivery systems
A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
5.1Assumptions
Scenario SCN-XT05-DLV-01: what is assumed, and what is held constant.
- Baseline
- the 2026 reference state in this edition
- Drivers
- bespoke editing pathways open faster than payment, manufacturing and oversight capacity grow
- Analogues
- the 2025 patient-specific therapy and the 2025 trial holds459
- Interventions
- none modelled: the specification describes the unmitigated case
- Run state
- narrative specification; quantified run scheduled for 2027
5.2The cascade, step by step
- 1
GOV → HLT
a plausible mechanism pathway lowers the evidence needed for bespoke therapies
2025
- 2
HLT → FIN
payers face one-time prices with thin outcome data
2026
- 3
INF → HLT
manufacturing and clinic capacity limit who is treated
2026
- 4
HLT → GOV
a safety event in a bespoke or in vivo therapy triggers holds
2025
- 5
TRD → INF
trade rules change instrument and reagent supply
2025
- 6
DAT → FIN
genetic data and biobanks become assets in disputes over ownership
2025
5.3The scenario as a table of steps
How the shock in scenario SCN-XT05-DLV-01 would travel through Genomics and Gene Editing’s coupled systems, step by step, under the assumptions the edition states.
| Step | What happens | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Governance to health | A plausible mechanism pathway lowers the evidence needed for bespoke therapies. Analogue or source: 2025. | Edition XT-05, scenario SCN-XT05-DLV-01, step 1 |
| 02 Health to finance | Payers face one-time prices with thin outcome data. Analogue or source: 2026. | Edition XT-05, scenario SCN-XT05-DLV-01, step 2 |
| 03 Infrastructure to health | Manufacturing and clinic capacity limit who is treated. Analogue or source: 2026. | Edition XT-05, scenario SCN-XT05-DLV-01, step 3 |
| 04 Health to governance | A safety event in a bespoke or in vivo therapy triggers holds. Analogue or source: 2025. | Edition XT-05, scenario SCN-XT05-DLV-01, step 4 |
| 05 Trade to infrastructure | Trade rules change instrument and reagent supply. Analogue or source: 2025. | Edition XT-05, scenario SCN-XT05-DLV-01, step 5 |
| 06 DAT to finance | Genetic data and biobanks become assets in disputes over ownership. Analogue or source: 2025. | Edition XT-05, scenario SCN-XT05-DLV-01, step 6 |
A teaching model of a conditional scenario under the edition’s stated assumptions: not a forecast, not a prediction and not a warning. Sources: Genomics and Gene Editing 2026, scenario SCN-XT05-DLV-01 (2026); Genomics and Gene Editing 2026, references (NR-CIT-1) (2026).
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 4Musunuru, K. et al., Patient-Specific In Vivo Gene Editing to Treat a Rare Genetic Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; one infant, two infusions at about 7 and 8 months of age). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5Clinical Trials Arena (ed.), FDA unveils new pathway to usher bespoke therapies to market (trade press, 13 November 2025; describes the plausible mechanism pathway announced in a journal article by the FDA Commissioner and the CBER Director; secondary report, weak evidence). Clinical Trials Arena, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9BioSpace (ed.), Life-threatening liver toxicity triggers FDA freeze on two Intellia gene therapy studies (trade press, 30 October 2025; relays company disclosures; secondary report, weak evidence). BioSpace, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
- Chapter 6
Readings from the other desks
The genomics baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole. Each lens is a projection of reviewed findings, not a separate argument. The other desks’ own editions of this subject are listed first, as cross-references, not copies.
6.1The other desks’ editions of this subject
Federation: each desk writes its own edition for the subjects in its remit. Until a desk releases, its edition shows its frame and the reading this edition printed for it.
| Desk | Edition | State | Identifier |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCRI Systems Evidence | No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| GRF Public Deliberation | Outside this desk’s remit | Not in remit | |
| GRA Capital Readiness | Outside this desk’s remit | Not in remit | |
| Standards Progress | No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Academy Capability | No edition of this subject at this desk in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Index Measurement | Outside this desk’s remit | Not in remit |
6.2Three lenses
One edition, read by each steward. The lens of this site comes first.
GCRI · KEY T
Technical Truth
The evidence supports reading genomics as data infrastructure and as a therapeutic technology. Results are strong for one therapy family and for reference data, and the physical, cost and supply layers are thinly measured. Evidence is strongest for single peer-reviewed results, and weakest for energy, cost and treatment counts.
HLT-001 · DAT-006 · GOV-011 · SYS-012
GRF · KEY M
Public Meaning
For most people the genomics story arrives as a cure headline, a data-privacy scare or a price. The baseline asks that public debate separate peer-reviewed results from company claims, and keep consent over genetic data in view.
HLT-001 · HLT-004 · DAT-007
GRA · KEY F
Capital Meaning
Readiness implications only. Revenue is small, access depends on cost and manufacturing capacity, and one-time prices raise payment questions67. These show where finance-readiness evidence will matter. Nothing here is advice, a rating or an approval.
FIN-005 · HLT-002
NEXUS
Synthesis
Genomics is well described by single results and thinly measured as a system. The 2027 programme should count treatments, publish a comparable footprint and test the delivery pathway before more bespoke therapies reach patients.
SYS-012 · Q-01 · Q-02
6.3Standards, Academy and steward contributions
How the Nexus Standards drafts, the Risk Academy and the three stewards feed each quarterly edition for genomics. The standards are a preparatory working draft (2026) and are cited as drafts, never as adopted standards.
| Quarter | Edition | Question | Boundary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | State and Agenda | What matters this year, and what is the starting position? | observed baseline stays distinct from planned work |
| Q2 | Evidence and Build | What new evidence and capability exist? | a configured capability is not a validated result |
| Q3 | Stress Test and Readiness | What do scenarios and tests show? | simulated loss or performance is not observed impact |
| Q4 | Annual Synthesis and Renewal | What changed in the year, and what renews? | release follows review, not event publicity deadlines |
| Steward or body | Role | Contribution route |
|---|---|---|
| GCRI Canada | Lead Institution and Consortium Secretariat; publisher of record; technical truth (key T) | science and practice communities · GCRI gateway |
| The Global Risks Forum (GRF) | leadership, dialogue and the Universe programme; public meaning (key M) | policy, Universe and national adoption · GRF gateway |
| The Global Risks Alliance (GRA) | finance, insurance and development readiness; capital meaning (key F) | finance and insurance · GRA gateway |
| Nexus Standards | preparatory drafts on vocabulary, hazards, indicators and methods | Standards site · working groups HAZ, IND, MTH, FIN, AI |
| Risk Academy | learning pathways tied to the agenda questions | Academy gateway · learning by review |
| Nexus Standards and Academy | technology chapter inputs: GCRI evidence, NXS standards, RA capability | technology editorial board |
Standards drafts used in this edition
- Risk vocabulary NRS-C1 (424 terms) for terms in the glossary
- Hazard atlas NHS-1 1.1.0 (905 hazards in 120 families) for risk objects
- Seven risk classes: global, catastrophic, existential, emerging, planetary, exponential, frontier-tech
Standards calendar to watch
- Founding calls from 20 October 2026; working groups meet from 5 November 2026
- Inaugural Global Standards Council session, 12 January 2027
- Quarterly reviews in March, June, September and December, aligned with each edition
6.4GCRI reading: the model card
GCRI’s reading of this edition is its model card: what the national model is, what it computes and where it stops. It is printed in full in Annex A, with the methods it belongs to. Annex A, methodology
6.5Global Risks Forum reading: editorial essays
Four signed essays by the Reports editorial team set out the positions this edition takes. They are interpretation, labelled as such; the evidence they draw on is in the findings register.
Genomics is a data and hardware build-out and a therapeutic frontier. The first is large and measurable; the second is real for one product family and early for the rest. Keeping them apart avoids both hype and complacency.
EDITORIAL ESSAY · 01
Two stories, one technology
A peer-reviewed phase 3 report, a company revenue line and a vendor price page carry different weight. This edition labels each and asks for a common basis before costs are compared.
EDITORIAL ESSAY · 02
Separate results, claims and prices
Compute, cold chains and instruments are rarely counted. A published footprint would show whether scale is limited by energy, supply or money.
EDITORIAL ESSAY · 03
The footprint is the blind spot
Therapies exist for a few patients. Whether they reach people in low-income settings depends on cost, manufacturing and clinics, which analyses are only starting to model.
EDITORIAL ESSAY · 04
Access is the open question
6.6Global Risks Alliance reading: 2027 genomics readiness pack
The registers that open the 2027 global cycle. At baseline each is initialised from this edition.
| Item | Register | State at baseline | First 2027 entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| E1 | Genomics risk state delta | baseline set by this edition | changes against the baseline |
| E2 | WEFH+B state delta | five global system readings set | indicator updates and freshness |
| E3 | Agenda and Portfolio movement | eight agenda items · 6 proposed objects | admission decisions |
| E4 | Federation delivery register | national chapters in preparation | national chapters |
| E5 | Consortium capability register | national consortia forming | first contributions |
| E6 | Leadership questions and challenges | none yet | first challenge log |
| E7 | Foundry technical state | national environments prepared | first federation cut |
| E8 | Publication candidates | twelve findings carried forward | PUBLISH · HOLD dispositions |
| E9 | Universe readiness | one candidate mission | admission and role spine |
| E10 | Correction register | none | first federation-wide cycle |
Publication dispositions
- Publish
- Hold
- Needs evidence
- Restricted
- Superseded
6.7Nexus Standards reading: standards and regulatory watch
Instruments and published guidance that shape the systems in this edition, by status on the retrieval date. The edition assesses no one’s compliance.
- IN FORCE
- PUBLISHED
- DRAFT
- PUBLISHED · VOLUNTARY
| Instrument | Body | Scope | Status | Relevance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA approval of Casgevy and Lyfgenia1 | FDA | US | PUBLISHED 2023 | approval |
| Plausible mechanism pathway537 | FDA | US | DRAFT 2026 | bespoke therapies |
| Human genome editing framework27 | WHO | global | PUBLISHED · VOLUNTARY | governance |
| Third Summit statement28 | organising committee | global | PUBLISHED 2023 | heritable editing |
| Genetic Technology (Precision Breeding) Act 202329 | UK Parliament | England | IN FORCE | plant editing |
| Regulation (EU) 2026/138836 | EU Parliament and Council | EU | PUBLISHED 2026 | plant editing |
| BIOSECURE provisions in the FY2026 NDAA30 | US Congress | US | IN FORCE | procurement |
| Oviedo Convention41 | Council of Europe | Europe | IN FORCE | genome interventions |
| Genetic Information Nondiscrimination Act44 | US Congress | US | IN FORCE | data and employment |
| Heritable editing moratorium call42 | scientists | global | PUBLISHED 2019 | moratorium |
Changed since 2024
6.8Risk Academy reading: literature and evidence review, science and assessments
The review behind this edition covers genomics assessments, peer-reviewed science and the institutional reports that bind its findings. Systematic reviews for each agenda item begin in 2027.
Review protocol
- Question
- What does the published evidence establish about genomics and gene editing as infrastructure and its couplings?
- Sources searched
- peer-reviewed journals and preprints; regulators and international bodies; statutes and statements; market, vendor and trade-press reports
- Window
- releases available at evidence close, 30 September 2026
- Selection
- sources that bind or contextualise a finding in this edition
- Next step
- systematic reviews for agenda items 01 to 05 in 2027
| Reference | Type | Year | Role | Used for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frangoul et al.2 | journal article | 2024 | supports | sickle cell therapy |
| Locatelli et al.3 | journal article | 2024 | supports | thalassaemia therapy |
| Musunuru et al.4 | journal article | 2025 | supports | patient-specific editing |
| Lek et al.10 | journal article | 2023 | context | safety event |
| Nurk et al.11 | journal article | 2022 | supports | complete genome |
| Liao et al.12 | journal article | 2023 | supports | pangenome |
| Jinek et al.24 | journal article | 2012 | framework | programmable Cas9 |
| Komor et al.25 | journal article | 2016 | framework | base editing |
| Reference | Issuer | Year | Role | Used for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anzalone et al.26 | journal article | 2019 | framework | prime editing |
| UK Biobank consortium16 | journal article | 2025 | supports | whole genomes |
| All of Us investigators17 | journal article | 2024 | supports | diverse cohort |
| Fatumo et al.18 | journal article | 2022 | context | diversity roadmap |
| Sirugo, Williams and Tishkoff19 | journal article | 2019 | context | missing diversity |
| Stephens et al.20 | journal article | 2015 | context | data growth |
| IHGSC43 | journal article | 2001 | framework | first draft sequence |
| Grealey et al.21 | journal article | 2022 | supports | compute footprint |
| Reference | Issuer | Year | Role | Used for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA approval notice1 | FDA | 2023 | supports | approval |
| WHO framework27 | WHO | 2021 | supports | governance |
| Third Summit statement28 | organising committee | 2023 | supports | heritable editing |
| Precision Breeding Act29 | UK Parliament | 2023 | supports | plant editing |
| Oviedo Convention41 | Council of Europe | 1997 | context | genome interventions |
| Reference | Issuer | Year | Role | Used for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex first quarter report6 | Vertex | 2026 | context | company revenue |
| Cost-effectiveness analysis7 | Blood | 2026 | supports | cost and capacity |
| Illumina product page14 | Illumina | 2026 | context | vendor claim |
| Ultima product page15 | Ultima | 2026 | context | vendor claim |
| Employment projection33 | BLS | 2025 | supports | workforce |
| Generation Study34 | Genomics England | 2026 | context | newborn sequencing |
| Evo 2 preprint23 | bioRxiv | 2025 | context | genome model |
Where the evidence agrees
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 6Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results (company press release read through a wire page; Casgevy revenue USD 42.9 million against USD 14.2 million; pediatric submission completed; company statement, weak evidence). Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 7Chetlapalli, K. et al., Haploidentical transplant, gene therapy, and standard care in sickle cell disease: a cost-effectiveness analysis, Blood 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; gene therapy access limited by cost and manufacturing capacity). American Society of Hematology, Washington. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 1US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), FDA approves first gene therapies to treat patients with sickle cell disease (press announcement, 8 December 2023; Casgevy uses CRISPR/Cas9, Lyfgenia a lentiviral vector; patients 12 years and older). FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5Clinical Trials Arena (ed.), FDA unveils new pathway to usher bespoke therapies to market (trade press, 13 November 2025; describes the plausible mechanism pathway announced in a journal article by the FDA Commissioner and the CBER Director; secondary report, weak evidence). Clinical Trials Arena, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 37UNVERIFIED, not opened: US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), draft guidance on the plausible mechanism framework for individualised therapies, February 2026, taken from search-result summaries. FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 27World Health Organization (ed.), Human genome editing: a framework for governance (technical document, 12 July 2021; companion recommendations published separately and not read). WHO, Geneva. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 28Royal Society (ed.), Statement from the Organising Committee of the Third International Summit on Human Genome Editing (8 March 2023; convened by the Royal Society, the Academy of Medical Sciences, the US National Academies and The World Academy of Sciences). Royal Society, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 29UK Parliament (ed.), Genetic Technology (Precision Breeding) Act 2023, 2023 c. 6 (contents page read; section texts not read). UK Parliament, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 36UNVERIFIED, not opened: European Parliament and Council, Regulation (EU) 2026/1388 on plants obtained by certain new genomic techniques (adopted 17 June 2026, published 26 June 2026, applies from 17 July 2028), taken from search-result summaries that differ on some dates. Official Journal of the European Union, Luxembourg. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 30Latham and Watkins (ed.), BIOSECURE Act becomes law, limiting grants with biotechnology companies of concern (law-firm summary; enacted 18 December 2025 in the FY2026 NDAA; OMB list due by 18 December 2026; secondary source of a statute). Latham and Watkins, Los Angeles. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 41UNVERIFIED, not opened: Council of Europe (ed.), Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Dignity of the Human Being with regard to the Application of Biology and Medicine (Oviedo Convention), 1997, cited from memory; the page returned an access error. Council of Europe, Strasbourg. Observation year 1997. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 44UNVERIFIED, not opened: Genetic Information Nondiscrimination Act of 2008, Public Law 110-233, United States Congress, cited from memory. Observation year 2008. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 42UNVERIFIED, not opened: Lander, E.S. et al., Adopt a moratorium on heritable genome editing, Nature 567, 165 to 168, 2019, cited from memory. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3Locatelli, F. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Transfusion-Dependent beta-Thalassemia, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 52 treated, 35 evaluable, 32 transfusion independent). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 4Musunuru, K. et al., Patient-Specific In Vivo Gene Editing to Treat a Rare Genetic Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; one infant, two infusions at about 7 and 8 months of age). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 10Lek, A. et al., Death after High-Dose rAAV9 Gene Therapy in a Patient with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy, New England Journal of Medicine 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12Liao, W.-W. et al. (Human Pangenome Reference Consortium), A draft human pangenome reference, Nature 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 47 phased diploid assemblies; 119 million base pairs added). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 24Jinek, M. et al., A programmable dual-RNA-guided DNA endonuclease in adaptive bacterial immunity, Science 2012 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2012. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 25Komor, A.C. et al., Programmable editing of a target base in genomic DNA without double-stranded DNA cleavage, Nature 2016 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2016. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 26Anzalone, A.V. et al., Search-and-replace genome editing without double-strand breaks or donor DNA, Nature 2019 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17All of Us Research Program Genomics Investigators, Genomic data in the All of Us Research Program, Nature 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 245,388 genomes; 77% from communities under-represented in research). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 18Fatumo, S. et al., A roadmap to increase diversity in genomic studies, Nature Medicine 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 19Sirugo, G., Williams, S.M. and Tishkoff, S.A., The Missing Diversity in Human Genetic Studies, Cell 2019 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Cell Press, Cambridge. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 20Stephens, Z.D. et al., Big Data: Astronomical or Genomical?, PLOS Biology 2015 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Public Library of Science, San Francisco. Observation year 2015. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 43UNVERIFIED, not opened: International Human Genome Sequencing Consortium, Initial sequencing and analysis of the human genome, Nature 409, 860 to 921, 2001, cited from memory. Observation year 2001. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21Grealey, J. et al., The Carbon Footprint of Bioinformatics, Molecular Biology and Evolution 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%). Oxford University Press, Oxford. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Illumina (ed.), NovaSeq X Series product page (vendor claims: 16 to 21 Tb per run for NovaSeq X Plus, more than 128 genomes per run, run time about 14 to 48 hours; vendor evidence, weak). Illumina, San Diego. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 33US Bureau of Labor Statistics (ed.), Occupational Outlook Handbook: Genetic Counselors (about 4,200 jobs in 2025; median pay USD 100,040 in May 2025; 10% growth projected 2025 to 2035). BLS, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 34Genomics England (ed.), Generation Study: newborn genome sequencing (initiative page; 100,000 babies; more than 200 conditions; recruitment progress not stated). Genomics England, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 23Brixi, G. et al., Genome modelling and design across all domains of life with Evo 2, bioRxiv preprint 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; trained on 9.3 trillion base pairs; not peer reviewed at the time of reading). Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, New York. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9BioSpace (ed.), Life-threatening liver toxicity triggers FDA freeze on two Intellia gene therapy studies (trade press, 30 October 2025; relays company disclosures; secondary report, weak evidence). BioSpace, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 22Lannelongue, L., Grealey, J. and Inouye, M., Green Algorithms: Quantifying the Carbon Footprint of Computation, Advanced Science 2021 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Wiley, Weinheim. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
- Chapter 7
The 2027 agenda
Eight bounded questions open the 2027 genomics agenda. Each comes from a baseline finding, names the initiative that will carry it and the first output due in the 2027 genomics edition.
7.1Questions for the operational series
- Q-01
How many patients are treated with editing therapies, at what price, and where are the access gaps?
INI-XT05-DLV-01 · delivery and access; first output: treatment and price register.
- Q-02
What energy, cooling and cold-chain load do sequencing and cell therapies carry?
INI-XT05-ENE-02 · footprint of genomics; first output: footprint estimates by activity.
- Q-03
What do sequencing and therapy costs look like on an independent basis?
INI-XT05-CST-03 · cost on a common basis; first output: cost table.
- Q-04
Which instruments, consumables and reagents are single points of failure?
INI-XT05-SUP-04 · sequencer supply; first output: dependence map.
- Q-05
How balanced are genome datasets by ancestry on a common basis?
INI-XT05-DIV-05 · dataset balance; first output: ancestry table.
- Q-06
Which national rules cover genetic data, somatic editing and heritable editing?
To be admitted in 2027; first output: rule overlay.
- Q-07
What workforce exists for genetic counselling, laboratory work and bioinformatics?
To be admitted in 2027; first output: scoping note.
- Q-08
Which readiness capabilities have been tested, and which are only planned?
Readiness capability register; first output: rung evidence for 15 functions.
7.2Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment
Five initiatives and one Universe mission candidate are proposed for the 2027 genomics portfolio. They are programme objects: no partner, funder or member is attached to them in this edition.
| ID | Object | Kind | Question | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INI-XT05-DLV-01 | Delivery and access | Initiative | Q-01 | PROPOSED |
| INI-XT05-ENE-02 | Footprint of genomics | Initiative | Q-02 | PROPOSED |
| INI-XT05-CST-03 | Cost on a common basis | Initiative | Q-03 | PROPOSED |
| INI-XT05-SUP-04 | Sequencer supply | Initiative | Q-04 | PROPOSED |
| INI-XT05-DIV-05 | Dataset balance | Initiative | Q-05 | PROPOSED |
| MSN-XT05-2027-01 | Delivery pathway Universe mission | Mission | Q-01 | Candidate |
7.3The pathway
The genomics edition reads national readiness chapters, the coupled sector reports on health and data, and the global edition through one governed evidence graph. At baseline the federation is designed; the global energy and lifeline editions are drafted. This page states what exists today and what comes next.
- 01
National readiness chapters
genomic medicine and data-protection readiness in each national edition
IN PREPARATION · national baselines
- 02
Sector couplings
GS-04 health · XT-04 biotechnology · XT-10 cryptography
GS-04 DRAFTED · sector baselines
- 03
Technology system model
sequencing, data, therapies, trade, workforce, governance
v0 SPECIFIED · v1 with federation evidence
- 04
Strategic links
SR-02 lifeline systems · SR-13 strategic technology
PLANNED · strategic baselines
- 05
Universe
annual proving environment
CANDIDATE MISSION · mandate in 2027
- 06
XT-05 report
this series
BASELINE DRAFT · 2027 annual edition
- 07
Evidence and correction
one graph, many projections
OPEN · first correction cycle in 2027
7.4Universe 2027: evidence pack for the genomics candidate mission
- 01
Mandate
- 02
Core Build · 1 month
- 03
Action · 1 week
- 04
Evidence seal
- 05
Portfolio correction
- 06
Next mandate
| Item | Record | State | Timing |
|---|---|---|---|
| F1 | Annual mandate record | PLANNED | after the Q2 2027 alignment |
| F2 | Core Build record | PLANNED | one month before the exercise |
| F3 | Exercise evidence | PLANNED | during the Action week |
| F4 | Decision packets | PLANNED | exercise state only |
| F5 | Proof receipts | PLANNED | scoped to each recorded check |
| F6 | After-action report | PLANNED | within one quarter |
| F7 | Upgrade docket | PLANNED | routed to the Portfolio |
| F8 | Portfolio renewal | PLANNED | 2027 global annual edition |
| F9 | Public synthesis | PLANNED | public-safe extracts only |
Mission
- ID
- MSN-XT05-2027-01 · Delivery pathway Universe mission
- Role spine
- Leadership sponsor · Institutional anchor · Mission lead: drawn from national pathways
- Receiving actors
- to be identified with the mandate
7.5Handoffs and routing
Where the baseline’s findings go next. A handoff routes a finding for awareness, review or work; it transfers no authority.
| Finding | Routed to | Purpose | Class |
|---|---|---|---|
| HLT-001 · sickle cell therapy | INI-XT05-DLV-01 | delivery and access | PUBLIC |
| HLT-004 · safety event | INI-XT05-DLV-01 | delivery and access | PUBLIC |
| DAT-007 · biobanks | INI-XT05-DIV-05 | dataset balance | PUBLIC |
| INF-008 · vendor claims | INI-XT05-CST-03 | cost on a common basis | PUBLIC |
| ENE-009 · compute footprint | INI-XT05-ENE-02 · key F review | footprint of genomics | PUBLIC |
| TRD-010 · trade | INI-XT05-SUP-04 | sequencer supply | PUBLIC |
| GOV-011 · approval and governance | regional consortia | rule overlay | PUBLIC |
| SYS-012 · compound pathway | MSN-XT05-2027-01 | Universe candidate | CONSORTIUM |
| Class | Where it goes | Who can see it |
|---|---|---|
| PUBLIC | the published edition and its evidence bundle | anyone |
| CONSORTIUM | governed rooms of the federation | consortium members under agreement |
| CONTROLLED | need-to-know channels | named competent actors only |
7.6Feeds and signal register
| Feed | Producer | Latency | Feeds into |
|---|---|---|---|
| Journals and preprints on editing and safety | peer review and preprints | continuous | HLT-001 |
| FDA approvals and guidance | FDA | per release | GOV-011 |
| Biobank data releases | biobanks | per release | DAT-007 |
| Company results and announcements | companies | quarterly | FIN-005 |
| Trade and procurement notices | agencies and ministries | per event | TRD-010 |
| Employment projections | BLS | annual | FIN-005 |
| Clinical hold and safety notices | companies and FDA | per event | HLT-004 |
Escalation routes
- none · keep monitoring
- research question
- project
- risk object
- annual publication
- signal report
| ID | Signal | Corroboration | Systems | Route |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIG-XT05-001 | Phase 3 exa-cel results23 | CORROBORATED | HLT | research question Q-01 |
| SIG-XT05-002 | Clinical hold on in vivo editing trials, October 20259 | PARTIAL | HLT | research question Q-01 |
| SIG-XT05-003 | Vendor price claims for sequencing1415 | PARTIAL | INF | initiative Q-03 |
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3Locatelli, F. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Transfusion-Dependent beta-Thalassemia, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 52 treated, 35 evaluable, 32 transfusion independent). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9BioSpace (ed.), Life-threatening liver toxicity triggers FDA freeze on two Intellia gene therapy studies (trade press, 30 October 2025; relays company disclosures; secondary report, weak evidence). BioSpace, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Illumina (ed.), NovaSeq X Series product page (vendor claims: 16 to 21 Tb per run for NovaSeq X Plus, more than 128 genomes per run, run time about 14 to 48 hours; vendor evidence, weak). Illumina, San Diego. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- Genomics and Gene Editing 2026
- Chapter 8
Systems in depth
One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.
8.1Sequencing hardware, data and compute
Sequencers, reference genomes and biobanks carry the data base. Evidence is strongest where peer review exists, and weakest where claims rest on vendor pages.
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reference genomes | a complete sequence and a 47-assembly draft pangenome published | 1112 | Reported |
| Biobanks | two releases of 490,640 and 245,388 genomes | 1617 | Reported |
| Sequencers | vendor pages claim 16 to 21 Tb per run and a USD 60 genome on another platform | 1415 | Reported |
| Genome models | a 2025 preprint reports a model trained on 9.3 trillion base pairs | 23 | Reported |
Couplings
- INF ↔ DAT hardware and data
- DAT → HLT diagnosis and targets
- DAT → AIC genome models
Evidence to bind in 2027
- independent cost per genome
- sequencer fleet by country
Related editions
- GLB Global Systems
- GS-04 Health
- XT-04 Biotechnology
- XT-10 Cybersecurity and Advanced Cryptography
- SR-04 Critical Minerals and Strategic Materials
- XT-01 Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems
8.2Compute, energy and cold chains
Genomics is a big-data science, and compute has a carbon footprint. The energy and cooling use of sequencing and of cell-therapy cold chains is not published.
cold-chain energy and water
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compute | biobank-scale association studies emit substantial carbon; software choices matter | 2122 | Reported |
| Data growth | genomics projected to be on par with the most demanding data domains | 20 | Reported |
| Cold chain | cell therapies are collected, edited and infused; energy not published | 16 | Expert input |
| Water | not published for laboratories and manufacture | 21 | Expert input |
Couplings
- ENE ↔ INF facility power
- ENE → CLI emissions
- INF → HLT cold-chain continuity
Evidence to bind in 2027
- sequencing and cold-chain energy
- laboratory water use
Related editions
- GLB Global Systems
- GS-04 Health
- XT-04 Biotechnology
- XT-10 Cybersecurity and Advanced Cryptography
- SR-04 Critical Minerals and Strategic Materials
- XT-01 Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems
8.3Instruments, consumables and supply chain
Sequencing depends on instruments and consumables from a few suppliers, and trade rules changed supply in 2025.
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Instrument trade | China banned Illumina imports in March 2025 and lifted the ban in November 2025 | 31 | Reported |
| Procurement law | BIOSECURE enacted on 18 December 2025; BGI, FGI and MGI covered through the 1260H list | 30 | Reported |
| New entrants | a second vendor lists a lower price on its own platform | 15 | Reported |
| Reagents and plastics | not assessed in this edition | 14 | Expert input |
Couplings
- TRD → INF instruments
- TRD → DAT data access
- FIN → INF new platforms
Evidence to bind in 2027
- consumable supply by country
- single points of failure by platform
Related editions
- GLB Global Systems
- GS-04 Health
- XT-04 Biotechnology
- XT-10 Cybersecurity and Advanced Cryptography
- SR-04 Critical Minerals and Strategic Materials
- XT-01 Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems
8.4Economy, access and workforce
Therapy revenue is rising from a small base, and access is limited by cost and manufacturing capacity. Workforce figures are thin.
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | USD 42.9 million in the first quarter of 2026 against USD 14.2 million in 2025 | 6 | Reported |
| Access | limited by cost and manufacturing capacity; a Uganda model adapts evidence to local costs | 78 | Reported |
| Counselling workforce | median pay USD 100,040 in May 2025 | 33 | Reported |
| Newborn sequencing | a study plans 100,000 babies and screens for more than 200 conditions | 34 | Reported |
Couplings
- FIN → HLT access
- HLT → FIN payment
- DAT → FIN data assets
Evidence to bind in 2027
- patients treated and prices
- wider workforce
Related editions
- GLB Global Systems
- GS-04 Health
- XT-04 Biotechnology
- XT-10 Cybersecurity and Advanced Cryptography
- SR-04 Critical Minerals and Strategic Materials
- XT-01 Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems
8.5Security, data protection and governance watch
Rules decide what reaches patients and who holds genetic data. Heritable editing is judged unacceptable at this time, and approvals for bespoke therapies are being redrawn.
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Approvals | first CRISPR-based therapy approved; plausible mechanism pathway described | 15 | Reported |
| Heritable editing | judged unacceptable at this time by the Third Summit committee | 28 | Reported |
| Data protection | sale of a large genetic database was approved in bankruptcy in 2025 | 3238 | Reported |
| Plant editing | rules in England and the EU | 2936 | Reported |
Couplings
- GOV → HLT approvals
- GOV → DAT consent
- GOV → FOO plant rules
Evidence to bind in 2027
- national rule texts
- migration of data-protection practice
Related editions
- GLB Global Systems
- GS-04 Health
- XT-04 Biotechnology
- XT-10 Cybersecurity and Advanced Cryptography
- SR-04 Critical Minerals and Strategic Materials
- XT-01 Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Illumina (ed.), NovaSeq X Series product page (vendor claims: 16 to 21 Tb per run for NovaSeq X Plus, more than 128 genomes per run, run time about 14 to 48 hours; vendor evidence, weak). Illumina, San Diego. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12Liao, W.-W. et al. (Human Pangenome Reference Consortium), A draft human pangenome reference, Nature 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 47 phased diploid assemblies; 119 million base pairs added). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17All of Us Research Program Genomics Investigators, Genomic data in the All of Us Research Program, Nature 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 245,388 genomes; 77% from communities under-represented in research). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 23Brixi, G. et al., Genome modelling and design across all domains of life with Evo 2, bioRxiv preprint 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; trained on 9.3 trillion base pairs; not peer reviewed at the time of reading). Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, New York. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21Grealey, J. et al., The Carbon Footprint of Bioinformatics, Molecular Biology and Evolution 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%). Oxford University Press, Oxford. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 20Stephens, Z.D. et al., Big Data: Astronomical or Genomical?, PLOS Biology 2015 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Public Library of Science, San Francisco. Observation year 2015. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 22Lannelongue, L., Grealey, J. and Inouye, M., Green Algorithms: Quantifying the Carbon Footprint of Computation, Advanced Science 2021 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Wiley, Weinheim. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 1US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), FDA approves first gene therapies to treat patients with sickle cell disease (press announcement, 8 December 2023; Casgevy uses CRISPR/Cas9, Lyfgenia a lentiviral vector; patients 12 years and older). FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results (company press release read through a wire page; Casgevy revenue USD 42.9 million against USD 14.2 million; pediatric submission completed; company statement, weak evidence). Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31MedTech Dive (ed.), China to lift Illumina export ban (trade press, November 2025; listing in February 2025, import ban in March 2025, lift on 10 November 2025, instrument sales in China down 54% in the third quarter; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 30Latham and Watkins (ed.), BIOSECURE Act becomes law, limiting grants with biotechnology companies of concern (law-firm summary; enacted 18 December 2025 in the FY2026 NDAA; OMB list due by 18 December 2026; secondary source of a statute). Latham and Watkins, Los Angeles. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 33US Bureau of Labor Statistics (ed.), Occupational Outlook Handbook: Genetic Counselors (about 4,200 jobs in 2025; median pay USD 100,040 in May 2025; 10% growth projected 2025 to 2035). BLS, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 7Chetlapalli, K. et al., Haploidentical transplant, gene therapy, and standard care in sickle cell disease: a cost-effectiveness analysis, Blood 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; gene therapy access limited by cost and manufacturing capacity). American Society of Hematology, Washington. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 8Montano-Campos, J.F. et al., Cost-effectiveness of gene therapy for sickle cell disease in Uganda: tailoring high-income evidence to Uganda context, Gene Therapy 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 34Genomics England (ed.), Generation Study: newborn genome sequencing (initiative page; 100,000 babies; more than 200 conditions; recruitment progress not stated). Genomics England, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 27World Health Organization (ed.), Human genome editing: a framework for governance (technical document, 12 July 2021; companion recommendations published separately and not read). WHO, Geneva. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 36UNVERIFIED, not opened: European Parliament and Council, Regulation (EU) 2026/1388 on plants obtained by certain new genomic techniques (adopted 17 June 2026, published 26 June 2026, applies from 17 July 2028), taken from search-result summaries that differ on some dates. Official Journal of the European Union, Luxembourg. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5Clinical Trials Arena (ed.), FDA unveils new pathway to usher bespoke therapies to market (trade press, 13 November 2025; describes the plausible mechanism pathway announced in a journal article by the FDA Commissioner and the CBER Director; secondary report, weak evidence). Clinical Trials Arena, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 28Royal Society (ed.), Statement from the Organising Committee of the Third International Summit on Human Genome Editing (8 March 2023; convened by the Royal Society, the Academy of Medical Sciences, the US National Academies and The World Academy of Sciences). Royal Society, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 32MedTech Dive (ed.), Anne Wojcicki bid to buy 23andMe in bankruptcy (trade press, 17 June 2025; USD 305 million bid against a USD 256 million bid; state objections; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 38UNVERIFIED, not opened: NPR (ed.), Judge approves sale of 23andMe to a nonprofit led by its founder (30 June 2025), taken from a search-result summary; the page returned a service error. NPR, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 29UK Parliament (ed.), Genetic Technology (Precision Breeding) Act 2023, 2023 c. 6 (contents page read; section texts not read). UK Parliament, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
Methodology
How the edition was made: methods, the model card, the evidence cut and its age, the acceptance record and the glossary.
A.1Methods
The global baseline uses published values and four simple derivations. Each is shown in full so that any reader can reproduce it.
| No. | Derivation | Calculation | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | Share of evaluable sickle cell patients free of crises | 29 ÷ 30 | 97% |
| (2) | Share of evaluable thalassaemia patients transfusion independent | 32 ÷ 35 | 91% |
| (3) | Year-on-year growth in Casgevy revenue, first quarter | 42.9 ÷ 14.2 | about 3.0 times |
| (4) | Evaluable share of treated sickle cell patients | 30 ÷ 44 | 68% |
| Strength | Definition |
|---|---|
| STRONG | a disruption in the source system has historically changed the target system’s service or output within one season, in more than one region |
| MODERATE | an effect is documented but buffered or slower |
| WEAK | an effect is plausible but not documented at global scale |
| Label | Rule |
|---|---|
| Reported | value as issued by its source, with year |
| Inferred | reasoned from cited evidence; never a measurement |
| Estimated | Nexus analytical value with stated method |
| Scenario | conditional on stated assumptions |
| Expert input | structured editorial judgement awaiting evidence |
A.2Model card, Genomics System Model v0
- Model ID
- MDL-XT05-GENOMICS · v0.1
- Purpose
- represent genomics and gene editing as infrastructure coupled to health, compute and energy, trade and supply, finance, workforce and data protection
- Family
- graph-based system of systems
- Inputs
- the cited sources of this edition; no proprietary data
- Method
- expert-specified coupling strengths (STRONG · MODERATE · WEAK) from assessments and analogue events
- Validation
- none yet, first validation against federation evidence in 2027
- Uncertainty
- qualitative; strengths are hypotheses, not measurements
- Domain of validity
- global scale; not for asset-, site- or country-level use
- Reproducibility
- strength table and sources published in this edition
typed in v0
documented within one season
documented, buffered
plausible, undocumented
A.3The baseline evidence cut
Every Nexus edition is published from a frozen evidence cut. The global baseline cut is documentary: it pins the exact edition of every source cited. Federation cuts begin with the first national Foundry cuts in 2027.
- Cut ID
- DC-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-B0
- Type
- baseline documentary cut
- Resolution policy
- pinned · as of 30 September 2026
- Sources pinned
- 44 cited sources, each at the edition and access date in the references
- Model runs
- none at baseline, analytical values are stated with their method
- Digest
- computed at freeze and recorded in the publication record
- Supersedes
- nothing, first cut of the series
- Superseded by
- the 2027 genomics annual cut
Lineage
- 01
source edition
- 02
pinned citation
- 03
finding
- 04
page
- 05
publication record
| Element | Baseline 2026 | 2027 global annual |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | cited global publications, pinned by edition | national, regional and sector cuts through one graph |
| Analysis | stated methods and editorial estimates | typed analysis specifications |
| Models | Genomics System Model v0 specification | model runs with receipts |
| Findings | twelve baseline findings | findings re-bound to federation evidence |
| Review | five passes scheduled | five passes on the exact digest |
A.4Evidence age and coverage
A 2026 global edition rests on evidence observed in many different years. This page shows each time base, so that no single year label hides older evidence.
| Indicator | Observed | Released | Cadence | Next release |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phase 3 sickle cell and thalassaemia reports | 2024 | NEJM 2024 | one-off | longer follow-up |
| FDA approval | 2023 | Dec 2023 | one-off | paediatric label |
| Patient-specific base editing report | 2025 | NEJM 2025 | one-off | follow-up |
| Reference genome and pangenome | 2022 to 2023 | Science 2022 · Nature 2023 | periodic | pangenome release 2 |
| Biobank genome releases | 2024 to 2025 | Nature 2024 · Nature 2025 | periodic | next releases |
| Compute footprint studies | 2021 to 2022 | Adv Sci 2021 · MBE 2022 | one-off | new studies |
| Vertex company report | 2026 | page read 2026-11-03 | quarterly | next quarterly report |
| Illumina trade events | 2025 | Feb to Nov 2025 | per event | current status |
| System | Coverage | Thinnest dimension |
|---|---|---|
| Therapies | PARTIAL | treatment counts and prices |
| Data resources | GOOD | ancestry balance on a common basis |
| Governance | PARTIAL | national rule texts |
| Finance | THIN | payer and price data |
| Energy | THIN | sequencing and cold-chain energy |
| Supply | THIN | consumables and reagents |
| Skills | THIN | workforce beyond counselling |
| Agriculture and environment | THIN | edited crop and animal data |
| Field | Source that would fill it | Blocker |
|---|---|---|
| Energy and cooling use of sequencing laboratories and cell-therapy cold chains | laboratories, manufacturers, peer-reviewed footprint studies | not retrieved; only compute footprints were read2122 |
| NHGRI cost per genome series values | NHGRI sequencing cost data table13 | the page shows graphs and a linked Excel table; the values were not read |
| Independent cost per genome at scale | service providers, national laboratories, published cost studies | only vendor list prices were read, and the Ultima page shows both USD 60 and USD 801540 |
| Patients treated with editing therapies, by country | company reports, treatment centre registries, regulators | the first quarter 2026 report gave no counts6; full-year figures come from a search summary35 |
| Prices paid for editing therapies | payers, health technology assessment bodies, company reports | not retrieved |
| Number of people with a sequenced genome worldwide | national programmes, vendors, published tallies | no consolidated series found |
| Ancestry balance of genome datasets on a common basis | cohort papers and diversity monitors | two cohorts and two commentaries read16171819 |
| Sequencer fleet and consumable supply by country | trade statistics, vendor filings | not retrieved; only trade events were read31 |
| Text of Regulation (EU) 2026/1388 from the Official Journal | Official Journal of the European Union36 | not opened; dates and structure come from search summaries |
| FDA draft guidance on the plausible mechanism pathway | FDA guidance page37 | not opened; the November 2025 report was read5 |
| Date and terms on which the FDA lifted the 2025 clinical holds | company and FDA notices39 | search summaries only; sources differ on dates |
| National rules on genetic data, somatic editing and heritable editing | statutes and regulators | not retrieved; the Oviedo text was not opened41 |
| Genomics workforce beyond genetic counsellors | national statistics, surveys | not retrieved; only counsellor figures were read33 |
| Capability rungs beyond approvals and planning | agencies, clinics, laboratories | not reviewed |
A.5Evidence cards, two anchor sources
Published in the New England Journal of Medicine in 2024 by Frangoul and colleagues. Phase 3 single-group study. Role: binds HLT-001. Coverage: patients 12 to 35 years of age.
EVD-XT05-001
Exagamglogene autotemcel for severe sickle cell disease2
Published in Science in 2022 by the Telomere-to-Telomere Consortium. One-off assembly. Role: binds DAT-006. Coverage: one human cell line genome.
EVD-XT05-002
The complete sequence of a human genome11
| Dimension | EVD-XT05-001 | EVD-XT05-002 |
|---|---|---|
| Completeness | one disease; 30 evaluable patients | one genome; all chromosomes except Y gapless |
| Timeliness | interim analysis at median 19.3 months | single release in 2022 |
| Revision | follow-up reports expected | pangenome release builds on it |
| Method transparency | methods and end points published | assembly methods published |
| External validation | peer review | peer review |
Evidence cards to follow in 2027
A.6Publication acceptance record
Editorial self-check at evidence close. Every applicable item carries a disposition; the remaining items are review, approval and deposit.
| Group | Area | Items | Pass | N/A | Pending |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | Identity and scope | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| D2 | Source and data | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| D3 | Analysis and models | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| D4 | Findings and claims | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| D5 | Figures, tables, maps | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| D6 | Editorial and citations | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| D7 | Review and approval | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| D8 | Artefact and design | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| D9 | Registry and release | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Publication gate
- Conditions met
- 14 of 23 at evidence close
- Blocking problems
- none recorded
- Open conditions
- reviews, approval of the exact digest, deposit, registry pointer
Not applicable at baseline
- Model runs
- first runs in Q1 2027
- Maps
- plates in Q2 2027
- Waivers
- none
A.7Status words
| Status | What it means |
|---|---|
| Observed | Measured directly and published by the source. |
| Reported | Published statistics of an official or institutional source. |
| Declared | Stated by the body concerned; not independently measured. |
| Estimated | A Nexus estimate from cited evidence, with its method in Annex A. |
| Modelled | Produced by a stated model from cited inputs. |
| Inferred | Reasoned from cited evidence; not measured. |
| Forecast | A projection by the cited source. |
| Simulated | A simulation result under stated assumptions. |
| Scenario | A conditional statement under stated assumptions; never a prediction. |
| Expert input | Expert judgement, recorded with its basis. |
| Candidate | Proposed for a later edition; not yet evidence. |
| Evidence-quality levels (EQL 1 to 5) grade the source behind a value; they are not a score of the subject. | |
A.8How the edition is made, released and corrected
Every edition is built from a sealed evidence cut, reviewed under three keys, signed and deposited before any site shows it as published; corrections go to Nexus Standards as change proposals and feed the next cut.
| Step | What happens | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Evidence arrives from the pillars | Foundry seals observations and indicator series, Universe hands over after-action and scenario findings, and contributions are screened at every gateway, including this site’s. | |
| 02 The cut is sealed | On the cut date the evidence is pinned under one identifier, so anyone can rebuild the edition from exactly what it was built on. | |
| 03 The edition is assembled | The edition is drafted from its template and content pack. Agents may draft; they never publish and never decide. | |
| 04 The keys turn | At the publisher of record the truth key comes first: every value is checked against its source or stated method before the meaning and capital keys turn. No edition moves on until every key has been turned by a named steward. | |
| 05 The gate opens | A named approver releases one exact digest of the edition; any change after this point is a new version, never a silent edit. | |
| 06 Signed and deposited | The PDF, the web edition and the data bundle are signed together with a manifest and an RO-Crate description, and deposited on Zenodo with a concept and a version DOI. | |
| 07 Published on its desk’s site | Only then does the edition show as published on its desk’s Reports site, and the Collection lists it as a part. | |
| 08 Corrections go to Standards | Method and correction findings go to Nexus Standards as change proposals; citations, corrections and new contributions feed the next evidence cut. |
A teaching model of the process, not a forecast and not a record of any run; dates and counts on this page come from the programme record. Sources: Reports governance at GCRI Canada (2026); Zenodo, repository of record for Reports deposits (2026).
Lifecycle, one state at a time: Draft, Computed, Evidence bound, Reviewed, Approved for release, Published, Corrected, Superseded. This edition is a draft.
A.9Glossary and abbreviations
| Term | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Baseline Edition | the inaugural annual edition that fixes the reference state for the series |
| WEFH+B | water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, the national nexus core |
| Coupling | a typed dependency through which one system transmits to another |
| Protection gap | the share of losses not covered by insurance |
| Capability ladder | LISTED → EXISTS → ADEQUATE → TESTED → DEMONSTRATED |
| EQL | evidence-quality level, 1–5 |
| Evidence cut | a frozen resolution of exact sources and versions |
| NNC · NLC · NWG | National Nexus Consortium · National Leadership Council · National Working Groups |
| Abbreviation | Expansion |
|---|---|
| bp | base pairs |
| CRISPR | clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats |
| exa-cel | exagamglogene autotemcel |
| FDA | US Food and Drug Administration |
| GWAS | genome-wide association study |
| LNP | lipid nanoparticle |
| NDAA | National Defense Authorization Act |
| NEJM | New England Journal of Medicine |
| OMB | US Office of Management and Budget |
| T2T | Telomere-to-Telomere |
| TDT | transfusion-dependent beta-thalassaemia |
| WHO | World Health Organization |
A.10Technical annex
| Item | Annex | Contents | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| A.1 | Indicator definitions | the global indicator set, with units and sources | IN THIS EDITION |
| A.2 | Coupling strengths | the twenty-cell matrix and its rationale | IN THIS EDITION |
| A.3 | Scenario specification | SCN-XT05-DLV-01 assumptions and signposts | IN THIS EDITION |
| A.4 | Capability placements | rung evidence for fifteen functions | IN THIS EDITION |
| A.5 | Model diagnostics | first runs and validation | 2027 |
| A.6 | Sensitivity analyses | influence of coupling strengths | 2027 |
| A.7 | Cluster notes | cards for the major sequencing and cell-therapy clusters | 2027 |
| A.8 | Review statements | pass-by-pass review record | AT RELEASE |
A.1 · indicator definition: transfusion independence
- Construct
- a weighted average haemoglobin level of 9 g per decilitre or higher without red-cell transfusion for at least 12 consecutive months
- Unit
- patients meeting the definition among evaluable patients
- Method
- prespecified interim analysis of an open-label single-group study
- Source
- New England Journal of Medicine 20243
- Uncertainty
- 95% confidence interval 77 to 98 for the 91% result
- Known limits
- interim analysis; short follow-up; no comparison arm
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 21Grealey, J. et al., The Carbon Footprint of Bioinformatics, Molecular Biology and Evolution 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%). Oxford University Press, Oxford. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 22Lannelongue, L., Grealey, J. and Inouye, M., Green Algorithms: Quantifying the Carbon Footprint of Computation, Advanced Science 2021 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Wiley, Weinheim. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 13National Human Genome Research Institute (ed.), The Cost of Sequencing a Human Genome (fact sheet page; method notes read; the cost values sit in graphs and a linked table that were not read; page updated 16 May 2023). NHGRI, Bethesda. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 40UNVERIFIED, not opened: Ultima Genomics (ed.), UG 100 Solaris launch announcement of 24 February 2025 (USD 80 genome at list price), taken from search-result summaries; vendor evidence, weak. Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results (company press release read through a wire page; Casgevy revenue USD 42.9 million against USD 14.2 million; pediatric submission completed; company statement, weak evidence). Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 35UNVERIFIED, not opened: Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), full-year 2025 results (Casgevy revenue USD 115.8 million in 2025 and USD 10 million in 2024), taken from search-result summaries. Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17All of Us Research Program Genomics Investigators, Genomic data in the All of Us Research Program, Nature 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 245,388 genomes; 77% from communities under-represented in research). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 18Fatumo, S. et al., A roadmap to increase diversity in genomic studies, Nature Medicine 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 19Sirugo, G., Williams, S.M. and Tishkoff, S.A., The Missing Diversity in Human Genetic Studies, Cell 2019 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Cell Press, Cambridge. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31MedTech Dive (ed.), China to lift Illumina export ban (trade press, November 2025; listing in February 2025, import ban in March 2025, lift on 10 November 2025, instrument sales in China down 54% in the third quarter; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 36UNVERIFIED, not opened: European Parliament and Council, Regulation (EU) 2026/1388 on plants obtained by certain new genomic techniques (adopted 17 June 2026, published 26 June 2026, applies from 17 July 2028), taken from search-result summaries that differ on some dates. Official Journal of the European Union, Luxembourg. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 37UNVERIFIED, not opened: US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), draft guidance on the plausible mechanism framework for individualised therapies, February 2026, taken from search-result summaries. FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5Clinical Trials Arena (ed.), FDA unveils new pathway to usher bespoke therapies to market (trade press, 13 November 2025; describes the plausible mechanism pathway announced in a journal article by the FDA Commissioner and the CBER Director; secondary report, weak evidence). Clinical Trials Arena, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 39UNVERIFIED, not opened: Intellia Therapeutics and trade press on the lifting of the 2025 clinical holds on the MAGNITUDE trials, taken from search-result summaries that differ on dates. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 41UNVERIFIED, not opened: Council of Europe (ed.), Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Dignity of the Human Being with regard to the Application of Biology and Medicine (Oviedo Convention), 1997, cited from memory; the page returned an access error. Council of Europe, Strasbourg. Observation year 1997. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 33US Bureau of Labor Statistics (ed.), Occupational Outlook Handbook: Genetic Counselors (about 4,200 jobs in 2025; median pay USD 100,040 in May 2025; 10% growth projected 2025 to 2035). BLS, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3Locatelli, F. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Transfusion-Dependent beta-Thalassemia, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 52 treated, 35 evaluable, 32 transfusion independent). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
Data appendix
The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.
B.1The indicator set
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Year | State | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patients treated with exa-cel, sickle cell study | 44 | patients | 2024 | Reported | 2 |
| Evaluable patients, sickle cell study | 30 | patients | 2024 | Reported | 2 |
| Free of severe crises for 12 months or more | 29 | patients | 2024 | Reported | 2 |
| Median follow-up, sickle cell study | 19.3 | months | 2024 | Reported | 2 |
| Patients treated with exa-cel, thalassaemia study | 52 | patients | 2024 | Reported | 3 |
| Transfusion independent, evaluable patients | 32 of 35 | patients | 2024 | Reported | 3 |
| Base pairs in T2T-CHM13 | 3.055 | billion | 2022 | Reported | 11 |
| New sequence in T2T-CHM13 | ≈200 | million bp | 2022 | Reported | 11 |
| Phased assemblies in draft pangenome | 47 | assemblies | 2023 | Reported | 12 |
| Added sequence in draft pangenome | 119 | million bp | 2023 | Reported | 12 |
| UK Biobank whole genomes | 490,640 | participants | 2025 | Reported | 16 |
| All of Us genomes released | 245,388 | genomes | 2024 | Reported | 17 |
| Casgevy revenue, first quarter 2026 | 42.9 | USD million | 2026 | Reported | 6 |
| Casgevy revenue, first quarter 2025 | 14.2 | USD million | 2025 | Reported | 6 |
| Genetic counsellor jobs | ≈4,200 | jobs | 2025 | Reported | 33 |
| Newborn genomes planned in Generation Study | 100,000 | babies | 2026 | Reported | 34 |
B.2Global source register
The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.
Domains bound by the register
- HLT
- DAT
- FIN
- TRD
- ENE
- INF
- GOV
- FOO
- BIO
- AIC
| Source | Category | Coverage | Period | Cadence | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frangoul et al., NEJM2 | peer-reviewed journal | sickle cell | 2024 | one-off | therapy |
| Locatelli et al., NEJM3 | peer-reviewed journal | thalassaemia | 2024 | one-off | therapy |
| FDA approval notice1 | national regulator | US | 2023 | one-off | approval |
| Nurk et al., Science11 | peer-reviewed journal | method | 2022 | one-off | reference genome |
| UK Biobank and All of Us papers1617 | peer-reviewed journal | UK and US | 2024 to 2025 | periodic | cohorts |
| Grealey et al.21 | peer-reviewed journal | method | 2022 | one-off | compute footprint |
| Vertex first quarter report6 | company | global | 2026 | quarterly | revenue |
| Illumina and Ultima pages1415 | vendor | global | 2026 | continuous | hardware claims |
| BIOSECURE and Illumina China summaries3031 | law firm and trade press | US and China | 2025 | per event | trade |
| BLS Occupational Outlook33 | national statistics office | US | 2025 | annual | workforce |
B.3Regional reading, genomics across ten clusters
Regional plates follow with the regional editions. This page gives the regional reading of genomics infrastructure and exposure in table form and ranks no region.
| Region | Principal hazards | Systems most exposed | Baseline evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| North America | approvals; large cohorts; trade and procurement law | therapies, data, trade | FDA1; All of Us17; BIOSECURE30 |
| South America | early programmes; access gaps | access | regional evidence (not bound) |
| Europe | UK Biobank and newborn sequencing; plant-editing rules | data, rules | UK Biobank16; Generation Study34; Act29 |
| Eurasia | research programmes; export controls | research, supply | regional evidence (not bound) |
| Middle East and North Africa | treatment access in several countries | access | Vertex report6 |
| Africa | cost-effectiveness for sickle cell therapy in Uganda | access, cost | Uganda analysis8 |
| South Asia | national genome programmes | data, skills | regional evidence (not bound) |
| East Asia | sequencer trade controls; domestic platforms | supply, trade | MedTech Dive31 |
| ASEAN | programmes and partnerships | data, supply | regional evidence (not bound) |
| Oceania-Pacific | research programmes; skills | research, workforce | regional evidence (not bound) |
B.4Cluster card: ex vivo editing therapy chain
- cell therapy
- cold chain
- treatment centres
- single point
- Systems in view
- cell collection, editing, manufacture, conditioning, infusion
- Defining events
- approval on 8 December 2023 and a pediatric submission in 202616
- Couplings
- HLT → FIN payment; INF → HLT manufacturing capacity
- Capability evidence
- authorised treatment centres reported by the company6
- Gaps
- patients treated; prices; cold-chain energy
- Agenda items
- Q-01 · Q-02
A 2026 analysis states that gene therapy access is limited by cost and manufacturing capacity in the United States and globally [7].
ACCESS
Capacity and cost
Vertex reported USD 42.9 million of Casgevy revenue in the first quarter of 2026 and has submitted for children 5 to under 12 [6].
MARKET
Revenue from a small base
A cost-effectiveness analysis compares gene therapy with haploidentical transplantation and standard care [7].
RESPONSE
Alternatives
B.5How countries appear in the genomics edition
Countries enter the genomics edition through the readiness chapters of their own national editions, on one card grammar. They are read against peer distributions and thresholds, never ranked.
| Card field | What it shows | Source |
|---|---|---|
| WEFH+B state | each core system against peer distribution bands | national edition |
| Couplings | the national dependency matrix | national edition |
| Risk objects | the national risk portfolio | national edition |
| Capability rungs | the national capability ladder | national edition |
| Evidence age | oldest and newest source dates | national source register |
Editions in the 2026 Baseline programme
countries and unions
clusters
flagship and sector
technology reports
How to read a country card
- Each system is shown against the distribution of its peers, with thresholds where they exist
- Couplings and risk objects come from the country’s own national edition
- Capability rungs record evidence, not a judgement of institutions
- Evidence age is printed, so older national data are visible as such
| Wave | Countries and unions | State |
|---|---|---|
| W0 | Canada | ISSUED |
| W1 | United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, European Union, Switzerland | PLANNED |
| W2 | Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Türkiye, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, South Africa, Senegal, Kenya, African Union, India, China, Republic of Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, Australia | PLANNED |
B.6Licences
| Material | Licence |
|---|---|
| Text | CC BY 4.0 |
| Data | on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0 |
| Figures | Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited |
| Maps | boundary source and licence printed on each plate |
| Metadata | CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it |
| Third-party data, figures and text | The source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed |
| Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence. | |
B.7Formats and provenance
| Format | Kind | State | What it is | Identifier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Web edition | HTML | On this site | Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. | NR-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| Print edition | At release | A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. | NR-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | |
| Indicator data | CSV · JSON | On this site | 16 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. | NR-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1 |
| Figures | SVG · PNG | On this site | 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. | FIG-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-* |
| Slides | Not recorded | No slide deck is recorded for this edition. | ||
| Evidence brief | HTML · PDF | Not recorded | No evidence brief is recorded for this edition. | |
| Dataset with DOI | DataCite | At release | Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet. |
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- DC-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3Locatelli, F. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Transfusion-Dependent beta-Thalassemia, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 52 treated, 35 evaluable, 32 transfusion independent). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12Liao, W.-W. et al. (Human Pangenome Reference Consortium), A draft human pangenome reference, Nature 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 47 phased diploid assemblies; 119 million base pairs added). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17All of Us Research Program Genomics Investigators, Genomic data in the All of Us Research Program, Nature 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 245,388 genomes; 77% from communities under-represented in research). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results (company press release read through a wire page; Casgevy revenue USD 42.9 million against USD 14.2 million; pediatric submission completed; company statement, weak evidence). Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 33US Bureau of Labor Statistics (ed.), Occupational Outlook Handbook: Genetic Counselors (about 4,200 jobs in 2025; median pay USD 100,040 in May 2025; 10% growth projected 2025 to 2035). BLS, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 34Genomics England (ed.), Generation Study: newborn genome sequencing (initiative page; 100,000 babies; more than 200 conditions; recruitment progress not stated). Genomics England, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 1US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), FDA approves first gene therapies to treat patients with sickle cell disease (press announcement, 8 December 2023; Casgevy uses CRISPR/Cas9, Lyfgenia a lentiviral vector; patients 12 years and older). FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21Grealey, J. et al., The Carbon Footprint of Bioinformatics, Molecular Biology and Evolution 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%). Oxford University Press, Oxford. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Illumina (ed.), NovaSeq X Series product page (vendor claims: 16 to 21 Tb per run for NovaSeq X Plus, more than 128 genomes per run, run time about 14 to 48 hours; vendor evidence, weak). Illumina, San Diego. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 30Latham and Watkins (ed.), BIOSECURE Act becomes law, limiting grants with biotechnology companies of concern (law-firm summary; enacted 18 December 2025 in the FY2026 NDAA; OMB list due by 18 December 2026; secondary source of a statute). Latham and Watkins, Los Angeles. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31MedTech Dive (ed.), China to lift Illumina export ban (trade press, November 2025; listing in February 2025, import ban in March 2025, lift on 10 November 2025, instrument sales in China down 54% in the third quarter; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 29UK Parliament (ed.), Genetic Technology (Precision Breeding) Act 2023, 2023 c. 6 (contents page read; section texts not read). UK Parliament, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 8Montano-Campos, J.F. et al., Cost-effectiveness of gene therapy for sickle cell disease in Uganda: tailoring high-income evidence to Uganda context, Gene Therapy 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
References and record
Every source the edition rests on, the publication record, the corrections log and the open record.
C.144 sources
NR-CIT-1, editor first. A DOI is linked where the source has one; Nexus records carry a UNI once the catalogue allocates it (NS-1).
- 1US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), FDA approves first gene therapies to treat patients with sickle cell disease (press announcement, 8 December 2023; Casgevy uses CRISPR/Cas9, Lyfgenia a lentiviral vector; patients 12 years and older). FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 2Frangoul, H. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Severe Sickle Cell Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 44 treated, 30 evaluable, 29 free of crises for 12 months or more). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 7
- 3Locatelli, F. et al., Exagamglogene Autotemcel for Transfusion-Dependent beta-Thalassemia, New England Journal of Medicine 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 52 treated, 35 evaluable, 32 transfusion independent). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 7
- 4Musunuru, K. et al., Patient-Specific In Vivo Gene Editing to Treat a Rare Genetic Disease, New England Journal of Medicine 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; one infant, two infusions at about 7 and 8 months of age). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 5, chapter 6
- 5Clinical Trials Arena (ed.), FDA unveils new pathway to usher bespoke therapies to market (trade press, 13 November 2025; describes the plausible mechanism pathway announced in a journal article by the FDA Commissioner and the CBER Director; secondary report, weak evidence). Clinical Trials Arena, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 6Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), Vertex Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results (company press release read through a wire page; Casgevy revenue USD 42.9 million against USD 14.2 million; pediatric submission completed; company statement, weak evidence). Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 7Chetlapalli, K. et al., Haploidentical transplant, gene therapy, and standard care in sickle cell disease: a cost-effectiveness analysis, Blood 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; gene therapy access limited by cost and manufacturing capacity). American Society of Hematology, Washington. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 8Montano-Campos, J.F. et al., Cost-effectiveness of gene therapy for sickle cell disease in Uganda: tailoring high-income evidence to Uganda context, Gene Therapy 2026 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 8
- 9BioSpace (ed.), Life-threatening liver toxicity triggers FDA freeze on two Intellia gene therapy studies (trade press, 30 October 2025; relays company disclosures; secondary report, weak evidence). BioSpace, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 7
- 10Lek, A. et al., Death after High-Dose rAAV9 Gene Therapy in a Patient with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy, New England Journal of Medicine 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Massachusetts Medical Society, Waltham. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 4, chapter 6
- 11Nurk, S. et al., The complete sequence of a human genome, Science 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 3.055 billion base pairs; nearly 200 million base pairs of new sequence). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 12Liao, W.-W. et al. (Human Pangenome Reference Consortium), A draft human pangenome reference, Nature 2023 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 47 phased diploid assemblies; 119 million base pairs added). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 13National Human Genome Research Institute (ed.), The Cost of Sequencing a Human Genome (fact sheet page; method notes read; the cost values sit in graphs and a linked table that were not read; page updated 16 May 2023). NHGRI, Bethesda. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.
- 14Illumina (ed.), NovaSeq X Series product page (vendor claims: 16 to 21 Tb per run for NovaSeq X Plus, more than 128 genomes per run, run time about 14 to 48 hours; vendor evidence, weak). Illumina, San Diego. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8
- 15Ultima Genomics (ed.), germline genetics product page (vendor claim of a USD 60 genome at list price over 4 wafers on the UG200 series; the browser title reads USD 80; vendor evidence, weak). Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8
- 16UK Biobank Whole-Genome Sequencing Consortium, Whole-genome sequencing of 490,640 UK Biobank participants, Nature 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 17All of Us Research Program Genomics Investigators, Genomic data in the All of Us Research Program, Nature 2024 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; 245,388 genomes; 77% from communities under-represented in research). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 18Fatumo, S. et al., A roadmap to increase diversity in genomic studies, Nature Medicine 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6
- 19Sirugo, G., Williams, S.M. and Tishkoff, S.A., The Missing Diversity in Human Genetic Studies, Cell 2019 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Cell Press, Cambridge. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6
- 20Stephens, Z.D. et al., Big Data: Astronomical or Genomical?, PLOS Biology 2015 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Public Library of Science, San Francisco. Observation year 2015. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8
- 21Grealey, J. et al., The Carbon Footprint of Bioinformatics, Molecular Biology and Evolution 2022 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; a software upgrade cut one tool footprint by 73%). Oxford University Press, Oxford. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 22Lannelongue, L., Grealey, J. and Inouye, M., Green Algorithms: Quantifying the Carbon Footprint of Computation, Advanced Science 2021 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Wiley, Weinheim. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 23Brixi, G. et al., Genome modelling and design across all domains of life with Evo 2, bioRxiv preprint 2025 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record; trained on 9.3 trillion base pairs; not peer reviewed at the time of reading). Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, New York. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8
- 24Jinek, M. et al., A programmable dual-RNA-guided DNA endonuclease in adaptive bacterial immunity, Science 2012 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington. Observation year 2012. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6
- 25Komor, A.C. et al., Programmable editing of a target base in genomic DNA without double-stranded DNA cleavage, Nature 2016 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2016. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6
- 26Anzalone, A.V. et al., Search-and-replace genome editing without double-strand breaks or donor DNA, Nature 2019 (abstract read through the Europe PMC record). Springer Nature, London. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6
- 27World Health Organization (ed.), Human genome editing: a framework for governance (technical document, 12 July 2021; companion recommendations published separately and not read). WHO, Geneva. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 28Royal Society (ed.), Statement from the Organising Committee of the Third International Summit on Human Genome Editing (8 March 2023; convened by the Royal Society, the Academy of Medical Sciences, the US National Academies and The World Academy of Sciences). Royal Society, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 29UK Parliament (ed.), Genetic Technology (Precision Breeding) Act 2023, 2023 c. 6 (contents page read; section texts not read). UK Parliament, London. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 30Latham and Watkins (ed.), BIOSECURE Act becomes law, limiting grants with biotechnology companies of concern (law-firm summary; enacted 18 December 2025 in the FY2026 NDAA; OMB list due by 18 December 2026; secondary source of a statute). Latham and Watkins, Los Angeles. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 31MedTech Dive (ed.), China to lift Illumina export ban (trade press, November 2025; listing in February 2025, import ban in March 2025, lift on 10 November 2025, instrument sales in China down 54% in the third quarter; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 8
- 32MedTech Dive (ed.), Anne Wojcicki bid to buy 23andMe in bankruptcy (trade press, 17 June 2025; USD 305 million bid against a USD 256 million bid; state objections; secondary report, weak evidence). Industry Dive, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 8
- 33US Bureau of Labor Statistics (ed.), Occupational Outlook Handbook: Genetic Counselors (about 4,200 jobs in 2025; median pay USD 100,040 in May 2025; 10% growth projected 2025 to 2035). BLS, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 34Genomics England (ed.), Generation Study: newborn genome sequencing (initiative page; 100,000 babies; more than 200 conditions; recruitment progress not stated). Genomics England, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 35UNVERIFIED, not opened: Vertex Pharmaceuticals (ed.), full-year 2025 results (Casgevy revenue USD 115.8 million in 2025 and USD 10 million in 2024), taken from search-result summaries. Vertex, Boston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.
- 36UNVERIFIED, not opened: European Parliament and Council, Regulation (EU) 2026/1388 on plants obtained by certain new genomic techniques (adopted 17 June 2026, published 26 June 2026, applies from 17 July 2028), taken from search-result summaries that differ on some dates. Official Journal of the European Union, Luxembourg. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
- 37UNVERIFIED, not opened: US Food and Drug Administration (ed.), draft guidance on the plausible mechanism framework for individualised therapies, February 2026, taken from search-result summaries. FDA, Silver Spring. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6
- 38UNVERIFIED, not opened: NPR (ed.), Judge approves sale of 23andMe to a nonprofit led by its founder (30 June 2025), taken from a search-result summary; the page returned a service error. NPR, Washington. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 8
- 39UNVERIFIED, not opened: Intellia Therapeutics and trade press on the lifting of the 2025 clinical holds on the MAGNITUDE trials, taken from search-result summaries that differ on dates. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 2
- 40UNVERIFIED, not opened: Ultima Genomics (ed.), UG 100 Solaris launch announcement of 24 February 2025 (USD 80 genome at list price), taken from search-result summaries; vendor evidence, weak. Ultima Genomics, Newark. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 2
- 41UNVERIFIED, not opened: Council of Europe (ed.), Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Dignity of the Human Being with regard to the Application of Biology and Medicine (Oviedo Convention), 1997, cited from memory; the page returned an access error. Council of Europe, Strasbourg. Observation year 1997. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6
- 42UNVERIFIED, not opened: Lander, E.S. et al., Adopt a moratorium on heritable genome editing, Nature 567, 165 to 168, 2019, cited from memory. Observation year 2019. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6
- 43UNVERIFIED, not opened: International Human Genome Sequencing Consortium, Initial sequencing and analysis of the human genome, Nature 409, 860 to 921, 2001, cited from memory. Observation year 2001. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6
- 44UNVERIFIED, not opened: Genetic Information Nondiscrimination Act of 2008, Public Law 110-233, United States Congress, cited from memory. Observation year 2008. Accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6
C.2Publication record
Publication
- Title
- Exponential Technology Report 2026: Genomics and Gene Editing, Baseline Edition
- Series
- Reports · Exponential Technology Series XT-05
- Edition
- Baseline Edition 2026 · inaugural annual
- Version
- v1.0.0 · draft for stewardship review
- Publication ID
- NR-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Evidence close
- 30 September 2026
- Publication date
- October 2026
- DOI
- concept and version DOI at deposit
Publisher
- Publisher of record
- The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), for the Nexus Consortium
- Place
- Toronto
- Editor
- Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor
- Stewards
- GCRI · technical truth · GRF · public meaning · GRA · capital meaning
- Licence
- text CC BY 4.0; data on the terms of each source
- Copyright
- © 2026 GCRI · Nexus Consortium
- Language
- English (en-GB) source edition
- Correspondence
- Registry correction pathway · editorial office
Colophon
- Format
- A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF
- Typefaces
- Space Grotesk (display) · Geist (text) · IBM Plex Sans Italic (standfirsts) · IBM Plex Mono (data)
- Design standard
- Reports Foundational Edition, Volume I, Part VII
- Accessibility
- tagged PDF and HTML targets; text alternatives for every figure
- Production
- Reports editorial team, GCRI
Release path for this version
| Step | What happens | When |
|---|---|---|
| Draft | editorial self-check complete at evidence close | October 2026 |
| Steward review | five passes on the exact draft (keys T · M · F · N) | Q4 2026 |
| Approval | publication authority approves the exact digest | before release |
| Deposit | concept and version DOI minted; registry pointer set | at release |
| Succession | the 2027 genomics edition reports changes against this baseline | 2027 |
- Current version
- v1.0.0 draft, stewardship review
- Previous edition
- none, first edition of the series
- Next edition
- NR-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2027-v1.0.0
- Latest version
- resolve the concept DOI or the registry record
- Correction route
- Registry correction pathway
- Notice types
- erratum · addendum · supersession · withdrawal
C.3Corrections log
0correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition’s current version.
| Edition | Version | Date | State | Change | Notice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XT-05 | NR-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence.
C.4Open record
This edition’s open record
- Publication ID
- NR-XTECH-GENOMICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Desk identifier and series alias
- NR-XTC-XT-05-2026-BL
- Collection
- None
- DOI
- Concept and version DOI at deposit, on Zenodo with DataCite metadata
- Versions
- Each correction is a new version (isNewVersionOf); the concept DOI resolves to the latest
- Bundle
- RO-Crate 1.2 with CITATION.cff, CodeMeta and PROV-O provenance; a signed manifest
- Licence
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}C.5Where this edition sits among the six pillars
Foundry seals the evidence and Universe tests it; Reports publishes it; Standards takes its corrections and Academy teaches from it.
- F03 Sealed observations and indicator series Foundry Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).
- F04 After-action and scenario findings for Universe After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).
- F05 National Portfolio movement for chapter Foundry National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).
- Applied in editions Standards Nexus Standards: applied in editions.
- XT-05 edition Reports Genomics and Gene Editing 2026, published in every format with its sources, citation and corrections.
- F06 Method and correction findings as change Standards Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).
- F12 Q4 synthesis informs the next-year Universe Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).
- Taught in the open Academy Risk Academy: taught in the open.
What Foundry and Universe hand to this edition, and what it hands to Standards, Universe and Academy. From the programme spine; XT-05 is a drafted Baseline Edition, so these handoffs run from its first operational quarter.
| Handoff | Between | What crosses, and when |
|---|---|---|
| F03 | Foundry to Reports | Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout). |
| F04 | Universe to Reports | After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review). |
| F05 | Foundry to Reports | National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review). |
| Ring | Nexus Standards to Reports | Nexus Standards: applied in editions. |
| F06 | Reports to Nexus Standards | Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction). |
| F12 | Reports to Universe | Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal). |
| Ring | Reports to Risk Academy | Risk Academy: taught in the open. |
