Skip to content

Reports · GCRI · Country profile

United States 2026

संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिका

The United States enters 2027 as the country carrying the largest share of the world’s recorded disaster losses. North America accounted for US$133 billion of the US$224 billion in global natural-disaster losses in 2025, about 70% of it insured, led by the Los Angeles wildfires at about US$53 billion.

निष्कर्ष
12
each with its status and source
Sectors with findings
5 of 6
Infrastructure not assessed
Risk objects
4
order carries no rank
स्रोत
40
Evidence close 30 September 2026

01 · Readings

United States in six readings.

Six readings that frame the baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.

  • 340.1millionpopulation, 2024 [4]
  • 1.4°Cwarming since 1970 [3]
  • 6,343Mt CO₂egross emissions, 2022 [1]
  • ≈43%electricity from natural gas [5]
  • 50mineralson the critical list [12]
  • 27घटनाएँbillion-dollar disasters, 2024 [15]

02 · Sectors

Six sectors, one hexagon.

Water first, then Energy, Infrastructure, Food, Health and Biodiversity. Each count is the findings of this edition in that sector: coverage of the evidence, never a score. Infrastructure is not assessed: the edition holds no Infrastructure finding and its coupling matrix does not assess it.

  1. WATजल2 findings

    322 bn gal/day Total freshwater and saline withdrawals, 2015. रिपोर्ट किया गया

    Ample in the East, tight in the West; Colorado River under की कमी; major aquifers depleting.

  2. ENEऊर्जा1 finding

    4.4% Data centres’ share of US electricity, 2023. रिपोर्ट किया गया

    Gas-led power with growing renewables; reliability stressed in extremes; data-centre load rising.

  3. INFअवसंरचनाnot assessed

    Ageing grids, water प्रणालियाँ and roads; critical functions defined nationally.

  4. FOOखाद्य1 finding

    13.5% Households food insecure, 2023. रिपोर्ट किया गया

    A leading producer and exporter; 13.5% of households food insecure in 2023.

  5. HLTस्वास्थ्य1 finding

    2,325 deaths Heat-related deaths, 2023. रिपोर्ट किया गया

    Record heat deaths in 2023; smoke and storms load health services.

  6. BIOजैव विविधता1 finding

    40% Animal species at risk of extinction, 2023. रिपोर्ट किया गया

    About 40% of animal species at risk; जंगल की आग and land use the fastest pressures.

Outside the six sectors: Climate forcing 3, Finance 2, Systemic 1.

03 · Hazard exposure

The hazards this edition reads.

The edition’s own risk objects, in its order, each read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and horizon. The hexagon marks the sectors the cascade reaches; the domain beside each is an editorial reading of its hazard words.

  • RSK-USA-CLI-001

    Wildfire at the urban edge, with insurance retreat

    रिपोर्ट किया गयाEQL 4

    चालक
    heat, drought and wind; longer fire seasons
    जोखिम-अनावरण
    wildland–urban interface communities
    भेद्यता
    rising premiums and non-renewals [21]
    क्षमता
    fire services; building codes; residual insurers
    कैस्केड
    CLI → BIO → HLT · CLI → FIN
    क्षितिज
    seasonal · 1 and 5 years

    भूमि और पारिस्थितिकी तंत्रवायुमंडल और मौसमजल प्रणालियाँ

  • RSK-USA-ENE-002

    Grid failure in heat or cold extremes

    रिपोर्ट किया गयाEQL 4

    चालक
    अत्यधिक गर्मी and cold; new load growth
    जोखिम-अनावरण
    regions with thin reserve margins [32]
    भेद्यता
    winterisation gaps; gas–power interdependence [31]
    क्षमता
    interconnection; demand response; storage
    कैस्केड
    ENE → WAT → HLT
    क्षितिज
    seasonal

    वायुमंडल और मौसम

  • RSK-USA-WAT-003

    Western drought and Colorado River shortage

    रिपोर्ट किया गयाEQL 4

    चालक
    low flows; heat; over-allocation
    जोखिम-अनावरण
    cities, farms and hydropower of the Southwest
    भेद्यता
    reservoirs near minimum levels
    क्षमता
    की कमी rules; conservation; groundwater
    कैस्केड
    WAT → ENE, FOO, cities
    क्षितिज
    1–5 years

    जल प्रणालियाँवायुमंडल और मौसम

  • RSK-USA-CLI-004

    Compound hurricane, surge and inland flooding

    रिपोर्ट किया गयाEQL 3

    चालक
    warmer oceans; heavier rainfall
    जोखिम-अनावरण
    Gulf and Atlantic coasts; inland river valleys
    भेद्यता
    low flood-insurance take-up [40]
    क्षमता
    forecasting and evacuation; flood insurance
    कैस्केड
    CLI → INF → ENE, HLT, FIN
    क्षितिज
    वार्षिक

    वायुमंडल और मौसमजल प्रणालियाँ

Scenario · SCN-USA-HFG-01

Western heat, fire and grid summer

Under this scenario, results describe a conditional season under stated assumptions. It is not a forecast, and no intervention described here has been carried out.

3 of 12 findings name a hazard in their text. Show them

  1. 1CLI → WATheat and low flows cut reservoir and hydro output
  2. 2CLI → ENEpeak demand meets thin reserves; emergency alerts
  3. 3CLI → HLTheat deaths and emergency visits rise
  4. 4BIO → HLTजंगल की आग smoke over large cities
  5. 5ENE → INFpublic-safety power shut-offs to prevent ignition
  6. 6CLI → FINinsured losses and further non-renewals

04 · Couplings

How the sectors carry risk into each other.

The United States matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core प्रणालियाँ. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.

Coupling matrix, from row to column
सेWATENEFOOHLTBIO
WAT·StrongStrongमध्यमStrong
ENEमध्यम·StrongStrongमध्यम
FOOमध्यमWeak·StrongStrong
HLTWeakWeakमध्यम·Weak
BIOStrongमध्यमStrongमध्यम·

Water: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Energy: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Food: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Health: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Biodiversity: 4 couplings out, 4 in. Infrastructure is not in the coupling matrix: none of the edition matrices types it, so it carries no value.

Cascade paths, in the edition’s order

  1. ENE → WAT → HLTcold or heat fails the grid; water pressure and care settings fail with itरिपोर्ट किया गया
  2. CLI → BIO → HLTजंगल की आग smoke loads health services far from the fireरिपोर्ट किया गया
  3. CLI → FINजंगल की आग और हरिकेन losses drive insurance retreatरिपोर्ट किया गया
  4. WAT → FOOaquifer decline and drought cut irrigated productionInferred
  5. AIC → ENEdata-centre load narrows reliability margins in extremesInferred

05 · Findings

Every finding of United States.

Search, filter by sector, system or status, and sort. The address bar keeps the view, so a filtered list can be shared. Every row opens the finding at its source.

All 12 findings

Findings of United States
IDसंस्करणSector or systemस्थितिStatement
CLI-001संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाCLI Climate forcing रिपोर्ट किया गयाGross greenhouse-gas emissions were 6,343 Mt CO₂e in 2022; net emissions were about 17% below 2005.
FIN-002संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाFIN वित्त रिपोर्ट किया गयाNorth America carried US$133 billion of 2025’s US$224 billion in global disaster losses; about US$93 billion was insured.
FIN-003संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाFIN वित्त रिपोर्ट किया गयाThe January 2025 Los Angeles wildfires caused about US$53 billion in losses, US$40 billion insured, the costliest जंगल की आग disaster on record.
CLI-004संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाCLI Climate forcing रिपोर्ट किया गयाThe contiguous United States has warmed about 1.4 °C since 1970, faster than the global average.
CLI-005संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाCLI Climate forcing रिपोर्ट किया गयाThere were 27 billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2024, after a record 28 in 2023.
ENE-006संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाENE ऊर्जा रिपोर्ट किया गयाData centres used about 4.4% of US electricity in 2023, with 6.7–12% projected for 2028.
WAT-007संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाWAT जल रिपोर्ट किया गयाWater withdrawals were about 322 billion gallons a day in 2015; thermoelectric power took 41% and irrigation 37%.
WAT-008संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाWAT जल रिपोर्ट किया गयाThe first-ever की कमी on the Colorado River was declared in August 2021 for the lower basin.
HLT-009संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाHLT स्वास्थ्य रिपोर्ट किया गयाHeat-related deaths reached a record 2,325 in 2023.
FOO-010संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाFOO खाद्य रिपोर्ट किया गया13.5% of US households were food insecure in 2023.
BIO-011संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाBIO जैव विविधता रिपोर्ट किया गयाAbout 40% of animal species and 34% of plant species in the United States are at risk of extinction.
SYS-012संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिकाSYS प्रणालीगत Expert inputThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing runs from Western heat and drought through जंगल की आग and grid stress into health, water and insurance availability.

06 · Editions and calendar

The desks’ editions for United States.

The desks’ editions for United States
डेस्कसंस्करणस्थितिपहचानकर्ता
GCRI Systems EvidenceUnited States 2026Drafted, in stewardship reviewNR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
GRF Public DeliberationPublic Deliberation: United States 2026तैयारी में
GRA Capital ReadinessCapital Readiness: United States 2026तैयारी में
Standards ProgressNo edition in the 2026 Baseline cycleNot in this cycle
Academy CapabilityNo edition in the 2026 Baseline cycleNot in this cycle
Index MeasurementMeasurement: United States 2026तैयारी में

Calendar · 2026 Baseline

  1. 01Call opensset by the editor
  2. 02Contribution closeset by the editor
  3. 03साक्ष्य समापन30 September 2026
  4. 04Desk review and releaseset by the editor
  5. 05Collection compilationset by the editor
  6. 06Collection releaseset by the editor
  7. 07सुधारafter release, as needed

Evidence cut NQ-USA-2026-Q0-1. Next cycles: Q1 2027, Q2 2027, Q3 2027, Q4 2027; their dates are set by the editor.

07 · Take part

Read it, improve it, cite it.

सुधार लॉग

Versions and corrections
संस्करणतिथिस्थितिबदलावसूचना
NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DRAFTBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,कोई नहीं
Data gaps3What the repository does not hold yet, and the source proposed for each
Data gaps and proposed sources
अंतरालShown here asProposed source
Exposure values per hazard (people, assets, hectares)the edition’s own risk objects, without valuesthe Index country profile once the Index releases values, risksindex.com/usa/
The NHS-1 hazard types and their assignment to this edition’s risk objectsan editorial reading of the hazard wordsthe NHS-1 type assignment through the Registry
Infrastructure in the coupling matrixInfrastructure marked not assessedan Infrastructure row and column in the edition matrix at the next cut
रिपोर्टयोगदान दें

Send evidence or a correction on United States.

रिपोर्ट is the Consortium’s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) प्रणालियाँ साक्ष्य डेस्क के साथ है। इस विषय पर आप जो जानते हैं, वह अगले संस्करण में साक्ष्य, मामला या सुधार बन सकता है, आपके नाम से श्रेय के साथ, और यदि वह आपका अपना काम है तो CC BY 4.0 के अंतर्गत प्रकाशित। गलत डेस्क पर भेजा गया हो तो उसे अग्रेषित किया जाता है, अस्वीकार नहीं।

GCRI प्रणाली साक्ष्य डेस्क

व्यक्तिगत डेटा, संवेदनशील अवसंरचना का विवरण या ऐसी कोई भी सामग्री कभी न भेजें जिसे साझा करने का आपको अधिकार नहीं है। उपयोग से पहले योगदान की समीक्षा होती है; इसे भेजने से लेखकत्व या संपादकीय अधिकार नहीं मिलते, और प्रायोजन कभी किसी निष्कर्ष को नहीं खरीदता।

CC BY 4.0 Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by GCRI Canada.