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GCRI · فناوری‌های کوانتومی

محاسبات کوانتومی

Quantum computers use qubits that can be in superpositions and become entangled, which in principle lets some problems be solved far faster than on classical computers. Current machines are noisy and small, and useful fault-tolerant computing requires error correction that is only beginning to be demonstrated. This page sets out how quantum computers work and fail, how progress is measured honestly, and what evidence serves the institutions deciding how to engage.

01ثبت‌خانه

Quantum computing on the record.

02The question

Quantum computing: how the risk develops.

Hardware, algorithms and actual maturity. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

سازوکار

Qubits are fragile

Qubits lose their quantum state through interaction with their environment. Gate errors and decoherence limit how long a computation can run before results become noise.

سازوکار

Error correction needs overhead

Fault-tolerant computing encodes each logical qubit in many physical qubits and corrects errors continuously. It only helps once physical error rates fall below a threshold.

سازوکار

Advantage is problem-specific

Quantum algorithms speed up particular problems, such as simulating quantum سامانه‌ها or factoring. For many tasks classical computers remain as good or better.

سازوکار

Claims need classical comparison

Demonstrations of quantum advantage are often followed by improved classical methods. Honest comparison requires the best classical approach, not a convenient one.

03پایش

Quantum testbed.

The screen a team would use to follow this subject: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

Quantum testbed

Quantum computing · Testbed lab · Device QD-28

Calibration cycleGCRI · فناوری‌های کوانتومی

کیوبیت‌ها

Q0121490.03Drifting
Q1118240.03Drifting
Q294410.03Drifting
Q373930.05Drifting
Q450480.02Drifting

Device

Topology
heavy-hex, illustrative
2Q fidelity
0.994
دسترسی
by committee
برچسب
مشاهده‌شده
Quantum testbed: the screen’s structure, terms and states for Quantum computing.نام‌ها نمونه و مقادیر تبیینی‌اند؛ طرحی است، نه سابقه یا سامانهٔ زنده.
04در سراسر حوزه‌ها

Quantum computing matters to the domains through simulation and through cryptography.

05روش‌ها و شواهد

How quantum computing is modelled, measured and tested.

مدل، مفروضات، داده‌ها و عدم قطعیت آن، به شکلی که دانشمند یا مهندس بررسی می‌کند. ساختارها از روش‌های منتشرشده پیروی می‌کنند. مقادیر ترسیم‌شده تبیینی‌اند، نه یافته.

مدل سامانه

The couplings between the systems in quantum computing: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.

++−+کوانتومسایبریاجتماع‌هااقتصادR تقویتیتوازن B
Causal loop diagram from the page’s systems; signs show the direction of influence. Illustrative structure for a system dynamics or network model, not estimated couplings.
اصول راهنمای FAIR · GO FAIR و FORCE11W3C PROV · کنسرسیوم وب جهانیGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
06نشانگرها

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitدورهٔ تکرارSource typeبرچسب
Physical qubit countqubitsper announcementPublished device resultsگزارش‌شده
Two-qubit gate fidelitypercentper deviceBenchmark resultsگزارش‌شده
Logical qubit error rateerrors per logical operationper experimentPeer-reviewed experimentsمشاهده‌شده
Coherence timemicrosecondsper deviceDevice characterisationگزارش‌شده
Quantum volume or similar holistic benchmarkbenchmark scoreper devicePublished benchmarksگزارش‌شده
Demonstrations surviving classical challengecountper reviewLiterature reviewبرآوردشده
07منابع

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

منبعWhat it givesLicence class
arXiv quant-ph and peer-reviewed journalsPrimary experimental and theoretical resultsOpen access preprints; journal licence per article
Metriq benchmark platform (Unitary Foundation)Community-submitted quantum benchmark resultsOpen, licence to check
Vendor technical documentation and roadmapsDevice specifications and stated targetsPublic documents, terms per vendor
National academies and agency assessments of quantum computingIndependent assessments of progress and prospectsPublic, terms per publisher
QED-C reportsIndustry consortium analyses of use cases and benchmarksPublic reports, terms to check
08تصمیم‌ها

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Quantum Technologies prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

چه کسی تصمیم می‌گیردThe questionEvidence this page serves
Research funders and science ministriesHow much to invest in quantum computing research and accessProgress summaries; independent assessments
Organisations exploring quantum useWhether a problem is a plausible quantum use caseUse case assessments with classical baselines
Security agenciesHow progress affects cryptographic migration timelinesError correction and scale evidence

Outputs this topic produces

  • Progress summaries that separate peer-reviewed results from roadmaps
  • Benchmark interpretation guides
  • Use case assessments with classical baselines
  • Evidence notes for research funders
09Core questions

What experts ask.

The central question is what has been demonstrated, not what has been promised.

  • How many qubits does a device have, and how good are they: what are their error rates and coherence times?
  • Can errors be corrected faster than they accumulate, and at what cost in physical qubits per logical qubit?
  • Which algorithms offer a demonstrated advantage over the best classical methods, and for which problems?
  • Are claims of quantum advantage robust to improved classical algorithms?
  • Which hardware approaches are likely to scale, and what limits them?
10Mechanisms

Mechanisms and drivers.

Quantum computers gain their power from interference: algorithms are designed so that wrong answers cancel and right answers reinforce. That power is fragile. Qubits lose their quantum state through interaction with the environment, and every operation introduces some error. Quantum error correction encodes one reliable logical qubit in many physical qubits, but only works if physical error rates are below a threshold, and it multiplies the hardware required.

Known algorithms with large demonstrated speed-ups are few. Factoring and discrete logarithms, which underpin public-key cryptography, are the best-known examples; simulation of quantum سامانه‌ها in chemistry and physics is another. For many optimisation and machine-learning problems, a practical advantage has not been established, and improved classical algorithms have repeatedly narrowed claimed gaps.

11Methods and data

How it is studied, and where the methods stop.

Method or dataWhat it showsمحدودیت‌ها
Benchmarking of gate fidelity and coherenceQuality of physical qubitsBenchmarks can be chosen to flatter a device
Error-correction experimentsWhether logical qubits outperform physical onesEarly demonstrations are small and short-lived
Algorithm complexity analysisTheoretical speed-up and resource estimatesResource estimates depend on hardware assumptions
Classical simulation and verificationWhether results could be reproduced classicallyVerification becomes harder as devices grow
Peer-reviewed literature versus announcementsWhat has been independently assessedAnnouncements often precede, or replace, peer review
12روش‌ها

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. فیزیک و علم کوانتومCharacterising qubit noise · Metrology of quantum clocks · Verifying quantum effectsApplied here
  2. محاسبات، سنجش و ارتباطات کوانتومیComparable benchmarking · Technology readiness assessment · Security implications trackingApplied here
  3. احتمال و آمارFidelity estimation · Testing advantage claims · Analysing patent and investment dataApplied here
13Where this page’s references

Where this page’s references lead.

نهادها و اسنادی که این صفحه بر پایهٔ آن‌ها خوانده می‌شود. وضعیت و ویراست‌ها تغییر می‌کنند؛ هر پیوند به نهاد صادرکننده می‌رود.

14پرسش‌ها

پرسش و پاسخ.

What is a qubit?
The basic unit of quantum information, a two-level quantum system that can be in a superposition of states and become entangled with other qubits.
What is quantum advantage?
A demonstration that a quantum computer solves a specific task faster or better than the best known classical method. Claims are often challenged by improved classical methods.
What is fault-tolerant quantum computing?
Computing that uses quantum error correction so that long calculations can run reliably despite errors in physical qubits.
Why does qubit count alone mislead?
Because quality matters as much as quantity. Many noisy qubits may be less useful than fewer high-fidelity ones, and practical applications require error-corrected logical qubits.
Does the platform predict when large quantum computers will arrive?
No. Timelines are uncertain, and the platform reports expert views as ranges with their assumptions rather than as dates.
گزارش‌هامشارکت

شواهد را از همین صفحه ارسال کنید.

گزارش‌ها is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

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